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November 30, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 13

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Roundtable post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 13?

Sean Beazley: Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions ($5,800)

The past few weeks, the chalk has crumbled which has led to a major dent in my bankroll. I am going to get back on track this week and the one player I love this week is Theo Riddick. Riddick has a very reasonable salary at $5,800.

The Lions have a date with the Saints on the road this week, and we just saw how good Drew Brees and the Saints offense was this past week vs. a good defense. This week, they get the Lions defense, one of the worst in the NFL vs. the pass. Points for New Orleans equals opportunity for Riddick in the passing game in catch-up mode. I could see Riddick easily getting 8-10 receptions for 100 yards and a TD this week, which would more than pay off his value in receiving stats alone.

This is also a great game to stack in tournaments as it should be the highest-scoring of the week. This will be a popular stack, so going a little contrarian in your non-stack part of your lineup will be needed to differentiate yourself from the field. Game stack example: Matthew Stafford, Riddick, Golden Tate, Michael Thomas and Coby Fleener.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($4,700)

I debated a few players here and I debated listing Jordan Howard as it's always a wise move to start running backs facing the 49ers. Another player at a different position that will be in the mix to be my most-owned player is Kelce.

Kelce has hit the 100-yard mark in back-to-back games with a total of 15 catches in those two games. In fact, he had 15 targets on Sunday Night Football against the Broncos. Granted, that game went to overtime, but he has at least seven catches, nine targets and 100 yards in three of his past five games with a favorable matchup on tap. Only five teams that allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, but two of those teams -- Browns (bye) and Cowboys (TNF) -- won't play on the main Sunday slate.

Even though he has scored only one touchdown in his past five games (and none in his past four), Kelce has finished with 20-plus DK points three times. Priced below six other tight ends, Kelce is a top-two option for me this week.

Brendan Donahue: Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers ($6,100)

For a guy that has garnered a lot of attention for his off-the-field actions, he's surprisingly stayed pretty under the radar for his on-the-field performance for fantasy owners. In his last four games, he's averaged 26.9 points per game on DraftKings that culminated with a 37.1-point effort last week against a pretty good defense in Miami. In that game, he ran for 103 yards and facing a Bears defense that will be missing their top two linebackers, I can see him scrambling for a few longs runs once he breaks containment from the defensive line. He continues to produce as a top-10 QB, but DraftKings still has yet to catch up to his production as he is still only priced as the 13th-highest QB this week.

John Trifone: Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears ($6,900)

Even though I want as much of the Saints/Lions game as possible, I'm going to recommend Jordan Howard as a top play. At $6,900, he's a substantial discount from top backs like David Johnson or Le'Veon Bell, but should have a comparable floor and even ceiling in Week 13. The 49ers were actually decent against Jay Ajayi in Week 12, but Miami was missing multiple starters on the O-line. I'm not putting too much stock in the performance. The 49ers run D has been atrocious all year. They play at a fast pace and Howard has been getting the volume as the lead back for Chicago. They should rely on him heavily this week, making his $6,900 price tag a bargain.

Dan Yanotchko: Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions ($5,800)

This week, I like Theo Riddick of the Lions as I think he will not be selected as much of the other options at running back. Riddick fits well with PPR formats, as he is averaging six receptions per game over his last four, and he has been targeted 29 times. The Saints have allowed 13 touchdowns on the ground, and 27 FPTS to opposing runners in PPR format.

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November 27, 2016

Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Oakland Raiders -3.5 over Carolina Panthers (3 Units)

If the playoffs were to begin now (and obviously they won't), the Raiders would have the No. 1 seed over Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and the Patriots in the AFC. With a win on Sunday, the Raiders would guarantee their first season with a winning record since the 2002-03 season when they lost to the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl.

The Raiders have one of the league's best offensive lines and no team has allowed fewer sacks (11) this season. A clean pocket has helped Derek Carr take another step forward in his third season and the Panthers will be without their best pass rusher, Mario Addison, in addition to All-World linebacker Luke Kuechly this week.

On the other hand, it's been a disappointing season for reigning-MVP Cam Newton, who has thrown for multiple touchdowns only twice this season -- Week 2 vs. the 49ers and Week 6 vs. the Saints. The Saints have been playing better defense lately and they held Cam to 14-of-33 passing for 192 yards in Week 11.

If there's any concern, it's that the Raiders are playing on a short week after traveling to Mexico City and the Panthers have a mini-bye since their Week 11 matchup was on Thursday night. That said, the Panthers are dealing with numerous injuries on their offensive line as well as Michael Oher (IR) and Ryan Kalil are out.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers, Over 48 (3 Units)

The Packers are only the second team this season to allow four consecutive opponents to score 30-plus points against them. The 49ers did so earlier in the season as well. The Eagles offense may not be the most explosive and they will be without Ryan Mathews this week, but who can't score on the Packers?

And while the Packers can't stop anyone, Aaron Rodgers has accounted for three-plus touchdowns (counting a rushing score) in five consecutive games. If this game devolves into a shootout with the Packers defense surrending points in a fast-and-furious pace, Rodgers and the Packers should in turn be able to rack up points as well.

I'm not sure that the Packers lose a fifth straight game, but it wouldn't surprise me if this game turns out to be a 31-27 (or more) type of shootout.

Tennessee Titans -6 over Chicago Bears (2 Units)

Before the injuries and suspensions, the Bears were bad. With Matt Barkley drawing the start with limited weapons on Sunday, it's going to be a long day for the Bears. With as well as DeMarco Murray and Marcus Mariota are playing lately, the Titans could get out to an early lead and if so, I have little faith in Barkley's ability to engineer a comeback.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns +7 over New York Giants (5 Units)

I don't think Cleveland will go winless this year. The Browns are bad, but I actually like them a lot more with Josh McCown at QB than I do with Cody Kessler. The Giants are probably the most overrated 7-3 team I have seen in awhile. I think they fall victim here on the road. I'm going to put some on the moneyline too. Cleveland 26, New York 24.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

New England Patriots -8 over New York Jets (4 Units)

It’s tough laying more than a touchdown in this rivalry, but this Jets team is pretty bad. If you're playing DFS Sunday, don’t forget Tom Brady even with Rob Gronkowski out. I expect the Patriots to abandon the run and throw the ball a ton. This line to me screams bet on NY, which is why I think the sharp money play is the Pats. New England 35, New York 23.

Denver Broncos -3.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (5 Units)

Kansas City is another overrated 7-3 team. The Broncos can be beat on the ground, but for whatever reason Andy Reid wants Alex Smith to throw all over the place. Spencer Ware has only eclipsed the 20-carry mark twice this year, and if the Chiefs want any chance in this one Ware is going to have to shoulder the load. I just don't see that happening this week. I like Denver at home. Denver 24, Kansas City 17

Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears, Over 42.5 (5 Units)

I have seen QBs like Matt Barkley look like Joe Montana versus the Titans. While I do expect the Titans to win, I don't expect their defense to hold the Bears to less than 20 points on Sunday. I love Jordan Howard for DFS, so get him in your lineups and win money. For Tennessee, Mariota has thrown for multiple TDs in seven consecutive games. I think he makes it eight here. Titans 31, Bears 24.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 26, 2016

Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Tennessee Titans -6 over Chicago Bears (5 Units)

These are the games that you have to win if you want to take the jump into the league's upper teams, and the Titans are primed to win this game and the chance to be just one game down in the AFC South race. This week it looks like the Bears will start their third quarterback of the year in Matt Barkley, as Jay Cutler will miss this one. I do foresee the Bears leaning heavily on Jordan Howard, but he will be going up against a stout Titans rush defense that only gives up 92.1 yards per game to opposing backs. The Bears are just missing too many playmakers for this game being down Cutler, Alshon Jeffrey, and Zach Miller to keep this one close. I would look for another steady day from DeMarco Murray, and the Titans will win this one on the road.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

New England Patriots -8 over New York Jets (3 Units)

The Patriots just haven't looked like themselves the last two weeks, but as the calendar starts to turn to December, we all know that the Pats play their best ball. New England has done phenomenal against the number this year, as they have posted an 8-2 mark. This will be the type of bounce-back game from the Patriots, as I look for Tom Brady and company to take advantage of a weak Jets secondary that allows 261 yards passing per game and 16 touchdowns on the year. The Jets have also had trouble moving the ball all year, and while the Pats may give up the yards, you simply don't score touchdowns on them. Even though it is a high number, I think this is a game that the Patriots will be executing at the level that they are used to.

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 over Denver Broncos (3 Units)

This game is the certainly the marquee matchup of the week, as the clash of two great defenses has been flexed to primetime. I like the Chiefs ability to come into Mile High and come out with the win, because they are a much better running team than throwing the ball. The Broncos can be had on the ground, as they allow an astounding 123.7 yards per game, and 4.4 yards per carry. I also love the Chiefs pressure defense going against a rookie QB in Trevor Siemian, and also the Chiefs lead the league with 13 interceptions on the year. This game will certainly be close with the caliber of both defenses, so I will be taking the points here.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 over Buffalo Bills (4 Units)

This just feels like too big of a spread. Blake Bortles has been awful this year, and the Bills have a solid defense. Still, the Jags pass defense is actually pretty good, and the Bills have some injuries on the offensive end. Robert Woods is out, and though Sammy Watkins just got taken off IR, it's unlikely he plays much or that he's as effective as he normally would be just yet. LeSean McCoy is good to go, but he did have thumb surgery last week. I like the Bills to win here, but the Jags to cover.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Arizona Cardinals +5 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)

This is a game where I think the Cardinals are better than they've shown of late, and the Falcons are not as good as they've been, so I will definitely take the five points here. Matt Ryan had his first pretty pedestrian game of the season against the Eagles two weeks ago, coming off a bye this week. I think Ryan regresses the second half of the season to something closer to what his career output has been. Atlanta may be good enough to win here at home, but I like a close game so give me the Cardinals with the points.

New York Jets +8 over New England Patriots (3 Units)

Call me crazy but I like the big division home underdog here. The Patriots offense is so schematically good and Tom Brady is still playing at an incredibly high level. The defense has been very mediocre, though, and the Jets do have some weapons in Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte. The Jets season may be done, but I think they still get up for the game against the Pats and I like them with the points at home.

Green Bay Packers +4 over Philadelphia Eagles ( Units)

The Packers have been an incredible disappointment this year, but they still have a very potent offense and Aaron Rodgers has still shown flashes of being Aaron Rodgers. The defense is awful, but Carson Wentz and Philly have come back down to earth after a hot start that got everyone excited. I think GB matches up well with Philly and will be able to score points against them, and I don't think the Eagle offense will be able to keep up. I like the Packers to win outright in Philly, so I'll certainly take four.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 25, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 12

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 12 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (at TB), $6,700
RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (vs. SF), $7,600
RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. TEN), $5,300
WR - Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons (vs. ARI), $8,500
WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (at ATL), $4,300
WR - Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (at CHI), $4,000
TE - Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks (at TB), $5,300
FLEX - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants (at CLE), $5,600
DST - San Diego Chargers (at HOU), $2,700

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins ($7,600): I’m going back to the well picking on the San Francisco run defense. The past two weeks it played reasonably well, but Arizona just didn't run the ball for whatever reason, and the Patriots are the Patriots and do whatever they want. It took garbage time for LeGarrette Blount to eclipse the 100-yard mark last week. I don't think Miami will get cute here. Ryan Tannehill is one of the worst QBs in the league in my opinion, and I think they lean on Ajayi heavily. I will definitely be overweight on him this week as I think he should have no trouble getting 30 DK points.

Comments by Kevin: After a 1-3 start, the Dolphins have turned their season around with a five-game winning streak fueled by Ajayi's success as a runner. He hasn't rushed for 200 yards, or even 100 yards, or scored a touchdown in the past two games, but Ajayi has a minimum of 19 touches in all five games during their winning streak with an average of 24.2/G. Facing the league's worst run defense as 7.5-point home favorites, it wouldn't surprise me if Ajayi reached the 100-yard mark and scored a touchdown or two.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($6,700): Wilson is the sixth-most expensive QB on the Sunday slate, but there are only two QBs that I have ranked higher that play on Sunday (Tom Brady and Drew Brees), but Wilson has as much upside as either. In his first seven games of the season, Wilson exceeded 15 DK points only once. Since then, however, he has 26.28, 29.52 and 25.28 in his past three games, respectively. Within their past four games, the Bucs have allowed the top-scoring fantasy quarterback twice -- Derek Carr (513 yards and four TDs) in Week 8 and Matt Ryan (344 yards and four TDs) in Week 9.

Comments by Sean: I think the Seahawks offense will be one of the most popular teams this week. They are all in play, Russ, Thomas Rawls, Jimmy Graham and Doug Baldwin. When Wilson is healthy, he is one of the most deadly QBs in the league as he has enormous upside with his rushing ability. I'm on board with this pick.

3. Sean - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears ($5,300): I expect Howard's ownership to be extremely low this week and this call could make or break my week because I am going to be extremely heavy on him. The big news here was the loss of Jay Cutler. Matt Barkley is not an NFL-caliber QB. They will also be without their best remaining option in the pass game, Zach Miller. This is going to lead to a lot of check downs to Howard. Howard only had one reception last week, but he was targeted eight times. I expect Howard to more than pay off this price tag this week.

Comments by Kevin: I won't have a ton of exposure to Howard this week, mostly because there are other running backs in his price range that I like more -- Thomas Rawls, Todd Gurley, Rashad Jennings, etc. That said, those favorable matchups for other backs should lead to very low ownership levels so I'll throw a few tournament darts on him.

4. Kevin - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks ($5,300): Graham had four and five targets in his past two games, but he is averaging 5.13/73.25/0.5 on 7.25 targets per game since Week 3. Not only does Graham have three 100-yard games over that eight-game span, but he has scored three touchdowns in his past three games. The only other tight ends with three 100-yard games this season are New England's Rob Gronkowski and Martellus Bennett.

Comments by Sean: I would really like to see Graham get more targets. He has had only nine the past two weeks combined. Travis Kelce just had a pretty big game against this Tampa defense last week, so this is a spot where I could see Graham having a big game.

5. Sean - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($8,500): Normally I shy away from Patrick Peterson, but Julio Jones is matchup proof. In fact, the last time Julio faced Peterson, he erupted for 10/189/1. I think we could see a repeat performance here in the day's highest total game. The Cardinals offense should be able to move the ball vs. the Atlanta's defense so I think Jones should have plenty of targets.

Comments by Kevin: The matchup is far from ideal, but only the Patriots are projected to score more points than the Falcons this Sunday. Jones has been a little hit or miss with zero games of 30-99 yards since Week 2. That said, he has twice as many 100-yard games (six) including a 300-yarder than he has sub-30 yard games (three) during that span. There is certainly downside due to the matchup, but Jones has the potential to be the top-scoring player in any given week regardless of matchup and Peterson will scare plenty of people off Julio.

6. Kevin - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants ($5,600): Appearing in my Week 12 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em, Jennings has exceeded 100 yards from scrimmage and has now finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in back-to-back games. Last week's matchup against the Bears wasn't great, but Jennings carried the ball 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown and added five catches for 44 yards on six targets. This week's matchup against the Browns is much softer. In their past five games, the Browns have allowed running backs to rush for 832 yards (5.40 YPC) and eight touchdowns and add 24 catches for 178 yards. During that span, eight different running backs have finished as a top-24 PPR running back.

Comments by Sean: Jennings is someone I always have a hard time clicking on. Last week was the first week I played him all year, which paid off. Too bad the rest of my team sucked! Jennings has an elite matchup vs. the Browns this week, so I have no problems with putting him into my lineup again. I am going to have a good share of Jennings/Ajayi combos in GPPs this week.

7. Sean - Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals ($4,300): Picking Arizona’s No. 2 WR has been a challenge all year. I think this game will shoot out, and I like Floyd the best among the cheap Cardinals wideouts. I think most will want to jam David Johnson into lineups this week, so having a natural leverage play like this could pay off.

Comments by Kevin: Floyd has been a major disappointment as he was recently demoted behind guys like J.J. Nelson, but it looks like he has re-emerged as the No. 2 receiver behind Larry Fitzgerald. Floyd now has a minimum of five targets in back-to-back games and in three of his past four and a 100-yard performance during that stretch. Certainly not safe for cash games, Floyd is worth a roll of the dice in a potential shootout.

8. Kevin - Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans ($4,000): I almost never play Wright, but he should be very low-owned given some of the other options in the $4,000 range like Tyler Boyd. And the Titans have had eight top-24 PPR performances since Week 6 -- Rishard Matthews (four times), Tajae Sharpe (two times) and Wright (two times) -- and no team has allowed more DK points to opposing receivers than the Bears. Similar to Floyd, Wright isn't worth cash-game consideration, but Marcus Mariota has been playing lights out lately and the matchup is certainly exploitable.

Comments by Sean: We were running low on cap space here, and Kevin had the final two picks. I would have went in a number of different directions. I will probably have no Kendall Wright exposure this week. Better plays in better matchups. I expect the Titans to pound the rock on the ground this week with DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Limited targets and opportunity here.

9. Kevin - San Diego Chargers, DST ($2,700): One of my favorite defenses of the week will be the Titans DST, but I didn't want to play them against Sean's Howard pick. And I usually prefer to start defenses at home, but Brock Osweiler has been brutal this season. The Chargers have scored double-digit fantasy points in three of their past five games. Even though they have relied on three defensive scores in two of those double-digit games, only the Chiefs and Vikings have more interceptions than the Chargers this season.

Comments by Sean: Giving the Wright choice, this was the only defense that made sense unless you wanted to roll with the Texans in this same matchup. The stats are fairly similar between the two teams in sacks and INTs. I'll never fault anyone for wanting to pick on Brock Osweiler.

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November 24, 2016

Week 12 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Below you will find our 2016 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Scott Tolzien21.236.62490.70.924011.36
With Andrew Luck (concussion) ruled out, Tolzien will make the third start of his career. In his other two starts (with the Packers), Tolzien threw for 619 yards but he threw only one touchdown and five interceptions.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Frank Gore17.666.90.43.7300.112.69
In his past nine games, Gore has finished as a top-20 fantasy running back eight times with the exception being an RB25 finish in Week 5 against the Bears. (The Bears have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to RBs this season.) The scoring opportunities diminish with Luck sidelined, but the volume could approach or exceed his 19.1 touches per game average if the Colts are able to keep the game close and sustain drives.
Robert Turbin3.711.30.51.814.305.56
Josh Ferguson0.81.50215.701.72

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
T.Y. Hilton5700.40009.4
Hilton had 5/97/1 last week and has 82 yards in three of his past four games. With Tolzien under center, however, it's unlikely that Hilton has as productive of a game against the Steelers.
Donte Moncrief3.641.60.40.1-0.106.55
When Moncrief and Luck are healthy (i.e., play in the same game) together, Moncrief has scored a touchdown in nine of 11 games. With Luck out, it's an instant downgrade for Moncrief's outlook.
Phillip Dorsett2.539.90.10.10.204.61

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jack Doyle332.10.35.01
Dwayne Allen2.325.40.23.74




Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ben Roethlisberger26.640.93052.20.71.140.120.6
In general, Roethlisberger has been much better at home than on the road. So far this season, Big Ben has averaged 336.75 passing yards per game with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions in four home games and just 235.4/G with a 5:5 TD-INT ratio on the road. That said, Roethlisberger has destroyed the Colts with 522 yards and six TDs (2014) and 364 yards and four TDs (2015) in his last two matchups against the Colts even though they were in Pittsburgh.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Le'Veon Bell20.391.60.67.259.10.320.47
A do-it-all back, Bell had 36 touches last week and has at least a 20-percent target share in all seven games played this season. With a large workload in a favorable matchup, Bell is my top-ranked running back this week. The Colts have allowed 4.49 YPC to RBs (sixth-most) and 9.33 Y/R (ninth-most) as well as a league-high five receiving scores to the position.
Fitzgerald Toussaint0.41.200.10.900.21

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Antonio Brown7.994.50.70.31.1013.76
Given the sustained winds in Cleveland last weekend, Brown did fairly well to finish with eight catches for 76 yards on 10 targets. In a controlled environment, AB should be much more productive in Week 12.
Eli Rogers4.551.70.30006.97
Rogers had a big game (6/103 on 10 targets) a few weeks ago. In his other games this season, he has averaged only 32.83 yards per game with only one other 50-yard game (Week 1). That said, he's been consistent with five-plus targets in his past five games and the Steelers are projected to score the second-most points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.
Cobi Hamilton1.623.30.20003.53
Sammie Coates119.10.10.20.702.58

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jesse James2.320.60.23.26
Ladarius Green1.919.70.23.17

Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 12 DFS Resources:

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Week 12 Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins

Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Dak Prescott21.531.62611.70.33.2150.420.54
Playing beyond his years yet within himself, but Prescott has been nearly flawless in his own right. With back-to-back 300-yard passing games, Prescott has accounted for multiple touchdowns (passing and rushing) in eight consecutive games. During that eight-game span, he has finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy quarterback in all but one week (QB13, Week 6 at Lambeau). Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, no team is projected to score more real points this week than the Cowboys.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Ezekiel Elliott23.5113.71222.50.120.22
With a minimum of 18 touches in every game, Zeke has averaged 24.5 touches per game and has scored double-digit fantasy points in every game this season. Elliott has a seven-game streak of finishing as a top-12 fantasy running back.
Alfred Morris3.814.30.20.20.902.72
Lance Dunbar0.61.50.10.76.401.39

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dez Bryant4.166.30.600010.23
Since returning in Week 8, Bryant has 80-plus yards and eight-plus targets in three of four games and a total of four touchdowns during that span. It's possible that Dez is shadowed by Norman this week.
Cole Beasley5.159.80.40.10.608.44
A trusted target for Prescott, Beasley has been steady with more than 50 yards in nine of 10 games this season. While he has yet to exceed 75 yards in any game this season, Beasley has five touchdowns in his past six games.
Terrance Williams1.723.90.10002.99
Brice Butler113.40.10001.94

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jason Witten552.20.26.42
With a total of 25 targets over his past three games, Witten has a minimum of seven in each game. On the year, he has averaging 4.9/52.0/0.2 on seven targets per game.
Gavin Escobar0.97.400.74
Geoff Swaim0.22.200.22

Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Washington Redskins:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kirk Cousins27.740.83181.80.62.470.120.02
With the exception of Week 5 (at Baltimore), Cousins has thrown for either 300-plus yards and/or multiple touchdowns in every game since Week 2. Over his past four games, Cousins has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week and has averaged 349.0 passing yards per game with eight touchdowns and only one interception.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Robert Kelley17.377.90.70.30.5012.04
A complete non-factor in the passing game, Kelley has more than 20 carries in three consecutive games and a total of 67/321/4 rushing during that span. While the Redskins are road touchdown underdogs, Kelley has a strong grip on the lead-back role for now and is a solid RB2 on Thanksgiving.
Chris Thompson4.119.20.13.426.40.15.76
After three consecutive games with 12-plus touches, Thompson has a total of just 10 touches in his past two games including three on Sunday Night Football. The Redskins are 6-1-1 in their past eight games and Thompson had a season-high 19 touches in their lone loss during that stretch. I don't expect 19 touches this week, but he should see more than three touches with the Cowboys favored by a touchdown.

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jamison Crowder5.165.90.50.2-0.109.58
Crowder had only three targets in Week 11, but he now has three 100-yard games over his past four games played. In addition, he has scored in three consecutive games and in four of his past five. Not only has Crowder finished as a top-four fantasy receiver in two of his past three, but he has finished as the WR27 (or better) in six consecutive games.
Pierre Garcon5.464.90.30008.29
Garcon has a minimum of five targets in every game this season. In addition, he has a minimum of five catches, seven targets and 56 yards in five of his past six games.
DeSean Jackson4.457.40.30007.54
Jackson returned on Sunday and hauled in four receptions for 51 yards and a touchdown in his return from a shoulder injury. D-Jax is a boom-or-bust option historically, but he has had his share of big games against the Cowboys.
Ryan Grant0.7600000.6

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jordan Reed6.165.20.48.92
Reed is a true difference-maker at tight end and is averaging 6.13/66.88/0.38 on 8.63 targets per game. With double-digit targets in four of his eight games played, Reed has more than 50 receiving yards in all but one game this season. In Week 2, he had 5/70 on seven targets against the Cowboys.
Vernon Davis2.939.20.25.12
Davis had just one target (and no catches) on Sunday Night Football, but he had 50-plus yards in each of his previous four games. Even though he has had some productive games with Reed healthy, Davis is little more than a dart throw with a full complement of weapons for Kirk Cousins.

