Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em: Week 4

In our Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em, Kevin Hanson discusses players to start (or sit):

Start - Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. IND)

The Colts run defense has yet to allow a 50-yard rusher this season, but I expect that to change this week. Meanwhile, Carson has seemed to take firm hold of the lead-back role for the Seahawks. Through the first three weeks of the season, he has 37 carries for 166 yards (4.49 yards per carry) and four catches for 43 yards and a touchdown. Carson's 41 touches is more than the rest of the backfield has combined: C.J. Prosise (14), Thomas Rawls (five) and Eddie Lacy (five).

With Prosise out for Week 4, Carson should be more involved as a receiver in this game as well. That said, the Seahawks are favored by nearly two touchdowns and have one of the highest implied totals of the week (27.25). Positive game script should lead to a massive workload with some touchdown upside for the rookie.

- Continue reading our Week 4 RB Start'em, Sit'em

More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em:

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 4

Every week of the 2017 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 2?

Sean Beazley: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans ($6,400)

As of right now, there isn't anything out there that I truly love this week. One of the plays that I do like is Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins at $6,400. Hopkins has seven catches in each of his first three games this year and has been targeted 37 times this season.

Deshaun Watson looked very good in a loss vs. New England last week and this Titans defense is beatable through the air. This isn't a lock like A.J. Green was for me last week, but I will be rolling out Nuk in many lineups this week.

- Continue reading our Week 4 DFS Round Table

2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4

Kevin Hanson has posted his Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings for both PPR and standard-scoring formats:

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

Below are Week 4 NFL picks against the spread from Kevin Hanson:

New England Patriots -9 over Carolina Panthers (3 Units)

There is no doubt about New England's ability to put up points. After a relatively slow start for Tom Brady, he has thrown for a total of 825 yards, eight touchdowns and no interceptions in his past two games. And even though there is no Julian Edelman, there is no shortage of weapons for Brady with Rob Gronkowski, Brandin Cooks, Chris Hogan, etc.

On the other side of the ball, we should question New England's ability to slow down anyone. Houston rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson nearly pulled off an upset in Foxboro despite Brady's five touchdowns. The Patriots have allowed a 300-yard passer and multiple passing touchdowns in all three games this season.

That said, do you trust Cam Newton to be able exploit the Patriots defense this week? I don't. The 2015 league MVP has not looked like the MVP version. Just last week at home against the Saints, Newton threw for 167 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions as the Panthers lost by 21. I expect the Pats to win by double digits this week.

- Continue reading Hanson's Week 4 NFL picks against the spread

More NFL picks against the spread:

Consensus NFL Power Rankings

Every week, we compile consensus NFL Power Rankings, which are an aggregate from five sources. Below are the consensus power rankings heading into Week 4:

RankTeamRecordLastChg.Avg.ESPNNFLSICBSUSAT
1Kansas City Chiefs3-01-0.41.421121
2Atlanta Falcons3-020.41.612212
3New England Patriots2-141333333
4Green Bay Packers2-171.65.4410445
Full Week 4 NFL Consensus Power Rankings

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule: Weeks 4 to 16

When it comes to picking up or trading for players, one factor to consider is the player's fantasy football strength of schedule. Far from the most important aspect of his outlook, a more favorable fantasy schedule could at least break the tie.

Based on the fantasy points each team has surrendered up to this point, we average what each team's remaining opponents have given up to each position. The higher the number, the more favorable their collective remaining matchups are.

Here are the QB Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule for the remainder of the year:

RankTeamPlayerCumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Buffalo BillsTyrod Taylor18.6658.48
2Miami DolphinsJay Cutler17.5347.08
3Atlanta FalconsMatt Ryan17.2962.82
4Denver BroncosTrevor Siemian17.1346.93
5Carolina PanthersCam Newton17.0948.69

Full Strength of Schedules: * Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

2018 NFL Mock Draft

If anything in this mock is true, it's this statement: This mock will change often and significantly between now and the final version the night before the 2018 NFL Draft next April. As we move closer to the draft, I will continue to update this mock and eventually add all seven rounds.

Note: Draft order is determined by the inverse order of consensus 2017 NFL Power Rankings.

For now, here is an early look at how the 2018 NFL Draft could play out:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Sam Darnold, QB, USC Trojans

Of course, it takes time to accurately evaluate a draft class, but the widely-held view is that the Browns had a strong draft. Resisting any rumored temptation to draft a quarterback at No. 1 overall, the Browns instead opted for the most talented player in the 2017 draft class: Myles Garrett. They did use a high pick (No. 52 overall), however, on Notre Dame quarterback DeShone Kizer, a nice value at that spot.

It's certainly possible that Kizer gets a chance to start a game or two down the stretch especially if the Browns have a poor enough record to earn the top overall pick again, but there's no need to force him into action. In addition, the amount of draft capital used to draft Kizer doesn't necessarily rule out using this pick on a potential franchise-changing quarterback like Darnold.

The early favorite in Vegas to win the Heisman Trophy, Darnold could be the most coveted of this talented crop of signal-callers. With prototypical physical tools as well as outstanding poise and leadership, the redshirt freshman engineered an instant-classic come-from-behind victory over Penn State in Rose Bowl as he threw for 453 yards and five scores.

2. New York Jets (Draft History): Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming Cowboys

It's unclear who will be the Week 1 starter for Gang Green, but Josh McCown, Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg currently fill their quarterback room. In other words, there's a good chance that their Week 1 starter in 2018 is not currently on the roster.

Allen has great size (6-5, 222) and plays in a pro-style offense although he is a bit raw. As one AFC Exec told MMQB's Albert Breer, "Hes a big ol kid with a big arm, and hes pretty athletic too. We gotta learn more about him, but the tools are there." Coincidentally, Allen plays at Wyoming for Craig Bohl, who recruited Carson Wentz to North Dakota State.

3. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Derwin James, S, Florida State Seminoles

If the 49ers make it three consecutive quarterbacks with UCLA's Josh Rosen here, it wouldn't be a surprise. That said, it's perhaps more likely that Kirk Cousins signs a free-agent deal with the 49ers next offseason.

Meanwhile, one ACC coach said of James before the start of last season: "Derwin James is flat scary good. He could probably start at all 11 positions. Hes one of those freaky guys who might be better than [Jalen] Ramsey when its all said and done."

> Continue reading our 2018 NFL Mock Draft

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