Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)
Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.
With that said, here are my Week 17 NFL picks against the spread:
Miami Dolphins +9.5 over New England Patriots (4 Units)
Happy New Year to all, and as always, Week 17 gives us divisional matchups, but most of the playoff questions have already been answered. The Patriots will either be the No. 1 or 2 seed, so I really think with Tom Brady and Malcolm Mitchell hobbled, you will see the starters exit the game in the 3rd quarter. The Dolphins have been the Patriots kryptonite at home, as the Patriots are 0-4 against the number in their last four trips to Miami. I think the Patriots will win this game, but winning by 9.5 will be a tall order on the road.
Denver Broncos -1.5 over Oakland Raiders (5 Units)
This is a series that the Raiders have had the best of in the last few years, but I think Denver will rise up and play this one hard for pride. The Raiders were dealt a stunning loss in losing quarterback Derek Carr to a broken leg last week. The Raiders will enter this game with backup Matt McGloin facing the league's best passing defense that only gives up 187 yards per game. The Broncos have also been great against the number in recent history as well, as they have gone 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. The Broncos will load up the box, so they won't be gashed as bad as they were by the Raiders earlier this year, and I will give the points here.
Detroit Lions +3.5 over Green Bay Packers (3 Units)
This is definitely the marquee game of the week, as the winner guarantees their ticket to the playoffs. The Packers have been on a roll as of late, and Aaron Rodgers is just one game shy of his prediction to run the table. I really like the Lions at home though, due to the fact that they get a Packers passing defense that gives up 265 yards passing per game, and 30 touchdowns on the year. Both of these defenses will have problems stopping the pass, and I have a feeling that the last team to get the ball will win this game. As a berth in the postseason is on the line, I suspect this one will be close, and give me the home 'dog here, even though I think Green Bay will win.
- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.
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