Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Houston Texans +2.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (3 Units)

The Texans are going to need this game plain and simple to stay in front of a tightened AFC South race, and they have the Jags on tap this week, who they have recently dominated. The Texans have posted an impressive 4-1 mark against the spread in their last five, but what's more telling is the fact that you have to go back to December of 2013 to find the last time the Jaguars beat them straight up. The Jaguars have certainly found a decent secondary to work with, but I am looking for Houston to attack Jacksonville on the ground, as Brock Osweiler just cannot be trusted. I love the matchup of Lamar Miller going up against a rushing defense that allows 116 yards per game and 4.0 yards per carry. I like the Texans to continue their recent dominance on the road.

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Green Bay Packers -3 over Tennessee Titans (3 Units)

This is a Packers team that just hasn't looked right all year, but I think they will be fine come playoff time, and they have to pick up these games against AFC South opponents. While everyone has said that Aaron Rodgers just doesn't look right this year, and I tend to agree, but the Pack has been winning games with defense. This week, I predict a low total for DeMarco Murray, as the Packers lead the league in rushing defense only allowing 3.3 yards per carry, and 75.8 yards per game. The Titans have been a great story, and I think Marcus Mariota has been the most improved player in the league this year, but I just don't see them knocking off the heavyweights of the league just yet.

New England Patriots -8 over Seattle Seahawks (3 Units)

Wow, this is certainly not the gap we would expect between these two teams, but I really think this will be one of the classic Patriots prime time blowouts. The deck is already stacked against Seattle, as they are flying across the country, playing on a short week, and oh the Patriots had their bye last week as well. Tom Brady has been playing like a man possessed, and I think he will still attack a Seahawks secondary that allows a 62.4% completion percentage to opposing QBs. Another benefit in the Patriots favor, is the absence of Michael Bennett, who can take over a game just by himself, and also this will be the first time in a month that Kam Chancellor has played as well. I think the Patriots have the right matchup of quickness inside with Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, and the Seahawks still can't matchup with Rob Gronkowski. It's a big number, but all the factor arrows point to New England.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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