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November 06, 2016

Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:

Tennessee Titans +4.5 over San Diego Chargers (2 Units)

The Titans have won three of four straight up and Marcus Mariota has completed 68.75 percent of his pass attempts for 8.47 Y/A over that stretch with a 10:1 TD-INT ratio. More than anything, however, this is a run-dominant offense. As great as DeMarco Murray has been, we finally saw a 1-2 punch from Murray and rookie Derrick Henry last week.

Murray is battling a toe injury, but he is expected to go following full practices on Thursday and Friday. The Chargers have been excellent against the run -- sixth in the NFL in yards per game allowed (86.0) -- but they have allowed 11 rushing scores.

Ultimately, I think the Chargers win this game, but I think the Titans keep this game close (within a field goal).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Los Angeles Rams (3 Units)
Rams vs. Panthers, Under 44.5 (4 units)


Without question, the Panthers are better than their 2-5 record suggests. On the other hand, it isn't all that surprising that the Rams are one game under .500.

The Rams have an offensive DVOA from Football Outsiders of -21.0%, only the Texans are worse. Mostly due to offensive line issues, Todd Gurley is averaging only 3.01 yards per carry on the season. In addition, Case Keenum is coming off a four-INT game and now has more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (eight) thrown.

The Panthers defense is not like the 2015 version, most specifically on the back end. And the Panthers have to travel across the country to face a team coming off their bye. That said, I expect this to a relatively low-scoring Panthers victory. I see the final score being in the 21-13 range for the Panthers so I'll take the under and the Panthers to cover.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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November 05, 2016

Week 9 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Donte Moncrief is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, Jarvis Landry and Moncrief and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Jarvis -- and in turn, bench Moncrief.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianpolis Colts (at GB)

When a player returns from a multi-game absence, I usually take a wait-and-see approach. With Moncrief playing the majority of snaps and getting nine targets (25.71-percent target share) in his return, there is absolutely no hesitation this week.

With a rare combination of size (6-2, 222) and athleticism (4.40 forty and 39.5-inch vertical at Combine), Moncrief has been especially productive in the red zone when Andrew Luck is healthy. As I noted in our Week 9 DFS Round Table post, he has seven touchdowns in 10 games that both he and Luck have played.

Facing a banged-up Packers secondary as TD underdogs in a game that should be a shootout, Moncrief has plenty of upside. The Packers have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. NYJ)

Landry is almost never a "sit," but he has finished outside the top-24 weekly fantasy receivers in each of his past four games played. Peppered with double-digit targets in each of the first four weeks of the season, Landry has only 20 total targets in his past three games.

One of the main reasons for the drop in targets has been the success of the running game led by Jay Ajayi. While Ajayi is coming off back-to-back 200-yard rushing games, the Jets have a stingy run defense and generous pass defense.

The Jets have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. In addition to Landry, both DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills are upside plays as the Jets have been highly susceptible to big plays.

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (vs. IND)

Whether you view/list him as a running back or a wide receiver, Montgomery is expected to play this week and barring a surprise inactive status, he should be in your starting lineup wherever he fits.

Montgomery sat out last week, but before that, he had 20 receptions on 25 targets for 164 yards plus 12 carries for 66 yards in his previous two games combined. Especially if Randall Cobb (hamstring) is unable to go, Montgomery will get a massive usage rate this week.

In addition, Montgomery gets a favorable matchup against a bad Colts run defense. They have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (at SF)

Not listed on the injury report, Thomas will be ready to go for a favorable matchup against the 49ers. While his weekly volume of targets has fluctuated a bit, the rookie is averaging 7.86 per game with two games of double-digit targets over his past five.

During that five-game span, Thomas has finished as the weekly WR13, WR21, WR12, WR8 and WR34, respectively. Thomas has a minimum of four catches in every game this season and more than 55 yards in all but one.


Week 9 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

The last time Jones finished as a weekly top-24 wide receiver, it was September -- Week 3 (at Packers). Granted, Jones went off for 6/205/2 and finished as the top-scoring fantasy wide receiver that week. Since then, however, he has finished as the weekly WR37, WR26, WR39, WR27 and WR64, respectively.

After getting 29 targets in the first three weeks of the season, Jones has 30 targets in the past five games. In those first three games, Jones had a target share of 27.03%, 28.21% and 20.00%, respectively. In his past five games, he's reached the 20-percent mark only once.

