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June 30, 2015

Poll: Which AFC wide receiver will score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown led all receivers in fantasy points scored last season regardless of scoring format.

While Brown led the NFL in receptions (129) and receiving yards (1,698), the most impressive thing about Brown's production over the past couple of seasons has been his consistency. Oddly enough, Brown never finished with the most fantasy points among wide receivers in any given week last year despite leading the position on the year. Over the past two seasons, however, Brown has recorded at least five receptions and 50 receiving yards in every game.

Going into the 2015 season, Brown is my top-ranked fantasy receiver. And the majority of "experts" tracked by FantasyPros, including yours truly, have Brown ranked as their WR1.

My second-ranked wideout, Denver's Demaryius Thomas, is also the guy that finished second in fantasy points among wide receivers in 2014 although he was tied with Green Bay's Jordy Nelson.

In three seasons playing with Peyton Manning, Thomas has posted the following stat lines: 94/1,434/10 (2012), 92/1,430/14 (2013) and 111/1,619/11 (2014). Even if DT doesn't duplicate last year's career numbers, he appears to be a lock for 90 catches, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns.

Among the top-eight wide receivers that I view as part of an "elite" tier, three of them play in the AFC. Along with Brown and Thomas, the third of that group is Cincinnati's A.J. Green. Green missed a few games last season, but he still finished with 69 catches for 1,041 yards and six touchdowns. In his previous two seasons, however, Green averaged 97.5 receptions, 1,388 yards and 11 touchdowns per season.

There are some other young AFC receivers on the rise, such as T.Y. Hilton and DeAndre Hopkins, but they are not yet in the same tier as Brown, Thomas and Green.

Of these AFC wide receivers, which one will score the most fantasy points in 2015 (using standard scoring)?

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 10

We are entering the final stretch of our new Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft as 10 of the 15 rounds are now complete.

Here are Round 10 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

10.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers

Although his targets (98), receptions (69) and yards (821) were down year over year, Gates finished with 12 touchdowns, the second-most of his career, and scored the third-most (PPR) fantasy points among tight ends last season. Gates finished as a weekly top-two tight end four times and top eight at the position eight times last season. While Dan shouldn't expect another top-three finish from the 35-year-old Gates, a top-10 finish is certainly within reach.

10.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Charles Sims, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The current regime inherited Doug Martin, but used a relatively early pick on the versatile Sims, who rushed for 3,465 yards in college but also added 203 receptions for 2,108 yards. It wouldn't surprise me if he led the Bucs' backfield in fantasy points this season, but he was less than impressive when healthy over the final eight games of his rookie season -- 2.8 yards per carry. And reports are that Martin has had a good offseason. With that said, Martin has struggled with durability -- 15 missed games over the past two seasons -- that Sims has upside here.

10.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Reggie Bush, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, Bush missed five games and gained a total of only 550 yards from scrimmage (50.0 per game) while averaging only 3.9 yards per carry and scoring just two touchdowns. Released by the Lions, Bush signed with the 49ers and will at least own a third-down role to unproven second-year back Carlos Hyde. And considering the offseason losses (via free agency and retirement) for the Niners, it's likely they throw the ball more often than they have in recent seasons.

10.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Overall, it was a disappointing season for Smith, who either set or tied career lows with 49 receptions for 767 yards. On a positive note, however, Smith set a career high with 11 touchdowns and he was much more productive from Week 6 to 17. During that span, Smith averaged 3.8 catches for 59.1 yards and scored 10 of his 11 touchdowns. One of the league's more dangerous vertical threats, Smith fills a void for the 49ers, but his weekly production could remain relatively volatile.

10.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

In Week 17 and their two playoff games, Adams was on the field for 91.2, 88.7 and 90.4 percent, respectively, of the team's snaps. While his numbers may not see a major spike with the Packers re-signing Randall Cobb, Adams will certainly improve upon his 38/446/3 rookie numbers and we've seen instances in which the Packers have had three productive fantasy wide receivers at the same time. In addition, Coach McCarthy dubbed Adams the "MVP" of OTAs.

10.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins

I get that there were concerns with Ajayi's knee, but it really surprised me that he slipped all the way to fifth round. Meanwhile, the Dolphins seemed fairly reluctant to give Lamar Miller a large workload (despite his level of production). The versatile Ajayi is a downhill runner with excellent size (6-0, 221) that also displayed excellent pass-catching ability with 50 receptions for 536 yards last season as well.

10.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Davis had some big games when given the opportunity as he finished as a top-eight fantasy running back four times last season. With Jamaal Charles leaving Week 2 early (only two carries) and missing Week 3, Davis had a combined 60 touches for 237 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns in those two games. In the other games, Davis averaged just 6.92 touches per game but he had double-digit touches in four of those games as well. While he may be better as a handcuff for the Charles owner, Davis has the potential to provide Dan with some highly productive weeks as his RB5.

10.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Denard Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars signed Toby Gerhart last offseason expecting him to be the team's featured back, but Gerhart was a major disappointment. Of the team's running backs, Robinson was head and shoulders above the rest in terms of effectiveness. Shoelace got a shot at the featured role in Week 7 and posted back-to-back 100-yard games while averaging 4.3 yards per carry last season, but he finished the season on IR due to a foot injury. Going into 2015, he'll be nothing more than a change-of-pace option to T.J. Yeldon, on whom the Jags used a top-36 draft pick.

10.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Chris Ivory, RB, New York Jets

Although he averaged a career-low 4.1 YPC, Ivory once again rushed for more than 800 yards and set a career high with six touchdowns. The Jets signed Stevan Ridley in free agency and traded a seventh-round pick for Zac Stacy, but Ivory should lead that trio in both workload and fantasy production although Bilal Powell will likely get most of the third-down snaps.

More productive than most probably realized, Ivory finished as a top-24 fantasy running back in PPR formats last season. As the 51st running back off the board, Ivory may not be an exciting pick, but there is some upside.

10.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints

Colston, who turned 32 in early June, finished with 59 receptions for 902 yards, both of which were the lowest of his career apart from an 11-game season in 2008. On a per-game basis, however, his 3.69 receptions, 6.25 targets and 56.38 yards per game were all career lows. One positive for Colston personally, not the offense in general, is that the team traded away both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills so his targets and production are likely to see a bump in 2015.

10.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Jordan Cameron, TE, Miami Dolphins

In 2013, Cameron had a breakout season with 80 receptions for 917 yards and seven touchdowns. When healthy, he is clearly a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. Unfortunately, Cameron missed six games last season and has a history of concussions. Perhaps no injury is more worrisome from a fantasy outlook given the greater susceptibility and unpredictability of a recurrence. If Cameron plays 16 games in 2015, however, he has top-five upside for Brendan.

10.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans

This is earlier than I'd take Mariota, but there is fantasy upside given his dual-threat abilities. We've seen quarterbacks post big fantasy weeks with relatively modest passing numbers due to elite rushing stats. I like Mariota long term, but his rookie season production could be quite volatile on a weekly basis. With back-to-back picks, Sean takes the quarterback I would have targeted at 11.01.

- Continue to Round 11 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 9 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 29, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 11 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 11 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.11 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: One of the league's most versatile backs, Forte is unlikely to come close to his record-setting receptions (102), but he's reached 1,400-plus YFS in all seven NFL seasons.

2.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Since entering the league in 2010, no player has caught more touchdown passes than Bryant's 56. Over the past three seasons, Bryant has had a minimum of 88 receptions, 1,233 yards and 12 touchdowns every year.

3.11 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his age-22 season (76/1,210/6) and continued improvement is ahead for the third-year receiver.

4.02 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde moves atop the team's depth chart. With a more consistent workload, Hyde's 4.0 YPC should improve.

5.11 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Marshall's 1,000-yard streak ended as he missed a few games last year. With better health and a change of scenery, Marshall should once again exceed 1,000 yards although he's unlikely to approach the numbers in he posted in his first two seasons with the Bears.

6.02 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton has finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in three of his four NFL seasons and posted solid per-game numbers last year.

[Poll: Which NFC South QB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?]

7.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson quietly posted strong numbers for a Week 10 foot injury prematurely ended his rookie season. With good health, Robinson is poised for a breakout season.

8.02 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: While rookie Duke Johnson has generated plenty of buzz this offseason, I still believe that Crowell will lead the team's backs in workload and production in 2015.

9.11 - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans: I considered Martellus Bennett at 6.02 and then there was a run of seven tight ends before my next pick (7.11). I'm not thrilled to start Walker, but he was my top-ranked fantasy tight end here.

10.02 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith is coming off career lows in receptions (49) and yards (767), but he set a career high in touchdowns (11). With a career 16.9 Y/R, Smith is a boom-or-bust wideout, but a solid WR5 for this team.

11.11 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Coming off per-game career lows in receptions, targets and yards, Colston should improve in all categories with the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills.

12.02 - Jerick McKinnon, RB, Minnesota Vikings: Virtually all of McKinnon's value would come from an injury to the 30-year-old Adrian Peterson, but I do like his talent and he was productive when given the opportunity last season (4.8 YPC).

13.11 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.02 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots:

15.11 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick seemed ready to break out last season, but unforunately a torn rotator cuff ended his season prematurely. If he can stay healthy, the talent is there for the breakout to come in 2015.

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 29th Update

Every Monday this offseason, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.

Biggest weekly gainers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Nick Foles, St. Louis Rams: -5.1 (166.4 on 6/22 to 161.3 on 6/29)
  2. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions: -3.5 (88.9 to 85.4)
  3. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons: -2.2 (74.8 to 72.6)

Running Backs:

  1. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons: -10.0 (101.4 to 91.4)
  2. Duke Johnson, Cleveland Browns: -7.9 (114.1 to 106.2)
  3. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings: -7.1 (161.0 to 153.9)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: -14.0 (87.5 to 73.5)
  2. Marvin Jones, Cincinnati Bengals: -7.8 (147.9 to 140.1)
  3. Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers: -7.7 (159.5 to 151.8)

Tight Ends:

  1. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles: -14.2 (109.2 to 95.0)
  2. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills: -8.1 (164.4 to 156.3)
  3. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -6.5 (163.4 to 156.9)

Biggest weekly fallers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears: +4.2 (150.8 on 6/22 to 155.0 on 6/29)
  2. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins: +2.5 (159.9 to 162.4)
  3. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +2.3 (150.1 to 152.4)

Running Backs:

  1. Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +11.1 (93.9 to 105.0)
  2. Darren McFadden, Dallas Cowboys: +4.7 (77.2 to 81.9)
  3. Bishop Sankey, Tennessee Titans: +4.6 (100.0 to 104.6)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Breshad Perriman, Baltimore Ravens: +8.5 (94.0 to 102.5)
  2. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans: +7.7 (141.3 to 149.0)
  3. Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts: +6.5 (147.7 to 154.2)

Tight Ends:

  1. Josh Hill, New Orleans Saints: +16.4 (99.7 to 116.1)
  2. Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts: +4.3 (156.2 to 160.5)
  3. Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears: +2.6 (76.2 to 78.8)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

Our 2015 fantasy football rankings:

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 9

One week ago, we started a new PPR 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft. The mock is a "slow" draft and we posting the rounds as they are complete. With that said, another round of our 15-round mock is in the books.

Here are Round 9 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

9.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Just a couple of seasons ago, Martin racked up 1,926 yards from scrimmage, 49 receptions and 12 touchdowns in 16 games as a rookie, but 2012 feels like it was a decade ago. Over the past two seasons (combined), Martin has only 1,080 YFS, 25 receptions and three touchdowns in 17 games. To complicate matters for 2015, Charles Sims, the new regime's third-round pick from last year, will be healthy to start the year.

On a positive note, The Tampa Tribune has recently described this as Martin's "best offseason in three years" and writes that "the upswing in his play could not have come at a better time" (to hold off Sims for the featured-back role).

9.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Mike Wallace, WR, Minnesota Vikings

The Dolphins certainly had some buyer's remorse after signing him to a big free-agent contract two offseasons ago and traded him to the Vikings this offseason. Wallace has three consecutive mediocre seasons of less than 1,000 yards and has averaged just 13.1, 12.7 and 12.9 Y/R over the past three seasons, respectively. Perhaps the change of scenery and Norv Turner's vertical-passing attack will help Wallace live up to his potential and exceed this draft slot (9.02) and even his ADP (7.09).

9.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Only the Jets have fewer passing yards than the 49ers over the past two seasons, yet Boldin is now two-for-two in 1,000-yard seasons with the Niners. In addition, both of his yardage totals (1,179 and 1,062, respectively) were higher than any of his previous six seasons. Boldin is unlikely to blow up for 150 yards and two touchdowns in any given week, but he provides me with consistent production as he exceeded 50 receiving yards in 12 of 16 games last season.

9.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers

Woodhead missed all but three games last season, but prior to the 2014 season, he had finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in three of his previous four seasons. In his first full season with the Chargers (2013) which also coincided with the only full NFL season for Ryan Mathews, who's now with the Eagles, Woodhead had 1,034 yards from scrimmage, 76 receptions and eight total touchdowns. If though Melvin Gordon was drafted to fill Mathews' void, Woodhead should get the majority of third-down snaps for the Bolts.

9.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots

In his first season with the Patriots, LaFell had his best NFL season, by far, as he set career highs in receptions (74), yards (953) and touchdowns (seven). As solid as LaFell's overall numbers were, there was plenty of weekly inconistency as he had four weekly top-12 finishes but he finished outside the top-36 six times. At best, he's the team's third option in the passing game behind Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman, but he's a solid option in Round 9.

9.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions

No quarterback underachieved expectations more last season than Stafford, who finished as the QB15 in 2014. Even with the free-agent signing and breakout season from Golden Tate (99/1,331/4), Stafford threw for only 4,247 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. With better health from Calvin Johnson, who missed a few games and was a decoy in others, Stafford should post better numbers in 2015.

9.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Kenny Stills, WR, Miami Dolphins

Stills set career highs with 63 receptions for a team-high 931 yards in his second season with the Saints, but he was traded to the Dolphins this offseason. One of the areas in which Ryan Tannehill has struggled is his downfield accuracy, which doesn't necessarily bode well for the speedy Stills. While I don't dislike Stills, I'd prefer to draft him closer to his ADP (12.03).

9.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

While it appears that the Cardinals remain committed to Andre Ellington in a workhorse role, Johnson is a big back (6-1, 224) with excellent receiving skills. In fact, Johnson had over 200 receiving yards in the game against Iowa last season. Coach Bruce Arians said of Johnson, "[h]e’s got good power, but his receiving ability is as close to Andre’s as anybody I’ve seen." In addition, general manager Steve Keim described him as a "three-down" back.

9.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Fitzgerald had 63 receptions for 784 yards and a career-low two touchdowns last season and his 784 yards were only four more than the career low he had as a rookie. Given the injuries to Carson Palmer and then Drew Stanton, the decline certainly wasn't solely the fault of Fitzgerald, who also missed two games. That said, Fitzgerald now has three consecutive seasons with less than 1,000 yards.

9.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Based on 2014 average draft position (ADP), Roethlisberger was one of the biggest values last season. Only four quarterbacks scored more fantasy points than Roethlisberger -- Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson and Peyton Manning. Once again, he's being overlooked as the 10th quarterback off the board, providing Sean with a nice value.

Big Ben threw for a career-high 4,952 yards, which tied Brees last season for the league lead, and 32 touchdowns, which tied a previous career high. It wouldn't surprise me if Roethlisberger posted another top-five finish in 2015.

9.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets

Decker's first year with the Jets (74/962/5) was worse than his recent seasons with the Broncos, which shouldn't be a surprise to anyone, but he still finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats. Both of Decker's 100-yard games came in the final three weeks of the season including a massive 10/221/1 line against the Dolphins in Week 17. Given the team's quarterback situation, Decker's upside is capped, but the addition of Marshall as a true No. 1 wide receiver could actually help (take the attention off) Decker.

9.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

As Brady faces a four-game suspension for the DeflateGate scandal, it's unclear whether -- and by how much -- his suspension will be reduced. There has been speculation that he would take it to court if his suspension isn't completely overturned.

Looking back at last season, Brady had a rough four-game start as he averaged just 197.75 Y/G with only four total touchdowns during that span. From Week 5 on, however, things clicked as only Peyton Manning (31) threw more touchdowns than Brady (29) over that stretch. With good health once again for Rob Gronkowski, Brady could post top-five production on a per-game basis in 2015.

And if Brady's suspension is overturned or even reduced to two games (or less), this would represent a tremendous value.

- Continue to Round 10 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Poll: Which NFC South QB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Based on 2015 Fantasy Football ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator, the first four quarterbacks off the board in standard 12-team mock drafts are Andrew Luck (2.04), Aaron Rodgers (2.06), Peyton Manning (4.01) and then Russell Wilson (4.10).

After the first four quarterbacks, however, three of the next four all play their football in the NFC South.

Leading one of the NFL's most prolific passing offenses ever, Saints quarterback Drew Brees has half of the 5,000-yard seasons in NFL history. And while his streak of three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons ended last year, he still led the NFL with 4,952 passing yards (tied with Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger). Not only has Brees thrown for 4,388-plus yards in nine consecutive seasons, but he has at least 33 passing touchdowns in six straight as well.

For the first time in the past nine seasons, however, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) and the team traded two of their best pass-catchers (Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills) this offseason. Brees led the league in pass attempts (659) last season and has at least 650 pass attempts in five straight years, but it appears that the Saints will be more committed to their rushing attack going forward.

Meanwhile, Carolina's Cam Newton had a disappointing season as he missed two games and seemed at less than 100 percent for most of the year. Even so, Newton finished seventh among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game last year. And before last season, Newton finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in each of his first three seasons.

In four NFL seasons, Newton has thrown for 3,000-plus yards while also rushing for 500-plus every year. The only other quarterback in NFL history to do that more than twice is Randall Cunningham (three times).

While Brees and Newton have almost always finished as top-five fantasy quarterbacks in their careers, Atlanta's Matt Ryan has yet to do so. Ryan has finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in four of the past five seasons, however.

Ryan has been consistent with 4,500-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and actually has the third-most during that span behind Brees and Manning. In addition, Ryan has the most talented wide receiver (Julio Jones) in the division as his primary target. Will this be the year that Ryan posts his first-ever top-five season?

[With Jameis Winston being a rookie in a division with three talented quarterbacks, I left him out of the poll. But in future seasons, he'll certainly challenge to be the division's top fantasy quarterback.]

Which NFC South QB do you expect to score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Related:

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June 28, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 Pick, 2-QB League

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 7 pick, PPR scoring, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QBs, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.07 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Averaging more than five touches per game less in 2014, Charles still finished with the seventh-most fantasy points among running backs last season. With good health in 2015, Charles should see a bump in touches.

2.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas has yet to sign his franchise tag, but he has more than 90 catches, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns in all three seasons with Peyton Manning. In addition, he's coming off a career season (111/1,619/11).

3.07 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Off to a slow start in a new offense last year, Eli finished as a top-five weekly fantasy QB in half of his final 10 games. With better health from his receivers and more comfort within the offensive scheme, Manning should build upon last year's strong finish.

4.06 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his second season and should continue to improve in Year 3 although the less-than-ideal quarterback situation limits that upside some.

5.07 - C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orlans Saints: Dangerous in space, Spiller should be utilized more favorably than he was over the past two seasons in Buffalo. Moreover, Spiller should easily set a new career high in receptions with the Saints.

6.06 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick had a disappointing season and the 49ers have seen plenty of change this offseason, but he's a high-upside QB2 given his dual-threat abilities. Kaepernick actually set career highs with 105 rush attempts and 639 rushing yards, but he scored just one rushing touchdown in 2014. Meanwhile, the 49ers should find themselves trailing more often and put into situations where Kaepernick will need to throw.

7.07 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Olsen has 800-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and exceeded 1,000 yards for the first time in his career last season. Over that three-year span, Olsen ranks second in yards and third in receptions among tight ends.

8.06 - Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams: One of the most talented backs to enter the league in years, Gurley is rehabbing from his torn ACL and the Rams will be careful with the 10th-overall pick.

9.07 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Expected to handle the largest share of the backfield's touches, Randle gets to run behind one of the league's best offensive lines and averaged 6.73 YPC in limited action (51 carries) last season. He's a high-upside RB4 for this team.

10.06 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith set a career low in yards (767) last season although he set a career high in touchdowns (11). He's a boom-or-bust WR3 for this team.

11.07 - Nick Foles, QB, St. Louis Rams: Foles provides me with a bye-week replacement and some insurance at quarterback.

12.06 - David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans: It wouldn't surprise if Cobb emerges as the team's lead back (over Bishop Sankey) at some point this season.

13.07 - Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins: Garcon's league-leading 113 receptions in 2013 were nearly cut in half to 68 last season. While there's no chance that he approaches 113 again, he should be more involved in the passing attack this season.

14.06 - Percy Harvin, WR, Buffalo Bills: Harvin's a versatile and dynamic playmaker, but he's no better than third among the team's weapons in a run-first offense with a poor quarterback situation. That said, he provides some receiver depth.

15.07 - New England Patriots D/ST

16.06 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle had 71 receptions for 938 yards, both of which were career highs, and three touchdowns last season. Although he's third among the team's receivers behind Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz, Randle is just 24 years old and Eli has said that he expects a breakout season from Randle.

17.07 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 8

Earlier today, we posted Round 7 of our new Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft and now another round is complete and posted.

Here are Round 8 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

8.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Replacing LeSean McCoy with DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews means that Sproles goes from second in line for touches to third. Recently described by Chip Kelly as a "Swiss army knife," Sproles may have the occasional productive game, but I personally wouldn't reach for the 32-year-old back a couple of rounds earlier than his current PPR ADP (10.03) as Dan did here.

8.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Julius Thomas, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars

Slowed by injuries, Thomas followed up a breakout 2013 season with only 43 catches for 489 yards, but he once again scored 12 touchdowns. Signing a massive free-agent deal with the Jaguars, Thomas is unlikely to approach that red-zone success again this year. Aside from the Browns (12), no other team threw fewer touchdowns than the Jaguars (15) last season, but he represents a fair value as he's going roughly a round earlier (7.04) in drafts this offseason.

8.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans

One year after his 94/1,079/2 breakout season in 2013, Wright's production dropped year over year to 57/715/6 although the issues at quarterback were at least partly to blame. And even though the Titans lost 14 games including nine of them by double digits, Wright saw 10 targets in only one game last season. While second-overall pick Marcus Mariota appeared to exceed expectations during OTAs, the ups and downs of an offense led by a rookie quarterback could mean that Wright doesn't have a bounce-back season in 2015. Given that uncertainty, I wouldn't select Wright more than three rounds earlier than his ADP (11.08) as Sean did.

8.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

During the draft process last year, Freeman drew some comparisons to Frank Gore. Meanwhile, new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan said that he "loved" Freeman when evaluating him last year. Averaging just 3.8 yards per carry as a rookie, Freeman had eight or fewer carries in all but one game, but he also finished with 30 receptions. Freeman played on just 21.5 percent of Atlanta's offensive snaps last season, but he should see a huge bump in snaps, touches and production in 2015 even though the Falcons drafted Tevin Coleman.

8.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

Ertz saw a year-over-year jump from 36 catches and 469 yards as a rookie to 58 catches for 702 yards, 11th-most among tight ends last season. The Eagles used their first-round pick on Nelson Agholor to replace Jeremy Maclin, but Ertz could become more involved in the passing game in 2015.

8.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans

Last year's first running back selected, Bishop Sankey, was a disappointment for the Titans. With that said, it's certainly possible that Cobb, the team's fifth-round pick this year, could lead the team's backfield in touches as early as his rookie season. Coach Ken Whisenhunt described Cobb as a potential three-down back.

8.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Coming off a disappointing season, White still averaged a respectable 5.71 catches and 65.79 yards per game with seven touchdowns last year. Had he not missed two games, he was on a 16-game pace of 91/1,053/8. With White turning 34 in November and Julio Jones now the clear-cut No. 1 wideout on the team, there may not be too much upside above last season's per-game averages, but he's a solid value here.

8.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Percy Harvin, WR, Buffalo Bills

Following his former head coach to Buffalo this offseason, Harvin is a dynamic playmaker in the open field. In 13 games with the Seahawks and Jets last season, Harvin had a total of 51 receptions for 483 yards, 33 carries for 202 yards and three total touchdowns. The drawback with Harvin is that he's the third option, at best, in an offense with subpar quarterback play.

8.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers

Two seasons ago, the oft-injured Mathews played a full 16-game season and rushed for a career-high 1,255 yards. Playing only six games last season and gaining a yard shy of 400 yards from scrimmage, Mathews has now missed multiple games in four of his five NFL seasons. Although Mathews will be (at least) second in line for touches behind DeMarco Murray, the Eagles play at such a fast pace and Murray has his own durability concerns -- especially following a 497-touch season -- that I would not be surprised if Mathews reached 200 carries if (a big if) he can stay healthy.

8.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots

As we've seen from Blount in the postseason, he can go from one yard on three carries (vs. BAL) one week to 30 carries for 148 yards and three touchdowns (vs. IND) the next week. Blount's carries in his final six games through the Super Bowl were as follows: 20, eight, 10, three, 30 and 14. With some changes to the team's backfield this offseason, I think his weekly production will be smoothed out some but still a bit volatile. With that said, Blount is more than a two-round discount here from his current ADP (6.07). Plus, Blount is this team's RB4 and not needed on a weekly basis.

8.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions

At only 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, Abdullah may lack the ideal size to be a bellcow back and he's had some ball-security issues (13 career fumbles) in his collegiate career at Nebraska. That said, Abdullah was highly productive at Nebraska with three consecutive 1,100-yard seasons including back-to-back 1,600-yard campaigns. Among running backs at the 2015 NFL Scouting Combine, Abdullah finished first in the vertical jump (42.5 inches), broad jump (10-10), 3-cone drill (6.79) and 20-yard shuttle (3.95).

Although I expect Joique Bell to still lead the team's backs in workload and fantasy production in 2015, Abdullah will likely see his role within the offense expand over the course of the season. And it's certainly not out of the question that he emerges as the team's lead back by the team the season is up given Bell's relatively weak production on a per-carry basis over the past two seasons (less than 4.0 YPC each season).

8.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins

With the exception of Jarvis Landry, all of Miami's top pass-catchers are newcomers including first-round rookie DeVante Parker. The 6-foot-3 Parker missed the first seven games of the season with a foot injury, but he closed the season with 43 catches for 855 yards and five touchdowns in just six games. Parker gives the Dolphins someone who can develop into a true No. 1 wideout long term, but unfortunately he recently underwent another surgery on the same foot and may miss most/all of training camp.

It's normally a difficult transition for college receivers into the NFL and the lack of reps certainly dampens his re-draft outlook. For me, this is too early for Parker in re-draft formats and more than two rounds earlier than his current ADP (11.06).

- Continue to Round 9 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft


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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 7

Nearly a week into the new PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft that we started on Monday, we are roughly halfway through the 15-round mock.

Here are Round 7 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

7.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Bishop Sankey, RB, Tennessee Titans

Like Sean's previous pick at the turn, I think this is a bit early as well. Sean is a Titans' fan so I can imagine the source of motivation for taking Sankey quite a bit earlier than his ADP (9.09), but I'm certainly not sold on him. It was a disappointing season for Sankey -- and the Titans offense in general -- as he averaged just 3.7 yards per carry as a rookie. It wouldn't surprise me at all if rookie David Cobb leads the Titans' backfield in fantasy production in 2015.