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, C.J. Fiedorowicz is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jimmy Graham and Fiedorowicz, you should start Graham -- and in turn, bench Fiedorowicz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. GB)

After sustaining a rib injury in the season opener, Ertz missed a couple of games and returned following their Week 4 bye. In his first four games back, he was frustratingly under-utilized with four or fewer targets in the first four games back. In fact, he had just nine catches for 92 yards over that four-game span.

Since then, however, Ertz has become much more involved in the offense again. With a minimum of seven targets and a total of 26 over his past three games, Ertz has six-plus catches in three consecutive games and has finished as a top-10 fantasy tight in two of those three games. And he could have had an even better performance last week if an unnecessary penalty did not negate a touchdown of more than 50 yards.

With a great matchup against the Packers this week, Ertz could be in store for another strong performance. The Packers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Only the Bills (13.89 Y/R) and Buccaneers (13.84) have allowed more yards per reception than the Packers (13.20) this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (vs. SD)

Barely used as a receiver in the team's first three games, Fiedorowicz has become much more involved in the passing offense since then. The third-year tight end now has five targets in seven consecutive games.

Over that seven-game span, Fiedorowicz has averaged 7.0 targets per game and has posted a 33/380/3 line during that stretch including 6/82 on 10 targets on Monday Night Football in Mexico City. Fiedorowicz now has at least 24-percent target share in two of his past three games.

The Chargers have been solid at defending tight ends, 12th-fewest fantasy points to the position, but Fiedorowicz is still a top-12 option due to his volume. If you're looking for a streamer, Fiedorowicz was on my list of waiver-wire options to target as he was owned in roughly one-fifth of Yahoo! leagues as of Tuesday this week.

TE - Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

After being sidelined for a few games, Ebron has been highly productive over his past three games. During that stretch, he has finished as fantasy's weekly TE12, TE11 and TE2, respectively, with a minimum of 70 receiving yards in each game.

Over that three-game span, Ebron has 17 catches for 241 yards on 23 targets and had a one-yard touchdown run last week as well. In his first game against the Vikings (Week 9), Ebron had seven catches on eight targets for a season-high 92 yards and I expect another productive outing from him on Thanksgiving.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at HOU)

Over his past four games, Gates has a minimum of nine targets. Going back five games, Gates has a minimum of 20-percent target share. The matchup this week against the Texans isn't favorable, but one thing that we know for sure is that Gates will be targeted heavily by Philip Rivers.

And of course, Gates is still one of the better red-zone weapons in the NFL. With a touchdown in three consecutive games, Gates has finished as the TE7, TE4 and TE5, respectively, over that span.

Week 12 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Julius Thomas, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

Thomas has been a huge disappointment this season. Healthy going into his second season with the Jaguars, Thomas has 28 yards or less in every game played since Week 3.

Even though he has a touchdown in three of his past five games, he kills your fantasy team when he doesn't score -- 2/21 (TE29) in Week 9 and 3/12 (TE36) in Week 11. More TD-dependent than any other position in general, Thomas is one of the most TD-dependent players at the most TD-dependent position.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

Returning from a multi-month absence, Cook had six catches for 105 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 11 targets on Sunday Night Football. It was clearly his best performance as a Packer, but hopefully it's a sign of what may be to come.

In his first three games with the Packers, however, Cook had just 53 total yards on six catches and 11 targets. And the Packers have a Week 12 matchup against the Eagles, who have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

As inconsistent as Cook has been over his career and given the difficult matchup this week, he's outside my top-12 fantasy tight ends for Week 12.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. NYG)

I listed Barnidge as a sit last week and I wrote, "he's going to score a touchdown at some point this season and perhaps that's this week, but ..." (Naturally, he scored his first touchdown of the season last week.) So, perhaps listing Barnidge on this side of the post once again will lead to another score for him.

That said, he is a TD-dependent option this week. In his past three games including last week's performance, Barnidge has finished with 3/23 (TE27), 1/8 (TE40) and 2/23/1 (TE9).

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (vs. LA)

In the first five games of the season, Fleener had a pair of TE2 performances (and three outside the top-25). Since then, he has finished somewhere between the weekly TE12 (last week) and TE31 in five consecutive games.

The good news is that Fleener had both of his TE2 outings at home and the Saints are at home this week, but the bad news is that his matchup against the Rams isn't a favorable one. The Rams have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position this season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Rishard Matthews is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, Amari Cooper and Matthews and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Matthews.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. GB)

Here's the bad news: Matthews has finished as a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in just two of his 10 games played. And one of those weeks, his better performance of the two, was all the way back in Week 1. Of course, if you own Matthews, you already know this.

That said, there are a couple of favorable factors for his outlook for Week 12. First of all, the volume has been there -- double-digit targets in four consecutive games. During that four-game span, only three receivers -- Stefon Diggs (49), Allen Robinson (47) and Mike Evans (46) -- have more targets than Matthews, who's tied for fourth with Jordy Nelson at 45 targets over that stretch.

The other factor that bodes well for Matthews is the matchup. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Packers. The Packers have allowed 30-plus (real) points in four consecutive games and are the only team other than the 49ers to do so this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (at TB)

Baldwin may not throw any (more) touchdowns to a quarterback this week, but the former Stanford wideout has now finished as a top-seven (WR1 and WR7) fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back games. The biggest concern with Baldwin is the lack of huge volume upside -- six or fewer targets in five of his past seven games.

That said, Russell Wilson seems healthier, the duo has outstanding rapport and Baldwin gets a favorable matchup this week. The Buccaneers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (at CHI)

Matthews has scored in five of his past seven games and he has a total of six touchdowns over that span. Even though he has five or fewer targets in four of those seven games, Matthews red-zone success has allowed him to score at least 9.2 fantasy points in all but one game over that stretch. Even though he didn't score in Week 11, Matthews had nine catches for 122 yards on 13 targets, all of which were season highs.

The Titans get the Bears in Week 12, which sets up Matthews to continue to his high level of play. The Bears have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. Earlier in the season, it was hit or miss as far as which Titans receiver would have the most productive outing, but Matthews has clearly separated himself from the rest of the group.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (vs. LA)

The rookie out of Ohio State has finished as the weekly WR35 or worse in two consecutive games and in three of his past four games, but he has more than 60 yards in five of his last six games. Looking back over a slightly longer stretch, however, Thomas has finished as a top-22 fantasy wide receiver in five of his past eight games.

During that eight-game span, he has averaged a 5.75/70.88/0.62 statistical line. With Drew Brees and the Saints passing offense typically playing better at home than on the road, Thomas is a top-20 fantasy wide receiver for me this week.

Week 12 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

Things have gone downhill for Jones after a 23/482/2 first month as a Lion. Since that four-game span, Jones has 37 yards or less in five of six games and back-to-back games held to just one catch including Week 9 against the Vikings.

Jones has 3.3 fantasy points or less in each of his past three games. Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season; only the Broncos have allowed less. In fact, Golden Tate, who has been much more productive recently, is outside of my top-30 fantasy wide receivers for the week as well.

WR - Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

A few weeks back, Hurns had 7/98/1 on 11 targets in Week 8 against the Titans. That game seems so long ago as Hurns has just three catches for 22 yards since then. In Week 11 against the Lions, he had only one nine-yard catch on two targets.

With the emergence of Marqise Lee in the secondary role to Allen Robinson, the team's clear No. 1 receiver, Hurns is not even inside my top-50 receivers this week. In addition, the matchup isn't great as the Bills have allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points to the position and the Jags are one of six teams projected to score fewer than 19 points this week.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

Cobb had just five targets in Week 11 against the Redskins although he finished with 84 yards on three receptions. With Davante Adams becoming more involved in the passing offense, the duo of receivers are in the WR3/flex range (both just outside my top-30) of my Week 12 rankings. The Packers have only a 22.0 implied total, which is the 20th-most this week.

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (vs. PIT)

Normally, Moncrief is a top-24 fantasy wide receiver and a solid WR2 type when both he and Andrew Luck are healthy. In fact, Moncrief has a touchdown in nine of 11 games that both he and Luck have played.

With Luck forced to miss Thursday night's game with a concussion, however, it's hard to trust Moncrief or any part of the passing game. In other words, the switch has downgraded my outlook of T.Y. Hilton from a WR1 to a WR2, Moncrief from a WR2 to a WR3/flex, etc.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Rashad Jennings is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, Jay Ajayi and Jennings and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Ajayi -- and in turn, bench Jennings.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (at CLE)

Jennings has exceeded 100 yards from scrimmage and has now finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in back-to-back games. In addition, Jennings has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of his past four games. Coming off his best game of the season, Jennings carried the ball 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown and added five catches for 44 yards on six targets in Week 11 against the Bears.

Only the 49ers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Browns, who have been especially bad the past five weeks. Granted, they have faced some elite backs like Le'Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliott, etc., but they have allowed four top-five running backs in the past five weeks and a total of 13 top-24 running backs in their past eight games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (at TB)

In his return on Sunday, Rawls carried the ball 14 times for 57 yards and added three catches for 31 yards. The numbers by themselves aren't spectacular, but he didn't show any ill effects from the injury or rust, which inspires confidence about his ability to handle an expanded workload going forward.

And that's what he should get in Week 12. With C.J. Prosise suffering what could turn out to be a season-ending injury, Rawls shouldered more of the load than expected last week and is in line for a major workload in his second game back with Seattle favored by nearly a touchdown.

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at DEN)

Since returning from a concussion that sidelined him in Week 9, Ware has had a couple of modest performances -- 72 and 85 yards from scrimmage on 16 and 19 touches, respectively, with no touchdowns. Even though the Chiefs are projected to score the second-fewest points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds, the matchup for Ware is much more favorable than those for Kansas City's other skill-position players.

The Broncos have allowed opposing running backs to average 4.30 yards per carry, 11th-most to the position, and they have surrendered the eight-most fantasy points to running backs. Assuming the score stays relatively close, the Chiefs should stay committed to the run and Ware could approach or exceed 20 touches in Week 12.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (vs. KC)

After getting 11 touches in Week 9 in the loss to the Raiders, there was some concern that Kapri Bibbs would eat into Booker's role as lead back with C.J. Anderson out for the rest of the year. While Bibbs had seven touches in Week 10 (compared to just three in Week 9), it was Booker that dominated backfield touches (26).

In his past three games, Booker has 53 carries for 152 yards (only 2.87 YPC) and eight catches for 50 yards. Despite the inefficiency, Booker has finished as a top-17 fantasy running back in two of those three starts. Assuming that Booker gets 20-plus touches again, he should finish as a solid RB2 with upside for much better if he can improve upon his efficiency.

Week 12 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

Predicting Ivory's workload has been virtually impossible. Over the past four games, Ivory has gone from five to 19 to 11 to 23 touches. Especially if T.J. Yeldon (ankle) sits, Ivory should get another large workload with should being the operative word.

Then again, the Jaguars are more than a touchdown underdog on the road and projected to be one of this week's lowest-scoring teams. Given the struggles of Blake Bortles, it's hard to trust Ivory or any Jag, especially if they get off to another notoriously slow start.

RB - James Starks, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

With a larger workload in his second game (14 touches) back from his knee injury compared to his first (10), Starks totalled 71 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown to finish the week as a top-10 fantasy running back. Not only has Starks scored in back-to-back games, but he has a total of 10 targets (eight receptions) in the passing game.

Averaging a mediocre 3.63 YPC in his two games back, however, Starks is a TD-dependent fantasy option this week especially if Christine Michael makes his Packers debut. I would expect Starks to get more touches than Michael, but losing some touches to him and/or Ty Montgomery eats a bit into his upside.

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (at DET)

The good news is that McKinnon had 17 touches in Week 11. Although he was trending up (seven and nine in Weeks 9 and 10, respectively), that was his most, by far, since Week 5. The not-so-good news is that he could only must 41 YFS on those 17 touches.

The Vikings have been a historically bad run offense this year as no team has averaged fewer yards per carry than the Vikings (2.70) since 1970. Only three other teams -- 1994 Patriots (2.79), 1992 Colts (2.91) and 1986 Patriots (2.93) -- have averaged less than 3.0 YPC over the past 45 seasons.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. CIN)

Despite being a home favorite in a plus matchup against the Bengals, who have allowed running backs to average 4.48 YPC, it's hard to trust West this week. One week after saying that Kenneth Dixon would be more involved, West had just nine touches.

The Ravens did lose by 10 points, but West's volume has been inconsistent on a week-to-week basis: 27, eight, 16, 22 and nine over his past five games. Due to a split in playing time with Dixon, West is more of a flex option than a RB2 in a game with one of the week's lowest over/unders (40.5).

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Eli Manning is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Drew Brees and Manning, you should start Brees -- and in turn, bench Eli.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (vs. WAS)

Breaking the record previously held by Tom Brady for most pass attempts without an interception to begin a career, Prescott has played beyond his years yet within himself. It helps to have one of the best offensive line units, perhaps ever, and an outstanding running game, but Prescott has been nearly flawless in his own right.

With back-to-back 300-yard passing games, Prescott has accounted for multiple touchdowns (passing and rushing) in eight consecutive games. During that eight-game span, he has finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy quarterback in all but one week (QB13, Week 6 at Lambeau). In addition, he has a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points in every game since Week 2 (at Washington) and has averaged 21.27/G over that stretch.

Thursday begins the first time that he will face an opponent for a second time in the same season. Perhaps this is the week that he will look like a rookie (since he is one).

Or perhaps he has another 25-point fantasy performance like last week. Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, no team is projected to score more real points this week than the Cowboys.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (at CHI)

The last time that Mariota finished outside the top-12 weekly fantasy quarterbacks was October 2nd in Houston. Mariota completed only 13-of-29 for 202 yards and no touchdowns in that game, but since then, he has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game.

In fact, he has 19 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions in those seven games. If you count his two rushing scores, he's averaging exactly three scores per game. During that span, he has completed 67.58 percent of his pass attempts for 8.43 Y/A and a passer rating of 116.8.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (at CLE)

The good times should continue to roll for Eli. While he had a Week 7 dud against the Rams, Eli has scored at least 17 fantasy points in his other four out of five most recent games. With the exception of the London game against the Rams, Manning has thrown multiple touchdowns in the other four games over that stretch.

This week, Manning should be thankful for one of the best matchups on the schedule.

Cleveland has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Not only have the Browns allowed the highest passing TD% (6.58 percent), but they have allowed the third-most Y/A (7.96) this season.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (vs. JAX)

It was a brutal week for Taylor, from a fantasy perspective, as the Bills won 16-12 over the Bengals and he threw for just 166 yards and no touchdowns. Taylor has fewer 200-yard games (four) than he has with less than 200 yards (six games), but there is the potential that he gets Sammy Watkins back this week.

Even if I wouldn't start Watkins if he's active due to an expected limit in snaps, the presence of a true weapon can only help the passing attack overall. Despite the lack of gaudy passing stats, Taylor has performed as a weekly top-15 fantasy quarterback in eight of his 10 games played this season.

Of course, he derives much of his production from his rushing numbers. The dual-threat quarterback has averaged 6.2 rush attempts per game and has at least five carries in all but one game (Week 2). On the season, he has 401 rushing yards and four touchdowns, which equates to 6.41 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone.

Week 12 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

It's been a disappointing season for the Jags, Bortles and his fantasy owners. As bad as he's been, Bortles has thrown multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games, but the majority of his production has come in garbage time. With no teams on bye this week, it will be tougher for one-quarter (or one-half) of garbage-time production from Bortles to lead to a productive outing.

The Jaguars are one of six teams projected to score fewer than 19 points this week, according to implied totals from Vegas odds. In addition, the Bills have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. SEA)

In his past five games, Winston has thrown for either 300-plus yards and/or multiple touchdowns in every game. During that span, he has averaged 19.44 fantasy points with a minimum of 17.44 in each game. This week's matchup agains the Seahawks isn't great, although injuries in the secondary could make it less daunting than usual. Either way, there are more than 12 better options than Winston this week.

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at HOU)

Rivers had finished outside of the top-12 weekly fantasy quarterbacks in five consecutive games prior to his Week 10 bye. During that five-game span, Rivers had averaged 283.4 yards per game with nine touchdowns, but he has also thrown eight interceptions including four of them in Week 10 against Miami. Going on the road in Week 12, Rivers will face the Texans, who have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the fourth-fewest passing yards this season.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

After throwing for 300-plus yards in two of his first three games this season, Stafford has failed to reach the 300-yard mark in seven consecutive games. And after finishing as a top-10 weekly quarterback in five of his first seven games, Stafford has failed to do in each of his past three games.

Stafford has averaged 13.16 fantasy points per game over his past three with a max of 14.76 (QB17) in Week 9 against the Vikings. Part (read: much) of that production came in the fifth as Stafford threw a game-winning touchdown to Golden Tate in overtime.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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November 23, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 12

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 12?

Brendan Donahue: Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,700)

I think last weekend was a prime example of why more and more people have started to switch over to DFS vs. season-long leagues. While the rash of injuries most likely ruined some teams in season-long leagues, it opened up some nice opportunities for us this weekend who are playing on DraftKings. The main one I like this week is Thomas Rawls, who is unquestionably the featured back for Seattle as they only have two running backs currently on the roster after cutting Christine Michael and the injury to C.J. Prosise.

Rawls has already shown that he's ready for a larger workload as he was forced into more action last week and carried the ball 14 times and caught it three times. Rawls was a fantasy difference-maker down the stretch last year and now with his increased role and a good matchup against Tampa Bay, I will be putting him in almost all my lineups at just $5,700 this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($6,700)

The Sunday-slate wide receiver options aren't great this week as Antonio Brown plays on Thursday, Julio Jones draws shadow coverage from Mike Evans will likely be shadowed by Richard Sherman and A.J. Green tore his hamstring last week.

With Russell Wilson playing better (now at full health), the Seahawks offense is one of my favorite team stacks this weekend. I will have many tournament lineups with Wilson paired up with Rawls, Baldwin and/or Jimmy Graham this weekend. One week after hauling in three touchdowns, Baldwin reached the 100-yard mark and he now has back-to-back top-10 PPR performances.

Sean Beazley: Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd, WRs, Arizona Cardinals ($7,000, $4,300)

I just came off my worst week playing NFL DFS, but I'm ready to get back on the winning side this week. There is one particular game I really like this week and it's the Arizona-Atlanta game. This game should have a ton of points.

People will see that "green 31" next to David Johnson's name and want to jam him in. I will have my fair share of DJ this week (including cash) and I really like Larry Fitzgerald at $7,000 and Michael Floyd at $4,300. This Atlanta team can be thrown on, and for some strange reason, Arians doesn't like to run the ball even though he has the league's best RB. I believe both will have lower ownership this week and make a great natural leverage play off DJ.

John Trifone: Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($4,000)

With A.J. Green likely done for the year, Boyd may emerge as the top wideout on the team. He had eight catches and a touchdown last week, the game in which AJG went down early on. He's also got a matchup with the Ravens, who have one of the league's top run defenses. This looks like a good spot for a cheap WR to have a solid floor with big potential upside.

Dan Yanotchko: Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,700)

This week I like Thomas Rawls of the Seahawks, as he has a under-the-radar matchup against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed 114.3 yards per game, 4.3 yards per carry, and nine touchdowns this season. Rawls will be seeing a plenty of action this week, as C.J. Prosise is on the shelf, and Seattle has limited options on the depth chart.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Minnesota Vikings (Kyle Rudolph): 9.07
2. San Diego Chargers (Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry): 8.97
3. Chicago Bears: 8.90
4. Dallas Cowboys (Jason Witten): 8.75
5. Houston Texans (C.J. Fiedorowicz): 8.69

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 12-16):

28. New England Patriots (Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett): 6.27
29. Atlanta Falcons (Austin Hooper): 6.19
30. Tennessee Titans (Delanie Walker): 6.15
31. Green Bay Packers (Jared Cook, Richard Rodgers): 6.10
32. Miami Dolphins (Dion Sims): 5.63

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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November 22, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Chicago Bears (Cameron Meredith): 25.65
2. San Francisco 49ers (Jeremy Kerley): 24.91
3. Seattle Seahawks (Doug Baldwin): 24.58
4. Miami Dolphins (Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker): 24.44
5. Atlanta Falcons (Julio Jones): 24.34

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Tennessee Titans (Rishard Matthews, Tajae Sharpe): 22.02
29. Green Bay Packers (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams): 20.88
30. Kansas City Chiefs (Jeremy Maclin): 20.71
31. Indianapolis Colts (T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief): 20.32
32. Jacksonville Jaguars (Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee): 18.97

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Los Angeles Rams (Todd Gurley): 21.28
2. Carolina Panthers (Jonathan Stewart): 20.08
3. San Diego Chargers (Melvin Gordon): 19.95
4. Buffalo Bills (LeSean McCoy, Mike Gillislee): 19.94
5. Kansas City Chiefs (Spencer Ware): 19.82

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Minnesota Vikings (Matt Asiata, Jerick McKinnon, Adrian Peterson): 16.91
29. New Orleans Saints (Mark Ingram, Tim Hightower): 16.57
30. Denver Broncos (Devontae Booker): 16.38
31. Seattle Seahawks (Thomas Rawls): 16.00
32. Washington Redskins (Robert Kelley): 14.55

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football RB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 12-16):

T1. New York Jets (Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bryce Petty): 18.55
2. Chicago Bears (Matt Barkley): 18.55
3. Minnesota Vikings (Sam Bradford): 18.46
4. Los Angeles Rams (Case Keenum): 18.16
5. Houston Texans (Brock Osweiler): 18.15

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Tennessee Titans (Marcus Mariota): 15.60
29. Detroit Lions (Matthew Stafford): 15.51
30. New England Patriots (Tom Brady): 15.22
31. Green Bay Packers (Aaron Rodgers): 14.97
31. Jacksonville Jaguars (Blake Bortles): 14.82

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football QB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 12

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 12 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (12 percent)

Returning from a multi-month absence, Cook had six catches for 105 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 11 targets on Sunday Night Football. It was clearly his best performance as a Packer, but hopefully it's a sign of what may be to come.

In his first three games with the Packers, however, Cook had just 53 total yards on six catches and 11 targets. And the Packers have a Week 12 matchup against the Eagles, who have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (21 percent)

Barely used as a receiver in the team's first three games, Fiedorowicz has become much more involved in the passing offense since then. The third-year tight end now has five targets in seven consecutive games.

Over that seven-game span, Fiedorowicz has averaged 7.0 targets per game and has posted a 33/380/3 line during that stretch including 6/82 on 10 targets on Monday Night Football in Mexico City. Fiedorowicz now has at least 24-percent target share in two of his past three games.

3. Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (38 percent)

Once. Week 2.

That's how often (and when) Pitta has finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end this season. In Week 2 against the Browns, Pitta had nine catches for 102 yards on 12 targets.

Since then, he has a minimum of five targets in all but one game and averaged 6.88 targets over that eight-game stretch.

Once again, however, Pitta gets a favorable matchup in Week 12 as the Bengals have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position. Can he exploit the matchup? We'll see ...

4. Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (17 percent)

Bad news first: Henry has 16 yards or less and a total of five catches in his past three games played. That said, he has four touchdowns in his past six games and he had a four-game streak of 60-plus yards before his recent three-game cold streak.

Clearly, Antonio Gates is the team's tight end to trust with 20-percent target share in five consecutive games, but it wouldn't surprise me if Henry (knee) becomes more involved again as he approaches full health.

In addition, if Gates were to miss time at all, Henry would immediately become a top-10 option with a great schedule in the fantasy playoffs -- Panthers, Raiders and Browns in Weeks 14, 15 and 16, respectively. All three of those teams rank in the top-eight in terms of most fantasy points allowed to tight ends.

5. Vance McDonald, San Francisco 49ers (eight percent)

With 20-percent target share in back-to-back games, McDonald now has six targets in four consecutive games. McDonald has 204 yards and two touchdowns in those four games and has averaged 8.1 fantasy points per game during that stretch. He's still TD-dependent -- TE3/TE4 in the two weeks he scored, TE20/TE22 in the two weeks he didn't, but he has become a viable streamer in plus matchups down the stretch.