Jones is ranked inside my top-30 fantasy wide receivers this week, but he is outside of my top-24. Perhaps November will be more like September for Jones, but the Lions are projected to be the lowest-scoring team of the week based on implied totals from Vegas.

WR - Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX)

Like Jones, Maclin is inside my top-30 receivers but outside my top-24 for the week. Maclin saw double-digit targets last week and he scored a touchdown for the first time since the opener. But he barely finished the week as a top-24 wideout (WR24) in Week 8. Maclin now has less than 50 yards in three consecutive games and four of his past five.

Given that the Chiefs are big home favorites, we should see a lot of Charcandrick West this week, which could lead to fewer targets for Maclin. In addition, Jalen Ramsey should spend most of the game shadowing Maclin.

WR - Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Hurns was productive with 7/98/1 on 11 targets last week and now has 11 targets in two of his past three games. While there should be some garbage-time opportunities this week, Blake Bortles has played too poorly this season to trust Hurns in an unfavorable matchup.

WR - Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO)

Productive in his first game with Colin Kaepernick, Smith had just one catch for 17 yards on two targets before his bye. Smith now has 1.7 fantasy points in four of seven games this season and two or fewer targets in three of his past four games. Even with a great matchup against the Saints, Smith is nothing more than a dice roll regardless of which quarterback is under center.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

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Week 9 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Theo Riddick is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Ezekiel Elliott, DeMarco Murray and Riddick and can only start two running backs, you should start Zeke and Murray -- and in turn, bench Riddick.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

After missing a pair of games, Riddick returned in Week 8 and set or tied season highs in carries (11), rushing yards (56), receptions (eight), targets (11) and receiving yards (77). Not only did he have a season-high 78.57 percent of the carries, but it was only the second time this season that he was above 50 percent.

In addition, he now has at least 26 percent of the team's targets in each of his past two games. While he's better in PPR formats, Riddick has now finished as a top-four weekly fantasy running back (standard scoring) in three of six games this season.

This week's matchup isn't great, as the Vikings allow the 13th-fewest fantasy points to the position and the Lions are projected to be the lowest-scoring team this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

That said, the Vikings allow the second-highest Y/R (11.18) to opposing running backs. Given Riddick's abilities and involvement as a receiver, he's a fringe top-12 fantasy running back this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (at OAK)

Even before C.J. Anderson landed on Injured Reserve, Booker's role in the offense was expanding. Now that CJA is done for the year, Booker should rank near the top of the league in touches the rest of the way.

In his first game without Anderson, Booker had 19 carries for a pedestrian 54 yards and a lost fumble, but he scored a touchdown and added five catches for 30 yards. The Broncos go on the road to Oakland this week, and it's a top-10 matchup for Booker and the Broncos running backs this week.

RB - Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX)

No Jamaal Charles. No Spencer Ware. Lots of Charcandrick West.

ESPN's Adam Teicher referenced West's 24 carries and 110 rushing yards in two different games last season by writing "[k]eep those numbers ready for easy reference." In other words, it's possible that he gets more work and more yards against the Jaguars this Sunday.

The Jags have been middle of the road in terms of fantasy production allowed to opposing running backs, but this is a great spot for West. The Chiefs are more than touchdown favorites at home this week.

- Related: West was 'drafted' to our DraftKings tournament lineup

RB - Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints (at SF)

An intended one-quarter punishment turned into Ingram sitting on the pine for the rest of the game. After a losing a fumble, his second in as many games, Ingram watched as Tim Hightower shouldered the load (26/102) against the Seahawks. Even when getting work, Ingram has not been efficient -- career-low average of 3.81 yards per carry -- this season.

That said, this matchup is so good and with six teams are on bye, both Ingram and Hightower are potential starts. Or stated differently, both are inside of my top-24 fantasy running backs for Week 9.

No team has allowed more fantasy points or yards per carry (5.33) to opposing running backs this season. Before their Week 8 bye, the 49ers allowed a 100-yard rusher in six consecutive games. Those six RBs have a total of 131/795/8 (6.07 YPC) rushing, 12/94 receiving and an average of 22.48 fantasy points per game. (That excludes any production from teammates of the six 100-yard rushers.)