7.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

After three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons, Brees fell just shy of that mark in 2014 but still finished with a league-high 4,952 yards and threw 33 touchdowns, which ties a seven-year low. For the first time since signing with the Saints in 2006, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) in 2014. Brees has thrown at least 650 pass attempts in five consecutive seasons and led the league in pass attempts per game (41.2) last season, but a transition to a more run-based offense has begun in earnest with both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills traded in the offseason.

7.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The good news is that V-Jax eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark for the fourth consecutive season and sixth time in the past seven years -- the exception was his holdout-shortened 2010 season. The bad news is that Jackson had just two touchdowns, the lowest of his career since his three-catch rookie season (2005). That said, he should at least be able to produce at his draft slot of WR32 in this mock.

7.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Inactive for the first six games, Bryant went on a scoring spree in his first four NFL games with a total of six touchdowns during that span. After that point, Bryant had just 12 catches for 239 yards and two touchdowns in the final six games of the season. Although Bryant could reach double-digit scores in 2015 and should start ahead of Markus Wheaton in two-WR sets, there will likely be some week-to-week inconsistency from Bryant as well, but he certainly has plenty of upside heading into his second season.

7.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Ryan has more than 4,500 passing yards in three consecutive seasons with the third-most (13,928) over that span behind only Brees (15,291) and Peyton Manning (14,863). In addition, Ryan has 26-plus touchdowns in five consecutive seasons and the sixth-most (143) during that span.

Over his past five seasons, Ryan has finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in four of them, which makes him a solid mid-QB1 option to target. That said, he has yet to finish as a top-six fantasy quarterback ever in his career -- and is the sixth fantasy QB off the board in this mock.

7.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Tre Mason, RB, St. Louis Rams

One year after Zac Stacy got a huge workload down the stretch, Mason, the team's third-round pick in 2014, emerged as the team's lead back over the second half of the season. Mason didn't get his first carry until Week 6, but he averaged 18.11 touches per game from Week 9 on. Unfortunately for Mason and his fantasy owners, the team used the 10th-overall pick on stud running back Todd Gurley. Mason may have a few games early this season as the featured back while Gurley rehabs from his ACL injury, but once Gurley is fully healthy, it's his job.

7.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

Dealing with multiple injuries and missing two games, it was a down year for Newton who appeared to be less than 100 percent when he was on the field. That said, Newton has now exceeded 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons. Over those four seasons, he has averaged 3,606 passing yards and 20 passing touchdowns per season as well as 643 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. And despite the down year, Newton finished seventh in fantasy points per game (17.78) among QBs.

7.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Possessing an impressive combination of size (6-2, 215) and athleticism (sub-4.4 forty), Johnson was reunited with Norv Turner in Minnesota after being released by the receiver-deficient Browns last offseason. In the final six games of the season, Johnson was on the field for all but 19 of the team's offensive snaps. And over his final seven games, Johnson posted 25 receptions for 415 yards and two touchdowns. With a full offseason and the continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, things should only be better for Johnson in 2015 and beyond.

7.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Over his past three seasons, Romo's pass attempts have dropped from 648 (2012) to 535 (2013) to 435 (2014). Despite the drop in volume, Romo threw 34 touchdowns, the most for him since 2007, with only nine interceptions, a four-year low. In addition, Romo led the league in Y/A (8.5), completion percentage (69.9), touchdown percentage (7.8) and passer rating (113.2) last year.

Assuming the team stays committed to the run game without DeMarco Murray, who signed a free-agent deal with the Eagles, Romo's upside could be somewhat limited if he throws in that 450-attempt range again this year. Despite his career year in efficiency, Romo finished just outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks last season.

7.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Duke Johnson, RB, Cleveland Browns

Johnson has generated plenty of buzz throughout offseason workouts and Sean once again lands Johnson after selecting him in our standard-scoring mock draft following the 2015 NFL Draft. The all-time rushing leader at The U., Johnson's production is especially impressive considering the school's alumni of talented backs (Frank Gore, Edgerrin James, Clinton Portis, etc.). While I like Johnson's skill set and his longer-term outlook, my only concern with Johnson is the potential for week-to-week variance in touches that we've seen with the Browns' backs last season.

7.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns

On a positive note, the coaching staff wants to lean on the rushing attack and the Browns have one of the better run-blocking offensive lines. On a less positive note (as noted with the previous pick), the coaching staff's allocation of carries was unpredictable on a weekly basis as the guy with the "best practice" during the week got the most carries. Ultimately, I still expect Crowell to be the most productive Browns running back in 2015.

7.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Victor Cruz, WR, New York Giants

With his season cut short after six games due to a torn patellar tendon, Cruz averaged just 56.2 yards per game, a four-year low, with only one touchdown. It appears that his rehab is going well as coach Tom Coughlin does not expect Cruz to start on the PUP list when training camp opens next month. That said, there is still significant separation between Cruz and and the team's new No. 1 wide receiver, Odell Beckham.

- Continue to Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 9 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 16 teams, No. 9 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.09 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: It's unlikely that Forte approaches the positional single-season receptions record (102) he set last year with the team's coaching change, but he has 1,400-plus yards from scrimmage in each of his seven of his NFL seasons. He should see a bump in carries, though, as the coaching staff tries to limit Jay Cutler's turnovers.

2.08 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of year rookie receivers to reach the 1,000-yard milestone last season, Evans also scored 12 touchdowns as one of the league's best red-zone weapons.

3.09 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: Generated lots of positive buzz once again in the offseason, Cooks enters his second season as the team's top weapon on one of the league's most explosive passing offensives with Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills traded in the offseason.

4.08 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Limited in the first half of the season, Kelce still posted a 67/862/5 stat line last year. At full health in 2015, the sky is the limit for Kelce.

5.09 - LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots: In hindsight, I wish I had taken my second running back before this point, but Blount is clearly the team's lead back and should have some multi-touchdown games in New England's high-powered offense.

6.08 - Eli Manning, QB, New England Patriots: Following a slow start, Eli finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games and closed the year as a top-10 fantasy quarterback. With more comfort with the offense and healthier/additional options in the passing attack, Manning could post better numbers in 2015.

7.09 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Durability is a concern for Mathews, but he has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt. Given DeMarco Murray's high volume of touches (497) last season, Mathews may have a few opportunities to carry the load in Philadelphia.

8.08 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Johnson emerged last season in the second half and should build upon last year's breakout with continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater.

9.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Despite playing in one of the league's weakest passing attacks, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in San Fran.

10.08 - Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Minnesota Vikings: Bridgewater closed the season strong with a completion rate of 68.0-plus percent in his final five games. With Adrian Peterson back to keep defenses honest, Bridgewater gives me a strong backup. With 30 QBs selected in this mock, there would not have been many options on the waiver wire, if necessary.

11.09 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick was off to a solid start before a shoulder injury ended his season prematurely. Depending on his health, perhaps 2015 turns out to be the breakout season it appeared he was about to have in 2014.

12.08 - Cody Latimer, WR, Denver Broncos: With Julius Thomas and Wes Welker no longer in Denver, Latimer will have many more opportunities as the team's No. 3 wide receiver.

13.09 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.08 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Sadly, Powell is the best running back option available this late in this mock.

15.09 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions:

- View full mock draft results here

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June 27, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 6

Continuing the new PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft that we began on Monday, another round is complete and posted.

Here are Round 6 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

6.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders

Loaded with potential and upside, Murray is a physical freak that runs a sub-4.4 forty at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds. Finally getting a chance to showcase what he could do down the stretch last season, Murray gained 478 yards from scrimmage over his final five games on a total of 83 touches (72 carries and 11 receptions). With Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew out and Trent Richardson and Roy Helu in, Murray should be given every opportunity to be the team's lead back in 2015.

6.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos

The good news is that Manning has passed for 4,954 yards and 44 touchdowns per season over his three seasons in Denver. That said, Manning's most recent football was less inspiring -- 233.8 yards per game with five TDs and six INTs over his final five games. A thigh injury was at least partly to blame for his drop in production, but there are other concerns going into 2015: (1) offensive line losses (injury and free agency), (2) now 39 years old and (3) more of a balanced offense expected under Kubiak.

Given all of those things, Manning is still my fourth-ranked quarterback going into 2015 behind Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson and he has an average draft position of two rounds earlier than this.

6.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Based on the composition of Sean's team through this point, Randle could be a key determinant to its success. Sean has perhaps the strongest receiving corps within the league as he used his first three picks on receivers -- Odell Beckham, Calvin Johnson and Jordan Matthews -- and a top-four tight end -- Greg Olsen. That means that he goes into the season with Carlos Hyde and Randle drafted as his top-two running backs.

We've seen how productive DeMarco Murray could be behind the Cowboys dominant offensive line with a high volume of work. Randle won't approach Murray's workload, obviously, and he's not nearly as talented as Murray, but he was productive on a per-touch basis (6.73 YPC) last year. I expect him to lead the backfield in touches and production even if it's a timeshare with McFadden and his high-upside nature lends well to Sean's strategy with this team's roster.

6.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants

Dealing with multiple injuries, Jennings played in just 11 games in his first season with the Giants. Second-year back Andre Williams will steal some goal-line opportunities and Shane Vereen will steal some of his passing-down work, which limits the weekly upside of the soon-to-be 30-year-old Jennings. On a positive note, the Giants used the ninth-overall pick on Ereck Flowers, one of the best run-blocking offensive linemen in this year's draft class. Only the Cardinals (3.3) and Chargers (3.4) averaged fewer YPC than the Giants (3.6) last season.

6.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants

Vereen is one of the league's better receiving backs and he set career highs last year with 52 catches for 447 yards. In fact, Vereen has a total of 99 receptions in 24 games over the past two seasons and has the potential to approach 70 receptions in 2015.

6.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

One of two second-round receivers selected by the Jaguars last season, A-Rob's season was cut short by a season-ending foot injury in Week 10, but he was quietly off to a strong rookie season. From Weeks 2 to 10, Robinson averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game. During that nine-game span, Robinson had a minimum of four receptions every game and more than 50 receiving yards in seven of nine games.

Especially if Blake Bortles takes a step forward going into his second season, Robinson could make a substantial leap forward in Year 2 with Cecil Shorts in Houston and Justin Blackmon unlikely to see the field this year.

6.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Since entering the league as a top-four pick, McFadden has largely disappointed fantasy owners due to durability issues and/or a lack of production. Back in 2010 and 2011, he gave owners a glimpse of what could be with an average of 121.6 YFS per game and 5.27 YPC over 20 games played. For the first six seasons of his career, he missed at least three games every season and averaged only 11.17 per season before finally playing a full 16-game season in 2014. Over his past three seasons, however, he has averaged just 3.34 YPC.

Only 27 (turns 28 in August), McFadden has plenty of upside if he can stay healthy and get a sizable workload behind the Cowboys dominant offensive line although Randle appears to be the early favorite to lead the backfield's committee in touches.

6.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

The biggest home run threat among rookie backs, Coleman rushed for 2,036 yards on his 270 carries last season with four 200-yard games and eight 60-yard runs, most in both categories. Clearly, that won't be repeated at the NFL level, but it clearly illustrates his big-play ability as he joins one of the league's better offenses.

Beat writer D. Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution gives Coleman the slight edge (1A to 1B) over Devonta Freeman in his early projected depth chart. That said, it has been Freeman in that role during the offseason workouts.

6.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington Redskins

Despite the revolving door at quarterback, Jackson was one of the few bright spots for Washington's offense in 2014. In his first season with Washington, D-Jax finished with 56 catches for 1,169 yards and six touchdowns and he led the NFL in yards per reception (20.9). While he's better in standard-scoring formats (WR16 last year), he still finished as a top-24 receiver in PPR formats in 2014.

The biggest drawback of owning Jackson, however, is his boom-or-bust nature. Based on PPR scoring, Jackson finished as a weekly top-20 fantasy wide receiver in eight of 15 games. In his other seven games, he finished as the WR50 or worse six times.

6.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Martellus Bennett, TE, Chicago Bears

Bennett set career highs across the board in 2014 with 90 receptions, 916 yards and six touchdowns. Finishing as a top-five scorer among tight ends, Bennett led the position in receptions and his 916 yards ranked third behind Gronkowski and Olsen. With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets, Bennett has the potential to post even better numbers this season.

6.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Landing in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense bodes well for Agholor's short- and long-term fantasy outlook. While the Eagles lost Jeremy Maclin (6-0, 198, 4.48 forty) in free agency, Agholor (6-0, 198, 4.42 forty) has earned comparisons to the departed receiver. An excellent route runner, Agholor has the ability to play both inside and outside, is one of the most pro-ready receivers in this year's rookie crop and finished with a 104/1,313/12 stat line last year for USC.

6.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncos

In general, I like the idea of drafting Ball late. But much later than this, however. I'm not sure why Sean was willing to take him so early especially given that his ADP (via FFC) of 12.01 is nearly twice this spot. If he wanted to make sure that he got Ball, he likely could have waited two more turns back at picks 10.12/11.01. This is definitely a head-scratcher.

- Continue to Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 24, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick, Super Flex

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 4 pick, PPR scoring, Super Flex
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and QB-eligible Flex (QB, RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.04 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Charles has averaged 5.0-plus yards per carry in all seven of his NFL seasons, but he disappointed fantasy owners with his RB7 finish last year as he saw his touches drop from 21.93/G in 2013 to 16.4/G last year. Charles should see more touches in 2015.

2.09 - Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Posting career numbers virtually across the board, Roethlisberger finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback last year. With all 11 offensive starters returning including two of the league's most talented skill players (Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell), Big Ben has a chance for another top-five finish in 2015.

3.04 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: With QBs eligible at flex, this league/mock is a de facto 2-QB league. Eli started last season slowly in the team's new offensive scheme, but he finished strong with five weekly top-five performances in the final 10 weeks of the season to finish 2014 as the QB10.

4.09 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: One of the league's most dynamic weapons, Cooks was off to a good start in his rookie season before it ended prematurely. Like last year, Cooks has generated plenty of buzz in offseason workouts and has real breakout potential with Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills no longer on the roster.

5.04 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Miller had more than 15 carries in only four games last season yet he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks and as the RB9 on the year. Even though the team drafted Jay Ajayi, Miller should see roughly the same number of touches this year as he had last season (15.88/G).

6.09 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Limited in the first half of the 2014 season, Kelce still finished as the TE6 in PPR formats. With no health/snap restrictions, the sky's the limit for Kelce in 2015.

7.04 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: 2014 was a year to forget for the Bears and Marshall, who saw his 1,000-yard streak end. With good health, Marshall should once again exceed 1,000 yards in 2015 even if the Jets have the fewest passing yards over the past two seasons.

8.09 - Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants: In the past two seasons, Vereen has a total of 99 receptions in 24 games.

9.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: One of my favorite wide receiver targets, Robinson is poised for a breakout after quietly posting strong rookie numbers. His season was cut short by a Week 10 foot injury, but he averaged 5.22 catches for 60.89 yards from Weeks 2 to 10.

10.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the 49ers have the second-fewest passing yards since 2013, Boldin has exceeded 1,000 yards in both of his seasons with the Niners. Especially in PPR formats, I still expect him to outproduce his new (and former) teammate Torrey Smith.

11.04 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Emerging in the second half last season, Johnson should build upon last year's second-half success especially with the continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Either way, he has plenty of upside as my WR5.

12.09 - Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncos: Drafted in the first two rounds last season, Ball was one of fantasy's biggest disappointments. With C.J. Anderson having a firm grip on the featured-back role (at least entering the season), Ball has a much cheaper draft-day cost in 2015 but some upside as well.

13.04 - St. Louis Rams D/ST

14.09 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: It was poor planning on my part, but both Roethlisberger and Manning share the same bye (Week 11). On a positive note, the fact that it's the last possible bye week and that Tennessee faces Jacksonville in Week 11, Mariota has some upside as a bye-week fill-in that week.

15.04 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers:

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 5

Continuing the new 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft we started on Monday, we have completed another round.

Here are Round 5 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

5.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills

The fourth overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft, Watkins finished his rookie campaign with 65 receptions for 982 yards and six touchdowns. While Watkins had four 100-yard games including a career-high 157 yards against his new head coach's former team, he also had nine games with 35 receiving yards or less. In a run-first offense with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation, there will still be plenty of weekly inconsistency from Watkins even though his overall numbers should improve on a year-over-year basis.

With only one running back on this roster so far (Le'Veon Bell, 1.01), I would have added an RB2 over Watkins (Sean's WR3) here as there are a few running backs on the board that I really like. And as great as Bell is (and will be) for this team, he stands to miss the first three games of the season.

5.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Selected with a top-36 pick in this year's draft, Yeldon has excellent size (6-1, 225) and immediately goes to the front of the line in terms of the team's backfield depth chart. In fact, general manager David Caldwell said that he sees Yeldon as "a three-down back." Playing in an offense that ranked in the bottom two in both scoring and total offense last year could limit Yeldon's fantasy upside as a rookie, though.

5.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

Finishing as a top-three fantasy quarterback in 2014, Wilson rushed for 849 yards and six touchdowns, both of which were career highs, and netted fantasy owners an average of 7.56 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone. While he won't post gaudy passing statistics in Seattle's run-dominant offense, Wilson is the first quarterback in league history to throw 20-plus touchdowns with 10 or fewer interceptions in each of his first three NFL seasons, per Pro Football Reference.

Wilson's volume of pass attempts may not jump a ton in 2015, but the Seahawks pulled off a blockbuster trade for tight end Jimmy Graham, which significantly boosts the team's weapons in the passing game and especially in the red zone.

5.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce played only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps from Weeks 1 to 10, but that percentage jumped to 86.7 percent from Weeks 11 to 17. Despite his snap-count limits during the first half of the season, Kelce still finished with 67 receptions, 862 yards and five touchdowns and the sixth-most fantasy points in PPR formats among tight ends last season. With good health, the sky is the limit for Kelce in 2015.

5.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders

No rookie receiver is more pro-ready than Cooper, the first Biletnikoff winner in Alabama history. Cooper racked up 124 receptions for 1,727 yards and 16 touchdowns last season and should become Derek Carr's go-to receiver immediately and the Raiders ranked fourth in the league in pass attempts per game (39.3) in 2014.

5.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Opening (5/119) and closing (8/153/2) the season with a bang, Floyd had zero, one or two receptions in eight games last season and finished with a 47/841/6 line after his breakout second season (66/1,054/5). Given the team's quarterback injuries, however, it's no surprise that we didn't see Floyd take another step forward in 2014.

While there is some bounce-back appeal with Floyd, Dan is apparently much higher on Floyd than I am. Floyd's current ADP (via FFC) stands at 8.03 and I think Round 8 would be a fair spot for Floyd.

5.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Alfred Morris, RB, Washington Redskins

Not much of a receiver, Morris is a decent value as the 23rd running back off the board. On average, he's going a round earlier than this in PPR mocks (ADP: 4.04, RB18). Morris averaged a career-low 4.1 YPC last season, but he rushed 265 times for 1,074, also career lows, and eight touchdowns.

Despite the shaky quarterback situation, Alf should benefit on a per-carry basis if RG3 is back as the starter with his athleticism putting additional strain on run defenses. Washington's offensive line struggled last year, but the team used the fifth-overall pick on Brandon Scherff and the addition of Bill Callahan to the coaching staff is certainly a positive for the team's offensive line play and rushing attack overall.

5.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers

I really like how this team is shaping up for Brendan. Through five rounds, he has Andrew Luck at quarterback, Dez Bryant and Emmanuel Sanders at receiver and Marshawn Lynch and Stewart at running back.

Over the final five games of the season, Stewart, who recently turned 28, rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) and only DeMarco Murray (491) had more rushing yards during that span. With DeAngelo Williams now in Pittsburgh, it appears that the team finally recognizes that The Daily Show gives their offense the best opportunity for success.

5.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Kevin White, WR, Chicago Bears

From a dynasty standpoint, I'm a huge fan of White, who possesses a special combination of size (6-3, 215), speed (4.35 forty) and strength. During the draft process, NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah compared White to Atlanta's Julio Jones.

That said, I'm not sure what to make of his 2015 re-draft impact. I do expect White to start early in his career, likely Week 1, but he's no better than fourth in line for targets/touches behind Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett. And based on reports from OTAs, it's possible that even Eddie Royal gets more targets than White.

5.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers

Posting career highs of 84 catches for 1,008 yards last season, Olsen now has at least 69 receptions and 816 yards while finishing as a top-seven fantasy tight end in each of the past three seasons. Over that three-year span, Graham (3,086) is the only tight end with more yards than Olsen (2,667) and only Graham (256) and Jason Witten (247) have more receptions than Olsen (226). Olsen has never had more than eight touchdowns in any season of his career, but he has at least five scores for seven consecutive seasons. In addition, Olsen is extremely durable having played all 16 games in seven consecutive seasons.

5.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orleans Saints

His free-agent landing spot may not maximize his opportunities for carries, but Spiller is certainly more attractive in PPR formats (like this mock). I have faith in Sean Payton's ability to utilize Spiller correctly (or at least much better than Doug Marrone had) to maximize his production on a per-touch basis and many of the receptions that went to Pierre Thomas and Travaris Cadet last season could find their way to Spiller.

5.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

After sitting out all of 2013 with a torn ACL, Maclin returned to the Eagles on a one-year deal and posted a career-best season (85/1,318/10) in Chip Kelly's offense. He then parlayed that success into a five-year deal to reunite with his former coach Andy Reid. Few players, if any, have seen their fantasy stock drop more in free agency than Maclin, however, as he transitions to an offense with a quarterback incapable and/or unwilling to challenge opposing defenses down the field. As the 28th receiver off the board, however, this is a fair spot for him.

- Continue to Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Poll: Which QB will score more fantasy points in 2015 - Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck?

In any fantasy football (mock) draft this season, the first quarterback to be selected will almost always be either Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck.

Based on ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator, Luck (2.04) and Rodgers (2.07) are both second-round picks, on average, and then the next three quarterbacks are being selected in the fourth or fifth round: Peyton Manning (4.01), Russell Wilson (4.10) and Drew Brees (5.05).

Based on my 2015 Fantasy Football Rankings, I have Rodgers ranked (slightly) ahead of Luck.

Here's what I wrote in my fantasy rankings on the two quarterbacks:

Rodgers: The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, Rodgers was also the top-scoring fantasy quarterback as well. Since becoming Green Bay's starting quarterback seven years ago, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in six of seven seasons with the lone exception due to injury (broken clavicle, 2013). Over the past four seasons, Rodgers has compiled a combined 139:25 TD-to-INT ratio with an average of 8.5 yards per attempt, 112.6 passer rating and 67.0 completion percentage.

Luck: Throwing for 4,761 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, both of which were career highs, Luck's 40 TDs last season nearly equalled his total from his first two seasons combined (46 TDs). During the season, Luck had the second-longest streak of 300-yard games (eight) in NFL history. Like with Rodgers, Luck gets a boost from his mobility and he has rushed 62-64 times in all three seasons with at least 255 yards each year and a total of 12 touchdowns.

Both signal-callers have talented players around them -- Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams and Eddie Lacy in Green Bay and T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson, Frank Gore, Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener in Indianapolis, among others.

Both are tremendous options, but which of these two stud QBs will score more fantasy points in 2015?

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 4

On Monday, four of our contributors began a new 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft.

With this being a "slow" mock draft, we are posting picks/rounds as they are complete and Round 4 is now complete and posted.

Here are Round 4 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

4.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints

Durability has been a concern for Ingram with three or more missed games in three of his four NFL seasons. When he was on the field, however, Ingram averaged a career-high 17.4 rush attempts and 74.2 rushing yards per game while scoring nine times in 13 games. By trading two of their top pass-catchers and adding reinforcements to their offensive line, the transition to more of a run-game commitment should begin in earnest this season.

4.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins coaching staff seemed reluctant to give Miller as much work as his fantasy owners would have liked, but Miller was highly productive on a per-touch basis (5.09 YPC, 7.24 Y/R). With more than 15 carries in only four games last season, Miller still managed to post his first-ever 1,000-yard season (1,099 rushing yards). In addition, Miller was very consistent throughout the season as he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks.

With the Phins selecting Jay Ajayi in this year's draft, Miller's upside is perhaps capped as Ajayi has the skill set of a three-down back. That said, Miller averaged only 15.88 touches per game last season and it's difficult for me to imagine him averaging less than that in 2015.

4.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers

With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde projects atop the 49ers depth chart at running back although they signed Reggie Bush in free agency and drafted Mike Davis as well. Behind Gore last year, Hyde had just 83 carries for 333 yards and four touchdowns as a rookie.

Not only will his workload expand significantly, but I expect his effectiveness on a per-carry basis to increase from last year's 4.0 yards-per-carry average. On a positive note, Hyde has shed some weight and is now in the "mid 220-pound range," which should improve his elusiveness yet still allow him to flourish near the goal line.

4.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Better suited for his return to a change-of-pace role, Bernard should still have the opportunity to be productive as an RB2 in PPR leagues this year although he's Sean's RB1. As beat writer Paul Dehner Jr. noted earlier this offseason, "... once settling into a complementary role the final three weeks, [Bernard] returned to the explosive, multi-dimensional player the Bengals team envisioned."

Without a doubt, Jeremy Hill is poised for a monster season as the team's featured back. But in the final three games where Hill carried the ball at least 22 times for 100-plus yards, Bernard finished as a weekly top-12 running back in PPR scoring in each of those three games.

4.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos

In his first season with the Broncos, Sanders blew his previous career highs out of the water. With previous career highs set in 2013 of 67/740/6, Sanders finished with 101 receptions for 1,404 yards and nine touchdowns. While the Broncos offense should be more run-pass balanced than last year, Sanders is a solid WR2 for Brendan.

4.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams

Arguably the best running back prospect since Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, Gurley ended the drought of first-round running backs and possesses all of the physical tools to be a dominant RB1-type back for years to come. With his combination of size and speed, Gurley has the ability to run over and/or outrun opposing tacklers. Still only 20 years old (turns 21 in August), Gurley's rehab from his torn ACL likely means that the Rams will be cautious at the beginning the season and it wouldn't surprise me if he began the season on the PUP list. Because of the uncertainty with Gurley for the start of the season, there are a few backs that I'd prefer over him at this point.

4.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Joique Bell, RB, Detroit Lions

There are some pauses for concern with Bell: (1) back-to-back seasons with less than 4.0 YPC, (2) the team's selection of Ameer Abdullah in the second round and (3) a couple of ("minor") offseason surgeries. With that said, Bell, the 20th RB off the board in this mock, still finished with the 13th-most fantasy points among running backs in PPR scoring last season. Not only did he set career highs with 223 carries for 860 yards, but Bell has a total of 139 receptions over the past three seasons.

4.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins

Among rookies, only his ex-LSU teammate Odell Beckham (91) had more receptions than Landry (84) last season. Over the final nine games of the season, Landry had a minimum of five receptions each game and racked up a total of 59 catches over that span. In addition, he had at least nine targets in six of his final eight games. While this is a little early (WR20) for Landry for my taste, he's clearly a stronger option in PPR formats and should improve upon his 84/758/5 rookie numbers, especially with the majority of the team's new pass-catchers being newcomers.

