Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 over Buffalo Bills (4 Units)

This just feels like too big of a spread. Blake Bortles has been awful this year, and the Bills have a solid defense. Still, the Jags pass defense is actually pretty good, and the Bills have some injuries on the offensive end. Robert Woods is out, and though Sammy Watkins just got taken off IR, it's unlikely he plays much or that he's as effective as he normally would be just yet. LeSean McCoy is good to go, but he did have thumb surgery last week. I like the Bills to win here, but the Jags to cover.

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Arizona Cardinals +5 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)

This is a game where I think the Cardinals are better than they've shown of late, and the Falcons are not as good as they've been, so I will definitely take the five points here. Matt Ryan had his first pretty pedestrian game of the season against the Eagles two weeks ago, coming off a bye this week. I think Ryan regresses the second half of the season to something closer to what his career output has been. Atlanta may be good enough to win here at home, but I like a close game so give me the Cardinals with the points.

New York Jets +8 over New England Patriots (3 Units)

Call me crazy but I like the big division home underdog here. The Patriots offense is so schematically good and Tom Brady is still playing at an incredibly high level. The defense has been very mediocre, though, and the Jets do have some weapons in Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte. The Jets season may be done, but I think they still get up for the game against the Pats and I like them with the points at home.

Green Bay Packers +4 over Philadelphia Eagles ( Units)

The Packers have been an incredible disappointment this year, but they still have a very potent offense and Aaron Rodgers has still shown flashes of being Aaron Rodgers. The defense is awful, but Carson Wentz and Philly have come back down to earth after a hot start that got everyone excited. I think GB matches up well with Philly and will be able to score points against them, and I don't think the Eagle offense will be able to keep up. I like the Packers to win outright in Philly, so I'll certainly take four.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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