Week 9 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Donte Moncrief is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, Jarvis Landry and Moncrief and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Jarvis -- and in turn, bench Moncrief.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianpolis Colts (at GB)

When a player returns from a multi-game absence, I usually take a wait-and-see approach. With Moncrief playing the majority of snaps and getting nine targets (25.71-percent target share) in his return, there is absolutely no hesitation this week.

With a rare combination of size (6-2, 222) and athleticism (4.40 forty and 39.5-inch vertical at Combine), Moncrief has been especially productive in the red zone when Andrew Luck is healthy. As I noted in our Week 9 DFS Round Table post, he has seven touchdowns in 10 games that both he and Luck have played.

Facing a banged-up Packers secondary as TD underdogs in a game that should be a shootout, Moncrief has plenty of upside. The Packers have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. NYJ)

Landry is almost never a "sit," but he has finished outside the top-24 weekly fantasy receivers in each of his past four games played. Peppered with double-digit targets in each of the first four weeks of the season, Landry has only 20 total targets in his past three games.

One of the main reasons for the drop in targets has been the success of the running game led by Jay Ajayi. While Ajayi is coming off back-to-back 200-yard rushing games, the Jets have a stingy run defense and generous pass defense.

The Jets have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. In addition to Landry, both DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills are upside plays as the Jets have been highly susceptible to big plays.

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (vs. IND)

Whether you view/list him as a running back or a wide receiver, Montgomery is expected to play this week and barring a surprise inactive status, he should be in your starting lineup wherever he fits.

Montgomery sat out last week, but before that, he had 20 receptions on 25 targets for 164 yards plus 12 carries for 66 yards in his previous two games combined. Especially if Randall Cobb (hamstring) is unable to go, Montgomery will get a massive usage rate this week.

In addition, Montgomery gets a favorable matchup against a bad Colts run defense. They have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (at SF)

Not listed on the injury report, Thomas will be ready to go for a favorable matchup against the 49ers. While his weekly volume of targets has fluctuated a bit, the rookie is averaging 7.86 per game with two games of double-digit targets over his past five.

During that five-game span, Thomas has finished as the weekly WR13, WR21, WR12, WR8 and WR34, respectively. Thomas has a minimum of four catches in every game this season and more than 55 yards in all but one.


Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

The last time Jones finished as a weekly top-24 wide receiver, it was September -- Week 3 (at Packers). Granted, Jones went off for 6/205/2 and finished as the top-scoring fantasy wide receiver that week. Since then, however, he has finished as the weekly WR37, WR26, WR39, WR27 and WR64, respectively.

After getting 29 targets in the first three weeks of the season, Jones has 30 targets in the past five games. In those first three games, Jones had a target share of 27.03%, 28.21% and 20.00%, respectively. In his past five games, he's reached the 20-percent mark only once.

Jones is ranked inside my top-30 fantasy wide receivers this week, but he is outside of my top-24. Perhaps November will be more like September for Jones, but the Lions are projected to be the lowest-scoring team of the week based on implied totals from Vegas.

WR - Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX)

Like Jones, Maclin is inside my top-30 receivers but outside my top-24 for the week. Maclin saw double-digit targets last week and he scored a touchdown for the first time since the opener. But he barely finished the week as a top-24 wideout (WR24) in Week 8. Maclin now has less than 50 yards in three consecutive games and four of his past five.

Given that the Chiefs are big home favorites, we should see a lot of Charcandrick West this week, which could lead to fewer targets for Maclin. In addition, Jalen Ramsey should spend most of the game shadowing Maclin.

WR - Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Hurns was productive with 7/98/1 on 11 targets last week and now has 11 targets in two of his past three games. While there should be some garbage-time opportunities this week, Blake Bortles has played too poorly this season to trust Hurns in an unfavorable matchup.

WR - Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO)

Productive in his first game with Colin Kaepernick, Smith had just one catch for 17 yards on two targets before his bye. Smith now has 1.7 fantasy points in four of seven games this season and two or fewer targets in three of his past four games. Even with a great matchup against the Saints, Smith is nothing more than a dice roll regardless of which quarterback is under center.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 9 DFS Resources:

More of our content and resources:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle



Post A Comment