6. Will Tye, New York Giants (two percent)

For the third consecutive week following the team's Week 8 bye, Tye had five-plus targets and now has a total of 20 targets in his past three games. It's disappointing that he turned his five targets into only two catches for 12 yards last week, but he did score his first touchdown of the season.

In addition, Tye has some exploitable matchups on the horizon with the Browns in Week 12 first up. Only the Lions -- his Week 15 opponent -- have allowed more fantasy points to tight ends this season than the Browns.

7. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills (13 percent)

The last time that Clay scored three or more fantasy points was Week 6 against the 49ers. In his past four games, however, he has had just 29, six, nine and 23 yards, respectively.

On a positive note for Clay (and potentially his fantasy owners), the team has had numerous injuries at wide receiver although Sammy Watkins is eligible to return this week. That said, it's far from a sure thing that he returns and it now appears that Robert Woods, the team's No. 2 wide receiver (after Watkins), will miss time with a knee injury.

8. Lance Kendricks, Los Angeles Rams (12 percent)

Kendricks followed up a disappointing one-catch, zero-yard performance in Week 10 with four catches for 38 yards on Sunday. Those numbers are not great, but Kendricks had seven targets and now has seven-plus targets in four of his past five games. The upcoming schedule is positive for Kendricks with the Saints, Patriots and Falcons up over the next three weeks.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 12

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 12

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 12 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Sammy Watkins, Buffalo Bills (41 percent)

One of the most talented receivers in the league, when healthy, Watkins is eligible to return in Week 12 and there appears to be at least a chance that he returns this week. Or at least a "hope." Even if Watkins isn't ready for Week 12, Rex Ryan's comments suggest that his return may not be far behind.

Watkins played in only two games (six catches for 63 yards) this season, but Watkins broke out last year with a 60/1,047/9 line last season and was especially productive down the stretch. Exceeding 100 yards four times over his final six games, Watkins had 35 catches for 679 yards and six touchdowns during that six-game stretch. Fantasy owners shouldn't expect a similar six-game stretch if Watkins returns this week, but there is no other player on the waiver wire that could put a team over the top like Watkins.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals (four percent)

In terms of receptions, A.J. Green (66) and Giovani Bernard (39) rank first and second on the Bengals and now the team will be without both for a significant period of time. Not only did Green tear his hamstring, but Bernard was lost to a torn ACL.

While I'd expect to see a lot more Jeremy Hill and Tyler Eifert, the biggest beneficiary among the team's wide receivers should be Boyd. The rookie out of Pittsburgh had six catches Sunday for 54 yards and a score on eight targets. Not only did he tie season highs in both receptions and targets, but he scored his first touchdown of his career.

Boyd, Brandon LaFell and the Bengals receivers have a favorable upcoming schedule with the Ravens, Eagles and Browns in Weeks 12 to 14. The Ravens have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and the Eagles and Browns are both within the top-12 most generous fantasy defenses to the position this season.

3. Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers (23 percent)

From Weeks 4 to 8, Rogers played in only one game (Week 6), but he has emerged as the team's No. 2 receiver after Antonio Brown. Rogers caught four-of-six targets on Sunday for only 20 yards, but it was a difficult weather situation with high sustained winds.

Before that, Rogers had six catches for 103 yards on 10 targets in Week 9 and four catches for 42 yards and a score on five targets in Week 10 to finish as a top-30 fantasy performer in each week.

The Steelers will visit the Colts on Thursday Night Football this week in what should be a shootout. The Steelers are three-point favorites and the over/under currently sits at 54.

4. Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (six percent)

Blake Bortles and the Jaguars offense has regressed this season, but Lee has taken a huge step forward in his third season. Lee scored his first touchdown of the season last week, but he now has a minimum of four catches and six targets in eight of nine games since Week 2. In addition, Lee has at least 50 receiving yards in five of his past six games.

The biggest concern with Lee is lack of targets in the red zone, but at this point of the season, I'd trust Lee more than I'd trust Allen Hurns, who has just three catches for 22 yards in his past three games combined. Lee is on pace for 67 catches and 870 receiving yards.

5. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (41 percent)

In his past five games, Hill has scored double-digit fantasy points three times and has finished as a top-40 fantasy wide receiver in all but one game during that span. During that five-game span, Hill has seven carries for 71 yards and 23 receptions for 289 yards and two touchdowns on 30 targets.

Dangerous in the open field and used in the vertical passing game more than a 5-foot-10 receiver typically would, Hill is a big play waiting to happen. On the season, Hill ranks second in punt return average (15.8) and he would rank eighth in kickoff return average (23.3) if he had enough returns to qualify among league leaders.

For as long as Jeremy Maclin (groin) continues to miss time, Hill should remain in the WR3 mix. That said, the Chiefs face the Broncos in Week 12.

6. Tajae Sharpe, Tennessee Titans (12 percent)

Sharpe began the season with a 7/76 performance on 11 targets, but that was the exception to the rule over the first month and a half of the season. In his next five games, Sharpe failed to reach 50 receiving yards and averaged only 22.6/G over that span.

Since then, however, he has become more productive. The rookie out of UMass has a minimum of 58 receiving yards in three consecutive games and four of his past five. In addition, he has scored in back-to-back games.

The Titans are a run-first team and Delanie Walker and Rishard Matthews are the team's top-two pass-catching options, but Sharpe could be useful down the stretch in Marcus Mariota's breakout season.

7. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (four percent)

In general, it's a low-volume pass offense for the Vikings, but Thielen has been productive over the past month-plus. In his past six games, Thielen has 24 catches for 373 yards and three touchdowns and has averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game over that stretch.

The Vikings have a favorable matchup on Thanksgiving against the Lions and Stefon Diggs (knee) was listed as "limited" on Monday. Even though the Vikings did not practice on Monday and Diggs is expected to play, it's something to watch.

8. Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals (11 percent)

LaFell's production and efficiency has been inconsistent, but his volume of targets is sure to increase with the injury to Green. While he finished with only four catches for 32 yards on Sunday, LaFell's nine targets were his second-most as a Bengal. Going forward, he should consistently see six-plus targets.

9. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (13 percent)

It's hard to trust any Titans receiver too much, but Wright -- like Sharpe and Matthews -- has played well over the past month and a half, which corresponds to Mariota's hot streak. With a minimum of five fantasy points in five of six games, Wright has a total of 22/353/3 during that six-game stretch. The concern, though, is that he has exceeded five targets in only two of those games.

10. Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (four percent)

For the second time in three games, Green-Beckham finished with five catches, 50-plus yards and at least eight targets. Of course, it isn't great that he didn't get his second catch in this game until the fourth quarter, but garbage-time stats count just the same as first-quarter stats.

A big-bodied receiver, DGB scored just his second touchdown of the season last week, but both scores have occurred in the past month. The team's 2015 first-round pick, Nelson Agholor, has been a bust and DGB should at least move ahead of him in the pecking order for playing time and snaps.

11. Cordarrelle Patterson, Minnesota Vikings (five percent)

Patterson had just two targets in his first three games combined, but since then, he has averaged six per game and he has eight in two of his past three games. Patterson has finished as a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in three of those seven games, (not-so) coincidentally when he scored, but he's at least worth a look in deeper leagues.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 12

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 12

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 12 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (48 percent)

Let's try this again. A couple of weeks ago, Ivory topped this list as he rushed 18 times for a season-high 107 yards.

The expectation was that the Jags would be more committed to the run, to Ivory in particular, in Week 10. Instead, Ivory had nine carries (just 42.86 percent of the team's attempts) for 31 yards and two catches for 10 yards.

With T.J. Yeldon (ankle) leaving Sunday's game early, it was back to another heavy workload for Ivory, who finished with 17 carries for 39 yards and six catches for 75 yards against the Lions.

Yeldon's injury is considered to be day-to-day, but it sounds like his status for Week 12 is in doubt. If Yeldon is forced to sit out Week 12, Ivory should once again get a sizable workload.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills (25 percent)

LeSean McCoy (thumb surgery) may or may not play in Week 12, and if not, it would obviously open up more opportunities for Gillislee. Per Pro Football Talk, McCoy is expected to play in Week 12 "barring something unexpected." Then again, coach Rex Ryan was less certain as he said, "we'll see."

In their past three games, Gillislee has rushing lines of 12/85/1, 8/32/1 and 14/72 in addition to five catches for 13 yards. In those three games, he has finished as the weekly RB9, RB15 and RB34, respectively.

3. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (28 percent)

Going into Sunday's game, the expectation was that Terrance West would continue to start, but that Dixon's carries would increase. While they didn't increase in absolute numbers, Dixon saw a season-high 37.5 percent of the carries on Sunday.

Dixon now has at least six carries in three consecutive games and he has a total of 78 yards on 12 carries (6.5 YPC) in his past two games with another five catches for 42 yards. Based on talent, Dixon is capable of bigger and better things and is certainly worth a stash for all fantasy owners.

4. Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia Eagles (two percent)

Both Ryan Mathews (knee) and Darren Sproles (fractured rib) exited Sunday's game with injuries and Smallwood led the team with 17 touches for 79 yards. At this point in the week, it sounds as if both Mathews and Sproles will play.

Even when all of the backs were healthy in Week 10, Smallwood had 13 carries for 70 yards as well. If Mathews and/or Sproles were to miss Week 12, Smallwood would be the biggest beneficiary against the Packers, who have been bleeding production to opposing running backs over the past month.

Over the past four games, the Packers have surrendered 90/452/7 rushing and 13/109/1 receiving to opposing running backs. Not only have they surrendered a total of 114.5 fantasy points to position, they have allowed a running back to score 17-plus fantasy points in four consecutive games.

5. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (38 percent)

Based on talent, McKinnon is clearly more talented than Matt Asiata. Neither have been all that efficient and Sunday was no different. That said, the shift in workload has continued as McKinnon had 17 touches for 41 yards in Week 11.

McKinnon was inactive in Week 8, but he had seven and nine touches in the previous two games, respectively. On the other hand, Asiata's volume has declined from 16 touches in Week 8 to 11, 10 and six over the past three weeks, respectively.

Asiata has scored in back-to-back games and remains the best best for goal-line opportunities. But if McKinnon is going to continue to dominate backfield touches, he is the preferred option in this duo going forward. And if Adrian Peterson is available, it appears that he has a shot to return as early as Week 15.

6. Bilal Powell, New York Jets (41 percent)

Powell had one of his best games of the season before the bye as he totalled 89 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown on 11 touches including seven receptions, both of which were season highs. While he's better in PPR formats and his upside is capped as long as Matt Forte is healthy, Powell has now finished as a top-12 weekly fantasy performer (standard scoring) in two of his past three games. Powell has finished as a top-26 PPR running back in six of his past eight games.

7. Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (three percent)

Far from efficient on a per-touch basis, Washington's usage rate continues to be a positive. For a second consecutive game, he had double-digit carries and Washington (15) had more touches this week than Theo Riddick (12).

Washington managed only 0.14 fantasy points per touch as he gained only six yards on his 13 carries and added two catches for 15 yards. Riddick had 10 targets in the passing game and remains the preferred option among the team's running backs, but the expanded role is at least a positive for Washington.

The remaining schedule isn't great as only the Saints in Week 13 are a plus matchup, but if he maintains his role through Thursday's tough matchup against the Vikings, he could be a low-end RB2/flex option for fantasy owners in Week 13.

8. Rex Burkhead, Cincinnati Bengals (zero percent)

Not only did the Bengals lose the game (in score), they lost two of the most-talented weapons to lengthy injuries as A.J. Green tore his hamstring and Giovani Bernard tore his ACL. While others will benefit more than Burkhead, he should see a fairly significant bump in playing time due to the injuries.

Before the season, there was some talk that Burkhead would see some playing at wide receiver so both injuries have the potential to create additional opportunities for Burkhead. On the year, however, Burkhead has just six carries for 39 yards and two catches for 24 yards. At a minimum, he's at least worth a look for deep-leaguers.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 12

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 12

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 12 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (18 percent)

Since the 49ers have made the QB switch, Kaepernick has started five games -- two before their Week 8 bye and three after it. In the three games since his bye, Kaepernick has scored a minimum of 19.44 fantasy points and finished as a top-eight weekly fantasy quarterback in each game.

Even though he has thrown for 210 yards or less in back-to-back games and in four of his five starts, Kaepernick has accounted for multiple scores including a Week 10 rushing touchdown in each of his past three games. Buoyed by his rushing stats, the dual-threat quarterback has 36 carries for 260 yards (7.22 yards per carry) and a touchdown this season.

Perhaps he won't continue his streak of top-eight performances, but his schedule sets up favorably over the next month. Kaepernick faces the Dolphins in Week 12 and then gets the Bears, Jets and Falcons in Weeks 13 to 15.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (27 percent)

Without his top receiver (Jeremy Maclin, groin injury), Smith finished Week 11 tied as fantasy's QB8 as he completed 24-of-31 for 261 yards and a touchdown and ran for 10 yards and a score. Smith won't be a recommeneded streamer in Week 12 (or 16) when he faces the vaunted Broncos pass defense, but he has three favorable matchups (Falcons, Raiders and Titans) in between those clashes with the Broncos.

There is always a concern that Smith won't fully exploit a plus matchup in their run-first offense, but he will be one of the top streaming options for owners looking ahead to Week 13. Through Week 11, the Falcons have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season and the Raiders (11th-most) and Titans (12th-most) have been generous to the position as well.

3. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (24 percent)

During the team's five-game winning streak, the Dolphins have been a decidedly run-heavy team. In fact, Tannehill's 34 pass attempts marked only the second time in his past seven games that he has thrown 30-plus pass attempts. During that seven-game stretch, Tannehill has more games with less than 200 yards (four) than he has with more than 200 (three) and he has exceeded 250 passing yards only once.

On a positive note, he has multiple touchdowns in back-to-back games -- his only two such games in his past seven -- and he gets a favorable matchup in Week 12 against the 49ers. So far this season, the 49ers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 12

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November 20, 2016

Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals +1.5 over Minnesota Vikings (3 Units)

After a five-game winning streak to open the season, the Vikings have lost four games in a row. While they have one of the league's best defenses, their struggles on offense has put added strain on their defense, which hasn't played as well recently.

This should be a relatively low-scoring affair, as only the Dolphins-Rams have a lower over/under, but I expect the Cardinals to win this game outright. Not only do they also have one of the league's best defenses, but I trust their offense to be able to move the ball more so than I trust Minnesota's. Take the 1.5 here.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams, Under 39.0 (3 Units)

It's the lowest over/under on the schedule and I'll still go lower in this one. The Rams have one of the best defensive lines in the league and the Dolphins will be without a couple of key starters on the offensive line as both Branden Albert and Mike Pouncey have been ruled out.

On the hand, the anemic Rams offense will hope to get a shot in the arm as Jared Goff, this year's No. 1 overall pick, makes his NFL debut. The Rams rank last in the NFL in scoring at 15.4 points per game, so it's hard for the offense to be worse than it's been.

Even so, the Rams have scored 10 points or less in three consecutive games. I can this game being a 13-9 type of game.

Buffalo Bills +3 over Cincinnati Bengals (3 Units)

Andy Dalton and the Bengals are coming off a tough Monday Night Football loss to the Giants and will host the only team that actually plays in New York on a short week. Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off their bye with an extra week to prepare.

With Sammy Watkins still out (but eligible to return as early as Week 12), there are concerns with the team's limited weapons in the passing game. Powered by LeSean McCoy and the dual-threat abilities of Tyrod Taylor, however, Buffalo ranks second in the NFL with 155.0 rushing yards per game and first in the league in yards per carry (5.3).

The Bengals have been a huge disappointment and I think they are better than their record indicates, but I will take the points here.

New England Patriots -12.5 over San Francisco 49ers (2 Units)

It didn't work last week with the Cardinals, but I'd expect Tom Brady & Co. to take out their frustrations in a bounce-back performance following their Sunday Night Football loss at home last week. Even though it's a large spread and the Patriots are without Rob Gronkowski, they are a vastly superior team and don't typically take their foot off the gas. Would it surprise you if the Patriots won this game by 30? Me neither.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 19, 2016

Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals +1.5 over Minnesota Vikings (5 Units)

We have seen the Vikings defense struggle the past few weeks after a great start, and they face David Johnson and the Cardinals this week. I like Arizona in this spot. On the flip side, Minnesota’s offense has been basically Stefon Diggs during this time, and he gets a matchup with one of the best in Patrick Peterson. I think Diggs and the Vikings will struggle to score in this one. Cardinals 27, Vikings 13.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

New England Patriots -12.5 over San Francisco 49ers (5 Units)
Patriots at 49ers, Over 51.0 (4 units)


I love the Patriots in a bounce-back spot on Sunday. I think this is a great game to target in DFS as well. I'll be stacking this game up for sure. I believe Tom Brady, LeGarrette Blount & Co. will have a huge game and thump the 49ers on the road. Patriots 55, 49ers 20.

Indianapolis Colts -2.5 over Tennessee Titans (2 Units)

The Titans have struggled with the Colts for the past few seasons, and even though they have looked great on offense the past few weeks, their defense is prone to big plays in the passing game. Andrew Luck has this team's number, and I think this game comes down to the wire. Colts 27, Titans 24.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars +6 over Detroit Lions (3 Units)

So, this isn't the surprise season that everyone thought Jacksonville would have, and also it certainly appears that after four years of futility that coach Gus Bradley will be out the door as well. I think if only for a week, Blake Bortles can get back on track against a really bad Detroit Lions pass defense.

The Lions allow 259 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, at 74% completion percentage, and have allowed 20 touchdowns through the air as well. Compound this with Jacksonville's improving pass defense that only gives up 204 yards per game, which is good for fourth in the league.

I really think that the Lions will win this game outright at home, but the way that they can't stop the pass and Allen Robinson has some momentum coming into this game, it will be a close one.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

New York Giants -7.5 over Chicago Bears (4 Units)

This is the type of game that New York will struggle in, and also Chicago will find a way to win, but I really think this season is just a lost cause for the Bears right now. The worst possible thing for the Bears happened this week with Alshon Jeffrey being suspended, and as he is the go-to guy for Jay Cutler this offense will be anemic.

The Bears will not only be toothless on offense, but their passing defense is just too weak for the likes of Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Sheppard at home. The Bears allow 243 yards per game to opposing passers and a robust 66.7 completion percentage as well. I like the Giants at home here, as Chicago just doesn't have any mismatches available against New York.

Miami Dolphins -2 over Los Angeles Rams (4 Units)

This will certainly be an odd game, as finally the No. 1 pick in Jared Goff will make his season debut, and I am certain that this call is coming in from above Jeff Fisher's head. I don't know what else there is to really say about one of the most average coaches in league history having Goff start the year at number 3 on the depth chart.

The other reason that I like Miami in this game is the Ryan Tannehill might actually have a chance to stand in the pocket, and not be killed by a surprisingly weak Rams pass rush. The Rams haven't surrendered many yards to opposing quarterbacks, but they have only compiled 16 sacks and five interceptions on the year.

Combine Todd Gurley's struggles, the Dolphins loading up the box, and a No. 1 pick waiting 11 weeks to start due to ability in practice ... I'm going Miami here.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

Baltimore Ravens +7.5 over Dallas Cowboys (5 Units)

If you've been betting against the Cowboys this season, you aren't doing well. They're 8-0-1 against the number on the year and the tie was way back in their Week 1 loss to the Giants. The Ravens have the No. 1 rushing defense in the league, and I think that they can slow Ezekiel Elliott down enough here to cover the 7.5.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Miami Dolphins -2 over Los Angeles Rams (4 Units)

The Rams are finally going to Jared Goff for his first start of the year. The rookie has been unable to beat out Case Keenum for the starting job, and the Dolphins have won four in a row. I'm a little weary of the Rams playing at home, but I just don't see the offense being able to score many points. They did win without a touchdown last week in the 9-6 barn burner against the Jets, but Miami should have a little more success scoring. If they can put up 17-20 points, that should be good enough to win by a field goal or more.

Arizona Cardinals +1.5 over Minnesota Vikings (3 Units)

Thr Vikings have been sliding since their hot start, and even the vaunted defense they came out with has taken a step back. If Patrick Peterson can neutralize Stefon Diggs in the slot, Minnesota may have a tough time scoring. Arizona has been disappointing this season as well, but I think they can hang in a tight, low-scoring game, and I'll take them getting points here.

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Week 11 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Eric Ebron is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 11 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jordan Reed and Ebron, you should start Reed -- and in turn, bench Ebron.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 11 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (at OAK)

Barely used as a receiver in the team's first three games, Fiedorowicz has become much more involved in the passing offense since then. Even though he had just three catches for 26 yards in Week 10, the third-year tight end now has five targets in six consecutive games.

Over that six-game span, Fiedorowicz has averaged 6.5 targets per game and has posted a 27/298/3 line during that stretch. Brock Osweiler has been awful and last week was no different (14/27 passing, 99 yards and two touchdowns). While Fiedorowicz had five targets, the team's other tight ends also had five targets total and caught both of Osweiler's touchdowns.

In other words, I feel much more confident in starting a Texans tight end like Fiedorowicz than I do in starting one of the team's wide receivers, even one as talented as DeAndre Hopkins. Considering the Raiders have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, Fiedorowicz is a top-10 option at the position for me this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Martellus Bennett, New England Patriots (at SF)

The only concern with Bennett this week is that the Patriots use him more as a blocker than a receiver, which is something that we've seen at points this season. In other words, it has led to some boom or bust weeks.

Bennett has as many 100-yard games (three) as he has games with less than 15 receiving yards. With Rob Gronkowski ruled out this week and no team projected to score more points this week, however, Bennett's upside is huge. He's a top-four fantasy tight end for me.

TE - Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions (vs. JAX)

Ebron has missed multiple games this season, but he has been especially productive in his past two outings. On a total of 18 targets, Ebron has seven catches for 79 yards and seven catches for 92 yards in his past two games, respectively.

This season, he has a minimum of four catches and 42 yards in all six games that he has played. On a per-game basis, he has averaged 5.33 catches for 63.5 yards on 7.17 targets per game.

Even though the Jaguars have allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends, the Lions are projected to score the fourth-most points this week.

Week 11 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (at DAL)

Here's the good news: Pitta has averaged 7.33 targets per game this season and has three games with double-digit targets. Here's the bad news: Pitta has 42 yards or less in all but one game (Week 2). In fact, Week 2 was the only time that Pitta finished a week as a top-12 fantasy tight end.

Even though he has the second-most targets (66) amongst tight ends behind only Greg Olsen (78), he ranks just 25th in fantasy points scored. (Due to volume, he's more productive in PPR formats, TE15.) Pitta has yet to score a touchdown and is averaging just 8.15 Y/R.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. PIT)

Barnidge had a five-game streak with at least 57 receiving yards, but he has failed to reach that level of production in each of his past three games. In fact, he has just three catches for 23 yards and one catch for eight yards in his past two games with a total of just seven targets in those two outings.

In addition, Barnidge has yet to score a touchdown this season. Of course, he's going to score a touchdown at some point this season and perhaps that's this week, but until he's more involved in the offense again, he's nothing more than a roll of the dice.

TE - Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis Colts (vs. TEN)

The Colts had a Week 10 bye, but Allen returned in Week 9 and finished with one catch for 15 yards on two targets. Meanwhile, Jack Doyle had five catches for 61 yards on nine targets in that game. The Titans have been generous to opposing tight ends (ninth-most fantasy points allowed), but I would prefer to start Doyle over Allen if I had to choose a Colts tight end to start this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 11

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Week 11 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Stefon Diggs is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 11 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Odell Beckham, Amari Cooper and Diggs and can only start two receivers, you should start OBJ and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Diggs.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (vs. JAX)

Things could not have started much worse for Tate as he totaled only 17 catches for 134 yards and no touchdowns on 31 targets in his first five games this season. That's a per-game average of 3.4/26.8 on 6.2 targets. Since then, however, Tate has a total of 32 catches for 379 yards and two touchdowns on 43 targets -- or 8.0/94.75/0.5 on 10.75 targets per game.