Only the Packers are projected to score more points this week and as long as Ingram doesn't fumble, both backs should get work and be productive. In fact, if either were guaranteed the lion's share of the work, they would be a top-five back for the week.


Week 9 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (at NYG)

This season, Mathews has three games with 15-plus touches and four games with 10 or fewer including just five touches last week against the Cowboys. Fortunately for his fantasy owners, Mathews scored a touchdown despite managing only 11 yards from scrimmage. That helped to salvage an otherwise poor performance.

The Giants have allowed 3.76 YPC to opposing running backs, ninth-lowest in the NFL, and Mathews has more than one target in only one game this season. Given his inconsistent yet declining role and lack of passing-game involvement, Mathews is a sit even in a week with six teams on bye.

In turn, teammate Darren Sproles is inside my top-24 fantasy running backs and worth consideration as a "start" this week.

RB - Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Over the past two weeks, Ivory and Yeldon have each had seven touches or less in both games. In a game where the Jags are projected to score the second-fewest points (based on Vegas odds), both backs remain too unreliable to start. If you were desperate, I'd prefer Yeldon over Ivory since he should be more involved as a receiver and the Jags are more than touchdown underdogs and often playing in garbage time. But again, the preference is to continue to sit both.

RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (vs. DET)

Asiata has 16-plus touches in three consecutive games, but Jerick McKinnon is expected to return this week. The team has significant issues on their offensive line and neither back has been efficient -- 3.226 YPC for Asiata and 3.191 YPC for McKinnon.

Even though the Lions are allowing 4.71 YPC to opposing running backs on the season, they have been better recently. From Weeks 1 to 4, they allowed a pair of 100-yard rushers (Eddie Lacy and Jordan Howard) and an average of 5.05 YPC to opposing running backs. From Weeks 5 to 8, they have limited opposing running backs to just 4.38 YPC. In addition, they have allowed only one touchdown on 167 carries (a league-low 0.60% of rush attempts) over the course of the entire season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 9 DFS Resources:

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Week 9 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Colin Kaepernick is listed below as a "start" for Week 9. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 9 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Aaron Rodgers and Kaepernick, you should start Rodgers -- and in turn, bench Kaep.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 9 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (at CLE)

Over the past five games, Prescott has finished the week as a top-12 fantasy quarterback four times with a QB13 finish being the lone exception. In addition, Prescott has scored a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points every week since Week 2.

While Prescott has yet to throw for 300 yards in a game, he has thrown a total of five touchdowns in back-to-back games against the Packers and Eagles. And even though he is unlikely to post gaudy passing stats in any game this season, the return of Dez Bryant (knee) last week gives him a full complement of passing-game weapons at his disposal.

More than anything, his dual-threat ability boosts his floor. Prescott has rushed for a touchdown in four of his past six games. Even though the Cowboys are on the road this week, only the Packers and Saints are projected to score more points than the Cowboys this week, based on Vegas odds.

Last but not least, the Browns have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO)

Kaepernick has been brutal as a passer -- 46.03 completion percentage and 5.24 Y/A. While he's started just two games, he has thrown for only 187 and 143 yards against the Bills and Buccaneers, respectively. As a rusher, however, he is averaging 8.82 YPC and 75 rushing yards per game.

In a matchup against Drew Brees where neither defense offers much resistance, Kaepernick has plenty of upside this weekend. Even though the 49ers are home underdogs, they are still projected to score the ninth-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

- Related: Kaepernick is QB of our collaborative DraftKings tournament lineup

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (at SD)

The past four games have gone differently for Mariota than have his first four games.

In his first four games, Mariota threw four touchdowns and five interceptions, averaged only 11.55 fantasy points per game and he finished outside of the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks every week. In his past four games, Mariota has thrown 10 touchdowns to only one interception, rushed for 149 yards and a touchdown and has finished as a QB11 or better in all four games.

Mariota's efficiency has also been much better over the past month. Over his past four games, he has completed 68.75 percent of his pass attempts for 8.47 Y/A, which compares to 58.82 percent for 6.80 Y/A in his first four games.

While the Titans would like to use a run-heavy game plan against the Chargers, there are underdogs on the road so hopefully that leads to a few extra pass attempts for Mariota.

