Week 16 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)
Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.
With that said, here are my Week 16 NFL picks against the spread:
Green Bay Packers -7 over Minnesota Vikings (4 Units)
One of the hotter teams in the NFL at the moment, Aaron Rodgers has played himself into MVP discussion. Historically, Rodgers has been dominant at home in December. In his past 12 December home games, the Packers are 12-0 and Rodgers has compiled a 30:2 TD-INT ratio in those games.
Meanwhile, Ty Montgomery has given them production on the ground as he's coming off a 16/162/2 performance in Week 15. The Vikings defense has been less stellar more recently as they have allowed 4.52 yards per carry (eighth-most in the NFL) from Weeks 8 to 15 after holding their opponents to just 3.74 YPC (26th) in Weeks 1 to 7.
Minnesota's offense has had their challenges as well and Adrian Peterson won't play this week after returning to the field in Week 15. With the ability to control their own destiny if they win out, I like Rodgers and the Packers at Lambeau to take care of business.
New York Jets +17 over New England Patriots (2 Units)
Clearly the Patriots are better than the Jets. A LOT better than the Jets. And this game could easily turn into a blowout. That said, 17 points to any team is a lot. Even though I expect the Patriots to win easily, I think the Jets get the cover.
Pittsburgh Steelers -6 over Baltimore Ravens (3 Units)
One of the better modern-day rivalries, this is typically a hard-fought battle. Given how Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers play at home (vs. the road), I think the Steelers are able to score a lot of points in this one. On the other hand, the Ravens have a lot of question marks outside of their elite run defense. That said, Le'Veon Bell is outstanding as a receiver out of the backfield so even if he's slowed somewhat as a runner, he should have a major impact as a receiver.
- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.
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