The matchup against the Jags isn't great as they allow the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers and both Amukamara and Ramsey shadow, but Tate's recent usage keeps him in the WR2 mix. Not only are the Lions projected to score the fourth-most points this week, according to Vegas odds, but Tate has double-digit targets in three of his past four games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (vs. ARI)

Like Tate, Diggs has a poor matchup. In fact, it's worse (than Tate's). The Cardinals have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and Patrick Peterson will shadow Diggs.

That said, Diggs has a minimum of 13 targets in three consecutive games and exactly 13 receptions in back-to-back games. Last week, he parlayed those 13 catches into 164 yards. Primarily based on volume, Diggs should be able to overcome a challenging individual matchup.

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (vs. TEN)

With this week's highest over/under, this game should be a shootout and the Colts are favored by a field goal. With a rare combination of size and athleticism, Moncrief has scored in three of four games played this season. The lone exception was Week 2 against the Broncos when he left early due to injury.

In fact, Moncrief has now scored in eight of 11 games that both he and Andrew Luck have played together. It's a favorable matchup for Moncrief, T.Y. Hilton and the Colts receivers as the Titans have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. Only the Patriots are projected to score more points than the Colts this weekend.

WR - Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (at WAS)

Even with a traditional running back returning last week, Adams had nine targets that resulted in six catches for 156 yards last week. Over his past four games, he has a total of 35 catches for 403 yards and three touchdowns on 47 targets. With a minimum of eight targets in each game, Adams has 100-plus yards in two of his past four.

With Josh Norman likely to shadow Jordy Nelson, it bodes well for both Adams and Randall Cobb. So far this season, Adams has been targeted six times inside the 10-yard line and only six players have more such targets. In fact, Nelson is tied with Emmanuel Sanders for the NFL lead (10).

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (at WAS)

With James Starks returning in Week 10, Montgomery was relegated to a secondary role last week. Getting only five touches (three carries and two receptions), he finished with 20 yards from scrimmage as fantasy's WR65. Not only is Starks now one more game removed from his knee injury, the team claimed Christine Michael off waivers. I still expect Montgomery to get a few carries and a few targets, but it's difficult to envision him being a significant factor in the team's offensive game plan on Sunday.

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. JAX)

In a bit of a role reversal with Tate, Jones has seen his major role over the first four games turn into a bit role over the past five. With a minimum of 74 receiving yards in each of his first four games, Jones racked up a 23/482/2 statistical line in the first month of the season.

Since then, however, Jones has a total of only 14 catches in five games for 179 yards and two touchdowns. His only top-24 weekly performances occurred in Weeks 2 and 3 of the season. With a lesser role in a not-so-favorable matchup, Jones is outside of my top-24 fantasy receivers once again.

WR - Will Fuller, Houston Texans (at OAK)

Fuller began his career with a bang -- back-to-back 100-yard games to start the season. In Houston's inefficient passing offense, it's been all downhill from there. He has 31 receiving yards or less in four of five games since Week 3 and hasn't played since Week 8. He's expected to return this week, but he's a game-time decision and plays on Monday Night Football. Even with a soft matchup against the Raiders, Fuller isn't worth the risk this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 11

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Week 11 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Theo Riddick is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 11 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, LeGarrette Blount and Riddick and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Blount -- and in turn, bench Riddick.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 11 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots (at SF)

No player has more rushing touchdowns this season than Blount (12), who has scored in every game other than their Week 4 shutout with Tom Brady suspended. With the highest implied total from Vegas odds, there could very well be multiple scoring opportunities for Blount this week.

Perhaps atypical for a Belichick-coached team, Blount has been the recipient of a consistent workload this season. Not only does he have a minimum of 15 touches in every game, but he has averaged 20.89 per contest even though he is little-used as a receiver.

This week's matchup for Blount is as good as it gets. While their streak of 100-yard rushers allowed ended at seven last week, the 49ers have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season and no team has allowed more yards per carry (5.26) or rushing scores (13) to the position.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Robert Kelley, Washington Redskins (vs. GB)

Emerging as the team's lead back over the past two games, Kelley carried it 21 times for 87 yards and a touchdown in Week 8 and 22 times for 97 yards in Week 10. (The team had its bye in Week 9.) With 69.84 percent of the running back touches in those two games, Kelley should once again approach 20 carries as the team is a home favorite against the Packers in Week 11.

Even though the matchup appears tough on paper, as the Packers have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points to running backs, they have been more generous lately. In their past three games, they have allowed three consecutive top-six fantasy performances — Devonta Freeman (Week 8), Frank Gore (Week 9) and DeMarco Murray (Week 10).

RB - Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions (vs. JAX)

No longer just a change-of-pace option due to injuries, Riddick has a minimum of 15 touches in his past six games. On the season, he has averaged 81.4 yards from scrimmage and 5.0 receptions per game with a total of five touchdowns.

In his past three games, Riddick has finished as fantasy's weekly RB6, RB4 and RB17 against the Eagles, Texans and Vikings, respectively. Against the Jags this week, the Lions are projected to score the fourth-most points according to implied totals from Vegas odds.

RB - Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts (vs. TEN)

Gore has finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in all but two games this season -- Week 1 (RB30) and Week 5 (RB25). Averaging 18.78 touches per game, Gore has scored seven touchdowns in his nine games.

Even though the Titans allow the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, Gore had 83 yards and a touchdown on 22 touches in their first matchup and no game has a higher over/under this week. In fact, only the Patriots are projected to score more points than the Colts this week.

Week 11 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - James Starks, Green Bay Packers (at WAS)

In the first game back from his knee injury, Starks had a total of 44 yards and a touchdown on 10 total touches. The workload and efficiency weren't great, but the score led to a productive fantasy outing.

With Ty Montgomery still an option to steal a couple of carries and the addition of Christine Michael off waivers, it's unclear how much Starks will see his workload expand this week. Even though he has a favorable matchup against the Redskins, who have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, Starks is more of a flex option than a solid RB2 this week.

RB - Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (at DET)

How many touches will Ivory get this week? Who knows? One week after getting 19 touches and having his most productive outing of the season, Ivory saw only 11 touches last week. On the year, here are his weekly touches: 13, eight, 13, seven, five, 19 and 11.

With the exception of his 19-touch outing, Ivory has less than 50 rushing yards in every game played. As underdogs to the Lions, who allow the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position, it's hard to trust that Ivory will get a sufficient workload to allow him to finish as a top-24 fantasy running back this week.

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (vs. ARI)

In his past two games, McKinnon has seven carries for eight yards and then six carries for 16 yards. Granted, he also added three catches for 17 yards last week, but the lack of work and inefficiency means that McKinnon (and Matt Asiata) should remain on your bench. Without a touchdown, neither will be in the RB2 mix against the league's stingiest defense to fantasy running backs as the team is averaging a league-low 2.7 yards per carry this season.

RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (vs. PHI)

There are a few different reports on how Rawls will be used in his first game back from injury. Considering how well C.J. Prosise played last week, however, it would make sense to ease Rawls back in. Prosise turned 24 touches into 153 yards from scrimmage last week and he is the preferred Seahawks running back to start -- at least, for Week 11.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 11

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Week 11 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Kirk Cousins is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 11 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Andrew Luck and Cousins, you should start Luck -- and in turn, bench Cousins.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 11 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (at IND)

Not only did Mariota extend his streak of weekly top-12 fantasy performances to six consecutive weeks, but the second-year quarterback scored more fantasy points than any other quarterback in Week 10. In fact, Mariota has finished as a top-four weekly producer four times during that six-game span.

Even though he has thrown less than 30 pass attempts in four of those six games, Mariota has accounted for multiple touchdowns in all six of those games. With a total of 19 scores (17 passing and two rushing), Mariota has thrown a touchdown every 10.65 pass attempts during that stretch.

The Colts have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position and Mariota threw for 232 yards and two touchdowns in his first matchup against the Colts this season. Even though that was his worst game during his recent hot stretch, Mariota still finished that week as fantasy's QB11.

After running for 60-plus yards in back-to-back games (Weeks 5 and 6), Mariota hasn't run the ball much (14 rushing yards or less in four straight). That said, few quarterbacks have as much upside as Mariota does due to his TD efficiency and dual-threat abilities in a potential shootout (highest over/under of week).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. GB)

Cousins has averaged more than 300 passing yards per game (301.78) this season. Including a rushing score in Week 7, he has averaged exactly two scores over his last seven games played. Starting in Week 2, Cousins has been consistent with a minimum of 17 fantasy points in all but one game (Week 5).

This week, he gets a favorable matchup against the Packers, who are just one of four teams this season to allow three passing touchdowns in at least four games on the year. Only the Browns (7.27%) and Lions (6.39%) have allowed a touchdown on a higher percentage of pass attempts than the Packers (6.08%). In addition, only the Browns (8.31 Y/A) and Bills (8.27) have allowed more yards per attempt than the Packers (8.21).

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (vs. BAL)

Playing beyond his years, Prescott and the Cowboys are the only remaining one-loss team this season and their lone loss was by one point in Week 1. Even though the Cowboys are a run-first team, Prescott has multiple touchdowns -- both passing and rushing -- in seven consecutive games.

Atypical for a rookie, Prescott has been incredibly consistent with a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points in every game since Week 2. While he threw for a career-high 319 yards last week against the Steelers, he has yet to throw for fewer than 227 in any game.

Even though the Ravens have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, Prescott has finished as the weekly QB12 (or better) in all but one game over his past seven. In fact, the one exception was a QB13 performance and I expect another top-12 performance from him this week.

Week 11 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (at MIN)

Good news first: Palmer has thrown for more than 340 passing yards in three consecutive games. Not only is it the longest such streak this season, but only four other quarterbacks have done it in back-to-back games this year -- Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Eli Manning and Andy Dalton.

So, why is he listed on the Sit'em side of this post?

Despite averaging 360.3 yards over his past three games, he has scored 15-plus fantasy points in only one of those outings. In addition, he has more than one touchdown in just one of his past six games.

While Cousins finished as fantasy's QB12 last week against the Vikings, it was the first time this season that the Vikings have allowed a top-12 weekly quarterback. On the season, they have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. BUF)

Ending a streak of four games with 19-plus fantasy points before the bye, Dalton threw for only 204 yards and one touchdown in Week 10 against the Giants to finish as fantasy's QB21. Playing on a short week, Dalton and the Bengals will face the Bills, who have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at KC)

In terms of fantasy production, Winston has been productive with a 10:2 TD-INT ratio and average of 19.95 fantasy points over his past four games. During that span, he has finished as the weekly QB13 or better each week.

On the year, Winston has been better at home (19.14 fantasy points per game) than he has on the road (16.05/G) and the Bucs head to the difficult road environment at Arrowhead this week. Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, the Buccaneers are projected to score the fifth-fewest points (18.5) this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 11

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November 18, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 11

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 11 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Tom Brady, New England Patriots (at SF), $7,800
RB - LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots (at SF), $6,400
RB - Isaiah Crowell, Cleveland Browns (vs. PIT), $3,900
WR - Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at KC), $8,100
WR - T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (vs. TEN), $7,700
WR - Eddie Royal, Chicago Bears (at NYG), $3,400
TE - Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans (at IND), $5,700
FLEX - Martellus Bennett, New England Patriots (at SF), $3,700
DST - Arizona Cardinals (at MIN), $3,100

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns ($3,900): There is an excess of value this week, so pegging the right value options is going to be just as important as hitting those high-priced studs. Hue Jackson said he would like to Crowell to be more involved in the offense this week, and the Steelers are ranked 31st in DraftsKings points allowed to RBs. I think Crowell is in a great spot for a 100-yard game with a TD this week.

Comments by Kevin: Only $300 less than Seattle's C.J. Prosise, Crowell will likely have relatively low ownership as I expect Prosise to be one of the most popular value plays of the week. Crowell has been a massive disappointment over the past month and a half with five games of sub-30 rushing yards in his past six games. During that six-game span, he has just 12.5 touches per game (as opposed to 16.5/G in his first four). If he gets the bump in opportunities as Jackson suggests, there is upside in a favorable matchup against the Steelers at home.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots ($6,400): Blount is not much of a receiving threat, but few players have as much upside as he does this week. Blount has scored a touchdown in all but one game (Week 4 without Tom Brady), but he has scored every other game this season and has a league-high 12 rushing touchdowns on the season.

Allowing the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this year, the 49ers have allowed opposing running backs to score 13 rushing touchdowns and average 5.26 yards per carry, both of which are position-against highs. Before this past week, the 49ers had allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushing games.

Favored by nearly two TDs, there should be plenty of scoring opportunities for Blount and the Patriots, who have this week's highest implied total (32.0) using Vegas odds.

- Related: Blount was my choice in our Week 11 DFS Roundtable post

Comments by Sean: Blount’s price rose $1,500 this week, and the pricing was released before the Sunday night contest where he scored three touchdowns. That just shows you how much DK is pricing up RBs facing the 49ers. Blount has scored a TD in every game this year except one and it's a safe bet that he will find paydirt this Sunday.

3. Sean - Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots ($7,800): Even though Kevin picked Blount, I am still going Brady here. QB-RB doesn't usually correlate well, and when it does it usually is because the RB is a dual-threat. Blount definitely isn't a dual-threat, but having Blount and Brady I get exposure to every Patriots offensive touchdown basically. I can see the Patriots scoring seven touchdowns in this one. This is a dream matchup for this offense. I love the Patriots In a bounce-back spot as well.

Comments by Kevin: Last week, my highest-owned stack was Ben Roethlisberger-Le'Veon Bell-Antonio Brown and that will likely be a highly-owned stack again this week in a soft matchup agianst the Browns. This version of a QB/RB/TE team stack will likely be an uncommon trio even though I think all three will have high ownership levels individually. Unafraid of running up the score on opponents, I could see Brady throw for 350/3 with Blount also rushing for 125/2.

4. Kevin - Eddie Royal, WR, Chicago Bears ($3,400): His best season is still his 2008 rookie season (91/980/5) with Denver when his current quarterback, Jay Cutler, was also his quarterback. With the suspension of Alshon Jeffery, many will load up on Cam Meredith over Royal. Given their history and chemistry, it wouldn't surprise me if Royal is as productive as Meredith this week at a much lower ownership level.

Comments by Sean: It's too bad that the Bears just didn't release Cutler this week so we could go back to throw the ball only to the right side of the field and load up on Cam Meredith again. Cutler has a better rapport with Eddie Royal and I think he makes a very good GPP option this week. I think Royal will be lower-owned than both Meredith and Zach Miller this week.

5. Sean - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans ($5,700): Delanie had a good game in his last outing vs. the Colts (7/84/1) and should have success against this same defense this week. He's still priced too cheap at under 6K and you get him at reduced ownership as well, I think, as most will be paying down for TEs like they do every week to jam all the studs in. I think this game will be a shootout Sunday.

Comments by Kevin: The only thing I dislike about Walker this week is that he is coming off his best game of the season (9/124/1 on 11 targets). In other words, I expect his ownership level to be relatively high. Compared to some of the other big names at the position, however, Walker tends to be lower-owned than he should most weeks.

6. Kevin - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($8,100): At $900 more last week, Evans was a popular pick -- and a major disappointment -- in a soft matchup against the Bears. I'm hoping that recency bias keeps his ownership level relatively low this week. And while he had just five targets last week, Evans had double-digit targets in his previous seven games with an average of 13.43/G during that seven-game span. With that type of volume, the 6-foot-5 wideout always has the upside for 100 yards and a couple of scores.

Comments by Sean: I'm on board with the Evans pick here. The matchup is great vs. Kansas City, and he is coming off his worst game of the season, which should keep some people off him.

7. Sean - Martellus Bennett, TE, New England Patriots ($3,700): Gronk missed practice again today and I doubt he plays Sunday given the fact they really don't need him this week vs. San Francisco. Bennett is priced at only $3,700. I think he will be fairly popular this week, but I don't think I can pass on him at this price.

Comments by Kevin: I love Bennett this week, but there are two primary concerns: (1) his ownership level will be sky high assuming Rob Gronkowski is inactive and (2) he may could be used as a blocker more often than fantasy owners would like. There is a little bit of boom (three 100-yard games) or bust (three games with less than 15 yards) with Bennett, but this matchup has "boom" written all over it.

8. Kevin - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts (7,700): With the last two picks, I debated Jordy Nelson with the Dolphins DST here as well. Hilton has three games of 29-plus DK points including his first matchup against the Titans. No game has a higher over/under this week than Colts/Titans (53.5) and I will have my fair share of game stacks with players from both sides. Hilton has as much upside as any non-QB in this game.

Comments by Sean: Hilton is one of my favorite WR plays this week. Hilton had 29 DK points in the last meeting vs. Tennessee. I think Luck and the Colts offense will have no problem moving the ball this week. Hilton could have another 30'ish-point performance.

9. Kevin - Arizona Cardinals DST ($3,100): On a four-game losing streak, the Vikings have allowed 16 sacks and their offensive line remains a mess with another injury at left tackle. The Vikings can't run the ball (league-low 2.7 YPC this season) and the Cardinals have allowed a league-low six pass touchdowns with 24 sacks (tied for eighth-most in NFL).

Comments by Sean: I generally don't like playing road defenses but I think this is a great spot for the Cardinals. The only way the Vikings have moved the ball recently was with Stefon Diggs. He gets a dose of Patrick Peterson this week. I think the Vikings will struggle to move the ball, and we know Sam Bradford is prone to turnovers.

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November 16, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 11

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 11?

Sean Beazley: Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars, $7,400

Targets and touches equal fantasy points. My play this week is a receiver who has had double-digit targets the past three weeks (40 total). He plays for an offense that is pass-heavy. His team actually leads the NFL with a 66-percent pass-run ratio. The game script is favorable as they are almost 7-point underdogs. He just came off his best game of the season last week. This WR is Allen Robinson.

The last time I wrote up A-Rob was Week 3 vs. the Ravens and he had a two-touchdown game. Hopefully I am the A-Rob Whisperer! Robinson is sandwiched between two WRs that I think will draw higher ownership this week in T.Y. Hilton and Dez Bryant. Robinson could be a good low-owned play this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 11 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: LeGarrrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots, $6,400

Not only will Blount be one of my lineup staples in Week 11, but I'd be comfortable going with the running back stack of Blount and James White (especially if Dion Lewis is once again inactive). Coach Belichick said that Lewis was healthy enough to play, but he was inactive.

Blount has scored a touchdown in all but one game (Week 4 without Tom Brady), but he has scored every other game this season and has a league-high 12 rushing touchdowns on the season. Favored by nearly two TDs, there should be plenty of scoring opportunities for Blount and the Patriots, who have this week's highest implied total (32.0) using Vegas odds.

No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs this year. No team has allowed opposing running backs to score more rushing touchdowns (13) or average more yards per carry (5.26) than the 49ers. Before this past week, the 49ers had allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushing games.

Brendan Donahue: Martellus Bennett, TE, New England Patriots, $3,700

Although it hasn't been officially announced yet, I highly doubt Rob Gronkowski plays this week and that will most likely make Bennett a popular DFS play, but perhaps too big of a value to pass up. In the four games this year that Bennett has gotten at least six targets, his points on Draftkings have been 25.4, 18.9, 30.7, and 20.2, respectively, for an average of 23.8 per game. In a relatively favorable matchup against the Niners this week, I see Bennett having a rather high ceiling, making him a great value at just $3,700.

John Trifone: Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions, $5,100

There are already some decent value options early this week, with guys like Cam Meredith and C.J. Prosise underpriced, but I'm going with a sneaky good tourney play this week. The Lions are coming off a bye, so recency bias should give them some lower ownership. Additionally, Riddick had been a little banged up and lost a costly fumble in Week 9, which produced a poor fantasy game.

He was over 25 DK points in the prior two weeks, though, and has been heavily targeted in Detroit's passing game. As long as Riddick hasn't lost his spot on the depth chart, which I'm not too worried about but would suggest monitoring throughout the week, he has a ton of upside against the lowly Jags this week. As a value play in the low-mid range, he is well worth some tournament exposure for sure, and could possibly be a cash consideration.

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November 13, 2016

Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Houston Texans +2.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (3 Units)

The Texans are going to need this game plain and simple to stay in front of a tightened AFC South race, and they have the Jags on tap this week, who they have recently dominated. The Texans have posted an impressive 4-1 mark against the spread in their last five, but what's more telling is the fact that you have to go back to December of 2013 to find the last time the Jaguars beat them straight up. The Jaguars have certainly found a decent secondary to work with, but I am looking for Houston to attack Jacksonville on the ground, as Brock Osweiler just cannot be trusted. I love the matchup of Lamar Miller going up against a rushing defense that allows 116 yards per game and 4.0 yards per carry. I like the Texans to continue their recent dominance on the road.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Green Bay Packers -3 over Tennessee Titans (3 Units)

This is a Packers team that just hasn't looked right all year, but I think they will be fine come playoff time, and they have to pick up these games against AFC South opponents. While everyone has said that Aaron Rodgers just doesn't look right this year, and I tend to agree, but the Pack has been winning games with defense. This week, I predict a low total for DeMarco Murray, as the Packers lead the league in rushing defense only allowing 3.3 yards per carry, and 75.8 yards per game. The Titans have been a great story, and I think Marcus Mariota has been the most improved player in the league this year, but I just don't see them knocking off the heavyweights of the league just yet.

New England Patriots -8 over Seattle Seahawks (3 Units)

Wow, this is certainly not the gap we would expect between these two teams, but I really think this will be one of the classic Patriots prime time blowouts. The deck is already stacked against Seattle, as they are flying across the country, playing on a short week, and oh the Patriots had their bye last week as well. Tom Brady has been playing like a man possessed, and I think he will still attack a Seahawks secondary that allows a 62.4% completion percentage to opposing QBs. Another benefit in the Patriots favor, is the absence of Michael Bennett, who can take over a game just by himself, and also this will be the first time in a month that Kam Chancellor has played as well. I think the Patriots have the right matchup of quickness inside with Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, and the Seahawks still can't matchup with Rob Gronkowski. It's a big number, but all the factor arrows point to New England.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 10 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Antonio Gates is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Rob Gronkowski and Gates, you should start Gronk -- and in turn, bench Gates.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 10 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (at JAX)

Barely used as a receiver in the team's first three games, Fiedorowicz scored a total of 0.7 fantasy points in Weeks 1 to 3. Since then, however, he has become much more involved in the offense.

Even with Brock Osweiler and the passing offense struggling, Fiedorowicz has been able to flourish. The third-year tight end out of Iowa has at least seven targets in four consecutive games and a total of 24 receptions for 272 yards and three touchdowns on 34 targets over his past five.

This week's matchup isn't great, as the Jags have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to the position, but he is a viable starting tight end given his expanded role.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (vs. MIA)

Even with Melvin Gordon so productive in the red zone, Gates maintains great rapport with Philip Rivers and he's always a threat to score a touchdown or two even if he has lost a step (or two) in his advanced age (for his occupation).

In each of his past four games, Gates has had at least 20-percent target share. Since Week 6, no other tight end has as many games with 20-percent target share and only Jimmy Graham and Delanie Walker have at least three.

Only the Cardinals and Patriots are projected to score more points this week. Not only is Gates a strong start this week, but rookie Hunter Henry is just outside my top-12 fantasy tight ends for the week and is worth consideration if you're looking for a streamer assuming he's active this week.

[Henry is owned in only 22 percent of Yahoo! leagues, as of Saturday evening.]

TE - Zach Miller, Chicago Bears (at TB)

After scoring three touchdowns in two games, Miller has at least six receptions and eight targets in three of his past four games. In fact, he has double-digit targets in two of his past three games. Over his past six games, Miller has averaged 5.5/57.67/0.5 on 7.5 targets per game. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season and three touchdowns to the position in their two most recent games.

Week 10 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (at WAS)

The good news is that Rudolph scored a touchdown last week. The bad news is that he set a season-low in targets (three) and finished with only one catch for one yard in a dream matchup against the Lions. So, even with the touchdown, Rudolph only finished as fantasy's TE17 in Week 9.

Compared to the first four games (19/221/3 on 33 targets), Rudolph has just 13/102/1 on 24 targets in his most-recent four games. In those games, he has finished as the weekly TE25, TE8, TE25 and TE17, respectively. Until (or unless) things get better, Rudolph is a risky start and better left on your bench.