Week 9 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. DEN)

Sure, it's hard to put a guy that threw for more than 500 yards and four touchdowns the previous week on your bench. And Carr has been playing extremely well this season. On the year, only Matt Ryan and Andrew Luck have scored more fantasy points among quarterbacks.

So far this season, Carr has either finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback (five times) or as a QB20 or worse (three times). Based on my rankings (QB14), this will be the first time that he finishes in between QB9-19.

Despite facing plenty of top quarterbacks -- Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers (twice), etc., the Broncos have allowed only three 200-yard games (out of eight played). The only quarterback to finish as a top-16 fantasy quarterback was Newton, who rushed for 54 yards and a touchdown in Week 1.

Since Week 2, the Broncos have limited all opposing quarterbacks to less than 15 fantasy points in every game and an average of 11.0/G. Opposing quarterbacks complete only 53.52 percent of their pass attempts for an average of 5.7 Y/A, both of which are league lows.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

Not quite Denver's defense, but the Vikings have actually limited opposing quarterbacks to the fewest fantasy points per game this season. They allow 12.22/G compared to 12.27/G for Denver. No quarterback has finished as a top-12 quarterback against them this season.

Like Carr, Stafford has had several strong performances -- five top-10 weekly finishes -- and a few not-so-strong performances -- three weeks at QB19 or worse. Based on implied totals using Vegas odds, no team is projected to score fewer points this week than the Lions.

In a week where some lesser fantasy quarterbacks (Prescott, Kaepernick, etc.) have more favorable matchups, Stafford is a sit for me this week.

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (at KC)

Whereas the Lions are projected to score the fewest points this week, the Jaguars are projected to score the second-fewest (tied with Buffalo). One of the biggest problems with the Jaguars (aside from Bortles in general) is their inability to score points early. The Jags rank dead last in the NFL in first-half scoring (6.7/G).

There is always the chance that Bortles puts up some fantasy points in garbage time as Jacksonville ranks fourth in fourth-quarter scoring (9.3/G), but he has taken a major step back this season. Bortles led the NFL in interceptions thrown (18) last season, but he's currently on pace to throw even more (20.6).

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (at SEA)

Since Week 2, Taylor has finished as a top-15 fantasy quarterback every week. Even though he has thrown for less than 200 yards in five games this season, Taylor has 319 rushing yards and three touchdowns. In other words, he avearges 6.24 fantasy points per game due to his rushing stats alone.

Even though the Seahawks have allowed an average of 300.75 passing yards per game over their past four, it's hard to trust Taylor in such a tough matchup with such a poor group of weapons. Speaking of his weapons, it's at least an interesting story that Percy Harvin has "unretired" and his first game back in the NFL will be against his former team.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 9

Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 9 DFS Resources:

More of our content and resources:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle

Continue reading "Week 9 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em" »


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November 04, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 9

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 9 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NO), $5,600
RB - Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (at CLE), $7,700
RB - Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX), $4,400
WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at GB), $5,800
WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at OAK), $6,300
WR - Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (vs. CAR), $4,400
TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (vs. DET), $4,000
FLEX - Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BAL), $7,700
DST - Kansas City Chiefs (vs. JAX), $3,500


Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Charcandrick West, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: This pick hinges on Spencer Ware’s status. As of Wednesday, he has not passed the concussion protocol, and I think there is a very good chance he isn't able to go. Jamaal Charles was recently put on the IR as well, so that leaves West as the only cook in the kitchen. West could be that free square you need to pay up for some of the other high-priced studs on this slate. The matchup vs. Jacksonville is very good as well. I would expect 20-plus touches for West and close to a lock for at least 3X value on Sunday.

Comments by Kevin: Assuming that Ware (concussion) is inactive, West will be heavily-owned this week. That would be the only thing to dislike. Especially with Ware and Charles out, West could easily get 20-plus touches with the Chiefs being more than a TD home favorites. In other words, he should easily exceed value and he has the upside to finish with 100-plus yards and a score.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: When a player returns from a multi-game absence, I usually take a wait-and-see approach. With Moncrief playing the majority of snaps and getting nine targets (25.71-percent target share) in his return, there is no hesitation this week. As I noted our DFS Round Table post, Moncrief has seven touchdowns in 10 games that both he and Andrew Luck have played. Facing a banged-up Packers secondary as TD underdogs in a game that should be a shootout, Moncrief has plenty of upside.

