Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): Week 16 Values for FanDuel Contests

In a salary-cap format like FanDuel, the key to long-term profitability is finding players that are undervalued compared to their salaries.

Most of the players that I've listed in this post will be values in both absolute and relative terms, but the focus is on relative values. In other words, the players listed may not carry bargain-bin price tags, but my ranking for all players on this list is more favorable than their corresponding FanDuel price tag.

With that said, here are some of my favorite value plays for Week 16:

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (at NO), $8,200

Finishing with a minimum of 23.46 FanDuel points in each of his past four games, Bortles has averaged a tad shy of 300 passing yards (299.5/G) and has thrown 11 touchdowns to only two interceptions. In addition, he has 93 rushing yards and two more scores over that stretch. Heading into Week 16, Bortles has scored the fifth-most fantasy points among quarterbacks -- just ahead of Aaron Rodgers (QB6).

With the top matchup on the board, Bortles gets a Saints team that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. In addition, the Saints have allowed a top-three weekly finish in six of their 14 games this season. While there are six quarterbacks with a higher price tag than Bortles ($8,200), only Ben Roethlisberger and Cam Newton are ranked higher in my Week 16 rankings.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at PHI), $7,500

Not only does he have six top-nine weekly finishes over his past 11 games, Cousins has finished as the QB1 or QB2 in three of those games. Over his past eight games, Cousins has averaged slightly more than 275 passing yards per game with 20 touchdowns (16 passing and four rushing) and only three interceptions. As Cousins would say, "you like that?"

Given his elite matchup against the Eagles, who have surrendered the third-most fantasy points to the position, Cousins has legitimate QB1 upside this week. In their past seven games, the Eagles have surrendered 21 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks.

RB - David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals (vs. GB), $7,400

Scoring a league-most 42.9 FanDuel points in Week 15, Johnson rushed for 187 yards and three touchdowns and added four catches for 42 yards as well. It would be unreasonable to expect another 40-pointer from the rookie out of Northern Iowa, but he has been consistent since taking over as the team's lead back three weeks ago.

Over his past three games, Johnson has a minimum of 24 touches and 110 yards from scrimmage in each of those games. And despite a limited number of touches (135) this season, Johnson has scored a total of 12 touchdowns -- seven rushing, four receiving and one return. With only the seventh-highest FanDuel salary among running backs, Johnson is my second-ranked option this week.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (vs. SD), $6,100

Few running backs have received a larger and more consistent workload than Murray this season. Averaging 19.14 touches per game, Murray's 268 touches ranks fourth in the NFL. Not only does he have 22-plus touches in three of his past four games, but he has at least 16 touches in all but one game this season.

The fifth-leading rusher in the NFL (956 yards), Murray has not run the ball as well recently -- 3.02 yards per carry over his past five games compared to 4.71 YPC in his first nine. That said, he had success against the Chargers in his first matchup (15/85/1 rushing) and the Bolts currently allow the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
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RB - Danny Woodhead, San Diego Chargers (at OAK), $5,900

It's unlikely that Woodhead repeats last week's monster 33.0-point performance, but then again, he racked up a total of 27.6 against the Raiders earlier this season. In that game, Woodhead had only eight rushing yards, but he was a huge part of the passing game with 11 catches for 75 yards and two touchdowns.

Earlier this week, the Chargers placed MG3 on IR and perhaps that leads to a few extra early-down carries. But Woodhead derives his fantasy value from his role in the passing game -- 64 catches for a position-high 651 yards -- and the trust he has from Philip Rivers in the red zone.

RB - Bilal Powell, New York Jets (vs. NE), $5,900

In our DFS Roundtable post for Week 16, Powell was my choice as my favorite DraftKings play for Week 16. While his salary isn't as low on FanDuel and there isn't full PPR scoring (like on DraftKings), Powell is one of my favorite running back plays for Week 16 here as well. Scoring in three consecutive games, Powell has scored a minimum of 16.7 fantasy points (FanDuel scoring) per game. Over that three-game stretch, Powell has 20 catches for 191 yards and two touchdowns on 25 targets.