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (vs. DEN)

Not only does Fleener have 44 yards or less in three consecutive games and four of his last five, but here's his target percentage in those five games: 13.89%, 14.58%, 4.26%, 11.43% and 15.38%. There are 16 tight ends that have a higher team target percentage than Fleener (13.74%) this season. Even though the Broncos are a little more generous to tight ends (11th-fewest FPA to TEs) than to wide receivers (fewest FPA to WRs), it's hard to trust Fleener with Drew Brees spreading the ball around.

TE - Julius Thomas, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. HOU)

The Jaguars offense has been a huge disappointment as Blake Bortles has taken a step backwards this season. Entering the season healthy, there were high expectations for Thomas, but he has less than 30 receiving yards in five consecutive games. During that five-game span, he's averaged 2.4/22.0 on 4.8 targets per game, but he has scored twice. At this point, Thomas has merely a TD-dependent fantasy option and the Texans have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points (and only one touchdown) to opposing tight ends this season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 10

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November 12, 2016

Week 10 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tyrell Williams is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Julio Jones, Larry Fitzgerald and Williams and can only start two receivers, you should start Julio and Fitz -- and in turn, bench Williams.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (vs. MIA)

It's been boom or bust for Williams over the past five weeks. Correction: It's been a boom-Broncos-boom-Broncos-boom weekly alternating cycle. The good news is that Williams won't face the Broncos this week (or again this season). In his past three games against a team other than Denver, Williams has finished as the weekly WR11, WR12 and WR14.

Excluding the two dud performances against the Broncos, Williams has a combined 18 catches for 322 yards and two touchdowns in his three most recent games. With Travis Benjamin (knee, doubtful) all but ruled out for Week 10, Williams has the potential to once again finish as a top-15 wideout.

As well as Melvin Gordon has played, it's possible that he dominates the game plan, but the Chargers (26.75) are projected to score the third-most points this week after the Cardinals (30.75) and Patriots (28.50), based on implied totals using Vegas odds. In other words, there could be plenty of scoring opportunities for all of the team's top offensive weapons.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at NO)

One week after giving up 398 passing yards to Colin Kaepernick and the low-flying 49ers offense, the Saints get Trevor Siemian and the Broncos this week. Regardless of your opinion about Siemian, he has much better weapons than Kaep does so there is reason for some optimism for Denver's passing attack in this soft matchup.

It was disappointing that Sanders, Demaryius Thomas, etc. did not exploit a great matchup against the Raiders last week and Sanders has only one 100-yard game this season. In fact, he has finished as the weekly WR30 (or worse) in five consecutive games.

The good news, though, is Sanders has a minimum of eight targets in all but one game (Week 6) and is averaging 9.56 per contest. With that type of volume, Sanders could have a breakout type of game this week.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. ATL)

Speaking of volume, Matthews had 14 targets in Week 8 and 10 targets in Week 9. Those were his first two games with double-digit targets since he did so in Week 1 against the Browns.

In what should be one of the highest-scoring games of the weekend (no game has a higher over/under), Matthews could see double-digit targets once again as they try to keep up with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and the league's top-scoring offense.

WR - Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (at WAS)

Diggs is better in PPR formats as the Vikes should once again pepper him with targets in the short passing game. After getting 13 targets against the Bears in Week 8, Diggs saw a season-high 14 targets last week as he finished with 13 catches for 80 yards. The matchup may not be great, but Josh Norman shouldn't shadow Diggs when he runs routes out of the slot, something I'd expect Diggs to do on at least half of his routes.

Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Willie Snead, New Orleans Saints (vs. DEN)

Not only is the matchup against Denver difficult, but both Michael Thomas are the team's top two wide receivers now. Even though he has seven-plus targets in six of seven games played this season, Snead has finished as the weekly WR78, WR63, WR33, WR49 and WR60 in his past five games, respectively. Coincidentally (or not-so-coincidentally), Thomas has flourished with double-digit fantasy points in five of his past six games.

WR - Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (at TEN)

In Weeks 7 and 8, Adams hauled in a combined 25 receptions for 206 yards and two touchdowns on 30 targets. Last week, his production was more subdued -- four catches for 41 yards and a score on eight targets. With James Starks back and Randall Cobb healthy, Adams may see closer to eight targets (or even less) than the 14-plus he had in the previous couple of weeks.

For the record, Adams isn't a horrible play and Aaron Rodgers likes to target him in the red zone. But for the first time in a couple of weeks, Adams is outside of my top-24 receivers (but still inside my top-30). In other words, he's a fine WR3/flex, but certainly not a must-start for those that start two wide receivers.

WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SF)

The matchup is great. And the Cardinals are projected to be the week's highest-scoring team. Yet if you still own Floyd for some reason, he should be on your bench. Or, more accurately, on your league's waiver wire.

His role in the offense continues to diminish as J.J. Nelson has moved into the starting lineup and Floyd played a target-less 40.8 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Week 8. He has now played less than 50 percent of the offensive snaps in four of his past five games.

WR - DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (at SD)

Parker was inactive for the opener and targeted 13 times in Week 2 against the Patriots to finish with a statistical line of 8/106 in that game. Since then, however, Parker has seen a target share of less than 17 percent in all but one game. In addition, he has 28 yards or less in four of his past five games.

With Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins offense relying much more on Jay Ajayi as their workhorse back, there has not been many targets to go around. In fact, Ajayi has nearly as many carries (77) as Tannehill has pass attempts (85) since Week 6. Even Jarvis Landry has averaged only 6.5 targets per game over his past four games.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 10

Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 10 DFS Resources:

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Week 10 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Darren Sproles is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, DeMarco Murray and Sproles and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Murray -- and in turn, bench Sproles.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. ATL)

In a potential shootout against the Falcons (highest over/under of the week at 51.0), there should be plenty of offense on both sides as the Falcons and Eagles both rank inside the top-nine in terms of implied totals from Vegas odds. Emerging as the team's lead running back over the past couple of weeks, Sproles is a top-15 play this week with upside for much more.

Sproles has 20 and 16 touches in Weeks 8 and 9, respectively, which equates to 65.46 percent of the running back touches over that two-game span. In addition, he has 16 of the 19 running back targets.

The Falcons have been relatively stingy in terms of yards per carry allowed to opposing running backs (3.83, eighth-lowest in NFL), but opposing backs have done plenty of damage as receivers out of the backfield. So far this season, only the Chargers (73) have allowed more receptions to running backs than the Falcons (71).

- Related: Sproles was among our favorite Week 10 DraftKings plays

RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (at SD)

Before the season began, the Dolphins tried to sign restricted free agent (at the time) C.J. Anderson and then later signed Arian Foster, who has since retired. In half of a season, Ajayi has gone a long way -- from Week 1 inactive to 30%-owned waiver-wire back less than a month ago to an every-week must-start workhorse now.

While he didn't rush for 200-plus yards for a third consecutive game, Ajayi rushed 24 times for 111 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's win over the Jets. With 529 yards and four touchdowns on 78 carries (6.78 YPC), the Dolphins have won three consecutive games. Despite being a road underdog, Ajayi is a top-five option at the position this week.

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at CAR)

After leaving Week 8 early with a concussion and missing Week 9, Ware returns to the starting lineup in Week 10. The matchup against the Panthers isn't great, but I expect the Jeremy Maclin-less Chiefs to rely heavily on Ware as long as the game is close. (And it should be a fairly close game as the spread is only three points.)

Over their past three games, the Panthers have allowed only 141 rushing yards on 45 carries (3.13 YPC) to opposing running backs. That said, they have allowed 24 catches for 198 yards to the position during that same three-game span.

In his past 16 games, Ware has 906 rushing yards on 172 carries (5.27 YPC), 318 receiving yards on 23 receptions (13.83 Y/R) and a total of 10 touchdowns -- eight rushing, one receiving and one return.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (at TB)

It had appeared that Howard's role was diminishing as he ceded touches to Ka'Deem Carey prior to his monster performance in Week 8 against the Vikings. Prior to his Week 9 bye, Howard posted a 26/153/1 rushing line while adding four catches for 49 yards.

With two top-three weekly finishes in his past four games, all signs point to another big week for the rookie out of Indiana. At least for this week, I'm optimistic that the Bears stick with Howard after his 202-yard game in Week 8 despite recent comments by Dowell Loggains.

“You don’t have Matt Forte who was the Workhorse, the No. 1 back,” offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains told WGN Radio. “We keep saying ‘running back by committee,’ well Jordan has been the workhorse the last five weeks, but we’re getting (Langford) back healthy and the carries — however it works out — could end up balancing out a little bit.”

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (vs. CIN)

Playing in five games (and missing a few others), Jennings saw his second-lowest share of the carries in Week 9 (45.83 percent). His lowest share (40.63 percent) occurred in Week 2 when he left the game early with a thumb injury. Since Week 2, Jennings has 46 carries for 93 yards (2.02 YPC) in four games. As Paul Perkins sees a larger share of the workload, Jennings remains someone to avoid in fantasy even with four teams on bye.

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. ATL)

In each of the past two weeks, Mathews has been saved by a rushing touchdown, but he had four carries for 10 yards and five carries for 15 yards against the Cowboys and Giants, respectively. With only 20 percent of the RB touches -- 11 of 55 -- over the past two games, Mathews belongs on your bench.

RB - Matt Asiata/Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (at WAS)

When Adrian Peterson went on Injured Reserve with a knee injury, it wasn't necessarily clear which running back would benefit the most -- Asiata or McKinnon. Neither have been great, though. Or even good.

Since Week 2, they both have finished as a top-24 running back once each -- Week 4 for McKinnon and Week 5 for Asiata. The duo has combined to rush for 452 yards on 146 carries (3.10 YPC) this season.

Even in a favorable matchup against the Redskins, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, neither McKinnon nor Asiata can be trusted. In fact, it wouldn't be a surprise if Ronnie Hillman was the team's most productive back as the trio split carries last week.

[For what it's worth, Asiata had 10 carries for 26 yards the last time (2014) he faced Washington. Three of those 10 carries were touchdowns.]

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 10

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Week 10 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Marcus Mariota is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 10 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Aaron Rodgers and Mariota, you should start Rodgers -- and in turn, bench Mariota.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (vs. GB)

After a slow start to the season, Mariota has been one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the league and has scored the seventh-most fantasy points on the year. Over his past five games, Mariota has averaged 24.16 fantasy points per game and finished as fantasy's weekly QB1, QB4, QB11, QB11 and QB4, respectively.

During that five-game span, the dual-threat quarterback has thrown 13 touchdowns and rushed for two more. In addition, he has averaged 252.4 passing yards and 32.6 rushing yards per game over that stretch.

So far this season, the Packers have allowed only two top-12 fantasy quarterbacks -- Matthew Stafford in Week 3 and Matt Ryan in Week 8 -- even though their defense has been banged up. That said, their pass defense has been more generous away from Lambeau Field. In three road games, opposing quarterbacks have completed 74-of-105 pass attempts (70.48 percent) for 894 yards (8.51 Y/A), six touchdowns and only one interception.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (at PIT)

Playing beyond his years, Prescott has finished as a top-12 weekly fantasy quarterback in five of his past six games. In fact, the lone exception was a QB13 performance. Since Week 2, Prescott has scored a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points in every game.

Prescott benefits from the plays he makes with his legs, especially near the goal line (four rushing scores), but he has now thrown multiple touchdown passes in three consecutive games and in four of his past five. Even though he hasn't posted gaudy yardage totals, he's been consistent with at least 227 passing yards in all eight games.

Like with Mariota and the Titans, Dak and the Cowboys want to utilize a run-heavy approach. Prescott has averaged just 29.0 pass attempts per game over their seven-game winning streak and he has thrown 30 or fewer times in five of those games. As small underdogs, however, it's possible that Prescott is forced to throw more often than he otherwise would.

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. HOU)

If you went into the season with Bortles as your starting quarterback, you've undoubtedly been disappointed. The third-year quarterback has regressed as a "real" quarterback -- and as a fantasy one as well.

With that said, he's been better in fantasy terms in his past two games (largely due to garbage time). Scoring 27.68 fantasy points (QB4) in Week 8 and 21.48 fantasy points (QB11) in Week 9, Bortles has completed 55-of-95 for 589 yards, five touchdowns and an interception with 10 carries for 76 yards in the past two games.

The Texans have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but they have intercepted a league-low three passes so perhaps he'll have a few more opportunities to try to sustain drives. Bortles is just inside my top-12, but if you roster him, my advice would be to not watch until around 3:15 (i.e., roughly when the fourth quarter begins).

Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (at NYG)

Dalton has finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy quarterback in each of his past four games. Including both passing and rushing scores, Dalton has multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games. And having Tyler Eifert back and healthy certainly helps Dalton.

With that said, the Giants have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the position and only one top-12 fantasy QB this season (Kirk Cousins in Week 3). Dalton has historically struggled in stand-alone games and he is just outside my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for the week.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. MIN)

With Week 5 being the exception, Cousins has scored more than 17 fantasy points in six of his past seven games. In his past two games, Cousins has finished as the weekly QB5 and QB7, respectively, and racked up a total of 759 passing yards. This weekend, he faces the Vikings, who have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (at SD)

Going into the season, Tannehill was one of my favorite QB2 options and I had him ranked in the 13th-15th range. Admittedly, that was way too high for him. Either way, he's barely a QB2 in a two-QB league these days.

The Dolphins have employed a run-heavy game plan fueled by Jay Ajayi's recent production, but Tannehill has thrown 25, 18, 32, 25 and 28 pass attempts in his past five games, respectively. In addition, he has thrown only three touchdowns during that span and finished with 10.38 fantasy points (or fewer) in four of those five games.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 10

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Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals -13.5 over San Francisco 49ers (5 Units)

Arizona should have no problem putting away the 49ers at home this week. I'm not even worried about the back-door cover here. If you aren't playing David Johnson this week in DFS, you should probably look for something else to spend your money on. Johnson is going to go absolutely bonkers in this matchup. Cardinals 46, 49ers 17.

[Related: DJ was featured in our DFS Roundtable post and our DraftKings GPP "Draft" for Week 10.]

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 over Dallas Cowboys (4 Units)

This play is solely being made because the Steelers are at home. They are clearly a better team at Heinz Field. Le'Veon Bell hasn't hit the box all year, but I think he scores multiple times this week. The only team with a winning record currently that the Cowboys beat this year is Washington. Big test here for Dallas, and I think they stumble on the road. Pittsburgh 27, Dallas 21.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Carolina Panthers -3 over Kansas City Chiefs (4 Units)

The way to beat the Panthers is through the air. Unfortunately, the Chiefs aren't equipped to do this, especially with Jeremy Maclin not in the lineup. I think the Panthers handle business at home, and Cam Newton has another big day. Panthers 30, Chiefs 17.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Carolina Panthers -3 over Kansas City Chiefs (4 Units)

After a 1-5 start, Carolina is surprisingly still in the playoff hunt in the NFC. They're coming off back-to-back wins over the Cardinals and Rams and have a home game this week to keep the momentum going. I like Cam Newton and the Panthers to cover the three.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Seattle Seahawks +8 over New England Patriots (5 Units)

This is just way too many points against a team as good as Seattle. The Seahawk offense finally broke out last week, and Russell Wilson looked like the guy we thought we'd see this year. The Patriots will probably win the game at home, and it's unnerving betting against Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, but this spread is just too big. I'll take Seattle plus eight all day.

New York Giants vs. Cincinnati Bengals, Over 47.5 (3 Units)

I expect an offensive game on Monday night. Eli Manning is coming off his best game of the year, and ahold the Giants defense played well last week forcing turnovers, they'll likely have a much tougher time trying to cover A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert. I like a lot of offense in this one, so I'll take the over on 47.5.

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Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Seattle Seahawks +8 over New England Patriots (3 Units)

Picking against the Patriots at home coming off a bye against a team playing on a short week is not usually a profitable or recommended strategy, but the spread in this one is just too much. I'd expect it to be closer to the 5-6 range.

The Patriots are clearly the best team in the league and Tom Brady has been nothing short of spectacular in his return from suspension. And while Russell Wilson hasn't been his usual self as he's battled injuries (knee, ankle, etc.) that may have sidelined all other QBs, he's starting to look healthier. Speaking of healthier, Jimmy Graham has been tremendous with three 100-yard games in his past six.

Again, I don't expect the Seahawks to win outright, but I do expect them to keep this game close enough to cover.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Arizona Cardinals -14 over San Francisco 49ers (2 Units)

Colin Kaepernick threw for 398 yards last week against the Saints, but the Cardinals aren't Saints in terms of defense. As Carlos Hyde (shoulder) is questionable, it's possible that the Niners remain at less than full strength in a game where they seemingly have no chance.

The first time these teams faced each other, David Johnson gashed the 49ers for 157 yards and two scores on the ground. But San Francisco has allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushers; basically everyone other than Todd Gurley in Week 1.

While 14 points is a lot in the NFL, I could easily see this one turning into a 45-7 type of blowout as well.

Philadelphia Eagles +1.5 over Atlanta Falcons (2 Units)

Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and the Falcons offense currently leads the NFL in scoring and it will be a tough test for the Eagles defense. And they have played really well outside of the dome -- 4-1, 34.0 points per game with a minimum of 23 (win in Denver).

On the other hand, the Eagles have played their best football at home. They are 3-0 at the Linc with a combined margin of 84-23. Granted two of those three games happened in the first three weeks of the season, but the Falcons will be without their best cornerback Desmond Trufant and I think Carson Wentz can have some success this week.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 11, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 10

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 10 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. I had the first and odd-numbered picks; Sean had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears (at TB), $5,300
RB - Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. DAL), $7,700
RB - David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SF), $8,400
WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. ATL), $5,900
WR - Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (at WAS), $6,200
WR - Alshon Jeffery, Chicago Bears (at TB), $6,600
TE - Lance Kendricks, Los Angeles Rams (at NYJ), $3,000
FLEX - J.J. Nelson, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SF), $4,200
DST - Philadelphia Eagles (vs. ATL), $2,600

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Kevin - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,900): Favorable matchup? Check. Good volume? Check. Potential to be in catch-up mode early? Check. Great price? Check.

There are a lot of things to like about Matthews, as noted above. Matthews hasn't reached the 100-yard mark since Week 1, but he now has double-digit targets in back-to-back games as the team has thrown it 40-plus times in each of their past two games. Even though the coaching staff wants to throw less, they host the league's top-ranked scoring offense this week so game script may dictate otherwise.

In a potential shootout against the second-most generous fantasy defense to opposing wide receivers, J-Matt has a solid floor with plenty of upside.

Comments by Sean: I have been burned by Jordan Matthews probably more than any other player in NFL DFS. I never get him right. His matchup is elite this week vs. Atlanta, who struggles vs. the pass. This game has the highest total of the week at 50 points. Matthews could be in line for a big day.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Sean - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears ($6,600): I wrote up Jeffery in our roundtable article. I think he has enormous upside this week. I am hoping he gets overlooked this week. As I mentioned in the roundtable, this is the sweet spot where I am looking for my WRs this week.

Comments by Kevin: I agree with Sean except I don't think he'll be too overlooked. Either way, I want to have a lot of exposure to Alshon. Jeffery is my sixth-ranked fantasy receiver for the week and only the 15th-most expensive among those in the main Sunday slate. And with Jay Cutler back under center, he should be peppered with targets. In fact, he actually has 32 targets over his past three games (after inexplicably getting only 31 in the first five).

3. Kevin - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings ($6,200): Diggs strongly benefits by the full PPR-scoring format on DraftKings. As an example, Diggs was the WR27 in standard-scoring formats last week but WR9 in PPR. In fact, he now has two consecutive top-10 PPR weeks with 8/76/1 on 13 targets in Week 8 and 13/80 on 14 targets in Week 9.

Comments by Sean: Diggs played his college ball at Maryland so he has a homecoming this week vs. the 'Skins. He is expected to have a lot of family and friends in the stand if you like narratives. I think Diggs will go overlooked this week because of the fear of the Josh Norman shadow. This is a play at low ownership that could be the difference this week in GPPs.

4. Sean - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers ($7,700): I am going to be all over Bell this week in tournaments. He makes a great natural pivot off DJ, who will be the highest-owned RB. The Steelers were embarrassed on the road vs. Baltimore last week, and Bell had one of his worst games in recent memory. I think Bell and the Steelers offense gets back on track this week, and he has just as much upside as DJ.

Comments by Kevin: Coming off a tough matchup against the Ravens, Bell has two really good matchups on the horizon -- Weeks 11 (Cleveland) and 12 (Indianapolis). That said, he is one of my favorite tournament plays this week. On the year, Bell has 119 combined touches -- 83 carries and 36 receptions -- and NO touchdowns. Predicting touchdowns on a weekly basis is challenging, but Bell had averaged a score on every 36.32 touches in his first three seasons. In other words, his red-zone production should regress to the mean and it wouldn't surprise me if he scored a touchdown or two this weekend. The other thing with Bell is he has yet to get lower than 20.00 percent target share and is averaging 9.2 targets per game.

5. Kevin - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals ($8,400): There are two mild concerns with Johnson: (1) team establishes too large of a lead early that leads to late-game rest and (2) high ownership levels.

The only player with 100-plus yards from scrimmage in every game this season, Johnson has had a true breakout season even if it was expected. Except for Week 4 (PPR RB18), Johnson has finished as a top-12 PPR weekly running back every week.

This week's matchup is phenomenal. The 49ers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in seven consecutive games. In addition to allowing the most fantasy points to the position, they have allowed 5.48 yards per carry to RBs (Washington allows the second-most, 4.90 YPC). One of those 100-yard rushers was Johnson, who had 27/157/2 plus 3/28 receiving against them in Week 5.

Not only does Johnson have three multi-touchdown games this season, but he has a total of 22 targets and 15 receptions in his past two games. No player has a higher floor and ceiling this week.

Comments by Sean: With Bell and DJ, we have upside for 70 fantasy points. I won't be going all in on DJ in tournaments, but I will probably have more exposure than the field. The 49ers run defense is atrocious. My only concern with DJ is that the Cardinals get up big and we see a lot of Andre Ellington in the second half.

6. Sean - Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears ($5,300): Cutler has an extremely manageable price tag at $5,300 and given the salary we have spent thus far, we need to find a cheap QB. I think Cutler will be very low-owned and he has just as much upside as anyone in this price area.

Comments by Kevin: There are a number of sub-$6,000 quarterbacks that I like this week. I'll have exposure to Marcus Mariota ($5,700), Carson Wentz ($5,400) and Blake Bortles ($5,500) as well. Despite the fantasy-friendly matchup, Cutler should have relatively low ownership.

7. Kevin - Lance Kendricks, TE, Los Angeles Rams ($3,000): Since the days of the Greatest Show on Turf, nobody gets excited about rostering Rams pass-catchers. And while Kendricks has just one touchdown this season (although he dropped a wide-open would-be score last week), the volume and production has been there.

With a minimum of eight targets and five receptions in each of his past three games, Kendricks has at least a 25-percent target share in two of those games and a total of 19/179/1 on 29 targets over that three-game stretch. Kendricks has finished as the PPR TE9, TE6 and TE8 in his past three games, respectively.

Comments by Sean: Kendricks has had 29 targets and 19 receptions in his past three games. He had seven receptions for 90 yards last week and he dropped an easy touchdown pass. He makes for a solid GPP value play at TE.

8. Sean - J.J. Nelson, WR, Arizona Cardinals ($4,200): Nelson has slotted in as the Cardinals No. 2 WR and I think he could stick in this role. If DJ doesn't find the box this week, then Nelson is probably one of the best bets to do it. Even if DJ gets 1-2 touchdowns, there will be many more in this game. The Cardinals have an implied team total of around 31 this week. I'm not fading the Arizona WRs this week just because I like DJ so much.

Comments by Kevin: It's never a bad idea to start players facing the 49ers. As Sean noted above, no team is projected to score more points this week and Nelson is now a starter. In the team's game prior to the bye, Nelson had 8/79/2 on 12 targets (26.67%). I don't expect two touchdowns, and he may not score at all, but he's a big play waiting to happen given his tremendous speed.

9. Sean - Philadelphia Eagles DST ($2,600): There wasn't a lot of choices left at D. The Eagles are at home vs. a great offensive team this week, but they are one of the best fantasy scoring defenses this season. I'm rolling the dice here with this play.