Comments by Sean: Moncrief is going to be extremely popular this week. I think he will be one of the top-five guys owned in GPPs this week. The Colts are 7.5-point dogs on the road here, and this game has a 54-point total. Green Bay’s run defense is stout, so I could see Luck throwing the ball 50 times in this one. I expect T.Y. Hilton to play, but he was not himself with that hamstring injury last week. Moncrief should see double-digit targets, and I think he will have over 100 yards receiving.

3. Sean - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Play TEs vs. the Lions. It's worked pretty much every week. Rudolph is a red-zone machine. He currently sees almost 40 percent of his team's targets inside the red zone. Inside the 10-yard line, it jumps to 57 percent. Sam Bradford and the Vikings offense hasn't looked great the past few weeks, but I think this offense gets healthy this week. I think Rudolph will outscore every other TE on this slate.

Comments by Kevin: After getting 24.24%, 26.67% and 35.71% target share in the first three games, respectively, Rudolph has less than 20% target share in three of his past four games. One concern with Rudolph is that he stays in to block because the team has serious issues on the offensive line. If he becomes more involved as a pass-catcher than he has recently, though, this is the matchup to exploit -- no team allows more fantasy points or touchdowns (eight, so far) to opposing tight ends than the Lions.

4. Kevin - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick has been brutal as a passer -- 46.03 completion percentage and 5.24 Y/A. As a rusher, however, he is averaging 8.82 YPC and 75 rushing yards per game. In a matchup against Drew Brees where neither defense offers much resistance, Kaepernick has as much upside as any quarterback this weekend. Even though the 49ers are home underdogs, they are still projected to score the ninth-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

Comments by Sean: I like Kaepernick enough for cash game consideration this week. Kaepernick has just as a good chance in getting the scoring bonus with his legs as his arm, which makes him very dangerous in tournaments. The Saints defense is bad, and so is the 49ers, which should lead to a lot of points in this one. The only real complement play I like with Kaepernick this week is Carlos Hyde, but I probably will play him naked in most of my lineups.

5. Sean - Kansas City Chiefs DST: Not paying up for Denver last weekend was a big mistake. I had exposure to about eight different cheap defenses around 10% last week and Denver at only 4%. Defense is a crap shoot, but this Jacksonville team is pretty atrocious. The Chiefs are one of my favorite teams to target when they are at home as they have one of the best home-field advantages in football. Hot take: KC D/ST has more TDs than Blake Bortles this week.

Comments by Kevin: The Jags have fired their offensive coordinator, but they still have Blake Bortles under center. Outside of garbage time, Bortles has been awful. Jacksonville ranks last in the NFL in first-half scoring (6.7 PPG), but fourth in fourth-quarter scoring (9.3 PPG). In other words, the Jags could be forced into obvious passing downs early in the game. And even though he doesn't have a return touchdown (yet), Tyreek Hill is one of the game's more dangerous returners.

6. Kevin - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Like with West, the only thing to dislike about Elliott is the likelihood of high ownership this Sunday. Not only has Elliott averaged nearly 25 touches per game (24.86/G), but he has a total of 810 YFS in his past five games. The Browns have allowed the fifth-most PPR points per game to opposing running backs. Only the Saints (13) have allowed TDs to running backs than the Browns (12), who have also allowed the sixth-most yards per carry (4.74) to running backs. This could be a 150-yard, two-TD type of game.

Comments by Sean: These first six plays are all plays I am really considering for my main cash lineup this week. We have seen cash type lineups win major tournaments before, so I don't think firing a heavy cash core is a bad idea in GPPs. Zeke is my favorite player to pay up for this week. He has an elite matchup vs. the Browns. I could see Zeke exploding for a 40-point week. I will be all over the Dallas rookie this week.

7. Sean - Kenny Britt, WR, Los Angeles Rams: This pick is contrarian — not stupid! I think the Panthers offense is back, and I love this spot against an overrated Rams team. This pick is solely based on how I think this game plays out. Panthers get up big, and the Rams are forced to play catch up. The Panthers secondary is among one of the worst in the league, and we have seen Britt explode already once this year.

Comments by Kevin: I like the Britt call. Even in the Rams low-powered offense, Britt has 33/535/2 on 48 targets this season. That puts him on pace for over 1,200 yards. With four-plus catches in all but one game and 67-plus yards in five of seven, Britt's production shouldn't kill this team and there is some upside in a game with a favorable matchup where they will likely need to play catch up.