4.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Andre Johnson, WR, Indianapolis Colts

After back-to-back 1,400-yard seasons, Johnson finished with 85 receptions for just 936 yards and three touchdowns in 2014. Johnson's 62.4 Y/G and 11.0 Y/R were his lowest since 2005. Released by the Texans this offseason, Johnson signed with the Colts and gets a major upgrade in quarterback situation with Andrew Luck. Johnson, who turns 34 in July, may never record another 1,400-yard season, but 1,000-plus yards seems likely. In fact, Reggie Wayne's age-34 season (106/1,355/5) with the Colts gives some hope that he can really outperform this draft slot.

4.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets

A lot went wrong for Marshall and the Bears offense last season as he missed multiple games, was limited in others, Jay Cutler struggled and was benched, the coaching staff was replaced, etc. Posting his lowest totals for both receptions (61) and yards (721) since his rookie season, Marshall was traded to the Jets in the offseason and gets a fresh start (even if the passing offense isn't an upgrade). A return to his 2012 or 2013 numbers appear unlikely, but I expect him to start a new streak of 1,000-yard seasons. Before last year, Marshall had seven consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.

4.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Frank Gore, RB, Indianapolis Colts

Earlier in this round, I mentioned there were a few backs that I like more than Gurley, Brendan's pick for one of his other teams; Gore is one of those backs. Offensively, the Colts are a huge upgrade over the 49ers and they ran the second-most plays behind the Eagles while putting up the third-most yards and sixth-most points.

Gore has been remarkably consistent and durable as he rushed for 1,000-plus yards in eight of his past nine seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. I'm not sure the streak will continue given his age (32), but Chuck Pagano has said that he still views Gore as an every-down back. One of the league's better pass-catching backs earlier in his career, Gore should be much more involved as a receiver than he has been over the past four seasons (average of 18 catches per season) in San Francisco.

4.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers

While his receptions increased from 71 to 77 in 2014, Allen's yardage (1,046 to 783) and touchdowns (eight to four) both dropped and he finished as only the 48th-highest scoring wide receiver last season. Turning just 23 in April, Allen should have a bounce-back season in 2015.

- Continue to Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 23, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 10 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 10 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.10 - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: No player is more dominant atop his position's rankings as Gronkowski. After two-injury plagued seasons, Gronk posted a stat line of 82/1,124/12 and scored nearly 20 percent more than last year's TE2 (Antonio Gates).

2.05 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: No running back rushed for more yards than Hill (929) over the final nine games of the season. Entering 2015 as the team's lead back, Hill has legitimate RB1 upside in 2015.

3.10 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his second season with 1,210 yards and should take an additional step forward in year three. The only concern is the team's less-than-inspiring quarterback situation.

4.05 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: The obvious concern with Ellington is his ability to hold up for a full season in a featured-back role. And while his per-carry average plunged from 5.5 in 2013 to 3.3 in 2014, Ellington battled injuries all season (and is healthy now) and the team has upgraded its offensive line in both free agency (Iupati) and the draft (Humphries).

5.10 - Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: V-Jax scored just two touchdowns last year, but he posted another 1,000-yard season. At 6-foot-5, Jackson should see his red-zone production improve -- of course, it'd be hard for it to deteriorate.

6.05 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Four years into his NFL career, Newton has (an NFL-record) four seasons with 3,000-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards. Despite missing a couple of games and being less than 100 percent most of the year, Newton still averaged the seventh-most fantasy points per game among QBs.

7.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Going into the 2015 season, Joique Bell will top the team's backfield depth chart, but he has averaged less than 4.0 YPC in each of the past two seasons. It's certainly possible that Abdullah overtakes him as early as this season.

8.05 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: While he'll take on a secondary role behind fellow free-agent addition DeMarco Murray, Mathews is a talented runner in his own right with a pair of 1,000-yard seasons over his five-year career. While durability has been a concern for Mathews (avg. 12 games per year), Murray is coming off an historic 497-touch campaign and has had his own share of durability issues.

9.10 - Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: In this year's rookie crop of receivers, few are as pro-ready as Agholor, who can play on both the outside and inside. Landing in Chip Kelly's high-octane offense could lead to similar production for Agholor as Jordan Matthews had as a rookie last season (WR25).

10.05 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: With Ellington's durability concerns, it makes sense to cuff him with Johnson, especially in a deeper league. Johnson will be involved when Ellington is healthy and should get the coveted goal-line opportunities, but he would become a workhorse if/when Ellington misses time.

11.10 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a productive rookie season, especially considering the injuries to the team's quarterbacks, but the ultra-quick second-year receiver should build upon last year's solid rookie season.

12.05 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick had a disappointing season, but his unique physical tools give him the upside that few fantasy quarterbacks possess.

13.10 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.05 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

15.10 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Entering his fourth season, Randle just turned 24 in May and had a career year last season (71/938/3). While Victor Cruz is expected to be ready for the start of the season, Randle has some upside in the last round of this mock.

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 3

Yesterday morning, we started a new 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft.

Four of our contributors are drafting for three teams each and the mock will go 15 rounds.

Instead of posting the results when the mock is completed, we are updating as we complete rounds and Round 3 is now in the books.

Here are Round 3 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

3.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Hilton had a breakout 82/1,345/7 season last year. And that breakout year would have been even better if he weren't limited down the stretch by a hamstring injury. With good health, I'd expect Hilton to set new career highs in both receptions and yards this season.

3.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Emerging as the team's most productive wide receiver last season, Hopkins took a huge step forward in his second season with a 76/1,210/6 stat line. If there's any concern when it comes to Hopkins taking another step forward in his third season, it's the team's less-than-inspiring quarterback play, but he's a strong WR2 for Brendan's team.

3.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens

Arguably the biggest surprise in fantasy football last season, Forsett scored more fantasy points than all but seven other running backs in 2014. Forsett, who re-signed with the Ravens this offseason, rushed for a career-high 1,266 yards last season and averaged an RB-high 5.4 YPC while adding 44 receptions for 263 yards. With Marc Trestman hired as the team's new offensive coordinator, Forsett could finish with 70 or more receptions after Matt Forte set the single-season running back record (102) under Trestman last season.

3.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, Rodgers was also the top-scoring fantasy quarterback as well. Since becoming Green Bay's starting quarterback seven years ago, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in six of seven seasons with the lone exception due to injury (broken clavicle, 2013).

3.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals

There are a few running backs on the board that I'd prefer over Ellington here, but the good news is that Ellington averaged more than 20 touches per game last season. (I suppose the bad news is that Ellington averaged more than 20 touches per game last season.)

Given Ellington's size (5-9, 199), it wasn't a huge (no pun intended) surprise that Ellington didn't hold up for a full season and missed the final four regular-season games. With the substantial bump in workload, Ellington underwhelmed as his yards-per-carry average plummeted from 5.5 YPC as a rookie to 3.3 on 201 carries last season.

With all of that said, Ellington's foot injury that he played through all of last season is nearly 100 percent again. Another positive is that the team significantly upgraded their offensive line with the free-agent signing of Mike Iupati and the first-round selection of Florida OT D.J. Humphries.

3.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots

Much better in PPR formats, Edelman finished with the 15th-most fantasy points in PPR (versus T21st in standard-scoring formats). After his breakout 2013 season (105/1,056/6), Edelman actually averaged slightly more receptions (6.57 in 2014 vs. 6.56 in 2013) and yards (69.43 in 2014 vs. 66.0 in 2013).

3.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers

For re-draft purposes, I expect Gordon to be the most productive rookie running back in 2015. MG3 has drawn some comparisons to Jamaal Charles and enters into a favorable situation with the injury-prone Ryan Mathews no longer in San Diego. The Bolts should give Gordon a significant share of the early-down work and I expect him to approach 250 touches as a rookie.

3.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Throwing for 4,761 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, both of which were career highs, Luck's 40 TDs last season nearly equalled his total from his first two seasons combined (46 TDs). During the season, Luck had the second-longest streak of 300-yard games (eight) in NFL history. In addition, Luck gets a boost from his mobility as he has rushed 62-64 times in all three seasons with at least 255 yards each year and a total of 12 touchdowns. While I prefer Rodgers over Luck, they are close and in the top tier by themselves.

3.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Carolina Panthers

Along with Mike Evans and Odell Beckham, Benjamin was one of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers in 2014. Like Evans, Benjamin is a big-bodied (6-5, 240) receiver that wins in the red zone (although he reported to OTAs as a bigger-bodied receiver).

As a rookie, Benjamin was the focal point of the passing attack along with tight end Greg Olsen and he should only see his stream of targets increase in his sophomore campaign even though the team used an early pick on Devin Funchess. That said, Benjamin will need to cut down on his drops as only Mohamed Sanu (14) had more drops than Benjamin (11) last season, according to PFF.

3.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Playing only 65.0 percent of the team's offensive snaps as a rookie, that ratio will undoubtedly spike in his second season as the team lost Jeremy Maclin via free agency. Even if the Eagles were able to re-sign Maclin, I would have expected Matthews to play in two-WR sets ahead of Riley Cooper, who played in 81.7 percent of offensive snaps. In his first season in the league, Matthews finished with 67 receptions for 872 yards and eight touchdowns and finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver. While Chip Kelly used the 20th-overall pick on Nelson Agholor to fill Maclin's void, Matthews has top-12 upside in his second season.

3.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints

Playing only 10 games as a rookie before landing on season-ending Injured Reserve, Cooks, like most rookie receivers, was inconsistent on a week-to-week basis. That said, Cooks had three top-12 performances last season including two in his final four games before the injury. Through Week 11, his 86.3 fantasy points ranked 25th among wide receivers over that span.

Going into 2015, I expect better production from Cooks on a per-game basis with a full offseason to get more comfortable with the offense. In addition, the team traded away two of its best weapons -- Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills -- in the passing game. And Cooks has generated tons of positive buzz in the offseason program.

3.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions

It was a career year for Tate, but at least part of his 99/1,331/4 production should be attributed to a Calvin Johnson injury. In the six games from Weeks 4 to 9, Tate had 50/708/3 and all five of his 100-yard games. During that same span, Megatron was a decoy in Week 4 (two catches for 12 yards) and Week 5 (one catch for seven yards) and missed Weeks 6 to 8. While I'd prefer several other receivers still on the board, Tate is a solid WR2 behind Jordy Nelson for this team.

> Continue to Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
> Go back to Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 22, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 8 Pick, 2-QB League

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 8 pick, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QBs, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.08 - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: No running back has more rushing yards (5,357) or total touchdowns (56) than Lynch over the past four seasons. Beast Mode is a lock for 1,200-plus yards and double-digit scores in 2015.

2.05 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Missing a couple of games and at less than 100 percent in the games in which he appeared, Newton had a down season. Before last year, however, he finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in each of his first three seasons.

3.08 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions: Like Newton, Stafford had a disappointing season last year. That said, he has a 5,000-yard season under his belt, a pair of talented receivers (Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate) to whom to throw and is a solid QB2.

4.05 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: A top-15 selection in this year's NFL Draft, Gordon should handle the bulk of early-down snaps and get roughly 250 touches as a rookie.

5.08 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Finishing as a top-25 fantasy receiver as a rookie, there is upside in year two with Jeremy Maclin signing a free-agent deal with the Chiefs although I'd prefer Matthews as a WR2.

6.05 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Olsen is coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season, but he has three consecutive 800-yard seasons and the second-most yards among TEs during that span.

7.08 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Marshall's seven-year streak of 1,000-yard campaigns ended last year as he missed multiple games, but he should start a new streak with good health in 2015.

8.05 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson was quietly off to an excellent start last season before a Week 10 season-ending foot injury. With offseason buzz, Robinson's ADP is rising and a breakout is on the horizon provided he stays healthy.

9.08 - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants: Jennings has struggled with durability throughout his career, but I'd expect him to lead the Giants backfield in touches when healthy.

10.05 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Even though he enters 2015 as a "backup" to DeMarco Murray, Mathews has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt and is a talented back in his own right. And while Mathews has struggled with durability, Murray is no lock to play a full season given last year's workload (497 total touches).

11.08 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With outstanding size and speed, Johnson emerged as a productive fantasy receiver in the second half last season. With continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should pick up where he left off.

12.05 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Only the Jets have fewer passing yards than the 49ers over the past two seasons, but Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns with the Niners. Even with the free-agent addition of Torrey Smith, I expect Boldin to lead the 49ers in fantasy production in 2015.

13.08 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a solid rookie season, especially considering the injuries at quarterback, and the ultra-quick receiver should build upon last year's success with better health from their signal-callers in 2015.

14.05 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

15.08 - Josh McCown, QB, Cleveland Browns: There were 30 QBs off the board by the end of Round 11 and 32 off the board before this pick. With virtually no QBs on the waiver wire, it made sense to get a bye-week fill-in (assuming McCown maintains his starter role).

16.05 - Dan Bailey, K, Dallas Cowboys

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 2

Earlier this morning, four of our contributors started a new (and "slow") 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft.

We will post the picks as they are made and another round of the mock is now complete.

Here are Round 2 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

2.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills

Barely finishing as a top-12 fantasy running back last season, McCoy finished third in the league in rushing (1,319 yards) and was one of only two backs with 300-plus carries. Not only did he average nearly a yard per carry less in 2014 than 2013, McCoy also saw his receptions (52 in 2013) and touchdowns (11 in 2013) drop roughly in half to 28 and five, respectively. Despite running behind an inferior offensive line (compared to Philadelphia's), McCoy should see a healthy volume of work within Buffalo's ground-and-pound offense.

2.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans

Did you know that the Houston Texans led the NFL in rush attempts in 2014? When healthy, Foster is one of the league's few workhorse backs. Although Foster missed three games in 2014, he averaged 95.8 rushing yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry, both of which were four-year highs, and scored double-digit touchdowns (13). Even though he missed three games last season, Foster still finished as a top-five fantasy running back in 2014.

2.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions

Injuries have forced Johnson to miss five games (and act as a decoy in a few others) over the past two seasons. Even so, Megatron has racked up 155 catches for 2,569 yards and 20 touchdowns in those 27 games in 2013 and 2014, which works out to a per-game line of 5.7/95.1/0.7. While he may never reach the 122 receptions and 1,964 yards that he had in his last full season (2012), the 29-year-old (turns 30 before Week 3) receiver still has the potential to finish as fantasy's WR1 if he can stay healthy for a full season.

2.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Injuries kept Green from building upon 2013's numbers (98/1,426/11), but he extended his streak of 1,000-yard seasons to begin his career to four. Since he's entered the league, only three receivers have more yards than Green (4,874) -- Megatron (6,214), Antonio Brown (5,092) and Demaryius Thomas (5,034). With good health, Green is a good bet for at least 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns in 2015.

2.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks

In his four full seasons in Seattle, Lynch has rushed for 1,200-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns in those seasons. And in each of the past two seasons, Lynch has at least 36 receptions as well. During that four-year span, no running back has more rushing yards (5,357) or rushing touchdowns (48) and no player has more total touchdowns (56).

Beast Mode's production hasn't slowed at all, but his physical running style (granted, he seems to dish out more punishment than he receives), heavy workload (league-high 1,479 regular-season and playoff touches over that four-year span) and age (turned 29 in April) is at least somewhat concerning. That said, Lynch seems to be a lock for another 1,200 rushing yards and double-digit touchdowns in one of the league's most run-dominant offenses.

2.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Personally, I would have taken Jones over a couple of the receivers already off the board, but I do think all of the top-eight fantasy wide receivers are elite options and you could make a case for any of them. Jones shattered previous career highs with 104 catches for 1,593 yards last season.

After scoring 0.62 TD/G on 74.4 YPG in his first two seasons, Jones has averaged just 0.40 TD/G despite a jump to 108.7 YPG over the past two seasons. With plus size and speed, Jones should bounce back in terms of red-zone production and could put together a 100/1,500/10 season in 2015 with good health.

2.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Evans started and finished slowly in terms of yardage, but he was one of three rookie receivers to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark last year. And from Weeks 9 to 11, he gave us a glimpse of what we can expect when things really click as he posted a massive 21/458/5 line over that three-game stretch. The 6-foot-5 receiver is already one of the league's best red-zone threats as he scored 10 touchdowns over his final nine games as a rookie and should put together an even better season in 2015 with improved quarterback play.

2.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears

With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets and using a top-seven pick on West Virginia's Kevin White, Jeffery now takes over as the team's clear No. 1 wide receiver. Despite year-over-year dips in both receptions (85) and receiving yards (1,133), Jeffery posted a career high in touchdowns (10) and finished with the 10th-most fantasy points (PPR) among wide receivers last season.

2.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

One of my favorite players to target in fantasy, Hill closed the season strong as he moved into the lead-back role for the Bengals. Over the final nine games of the season, Hill had 22-plus carries and 100-plus rushing yards five times including the final three games of the regular season. During that nine-game span, Hill had 172 carries for 929 yards and six touchdowns and no running back had more rushing yards than Hill during that stretch. (Lynch was second with 824 yards.)

2.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos

Anderson enters the 2015 season as the heavy favorite to be the team's featured back after seizing the opportunity when given a chance last season. CJA finished as a top-seven fantasy running back in seven of the final eight games of the season and the lone exception was a weekly RB17 performance.

2.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay Packers

Set to turn 25 in August, Cobb re-signed with the Packers prior to the official start of NFL free agency. Of course, playing in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense helps to maximize his fantasy value this year and going forward. Cobb finished the season with 91 receptions for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns, all of which set career highs, but I would be surprised if he scored 12 touchdowns again in 2015.

2.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks

Slowed by a shoulder injury, Graham had 54 yards or less in six of his final seven games last season and finished with only 889 yards, a four-year low. Over his past four seasons, Graham has averaged 89 catches, 1,099 yards and 12 touchdowns per year. With his trade to the Seahawks, Graham goes from an offense that averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game, second-most in the NFL last year, to one that averages the fewest (28.4/G).

> Continue to Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
> Go back to Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 22nd Update

Every Monday this offseason, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.

Biggest weekly gainers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders: -5.5 (164.9 on 6/15 to 159.4 on 6/22)
  2. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers: -5.3 (66.4 to 61.1)
  3. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears: -3.5 (154.3 to 150.8)

Running Backs:

  1. Duke Johnson, Cleveland Browns: -11.4 (125.5 to 114.1)
  2. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals: -8.8 (117.8 to 109.0)
  3. Ameer Abdullah, Detroit Lions: -4.8 (72.9 to 68.1)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: -13.9 (101.4 to 87.5)
  2. Rueben Randle, New York Giants: -10.4 (148.1 to 137.7)
  3. John Brown, Arizona Cardinals: -10.2 (116.9 to 106.7)

Tight Ends:

  1. Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts: -4.9 (161.1 to 156.2)
  2. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles: -4.4 (113.6 to 109.2)
  3. Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions: -4.4 (160.5 to 156.1)

Biggest weekly fallers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Nick Foles, St. Louis Rams: +6.9 (159.5 on 6/15 to 166.4 on 6/22)
  2. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals: +6.4 (157.5 to 163.9)
  3. Sam Bradford, Philadelphia Eagles: +5.6 (122.0 to 127.6)

Running Backs:

  1. Andre Williams, New York Giants: +8.5 (139.7 to 148.2)
  2. DeAngelo Williams, Pittsburgh Steelers: +8.2 (116.0 to 124.2)
  3. Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins: +7.7 (115.7 to 123.4)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Percy Harvin, Buffalo Bills: +6.3 (112.4 to 118.7)
  2. Kenny Stills, Miami Dolphins: +5.1 (140.7 to 145.8)
  3. Dwayne Bowe, Cleveland Browns: +4.3 (160.9 to 165.2)

Tight Ends:

  1. Josh Hill, New Orleans Saints: +4.6 (95.1 to 99.7)
  2. Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings: +4.3 (149.8 to 154.1)
  3. Larry Donnell, New York Giants: +3.6 (156.7 to 160.3)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 1

With the six-week lull in between mandatory minicamps and the start of NFL training camps at the end of next month now upon us, four of our contributors have started a new (and "slow") 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft.

Over the course of the next couple of weeks, we will continue to post the picks as they occur and I'll include comments for all picks made.

The mock uses full point-per-reception (PPR) scoring and we will draft 15 rounds of players (no kickers or defenses).

Here are Round 1 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

1.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

In his second season, Bell's production spiked to 1,361 rushing yards, 83 receptions for 854 yards and 11 total touchdowns. In fact, he scored more fantasy points than any other running back last year in PPR formats last season.

Whether the Steelers have the lead (and want to use the clock) or trail (and need to throw), Bell's versatility makes him a true three-down back and his production won't vary much based on game flow. Unfortunately for Bell (and his fantasy owners), he's suspended for the first three games of the season. The chances that his suspension gets reduced on appeal appear to be slim to none, but I expect Bell to lead all backs in per-game production once he returns to the field.

More: I took Bell at 1.01 in a 14-team PPR mock of our Mock Draft Per Day series last night.

1.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

It was a somewhat disappointing season for Charles, who rushed for 1,033 yards, his fifth 1,000-yard season, and added 40 catches for 291 yards while scoring a total of 14 touchdowns. Charles essentially missed two games -- had two carries in Week 2 and missed Week 3 -- as he saw a year-over-year decline in touches to 246 (from 329 in 2013).

Even if we exclude Week 2, his per-game touches dropped from 20.56/G in 2013 to 17.43/G (16.4/G if we don't exclude Week 2) in 2014. On a positive note, Charles still finished as the RB7 last year despite the drop in touches and I expect his touches to increase in 2015 even if he doesn't get to 325-plus level again.

Here's a random (and incredibly impressive) stat that I tweeted about Charles recently:

1.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

One of the league's all-time best running backs, Peterson rushed for 2,097 yards back just a couple of seasons ago. In fact, he did so only nine months after tearing his ACL. After last year's lost season, it was unclear where he would play in 2015, but the draft has come and gone and Peterson has reported to the team. Assuming that he plays all a full 16-game season (or close to it), the 30-year-old Peterson should finish as a top-three (or better) back in 2015.

1.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears

Not only did Forte lead all running backs in receptions (102) last year, but only three players had more -- Antonio Brown (129), Demaryius Thomas (111) and Julio Jones (104) -- as he broke the record for receptions by a running back. With the coaching change, Forte isn't likely to see anywhere close to triple-digit receptions again, but he could still finish with 70-plus catches.

And although Forte averaged less than four yards per carry for the first time since 2009, he has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and has posted 1,400-plus yards from scrimmage every year of his career. Only the Raiders (337) and Bucs (353) ran the ball less than the Bears (355) last season and I'd expect the new Bears coaching staff to be more committed to the run in 2015.

1.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers

After a slow start against three elite rush defenses, Lacy was dominant from Weeks 4 to 17. Over those final 13 games of the season, he averaged 18.92 touches for 108.85 YFS per game and scored a total of 13 touchdowns. The benefit of playing with Aaron Rodgers means that opposing defenses are less likely to stack the box to (try to) slow down Lacy. After averaging a relatively modest 4.15 yards per carry as a rookie, Lacy averaged 4.63 YPC last season (and 4.89 YPC over final 13 games).

1.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): DeMarco Murray, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Murray has always been productive on a per-game, per-touch basis. Before last season's career year, Murray averaged 4.95 yards per carry in his first three seasons combined. The issue with Murray (before 2014) was durability as he missed multiple games in each of those three seasons.

With a total of 497 touches including the playoffs last year, durability could remain Murray's biggest concern in 2015 as well. Even though the team added another talented (and injury-prone) running back (Ryan Mathews) in free agency, I'd expect Murray to still get roughly 20 touches per game, when healthy. But will he hold up for another full season?

1.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Surprisingly, Brown never finished as the highest-scoring fantasy wide receiver in any given week in 2014. (In fact, that applies to both standard- and PPR-scoring formats.) Yet no wide receiver had more fantasy points over the course of the season -- in either format -- than Brown. Over the past two seasons, Brown has a combined 239 receptions for 3,197 yards and 21 touchdowns.

You often hear the expression that "you can't win your fantasy league in the first round, but you can lose it in the first round." More impressive than Brown's overall level of production, however, has been his consistency. Counting the playoffs, Brown has at least five catches and 50 yards in 33 consecutive games and he's as "safe" of a first-round pick as they come.

1.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Targeted only 136 times, a three-year low, Bryant finished with 88 receptions for 1,320 yards and a career-high and league-leading 16 touchdowns. Dez now has at least 88 catches, 1,233 yards and 12 touchdowns in three consecutive seasons. And aside from Marshawn Lynch, Bryant is the only other player with at least 50 total touchdowns over the past four seasons. The Cowboys used their franchise tag on Bryant and it appears unlikely that the two sides will find common ground on a long-term deal prior to the July 15th cutoff. That said, I don't expect Dez to hold out as some reports have suggested he might consider.

1.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots

When it comes to fantasy tight ends, he's in a tier all by himself. Named the 2014 AP Comeback Player of the Year after two injury-plagued seasons, Gronkowski posted an 82/1,124/12 stat line over 15 games. Scoring 184.4 fantasy points, Gronk had 30.3 points more than Antonio Gates, who had the second-most among tight ends. So, in other words, he had 19.66 percent more than the guy that had the second-most. Gronkowski finished as a top-five weekly scorer at the position in eight of 15 games and a top-11 scorer in all but two games.

1.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

Closing the season with nine consecutive games of 90-plus yards, Beckham racked up a massive stat line of 81/1,199/9 on 115 targets during that nine-game stretch. In fact, only 11 other receivers had more yards in all of 2014 than OBJ had in his final nine games. And as impressive as that sounds, he was even more dominant over his final four games -- 43/606/7 on 63 targets. While ODB is far from being the biggest receiver, his combination of hands, route-running ability, speed and elusiveness makes him nearly impossible to cover especially in today's age of offense-friendly rules.

1.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos

Despite his slow start, Thomas went over 100 yards in 10 of his final 13 games and finished with a full-season stat line of 111 catches and 1,619 yards, both of which were career highs, and 11 touchdowns. With the Broncos using their franchise tag on Thomas (in hopes of finalizing a long-term deal prior to the July 15th deadline) and Peyton Manning returning for at least one more season, a fourth consecutive year of 90-plus receptions, 1,400-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns seems like a strong possibility.

1.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers

Not only is wide receiver deep, it's deep with elite wide receivers. The only receiver to score more fantasy points than Nelson last season was Brown. While Nelson may not finish as a top-two producer at the position once again, he's certainly one of a group of eight wideouts that has the talent and opportunity to do so.

> Continue to Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 21, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 1 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 1 pick, PPR scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.01 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: The bad news, obviously, is that Bell will serve a three-game suspension to start the season, but especially so in PPR formats, I expect him to lead all backs in fantasy points per game once he returns.

2.14 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Making a big jump in his second season, Hopkins posted a stat line of 76/1,210/6 in 2014. Although the quarterback situation is less than ideal, I expect Hopkins to improve upon last year's production.

3.01 - Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers: Except for his nine-game season (broken clavicle) in 2013, Rodgers has finished as the QB1 or QB2 in the other six of the past seven seasons.

4.14 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Injuries kept Marshall out of three games and limited him in some others as his seven-year streak of 1,000-yard seasons ended in 2014. With better health, he should once again exceed 1,000 yards and should conservatively haul in 80-plus receptions.