Comments by Kevin: Based on remaining salary, this is probably the best defense we can afford. While the Falcons score a ton of points, the Eagles defense and special teams always have one of the better chances at getting a D/ST score and they should be fairly low-owned.

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November 09, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 10

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 10?

Sean Beazley: Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears ($6,600)

I am assuming most people will target David Johnson this week, so you are going to need to be very wise with how you spend the rest of your salary. The price point I am looking at for my WRs is between $5,500-$7,000. There are a bunch of great tournament plays in this group that could have the same type of ceiling as some of the top options this week.

One of the players that I am interested in this week is Alshon Jeffery. I really like the Jay Cutler/Jeffery stack vs. a Tampa defense that is ranked 27th in the NFL vs. the pass. Alshon finally looks healthy and he has seen 32 targets in his past three games.

We have seen what Jeffery’s ceiling is in the past. I could see a 8/140/2 type of game here. I definitely will be overweight on Alshon this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a one-day $3 NBA contest with $25,000 paid to 1st place. ENTER HERE.

Kevin Hanson: David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals ($8,400)

Perhaps my final ownership will be less than 100 percent, but there will be no other time this season that I will come this close to 100-percent ownership on a player than this specific week and with this specific player. The only concern is the massive spread (nearly two TDs) and that the Cardinals take their proverbial foot off the gas, but no team has a higher implied total than the Cardinals (31.0).

Not only have the 49ers surrendered the most fantasy points to opposing running backs, but they have allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushers. The 49ers are allowing RBs a league-most 5.48 YPC and only the Browns and Saints (14 each) have allowed more total touchdowns to RBs (13).

So, how much will an elite running back like Johnson rack up this week? Well, he was one of those seven rushers and had 27 carries for a season-high 157 yards and two touchdowns with three catches for 28 yards in his first matchup against them in Week 5.

Perhaps he won't match his Week 5 performance, but no player has a higher floor and ceiling this week than DJ.

John Trifone: Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans ($5,700)

Early on, there doesn't appear to be a ton of great value, so paying down at QB is a good way to give yourself some extra spending. Mariota has been outstanding the last few weeks and has at least 17 DK points in each of his last five games. Tennessee is at home against Green Bay this week, in what should be one of the higher-scoring games of the week. I like Mariota to easily pay off his salary, but also offer the high upside of some of the top-tier QBs this week.

Brendan Donahue: Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($4,300)

This is the second week in a row I'm picking Sproles even after he let me down a bit last week with a somewhat disappointing performance. The good news is that Coach Pederson reiterated that Sproles is the lead back and that was evidenced by him getting 60 snaps to just eight for Ryan Mathews. It is also encouraging that he was targeted nine times even though he was only able to catch one-third of them. In what should be a shootout with Atlanta, I expect him to get at least that many targets again, if not more. It seems that DraftKings has not properly factored in his new usage into their pricing as he is only $4,300 this week, which is the 33rd-priced RB and one of the best values of the week.

Dan Yanotchko: Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears ($6,000)

This week, I like Jordan Howard of the Bears as he has a great matchup against the Buccaneers. Howard is rested off a bye, but he gashed an excellent Vikings defense for 202 yards from scrimmage two weeks ago. The Buccaneers have been soft against the run giving up 118 yards per game 4.1 yards per carry, and eight touchdowns on the year. Howard will be under the radar this week with Jay Ajayi, David Johnson, and Ezekiel Elliot having favorable matchups, but I love his matchup.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 10 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 10 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 10-16):

1. New York Giants (Will Tye): 8.88
T2. San Diego Chargers (Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry): 8.87
T2. Kansas City Chiefs (Travis Kelce): 8.87
4. Buffalo Bills (Charles Clay): 8.75
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (Jesse James, Ladarius Green): 8.61

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $5,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 10-16):

28. New England Patriots (Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett): 6.51
29. Denver Broncos (Virgil Green): 6.38
30. Atlanta Falcons (Jacob Tamme, Austin Hooper): 6.31
31. Miami Dolphins (Dion Sims): 6.20
32. Green Bay Packers (Richard Rodgers, Jared Cook): 5.88

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football TE SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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November 08, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 10 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 10 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 10-16):

1. Chicago Bears (Alshon Jeffery, Cam Meredith): 24.84
2. San Diego Chargers (Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin): 24.82
3. San Francisco 49ers: 24.62
4. Atlanta Falcons (Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu): 24.51
5. Los Angeles Rams (Kenny Britt, Tavon Austin, Brian Quick): 24.41

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a one-day $3 NBA contest with $25,000 paid to 1st place. ENTER HERE

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 10-16):

28. Baltimore Ravens (Mike Wallace, Steve Smith Sr.): 22.84
29. Kansas City Chiefs (Jeremy Maclin): 22.07
30. Green Bay Packers (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, Ty Montgomery): 21.77
31. Indianapolis Colts (T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief): 21.23
32. Jacksonville Jaguars (Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee): 18.80

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 10 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 10 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 10-16):

1. Arizona Cardinals (David Johnson): 20.43
2. Buffalo Bills (LeSean McCoy, Mike Gillislee): 20.30
3. Carolina Panthers (Jonathan Stewart); 20.29
4. Los Angeles Rams (Todd Gurley): 20.04
5. San Diego Chargers (Melvin Gordon): 19.73

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a one-day $3 NBA contest with $25,000 paid to 1st place.ENTER HERE

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 10-16):

T27. Green Bay Packers (James Starks, Ty Montgomery): 17.01
T27. Detroit Lions (Theo Riddick): 17.01
29. Minnesota Vikings (Jerick McKinnon, Matt Asiata): 16.62
30. San Francisco 49ers (Carlos Hyde, DuJuan Harris): 16.12
31. Seattle Seahawks (Christine Michael, Thomas Rawls): 15.90
32. Washington Redskins (Rob Kelley, Chris Thompson, Matt Jones): 14.42

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football RB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 10 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 10 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 10-16):

1. San Diego Chargers (Philip Rivers): 18.33
T2. Los Angeles Rams (Case Keenum, Jared Goff): 18.21
T2. Buffalo Bills (Tyrod Taylor): 18.21
4. Houston Texans (Brock Osweiler): 17.91
5. Carolina Panthers (Cam Newton): 17.80

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a one-day $3 NBA contest with $25,000 paid to 1st place.ENTER HERE

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 10-16):

28. Cincinnati Bengals (Andy Dalton): 15.56
29. Detroit Lions (Matthew Stafford): 15.54
30. Washington Redskins (Kirk Cousins): 15.30
31. Jacksonville Jaguars (Blake Bortles): 14.92
32. Green Bay Packers (Aaron Rodgers): 14.82

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football QB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 10

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 10 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Steve Smith Sr., Baltimore Ravens (50 percent)

Returning from a multi-game absence, Smith had four catches for 47 yards on seven targets plus a two-point conversion to finish the week as fantasy's WR39. The even better news is that he didn't seem limited as he was on the field for more than 80-percent of the team's offensive snaps and he has been removed from the injury report ahead of Thursday's dream matchup against the Browns.

Granted, the Ravens offense has been extremely sluggish this season. The Ravens (4.807) average the third-fewest yards per play; only the Vikings (4.6771) and Texans (4.7194) have averaged fewer yards per play.

With that said, only the Cardinals and Patriots are projected to score more points this week than the Ravens. The Browns have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to wide receivers, but Cleveland has allowed 12 receivers to score double-digit fantasy points in just nine games this season.

In fact, 10 of those receivers -- including seven in the past five games -- have finished as a weekly top-15 fantasy wide receiver this season. No team has allowed more yards per reception to opposing receivers than the Browns (15.15 Y/R) and they have allowed the fourth-most receiving touchdowns (12) to the position as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. J.J. Nelson, Arizona Cardinals (16 percent)

From Weeks 1 to 6, Nelson had just four catches for 51 yards on six targets. In the two games prior to the bye, however, Nelson had become much more involved in the offense as he's moved into the starting lineup. One week after a 3/84 performance on seven targets against the Seahawks in Week 7, Nelson had 8/79/2 on 12 targets and finished the week with the second-most fantasy points (19.9).

Coming out of the bye, the Cardinals get a soft matchup against the 49ers. I expect David Johnson to rush for 300 yards or so (ok, maybe less but still ...) against a defense that has now allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushers, but Nelson and the Cardinals are projected to score a league-high 31.0 points this week based on Vegas odds.

So, in other words, even if the team is taking their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter, the (fantasy) damage may have already been done.

3. Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (31 percent)

Matthews set season highs in targets in both absolute terms (10) and relative terms (24.39-percent market share) in their Week 9 loss to the Chargers. Matthews turned those 10 targets into a 6/63/2 line and finished the week as fantasy's WR4.

The overall volume of targets has been a bit of concern in the team's run-dominant offense, but Matthews has now scored a total of five touchdowns in his past five games. During that five-game span, he has 21 catches for 240 yards and five scores on 28 targets. In addition, Matthews has eight-plus fantasy points in five of his past six games.

The team's wideouts get a favorable matchup this week against the Packers, who have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to the position this season, and then the Colts and Bears before their Week 13 bye.

4. Sammy Watkins, Buffalo Bills (31 percent)

When healthy, Watkins is one of the most physically-gifted wide receivers in the league. Currently on Injured Reserve, Watkins is eligible to return as early as Week 12 and there is some hope that he may be able to do so. Certainly if you have the room and patience to stash him, he's the biggest per-game difference-maker at any position among players owned in 50 percent or less of Yahoo! leagues.

5. Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers (42 percent)

Over the past month (three games and a bye), Coates has one catch for four yards on 10 targets. Just as bad for his fantasy owners, Coates dropped a touchdown pass last week. Immediately prior to that three-game stretch, the second-year speedster had a 6/139/2 line as he finished as the top-scoring fantasy receiver in Week 5. There is plenty of boom-or-bust with Coates, but as he (hand) and Ben Roethlisberger (knee) get healthier, there is the potential for more big games in his future.

6. Robert Woods, Buffalo Bills (11 percent)

Woods had the best game of his career against the Seahawks on Monday Night Football as he finished with 10 catches for 162 yards on 13 targets. The Bills head into their bye, but Woods now has at least six targets in six consecutive games played. During that six-game span, he has 34 catches for 422 yards on 50 targets, but he has scored only one touchdown this season.

Even though the Bills are on bye this week, Woods has a favorable schedule down the stretch: Bengals, Jaguars, Raiders, Steelers, Browns, Dolphins and Jets. Five of those seven matchups are against teams that are among those that have surrendered the 13th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

7. Dontrelle Inman, San Diego Chargers (four percent)

Inman finished Week 9 with six catches for 56 yards on nine targets and now has six-plus targets and 56-plus yards in three consecutive games. With Travis Benjamin battling a knee injury, it's possible that Inman continues to flourish along with Tyrell Williams. Benjamin left Sunday's game early and the team has a bye in Week 11 so it's also possible that they rest Benjamin.

When all three receivers are healthy (or on the field), it's more difficult to trust Inman. But if Benjamin is inactive this week, Inman will have some appeal as a WR3/flex option against the Dolphins.

8. Brian Quick, Los Angeles Rams (10 percent)

Teammate Kenny Britt is owned in 51 percent of Yahoo! leagues, but he would rank near the top of this list if he were at 50 percent or less. Either way, Quick has been quietly productive for most of the season. Against the Panthers on Sunday, Quick had four catches for 48 yards, a six-game low, and has averaged 62.33 yards per game over his past six games.

9. Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (four percent)

For the second time in three games, Lee had eight targets and 80-plus yards. In addition, the third-year wide receiver now has four-plus catches and six-plus targets in six of his past seven games. During that seven-game span, Lee is averaging 60.0 receiving yards per game, but he has yet to score a touchdown this season.

10. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (five percent)

Thielen is a low-upside but solid PPR option for those in deeper leagues. With 24 targets over his past four games, Thielen has 16 catches for 287 yards and a touchdown. That said, his best game (7/127/1) happened with Stefon Diggs out of the lineup and the team's first-round pick, Laquon Treadwell, got his first reception last week.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 10

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 10

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 10 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (33 percent)

When the Jags initially signed Ivory, most expected the team to utilize a run-heavy game plan -- or at least more run-pass balanced than last season -- and for Ivory to get the larger share of the workload split with T.J. Yeldon. Instead, the Jaguars have been the most pass-heavy team (67.83 percent of plays) through Week 9.

Of course, the team has vastly underperformed expectations, largely due to regression from third-year quarterback Blake Bortles, which has led to the team mostly playing from behind this season. So, even if the plan was to run the ball more frequently, plans change when you get punched in the face to paraphrase boxing great Mike Tyson.

While Jacksonville lost to Kansas City this past weekend, Ivory had his best game, by far, as a Jaguar. Although it could have been even better without a lost fumble into the end zone, Ivory carried the ball 18 times for 107 yards and finished the week as fantasy's RB16.

From Week 3 to 8, it was a nearly identical split in workload between Ivory (46) and Yeldon (47). In his first game with Nathaniel Hackett as the team's offensive coordinator, Ivory had 19 touches to Yeldon's 12.

The Jaguars are early 1.5-point home underdogs this week to the Texans, who have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. The Texans offense has really struggled with efficiency this season -- only the Vikings average fewer yards per offensive play -- so I'd expect this to be another run-heavy game for the Jags.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Rob Kelley, Washington Redskins (30 percent)

Prior to the bye, Kelley drew the start with Matt Jones inactive and racked up 21 carries for 87 yards and a touchdown. With Jones set to return this week, it's Kelley that will once again get the "bulk of carries."

The matchup this week isn't great as the Vikings have allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to the position. Not only have they limited running backs to 4.07 yards per carry this season, only the Lions (one) have allowed fewer rushing touchdowns to the position than the Vikings (two).

After this week, the Redskins face the Packers, Cowboys and Cardinals, all three of whom rank among the sixth stingiest fantasy defenses to opposing running backs.

3. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots (33 percent)

Set to return after beginning the season on the PUP list, Lewis was highly productive prior to his injury last season. In only seven games last season, Lewis had 234 rushing yards, 388 receiving yards on 36 receptions and four total touchdowns. With Lewis out, James White has been productive. Over his past 15 games going back to last season, White has 61/610/7 receiving and 40/143/2 rushing.

Given Bill Belichick's unpredicatability when it comes to running backs, it'd be too risky to start either White or Lewis in Week 10 against the Seahawks. Depending on how the playing time and workload is allocated, however, all of the Patriots running backs get a dream matchup in Week 11 against the 49ers, who have allowed seven consecutive 100-yard rushers.

4. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (12 percent)

Coming out of their Week 8 bye, the plan was to get Dixon more involved in the offense. And they did. The problem is that Dixon wasn't any more efficient than he was in limited work before the bye. In Sunday's win, Dixon carried the ball nine times for 13 yards and had two receptions but for no yards.

In four games, Dixon has a total of 23 rushing yards on 15 carries (1.533 YPC). If there's a positive (aside from his bump in volume), Terrance West hasn't been efficient in his past two games either. West has 8/10 and 15/21 rushing in his past two games, respectively.

The Ravens are double-digit favorites in a fantastic matchup against the Browns, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In addition, only the Cardinals and Patriots are projected to score more points this week as well based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Will either (or both) back(s) be able to exploit it?

5. Peyton Barber, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( percent)

Perhaps Barber will get another start in Week 10 after drawing the start on Thursday Night Football against the Falcons last week. In that start, Barber had 11 carries for 31 yards and added four catches on five targets for 24 yards.

Not only was Antone Smith placed on IR, but Jacquizz Rodgers appears to be a "long shot" to return in Week 10 against the Bears, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. In addition, Doug Martin sat out Monday's practice and hasn't practiced since Week 2.

Even though the matchup isn't great, Barber could get 15-plus touches again this week considering the team's health at the position.

6. James Starks, Green Bay Packers (19 percent)

With Eddie Lacy placed on IR and Starks sidelined since having knee surgery several weeks back, the Packers have lacked a running game with either Aaron Rodgers or Ty Montgomery leading the team in rushing in each of the past three weeks. There is a good chance that Starks returns to the field this week.

Given the effectiveness of Montgomery, who has averaged 5.67 yards per carry on his 21 carries, however, it's unclear what type of volume Starks may see in his first game back from injury. At some point though, Starks should get the largest share of the running back workload.

7. Kapri Bibbs, Denver Broncos (seven percent)

Devontae Booker dominated running back touches on Sunday Night Football against the Raiders, but he was unproductive for a second consecutive game. Booker had 10 carries for 22 yards (2.2 YPC) and one catch for eight yards in Week 9 after rushing 19 times for 54 yards (2.84 YPC) and a touchdown with five catches for 30 yards in Week 8.

Meanwhile, Kapri Bibbs played only nine snaps (to Booker's 46) on SNF)and had just three touches -- two carries for 11 yards and a 69-yard touchdown reception. His role is expected to increase going forward, though.

8. DuJuan Harris, San Francisco 49ers (33 percent)

Starting in place of injured Carlos Hyde (shoulder), Harris had a massive 142 yards from scrimmage -- 59 rushing and 83 receiving -- and a touchdown. Even though he lost a fumble, Harris finished the week as fantasy's RB7 (RB4 in PPR). While Hyde is expected to return this week, I'd expect Harris to continue to be the team's back with the most usage and production other than Hyde.

9. C.J. Prosise, Seattle Seahawks (17 percent)

One week after racking up more than 100 yards from scrimmage, the rookie out of Notre Dame had just 15 yards on four touches. Neither Prosise nor Christine Michael was very productive on Monday Night Football, but it's interesting that Prosise (26-of-47, 55%) out-snapped Michael (18-of-47, 38%). Even when Thomas Rawls returns, Prosise should maintain a significant role within the offense.

10. Chris Thompson, Washington Redskins (33 percent)

With Jones out, Thompson remained in his change-of-pace role as Kelley drew the start. While it was a disappointing performance -- only 41 yards on 12 touches -- for Thompson, he now has 12-plus touches in three consecutive games. On the season, Thompson is a top-35 fantasy running back in standard-scoring formats and top-30 in PPR and has already had his bye.

11. Paul Perkins, New York Giants (six percent)

The good news is that Perkins set career highs in touches (14) after never getting more than five in a game before that. Both Perkins and Rashad Jennings split the workload evenly -- 11 carries and three catches each, but never running back was all that efficient. Perkins had 47 yards from scrimmage; Jennings had 39 YFS.

12. Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (38 percent)

Rawls won't play in Week 10 against the Patriots, but the team is "shooting for a return" against the Eagles in Week 11. And once he returns, it's unclear how the workload will be allocated.

If Christine Michael continues to struggle in Week 10, however, it's possible that Rawls gets the majority of early-down touches sooner than later. Over his past five games, Michael has 67 carries for 215 yards -- 3.21 YPC -- and 12 catches for 56 yards -- 4.67 Y/R.

13. Bilal Powell, New York Jets (48 percent)

With roughly a 75-25 split in touches in favor of Matt Forte, Powell's value in standard-scoring formats would rely on an injury to Forte. That said, Powell has some RB2/flex value in PPR formats as he has finished as a top-26 weekly PPR running back in five of his past seven games. During that seven-game span, Powell has four games of a season-high 10 touches, but a total of 26 receptions over that span.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 10

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 10

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 10 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (11 percent)

A non-factor to begin the season, Fiedorowicz had a total of two catches for seven yards on four targets in the team's first three games this season. Since then, however, the second-year tight end has become an integral part of the offense even with Brock Osweiler and the passing offense struggling.

In a soft matchup against the Lions prior to the bye, Fiedorowicz had five catches for 43 yards and a touchdown on seven targets. He now has seven-plus targets in four consecutive games and four-plus catches in five consecutive games. During that five-game span, he has a total of 24 catches for 272 yards and three touchdowns on 34 targets.

Fiedorowicz and the Texans tight ends have a top-10 fantasy strength of schedule the rest of the way. That said, his Week 10 matchup isn't great as the Jaguars have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season and no top-12 fantasy tight ends this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Lance Kendricks, Los Angeles Rams (15 percent)

Kendricks has only one touchdown this season, but he should have had his second last week as he dropped a wide-open touchdown in the fourth quarter. Even so, Kendricks finished with seven catches for 90 yards on 12 targets against the Panthers in Week 9.

Not only does he have exactly seven catches in back-to-back games, but Kendricks has five catches in three straight and in four of his past five games. In addition, he has at least eight targets in three consecutive games.

Kendricks gets a favorable Week 10 matchup against the Jets, who have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Considering that three of the most fantasy-friendly defenses are on bye this week, it's an even better matchup than it may appear.

3. Will Tye, New York Giants ( percent)

Like Kendricks, Tye has a favorable matchup this week as the Bengals have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points this year. And no tight end has a more favorable strength of schedule than Tye and Giants through Week 16.

Tye had a season-high seven targets last week, but he finished with four catches for just 33 yards against the Eagles, a tough matchup for opposing tight ends. He has yet to score five fantasy points or finish higher than TE19 in any week this season.

With an expanded role and fantasy-friendly matchups, however, the best has yet to come for Tye this season.

4. Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (28 percent)

Highly productive during a four-game stretch from Weeks 3 to 6, Henry had more than 60 yards each game. Not only did he score in three of those four games, but he finished as a top-four weekly tight end in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 as well.

Not only has Antonio Gates returned in Week 5 and been given at least 20-percent target share every week since Week 6, Henry missed Week 9 with a knee injury and his Week 10 status is in doubt. That said, Gates is 36 years old and both Henry and Gates have the second-most favorable fantasy strength of schedule through Week 16.

5. Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons (13 percent)

With Jacob Tamme (shoulder) sidelined in Week 9, Hooper finished with three catches for 46 yards and a touchdown on a season-high six targets. The rookie tight end now has five-plus targets and 40-plus yards in back-to-back games. While he may become more involved in the offense either way, the Stanford rookie will need Tamme to be inactive to consider him as a potential streaming option.

In addition, the upcoming schedule is brutal -- Eagles, bye, Cardinals and Chiefs. Those are three of the five stingiest defenses for fantasy tight ends over the next month.

6. Vance McDonald, San Francisco 49ers (eight percent)

McDonald has played three games with Colin Kaepernick and had his best performance of the season on Sunday with three catches for 84 yards and a touchdown on six targets. Of course, it would be unwise to expect 65-yard touchdowns every week, but this is the second consecutive game of six targets for McDonald. In fact, these were the only two games in which he had a double-digit market share of targets -- 18.75% and 15.38%, respectively.

The 49ers have a difficult matchup in Week 10 against the Cardinals, who have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. That said, if he maintains a solid share of the targets, he may be worthy of streaming in future, more favorable, matchups this season.

7. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (seven percent)

Before the bye, Davis had a minimum of 50 receiving yards and finished as the weekly TE7 (or better) in three consecutive games. Even with Jordan Reed back on the field, Davis had five catches for a season-high 93 yards in Week 8. That said, he had a four-game low of 9.26% target share.

With Reed active, Davis is unlikely to continue to produce top-12 numbers, but he could still approach high-end TE2 type numbers. And given Reed's durability track record, Davis has lots of upside if Reed were to miss any more time this season.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 10

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 10

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 10 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (38 percent)

Wentz began his NFL career with a three-game winning streak and three good fantasy performances in his first four games. Since then, however, Wentz has averaged only 8.86 fantasy points per game over his past four with a maximum of 11.78 during that span.

If there's a positive, Wentz has thrown the ball much more in his past two games with 43 attempts against the Cowboys and 47 against the Giants, respectively. Facing Matt Ryan and the NFL's top-scoring offense (33.9 PPG) this week, it's possible that we get another 40-attempt game from Wentz as the Eagles try to keep up.

Not only should it be a high-volume passing game for Wentz, but he could have his most efficient outing of the season. The Falcons have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing passers this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 10 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (19 percent)

His Week 10 matchup (Cardinals) is certainly much more difficult than past week's matchup (Saints), but Kaepernick turned back the clock to when he was a fantasy-relevant quarterback. Even without running much (five attempts for 23 yards), Kaepernick scored 22.22 fantasy points (QB8) in Week 9. Kaep completed 24-of-39 for 398 yards and two scores.

