POLL: Will Doug Baldwin outperform his current ADP?

Especially after trading for tight end Jimmy Graham, nobody expected Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin to finish as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in 2015.

But that's exactly what he did; only six receivers scored more fantasy points than Baldwin.

After a relatively slow start by Baldwin, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks in general, Seattle's offense racked up points in bunches in the second half of the season.

On the year, Baldwin finished with a stat line of 78/1,069/14. His per-game production over the final eight games was 5.88/90.5/1.5. As a comparison, he averaged 3.88/43.13/0.25 over the first eight games of the season.

While Baldwin led the NFL in touchdown receptions (tied with Brandon Marshall and Allen Robinson), it was only one less than he had in his first four NFL seasons combined. At 5-10 and 189 pounds, it would be reasonable to project Baldwin to score half as many touchdowns in 2016. Even so, it would be the second-highest total of his career.

Going into the 2016 NFL season, Baldwin is being drafted as the 23rd fantasy wide receiver at the end of Round 4 (ADP: 4.10) and currently sits at WR30 in my 2016 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings. Based on my rankings and his current ADP, Baldwin is unlikely to end up on many of my fantasy teams in 2016.

Before finishing as fantasy's WR7, Baldwin finished as the WR40, WR80, WR35 and WR40 in his first four seasons, respectively.

At the end of 2016, where will Baldwin finish in terms of fantasy production?



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