5.01 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: A position dominated by inconsistency, Olsen gives me a highly-productive and consistent option at tight end. With three consecutive 800-yard seasons and the second-most yards among tight ends during that span, Olsen is coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season.

6.14 - Joique Bell, RB, Detroit Lions: Drafting Ameer Abdullah in the second round could lead to a diminishing role for Bell as the season progresses. That said, Bell has 15 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons and he's an excellent receiver out of the backfield.

7.01 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: While Coleman and Devonta Freeman are likely to share the workload, I expect Coleman to eventually emerge as the guy that gets the larger split between the two.

8.14 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Fitzgerald missed a couple of games and the quarterback injuries hurt the team's passing attack overall, but Fitzgerald's 784 yards were only four more than his rookie season and he set a career low with just two touchdowns. Depending on his health and that of the team's QBs, Fitzgerald should see better numbers in 2015, but he has now fallen shy of 1,000 yards in three consecutive seasons.

9.01 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Woodhead missed all but three games last year, but he averaged a career-best 14.2 fantasy points per game (PPR) in his first season with the Chargers (2013). Melvin Gordon will handle the majority of early-down touches, but Woodhead should get most of the third-down snaps.

10.14 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: While he's better in standard-scoring formats, Smith finished last season strong as he set a career high in touchdowns (11) and he's a solid WR4 in a 14-team league.

11.01 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Colston set per-game career lows in receptions, targets and yards last season, but the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills should lead to an improvement in his 2015 per-game production.

12.14 - Javorius Allen, RB, Baltimore Ravens: With Matt Forte setting a positional single-season receptions (102) record last year under Trestman, Allen is worth a flier late even though Justin Forsett re-signed with the Ravens this offseason.

13.01 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.14 - Nick Foles, QB, St. Louis Rams: With 25 QBs already off the board before this pick, Foles gives some insurance at the position with few options on the waiver wire. Obviously, I hope to play him only once for Rodgers' bye in Week 7, though.

15.01 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions

- View full mock draft results here

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June 20, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 5 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 5 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.05 - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: The start of this mock is holding serve, if you will, as the first four players selected were the top four players on my big board. Perhaps there is a little bit of concern due to Lynch's punishing running style and compressed cartilage in his back, but no player has more rushing yards (5,357) or total touchdowns (56) over the past four seasons. Assuming he stays healthy, Beast Mode is a lock for 1,200-plus rushing yards and double-digit scores.

2.08 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: In the final eight games of the season, Anderson finished as a top-five fantasy running back six times. The other two weeks? RB10 and RB16. Assuming he remains in the role of featured back all season, CJA has plenty of upside here.

3.05 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins had a breakout season last year and he should build upon that success in year three. The only concern is the less-than-ideal quarterback situation in Houston, which was also a concern last year as well.

4.08 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Despite ranking third among receivers in snaps, Matthews finished as a top-25 fantasy receiver as a rookie. With Jeremy Maclin's free-agent departure, Matthews has top-10 fantasy upside in 2015, but he's a solid WR2 for this team either way.

5.05 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: With 800-plus yards in three consecutive seasons, Olsen is a consistent option at a position that generally lacks consistency. In addition, Olsen had his first-ever 1,000-yard season in 2014.

6.08 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: As much as I love Jeremy Hill, who's my seventh-ranked running back in 2015, Bernard will have a better season than most seem to think now that he's back in a change-of-pace role. As an example, Hill rushed 100-plus yards in the final three games last season but Bernard still finished as a weekly top-17 fantasy running back in all three weeks. In other words, I think he's an excellent value as my flex at the end of Round 6.

7.05 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: A Week 10 foot injury ended his season prematurely, but Robinson was (quietly) off to a strong start before that. From Weeks 2 to 10, Robinson averaged 5.22/60.89 per game and should have a breakout season with good health in 2015.

8.08 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Mathews has struggled with durability, but he's a talented runner when healthy with two 1,000-yard seasons in five years. With DeMarco Murray coming off an insane 497-touch season (counting playoffs), there's no lock that Murray will stay healthy for all 16 games this year.

9.05 - Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants: One of the league's best receiving backs, Vereen has plenty of versatility and Rashad Jennings, who turned 30 in March, has struggled some with durability.

10.08 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Finishing as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in 2014, Manning started slowly but finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games. Now that he has a full year in the team's new offense and a healthier group of receivers -- Odell Beckham missed four games and Victor Cruz missed 10 games -- plus the addition of Vereen, Manning should be able to duplicate (or improve upon) last year's numbers.

11.05 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: One of my favorite sleepers coming out of Grand Valley State, Johnson has an excellent combination of size (6-2, 215) and speed (sub-4.4 forty) and emerged in the second half of last season. With continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should build upon last year's second-half success.

12.08 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Setting per-game career lows in receptions, targets and yards last season, Colston's production should benefit from the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills this offseason.

13.05 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.08 - Steven Hauschka, K, Seattle Seahawks:

15.05 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: At pick 13.05, Quick was my highest-ranked receiver on the board, but I expected he'd still be here at 15.05 so I opted to grab my D/ST and K a round earlier than usual. While he's returning from a torn rotator cuff, Quick was off to a great start before the injury and could be a nice value here if he picks up where he left off last year.

- View full mock draft results here

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June 19, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 2 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.02 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Charles has averaged 5.0 YPC in all seven of his NFL seasons. While he had limited carries in two seasons -- as a rookie (2008) and his injury-shortened 2011 season, Charles has five seasons with at least 4.95 YPC and 190 carries. As I tweeted last night, he's tied for the most in NFL history with Jim Brown and Barry Sanders; no other RB has more than three.

2.11 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears: With 2,692 yards and 17 touchdowns over the past two seasons, Jeffery enters the 2015 season as the team's clear No. 1 wideout.

3.02 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: While I considered Jimmy Graham here, I tend to prefer to wait a couple of rounds and target Travis Kelce, which is what I did in this mock. A top-15 pick in this year's (real) draft, Gordon should dominate early-down work and approach 250 or so touches as a rookie.

4.11 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Even though he ranked third among the team's receivers in snaps last season, Matthews still finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver as a rookie. Going into the 2015 season, Matthews has top-10 upside with the free-agent departure of Jeremy Maclin, who finished as a top-10 receiver.

5.02 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Like Matthews, Kelce was productive last year even though his snaps should jump significantly this year. With no health restrictions going into the 2015 season, the sky is the limit for "Baby Gronk."

6.11 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: Even with a healthy Rob Gronkowski last season, Edelman posted slightly-improved per-game numbers in 2014 -- 6.57 receptions (6.56 in 2013) and 69.4 yards (66.0 in 2013).

7.02 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Duke Johnson has generated plenty of buzz this offseason, but I still think that Crowell will end up leading the team in touches and production.

8.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: One of my favorite wide receiver targets in these mocks, Robinson quietly had a productive rookie season before suffering a season-ending foot injury in Week 10. From Weeks 2 to 10, he averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game. With good health for ARob, I expect a breakout from the second-year receiver.

9.02 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: A top-10 fantasy quarterback in 2014, Manning started slowly but finished as a weekly top-five QB in five of the final 10 games. With a full year in the offense under his belt and better health from his wide receivers, Manning should build upon last year's success.

10.11 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Johnson possesses all of the physical tools and he finally showcased his ability towards the end of last season. With Teddy Bridgewater's continued development, Johnson should pick up where he left off last year.

11.02 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Woodhead missed all but three games last year, but the third-down back has quietly posted three RB27 (or better) finishes in his previous four seasons. MG3 will handle most of the early-down work, but Woodhead finished as the RB19 in 2013, which was his first season in San Diego and the only year that Ryan Mathews played a full 16-game season.

12.11 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: While he posted per-game career lows in targets, receptions and yards, the trades of Graham and Kenny Stills should lead to improved numbers for Colston in 2015.

13.02 - Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: When Charles has missed games, Davis has seen true workhorse touches and production.

14.11 - New York JetsD/ST

15.02 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers

- View full mock draft results here

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June 18, 2015

Victor Cruz not expected to start training camp on PUP

Since tearing his patellar tendon last October, there has been plenty of uncertainty about the early-season status of New York Giants wide receiver Victor Cruz in 2015. In addition, there has been concern about how effective he'll be once he returns given the nature of the injury.

When asked yesterday by the NY Daily News about his degree of confidence that he'll return to the player he was prior to the injury, Cruz said "[p]robably around 11" on a scale of 1 to 10.

Cruz elaborated by saying that "when you start running routes for the first time, that’s when you can gauge how you feel, how you look coming out of the breaks. I feel pretty good."

Earlier today, coach Tom Coughlin said that he doesn't expect Cruz to start training camp on the PUP list.

Cruz, who played only six games last year, only overlapped with Odell Beckham, who missed the first four games of the season, for two games.

After Beckham's phenomenal rookie season (91/1,305/12 in 12 games), Beckham will clearly lead the receiving corps in targets. In addition, Rueben Randle, who turned 24 last month, set career highs in both receptions (71) and yards (938) last season.

Going into the 2015 season, it's difficult to trust Cruz as anything more than a fourth receiver. Currently, he's the WR44 in my 2015 fantasy football wide receiver rankings.

That said, Cruz is another reason that I'm high on Eli Manning going into the 2015 season.

Finishing as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games, Manning closed the season as a top-10 fantasy quarterback.

Not only will Manning have more comfortability within Ben McAdoo's offense now that he has a year under belt, but a healthy OBJ and Cruz, further development of Randle and the addition of the one of the league's best receiving backs (Shane Vereen) should bode well for Eli.

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Kelvin Benjamin (hamstring) misses last two days of minicamp

Carolina Panthers second-year receiver Kelvin Benjamin missed the second and third days of the team's three-day mandatory minicamp as he battles a hamstring injury.

Coach Ron Rivera speculated that his hamstring issues -- second over the past week or so -- could be due to Benjamin showing up to OTAs eight to nine pounds overweight, per Jonathan Jones of the Charlotte Observer.

He did come in a little heavy and he had to work himself into shape. Or diet or something. We’re going to take a look at it and make sure it’s not a chronic issue with him. He’s too good a football player to have on the sideline.”

Practicing just four of the team's 14 offseason practices, Benjamin has had some weight issues in the past going back to his Florida State days.

That said, general manager Dave Gettleman says it's "much ado about nothing," per Joseph Person of the Charlotte Observer.

"It really is much ado about nothing. Right now he's only five pounds off his playing weight. That's it," Gettleman said after the team wrapped up their three-day minicamp.

"This is what frustrates me sometimes, people want to create news. There's no news. He's a few pounds over, that's all. He'll be fine. He'll stay here in July and he'll be ready to rock and roll."

Along with Odell Beckham and Mike Evans, Benjamin was one of three rookie receivers to exceed the 1,000-yard mark.

Perhaps Gettleman's right and it's much ado about nothing, but the offseason between a player's first and second season is where major strides can be made. In an ideal world, Benjamin's offseason would have gone along the lines of that for Davante Adams, dubbed the team's offseason "MVP" by coach Mike McCarthy.

Aside from shedding a few pounds, Benjamin will also need to cut down on the drops in 2015 as only Cincinnati's Mohamed Sanu (14) had more drops than Benjamin (11), according to PFF.

Going into the 2015 season, Benjamin is my 14th-ranked fantasy wide receiver.

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 6 Pick, Super Flex

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 6 pick, PPR scoring, Super Flex
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and QB-eligible Flex (QB, RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.06 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: Not only did Forte set the single-season record for receptions (102) by a running back, but he ranked fourth in the NFL in that category. With the team's coaching change, he's unlikely to finish with triple-digit receptions again, but the versatile back has averaged 63 receptions and 1,633 YFS throughout his seven-year career.

2.07 - Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints: Even though the team may be transitioning to more of a run-based offense and they traded away their two leading receivers from last year, Brees is owns half of the 5,000-yard passing seasons in NFL history. And while he fell short of that mark last year, he (and Ben Roethlisberger) led the league last year with 4,952 yards.

3.06 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears: With Brandon Marshall traded to the Jets, Jeffery becomes the team's clear No. 1 receiver. Over the past two seasons, Jeffery has 174 receptions, 2,554 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns plus 138 rushing yards.

4.07 - Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers: With a QB-eligible flex, the league is a de facto 2-QB league as 17 of the top-21 scorers in 2014 were QBs. With 4,286 yards and 31 touchdowns, Rivers also threw a league-worst 18 interceptions (tied with Jay Cutler), but seven of those came in the final three games as Rivers dealt with a back injury.

5.06 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Productive as a rookie (top-25 fantasy receiver in PPR scoring), Matthews is poised to take another step forward in 2015 with Jeremy Maclin now in Kansas City. In fact, Maclin finished as a top-10 fantasy receiver last year giving Matthews top-10 upside in year two.

6.07 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Debating a pair of teammates here, I was fortunate to get both with back-to-back picks. Extremely durable and consistent, Olsen is coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season. Over the past three seasons, he ranks third among tight ends in receptions (226) and second in yards (2,667).

7.06 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, Stewart rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) -- only DeMarco Murray had more (491) during that span. The Daily Show enters 2015 (finally) as the team's clear lead runner.

8.07 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Perhaps a change of scenery will do Marshall some good although the Jets have the fewest passing yards over the past two seasons. That said, I do expect him to bounce back with 1,000-plus yards and injuries limited him to a 61/721/8 stat line over 13 games last season.

9.06 - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs: There was no bigger "loser" in free agency in terms of fantasy outlook than Maclin this spring. (Kansas City wide receivers had zero touchdowns last season.) That said, Maclin is solid WR4.

10.07 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Perhaps being second string behind last year's rushing champion will help Mathews stay healthy for a full season. That said, Mathews has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt and DeMarco Murray is coming off a 497-touch season, which increases his durability risk.

11.06 - Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets: Not surprisingly, Decker's numbers in his first season (74/962/5) with the Jets were much less than his previous two seasons in Denver, but he's an excellent value as a WR5. And he may even benefit with Marshall as the team's No. 1 receiver (and getting the primary focus of opposing pass defenses).

12.07 - Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncnos: Expecting to be the team's featured back, Ball's appendectomy in August and season-ending groin injury early in the season opened the door for the other backs, specifically C.J. Anderson, who should enter 2015 as the team's featured back. That said, Ball's worth a late-round flier here.

13.06 - Buffalo Bills D/ST

14.07 - Steven Hauschka, K, Seattle Seahawks:

15.06 - Cameron Artis-Payne, RB, Carolina Panthers: Given Stewart's durability history, CAP would have an opportunity to be productive if Stewart misses time. With a QB-eligible flex, I would start only two RBs unless one of my QBs is on bye.

- View full mock draft results here

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June 17, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 3 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 3 pick, PPR scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.03 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Getting only 246 touches (16th-most) in 2014 after back-to-back seasons with 320-plus, Charles still finished as the RB7 in PPR formats last year as he exceeded 1,000 rushing yards for the fifth time in his career and scored 14 touchdowns in 15 games. With good health, his touches should increase to the 275-300 range in 2015.

2.10 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Surprised that nine receivers went ahead of Green in this mock, but Green should approach 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns with good health in 2015.

3.03 - Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: With Matt Forte setting a positional single-season record for receptions (102) last year in Marc Trestman's offense, Forsett could see his receptions (44) from last year double under Trestman.

4.10 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Jeremy Hill clearly enters 2015 as the team's featured back, but the duo showed that they can be productive together. As an example, Hill rushed for 100-plus yards in each of the team's final three games, yet Bernard finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy running back in PPR formats over that span.

5.03 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Limited early in the season -- only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps in the first 10 games, Kelce still posted strong numbers (67/862/5) last year. With no restrictions going into 2015, the sky is the limit for him.

6.10 - Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons: Missing multiple games and falling short of 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, White averaged 5.7 catches and 65.8 yards last season. White should be able to finish with 85-90 catches and 1,000 yards if he plays 16 games in 2015.

7.03 - T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: A top-36 selection in the 2015 NFL Draft, Yeldon enters the season as a three-down back although the team's general offensive limitations could cap his upside in Year 1.

8.10 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Perhaps a secondary role will keep the oft-injured Mathews healthy for a full season, but there is no guarantee that DeMarco Murray will stay healthy for a full 16-game season after 497 touches last season.

9.03 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions: Since I started these daily mocks, Stafford has not landed on any of my teams. Finishing as the QB15 last year, Stafford threw for 4,257 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns, but he was my top-ranked QB still on the board.

10.10 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Despite playing in the offense the second-fewest passing yards over the past two seasons, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns and should once again lead the team in receiving even with the addition of Torrey Smith.

11.03 - Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets: Decker's 74/962/5 set three-year lows in his first season with the Jets. The addition of Brandon Marshall means that Decker is unlikely to do any/much better than last year's production, but he's a solid WR4.

12.10 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith is a bit of boom-or-bust option as a vertical receiver, but he did score a career-high 11 touchdowns last season.

13.03 - Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Handcuffing Charles with Davis is a no-brainer. When Charles has missed time, Davis has flourished. As an example, Charles left Week 2 early and missed Week 3; Davis had 54 carries for 239 yards and three TDs and six catches for 26 yards in those two games.

14.10 - New England Patriots D/ST

15.03 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers

- View full mock draft results here

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Mike McCarthy calls Davante Adams offseason "MVP"

For many players, the offseason from their rookie season to second year is where the biggest incremental gains occur in their development.

Based on recent comments from Green Bay Packers head coach Mike McCarthy, it appears that receiver Davante Adams is ready to make a big second-year leap.

Per Bill Huber of Scout.com, McCarthy dubbed Adams as the "MVP" of the offseason:

I would say Davante Adams for someone if, if you want a clear illustration and example of a first-year player taking a jump in his second year, you just saw it here the last four weeks,” McCarthy said. “I think he’s been tremendous throughout the OTAs. And he’s got more in front of him, too, so I think that’s what’s exciting. I think Davante has done a great job in the strength and conditioning. He’s been really, really good in practice throughout this deal. Davante, if you wanted me to pick an MVP or an all-star, he would definitely be atop the list.”

In turn, Adams has the right approach about improving each step of the way:

“It means a lot,” Adams, the Green Bay Packers’ impressive second-year receiver, said after Tuesday’s minicamp practice. “It means that my work and my approach to practice and meetings and everything is not being ignored. They’re taking note of everything I’m doing, which means a lot to me. I want it to be more than that. That’s the first step. Now, I want to be the MVP of the minicamp and training camp and then go out there and do some damage (during the season).”

As a rookie, Adams finished with 38 receptions for 446 yards and three touchdowns. The team's 2014 second-round pick had four games with five-plus receptions, but he he had two or fewer in the other 12 games.

With the team re-signing Randall Cobb this offseason, it means that Adams remains third in line for targets behind Jordy Nelson and Cobb, but we have seen instances where the Packers have had three productive fantasy wide receivers.

At the moment, Adams is the WR51 in my 2015 Fantasy Football WR Rankings, but he'll move up if he continues to generate positive buzz this offseason.

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June 16, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 13 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 16 teams, No. 6 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Eight bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.13 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Ideally, my first-round pick is a workhorse running back, but Thomas is my top-ranked available player here and this league's starts three wideouts. In all three of his seasons with Peyton Manning, Thomas has more than 90 receptions, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns.

2.04 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Emerging as the team's lead back in the second half of his rookie campaign, Hill lead all players in rushing yards (929) over the final nine games of the season. I'm thrilled to get my 11th-ranked player overall in the second round of a 16-team league.

3.13 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Durability is an obvious concern for Ellington, who missed the final four games and was never 100-percent last season. And it showed. Ellington's YPC averaged dropped from a league-best 5.5 as a rookie to 3.3 last season as he averaged 20.58 touches per game. I'll look to handcuff Ellington with David Johnson later, but I do expect him to be more productive on a per-touch basis in 2015.

4.04 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Playing a little more than half of the team's offensive snaps through 10 games, Kelce still posted a full-season stat line of 67/862/5. Without any restrictions going into the 2015 season, the sky is the limit for Kelce.

5.13 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Before being sidelined with a season-ending foot injury in Week 10, Robinson was quietly having a strong rookie season -- 4.8 receptions and 54.8 yards per game. With good health, Robinson is poised for a breakout season in 2015.

6.04 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Off to a slow start in a new offensive scheme, Manning closed the season with five top-five weekly finishes in his final 10 games and finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in 2014. Hopefully he'll get 16 games from Odell Beckham, but the return of Victor Cruz and free-agent addition of Shane Vereen as well as more comfort with the offensive system should help Eli post another strong season.

7.13 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: While Colston set career lows in catches, targets and yards per game last season, the trades of Jimmy Graham (to Seattle) and Kenny Stills (to Miami) should lead to better numbers in 2015.

8.04 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Mathews has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt, but the injury-prone enters the 2015 season second on the depth chart to DeMarco Murray.

9.13 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Often exceeding expectations, Woodhead has actually finished as a top-27 fantasy running back (standard-scoring formats) in three of the past five years. Assuming better health after playing just three games last year, Woodhead should dominate snaps on third down with MG3 getting the bulk of early-down work.

10.04 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Although he's a much bigger back than Ellington at 224 pounds, Johnson is an excellent receiver out of the backfield and even had a 200-yard receiving game versus Iowa last season. While Johnson will be involved in the offense when Ellington is healthy, he could approach 20 touches per game in those that Ellington misses.

11.13 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick started last year with four consecutive top-25 weekly performances, but he missed the second half of the season after tearing his rotator cuff. Depending on his health, there's some upside here this late.

12.04 - Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears: Any time you're a starting NFL quarterback and you get benched in favor of Jimmy Clausen, you know things went badly. Last season, Cutler turned the ball over 24 times, which was a five-year high, but he has some fantasy upside as a QB2 in a 16-team league.

13.13 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle, who turned 24 in May, set career highs of 71 receptions and 938 yards last season although he scored just three touchdowns. Eli recently said he expects a "big year" from Randle, but either way, he's a solid value with the 205th overall pick.

14.04 - Miami Dolphins D/ST: A little earlier (round-wise) than usual for me to take a defense, but there were already 11 defenses off the board.

15.13 - Lance Dunbar, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Both Joseph Randle and Darren McFadden should get more work than Dunbar. Especially in a deep league like this (16 teams and eight bench spots), Dunbar is gives me some exposure to what should still be a potent rushing attack behind one of the league's best offensive lines.

16.04 - Jace Amaro, TE, New York Jets: Amaro had just 38/345/2 as a rookie tight end last year, but rookie tight ends often struggle and there is potential for plenty of improvement in his second season. Either way, I would expect to start Kelce in all weeks other than his bye.

17.13 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions

18.04 - Ladarius Green, TE, San Diego Chargers: My short-term memory was playing tricks on me here as I forgot I had drafted Amaro just a couple of picks ago, but Green was once a coveted breakout candidate. Now he's the 276th selection in this mock, but there is some hope that he's more involved offensively in 2015 as even his coach says that they "need to use him more."

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Eagles Beat: Projects 17-to-7 split of carries for DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews

With LeSean McCoy traded to Buffalo this offseason for linebacker Kiko Alonso, the Philadelphia Eagles have added two running backs -- DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews -- capable of filling the void.

Sheil Kapadia of Phillymag.com attempted to project how the backs will split their workload in 2015 and he assumed that the team's backfield averages roughly 26 carries per game (like last season).

But let's assume for a moment that the number of attempts stays the same. My guess (and I reserve the right to change this in August!) is that Murray would get around 17 carries per game; Mathews would get seven; and Darren Sproles would get two.

As Kapadia notes, McCoy had 78.5 percent of the backfield's carries (314 of 400) last season and it would make sense for the Eagles to spread the wealth more in 2015.

With the Cowboys last season, Murray carried the ball 392 times during the regular season, which accounted for 83.05 percent of the team's backfield's carries. Joseph Randle (51, 10.8 percent) and Lance Dunbar (29, 6.1 percent) were the only other backs with carries.

Not only did Murray lead the NFL in carries (and rushing yards) in the regular season, but he racked up a total of 497 total touches in 18 games including two playoff games. That's the sixth-most ever and only three players have ever had more -- Terrell Davis twice, Emmitt Smith twice and Jamal Anderson.

Before playing a full 16-game regular season in 2014, Murray missed multiple games, 11 total, in each of his first three seasons. Like Murray, Mathews has played a full 16-game slate only once and he has averaged just 12 games per season over his five-year NFL career.

Based on Kapadia's projections, it would turn out to a slightly more than 70-30 split in favor of Murray, which isn't far off what I expect (65-35 split) although I expect the backfield carries to average more than 26 per game in 2015.

In my 2015 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings, I have Murray ranked ninth, Mathews 31st and Sproles 55th.

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June 15, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 7 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.07 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: With a change in coaching staff, Forte is unlikely to come close to last year's record-setting 102 receptions. That said, he remains one of the league's most versatile backs with 1,400-plus YFS in all seven of his NFL seasons.

2.06 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: One of the league's most talented receivers, Jones set career highs of 104 receptions and 1,593 yards last season. With good health, he should come close to a 100/1,500/10 stat line in 2015.

3.07 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: The second of two rookie running backs selected with the top-15 picks in this year's draft, Gordon should see the bulk of early-down work in San Diego and rack up 250 or so touches.

4.06 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks: A top-three fantasy scorer last season, Wilson set career highs in rushing (849 yards and six TDs) in 2014. Wilson has a 72:26 TD-to-INT ratio in his three NFL seasons and should set a career high in touchdown passes with the trade for Jimmy Graham.

5.07 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: At a position that generally lacks consistency, Olsen is a consistent weekly producer coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season. In each of the past three seasons, Olsen has more than 800 receiving yards.

6.06 - Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions: Tate set career highs in receptions (99), targets (144) and yards (1,331) last season, but his midseason production spiked due to Calvin Johnson's injury. Even if Megatron stays healthy for 16 games, Tate should produce low-end WR2 numbers in 2015.

7.07 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: There has been some buzz for rookie running back Duke Johnson at OTAs, but at the moment, I still expect Crowell to lead the team's backs in workload and fantasy production.

8.06 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson was quietly having a strong rookie season before his season-ending foot injury in Week 10. Provided he can stay healthy, Robinson is poised for a breakout in 2015.

9.07 - Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers: DeMarco Murray is coming off a 497-touch season (counting the playoffs). While Mathews may be second in line for touches, Murray is far from a lock to play all 16 games.

10.06 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the Niners have the second-fewest passing yards over the past two seasons, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons there. Even with the signing of Torrey Smith in free agency, I expect Boldin to once again lead the team in receiving.

11.07 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Before missing most of last season, Woodhead finished as a top-27 fantasy back in three of the previous four seasons including his first in San Diego (2003, RB19).

12.06 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Colston set per-game career lows in receptions, targets and yards last year, but trading away Graham and Kenny Stills should open up more opportunities for him.

13.07 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Given the team's quarterback woes (injuries) last season, Brown had a strong rookie season (48/696/5). If Carson Palmer stays healthy for the full season, Brown should build upon last year's success (and perhaps significantly so).

14.06 - New York Jets D/ST:

15.07 - Cody Parkey, K, Philadelphia Eagles:

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 15th Update

Every Monday this offseason, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.