Following the difficult matchup in Week 10, Kaepernick gets a favorable schedule the rest of the way. From Weeks 11 to 15, he will face the Patriots, Dolphins, Bears, Jets and Falcons. With the exception of the Bears (15th-most FPA to QBs), the other four matchups all rank among the top-13 most fantasy-friendly defenses for opposing quarterbacks.

3. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (25 percent)

Flacco has thrown multiple touchdowns in only one game this season — fortunately, that one time was Week 2 against the Browns. (Flacco and the Ravens face the Browns in Week 10.) In that Week 2 matchup, Flacco completed 25-of-45 pass attempts for 302 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions.

While he threw it a season-low 30 times on Sunday, Flacco had a streak of six consecutive games with 40-plus pass attempts from Weeks 2 to 7. Aside from his inefficiency this season, the main concern with Flacco this week is that the Ravens are at home and they likely won't need to come back from a 20-0 deficit as they did in Week 2.

That said, there are worse streamers this week given how generous the Browns pass defense has been. The Browns have allowed 22 passing touchdowns (2.44/G) and the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

4. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (24 percent)

Sitting out Week 9 with a concussion, Smith gets a pair of favorable matchups in Weeks 10 (Panthers) and 11 (Buccaneers). The matchup gets much more difficult in Week 12 (Broncos), but then he gets two more great matchups against the Falcons and Raiders in Weeks 13 and 14, respectively.

Granted, Smith is little more than a game manager, but he has three top-12 weekly performances this season and occasionally takes advantage of favorable matchups. With plus matchups in four of his next five games, he's worth a look for those in need of a streamer.

5. Trevor Siemian, Denver Broncos (14 percent)

Posting a top-15 performance Week 9, Siemian gets another favorable matchup this week as the Broncos face the Saints. New Orleans has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and just gave up a 398-yard performance to Kaepernick in Week 9 (as noted above). I don't expect Siemian to throw for 400, but he is a fringe top-12 option this week for owners that need a streamer.

6. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (36 percent)

With a three-game winning streak fueled by Jay Ajayi's success on the ground, the Dolphins have taken the air out of the ball, so to speak. Tannehill has averaged 26 pass attempts per game over his past five with 25 or less in three of those games. During that five-game span, Tannehill has thrown only three touchdowns and has failed to reach the 200-yard mark three times. Given the decline in volume, it's hard to trust Tannehill as anything more than a low-end QB2 for now.

7. Brock Osweiler, Houston Texans (10 percent)

Osweiler has been nothing but a disappointment in his debut season with the Texans and as a full-time starter. Despite having a talented group of weapons around him, Osweiler is 0-for-8 in terms of top-15 weekly fantasy peformances. In addition, he has finished as the QB25 (or worse) five times including a dream matchup against the Lions in the game before his bye.

As hard as it would be trust him in any week, perhaps the bye week helps him moving forward. If he and the offense can improve their efficiency to even a mediocre level, the schedule is certainly exploitable with the next six games, as follows: Jaguars, Raiders, Chargers, Packers, Colts and Jaguars again.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 10

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November 06, 2016

Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:

Tennessee Titans +4.5 over San Diego Chargers (2 Units)

The Titans have won three of four straight up and Marcus Mariota has completed 68.75 percent of his pass attempts for 8.47 Y/A over that stretch with a 10:1 TD-INT ratio. More than anything, however, this is a run-dominant offense. As great as DeMarco Murray has been, we finally saw a 1-2 punch from Murray and rookie Derrick Henry last week.

Murray is battling a toe injury, but he is expected to go following full practices on Thursday and Friday. The Chargers have been excellent against the run -- sixth in the NFL in yards per game allowed (86.0) -- but they have allowed 11 rushing scores.

Ultimately, I think the Chargers win this game, but I think the Titans keep this game close (within a field goal).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Los Angeles Rams (3 Units)
Rams vs. Panthers, Under 44.5 (4 units)


Without question, the Panthers are better than their 2-5 record suggests. On the other hand, it isn't all that surprising that the Rams are one game under .500.

The Rams have an offensive DVOA from Football Outsiders of -21.0%, only the Texans are worse. Mostly due to offensive line issues, Todd Gurley is averaging only 3.01 yards per carry on the season. In addition, Case Keenum is coming off a four-INT game and now has more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (eight) thrown.

The Panthers defense is not like the 2015 version, most specifically on the back end. And the Panthers have to travel across the country to face a team coming off their bye. That said, I expect this to a relatively low-scoring Panthers victory. I see the final score being in the 21-13 range for the Panthers so I'll take the under and the Panthers to cover.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:

New Orleans Saints -5 over San Francisco 49ers (4 Units)

The Saints have been one of the pleasant surprises this year, and I think they have a strong chance to be the new team to win the NFC South this year. The 49ers have been pretty sad this year, and it looks like they are quite a few years away from regaining their past glory. The 49ers have been amazingly bad against the run this year, as they have allowed a whopping 185 yards per game and 5.1 yards per carry. The 49ers have been really bad against the spread this year as well, as they have posted a lowly 1-6 mark. The Saints just have too much firepower for the Niners, and the Saints will continue their impressive run of form as of late.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Detroit Lions +6.5 over Minnesota Vikings (3 Units)

I truly don't know what to think about the Vikings, as they have looked like Super Bowl contenders for the first quarter of the season, yet drop two embarrassing losses as of late and they only posted 10 points in each game. Although the Vikings have played better at home, they have some glaring weaknesses that can be exploited such as their offensive line. The Vikings have had problems not only running the ball this year, but also in protecting the quarterback as they have allowed Sam Bradford to be sacked 19 times in six starts. I think the Lions will be able to hang with Minnesota this week, as the Vikings can be attacked on the ground, as they allow 4.1 yards per carry to opposing running backs. I think the Lions are within a TD for this game.

Tennessee Titans +4.5 over San Diego Chargers (3 Units)

The Titans have been yet another one of the surprise teams this year, and with the AFC South being what it is, they actually have a shot to compete for the division crown. The Titans have been the epitome of smashmouth football this year, as they have averaged 152 yards per game this year, and 4.9 yards per carry on the ground. The Chargers have been traditionally bad against the run the past few years, and they have yielded 11 touchdowns to opposing running backs this year. The Titans have also gotten Marcus Mariota going well this year, as he has passed for 224 yards per game and 14 touchdowns on the year. I think the Titans can hang close on the road, and will certainly be in this game down to the wire.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 05, 2016

Week 9 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Donte Moncrief is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, Jarvis Landry and Moncrief and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Jarvis -- and in turn, bench Moncrief.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianpolis Colts (at GB)

When a player returns from a multi-game absence, I usually take a wait-and-see approach. With Moncrief playing the majority of snaps and getting nine targets (25.71-percent target share) in his return, there is absolutely no hesitation this week.

With a rare combination of size (6-2, 222) and athleticism (4.40 forty and 39.5-inch vertical at Combine), Moncrief has been especially productive in the red zone when Andrew Luck is healthy. As I noted in our Week 9 DFS Round Table post, he has seven touchdowns in 10 games that both he and Luck have played.

Facing a banged-up Packers secondary as TD underdogs in a game that should be a shootout, Moncrief has plenty of upside. The Packers have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. NYJ)

Landry is almost never a "sit," but he has finished outside the top-24 weekly fantasy receivers in each of his past four games played. Peppered with double-digit targets in each of the first four weeks of the season, Landry has only 20 total targets in his past three games.

One of the main reasons for the drop in targets has been the success of the running game led by Jay Ajayi. While Ajayi is coming off back-to-back 200-yard rushing games, the Jets have a stingy run defense and generous pass defense.

The Jets have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. In addition to Landry, both DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills are upside plays as the Jets have been highly susceptible to big plays.

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (vs. IND)

Whether you view/list him as a running back or a wide receiver, Montgomery is expected to play this week and barring a surprise inactive status, he should be in your starting lineup wherever he fits.

Montgomery sat out last week, but before that, he had 20 receptions on 25 targets for 164 yards plus 12 carries for 66 yards in his previous two games combined. Especially if Randall Cobb (hamstring) is unable to go, Montgomery will get a massive usage rate this week.

In addition, Montgomery gets a favorable matchup against a bad Colts run defense. They have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (at SF)

Not listed on the injury report, Thomas will be ready to go for a favorable matchup against the 49ers. While his weekly volume of targets has fluctuated a bit, the rookie is averaging 7.86 per game with two games of double-digit targets over his past five.

During that five-game span, Thomas has finished as the weekly WR13, WR21, WR12, WR8 and WR34, respectively. Thomas has a minimum of four catches in every game this season and more than 55 yards in all but one.


Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

The last time Jones finished as a weekly top-24 wide receiver, it was September -- Week 3 (at Packers). Granted, Jones went off for 6/205/2 and finished as the top-scoring fantasy wide receiver that week. Since then, however, he has finished as the weekly WR37, WR26, WR39, WR27 and WR64, respectively.

After getting 29 targets in the first three weeks of the season, Jones has 30 targets in the past five games. In those first three games, Jones had a target share of 27.03%, 28.21% and 20.00%, respectively. In his past five games, he's reached the 20-percent mark only once.

Jones is ranked inside my top-30 fantasy wide receivers this week, but he is outside of my top-24. Perhaps November will be more like September for Jones, but the Lions are projected to be the lowest-scoring team of the week based on implied totals from Vegas.

WR - Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX)

Like Jones, Maclin is inside my top-30 receivers but outside my top-24 for the week. Maclin saw double-digit targets last week and he scored a touchdown for the first time since the opener. But he barely finished the week as a top-24 wideout (WR24) in Week 8. Maclin now has less than 50 yards in three consecutive games and four of his past five.

Given that the Chiefs are big home favorites, we should see a lot of Charcandrick West this week, which could lead to fewer targets for Maclin. In addition, Jalen Ramsey should spend most of the game shadowing Maclin.

WR - Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Hurns was productive with 7/98/1 on 11 targets last week and now has 11 targets in two of his past three games. While there should be some garbage-time opportunities this week, Blake Bortles has played too poorly this season to trust Hurns in an unfavorable matchup.

WR - Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO)

Productive in his first game with Colin Kaepernick, Smith had just one catch for 17 yards on two targets before his bye. Smith now has 1.7 fantasy points in four of seven games this season and two or fewer targets in three of his past four games. Even with a great matchup against the Saints, Smith is nothing more than a dice roll regardless of which quarterback is under center.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

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Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:

Pittsburgh Steelers -2 over Baltimore Ravens (4 Units)

The Steelers are clearly a better team. The trio of Ben Roethlisberger, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown will be back and ready to roll in this one. The Steelers are one of the most exciting teams to watch in the NFL when their offense gets clicking. I think they will beat the Ravens on the road behind a three-TD game from Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh 30, Baltimore 17.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Indianapolis Colts +7.5 over Green Bay Packers (5 Units)

Too many points in this one. The Packers pass defense is just as bad as Indy’s, and I actually think the Colts have a real shot at winning this game outright. This game is going to be a shootout so if you are playing DFS, stack this one up. I think Andrew Luck will outperform Aaron Rodgers and the Colts win. Colts 39, Packers 34.

Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Los Angeles Rams (4 Units)

I'm not a big believer of this Rams team. I think they are a bottom-three team in the NFL, while the Panthers are definitely better than their record shows. I think Cam Newton and the Panthers have a big day and steamroll the Rams. Panthers 37, Rams 19.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 9 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Theo Riddick is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Ezekiel Elliott, DeMarco Murray and Riddick and can only start two running backs, you should start Zeke and Murray -- and in turn, bench Riddick.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

After missing a pair of games, Riddick returned in Week 8 and set or tied season highs in carries (11), rushing yards (56), receptions (eight), targets (11) and receiving yards (77). Not only did he have a season-high 78.57 percent of the carries, but it was only the second time this season that he was above 50 percent.

In addition, he now has at least 26 percent of the team's targets in each of his past two games. While he's better in PPR formats, Riddick has now finished as a top-four weekly fantasy running back (standard scoring) in three of six games this season.

This week's matchup isn't great, as the Vikings allow the 13th-fewest fantasy points to the position and the Lions are projected to be the lowest-scoring team this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

That said, the Vikings allow the second-highest Y/R (11.18) to opposing running backs. Given Riddick's abilities and involvement as a receiver, he's a fringe top-12 fantasy running back this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (at OAK)

Even before C.J. Anderson landed on Injured Reserve, Booker's role in the offense was expanding. Now that CJA is done for the year, Booker should rank near the top of the league in touches the rest of the way.

In his first game without Anderson, Booker had 19 carries for a pedestrian 54 yards and a lost fumble, but he scored a touchdown and added five catches for 30 yards. The Broncos go on the road to Oakland this week, and it's a top-10 matchup for Booker and the Broncos running backs this week.

RB - Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX)

No Jamaal Charles. No Spencer Ware. Lots of Charcandrick West.

ESPN's Adam Teicher referenced West's 24 carries and 110 rushing yards in two different games last season by writing "[k]eep those numbers ready for easy reference." In other words, it's possible that he gets more work and more yards against the Jaguars this Sunday.

The Jags have been middle of the road in terms of fantasy production allowed to opposing running backs, but this is a great spot for West. The Chiefs are more than touchdown favorites at home this week.

- Related: West was 'drafted' to our DraftKings tournament lineup

RB - Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints (at SF)

An intended one-quarter punishment turned into Ingram sitting on the pine for the rest of the game. After a losing a fumble, his second in as many games, Ingram watched as Tim Hightower shouldered the load (26/102) against the Seahawks. Even when getting work, Ingram has not been efficient -- career-low average of 3.81 yards per carry -- this season.

That said, this matchup is so good and with six teams are on bye, both Ingram and Hightower are potential starts. Or stated differently, both are inside of my top-24 fantasy running backs for Week 9.

No team has allowed more fantasy points or yards per carry (5.33) to opposing running backs this season. Before their Week 8 bye, the 49ers allowed a 100-yard rusher in six consecutive games. Those six RBs have a total of 131/795/8 (6.07 YPC) rushing, 12/94 receiving and an average of 22.48 fantasy points per game. (That excludes any production from teammates of the six 100-yard rushers.)

Only the Packers are projected to score more points this week and as long as Ingram doesn't fumble, both backs should get work and be productive. In fact, if either were guaranteed the lion's share of the work, they would be a top-five back for the week.


Week 9 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (at NYG)

This season, Mathews has three games with 15-plus touches and four games with 10 or fewer including just five touches last week against the Cowboys. Fortunately for his fantasy owners, Mathews scored a touchdown despite managing only 11 yards from scrimmage. That helped to salvage an otherwise poor performance.

The Giants have allowed 3.76 YPC to opposing running backs, ninth-lowest in the NFL, and Mathews has more than one target in only one game this season. Given his inconsistent yet declining role and lack of passing-game involvement, Mathews is a sit even in a week with six teams on bye.

In turn, teammate Darren Sproles is inside my top-24 fantasy running backs and worth consideration as a "start" this week.

RB - Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Over the past two weeks, Ivory and Yeldon have each had seven touches or less in both games. In a game where the Jags are projected to score the second-fewest points (based on Vegas odds), both backs remain too unreliable to start. If you were desperate, I'd prefer Yeldon over Ivory since he should be more involved as a receiver and the Jags are more than touchdown underdogs and often playing in garbage time. But again, the preference is to continue to sit both.

RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (vs. DET)

Asiata has 16-plus touches in three consecutive games, but Jerick McKinnon is expected to return this week. The team has significant issues on their offensive line and neither back has been efficient -- 3.226 YPC for Asiata and 3.191 YPC for McKinnon.

Even though the Lions are allowing 4.71 YPC to opposing running backs on the season, they have been better recently. From Weeks 1 to 4, they allowed a pair of 100-yard rushers (Eddie Lacy and Jordan Howard) and an average of 5.05 YPC to opposing running backs. From Weeks 5 to 8, they have limited opposing running backs to just 4.38 YPC. In addition, they have allowed only one touchdown on 167 carries (a league-low 0.60% of rush attempts) over the course of the entire season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

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Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns +7.5 over Dallas Cowboys (4 Units)

The Cowboys, coming back to cover in OT against the Eagles last week, was a pretty terrible bet for me and anyone that liked Philly with the points last week. They came back from down 10 with eight minutes to go in the game to no only win, but cover with an OT touchdown on their first possession.

This week looks like a pretty typical trap game, going to Cleveland to face a winless Browns team, in between a big division win and a game against the Steelers next week. Dallas will probably win the game, but the Browns have been playing hard and they get Corey Coleman back this week. I like them to keep this one close.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Pittsburgh Steelers -2 over Baltimore Ravens (3 Units)

The Steelers are one of the best teams, certainly in the AFC, but also in the entire league. Baltimore has been marginally good this year, but with the Steelers getting Ben Roethlisberger back, I just think they have too many weapons for the Ravens to handle. I'll take the small road favorite here.

San Francisco 49ers +4.5 over New Orleans Saints (5 Units)

The Saints had a big win over Seattle last week and similar to Dallas, look to be in a let-down spot. San Francisco has been terrible, but I like them to put up points against the Saints defense, which has been characteristically bad. I think the Niners can keep it close and maybe eek out the upset at home.

Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Los Angeles Rams (4 Units)

Against my better judgment, I'm taking another small road favorite. The Panthers are 2-5 and looking to build off an impressive Week 8 performance. I think Carolina has started to right the ship, and while they may not be the 15-1 team they were last year, they're certainly better than 2-5. They need to keep winning if they have any chance at a playoff run and the Rams are certainly a weak enough offensive team that I feel comfortable giving the 3.5.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 9 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Colin Kaepernick is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Aaron Rodgers and Kaepernick, you should start Rodgers -- and in turn, bench Kaep.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (at CLE)

Over the past five games, Prescott has finished the week as a top-12 fantasy quarterback four times with a QB13 finish being the lone exception. In addition, Prescott has scored a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points every week since Week 2.

While Prescott has yet to throw for 300 yards in a game, he has thrown a total of five touchdowns in back-to-back games against the Packers and Eagles. And even though he is unlikely to post gaudy passing stats in any game this season, the return of Dez Bryant (knee) last week gives him a full complement of passing-game weapons at his disposal.

More than anything, his dual-threat ability boosts his floor. Prescott has rushed for a touchdown in four of his past six games. Even though the Cowboys are on the road this week, only the Packers and Saints are projected to score more points than the Cowboys this week, based on Vegas odds.

Last but not least, the Browns have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO)

Kaepernick has been brutal as a passer -- 46.03 completion percentage and 5.24 Y/A. While he's started just two games, he has thrown for only 187 and 143 yards against the Bills and Buccaneers, respectively. As a rusher, however, he is averaging 8.82 YPC and 75 rushing yards per game.

In a matchup against Drew Brees where neither defense offers much resistance, Kaepernick has plenty of upside this weekend. Even though the 49ers are home underdogs, they are still projected to score the ninth-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

- Related: Kaepernick is QB of our collaborative DraftKings tournament lineup

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (at SD)

The past four games have gone differently for Mariota than have his first four games.

In his first four games, Mariota threw four touchdowns and five interceptions, averaged only 11.55 fantasy points per game and he finished outside of the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks every week. In his past four games, Mariota has thrown 10 touchdowns to only one interception, rushed for 149 yards and a touchdown and has finished as a QB11 or better in all four games.

Mariota's efficiency has also been much better over the past month. Over his past four games, he has completed 68.75 percent of his pass attempts for 8.47 Y/A, which compares to 58.82 percent for 6.80 Y/A in his first four games.

While the Titans would like to use a run-heavy game plan against the Chargers, there are underdogs on the road so hopefully that leads to a few extra pass attempts for Mariota.

Week 9 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. DEN)

Sure, it's hard to put a guy that threw for more than 500 yards and four touchdowns the previous week on your bench. And Carr has been playing extremely well this season. On the year, only Matt Ryan and Andrew Luck have scored more fantasy points among quarterbacks.

So far this season, Carr has either finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback (five times) or as a QB20 or worse (three times). Based on my rankings (QB14), this will be the first time that he finishes in between QB9-19.

Despite facing plenty of top quarterbacks -- Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers (twice), etc., the Broncos have allowed only three 200-yard games (out of eight played). The only quarterback to finish as a top-16 fantasy quarterback was Newton, who rushed for 54 yards and a touchdown in Week 1.

Since Week 2, the Broncos have limited all opposing quarterbacks to less than 15 fantasy points in every game and an average of 11.0/G. Opposing quarterbacks complete only 53.52 percent of their pass attempts for an average of 5.7 Y/A, both of which are league lows.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

Not quite Denver's defense, but the Vikings have actually limited opposing quarterbacks to the fewest fantasy points per game this season. They allow 12.22/G compared to 12.27/G for Denver. No quarterback has finished as a top-12 quarterback against them this season.

Like Carr, Stafford has had several strong performances -- five top-10 weekly finishes -- and a few not-so-strong performances -- three weeks at QB19 or worse. Based on implied totals using Vegas odds, no team is projected to score fewer points this week than the Lions.

In a week where some lesser fantasy quarterbacks (Prescott, Kaepernick, etc.) have more favorable matchups, Stafford is a sit for me this week.

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Whereas the Lions are projected to score the fewest points this week, the Jaguars are projected to score the second-fewest (tied with Buffalo). One of the biggest problems with the Jaguars (aside from Bortles in general) is their inability to score points early. The Jags rank dead last in the NFL in first-half scoring (6.7/G).

There is always the chance that Bortles puts up some fantasy points in garbage time as Jacksonville ranks fourth in fourth-quarter scoring (9.3/G), but he has taken a major step back this season. Bortles led the NFL in interceptions thrown (18) last season, but he's currently on pace to throw even more (20.6).

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (at SEA)

Since Week 2, Taylor has finished as a top-15 fantasy quarterback every week. Even though he has thrown for less than 200 yards in five games this season, Taylor has 319 rushing yards and three touchdowns. In other words, he avearges 6.24 fantasy points per game due to his rushing stats alone.

Even though the Seahawks have allowed an average of 300.75 passing yards per game over their past four, it's hard to trust Taylor in such a tough matchup with such a poor group of weapons. Speaking of his weapons, it's at least an interesting story that Percy Harvin has "unretired" and his first game back in the NFL will be against his former team.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 9 DFS Resources:

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November 04, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 9

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 9 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO), $5,600
RB - Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (at CLE), $7,700
RB - Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX), $4,400
WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at GB), $5,800
WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at OAK), $6,300
WR - Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (vs. CAR), $4,400
TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (vs. DET), $4,000
FLEX - Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BAL), $7,700
DST - Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX), $3,500


Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Charcandrick West, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: This pick hinges on Spencer Ware’s status. As of Wednesday, he has not passed the concussion protocol, and I think there is a very good chance he isn't able to go. Jamaal Charles was recently put on the IR as well, so that leaves West as the only cook in the kitchen. West could be that free square you need to pay up for some of the other high-priced studs on this slate. The matchup vs. Jacksonville is very good as well. I would expect 20-plus touches for West and close to a lock for at least 3X value on Sunday.

Comments by Kevin: Assuming that Ware (concussion) is inactive, West will be heavily-owned this week. That would be the only thing to dislike. Especially with Ware and Charles out, West could easily get 20-plus touches with the Chiefs being more than a TD home favorites. In other words, he should easily exceed value and he has the upside to finish with 100-plus yards and a score.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: When a player returns from a multi-game absence, I usually take a wait-and-see approach. With Moncrief playing the majority of snaps and getting nine targets (25.71-percent target share) in his return, there is no hesitation this week. As I noted our DFS Round Table post, Moncrief has seven touchdowns in 10 games that both he and Andrew Luck have played. Facing a banged-up Packers secondary as TD underdogs in a game that should be a shootout, Moncrief has plenty of upside.

Comments by Sean: Moncrief is going to be extremely popular this week. I think he will be one of the top-five guys owned in GPPs this week. The Colts are 7.5-point dogs on the road here, and this game has a 54-point total. Green Bay’s run defense is stout, so I could see Luck throwing the ball 50 times in this one. I expect T.Y. Hilton to play, but he was not himself with that hamstring injury last week. Moncrief should see double-digit targets, and I think he will have over 100 yards receiving.

3. Sean - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Play TEs vs. the Lions. It's worked pretty much every week. Rudolph is a red-zone machine. He currently sees almost 40 percent of his team's targets inside the red zone. Inside the 10-yard line, it jumps to 57 percent. Sam Bradford and the Vikings offense hasn't looked great the past few weeks, but I think this offense gets healthy this week. I think Rudolph will outscore every other TE on this slate.