8. Kevin - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: Sanders has eight-plus targets in all but one game and double-digit targets in three games this season. In a soft matchup against the Raiders, both he and Demaryius Thomas have the potential for big games. Thomas has a bigger name, and lower price, so I'd expect him to have higher ownership, but Sanders (27.99%) actually has a higher target share than Thomas (23.88%).

Comments by Sean: The Oakland defense had played well vs. Mike Evans and Allen Robinson this year, but they are both big lanky WRs. That's the DT role in Denver. Against smaller WRs like Brandin Cooks and Steve Smith, they have struggled. I think Manny could have a big game here. I love this pick.

9. Sean - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger is on track to play this week. Bell should be priced around $9K with a healthy Big Ben. I think this is the week to play a Ben/Antonio/Bell stack, before the pricing is $2-3K higher. I also love the Zeke/Bell combo in tournaments as I also think you could get a combined 6 TDs between the two.

Comments by Sean: The Ravens run defense is no joke, but Bell is such a versatile back that he's matchup-proof. While he should still get 15-18 carries, there is the potential that he also gets 8-10 receptions. In a full-PPR site like DraftKings, that is huge. In fact, Bell has at least 20-percent target share in every game and a total of 31 targets in the past three games.

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November 02, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 9

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 9?

Sean Beazley: Devontae Booker, RB, Denver Broncos ($6,400)

One play that I really like this week is Devontae Booker. I was 100% Booker last week in GPPs and I'll have a very large chunk of him this week as well. The fact that Denver relied on him so much even after sustaining an injury in the first quarter, and fumbling the ball again is really telling. Booker could have had a three-touchdown game last week. (Thompson vulture.)

This week he gets another great matchup against the Raiders, and it's the Sunday night hammer! Booker should see another game with around 25 touches and I like his chances to crush value this week. There are a lot of RBs in great matchups this week, so I think ownership should be somewhat low as well. I think Booker will have around 30 DK points this week. Fire him up!

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts ($5,800)

Returning from a five-game absence, Moncrief had four catches for 41 yards and a touchdown on nine targets in Week 8. A 40-yard score was called back, so he could have been even more productive in his return, but it was highly encouraging to see a 25.71-percent target share in his first game back.

Many (including me) expected a third-year breakout from the talented 23-year-old receiver out of Mississippi. With an ideal combination of size (6'2"/222) and speed (4.4 forty), Moncrief has flourished in the red zone when Andrew Luck has been healthy. In the 10 games that both have played over the past two seasons, Moncrief has a total of seven touchdowns.

With T.Y. Hilton battling a hamstring injury, Moncrief could once again see a large target share in a matchup against a depleted Packers secondary. In a game with this week's highest Vegas over/under, Moncrief has plenty of upside.

Brendan Donahue: Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($3,900)

Head coach Doug Pederson pretty much confirmed what we already suspected by watching the Eagles game Sunday night that Darren Sproles is now the lead back in Philadelphia. Not only did Sproles get roughly 80 percent of the offensive snaps on the night, he got the ball 20 times to only five for Ryan Mathews and that was even with the lead for the majority of the game. If Sproles is going to continue to get this kind of time and usage, he is a steal at only $3,900 on Draftkings this week.

John Trifone: Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams, WRs, Green Bay Packers ($5,800/$5,900)

The Packers have changed up their offense lately to a more dink-and-dunk recipe to move the ball. In the past two weeks, Aaron Rodgers has attempted 94 pass attempts and has seven TDs and zero interceptions. If Ty Montgomery is a go this week, which I expect he will be, he is an incredible value at $5,800 against a bad Colts defense. It should be an up tempo-paced game and Montgomery will serve as a part-time RB and short pass receiver.

Montgomery missed this past week, but got 25 targets over Weeks 6-7. Davante Adams got 30 targets over Weeks 7-8. I think both options are safe plays, even together, with solid upsides for both. Even if neither get in the end zone, they should still pay off their mid-range price tags based on the volume they're receiving. If both play, I prefer Montgomery, but Adams is a fine play as well.