Biggest weekly gainers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Nick Foles, St. Louis Rams: -6.9 (166.4 on 6/8 to 159.5 on 6/15)
  2. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals: -6.5 (141.0 to 134.5)
  3. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers: -3.8 (70.2 to 67.5)

Running Backs:

  1. David Cobb, Tennessee Titans: -9.7 (111.6 to 101.9)
  2. Duke Johnson, Cleveland Browns: -7.7 (133.2 to 125.5)
  3. Joseph Randle, Dallas Cowboys: -7.3 (94.2 to 87.1)

Wide Receivers:

  1. John Brown, Arizona Cardinals: -15.4 (132.3 to 116.9)
  2. Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins: -11.9 (131.1 to 119.2)
  3. Marvin Jones, Cincinnati Bengals: -9.0 (154.7 to 145.7)

Tight Ends:

  1. Josh Hill, New Orleans Saints: -10.5 (105.6 to 95.1)
  2. Larry Donnell, New York Giants: -5.1 (161.8 to 156.7)
  3. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers: -2.6 (152.5 to 149.9)

Biggest weekly fallers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens: +4.2 (138.5 on 6/8 to 142.7 on 6/15)
  2. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons: +4.1 (67.2 to 71.3)
  3. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions: +3.0 (86.4 to 89.4)

Running Backs:

  1. Denard Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: +12.5 (142.7 to 155.2)
  2. Andre Williams, New York Giants: +9.9 (129.8 to 139.7)
  3. Darren McFadden, Dallas Cowboys: +7.8 (67.0 to 74.8)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Kenny Stills, Miami Dolphins: +13.4 (127.3 to 140.7)
  2. Kenny Britt, St. Louis Rams: +12.3 (152.8 to 165.1)
  3. Cody Latimer, Denver Broncos: +10.0 (120.5 to 130.5)

Tight Ends:

  1. Maxx Williams, Baltimore Ravens: +5.1 (156.4 to 161.5)
  2. Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers: +4.7 (98.3 to 103.0)
  3. Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans: +4.1 (132.7 to 136.8)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

Our 2015 fantasy football rankings:

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June 14, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 9 Pick, 2-QB League

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 10 teams, No. 9 pick, PPR scoring, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.09 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks: I was surprised to see Wilson as the QB5 in this mock after Andrew Luck (1.02), Aaron Rodgers (1.03), Peyton Manning (1.05) and Drew Brees (1.06). Scoring the third-most fantasy points among QBs last season in large part to career highs in rushing (849 yards and six TDs), the addition of Jimmy Graham gives Wilson the best red-zone option he's had in his career as well.

2.02 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Not only did he set career highs across the board (129/1,698/13) and lead receivers in fantasy points, Brown now has 33 consecutive games (counting the playoffs) with at least five catches and 50 yards.

3.09 - Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay Packers: Cobb also set career highs across the board with 91 catches for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns and gives this team a strong WR2.

4.02 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Over the final nine games of the season, no running back had more rushing yards than Hill (929, 5.4 YPC). Entering the season as the team's featured back, Hill has the upside to finish as the top-scoring fantasy running back, but either way, I'm thrilled to land him here.

5.09 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Rushing for a career-high 1,099 yards on 5.09 YPC, Miller finished as the RB9 in PPR formats last season. Even though the team drafted a talented backup in Jay Ajayi, Miller should come close to last year's numbers as the team limited his touches to a modest 15.88/G last year.

6.02 - Andre Johnson, WR, Houston Texans: Johnson has four 100/1,400 seasons in his career; the only other receivers with more than two are Marvin Harrison (four) and Jerry Rice (three). While he may never approach 1,400 yards again, Johnson's numbers will certainly improve upon last year's 85/936/3 stat line.

7.09 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: With his offensive snaps limited in the first half of the season, Kelce still posted impressive full-season numbers last year. With good health and no restrictions, the sky's the limit and there is no way that Kelce should have been available this late.

8.02 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: I like Bernard's fantasy outlook more than most. The final three games were a blueprint of how Hill and Bernard could both be productive fantasy backs. While Hill rushed for 100-plus yards in all three of those games, Gio finished as a top-12 fantasy RB in PPR formats in each of those weeks as well.

9.09 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Before a Week 10 foot injury, Robinson was having a strong rookie season (4.8 R/G, 54.8 Y/G). With good health, Robinson is poised for a breakout campaign.

10.02 - Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams: Gurley may be limited early in the season, and may even begin the season on the PUP list, but Gurley is arguably the best running back to enter the NFL since Adrian Peterson.

11.09 - Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington Redskins: With a top-three QB as my first starter, the plan was to stream from a committee at my QB2 as I loaded up on other positions. To be clear, my optimism about RG3's outlook is subdued, but if things go as well as they could for him, there's no QB with more upside here.

12.02 - Nick Foles, QB, St. Louis Rams: Having previously dubbed Foles the Eagles starting QB "for the next 1,000 years," Chip Kelly traded Foles this offseason for Sam Bradford. While there's obviously less upside for him in St. Louis, Foles still has the potential to finish as a top-20 fantasy QB (i.e., QB2 in this format).

13.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers have the second-fewest passing yards over the past two seasons yet Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons with them.

14.02 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Melvin Gordon will handle the bulk of the early-down work, but Woodhead should see the majority of passing-down snaps.

15.09 - Geno Smith, QB, New York Jets: There was some year-over-year improvement for Smith -- 55.8 to 59.7-percent completion rates, 12:21 to 13:13 TD-to-INT ratios and 66.5 to 77.5 passer ratings. In Year 3, Geno will have his most talented group of pass-catchers of his career.

16.02 - Houston Texans D/ST

17.09 - Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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POLL: Which NFC North RB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Three of the top-six players in our 2015 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet are NFC North running backs -- Green Bay's Eddie Lacy, Minnesota's Adrian Peterson and Chicago's Matt Forte.

Lacy: Starting slowly while facing three elite rush defenses to start the season, only DeMarco Murray and Le'Veon Bell scored more fantasy points than Lacy did from Weeks 4 to 17. Over those final 13 games of the season, he averaged 18.92 touches for 108.85 YFS per game and scored a total of 13 touchdowns. The benefit of playing with Aaron Rodgers means that opposing defenses are less likely to stack the box to (try to) slow down Lacy. After averaging a relatively modest 4.15 yards per carry as a rookie, Lacy averaged 4.63 YPC last season (and 4.89 YPC over final 13 games).

Peterson: One of the league's all-time best running backs, Peterson rushed for 2,097 yards back just a couple of seasons ago. After last year's lost season, it was unclear where he would play in 2015, but the draft has come and gone with Peterson on Minnesota's roster and he has reported to the team. Assuming that he plays all 16 games (or close to it), the 30-year-old Peterson should finish as a top-five (or better) back in 2015.

Forte: Not only did Forte lead all running backs in receptions (102) last year, but only three players, any position, had more -- Antonio Brown (129), Demaryius Thomas (111) and Julio Jones (104) -- as he broke the single-season record for receptions by a running back. With the coaching change, Forte isn't likely to see anywhere close to triple-digit receptions again, but he could certainly finish with around 70 catches. And although Forte averaged less than four yards per carry for the first time since 2009, he has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and has at least 929 rushing yards in all seven of his NFL seasons. Only the Raiders (337) and Bucs (353) ran the ball less than the Bears (355) last season and I'd expect the Bears to be more committed to the run in 2015.

Of these stud NFC North running backs, which will score the most points (standard scoring) in 2015 fantasy football leagues?

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June 13, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 teams, No. 4 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 4 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.04 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Suspended for the first three games of the season, Bell could very well lead all running backs in fantasy points per game in 2015. And Arian Foster missed three games last season (due to injury) yet still finished as a top-five fantasy running back.

2.11 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Not only was Evans one of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers, but he scored 12 touchdowns in 15 games.

3.04 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Even though Miller exceeded 15 carries only four times last year, he posted his first 1,000-yard season, averaged 5.09 YPC and finished as a top-21 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 games.

4.11 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Despite limited snaps in the first half of the season, Kelce finished with 67/862/5 last season and the sky is the limit for him in 2015.

5.04 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: In a complementary role to Jeremy Hill, Bernard can still be a productive (low-end) RB2-type of back. As an example, Bernard finished as the weekly RB11, RB17 and RB13, respectively, in the final three weeks even though Hill rushed for 100-plus yards in all three of those games.

6.11 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: After a slow start, Eli finished as a top-five weekly quarterback in five of his final 10 games. Going into his second year in McAdoo's offense, Manning should be able to build upon last year's strong finish.

7.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Averaging 5.22/60.89 from Weeks 2 to 10, Robinson was quietly having a strong rookie season before his season-ending foot injury. With good health, Robinson has strong breakout potential this season.

8.11 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: With a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt, Mathews should have some productive outings even when getting a smaller workload share than DeMarco Murray. And Murray is far from a lock to play 16 games after racking up 497 touches last season counting the postseason.

9.04 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Perhaps a boring pick, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons for the 49ers even though they have ranked second-to-last in passing yards during that span.

10.11 - Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Landing in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense is a perfect fit for Agholor, one of the most pro-ready rookie receivers entering the draft. Coincidentally, Agholor has often been compared to departed receiver Jeremy Maclin.

11.04 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Especially considering that the Cardinals were down to their third-string quarterback by the end of the season, Brown had an excellent rookie season, but I expect bigger and better things from him this year.

12.11 - Denver Broncos D/ST

13.04 - Jerick McKinnon, RB, Minnesota Vikings: With Adrian Peterson's return, McKinnon likely won't see many touches, but he was productive on a per-carry basis (4.76 YPC) last season.

14.11 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: With good health, 2015 could be the breakout season Quick seemed destined for in 2014 before a shoulder injury ended his season prematurely.

15.04 - Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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June 12, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 12 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 12 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.12 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Coming off career highs (111 catches for 1,619 yards), Thomas now has 90-plus catches for 1,400-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns in all three of his seasons playing with Peyton Manning.

2.01 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Over his final nine games, Hill had five 100-yard games and no running back had more rushing yards than Hill (929).

3.12 - Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: Forsett more than doubled his previous career high with 1,266 rushing yards and finished as a top-eight fantasy running back in 2014. With the hire of Marc Trestman, Forsett could end up doubling his previous career high in receptions.

4.01 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: The Texans have an unsettled and less-than-ideal quarterback situation, but Hopkins is coming off a breakout season (76/1,210/6) and is a high-end WR2.

5.12 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season, Olsen provides consistency -- 800-plus yards in each of the past three seasons -- at a position that lacks consistent producers.

6.01 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: It was a down year for Newton, who missed two games, but he still finished seventh in fantasy points per game. With 3,000-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons, Newton has finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in three of the past four seasons.

7.12 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Despite the inconsistency of touches for Cleveland's backs last year and the selection of Duke Johnson in the third round in this year's draft, I feel pretty comfortable that Crowell will lead the team's backfield in touches and production in 2015.

8.01 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson suffered a season-ending foot injury in Week 10 last year, but he averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game from Weeks 2 to 10. With good health, Robinson is poised to break out in 2015.

9.12 - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins: A much better option in PPR formats, Landry should still see a steady flow of targets from Ryan Tannehill. Landry was second among rookies in receptions (84) last year behind his ex-LSU teammate Odell Beckham (91) last season.

10.01 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Mathews has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt. While I think he will be relatively productive in a secondary role to DeMarco Murray, Murray is coming off a 497-touch campaign and is no lock to hold up for a full 16-game season. (To be fair, neither is Mathews.)

11.12 - Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots: LaFell is coming off a career year (74/953/7) and the team didn't draft a wide receiver or sign any free-agent wideouts of note.

12.01 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: While Colston set career lows in targets, receptions and yards per game last season, the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills bodes well for an improvement over those numbers.

13.12 - Jerick McKinnon, RB, Minnesota Vikings: McKinnon was productive (4.76 YPC) when he was on the field, but the return of Adrian Peterson will significantly limit his opportunities in 2015.

14.01 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

15.12 - Shaun Suisham, K, Pittsburgh Steelers

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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June 11, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 8 pick, Super Flex

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 8 pick, PPR scoring, Super Flex
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and QB-eligible Flex (QB, RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.08 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: Forte is coming off a record-breaking season as his 102 receptions were the most ever by a running back. With the team's coaching change, he's unlikely to come anywhere close to those reception totals (60-70 is more realistic), but it doesn't change the fact that he's one of the league's better receiving (and all-around) backs.

2.05 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks: With Aaron Rodgers (1.02) and Andrew Luck (1.03) already off the board, I debated taking Wilson (QB3 in my rankings) at 1.08. I was surprised (yet thrilled) that he was still available as Peyton Manning (1.12) and Tom Brady (2.04) were selected before this pick. Obviously, Wilson's rushing stats (849 yards and six TDs) propelled him to the top three in fantasy scoring last season, but the trade for Jimmy Graham gives him a big-time red-zone weapon that he has lacked.

3.08 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears: Jeffery followed up his sophomore campaign (89/1,421/7 plus 105 rushing yards) with 85/1,133/10 and 33 rushing yards. With Brandon Marshall no longer in Chicago, Jeffery is the clear No. 1 receiver in Chicago and should see a bump in targets (148 and 145 in the past two seasons, respectively).

4.05 - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins: The 14th quarterback off the board in this mock, Tannehill finished as the QB8 last season with career highs across the board -- 4,045 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, a 66.4 completion percentage and 311 rushing yards -- in his third season.

5.08 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Last year was a year to forget for Marshall (and the Bears). The Jets have the fewest passing yards in the NFL over the past two seasons combined, but I do expect Marshall to have a bounce-back season after his 1,000-yard streak ended last season.

6.05 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: At a position that generally lacks consistency, Olsen provides a high level of consistency and performance. Olsen set career highs last year with 84 receptions, 1,008 yards and 123 targets and has averaged 75/889/6 over the past three seasons.

7.08 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: I'm a huge believer in Jeremy Hill, but I think that Bernard can still be productive in a change-of-pace role. As an example, Hill rushed for 100-plus yards on 22-plus carries in each of the team's final three games last season. In those same games, Bernard finished as the weekly RB11, RB12 and RB6, respectively, in PPR scoring over that span.

8.05 - Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders: With a glimpse of what he could do last season, Murray should enter the 2015 season as Oakland's featured back with the potential for a true breakout season.

9.08 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Speaking of breakout seasons, 2015 will be one for Robinson provided he can stay healthy. Robinson was quietly having a very productive rookie season until a foot injury ended his season prematurely in Week 10. From Weeks 2 to 10, however, he averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game.

10.05 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: As noted above, the Jets rank last in passing yards over the past two seasons. During that span, the Niners are the next worst. That said, Boldin still managed to post back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons and he has been relatively consistent -- nine games of 5/50 last season. Only eight wide receivers (and two tight ends) had more 5/50 games.

11.08 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Reunited with Boldin, Smith started last season slowly but he finished the season strong. A TD-dependent vertical receiver, Smith provides some depth as my WR5.

12.05 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: With Melvin Gordon expected to carry the load on early downs, Woodhead should see the bulk of third-down snaps. While he missed almost all of last season, he racked up 1,034 yards from scrimmage, 76 receptions and eight touchdowns in his first season with the Chargers (2013).

13.08 - David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans: Last year was a disappointment for Bishop Sankey and it wouldn't surprise me if Cobb emerges as the more productive fantasy running back late in the season.

14.05 - Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncos: What a difference a year makes! While C.J. Anderson is the clear favorite to lead the Broncos backfield in production, we've seen late-round Broncos running backs (i.e., Anderson last year) become very valuable.

15.08 - New England Patriots D/ST

16.05 - Cody Parkey, K, Philadelphia Eagles

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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Initial 2015 NFL Power Rankings

With NFL teams now holding their mandatory mini-camps, we are only about six weeks away from the start of training camp and we're less than two months away from the first preseason game.

With that said, here are our initial 2015 NFL Power Rankings:

1. Seattle Seahawks (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Since Russell Wilson was drafted in the third round in 2012, no team has fewer pass attempts than Seattle (1,279). Despite leading a run-dominant offense, Wilson has thrown 20-plus TDs with 10 or fewer interceptions in each of his first three seasons. No other QB in league history has done that more than once in his first three seasons. And now Wilson finally has an elite weapon in the passing game with Jimmy Graham.

2. Green Bay Packers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

By re-signing right tackle Bryan Bulaga and wide receiver Randall Cobb, the Packers return all 11 offensive starters from the league's highest-scoring offense (30.4/G). Of course, the most important returning starter is league MVP Aaron Rodgers. Since becoming the team's starter in 2008, Rodgers leads the NFL in passer rating (106.6) and is one of three quarterbacks with a passer rating of 100.0; Peyton Manning (101.6) and Drew Brees (100.5) are the others.

3. New England Patriots (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

It's unclear if Tom Brady's four-game suspension will get reduced (and by how much), but the biggest (full-season) concern with the Patriots will be on the defensive side of the ball. Four of their top corners from last season including Darrelle Revis are no longer on the roster. The Patriots have often been a bend-don't-break defense (much better in scoring defense than total defense), but they ranked 13th in total defense last season after finishing 25th or worse in the previous four seasons.

4. Indianapolis Colts (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Finishing with an 11-5 record in each of his first three seasons, Andrew Luck set career highs last season with 4,761 passing yards and a league-high 40 passing touchdowns. Only Russell Wilson (36) has more regular-season wins than Luck (33) in the first three seasons of a career. (Luck is tied with Dan Marino and Matt Ryan for second.) Based on odds from Sportsbook.ag, the Colts (+750) have the best odds among AFC teams to win the Super Bowl.

5. Dallas Cowboys (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The Cowboys won the NFC East and got their first playoff victory since 2009. (And they were a dumb rule taking away a Dez Bryant catch away from getting to the NFC Championship Game). Not only did DeMarco Murray lead the NFL in rushing (1,845), but he broke Emmitt Smith's single-season franchise record. While Murray is gone, the Cowboys still have (one of) the league's best offensive line(s). Their defense was better, but not by much; their 5.809 yards per play allowed was eighth-worst in the NFL. (They were third-worst in 2013 at 6.074.)

6. Baltimore Ravens (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Breaking out as a 29-year-old, Justin Forsett re-signed with the Ravens for three years. His 1,266 rushing yards more than doubled his previous career high (619 in 2009) and only Russell Wilson (7.2 YPC) and Colin Kaepernick (6.1) averaged more yards per carry than Forsett (5.4). The hire of Marc Trestman to run the offense means that Forsett may end up doubling his career high in receptions (44, 2014).

7. Denver Broncos (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Peyton Manning is back for another season with a restructured contract tied to a postseason bonus. Over his illustrious career, Manning is 11-13 in 24 playoff games. In three postseasons with the Broncos, the Manning-led Broncos are one-and-done twice with an embarrassing 43-8 Super Bowl loss in the other postseason. The team's offensive line struggled a bit last year and losses due to injury and free agency make it only worse for the slow-footed Manning.

8. Arizona Cardinals (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

With injuries decimating their quarterback depth chart, the Cardinals scored less than 20 points in all of their final eight games counting their playoff loss with an average of just 12.88/G over that span. In their final three games (losses), however, they allowed 661 rushing yards (6.12 YPC). On a positive note, Carson Palmer (ACL) has already been cleared for 11-on-11 drills.

9. Philadelphia Eagles (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Considering how eventful the offseason was for the Eagles, the NFL Draft was a bit boring. Nelson Agholor fills the void of Jeremy Maclin, but there was no blockbuster trade for Marcus Mariota. Trading Nick Foles for Sam Bradford could pay off if Bradford can stay healthy, but he has played just seven games over the past two seasons combined.

10. Pittsburgh Steelers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Ben Roethlisberger, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown have their offense firing on all cylinders, but 2014 was the first time that the defense finished outside the top half of the league in total defense (18th) or scoring defense (18th) since 1991 (Chuck Noll's last season). The Steelers used six of their eight draft picks on the defensive side of the ball including edge rusher Bud Dupree (22nd overall) and cornerback Senquez Golson (56th) with their first two picks.

11. Cincinnati Bengals (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The good news? Andy Dalton had led the Bengals to the postseason in each of his four seasons. The bad news? Dalton has yet to win a playoff game. In fact, the offense hasn't scored more than 13 points in any of those four playoff losses and he has a combined one-to-six TD-to-INT ratio in the postseason. Dalton threw a career-low 481 pass attempts, but his interception rate (3.5 percent) set a career high. Over the final nine games of the season, no running back rushed for more yards than Jeremy Hill (929; Marshawn Lynch was second, 824) and they will continue to lean heavily on their rushing attack in 2015.

12. Miami Dolphins (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The Dolphins made a huge free-agent splash by signing defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, but Ryan Tannehill has made strides in each of his three seasons. All three non-Patriots teams in the AFC East have strong defenses, but the Dolphins have the best quarterback situation out of the group to challenge Brady & Co.

13. Kansas City Chiefs (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Not only did the Chiefs wide receivers have zero touchdowns in 2014, but they also had zero 100-yard games. Of the 208 100-yard receiving games last season in the NFL, tight end Travis Kelce had the Chiefs only 100-yard game. In addition, he had four of the team's nine games with 80-plus receiving yards. With Jeremy Maclin replacing Dwayne Bowe as the team's top receiver, the receiving corps should catch some touchdowns and have some 100-yard games, but Maclin was arguably the biggest free-agency "loser" in terms of his 2015 fantasy football outlook.

14. Detroit Lions (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Not only did the Lions lose Ndamukong Suh in free agency, but they lost all three of their top defensive tackles from last season. Fortunately, they traded for Haloti Ngata and selected Auburn's Gabe Wright in the fourth round to fill part of the void, but no team allowed fewer rushing yards (69.3 YPG, 3.2 YPC) than the Lions last season.

15. Buffalo Bills (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

No team has a longer playoff drought than the Bills (15 seasons), but they posted their first winning season (9-7) since 2004 (also 9-7). In addition, last year's second-place finish ended a streak of six consecutive last-place finishes in the AFC East. There are a lot of new pieces in place (LeSean McCoy, Percy Harvin, Charles Clay in addition to head coach Rex Ryan), but the most important addition may be Matt Cassel as quarterback is clearly the team's biggest weakness.

16. San Diego Chargers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Despite statements to the contrary prior to the NFL Draft, Philip Rivers appears open to the possibility of a long-term contract extension with the San Diego (Los Angeles?) Chargers as he enters the final year of his deal. The selection of Melvin Gordon in the first round should help take some pressure off Rivers as the Bolts averaged only 3.4 yards per carry (31st in NFL) last season.

17. Minnesota Vikings (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The Vikings did well, all things considered, in 2014 with a 7-9 record. With a rookie head coach (Mike Zimmer), rookie quarterback (Teddy Bridgewater) and no Adrian Peterson after Week 1, the Vikings closed the season with a 5-4 record. Four of the Vikes' nine losses last year were by three points or less, which was tied for the most such losses in the NFL. With their strong 2015 draft class and the return of Peterson, the Vikings could be much higher in our Power Rankings by the end of the season.

18. St. Louis Rams (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Since the Rams hired Jeff Fisher (2012), they rank second in the NFL in sacks (145) and passing touchdowns allowed (55). While the defense hasn't been a problem, Sam Bradford, now in Philadelphia, has played only seven games in the past two years combined. With better health from their starter, now Nick Foles, and a true foundation back in rookie Todd Gurley, the offense should be better in 2015 and beyond.

19. Carolina Panthers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The latest $100 Million quarterback, Cam Newton is now under contract through the 2020 season. In his four NFL seasons, Newton has thrown for 3,000-plus yards and rushed for 500-plus yards every season. No other quarterback in NFL history has as many such seasons; Randall Cunningham is second with three.

20. Houston Texans (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

No team ran the ball more than the Texans (551 carries) last season. Of the four teams with at least 500 rush attempts, however, the Texans (3.9 YPC) were the only team that averaged less than 4.5 YPC. That said, Arian Foster averaged 4.8 YPC and rushed for 95.8 yards per game, both of which were the second-highest of his career. Provided Foster can stay healthy, the offense's biggest concern remains the quarterback play as Ryan Mallett and Brian Hoyer battle it out for the starting gig.

21. New Orleans Saints (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Drew Brees has half of the eight 5,000-yard passing seasons in NFL history. Although his three-year streak of 5,000-plus yards ended last season, Brees was tied for the NFL lead (4,952). With Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills in Seattle and Miami, respectively, the Saints transition to more of a run-based offense should begin in earnest this year.

22. New York Giants (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Playing only 12 games, Odell Beckham led the NFL in receiving yards per game (108.8). Over the final nine games, ODB reached 90-plus yards every week and posted a nine-game stat line of 81/1,199/9. Only 11 other receivers had that many yards over the entire season.

23. Atlanta Falcons (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Over the past three seasons, the Falcons have a total of 83 sacks -- fewest in the NFL over that span. The selection of edge rusher Vic Beasley eighth overall is a step towards improving their pass rush. The last pass-rusher the Falcons selected in the first round was draft bust Jamaal Anderson (2007, 8th overall).

24. San Francisco 49ers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Following in the footsteps of Jim Harbaugh, who took the Niners to three NFC Championship Games in four seasons, Jim Tomsula begins his head coaching career with lots of changes to the team's roster. On defense, they lost Patrick Willis, Chris Borland and Justin Smith to retirement, both starting cornerbacks in free agency, plus Frank Gore, Mike Iupati, Anthony Davis and Michael Crabtree on offense.

25. New York Jets (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Not only did Leonard Williams, arguably the best prospect in the draft, fall to them at No. 6 to improve an already strong defensive line, but the return of Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie will help shore up an atrocious secondary that allowed 31 passing touchdowns with only six interceptions. That said, any hope of ending a four-year playoff drought falls squarely on the shoulders of Geno Smith and his development in Year 3.

26. Cleveland Browns (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Since the return of professional football to Cleveland in 1999, the Browns have only three quarterbacks that have won double-digit games: Tim Couch (22), Derek Anderson (16) and Brian Hoyer (10). In fact, Hoyer (10-6) is the only Browns quarterback to post a winning record since 1999 (via Pro Football Reference).

27. Chicago Bears (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Clearly, the Bears have "buyer's remorse" on the seven-year extension given to Jay Cutler by the previous regime. No quarterback had more multi-interception games than Cutler (seven) last season.

28. Washington Redskins (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Not only did RG3 miss multiple games due to injury, he was also benched at one point as well. Lacking the trust of his head coach, RG3 likely has a short leash heading into the 2015 season and threw just four touchdowns (to six interceptions) in 214 pass attempts last season.

29. Oakland Raiders (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

The Raiders have now gone 12 seasons without a winning record following their Super Bowl loss to the Bucs. During that span, they have won five or less games 10 times. The Raiders have had their fare share of misses on high draft picks during that span, but Khalil Mack (last year) and Amari Cooper (this year) are helping to turn the tide.

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

Obviously, the Bucs drafted Jameis Winston to be their franchise quarterback for the next decade or more. Of the 130 seasons of 4,000-plus passing yards, the Bucs account for just one -- Josh Freeman (4,065 in 2012). Making the transition easier for Winston, the Bucs have trees for pass-catchers in Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson and Austin Seferian-Jenkins, all 6-foot-5 or taller, and they invested in their offensive line with a pair of second-round selections -- Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet.