Comments by Kevin: After getting 24.24%, 26.67% and 35.71% target share in the first three games, respectively, Rudolph has less than 20% target share in three of his past four games. One concern with Rudolph is that he stays in to block because the team has serious issues on the offensive line. If he becomes more involved as a pass-catcher than he has recently, though, this is the matchup to exploit -- no team allows more fantasy points or touchdowns (eight, so far) to opposing tight ends than the Lions.

4. Kevin - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick has been brutal as a passer -- 46.03 completion percentage and 5.24 Y/A. As a rusher, however, he is averaging 8.82 YPC and 75 rushing yards per game. In a matchup against Drew Brees where neither defense offers much resistance, Kaepernick has as much upside as any quarterback this weekend. Even though the 49ers are home underdogs, they are still projected to score the ninth-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

Comments by Sean: I like Kaepernick enough for cash game consideration this week. Kaepernick has just as a good chance in getting the scoring bonus with his legs as his arm, which makes him very dangerous in tournaments. The Saints defense is bad, and so is the 49ers, which should lead to a lot of points in this one. The only real complement play I like with Kaepernick this week is Carlos Hyde, but I probably will play him naked in most of my lineups.

5. Sean - Kansas City Chiefs DST: Not paying up for Denver last weekend was a big mistake. I had exposure to about eight different cheap defenses around 10% last week and Denver at only 4%. Defense is a crap shoot, but this Jacksonville team is pretty atrocious. The Chiefs are one of my favorite teams to target when they are at home as they have one of the best home-field advantages in football. Hot take: KC D/ST has more TDs than Blake Bortles this week.

Comments by Kevin: The Jags have fired their offensive coordinator, but they still have Blake Bortles under center. Outside of garbage time, Bortles has been awful. Jacksonville ranks last in the NFL in first-half scoring (6.7 PPG), but fourth in fourth-quarter scoring (9.3 PPG). In other words, the Jags could be forced into obvious passing downs early in the game. And even though he doesn't have a return touchdown (yet), Tyreek Hill is one of the game's more dangerous returners.

6. Kevin - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Like with West, the only thing to dislike about Elliott is the likelihood of high ownership this Sunday. Not only has Elliott averaged nearly 25 touches per game (24.86/G), but he has a total of 810 YFS in his past five games. The Browns have allowed the fifth-most PPR points per game to opposing running backs. Only the Saints (13) have allowed TDs to running backs than the Browns (12), who have also allowed the sixth-most yards per carry (4.74) to running backs. This could be a 150-yard, two-TD type of game.

Comments by Sean: These first six plays are all plays I am really considering for my main cash lineup this week. We have seen cash type lineups win major tournaments before, so I don't think firing a heavy cash core is a bad idea in GPPs. Zeke is my favorite player to pay up for this week. He has an elite matchup vs. the Browns. I could see Zeke exploding for a 40-point week. I will be all over the Dallas rookie this week.

7. Sean - Kenny Britt, WR, Los Angeles Rams: This pick is contrarian — not stupid! I think the Panthers offense is back, and I love this spot against an overrated Rams team. This pick is solely based on how I think this game plays out. Panthers get up big, and the Rams are forced to play catch up. The Panthers secondary is among one of the worst in the league, and we have seen Britt explode already once this year.

Comments by Kevin: I like the Britt call. Even in the Rams low-powered offense, Britt has 33/535/2 on 48 targets this season. That puts him on pace for over 1,200 yards. With four-plus catches in all but one game and 67-plus yards in five of seven, Britt's production shouldn't kill this team and there is some upside in a game with a favorable matchup where they will likely need to play catch up.

8. Kevin - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: Sanders has eight-plus targets in all but one game and double-digit targets in three games this season. In a soft matchup against the Raiders, both he and Demaryius Thomas have the potential for big games. Thomas has a bigger name, and lower price, so I'd expect him to have higher ownership, but Sanders (27.99%) actually has a higher target share than Thomas (23.88%).

Comments by Sean: The Oakland defense had played well vs. Mike Evans and Allen Robinson this year, but they are both big lanky WRs. That's the DT role in Denver. Against smaller WRs like Brandin Cooks and Steve Smith, they have struggled. I think Manny could have a big game here. I love this pick.

9. Sean - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger is on track to play this week. Bell should be priced around $9K with a healthy Big Ben. I think this is the week to play a Ben/Antonio/Bell stack, before the pricing is $2-3K higher. I also love the Zeke/Bell combo in tournaments as I also think you could get a combined 6 TDs between the two.

Comments by Sean: The Ravens run defense is no joke, but Bell is such a versatile back that he's matchup-proof. While he should still get 15-18 carries, there is the potential that he also gets 8-10 receptions. In a full-PPR site like DraftKings, that is huge. In fact, Bell has at least 20-percent target share in every game and a total of 31 targets in the past three games.

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November 02, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 9 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 9 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 9-16):

1. Los Angeles Rams (Case Keenum, Jared Goff): 18.26
2. San Diego Chargers (Philip Rivers): 18.21
3. Houston Texans (Brock Osweiler): 18.00
4. Buffalo Bills (Tyrod Taylor): 17.81
5. Minnesota Vikings (Sam Bradford): 17.69

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 9-16):

28. Washington Redskins (Kirk Cousins): 15.34
T29. Cincinnati Bengals (Andy Dalton): 15.18
T29. Detroit Lions (Matthew Stafford): 15.18
31. Green Bay Packers (Aaron Rodgers): 15.05
32. Jacksonville Jaguars (Blake Bortles): 14.94

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football QB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 9 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 9 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 9-16):

1. Arizona Cardinals (David Johnson): 20.20
2. Carolina Panthers (Jonathan Stewart): 20.04
3. Buffalo Bills (LeSean McCoy, Mike Gillislee): 19.83
4. Baltimore Ravens (Terrance West, Kenneth Dixon): 19.71
5. Cincinnati Bengals (Jeremy Hill, Giovani Bernard): 19.52

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 9-16):

28. Detroit Lions (Theo Riddick): 17.22
29. Philadelphia Eagles (Darren Sproles, Ryan Mathews): 16.88
30. Minnesota Vikings (Matt Asiata, Jerick McKinnon): 16.76
31. Seattle Seahawks (Christine Michael, Thomas Rawls): 16.45
32. Washington Redskins (Matt Jones, Rob Kelley, Chris Thompson): 14.49

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football RB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 9 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 9 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 9-16):

1. Miami Dolphins (Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker): 25.12
2. San Diego Chargers (Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin): 24.98
3. Los Angeles Rams (Tavon Austin, Kenny Britt, Brian Quick): 24.93
4. San Francisco 49ers (Torrey Smith, Jeremy Kerley): 24.89
5. Denver Broncos (Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders): 24.88

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 9-16):

28. Indianapolis Colts (T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief): 21.94
29. Baltimore Ravens (Mike Wallace, Steve Smith): 21.90
30. Oakland Raiders (Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree): 21.28
31. Green Bay Packers (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Ty Montgomery, Davante Adams): 21.15
32. Jacksonville Jaguars (Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns): 19.70

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 9 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 9 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 9-16):

1. San Diego Chargers (Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry): 8.74
2. Buffalo Bills (Charles Clay): 8.37
T3. New York Giants (Will Tye, Larry Donnell): 8.33
T3. Minnesota Vikings (Kyle Rudolph): 8.33
5. Baltimore Ravens (Dennis Pitta): 8.32

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 9-16):

28. Seattle Seahawks (Jimmy Graham): 6.27
29. Cincinnati Bengals (Tyler Eifert): 6.20
30. Atlanta Falcons (Austin Hooper, Jacob Tamme): 6.17
31. Detroit Lions (Eric Ebron): 6.14
32. Miami Dolphins: 5.97

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football TE SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 9

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 9?

Sean Beazley: Devontae Booker, RB, Denver Broncos ($6,400)

One play that I really like this week is Devontae Booker. I was 100% Booker last week in GPPs and I'll have a very large chunk of him this week as well. The fact that Denver relied on him so much even after sustaining an injury in the first quarter, and fumbling the ball again is really telling. Booker could have had a three-touchdown game last week. (Thompson vulture.)

This week he gets another great matchup against the Raiders, and it's the Sunday night hammer! Booker should see another game with around 25 touches and I like his chances to crush value this week. There are a lot of RBs in great matchups this week, so I think ownership should be somewhat low as well. I think Booker will have around 30 DK points this week. Fire him up!

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts ($5,800)

Returning from a five-game absence, Moncrief had four catches for 41 yards and a touchdown on nine targets in Week 8. A 40-yard score was called back, so he could have been even more productive in his return, but it was highly encouraging to see a 25.71-percent target share in his first game back.

Many (including me) expected a third-year breakout from the talented 23-year-old receiver out of Mississippi. With an ideal combination of size (6'2"/222) and speed (4.4 forty), Moncrief has flourished in the red zone when Andrew Luck has been healthy. In the 10 games that both have played over the past two seasons, Moncrief has a total of seven touchdowns.

With T.Y. Hilton battling a hamstring injury, Moncrief could once again see a large target share in a matchup against a depleted Packers secondary. In a game with this week's highest Vegas over/under, Moncrief has plenty of upside.

Brendan Donahue: Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($3,900)

Head coach Doug Pederson pretty much confirmed what we already suspected by watching the Eagles game Sunday night that Darren Sproles is now the lead back in Philadelphia. Not only did Sproles get roughly 80 percent of the offensive snaps on the night, he got the ball 20 times to only five for Ryan Mathews and that was even with the lead for the majority of the game. If Sproles is going to continue to get this kind of time and usage, he is a steal at only $3,900 on Draftkings this week.

John Trifone: Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams, WRs, Green Bay Packers ($5,800/$5,900)

The Packers have changed up their offense lately to a more dink-and-dunk recipe to move the ball. In the past two weeks, Aaron Rodgers has attempted 94 pass attempts and has seven TDs and zero interceptions. If Ty Montgomery is a go this week, which I expect he will be, he is an incredible value at $5,800 against a bad Colts defense. It should be an up tempo-paced game and Montgomery will serve as a part-time RB and short pass receiver.

Montgomery missed this past week, but got 25 targets over Weeks 6-7. Davante Adams got 30 targets over Weeks 7-8. I think both options are safe plays, even together, with solid upsides for both. Even if neither get in the end zone, they should still pay off their mid-range price tags based on the volume they're receiving. If both play, I prefer Montgomery, but Adams is a fine play as well.

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November 01, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (42 percent)

On Halloween, Coleman (hand) gave his fantasy owners a "treat," so to speak, as he was cleared to practice in full. In other words, Coleman, the 15th-overall pick and first wide receiver selected in the 2016 NFL Draft, is expected return in Week 9 against the Cowboys. Coleman has missed every game since Week 2, but the ex-Baylor Bear is an explosive playmaker that had 2/69 and 5/104/2 in his only two games played.

2. Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (50 percent)

With back-to-back 100-yard games, Crowder set season highs with nine catches and 13 targets in Week 8. In addition, he scored a touchdown for the fourth time this season. Beginning with Week 2, Crowder has finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver and scored nine-plus fantasy points in six of seven games. Crowder and the Redskins have a Week 9 bye following their cross-atlantic trip to London, but it wouldn't surprise me if he continues to be the team's most productive fantasy receiver the rest of the way.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

3. Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (45 percent)

Enunwa has now scored in back-to-back games, he set a three-game high in receptions (four) and a season high in yards (93). He also tied his season high in targets (11). In a favorable matchup against the Dolphins, Enunwa could be in store for another productive outing, especially considering six teams are on bye.

4. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (six percent)

In the team's past three games, Wright has had two big outings -- 8/133/1 (19.3 fantasy points, weekly WR7) and 4/84/1 (15.9, WR6). While Wright had just five targets last week, that equated to 21.74 percent of the team's total. In a run-dominant offense, it's unlikely that we can trust any of the team's receivers as anything more than a WR3, but Wright should lead the group the rest of the way.

5. Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (39 percent)

Second on the team in target share behind Tavon Austin (27.35%), Britt (20.51%) had just three catches (on eight targets) for 43 yards against the Giants before the bye. Through seven games, Britt is averaging 4.71/76.43/0.29 on 6.86 targets per game. Only 28 years old, the former first-round pick is on pace for 76 catches for 1,223 yards this season.

The team's quarterback play, run-heavy philosophy and lack of scoring opportunities will limit Britt's upside, but he should be a solid, if not spectacular, option for the remainder of the season. And depending on your bye-week situations, Britt could make for an excellent streamer with the Panthers, Jets, Dolphins and Saints on the schedule over the next month.

6. Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers (42 percent)

Coates has just one catch for four yards on five targets in the past two games and he suffered a hand injury prior to the bye. Especially once Ben Roethlisberger (knee) returns, Coates has WR3 upside as a vertical threat in the passing offense. In the first five games of the season, Coates had 19 catches for 421 yards (22.2 Y/R).

7. Brian Quick, Los Angeles Rams (seven percent)

Even though he has exceeded 20-percent target share in only one game this season, Quick has been productive and consistent with five consecutive games of more than 50 receiving yards. During that five-game stretch, he has a total of 326 yards and three touchdowns including a 4/92 stat line in Week 7.

Due to volume of targets, I'd prefer Britt over Quick, but it's close. And as noted above, the duo has an extremely favorable schedule with the Panthers, Jets, Dolphins and Saints on deck. In fact, only the Dolphins and Chargers wide receivers have a more favorable fantasy strength of schedule the rest of the way.

8. Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (five percent)

There was talk earlier in the season about getting Green-Beckham more involved in the offense and he had a season-high nine targets in Week 8. In fact, it was more than double what he had in any other game as an Eagle. As a big-bodied receiver with an expanding role, DGB is worth adding as bench stash. It's a little too early to trust that he will see nine targets per week, however.

9. Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (24 percent)

Matthews has 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown -- and at least eight fantasy points -- in four of his past five games. That's the good news. The bad news is that he has four or fewer targets in four of those games, coincidentally the ones in which he had nine-plus fantasy points. Without a boost in volume, however, it's unlikely that he continues his recent run of solid production. As noted above, I'd prefer Wright over any other Titans receiver.

10. Jeff Janis, Green Bay Packers (two percent)

With Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery both out on Sunday, Janis had four catches for 30 yards and a touchdown. While he is a physical freak, he has never seemed to earn the trust of either Aaron Rodgers or the coaching staff. But if his offensive involvement continues to expand (probably unlikely, though), he has plenty of upside.

11. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (three percent)

While he's one of the smallest receivers in the league, Hill is a big play waiting to happen. Finishing as the WR5 in Week 8, Hill had five catches for 98 yards and a touchdown and added a seven-yard run. There's always the potential for him to return one to the house (currently second in punt return average and eighth in kickoff return average), but Hill has been involved as both a runner (six carries) and a receiver (19/223/4) this season. Even so, he's more of a deep-league consideration in Kansas City's low-volume pass offense.

12. Cordarrelle Patterson, Minnesota Vikings (12 percent)

Patterson has three-plus catches in four consecutive games, but he has less than 40 yards in all but one of those outings. In a favorable matchup against the Lions in Week 9, there is some reason for optimism. But the overall lack of volume and his place in line for targets behind (at least) Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph would make him a very risky start in any week.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (48 percent)

Going into the season, it was expected that DeMarco Murray and Henry would form a 1-2 "exotic smashmouth" backfield that would wear down opposing defenses. Instead, Murray has run away (literally) with the job. Murray a minimum of 18 touches and 12.5 fantasy points in all eight games with an average of 23.5 touches and 17.66 fantasy points per contest. Only Arizona's David Johnson has scored more fantasy points among running backs this season.

In Week 8, however, Henry finally got a sizable share of the workload. Henry had more touches (20) last week than he had in his previous four games combined (15). The big bruising back carried the ball 16 times for 60 yards and a score while adding four catches for 37 yards.

While it would be unrealistic to expect many more 20-touch games as long as both Murray and Henry are healthy, it's possible that his role becomes more fantasy-relevant the rest of the way. Over the next four weeks, the Titans will face the Chargers, Packers, Colts and Bears. San Diego and Indianapolis both rank among the six-most fantasy-friendly defenses to running backs this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (nine percent)

Spencer Ware left Sunday's game with a concussion and Jamaal Charles (knee) was inactive last week so West finished Sunday with 14 carries for 52 yards and two catches for eight yards. Depending on how Ware progresses through the concussion protocol, it's possible that West ends up starting against the Jaguars in Week 9. Based on early odds, the Chiefs are nearly double-digit home favorites (-9), which sets up for a run-dominant game script for West and the Chiefs.

3. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots (33 percent)

The Patriots are on bye in Week 9, but perhaps Lewis returns following the bye. Lewis returned to practice last week and the Patriots will have up to 21 days to activate him from the PUP list.

At least initially, the biggest fantasy impact of the move would be to hurt the outlook of James White as opposed to being able to trust Lewis as a starter. That said, he has shown how good he could be when healthy and with Tom Brady under center.

4. Rob Kelley, Washington Redskins (35 percent)

With Matt Jones (knee) sidelined in Week 8, Jones led Washington's backfield with 21 carries for 87 yards and a score. Before Jones missed Week 8, he had lost a fumble in two of his previous three games and was essentially benched in Week 7. But it's unclear how much of the workload Kelley would have received in Week 8 if all three of the team's primary backs (Kelley, Jones and Chris Thompson) were healthy.

In games that Jones can't play, however, Kelley should get the bulk of the early-down work with Thompson maintaining a change-of-pace role. The Redskins are on bye in Week 9 and then get a pair of challenging matchups following their bye against the Vikings and Packers. Then again, Jordan Howard just racked up 200-plus yards from scrimmage and a touchdown against the Vikings defense on Monday Night Football.

5. Antone Smith, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (one percent)

Playing on a short week, it's likely that the Buccaneers will be without their top-three running backs as Jacquizz Rodgers left Sunday's game late with a foot injury. Tampa Bay Times writer Greg Auman tweeted it's "[s]afe to say" that Rodgers won't play on Thursday.

Considering that Smith had more snaps and touches than Peyton Barber on Sunday, it's reasonable that Smith gets the majority of touches in a plus matchup this Thursday night. The Falcons have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

6. Bilal Powell, New York Jets (37 percent)

After getting 21 receptions over a four-game stretch, Powell has only one reception in his past two games. Thanks to a long touchdown run, however, Powell had a nice fantasy performance in Week 8 with 6/76/1 rushing and 13.9 fantasy points.

Meanwhile, Matt Forte has had massive workloads in each of the past two games with 34 touches in Week 7 and 27 in Week 8. In those two games, Forte has 55/182/3 rushing (3.31 YPC) and 6/70/1 receiving. I'd expect Powell to become more involved as a receiver once again, but he's at least worth a stash/handcuff for Forte owners.

7. Tim Hightower, New Orleans Saints (five percent)

A fumble by Mark Ingram led to a massive workload for Hightower, who carried the ball 26 times for 102 yards against the Seahawks on Sunday. How much of that was a one-game statement to Ingram? We'll see, but Payton said that Hightower will "definitely" get more carries going forward. Depending on his Week 9 workload, there is plenty of upside against the NFL's most fantasy-friendly defense (49ers) to opposing running backs this week.

8. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (12 percent)

Dixon began his NFL career on the sidelines with a knee injury and he has been far less than spectacular since making his debut a few weeks ago. In his three NFL games, Dixon has six carries for 10 yards (1.67 YPC) and three catches for six yards (2.0 Y/A). He's even seen one less touch per game -- four to three to two, respectively.

That said, Dixon is much more talented than his production suggests. Not only was the team high on him when they selected him in the fourth round of this year's draft, so was I. Apparently, the plan remains to get him more involved in the offense.

Over the next three weeks, the Ravens get the Steelers, Browns and Cowboys.

9. C.J. Prosise, Seattle Seahawks (two percent)

Prosise broke the 100-yard mark with four carries for 23 yards and four catches for 80 yards. It's unlikely that he repeats that production at any point with Thomas Rawls set to return in a couple of weeks, but he is at least worth monitoring.

10. Don Jackson, Green Bay Packers (five percent)

If you're absolutely desperate, Jackson may be worth a look. Through two games, Jackson has managed only 16 yards on six carries (2.67 YPC), but the team cut Knile Davis and Ty Montgomery may not be available again this week either. The matchup is favorable against the Colts, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, although it wouldn't be a surprise if Aaron Rodgers once again led the team in rushing.

11. Kapri Bibbs, Denver Broncos (seven percent)

It seems likely that Devontae Booker (shoulder) will be ready to go for Week 9, but the rookie running back will go through some more tests on Monday. Bibbs had next to nothing (two carries for four yards) on Sunday, but the Broncos face the Raiders and Saints over the next two weeks and could have some value if Booker isn't cleared for whatever reason.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (22 percent)

With Jay Ajayi running for 200-plus yards in back-to-back games, Tannehill has thrown the ball 25 times or less for 204 yards or less in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, he has averaged 209 passing yards per game and thrown more interceptions (three) than touchdowns (two).

That said, Tannehill gets a favorable matchup in Week 9 against the Jets, who have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. The recent lack of volume is a concern for Tannehill's outlook, but the Jets have a stout run defense so Ajayi shouldn't run for another 200-yard game.

In a week with six quarterbacks (Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, Andy Dalton, etc.) on bye, Tannehill makes for a decent streamer this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (42 percent)

Smith exited Sunday's game against the Colts twice to be checked for a concussion and ruled out after the second time. Aside from the concussion, the other concern with Smith in any week is the potential for the Chiefs to call a run-heavy game plan that limits his upside.

If he's cleared in time for Week 9, he gets a favorable matchup against the Jaguars, who have allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. As nearly double-digit home favorites (-9), however, there is the potential for the Chiefs to dial up run plays more than Smith drops back to pass.

After this week, Smith gets two even better matchups against the Panthers and Buccaneers, both of whom are among the seven most fantasy-friendly defenses to fantasy quarterbacks this season.

3. Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (30 percent)

If you need a spot starter, Fitzpatrick is a viable streamer. While he didn't post gaudy statistics against the Browns, he has now thrown 48 pass attempts over the past two games with no interceptions. The Jets are small road underdogs (-3.5) in Miami and we could see a higher volume of attempts this week.

Considering he was benched once already for Geno Smith, it's possible that Fitzpatrick gets benched again in favor of the young quarterbacks on their roster if the season is completely lost. Despite the difficult schedule to begin the season, Fitzpatrick gets a more favorable schedule from here on out as the Jets quarterbacks have the sixth-most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule.

4. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (23 percent)

Here's the good news: Flacco has thrown 44-plus pass attempts in four consecutive games and 40-plus pass attempts in six straight. The bad news is that the pass offense has been terribly inefficient. Flacco has just two passing touchdowns in his past five games and is averaging just 13.25 fantasy points per game this season.

In Week 9, Flacco and the Ravens face the Steelers, who have allowed four top-12 weekly performances over the past six weeks. In Week 10, Flacco faces the winless Browns, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position this season.

5. Trevor Siemian, Denver Broncos (12 percent)

Siemian has finished as the weekly QB1 (Week 3), QB17 (Week 6) and outside the top-20 fantasy quarterbacks in every other game he has played. Siemian has thrown twice as many touchdowns (eight) as interceptions (four), but he is averaging only 6.95 yards per attempt. With that said, he is a fringe top-12 fantasy quarterback with a pair of top-10 matchups against the Raiders and Saints the next two weeks.

6. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (7 percent)

In two starts, Kaepernick has completed only 46.03 percent of his past attempts at 5.24 Y/A. In those same two games, however, he has rushed 17 times for 150 yards (8.82 YPC). While he may not throw for 300-plus yards, his Week 9 matchup against the Saints lends itself to posting a big fantasy day.

7. Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings (16 percent)

Many of the bottom-tier fantasy quarterbacks have favorable matchups in Week 9 and Bradford is one of them. Bradford has completed 66.5 percent of his pass attempts with an 8-to-1 TD-INT ratio, but the Vikings rank just 26th in pass-play percentage. Not only does Bradford get the Lions, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but the Lions have been particularly vulnerable to defending tight ends. Considering how often Bradford targets Kyle Rudolph, that bolsters his fantasy appeal as a streamer in Week 9.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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