- Related Poll: Will Powell finish as a top-24 RB (standard scoring) in Week 16?

RB - Karlos Williams, Buffalo Bills (vs. DAL), $5,400

After sitting out two games, Williams carried the ball four times for 41 yards on Sunday. In nine games this season, Williams has averaged 6.0 yards per carry and scored a total of seven touchdowns on just 76 touches this year. With a torn MCL, LeSean McCoy is "week to week" and likely done for the season with the Bills eliminated from playoff contention.

Teammate Mike Gillislee has been productive in his three games with Buffalo and he should get plenty of work as well, but Williams is a great tournament play for Week 16. The Cowboys have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season and 37 running backs that carry a higher price tag than Williams on FanDuel this week.

WR - Martavis Bryant, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BAL), $7,200

Without question, Bryant's teammate, Antonio Brown, is the clear-cut top fantasy receiver for Week 16. That said, few receivers (on other teams) have a better outlook than Bryant. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing receivers this season than the Ravens. Over their past nine games, Baltimore has allowed opposing receivers to haul in 18 touchdowns.

Held without a touchdown in back-to-back games, Bryant had a total of six touchdowns in his first seven games this season. In addition, the second-year wideout has the longest reception of 2014 (94 yards) and 2015 (88 yards). While he's one of the best big-play receivers in the NFL, Bryant has double-digit targets in three of five games and is averaging 9.56 targets per game on the year.

WR - Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. CLE), $6,900

Maclin has a minimum of six catches and 50 yards in four consecutive games and he has scored a total of four touchdowns during that span. During that four-game span, Maclin has averaged 18.65 FanDuel points per contest with a minimum of 9.6 in each of those games. Ranked as a top-10 wideout for Week 16, Maclin is priced lower than 22 other wide receivers on FanDuel this week. The Browns have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

WR - Kamar Aiken, Baltimore Ravens (vs. PIT), $6,600

It's not only Bryant and the Steelers receivers that have a favorable matchup in this game. The Steelers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to the position this season. Coming off an 8/128/1 performance against the Chiefs last week, Aiken has a minimum of five catches in seven consecutive games. In addition, Aiken has scored double-digit fantasy points in five of his past six games.

WR - Rueben Randle, New York Giants (at MIN), $5,700

Randle has scored and finished with double-digit fantasy points in back-to-back games and in four of his past six games. Averaging only 5.57 targets per game, Randle should see that volume spike with the one-game suspension of Odell Beckham Jr. With a salary lower than 45 other receivers, Randle should easily exceed value this week.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at OAK), $6,400

The Raiders have been a lightly better at defending tight ends recently, but they have still allowed the second-most fantasy points to the position in 2015. The first time that the Chargers faced the Raiders, Gates sat out. That said, fellow tight end Ladarius Green scored a touchdown and had a pair of two-point conversions against them.

Gates hasn't scored since Week 12, but he has exactly six catches in three consecutive weeks. It wouldn't surprise me if Philip Rivers and Gates connected for a touchdown, or two, this week. Gates has a total of 21 multi-touchdown games in his career, the most of any active player since he entered the league.

TE - Benjamin Watson, New Orleans Saints (vs. JAX), $6,400

With double-digit targets in back-to-back games, Watson has now finished as a top-12 weekly tight end in three consecutive weeks. On the season, Watson has 67 catches for 761 yards and five touchdowns and the eighth-most fantasy points among tight ends. Watson gets a great matchup this week as the Jags have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to the position this season. The only concern for him this week is the availability of Drew Brees (foot) although Brees says that he will play.

TE - Will Tye, New York Giants (at MIN), $5,100

Tye has finished as a top-10 weekly tight end in three consecutive games. In addition, Tye has five-plus catches in four of five games and he has either 50-plus yards or a score in all five consecutive games. With OBJ sidelined this week, Tye should see a bump in targets and extend his streak of games with at least eight FanDuel points.

- Week 16 DFS FanDuel Cheat Sheet

Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings:

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