Week 12 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Rishard Matthews is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, Amari Cooper and Matthews and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Matthews.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. GB)

Here's the bad news: Matthews has finished as a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in just two of his 10 games played. And one of those weeks, his better performance of the two, was all the way back in Week 1. Of course, if you own Matthews, you already know this.

That said, there are a couple of favorable factors for his outlook for Week 12. First of all, the volume has been there -- double-digit targets in four consecutive games. During that four-game span, only three receivers -- Stefon Diggs (49), Allen Robinson (47) and Mike Evans (46) -- have more targets than Matthews, who's tied for fourth with Jordy Nelson at 45 targets over that stretch.

The other factor that bodes well for Matthews is the matchup. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Packers. The Packers have allowed 30-plus (real) points in four consecutive games and are the only team other than the 49ers to do so this season.

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WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (at TB)

Baldwin may not throw any (more) touchdowns to a quarterback this week, but the former Stanford wideout has now finished as a top-seven (WR1 and WR7) fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back games. The biggest concern with Baldwin is the lack of huge volume upside -- six or fewer targets in five of his past seven games.

That said, Russell Wilson seems healthier, the duo has outstanding rapport and Baldwin gets a favorable matchup this week. The Buccaneers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (at CHI)

Matthews has scored in five of his past seven games and he has a total of six touchdowns over that span. Even though he has five or fewer targets in four of those seven games, Matthews red-zone success has allowed him to score at least 9.2 fantasy points in all but one game over that stretch. Even though he didn't score in Week 11, Matthews had nine catches for 122 yards on 13 targets, all of which were season highs.

The Titans get the Bears in Week 12, which sets up Matthews to continue to his high level of play. The Bears have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. Earlier in the season, it was hit or miss as far as which Titans receiver would have the most productive outing, but Matthews has clearly separated himself from the rest of the group.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (vs. LA)

The rookie out of Ohio State has finished as the weekly WR35 or worse in two consecutive games and in three of his past four games, but he has more than 60 yards in five of his last six games. Looking back over a slightly longer stretch, however, Thomas has finished as a top-22 fantasy wide receiver in five of his past eight games.

During that eight-game span, he has averaged a 5.75/70.88/0.62 statistical line. With Drew Brees and the Saints passing offense typically playing better at home than on the road, Thomas is a top-20 fantasy wide receiver for me this week.

Week 12 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

Things have gone downhill for Jones after a 23/482/2 first month as a Lion. Since that four-game span, Jones has 37 yards or less in five of six games and back-to-back games held to just one catch including Week 9 against the Vikings.

Jones has 3.3 fantasy points or less in each of his past three games. Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season; only the Broncos have allowed less. In fact, Golden Tate, who has been much more productive recently, is outside of my top-30 fantasy wide receivers for the week as well.

WR - Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

A few weeks back, Hurns had 7/98/1 on 11 targets in Week 8 against the Titans. That game seems so long ago as Hurns has just three catches for 22 yards since then. In Week 11 against the Lions, he had only one nine-yard catch on two targets.

With the emergence of Marqise Lee in the secondary role to Allen Robinson, the team's clear No. 1 receiver, Hurns is not even inside my top-50 receivers this week. In addition, the matchup isn't great as the Bills have allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points to the position and the Jags are one of six teams projected to score fewer than 19 points this week.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

Cobb had just five targets in Week 11 against the Redskins although he finished with 84 yards on three receptions. With Davante Adams becoming more involved in the passing offense, the duo of receivers are in the WR3/flex range (both just outside my top-30) of my Week 12 rankings. The Packers have only a 22.0 implied total, which is the 20th-most this week.

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (vs. PIT)

Normally, Moncrief is a top-24 fantasy wide receiver and a solid WR2 type when both he and Andrew Luck are healthy. In fact, Moncrief has a touchdown in nine of 11 games that both he and Luck have played.

With Luck forced to miss Thursday night's game with a concussion, however, it's hard to trust Moncrief or any part of the passing game. In other words, the switch has downgraded my outlook of T.Y. Hilton from a WR1 to a WR2, Moncrief from a WR2 to a WR3/flex, etc.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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