31. Jacksonville Jaguars (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

While I believe the Jags are a team heading in the right direction, it's tough that the third-overall pick (Dante Fowler) will miss the entire season after tearing his ACL during rookie mini-camp. Their past five first-round picks (all in the top 10, four in top five) are Blaine Gabbert, Justin Blackmon, Luke Joeckel, Blake Bortles and Fowler. Gabbert was released, Blackmon remains indefinitely suspended and Joeckel has disappointed.

32. Tennessee Titans (Record: 0-0; Last: N/A)

No team has lower Super Bowl 50 odds than the Titans (+20,000). While the Titans used the second-overall pick on Marcus Mariota and seven of their nine picks on offense, their defense allowed 27.4 PPG (tied for 29th in NFL) and 373.0 YPG (27th). On a positive note, reviews of Mariota have been glowing.

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2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 teams, No. 5 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 10 teams, No. 5 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.05 - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: No player has more rushing yards or total touchdowns than Lynch over the past four seasons. Provided he stays healthy, he's a lock for 1,200-plus yards and double-digit scores in 2015.

2.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Yet to sign his franchise tender, Thomas set career highs in receptions (111) and yards (1,619) last season and scored 11 touchdowns. Since Peyton Manning signed with the Broncos, Thomas has reached a 90/1,400/10 stat line in all three seasons. In fact, only Jerry Rice and Marvin Harrison have more 90/1,400/10 seasons (four each).

3.05 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers, Evans also was one of only six wide receivers to score 12 touchdowns last season. Evans should build upon last year's strong rookie season with an upgrade at quarterback.

4.06 - Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: With a surprise breakout season, Forsett finished eighth among running backs in fantasy points last season. With Marc Trestman now running the offense, Forsett should set a new career high in receptions even if he doesn't rush for 1,266 yards again.

5.05 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks: With a career-high 849 rushing yards and six touchdowns, Wilson finished as a top-three fantasy quarterback last season. And the addition of Jimmy Graham this offseason should only help his fantasy outlook in 2015.

6.06 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Olsen has been extremely durable (no missed games in seven seasons) and consistent (average 75/889/6 over the past three years).

7.05 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Even though Jeremy Hill closed the season with three consecutive 100-yard rushing games, Bernard still finished as the weekly RB11, RB17 and RB13, respectively, in standard-scoring formats in those games. In other words, I think Bernard can still be a low-end RB2 even though I expect Hill to get twice as many touches as Bernard.

8.06 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Randle was productive on a per-touch basis (6.73 YPC) last year and while the Cowboys will use a committee to replace DeMarco Murray, Randle appears to be the early favorite to lead the team's backfield in touches. If so, he'd be a bargain here.

9.05 - Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Floyd had a disappointing third season, but the Cardinals were down to their third-string quarterback at the end of the season. Provided Carson Palmer stays healthy, Floyd has some bounce-back appeal.

10.06 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: The team's second-round pick in this year's draft, Abdullah was highly productive at Nebraska and he'll eventually replace Joique Bell as the team's lead back. That said, it may not happen this season.

11.05 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Mathews has shown that he can be productive, when healthy. Struggling with durability, he enters the season second on the depth chart behind Murray, who has also struggled with durability and is coming off a 497-touch season.

12.06 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With an outstanding combination of size/speed, Johnson was able to showcase his abilities down the stretch last season. I expect continued improvement and expect him to lead the team's receivers in production this season.

13.05 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: The Saints traded both Graham and Kenny Stills, which bodes well for Brandin Cooks and Colston, who set per-game lows in receptions, targets and yards.

14.06 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick got out of the gates quickly last season, but a shoulder injury ended his season prematurely. If he can play 16 games this season, this could be a breakout season for him.

15.05 - New York Jets D/ST

16.06 - Cody Parkey, K, Philadelphia Eagles

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

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June 10, 2015

Updated 2015 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

It was the first time in a decade that it didn't happen.

Three of the greatest quarterbacks of this generation -- Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Drew Brees -- all finished outside the top-three fantasy quarterbacks in 2014. From 2005 to 2013, at least one of those three quarterbacks had finished as a top-three fantasy quarterback every season.

Could that happen for a second year in a row? Based on my rankings, my answer is yes.

With that said, here are my fantasy football quarterback rankings for 2015:

1. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, Rodgers was also the top-scoring fantasy quarterback as well. Since becoming Green Bay's starting quarterback seven years ago, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in six of seven seasons with the lone exception due to injury (broken clavicle, 2013). Over the past four seasons, Rodgers has compiled a combined 139:25 TD-to-INT ratio with an average of 8.5 yards per attempt, 112.6 passer rating and 67.0 completion percentage.

2. Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Throwing for 4,761 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, both of which were career highs, Luck's 40 TDs last season nearly equalled his total from his first two seasons combined (46 TDs). During the season, Luck had the second-longest streak of 300-yard games (eight) in NFL history. Like with Rodgers, Luck gets a boost from his mobility and he has rushed 62-64 times in all three seasons with at least 255 yards each year and a total of 12 touchdowns.

3. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

A top-three fantasy quarterback in 2014, Wilson rushed for 849 yards and six touchdowns, both of which were career highs, and netted fantasy owners an average of 7.56 fantasy points per game from rushing stats alone. While he won't post gaudy passing statistics in Seattle's run-dominant offense, Wilson is the first quarterback in league history to throw 20-plus touchdowns with 10 or fewer interceptions in each of his first three NFL seasons, per Pro Football Reference. Wilson's volume of pass attempts may not jump a ton in 2015, but the Seahawks pulled off a blockbuster trade for tight end Jimmy Graham, which significantly boosts the team's weapons in the passing game and especially in the red zone.

4. Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos

With a slow finish to the season, Manning finished the year as the QB4 (312.68 fantasy points) behind Rodgers (354.14), Luck (350.74) and Wilson (327.6). In the first 11 games of the season, Manning averaged 23.96 fantasy points per game (323.45 YPG, 34 TDs and nine INTs). In the final five games of the season, he averaged 9.83 FPPG (233.8 YPG, five TDs and six INTs) and never scored more than 13.02 fantasy points in any of those games. Much of the decline can be attributed to last year's thigh injury, but Manning's passing production also slows as the weather turns colder.

5. Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

Dealing with multiple injuries and missing two games, it was a down year for Newton who didn't appear to be himself when he was on the field. That said, Newton has now exceeded 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons. Over those four seasons, he has averaged 3,606 passing yards and 20 passing touchdowns per season as well as 643 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. And despite the down year, Newton finished seventh in fantasy points per game (17.78) among QBs.

6. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

After three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons, Brees fell just shy of that mark in 2014 but still finished with a league-high 4,952 yards and threw 33 touchdowns, which ties a seven-year low. For the first time since signing with the Saints in 2006, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) in 2014. Brees has thrown at least 650 pass attempts in five consecutive seasons and he led the league in pass attempts per game (41.2) last season, but a transition to a more run-based offense has begun in earnest with both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills traded in the offseason.

7. Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Based on 2014 average draft position (ADP), Roethlisberger was one of the biggest values last season. Only four quarterbacks scored more fantasy points than Roethlisberger -- Rodgers, Luck, Wilson and Peyton. Big Ben threw for a career-high 4,952 yards, which tied Drew Brees last season for the league lead, and 32 touchdowns, which tied a previous career high. It wouldn't surprise me if Roethlisberger posted another top-five finish in 2015.

8. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

As Brady faces a four-game suspension for the DeflateGate scandal, it's unclear whether -- and by how much -- his suspension will be reduced following appeal. (My guess is that it gets cut to two games.) Brady had a rough four-game start to last season as well as he averaged just 197.75 Y/G with only four total touchdowns during that span. From Week 5 on, however, things clicked as only Peyton Manning (31) threw more touchdowns than Brady (29) over that stretch. With good health once again for Rob Gronkowski, Brady could post top-five production on a per-game basis in 2015.

9. Eli Manning, New York Giants

In the first six games of the season, Eli finished outside the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks in all but one game. Beginning with Odell Beckham's third NFL game (Week 7), however, Manning finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games last season. (And a sixth game was inside the weekly top 10.) With a full season of ODB, the return of Victor Cruz, the free-agent addition of one of the league's better receiving backs (Shane Vereen) and more comfort and familiarity within Ben McAdoo's offense, Eli has the potential to post career numbers in 2015, which is a contract year. In addition, only Tampa and Washington have a more favorable fantasy strength of schedule than Eli does.

10. Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Ryan has more than 4,500 passing yards in three consecutive seasons with the third-most (13,928) over that span. In addition, he has 26-plus touchdowns in five consecutive seasons and the sixth-most (143) during that span. Over his past five seasons, Ryan has finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in four of them, which makes him a solid mid-QB1 option to target. That said, he has yet to finish as a top-six fantasy quarterback in his career.

11. Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Over his past three seasons, Romo's pass attempts have dropped from 648 (2012) to 535 (2013) to 435 (2014). Despite the drop in volume, Romo threw 34 touchdowns, the most for him since 2007, with only nine interceptions, a four-year low. In addition, Romo led the league in Y/A (8.5), completion percentage (69.9), touchdown percentage (7.8) and passer rating (113.2) last year. Assuming the team stays committed to the run game without DeMarco Murray, who signed a free-agent deal with the Eagles, Romo's upside could be somewhat limited if he throws in that 450-attempt range again this year. Despite his career year in efficiency, Romo finished just outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks last season.

12. Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions

No quarterback underachieved expectations more last season than Stafford, who finished as the QB15 in 2014. Even with the free-agent signing and breakout season from Golden Tate (99/1,331/4), Stafford threw for only 4,247 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. With better health from Calvin Johnson, who missed a few games and was a decoy in others, Stafford should post better numbers in 2015.

13. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins

Tannehill posted career highs in passing yards (4,045), passing touchdowns (27) and completion percentage (66.4) with a career low in interceptions (12) in his first year playing for new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor. In addition, he rushed for a career-high 311 yards, which ranked fifth among all quarterbacks last season. Starting in Week 6, Tannehill finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in six of 11 weeks. The team's group of top pass-catchers was entirely turned over except for Jarvis Landry, but Tannehill has some upside for those that wait on quarterback in 2015.

14. Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers

Winning the Comeback Player of the Year award in 2013, Rivers followed up his bounce-back season with 4,286 yards and 31 touchdowns but he also threw 18 interceptions. Dealing with a back injury, Rivers threw seven of those interceptions in the final three games of the season. Fortunately Rivers didn't need back surgery this offseason and he should be a relatively safe bet for 4,000-plus yards and around 30 touchdowns once again in 2015.

15. Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings

Bridgewater improved throughout his rookie season, which is something you always want to see but especially with a young quarterback. All four of his games with a completion percentage of at least 70 percent occurred within the final five games of the season. In addition, Bridgewater posted a 1:5 TD-to-INT ratio in his first four games but then a 13:7 TD-to-INT ratio for the remainder of the season. With the attention that Adrian Peterson commands from opposing defenses, it should open up the passing offense for Bridgewater in Year 2.

16. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals

It was mostly a lost season for Palmer, who missed a total of 10 games with significant injuries, but he actually finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in terms of fantasy points per game (17.26) last season. Provided he stays healthy, Palmer is a high-end backup fantasy quarterback in Bruce Arians' vertical passing attack with Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown forming a good trio of receivers.

17. Sam Bradford, Philadelphia Eagles

In five NFL seasons since being drafted first overall by the Rams, Bradford has played a total of 49 games -- and only seven of 32 games in the past two years. If, a big if, Bradford starts 16 games for the Eagles, however, he has the potential to finish as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2015. The duo of Nick Foles and Mark Sanchez combined to throw 4,581 yards, 27 touchdowns and 21 interceptions last season and score 258.74 fantasy points, which would have placed them 14th among quarterbacks last year.

18. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers

Kaepernick averaged fewer yards per attempt (7.0), threw fewer touchdowns (19) and more interceptions (10) than he did in 2013 (7.7 Y/A, 21 TDs and eight INTs) despite throwing more pass attempts (478 in 2014 vs. 416 in 2013). Given the changes to the roster and coaching staff, the 49ers should find themselves trailing (and throwing) more often in 2015. Meanwhile, the addition of Torrey Smith gives the 49ers a vertical threat that can take advantage of Kaepernick's strong arm. Kaep also set career highs in rush attempts (105) and rushing yards (639), but he rushed for only one touchdown last year after nine touchdowns in the previous two years combined.

19. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

Flacco quietly finished as fantasy's QB13 last season ahead of Cutler, Stafford, Kaepernick among others. While the team lost Torrey Smith and Owen Daniels in free agency, they used their first two picks in this year's draft on replacements -- Breshad Perriman and Maxx Williams. Flacco may lack the upside to be an elite fantasy quarterback, but he has never finished worse than QB19 in his seven NFL seasons and the hire of Marc Trestman as offensive coordinator is certainly a positive.

20. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears

Benched a game in favor of Jimmy Clausen, Cutler played only 15 games and led the league in multi-interception games (seven) last season. Despite the massive contract given to Cutler from the last regime in the previous offseason, he's clearly not in the team's long-term plans and could have a short leash if he doesn't cut down on the turnovers. Per CSN Chicago, the plan is to "take some things away from Cutler and shrink the game for him," which will hopefully cut down on his interception rate. On a positive note, they drafted the talented Kevin White with the seventh overall pick to give him another dynamic weapon opposite Alshon Jeffery.

21. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins

Coach Jay Gruden is clearly not RG3's biggest fan and there is plenty of dysfunction in the nation's capital. Appearing in nine games (missing some due to injury and others due to benching), RG3 threw just four touchdowns with six interceptions last season. Much of Griffin's fantasy upside is derived from his rushing ability, but he averaged only 19.6 rushing yards per game last year and has just one rushing touchdown in his past 22 games. And of course, his rushing attempts expose him to greater injury risk. RG3 remains a high-risk, (potential) high-reward option as a QB2 heading into 2015.

22. Nick Foles, St. Louis Rams

Two seasons ago, Foles had a breakout season (27:2 TD-to-INT ratio and 9.1 Y/A in 13 games) and Chip Kelly said he would be the team's quarterback for the "next 1,000 years." After a disappointing half-season prior to breaking his collarbone, the 1,000 years are up and Kelly traded him to the Rams. Meanwhile, the transition to the Rams is a downgrade on a number of fronts -- leakier offensive line, lesser talent at skill positions (compared to 2013/2014 Eagles) and much tougher pass defenses in the NFC West compared to NFC East.

23. Geno Smith, New York Jets

It wasn't a great 2014 season for Geno, but he did improve his completion percentage to 59.7 percent (from 55.8 percent as a rookie) and his TD-to-INT ratio to 13:13 (from 12:21). Going into the 2015 season, Smith has some upside with an improved group of weapons with Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and rookie Devin Smith as his top three wide receivers and Jace Amaro going into his second season.

24. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Despite his past off-the-field concerns, Winston possesses strong on-field intangibles (leadership skills and football intelligence) that you'd want in a franchise quarterback. Based on the style of Florida State's offense and the pair of 6-foot-5 1,000-yard receivers (Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson) already on Tampa's roster, Winston will likely make more of a fantasy impact early in his career than fellow rookie Marcus Mariota. In addition, Winston has the most-favorable fantasy football strength of schedule among QBs going into the 2015 season.

The best of the rest:

25. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans
26. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals
27. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders
28. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs
29. Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars
30. Jimmy Garoppolo, New England Patriots
31. Ryan Mallett, Houston Texans
32. Matt Cassel, Buffalo Bills
33. Josh McCown, Cleveland Browns
34. Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets
35. Johnny Manziel, Cleveland Browns

Check out more of our 2015 fantasy rankings:

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2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 teams, No. 10 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 16 teams, No. 10 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.10 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: While he set the single-season receptions record (102) for running backs last season under outgoing coach Marc Trestman, Forte finished fourth in fantasy points among running backs in standard-scoring formats. Only the Raiders and Bucs ran the ball fewer times than the Bears last season and while Forte's reception totals should drop without Trestman, his rush attempts should increase.

2.07 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Tied for Demaryius Thomas for second in fantasy points scored among wide receivers, Nelson finished with 98 receptions for 1,519 yards, both of which were career highs, and 13 touchdowns.

3.10 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Closing the season strong, Stewart rushed for 491 yards in his final five games. Only DeMarco Murray (491) had more during that span. Especially in a deep league, Stewart's injury history (20 missed games over past three seasons) concerns me, but he's a high-upside RB2 in a 16-teamer.

4.07 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Unlike Stewart, Olsen has been extremely durable with seven consecutive seasons with no missed games. Not only safe from a durability standpoint, but Olsen has finished as a top-seven fantasy tight end in three consecutive seasons and set career highs of 84 catches and 1,008 yards last season.

5.10 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Even though Jeremy Hill will shoulder the larger share of the load, Bernard showed that the Bengals can have two productive fantasy running backs at the same time. In the final three games of the season, Hill carried the ball 22-plus times for 100-plus yards yet Bernard still finished as the RB11, RB17 and RB13, respectively, in standard-scoring formats.

6.07 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Finishing as a top-10 fantasy quarterback last season, Eli and the offense started slow as they adjusted to Ben McAdoo's offense. In his final 10 games, Manning finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback five times. With a full season from Odell Beckham and the return of Victor Cruz, things should be even better for Eli with more comfort with the system.

7.10 - Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets: The next three receivers were drafted in inverse order of my rankings. While that may seem illogical, you can see (photo above) that FantasyPros Pick Predictor expects Decker to be selected before the other two. Ultimately, the three players fall only a few spots (77 to 82) within my overall rankings so it was worth the risk even if I failed to land my preferred option (Anquan Boldin).

8.07 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith started slowly, but he finished strong (WR14 from Weeks 6 to 17). Smith fills the team's void for a vertical threat, but there is a boom-or-bust nature to Smith's game.

9.10 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Unlike his new (and former) teammate, Boldin has little boom to his game, which makes him somewhat of a boring pick, but he's been consistent (12 games of 50-plus yards last year). In addition, he has 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons even though the 49ers rank 31st in passing yards during that span.

10.07 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a solid rookie season, especially given the team's quarterback woes/injuries, but he should build upon that success in 2015 (with good quarterback health).

11.10 - Dan Herron, RB, Indianapolis Colts: Boom Herron was productive down the stretch in a high-volume role. While Frank Gore becomes the team's bellcow back, Gore is 32 years old with a lot of wear and tear on the tires. If Gore misses any time, Herron would have a lot of value.

12.07 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Coming off a serious shoulder injury, there is some risk with Quick, but he was on his way to a breakout season last year with three top-25 weekly finishes to begin the season. If he stays healthy and puts it all together, there is upside, but I don't need to rely on him as my WR6.

13.10 - Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears: It was a year to forget for Cutler (and the Bears). While optimism is relatively low for 2015, he was the QB26 in this mock and a total of 29 were selected. If this were a real league, there'd be virtually no QBs on the waiver wire.

14.07 - Miami Dolphins D/ST

15.10 - Nick Novak, K, San Diego Chargers

- View full mock draft results here

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June 09, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings - June 9th Update

Among fantasy football's major positions, running back is arguably the most difficult to predict.

While I generally prefer to draft at least two running backs within my first three picks, plenty of late(r)-round selections will pay huge dividends for fantasy owners.

As an example, four of the top-12 fantasy running backs last season were drafted, on average, outside the top-30 fantasy running backs last year — Lamar Miller (No. 9, ADP: RB31), Jeremy Hill (No. 10, ADP: RB42), C.J. Anderson (No. 11, ADP: RB65) and Justin Forsett (No. 8, ADP: Undrafted).


With that said, here are my fantasy football running back rankings for 2015:

1. Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Despite a somewhat disappointing season, Charles finished as the seventh-highest scoring fantasy running back in 2014. The 28-year-old back rushed for 1,033 yards, his fifth 1,000-yard season, and added 40 catches for 291 yards while scoring a total of 14 touchdowns. Despite a year-over-year decline in all of those numbers, the biggest concern was a reduction in workload. After 320-plus touches in back-to-back seasons, Charles had just 246 touches -- 15 running backs had more -- in 2014. Perhaps we won't see Charles get in the 320-range ever again, but it would be a surprise to see him as low as 246 again this season.

2. Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers

Starting slowly while facing three elite rush defenses to start the season, only DeMarco Murray and Le'Veon Bell scored more fantasy points than Lacy did from Weeks 4 to 17. Over those final 13 games of the season, he averaged 18.92 touches for 108.85 YFS per game and scored a total of 13 touchdowns. The benefit of playing with Aaron Rodgers means that opposing defenses are less likely to stack the box to (try to) slow down Lacy. After averaging a relatively modest 4.15 yards per carry as a rookie, Lacy averaged 4.63 YPC last season (and 4.89 YPC over final 13 games).

3. Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

One of the league's all-time best running backs, Peterson rushed for 2,097 yards back just a couple of seasons ago. After last year's lost season, it was unclear where he would play in 2015, but the draft has come and gone and Peterson has reported to the team. Assuming that he plays all 16 games (or close to it), the 30-year-old Peterson should finish as a top-five (or better) back in 2015.

4. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

With his production spiking to 1,361 rushing yards, 83 receptions for 854 yards and 11 total touchdowns in his second season, Bell was named to the 2014 AP First-Team All-Pro Team. Whether the Steelers have the lead (and want to use the clock) or trail (and need to throw), Bell's versatility makes him a true three-down back and his production won't vary much based on game flow. Unfortunately for Bell (and his fantasy owners), he's suspended for the first three games of the season.

Over the course of last year, Bell averaged 17.97 fantasy points per game although his production spiked to 24.7/G with LeGarrette Blount out of the picture. If he maintained his full-season average of 17.97/G over 13 games this year, however, Bell would score 233.59 fantasy points, which would have ranked him sixth among running backs in 2014. In other words, a replacement-level back for the first three weeks combined with Bell, who I expect to lead the league in per-game production, for 13 games could certainly finish as a top-three back (or better) in 2015.

5. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks

In his four full seasons in Seattle, Lynch has rushed for 1,200-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns in those seasons. During that four-year span, no running back has more rushing yards (5,357) or rushing touchdowns (48) and no player has more total touchdowns (56). Beast Mode's production hasn't slowed at all, but his physical running style (granted, he seems to dish out more punishment than he receives), heavy workload (league-high 1,479 regular-season and playoff touches over that four-year span) and age (turned 29 in April) is at least somewhat concerning. That said, Lynch seems to be a lock for another 1,200 rushing yards and double-digit touchdowns in one of the league's most run-dominant offenses.

6. Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears

Not only did Forte lead all running backs in receptions (102) last year, but only three players had more -- Antonio Brown (129), Demaryius Thomas (111) and Julio Jones (104) -- as he broke the record for receptions by a running back. With the coaching change, Forte isn't likely to see anywhere close to triple-digit receptions again, but he could certainly finish with around 70 catches. And although Forte averaged less than four yards per carry for the first time since 2009, he has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and has at least 929 rushing yards in all seven of his NFL seasons. Only the Raiders (337) and Bucs (353) ran the ball less than the Bears (355) last season and I'd expect the Bears to be more committed to the run in 2015.

7. Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Over the final nine games of the season, Hill had 22-plus carries and 100-plus rushing yards five times including the final three games of the regular season. During that nine-game span, Hill had 172 carries for 929 yards and six touchdowns and no running back had more rushing yards than Hill during that stretch. (Lynch was second with 824 yards.) Going into the 2015 season, Hill is clearly the team's lead back with Giovani Bernard back as the change-of-pace option.

8. LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills

Barely finishing as a top-12 fantasy running back last season, McCoy finished third in the league in rushing (1,319 yards) and was one of only two backs with 300-plus carries. Not only did he average nearly a yard per carry less in 2014 than 2013, McCoy also saw his receptions (52 in 2013) and touchdowns (11 in 2013) drop roughly in half to 28 and five, respectively. Despite running behind an inferior offensive line (compared to Philadelphia's), McCoy should see a healthy volume of work within Buffalo's ground-and-pound offense.

9. DeMarco Murray, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Murray has always been productive on a per-game, per-touch basis. Before last season's career year, Murray averaged 4.95 yards per carry in his first three seasons combined. The issue with Murray (before 2014) was durability as he missed multiple games in each of those three seasons. With a total of 497 touches including the playoffs last year, durability could remain Murray's biggest concern in 2015 as well. Even though the team added another talented (and injury-prone) running back (Ryan Mathews) in free agency, I'd expect Murray to still get roughly 20 touches per game, when healthy. But will he hold up for another full season?

10. Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans

Did you know that the Houston Texans led the NFL in rush attempts in 2014? When healthy, Foster is one of the league's few workhorse backs. Although Foster missed three games in 2014, he averaged 95.8 rushing yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry, both of which were four-year highs, and scored double-digit touchdowns (13). Not only did Foster finish as a top-five fantasy running back last season, but he also finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in 10 of 13 weeks last season.

11. C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos

If Anderson were assured a massive workload as the featured back, I'd be all-in on him this year. From Week 10 to 17 last year, Anderson finished as a top-five fantasy running back in six of eight games. In the other two games, he was still very productive as the RB10 and RB16 for those given weeks. With a healthy backfield and a new coaching staff heading into 2015, how will Gary Kubiak allocate the workload between Anderson, Ronnie Hillman and Montee Ball?

12. Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers

For re-draft purposes, I expect Gordon to be the most productive rookie running back in 2015. MG3 has drawn some comparisons to Jamaal Charles and enters a favorable situation with the injury-prone Ryan Mathews no longer in San Diego. The Bolts should give Gordon a significant share of the early-down work and I expect him to approach 250 touches as a rookie.

13. Alfred Morris, RB, Washington Redskins

Morris averaged a career-low 4.1 YPC last season, but he rushed 265 times for 1,074, also career lows, and eight touchdowns. Despite the shaky quarterback situation, Alf should benefit on a per-carry basis if RG3 is back as the starter with his athleticism putting additional strain on run defenses. Washington's offensive line struggled last year, but the team used the fifth-overall pick on Brandon Scherff and the addition of Bill Callahan to the coaching staff is certainly a positive for the team's offensive line play and rushing attack overall.

14. Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins coaching staff seemed reluctant to give Miller as much work as his fantasy owners would have liked, but Miller was highly productive on a per-touch basis (5.09 YPC, 7.24 Y/R). With more than 15 carries in only four games last season, Miller still managed to post his first-ever 1,000-yard season (1,099 rushing yards). In addition, Miller was very consistent throughout the season as he finished as a top-21 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks. Although they didn't draft Jay Ajayi until the fifth round (due to long-term concerns about his knee), Ajayi profiles as a potential three-down back in this league and could cap Miller's upside in 2015.

15. Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens

Arguably the biggest surprise in fantasy football last season, Forsett scored more fantasy points than all but seven other running backs in 2014. Forsett, who re-signed with the Ravens this offseason, rushed for a career-high 1,266 yards last season and averaged an RB-high 5.4 YPC while adding 44 receptions for 263 yards. With Marc Trestman hired as the team's new offensive coordinator, Forsett could finish with 70 or more receptions after Matt Forte set the single-season running back record under Trestman last season.

16. Frank Gore, RB, Indianapolis Colts

With the exception of an 11-game season in 2010, Gore has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in eight of his past nine seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. I'm not sure the streak will continue for the 32-year-old back, but Chuck Pagano has said that he still views Gore as an every-down back. One of the league's better pass-catching backs earlier in his career, Gore should be much more involved as a receiver than he has been over the past four seasons (average of 18 catches per season) in San Francisco.

17. Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints

Once again, Ingram missed multiple games and has now missed a total of 14 games over his four-year career. That said, Ingram set career highs in the 13 games he did play in 2014 -- 226 carries, 964 rushing yards, nine touchdowns and 29 receptions. Ingram has re-signed with the Saints and should lead the team's three-headed rushing attack in carries. Given the team's offseason moves, a transition to more of a run-based offense appears to be in the offing.

18. Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers

With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde projects atop the 49ers depth chart at running back although they signed Reggie Bush in free agency and drafted Mike Davis as well. With Gore ahead of him last year on the depth chart, Hyde had just 83 carries for 333 yards and four touchdowns as a rookie. Not only will his workload expand significantly, but I expect his effectiveness on a per-carry basis to increase from last year's 4.0 yards-per-carry average. On a positive note, Hyde has shed some weight and is now in the "mid 220-pound range," which should improve his elusiveness yet still allow him to flourish near the goal line.

19. Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers

Over the final five games of the season, Stewart, who recently turned 28, rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) and only DeMarco Murray (491) had more rushing yards during that span. With DeAngelo Williams now in Pittsburgh, it appears that the team finally recognizes that The Daily Show gives their offense the best opportunity for success.

20. Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals

The good news is that Ellington averaged more than 20 touches per game last season. The bad news is that Ellington averaged more than 20 touches per game last season. Given Ellington's size (5-9, 199), it wasn't a huge (no pun intended) surprise that Ellington didn't hold up for a full season and missed the final four regular-season games. With the substantial bump in workload, Ellington underwhelmed as his yards-per-carry average plummeted from 5.5 YPC as a rookie to 3.3 on 201 carries last season.

- Continue to Running Backs 21-40

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2015 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings - June 9th Update

A wide receiver has scored 250-plus fantasy points 12 times in the history of the NFL.

Nearly half of those 250-point seasons belong to one player, Jerry Rice (five). Only four of them have occurred since the turn of the century — Randy Moss (2003 and 2007), Calvin Johnson (2011) and Antonio Brown (2014).

Amazingly, Brown never finished as the highest-scoring fantasy wide receiver in any given week throughout the 2014 season. (In fact, that applies to both standard- and PPR-scoring formats.) Yet no wide receiver had more fantasy points over the course of the season -- in either format -- than Brown.

Over the past two seasons, Brown has a combined 239 receptions for 3,197 yards and 21 touchdowns. He also has 17 rushing yards and two return touchdowns. More impressive than his overall level of production, however, is his consistency. Brown had at least five receptions and 70 yards in all 17 games (counting their playoff loss) last season. Going back to the start of 2013, Brown has at least five catches and 50 yards in 33 consecutive games.

One of the things that you'll often hear in fantasy football is that you can't win your league in the first round, but you can lose it. With Brown's production and consistency, there isn't a safer pick among wide receivers.

Here are my fantasy football wide receiver rankings for 2015:

1. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

See above.

2. Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos

Despite his slow start, Thomas went over 100 yards in 10 of his final 13 games and finished with a full-season stat line of 111 catches and 1,619 yards, both of which were career highs, and 11 touchdowns. With the Broncos using their franchise tag on Thomas (in hopes of finalizing a long-term deal prior to the July 15th deadline) and Peyton Manning returning for at least one more season, a fourth consecutive year of 90-plus receptions, 1,400-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns seems like a strong possibility.

3. Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Targeted only 136 times, a three-year low, Bryant finished with 88 receptions for 1,320 yards and a career-high and league-leading 16 touchdowns. Dez now has at least 88 catches, 1,233 yards and 12 touchdowns in three consecutive seasons. And aside from Marshawn Lynch, Bryant is the only other player with at least 50 total touchdowns over the past four seasons. The Cowboys used their franchise tag on Bryant, but I'd be surprised if they found common ground on a long-term deal prior to the July 15th cutoff.

4. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

On the season, Jones finished with 104 catches for 1,593 yards, both of which shattered his previous career highs, and six touchdowns. After scoring 0.62 TD/G on 74.4 YPG in his first two seasons, Jones has averaged just 0.40 TD/G despite a jump to 1087.7 YPG over the past two seasons. With plus size and speed, Jones should bounce back in terms of red-zone production and could put together a 100/1,500/10 season in 2015 with good health.

5. Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions

Including playoff appearances, Megatron has more 200-yard games (six) than any other receiver in league history. And while he still has as much potential as any receiver to take over a given game, he has battled some injuries over the past couple of seasons and missed a total of five games in 2013 and 2014. Johnson also appeared in a few games as a decoy, which can be even worse for fantasy owners than missed games. With five consecutive 1,000-yard seasons, Megatron has averaged a stat line of 90/1,467/11 during that span.

6. Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

Closing the season with nine consecutive games of 90-plus yards, Beckham racked up a massive stat line of 81/1,199/9 on 115 targets during that nine-game stretch. In fact, only 11 other receivers had more yards in all of 2014 than OBJ had in his final nine games. And as impressive as that sounds, he was even more dominant over his final four games -- 43/606/7 on 63 targets. While ODB is far from being the biggest receiver, his combination of hands, route-running ability, speed and elusiveness makes him nearly impossible to cover especially in today's age of offense-friendly rules.

7. Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers

Not only is wide receiver deep, it's deep with elite wide receivers. The only receiver to score more fantasy points than Nelson last season was Brown. While Nelson may not finish as a top-two producer at the position once again, he's certainly one of a group of eight wideouts that has the talent and opportunity to do so.

8. A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Injuries kept Green from building upon 2013's numbers (98/1,426/11), but he extended his streak of 1,000-yard seasons to begin his career to four. Only Megatron (6,214), Brown (5,092) and Demaryius (5,034) have more yards during that four-year span than Green (4,874). With good health, Green is a good bet for at least 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns in 2015.

9. Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears

With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets and using a top-seven pick on West Virginia's Kevin White, Jeffery now takes over as the team's clear No. 1 wide receiver. Despite year-over-year dips in both receptions (85) and receiving yards (1,133), Jeffery posted a career high in touchdowns (10) and finished with the 11th-most fantasy points among wide receivers last season.

10. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Evans started and finished slowly in terms of yardage, but he was one of three rookie receivers to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark last year. From Weeks 9 to 11, he gave us a glimpse of what we can expect when things really click as he posted a massive 21/458/5 line over that three-game stretch. And the 6-foot-5 receiver is already one of the league's best red-zone threats as he scored 10 touchdowns over his final nine games as a rookie.

11. Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay Packers

Set to turn 25 in August, Cobb re-signed with the Packers prior to the official start of NFL free agency. Of course, playing in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense helps to maximize his fantasy value this year and going forward. Cobb finished the season with 91 receptions for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns, all of which set career highs, but I would be surprised if he scored 12 touchdowns again in 2015.

12. T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Hilton had a breakout 82/1,345/7 season last year. And that breakout year would have been even better if he weren't limited down the stretch by a hamstring injury. With good health, I'd expect Hilton to set new career highs in both receptions and yards this season.

13. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Emerging as the team's most productive wide receiver last season, Hopkins took a huge step forward in his second season with a 76/1,210/6 stat line. This offseason, the Texans released Andre Johnson, their all-time leading receiver. If there's any concern when it comes to Hopkins taking another step forward in his third season, it's the team's less-than-inspiring quarterback play, but he's a borderline WR1/WR2 option in fantasy leagues heading into 2015.

14. Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Carolina Panthers

Along with Mike Evans and Odell Beckham, Benjamin was one of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers in 2014. Like Evans, Benjamin is a big-bodied (6-5, 240) receiver that wins in the red zone. As a rookie, Benjamin was the focal point of the passing attack along with tight end Greg Olsen and he should only see his stream of targets increase in his sophomore campaign. That said, Benjamin will need to cut down on the drops as only Mohamed Sanu (14) had more drops than Benjamin (11) last season, according to PFF.

15. Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints

Playing only 10 games as a rookie before landing on season-ending Injured Reserve, Cooks, like most rookie receivers, was inconsistent on a week-to-week basis. That said, Cooks had three top-12 performances last season including two in his final four games before the injury. Through Week 11, his 86.3 fantasy points ranked 25th among wide receivers. Going into 2015, I expect better production from Cooks on a per-game basis with a full offseason to get more comfortable with the offense. In addition, the team traded away two of its best weapons -- Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills -- in the passing game.

16. Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos

In his first season with the Broncos, Sanders blew his previous career highs out of the water. With previous career highs set in 2013 of 67/740/6, Sanders finished with 101 receptions for 1,404 yards and nine touchdowns. Even though Sanders is a better option in point-per-reception (PPR) formats, he's a solid mid-tier WR2 option in standard-scoring leagues heading into 2015.

17. Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Playing only 65.0 percent of the team's offensive snaps as a rookie, that ratio will undoubtedly spike in his second season as the team lost Jeremy Maclin via free agency. Even if the Eagles were able to re-sign Maclin, I would have expected Matthews to play in two-WR sets ahead of Riley Cooper, who played in 81.7 percent of offensive snaps. In his first season in the league, Matthews finished with 67 receptions for 872 yards and eight touchdowns and finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver.

18. Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets

A lot went wrong for Marshall and the Bears offense last season as he missed multiple games, was limited in others, Jay Cutler struggled and was benched, etc. Marshall posted his lowest totals for both receptions (61) and yards (721) since his rookie season, but he was traded to the Jets in the offseason and gets a fresh start. A return to his 2012 or 2013 numbers appear unlikely, but I expect a bounce-back season to more than 1,000 yards. Before last year, Marshall had seven consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.

19. Andre Johnson, WR, Indianapolis Colts

After back-to-back 1,400-yard seasons, Johnson finished with 85 receptions for just 936 yards and three touchdowns in 2014. Johnson's 62.4 Y/G and 11.0 Y/R were his lowest since 2005. Released by the Texans this offseason, Johnson signed with the Colts and gets a major upgrade in quarterback situation with Andrew Luck. Johnson, who turns 34 in July, may never record another 1,400-yard season, but 1,000-plus yards seems likely.

20. Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills

The fourth overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft, Watkins finished his rookie campaign with 65 receptions for 982 yards and six touchdowns. While Watkins had four 100-yard games including a career-high 157 yards against his new head coach's former team, he also had nine games with 35 receiving yards or less. In a run-first offense with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation, there will still be plenty of weekly inconsistency from Watkins even though his overall numbers should improve on a year-over-year basis.

- Continue to Wide Receivers 21-40

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2015 Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings - June 9th Update

When it comes to fantasy tight ends, New England's Rob Gronkowski in a tier all by himself.

Named the 2014 AP Comeback Player of the Year after two injury-plagued seasons, Gronkowski posted an 82/1,124/12 stat line over 15 games. Scoring 184.4 fantasy points, Gronk had 30.3 points more than Antonio Gates, who had the second-most among tight ends.

So, in other words, he had 19.66 percent more than the guy that had the second-most.

Not only was he dominant, but he was consistently dominant. Gronkowski finished as a top-five fantasy scorer at the position in eight of 15 games and a top-11 scorer in all but two games.

Here are my post-free agency fantasy football tight end rankings for 2015:

1. Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots

See above.

2. Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks

Slowed by a shoulder injury, Graham had 54 yards or less in six of his final seven games last season and finished with only 889 yards, a four-year low. Over his past four seasons, Graham has averaged 89 catches, 1,099 yards and 12 touchdowns per year. With his trade to the Seahawks, Graham goes from an offense that averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game, second-most in the NFL last year, to one that averages the fewest (28.4/G).

3. Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce played only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps from Weeks 1 to 10, but that percentage jumped to 86.7 percent from Weeks 11 to 17. Despite his snap-count limits during the first half of the season, Kelce still finished with 67 receptions, 862 yards and five touchdowns and the ninth-most fantasy points (sixth-most in PPR formats) among tight ends last season. With good health, the sky is the limit for Kelce in 2015.

4. Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers

Posting career highs of 84 catches for 1,008 yards last season, Olsen now has at least 69 receptions and 816 yards while finishing as a top-seven fantasy tight end in each of the past three seasons. Over that three-year span, Graham (3,086) is the only tight end with more yards than Olsen (2,667) and only Graham (256) and Jason Witten (247) have more receptions than Olsen (226). Olsen has never had more than eight touchdowns in any season of his career, but he has at least five scores for seven consecutive seasons. In addition, Olsen is extremely durable having played all 16 games in seven consecutive seasons.

5. Martellus Bennett, TE, Chicago Bears

Bennett set career highs across the board in 2014 with 90 receptions, 916 yards and six touchdowns. Finishing as a top-five scorer among tight ends, Bennett led the position in receptions and his 916 yards ranked third behind Gronkowski and Olsen. With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets, Bennett has the potential to post even better numbers this season.

6. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles

Ertz saw a year-over-year jump from 36 catches and 469 yards as a rookie to 58 catches for 702 yards, 11th-most among tight ends last season. With Jeremy Maclin leaving Philadelphia for Kansas City, Ertz could become more involved in the passing game than he was last season.

7. Julius Thomas, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars

Slowed by injuries, Thomas followed up a breakout 2013 season with only 43 catches for 489 yards, but he once again scored 12 touchdowns. Signing a massive free-agent deal with the Jaguars, Thomas is unlikely to approach that red-zone success again this year. Aside from the Browns (12), no other team threw fewer touchdowns than the Jaguars (15) last season.

8. Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers

Although his targets (98), receptions (69) and yards (821) were down year over year, Gates finished with 12 touchdowns, the second-most of his career, and scored more fantasy points than all tight ends not named Gronkowski. Gates finished as a weekly top-two tight end four times and top eight at the position eight times last season. While fantasy owners shouldn't expect another top-two finish from the 35-year-old Gates, a top-10 finish is certainly within reach.

9. Jordan Cameron, Miami Dolphins

In 2013, Cameron had a breakout season with 80 receptions for 917 yards and seven touchdowns. When healthy, he is clearly a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. Unfortunately, Cameron missed six games last season and has a history of concussions. Perhaps no injury is more worrisome from a fantasy outlook given the greater susceptibility and unpredictability of a recurrence. If Cameron plays 16 games in 2015, however, he has top-five upside.

10. Jason Witten, TE, Dallas Cowboys

Other than his rookie season, Witten's 64 receptions and 703 yards last year set or tied career lows. Witten lacks upside at this point in his career, but he's a solid option that should come close to last year's top-10 performance once again.

11. Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans

Walker set career highs in both receptions (63) and yards (890) and led the team in both categories last season. It will be difficult for Walker to repeat that production, however, with rookie Marcus Mariota under center.

12. Josh Hill, TE, New Orleans Saints

Trading Graham (and Kenny Stills) should open up plenty of opportunities for Hill, who now sits atop the team's depth chart at tight end. Hill was only targeted 20 times last season, but he turned those targets into 14 receptions for 176 yards and five touchdowns.

13. Dwayne Allen, TE, Indianapolis Colts

With eight touchdowns on only 29 receptions in 13 games, Allen is one of the league's better red-zone options at the position. In weeks he doesn't score, however, Allen's lack of volume (2.23 catches per game) will lead to mostly boom (scores a touchdown) or bust (doesn't score a touchdown) outcomes.

14. Owen Daniels, Denver Broncos

Once again, Daniels is reunited with Gary Kubiak. Daniels had 48 catches for 527 yards and four touchdowns last season in Baltimore. While I don't expect 12 touchdowns from Daniels, which is something that Julius Thomas has done in back-to-back years in Denver, I would expect an improvement across the board over his 48/527/4 line from last season.

15. Coby Fleener, TE, Indianapolis Colts

Fleener finished with 774 yards and eight touchdowns, both of which were career highs, on 51 receptions last season. Unsurprisingly, Fleener's best games last season came in games that Dwayne Allen was out. In the four games that Allen missed or left early due to injury, Fleener had 355 yards and four touchdowns. In the other 12 games, he had just 419 yards and four touchdowns. Assuming that Fleener and Allen are healthy for the entire season, I prefer Allen over Fleener.

16. Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins

In two NFL seasons, Reed has played nine and 11 games, respectively, and that's the biggest concern (durability) with Reed. That said, he's been reasonably productive in those 20 games -- 95 receptions for 964 yards (plus 18 rushing yards) and three touchdowns. I like Reed's upside if he can stay healthy, but he also was invisible in too many games last season as he had 25 yards or less in five of his final seven games and he didn't score a single touchdown last season.

17. Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings

Rudolph has failed to reach double-digit games in each of the past two seasons. While he has the potential to excel in the red zone (nine touchdowns in 2012), Rudolph has just five touchdowns in 17 games over the past two years. While Norv Turner runs a tight end-friendly offense, Rudolph actually posted three-year lows on a per-game basis in receptions (2.67/G) and receiving yards (25.7/G) in his only season with Turner.

18. Larry Donnell, New York Giants

Nobody projected that Donnell would finish as a top-12 fantasy tight end at this point last year, but that's exactly what he did in 2014. Donnell was especially good in the first four games (25/236/4 and fifth-most TE fantasy points). After scoring 45.6 fantasy points in the first four games of the season, however, Donnell scored only 44.7 fantasy points (3.73/G) in the final 12 games. Coincidentally, Odell Beckham missed the first four games of the season and Victor Cruz expects to be back from his patellar tendon injury in Week 1.

19. Tyler Eifert, Cincinnati Bengals

A dislocated elbow injury ended his season only shortly after it began, but he should finally have a chance to realize some of his potential with Jermaine Gresham gone if he can stay healthy.

20. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills

In a move to bolster their offensive weapons, the Bills traded for LeSean McCoy, signed Percy Harvin in free agency and signed Clay away from the Dolphins, who had used their transition tag on the versatile tight end. Although he started the season slowly, Clay averaged 4.56 catches for 51.0 yards per game and scored all three of his touchdowns from Weeks 7 to 17 while finishing fifth among tight ends in fantasy points per game (7.1) during that stretch.

The best of the rest:

21. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22. Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions
23. Rob Housler, Cleveland Browns
24. Heath Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers
25. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers
26. Jared Cook, St. Louis Rams
27. Jace Amaro, New York Jets
28. Mychal Rivera, Oakland Raiders
29. Maxx Williams, Baltimore Ravens
30. Niles Paul, Washington Redskins
31. Ladarius Green, San Diego Chargers
32. Gavin Escobar, Dallas Cowboys
33. Dion Sims, Miami Dolphins
34. Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
35. Luke Willson, Seattle Seahawks

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June 08, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 3 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 3 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.03 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers: Lacy started slowly against three elite run defenses to begin the season, but he averaged 108.9 yards from scrimmage per game and scored 13 touchdowns over the final 13 games of the season.

2.10 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Green is the eighth receiver off the board and I'd gladly settle for him here. Green has exceeded 1,000 yards in all four of his NFL seasons and he's a good bet for 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns with good health in 2015.

3.03 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: A top-15 pick in this year's draft, Gordon will take over for the departed Ryan Mathews and dominate early-down touches. MG3 should see in the ballpark of 250 touches as a rookie.

4.10 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks: Wilson finished as the QB3 last season in large part to his rushing stats (849 yards and six TDs). And to help his cause, the Seahawks finally have a big-time threat in the passing game with the trade for Jimmy Graham.

5.03 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Matthews finished as fantasy's WR25 as a rookie last season and could/should take a hugh step forward this year with the departure of Jeremy Maclin.

6.10 - Martellus Bennett, TE, Chicago Bears: Bennett led all tight ends in receptions last year and set career highs across the board (90/916/6). While he may not be happy with his contract, he has a chance to duplicate last year's production with Brandon Marshall now a Jet.

7.03 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Averaging 6.73 YPC last season on 51 carries, Randle will see a huge bump in workload with the free-agent departure of DeMarco Murray. Running behind one of the league's best offensive lines, Randle has tons of upside here.

8.10 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson averaged 5.22 catches for 60.89 yards per game from Week 2 until Week 10, when a foot injury ended his season. Robinson has plenty of breakout potential in 2015.

9.03 - Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers: Mathews may be behind Murray on Philadelphia's depth chart, but he would become a must-start if Murray misses time. (Murray had 497 total touches counting the playoffs last season.)

10.10 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Most prefer Torrey Smith, but Boldin has been consistently productive (back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons) despite the team's lack of production in the passing game (only Jets had fewer passing yards over past two seasons).

11.03 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith started slowly last season, but he finished strong. He scored the 14th-most fantasy points among receivers from Weeks 6 to 17 with an average of 3.8/59.1/1.0 during that span.

12.10 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: Much more talented than his fifth-round draft slot, there are some long-term concerns about his knee. That said, he has the skill set to be a three-down back and should quickly emerge as Lamar Miller's backup.

13.03 - Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Drawing comparisons to Maclin, Agholor lands in an ideal spot for his fantasy value. Arguably the most pro-ready rookie receiver not named Amari, Agholor had a 104/1,313/12 stat line last year for USC.

14.10 - Carolina Panthers D/ST

15.03 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 8th Update

Starting today and every Monday this season, we will post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our comparison, we will use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.


Here are the 10 biggest improvements in ADP compared to June 1st:

No.PlayerPos.TeamWkly Chg.6/16/8
1David CobbRBTennessee Titans-23.7135.3111.6
2David JohnsonRBArizona Cardinals-23.6146.5122.9
3Dorial Green-BeckhamWRTennessee Titans-19.9153.5133.6
4Josh HillTENew Orleans Saints-15.9121.5105.6
5Montee BallRBDenver Broncos-15.1132.1117
6Nelson AgholorWRPhiladelphia Eagles-14.593.579
7Joseph RandleRBDallas Cowboys-12.359.547.2
8DeVante ParkerWRMiami Dolphins-11.6121.8110.2
T9Breshad PerrimanWRBaltimore Ravens-11.5110.198.6
T9Ameer AbdulahRBDetroit Lions-11.590.679.1

Here are the 10 biggest declines in ADP compared to June 1st:

No.PlayerPos.TeamWkly Chg.6/16/8
1Denard RobinsonRBJacksonville Jaguars25.3117.4142.7
2Terrance WestRBCleveland Browns16.7131.3148
3Ronnie HillmanRBDenver Broncos14.2148.8163
4Donte MoncriefWRIndianapolis Colts14132.2146.2
5Darren McFaddenRBDallas Cowboys13.753.367
6Kenny StillsWRMiami Dolphins12.9114.4127.3
7Coby FleenerTEIndianapolis Colts12.6146.9159.5
8Dwayne AllenTEIndianapolis Colts11.5109.8121.3
9Zac StacyRBSt. Louis Rams11.1146.5157.6
10Brian QuickWRSt. Louis Rams10.2124.4134.6

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See all 202 players ranked by change in ADP

The following players appeared in FFC's ADP data on June 8th after not appearing on June 1st (June 8th ADP in parenthesis): Matt Jones (152.0); Kenny Britt (152.8), Roy Helu (156.9), Christine Michael (157.3), Andy Dalton (159.7), Steve Johnson (161.6), Tyler Eifert (162.8), Dallas Cowboys D/ST (169.2); Sebastian Janikowski (172.5)

The following players dropped out of FFC's ADP data on June 8th after appearing on June 1st (June 1st ADP in parenthesis): Theo Riddick (150.1); Dan Herron (158.0); Lorenzo Taliaferro (158.9); Mohamed Sanu (163.5)

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June 07, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 6 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 6 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.06 - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Over the past four seasons, Lynch has rushed for more than 1,200 yards and scored double-digit touchdowns each season. In fact, Beast Mode has the most rushing yards (5,357) and total touchdowns (56) in the NFL during that span.

2.07 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Over the final nine games of the season, Hill had 22-plus carries and 100-plus rushing yards in five games including the final three of the regular season. During that nine-game span, Hill had 172 carries for 929 yards and six touchdowns and no running back had more rushing yards than Hill during that stretch. This team's RB1 (Lynch) was second with 824 yards.

3.06 - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Hilton's targets dropped from 139 in 2013 to 131 last season, but he tied his career high in receptions (82) and touchdowns (seven) and set a new career high in yards (1,345, sixth-most in NFL).

4.07 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Continuing my theme of backs that had strong finishes last season, Stewart rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) over the final five games of the season. Only DeMarco Murray (491) had more rushing yards during that span.

5.06 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: With a productive rookie season (67/872/8), Matthews finished as fantasy's WR25 in 2014 despite ranking third among Philadelphia's receivers in offensive snaps. With Jeremy Maclin, who finished as a top-10 fantasy receiver last season, reunited with his former coach, Matthews has top-10 upside in his second season in Chip Kelly's offense.

6.07 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: The latest $100 Million Man, Newton is coming off a down year, but he still finished seventh in terms of fantasy points per game at quarterback. Despite missing a couple of games last season, Newton has exceeded 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons. Newton finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback in each of his first three seasons and he's a nice value as the eighth QB off the board in this mock.

7.06 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: One year after selecting Devonta Freeman in the fourth round (pick 103), the team used a third-round selection (73 overall) on Coleman this year. I think Coleman will ultimately lead the duo in touches and production, but there could be some boom or bust to his game logs this season with his home-run ability.

8.07 - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins: As a rookie, Landry had 84 receptions for 758 yards and five touchdowns. While he's more valuable in PPR formats, there is value to his consistency in any format as he had five-plus receptions in his final nine games.

9.06 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: I'm higher than most on Johnson, who's the WR26 in my rankings, but he's a high-upside WR4 for this team. Playing with his third team, Johnson emerged as the team's best receiver over the final seven games with a stat line of 25/415/2 during that stretch and I expect him to build upon that momentum as second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater should also take a step forward.

10.07 - Jason Witten, TE, Dallas Cowboys: As a Cowboys fan, Witten is one of my favorite players of all-time, but I'm not necessarily thrilled to have him as this team's starting tight end. That said, I do think that he'll produce at the low-end range of top-12 numbers in 2015. Witten's 4.0 catches and 43.9 yards per game were the lowest since his rookie season (2003).

11.06 - Josh Hill, TE, New Orleans Saints: Whereas Witten still has the potential for some steady production, Hill is a breakout candidate with Jimmy Graham traded to the Seahawks this offseason. I don't normally draft two tight ends, but I like this pairing. Hill gave us a glimpse of his potential by turning 20 targets last season into 14/176/5.

12.07 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Only the low-powered Jets offense has thrown for fewer yards than the 49ers over the past two seasons combined. That said, Boldin still managed to post back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns. Perhaps a boring pick, he's provides plenty of value as this team's WR5.

13.06 - Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots: I'd prefer to add a RB5, but I felt that LaFell was a better option than the choices available at RB. That said, this team used four of its first seven picks on running backs so I feel pretty comfortable with that group.

14.07 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

15.06 - Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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June 06, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 10 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 10 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.10 - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: Playing his first full season (minus a meaningless Week 17 game) for the first time in three years, Gronkowski finished with 82 catches for 1,124 yards and 12 touchdowns last season. It was Gronk's second 1,000-yard season of his career and he has now scored double-digit touchdowns in all but one of his five NFL seasons. No player is more dominant at his position than Gronk is at tight end.

2.03 - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills: While the move north is a downgrade in terms of both offensive line and offense in general, McCoy has carried the ball 300-plus times in back-to-back seasons. And with good health, McCoy will see more than 300 carries again as the Bills look to control time of possession and play strong defense.

3.10 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins had a breakout sophomore campaign for the Texans, who also led the NFL in rushing attempts. Now that Andre Johnson is in Indianapolis, I'd expect Hopkins to take another step forward, but the team's quarterback situation is less than ideal.

4.03 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Averaging 5.1 yards per carry last season, Miller posted his first-ever 1,000-yard season (1,099 yards on 216 carries). For whatever reason, the Dolphins have remained reluctant to give Miller as many touches as his fantasy owners would like and that's unlikely to change with the selection of Boise State's Jay Ajayi in the draft. Despite his per-touch productivity, Miller had zero 20-carry games and only four games with more than 15 carries last season.

5.10 - Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers: Allen set a career high in receptions (77), but his yardage (783, 10.2/R) and touchdowns (four) declined from his rookie season.

6.03 - Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions: For once, Joseph Randle won't be on my mocked team as he went with pick 5.11. Tate had a career year with 99 catches for 1,331 yards and four touchdowns plus five carries for 30 yards. With Calvin Johnson missing three games and being a decoy in a couple of others, Tate was especially productive over the middle of the season when he racked up a nine-game line of 64/935/3. If Megatron is healthy for the entire season, Tate is unlikely to repeat last year's career numbers, but he's otherwise a solid low-end WR2 in 2015.

7.10 - Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The good news is that V-Jax went over 1,000 yards for the fourth consecutive season. The bad news is that he had just two touchdowns. While I'm not sure that he extends his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons, I'm very confident that he'll catch more than two touchdowns.

8.03 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: A foot injury prematurely ended his rookie season, but Robinson averaged 5.22 catches and 60.89 yards from Weeks 2 to 10 before landing on IR. Robinson has plenty of breakout potential and is a nice value as my WR5.

9.10 - Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: I'm less than thrilled with how this team is turning out. I can't ever remember drafting my third running back this late in a mock draft. Martin has had a pair of disappointing seasons and he wasn't drafted by the current regime. That said, I still expect him to lead the team's backs in touches.

10.03 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Manning finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in 2014 and should be able to improve upon last year's production in Year 2 of running Ben McAdoo's offense.

11.10 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: With Melvin Gordon drafted to be the team's featured back, it's not impossible for Woodhead to produce flex value. Excluding last year's three-game season, Woodhead has (quietly) finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in three of the previous four seasons.

12.03 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Colston set per-game career lows in targets, receptions and yards, but the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills should lead to improvement in 2015.

13.10 - Fred Jackson, RB, Buffalo Bills: Based on how this team turned out, it will always be McCoy/Miller as my starting RBs and likely a receiver at the flex. If for whatever reason McCoy misses time, F-Jax would likely step in even if the team's overall plan is to cut back his touches.

14.03 - Denver Broncos D/ST

15.10 - Nick Novak, K, San Diego Chargers

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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June 05, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 5 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 5 pick, PPR scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.05 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers: Over the final 13 games of the season, Lacy averaged 18.92 touches for 108.85 YFS per game and scored a total of 13 touchdowns. Playing in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense will keep defenses honest as Lacy averaged 4.63 yards per carry last season (4.89 YPC over final 13 games).

2.08 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Even though Green missed three games last season, he now has four 1,000-yard seasons in his young four-year career. Provided he stays healthy, Green should finish with roughly 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns.

3.05 - Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: Last season, Forsett rushed for a career-high 1,266 yards, more than twice his previous career high, and averaged an RB-high 5.4 YPC. While Forsett re-signed with the Ravens, the addition of offensive coordinator Marc Trestman should led to a new career high in receptions for Forsett.

4.08 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: With Jeremy Maclin now in Kansas City, Matthews is poised for a larger role within the passing offense yet he finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver as a rookie.

5.05 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, Stewart, who recently turned 28, rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) and only DeMarco Murray (491) had more rushing yards during that span.

6.08 - T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags used a top-36 draft pick on Yeldon and plan to make him their three-down back. The Jaguars offense limits his upside to a degree, but he offers plenty of upside as my RB4.

7.05 - Martellus Bennett, TE, Chicago Bears: Bennett is currently skipping the team's "voluntary" OTAs, but he had a career season (90/916/6) with the Bears in 2014. In fact, no tight end had more receptions than Bennett last season.

8.08 - Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Tied with Drew Brees, Roethlisberger threw for an NFL-high 4,952 yards last season and 32 touchdowns, which tied a career high. Big Ben was overlooked on draft day last year, but he finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback and should outproduce his draft slot (QB11) in this mock.

9.05 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Despite playing in one of the league's most anemic passing offenses, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in San Francisco. Only eight receivers had more games with four-plus catches and 50-plus yards last season than Boldin (11).

10.08 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: In his first season with the Chargers (2013), Woodhead racked up 76 receptions for 605 yards and six touchdowns in addition to 429 rushing yards and two scores. With rookie Melvin Gordon likely to handle the majority of early-down touches, Woodhead should see the majority of passing-down snaps.

11.05 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Colston's per-game receptions, targets and yardage all set career lows last season, but the loss (trade) of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills should allow him to bounce back some in 2015.

12.08 - Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: In the event that Jamaal Charles misses a game or two, Davis has RB1 upside. As an example, Davis had a three-game stretch last season (Weeks 2 to 4) with 70 carries for 318 yards and three touchdowns and seven catches for 38 yards (although Charles was back for the third game during that stretch).

13.05 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: The team's No. 3 receiver, Adams played at least 88 percent of the team's snaps in each of the final three games (counting playoffs). While his numbers won't see a major year-over-year spike with the Packers re-signing Randall Cobb, Adams will certainly improve upon his 38/446/3 rookie numbers.

14.08 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had 48/696/5 as a rookie and should build upon those numbers in his second season especially if the team's quarterbacks can stay healthy.

15.05 - Denver Broncos D/ST

16.08 - Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View full mock draft results here

Mock Draft Simulator: Customize and complete your own mock drafts with our free simulator.

2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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DeVante Parker has foot surgery Friday, expected back for Week 1

Miami Dolphins rookie wide receiver DeVante Parker was sidelined for the first seven games at Louisville of the 2014 season following surgery on his left foot.

Unfortunately, Parker had surgery on that same foot today, per Chris Perkins of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel.

While Parker isn't expected to miss any regular-season games, he could miss some or even all of training camp. Obviously, the longer he's sidelined, the more his adjustment and learning curve will be impacted.

That said, the first-round receiver had generated some early buzz in workouts with the team.

Although the Dolphins traded away Mike Wallace (to Minnesota), they traded for Kenny Stills (from New Orleans) and signed free-agent Greg Jennings.

Before reinjuring his foot and today's surgery, I expected Parker to be the team's second-most productive fantasy wide receiver behind Jarvis Landry. With next week's rankings update, I will move Stills ahead of Parker in my re-draft rankings.


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June 04, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 1 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 1 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.01 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Charles rushed for 1,033 yards, his fifth 1,000-yard season, and added 40 catches for 291 yards while scoring a total of 14 touchdowns last year. Despite a year-over-year decline in those numbers, the biggest concern was the reduction in his workload. After back-to-back seasons with 320-plus touches, Charles had just 246 touches last year. Perhaps we won't see Charles get in the 320-range ever again, but it would be a surprise to see him as low as 246 again this season.

2.12 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears: Jeffery's receptions and yardage dipped to 85/1,133 last season, but he set a career high in touchdowns (10). With Brandon Marshall traded to the Jets this offseason, Jeffery enters the 2015 season as the clear-cut No. 1 receiver for at least this season.

3.01 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: Along with Todd Gurley (selected 10th overall), Gordon (15th) ended the drought of first-round running backs in the (real) draft. While Gurley offers more long-term upside, MG3 should be the more productive back in re-draft leagues. With the injury-prone Ryan Mathews no longer in San Diego, Gordon has a shot for 250 or so touches as a rookie.

4.12 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, only DeMarco Murray (491) rushed for more yards than Stewart (486, 5.34 YPC). Entering the season as the team's clear-cut lead back, Stewart has plenty of upside as this team's flex option.

5.01 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Although Matthews ranked third among the team's receivers in snaps as a rookie, he still finished as a top-25 fantasy receiver in 2014. Following Jeremy Maclin's departure, Matthews enters the season as the team's No. 1 receiver and should take a big step forward in 2015.

6.12 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: The Crimson Tide fed Cooper the ball last year as he became the school's first-ever Biletnikoff Award recipient with a 124/1,727/16 stat line. The most polished rookie receiver in this year's draft class, Cooper should become Derek Carr's go-to receiver sooner than later.

7.01 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: In the eight or so mocks I've done in this series so far, I believe Randle has ended up on my roster in every one of these mocks. Even though Randle had just 51 carries last season, he averaged 6.73 yards per carry and 11 of those runs were for 10-plus yards. Assuming that he gets the larger share of the workload with Darren McFadden, Randle could finish as a top-20 (or better) fantasy running back behind one of the league's best offensive lines.

8.12 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: A foot injury ended Robinson's season in Week 10, but he averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game from Weeks 2 to 10. In addition, he had a minimum of four catches in all nine of those games. With good health, Robinson is poised for a breakout season in 2015.

9.01 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Eli started slowly, but he finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games and posted full-season QB10 numbers. With increased familiarity and comfortability with McAdoo's offense, Manning should pick up where he left off last season. And the return of Victor Cruz and addition of Shane Vereen will only help his cause.

10.12 - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans: Even though I don't expect Walker to duplicate last year's production (63/890/4), he was my top-ranked tight end available and I still needed a starting tight end. I considered drafting Josh Hill with the next pick for his upside, but he was off the board by the next back around.

11.01 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Over the past two seasons since Boldin has been in San Francisco, the 49ers have ranked 31st in the league in passing offense. Despite that, however, Boldin has posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons. Granted, he turns 35 this season and the team signed free-agent Torrey Smith, but I still expect Boldin to be the team's most-productive fantasy receiver in 2015.

12.12 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Excluding last year where he played just three games, Woodhead has finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in three of the previous four seasons including his first season in San Diego (RB19, 2013). MG3 will get the majority of early-down work, but Woodhead is a solid option this late in the mock.

13.01 - Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: I don't typically worry about drafting handcuffs, but Davis has tremendous upside in the even that Charles misses a game or two. As an example, Charles left Week 2 early and missed Week 3 and Davis racked up 60 touches in those two games for 237 yards from scrimmage and three scores.

14.12 - Denver Broncos D/ST

15.01 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

- View full mock draft results here

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June 03, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 teams, No. 14 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 14 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.14 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Despite a slow start, Thomas finished last season with 111 receptions for 1,619 yards, both of which were career highs, and 11 touchdowns. Thomas now has more than 90 catches, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns in three consecutive seasons and should be a lock to do so again in 2015.

2.01 - Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans: Even though Foster missed three games last season, he still finished as a top-five fantasy running back in 2014 as no team ran the ball more than the Texans. Foster's 95.8 rushing Y/G and his 4.79 yards per carry were the second-highest of his career.

3.14 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, only DeMarco Murray (491) rushed for more yards than Stewart (486, 5.34 YPC). Stewart finally enters the season as the team's clear lead back. In a 14-team league, I like Foster and Stewart as my starters from a talent perspective, but it's a bit concerning given their durability track records.

4.01 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: With Jeremy Maclin, a top-10 fantasy wide receiver last season, no longer in Philadelphia, Matthews has the potential to take a big step forward in 2015. Matthews finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver last season even though he ranked third among the team's receivers in snaps.

5.14 - Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers: In his 11th NFL season, Roethlisberger threw for a career-high 4,952 yards, which tied Drew Brees for the NFL lead, and his 32 touchdowns tied a career high set in 2007. With a strong supporting cast, Big Ben has the potential to duplicate last year's numbers and he finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback in 2014. (Expecting a run on QBs before my pick(s) on the way back around, it turned out that 14 QBs including Big Ben were off the board before pick 7.14.)

6.01 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Averaging an impressive 6.73 YPC on a limited workload (51 carries), Randle has plenty of upside should he earn the largest share of the backfield's workload. Even though Darren McFadden has a lower ADP than Randle, Randle appears to be the early favorite to lead the rushing attack.

7.14 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Johnson emerged in the second half of the season as the team's best wide receiver with 25/415/2 in the team's final seven games. Coupled with improvement by the team's second-year quarterback, Johnson should continue to build upon last year's second-half success in 2015.

8.01 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson is one of my favorite wide receiver targets in these mocks. A foot injury ended his season in Week 10, but he averaged 4.8 receptions and 54.8 yards per game last season. Entering the 2015 season as the team's No. 1 receiver (assuming Justin Blackmon isn't reinstated), Robinson has loads of breakout appeal.

9.14 - Dwayne Allen, TE, Indianapolis Colts: While he's a touchdown-dependent fantasy tight end, Allen had eight touchdowns in 13 games last season. With less than 50 yards in all but two games, Allen is a bit of a boom (scores) or bust (doesn't score) option.

10.01 - Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Landing in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense bodes well for Agholor's short- and long-term fantasy outlook. An excellent route runner, Agholor has the ability to play both inside and outside and finished with a 104/1,313/12 stat line last year for USC.

11.14 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: On a per-game basis, Colston's 3.69 receptions, 6.25 targets and 56.38 yards per game were all career lows. One positive for Colston, although not the offense in general, is that the team traded away both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills so perhaps his targets and production will see a slight bump in 2015.

12.01 - Josh Hill, TE, New Orleans Saints: Speaking of Graham being traded away, nobody benefits more than Hill. While he had just 14 catches on 20 targets last season, he turned those into five scores and the coaching staff has talked up Hill plenty this offseason.

13.14 - Roy Helu, RB, Oakland Raiders: Since entering the league, Helu has been productive on a per-touch basis with 4.4 YPC and 8.8 Y/R. With only the unproven Latavius Murray ahead of him on the depth chart (although I expect good things from Murray), there is some upside for Helu as well.

14.01 - Denver Broncos D/ST

15.14 - Phil Dawson, K, San Francisco 49ers

- View full mock draft results here

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June 02, 2015

Cam Newton, Panthers agree to 5-year extension

It was reported yesterday morning that the Carolina Panthers and quarterback Cam Newton were close to a long-term extension.

This afternoon, the two sides closed the deal, which is worth $103.8 million over five years and includes $60 million guaranteed, per ESPN's Adam Schefter.

The first overall pick in the 2011 NFL Draft, Newton has exceeded 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons. The only other quarterback with more than two such seasons is Randall Cunningham (three).

During that four-year span, Newton has thrown for a total of 14,426 yards, 82 touchdowns with 54 interceptions with 2,571 rushing yards and 33 touchdowns. Newton ranks 13th in passing yards and 21st in rushing yards over that stretch. In addition, only three players -- Marshawn Lynch (48), Arian Foster (34) and Adrian Peterson (34) -- have more rushing scores than Newton, who's also tied with LeSean McCoy at 33.

Newton has led the Panthers to back-to-back playoff appearances although Carolina won the NFC South with a losing record (7-8-1) last season. On a positive note, the Panthers are 14-4 in December and January regular-season games with Newton as quarterback and he's posted a 30:10 TD-to-INT ratio during that span.

Missing two games last season and battling injuries all year, Newton had a disappointing fantasy season, but he managed to post the seventh-most fantasy points per game in 2014. In his first three NFL seasons, Newton finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback each year.

The team's offensive line is a bit of concern with Michael Oher as their starting left tackle, but Newton should bounce back provided he stays healthy. Newton is currently my fifth-ranked fantasy quarterback and the Panthers have the fourth-most favorable fantasy strength of schedule for 2015.


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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 teams, No. 11 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 11 pick, PPR scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.11 - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: No running back has more rushing yards (5,357) or rushing touchdowns (48) over the past four seasons than Lynch. In fact, no player has more touchdowns (56) over that span. In addition, he has been more involved as a receiver over the past two seasons with a total of 73 catches for 683 yards and six touchdowns.

2.02 - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants: Despite missing the first four games, Beckham posted full-season numbers of 91/1,302/12. Over the final nine games, OBJ had a minimum of 90 yards every week and posted a stat line of 81/1,199/9. Duplicating last year's league-leading 108.8 Y/G may be difficult with more attention from opposing defenses, but he will also be in the mix to lead receivers in fantasy points in 2015.

3.11 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Miller was highly productive on a per-touch basis (5.09 YPC, 7.24 Y/R). With more than 15 carries in only four games last season, Miller still managed to post his first-ever 1,000-yard season (1,099 rushing yards). In addition, Miller was very consistent throughout the season as he finished as a top-21 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks.

4.02 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: Cooks season was cut short by injury in Week 11, but up to that point, he was 22nd in fantasy points (PPR) among wide receivers. The trades of Jimmy Graham to the Seahawks and Kenny Stills to the Dolphins opens the door for Cooks to see a significant bump in targets/touches in 2015.

5.11 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: I strongly considered Kelce at 4.02 thinking that there would be no chance that he'd last until 5.11. It took about 0.1 seconds to make my selection here. Kelce was limited in the first half of the season as he played only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps in his first 10 games, but he still finished with 67 catches for 862 yards, sixth-most among TEs, and five touchdowns. With a clean bill of health going into 2015, the sky is the limit for Kelce.

6.02 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Another tremendous value in my view here. The Panthers seemed to finally realize that feeding Stewart the ball would be a smart move. Over the final five regular-season games, only DeMarco Murray (491) rushed for more yards than Stewart (486 yards, 5.34 YPC).

7.11 - T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags used a top-36 selection on Yeldon, who will open up the season as the team's lead back. Even though the team's offense is far from a juggernaut, Yeldon offers a lot of value 83 picks into this mock as my RB4.

8.02 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Since starting this daily series of mocks on May 28th, I think Randle has been on every one of my rosters. And for as long as he remains available in the eighth round, he'll never get past this point. Obviously, Randle is no Murray, but someone (more likely Randle than Darren McFadden) in the team's backfield will finish as a top-24 fantasy running back. In a secondary role behind (one of) the league's best offensive line(s), Randle averaged 6.73 YPC last season and the team declined to add depth to their stable of backs in the draft.

9.11 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: I'm more than comfortable going into the season with Eli as my starter, especially given the talent already on this roster. Manning started slowly with ODB out the first four weeks and in a new offense, but he finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of the final 10 games last season. With more familiarity and comfort with the offensive scheme, a (likely) return of Victor Cruz and the addition of a talented receiver out of the backfield (Shane Vereen), I expect Manning to improve upon last year's numbers (and he finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in 2014).

10.02 - Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets: I actually have the next two receivers that I drafted ranked higher than Decker, but I expected both to be available at pick 11.11/12.02 (and they were). I figured that if I went with Johnson or Boldin here, that it was unlikely that I'd get Decker at 12.02 so I guess was a game of wide receiver chicken. Either way, Decker isn't far off from Johnson/Boldin in my mind, so I wouldn't have been terribly upset if I lost out although I'm obviously glad I didn't.

11.11 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Playing for his third NFL team (although reunited with Norv Turner), Johnson emerged towards the end of last season and ranked 23rd among wide receivers in fantasy points from Weeks 11 to 16. With an impressive combination of size/speed and further development of (and chemistry with) second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson build upon his second-half success.

12.02 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Perhaps a boring pick, but Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in both years in San Francisco despite their anemic passing attack. Over the past two years, only the Jets (5.878) have thrown for fewer yards than the 49ers (6,042). And Boldin was relatively consistent as he had 11 games with four-plus catches and 50-plus yards; only eight receivers had more such games.

13.11 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Colston set career lows in receptions per game (3.7) and yards per game (56.4) last season. But as noted above, the team traded Graham and Stills without adding much talent to the receiving corps this offseason. It's more than likely that Colston sees a bump from last year's career lows, but either way, he's my WR6 and unlikely to sniff the starting lineup in most weeks.

14.02 - Denver Broncos D/ST: As usual, it's the best available defense in the second-to-final round ...

15.11 - Blair Walsh, K, Minnesota Vikings: ... and the best available kicker in the final round.

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:


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Saints sign Cam Jordan to 5-year extension

Earlier today, the New Orleans Saints signed defensive end Cameron Jordan to a long-term extension.

Per Mike Garafolo, the extension is five years, which keeps Jordan under contract through 2020, and worth up to $60 million, of which $33.8 million is guaranteed.

Jordan, the team's first-round pick in 2011, has a total of 28.0 sacks over the past three seasons including a career-high 12.5 in his 2013 Pro Bowl season. Although his sack production dipped last season, 6.5 of his (7.5) sacks came in the team's final 10 games.

In 2014, Jordan finished 22nd in individual defensive player (IDP) scoring among defensive lineman; he was 13th in 2013.

While Junior Gallette led the team in sacks (10.0) last season, both Gallette and Jordan ranked in the top-four in the category in the NFC South. Under contract through the 2019 season, Gallette now has double-digit sacks in back-to-back seasons.

After ranking fourth in the league in sacks (49) in 2013, the Saints ranked only 25th in sacks (34) last season.


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Adrian Peterson to report to OTAs today

Per ESPN's Josina Anderson, Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will report to OTAs today.

That is obviously good news for anyone expecting a disgruntled Peterson to skip the team's mandatory mini-camp later this month or to hold out into training camp.

Coach Mike Zimmer recently said that Peterson had two options -- to play for the Vikings or to not play at all -- given that he's under contract for the next three seasons and the team had no plans to trade or release him.

While Peterson turned 30 in March, he's a physical freak that does what shouldn't be expected on the field. After all, he rushed for 2,097 yards (and averaged a career-high 6.0 yards per carry) in 2012 despite tearing his ACL on Christmas Eve in 2011.

More than anything, I expect the 15-game absence to help Peterson on the field given his high-volume workload. Peterson ranks 36th all-time in career rushing attempts (2,054) and has averaged nearly 20 carries per game (19.75) over his career.

Excluding last year's one-game season, Peterson has finished as a top-eight fantasy running back in each of his previous seven seasons including five top-three finishes.

Going into the 2015 season, Peterson is fifth in my 2015 Fantasy Football RB Rankings.

Peterson's return will also be a nice boost for second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who threw for 2,919 yards and 14 touchdowns with 12 interceptions in 13 games as a rookie.


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June 01, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series: 12 teams, 2-QB League, No. 7 pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 9 pick, standard (i.e., non-PPR) scoring, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QBs, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.07 - Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings: The start of the season won't come soon enough for Peterson -- and perhaps more so for those of us that are annoyed by his whining and tweeting. On the field, however, Peterson has the talent and upside to finish as the top-scoring fantasy running back in 2015. Given the league settings, I strongly considered Russell Wilson (my QB3) here as both Andrew Luck (1.01) and Aaron Rodgers (1.04) were off the board.

2.06 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Fortunately, only five QBs -- Luck, Rodgers, Wilson, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees -- were off the board before my second pick. Newton had a down year and missed a couple of games, but he still finished seventh among QBs in fantasy points per game. Newton has thrown for 3,000-plus yards and rushed for 500-plus yards in all four of his NFL seasons, which is the most such seasons in NFL history.

3.07 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions: Stafford had a disappointing season and threw for just 4,257 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns. Stafford's yardage has decreased in each of the past four seasons and he has yet to reach 30 touchdowns since throwing 41 of them four years ago. Before finishing outside the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks in 2014, however, Stafford was the QB5, QB11 and QB7 in the previous three seasons. As the 12th quarterback off the board in this mock, Stafford should be able to outproduce his draft position provided Calvin Johnson stays healthy.

4.06 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers last year, Evans had 1,051 yards and 12 touchdowns in 15 games last year.

5.07 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Playing only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps in his first 10 games, Kelce still managed to finish the season with 67 catches for 862 yards and five touchdowns. Fully healthy and without playing-time limitations, the sky is the limit for Kelce in 2015.

6.06 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Ellington averaged more than 20 touches per game although he missed the final four games and saw his per-carry production decline steeply -- 5.5 YPC in 2013 to 3.3 YPC in 2014. When healthy, Ellington should get a sizable workload, but there is definitely some durability concern.

7.07 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Marshall had a disappointing season as he missed several games and finished with less than 1,000 yards for the first time since his rookie season. With a change of scenery and good health, Marshall should bounce back with 1,000-plus yards.

8.06 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: The fourth-overall pick by the Raiders, Cooper is the most pro-ready and polished among this year's crop of rookie receivers. Cooper should become Derek Carr's go-to receiver early in his career and there should be plenty of opportunities for him to make a fantasy impact as the Raiders will be underdogs in most games.

9.07 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: It was widely expected that the Cowboys would (try to) fill the void of DeMarco Murray's departure via the NFL Draft. They didn't. That means that Darren McFadden and/or Joseph Randle will get a chance to carry the load. I obviously don't expect either to be as productive as Murray was last year, but it wouldn't surprise me if one, especially Randle, finished as a top-20 fantasy running back behind one of the league's best offensive lines.

10.06 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: I'm higher than most on Johnson, who's the WR26 in my rankings, but he's a high-upside WR4 for this team. Playing with his third team, Johnson emerged as the team's best receiver over the final seven games with a stat line of 25/415/2 during that stretch and I expect him to build upon that momentum as second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater should also take a step forward.

11.07 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: With Murray racking up nearly 500 touches last year counting the playoffs and some previous durability concerns, he's far from a lock to hold up for a full 16-game season. Even if he doesn't miss any time, Mathews, who has had his own durability issues, should get plenty of work in the league's highest-volume offense.

12.06 - Geno Smith, QB, New York Jets: In a 2-QB league, adding a third quarterback is a necessity although I probably should have gone with one that doesn't share his bye with one of my two starters. That said, I actually like Geno somewhat this season as the team clearly has its best group of weapons since he's entered the league.

13.07 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the 49ers have ranked bottom-three in passing in each of the past two seasons, Boldin has still managed to exceed 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons. Boldin may turn 35 in October, but I'll take him as my WR5 and in Round 13 any day of the week.

14.06 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Given Ellington's durability concerns, Johnson would likely be the lead back in the event that Ellington misses time. Even so, he may get the goal-line carries early and despite being a bigger back, he's an excellent receiver. He actually had more than 200 receiving yards against Iowa last season.

15.07 - Denver Broncos D/ST: As usual in 12-team drafts, it's the top-available defense in second-to-last round.

16.06 - Cody Parkey, K, Philadelphia Eagles: And once again, it's my team's kicker in the last round.

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Jordan Reed had a "little procedure" on knee

Washington Redskins tight end Jordan Reed had a "little procedure" on his knee, but he is expected to be ready for the start of training camp, per ESPN's John Keim.

It's good news that he'll be ready for the start of the camp, but Reed has struggled with durability, especially concussions, in his first two NFL seasons. Through those two seasons, Reed has missed a total of 12 games and a minimum of five in each season.

Reed played only nine games as a rookie in 2013, but he was highly productive when he was on the field with 45 catches for 499 yards and three touchdowns.

His average of 55.4 yards per game ranked sixth among all tight ends in 2013. The only five tight ends with a higher YPG average that season were Rob Gronkowski (84.6), Jimmy Graham (75.9), Jordan Cameron (61.1), Vernon Davis (56.7) and Julius Thomas (56.3).

While Reed played two more games in 2014, he disappointed those that expected a breakout sophomore campaign. Reed's production declined from 55.4 to 42.3 YPG and 11.1 to 9.3 Y/R and he scored no touchdowns in 11 games.

It would be difficult to trust Reed as your starting tight end and I currently have him ranked as the TE14 in my fantasy football tight end rankings going into the 2015 season.


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