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November 01, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (42 percent)

On Halloween, Coleman (hand) gave his fantasy owners a "treat," so to speak, as he was cleared to practice in full. In other words, Coleman, the 15th-overall pick and first wide receiver selected in the 2016 NFL Draft, is expected return in Week 9 against the Cowboys. Coleman has missed every game since Week 2, but the ex-Baylor Bear is an explosive playmaker that had 2/69 and 5/104/2 in his only two games played.

2. Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (50 percent)

With back-to-back 100-yard games, Crowder set season highs with nine catches and 13 targets in Week 8. In addition, he scored a touchdown for the fourth time this season. Beginning with Week 2, Crowder has finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver and scored nine-plus fantasy points in six of seven games. Crowder and the Redskins have a Week 9 bye following their cross-atlantic trip to London, but it wouldn't surprise me if he continues to be the team's most productive fantasy receiver the rest of the way.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

3. Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (45 percent)

Enunwa has now scored in back-to-back games, he set a three-game high in receptions (four) and a season high in yards (93). He also tied his season high in targets (11). In a favorable matchup against the Dolphins, Enunwa could be in store for another productive outing, especially considering six teams are on bye.

4. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (six percent)

In the team's past three games, Wright has had two big outings -- 8/133/1 (19.3 fantasy points, weekly WR7) and 4/84/1 (15.9, WR6). While Wright had just five targets last week, that equated to 21.74 percent of the team's total. In a run-dominant offense, it's unlikely that we can trust any of the team's receivers as anything more than a WR3, but Wright should lead the group the rest of the way.

5. Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (39 percent)

Second on the team in target share behind Tavon Austin (27.35%), Britt (20.51%) had just three catches (on eight targets) for 43 yards against the Giants before the bye. Through seven games, Britt is averaging 4.71/76.43/0.29 on 6.86 targets per game. Only 28 years old, the former first-round pick is on pace for 76 catches for 1,223 yards this season.

The team's quarterback play, run-heavy philosophy and lack of scoring opportunities will limit Britt's upside, but he should be a solid, if not spectacular, option for the remainder of the season. And depending on your bye-week situations, Britt could make for an excellent streamer with the Panthers, Jets, Dolphins and Saints on the schedule over the next month.

6. Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers (42 percent)

Coates has just one catch for four yards on five targets in the past two games and he suffered a hand injury prior to the bye. Especially once Ben Roethlisberger (knee) returns, Coates has WR3 upside as a vertical threat in the passing offense. In the first five games of the season, Coates had 19 catches for 421 yards (22.2 Y/R).

7. Brian Quick, Los Angeles Rams (seven percent)

Even though he has exceeded 20-percent target share in only one game this season, Quick has been productive and consistent with five consecutive games of more than 50 receiving yards. During that five-game stretch, he has a total of 326 yards and three touchdowns including a 4/92 stat line in Week 7.

Due to volume of targets, I'd prefer Britt over Quick, but it's close. And as noted above, the duo has an extremely favorable schedule with the Panthers, Jets, Dolphins and Saints on deck. In fact, only the Dolphins and Chargers wide receivers have a more favorable fantasy strength of schedule the rest of the way.

8. Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (five percent)

There was talk earlier in the season about getting Green-Beckham more involved in the offense and he had a season-high nine targets in Week 8. In fact, it was more than double what he had in any other game as an Eagle. As a big-bodied receiver with an expanding role, DGB is worth adding as bench stash. It's a little too early to trust that he will see nine targets per week, however.

9. Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (24 percent)

Matthews has 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown -- and at least eight fantasy points -- in four of his past five games. That's the good news. The bad news is that he has four or fewer targets in four of those games, coincidentally the ones in which he had nine-plus fantasy points. Without a boost in volume, however, it's unlikely that he continues his recent run of solid production. As noted above, I'd prefer Wright over any other Titans receiver.

10. Jeff Janis, Green Bay Packers (two percent)

With Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery both out on Sunday, Janis had four catches for 30 yards and a touchdown. While he is a physical freak, he has never seemed to earn the trust of either Aaron Rodgers or the coaching staff. But if his offensive involvement continues to expand (probably unlikely, though), he has plenty of upside.

11. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (three percent)

While he's one of the smallest receivers in the league, Hill is a big play waiting to happen. Finishing as the WR5 in Week 8, Hill had five catches for 98 yards and a touchdown and added a seven-yard run. There's always the potential for him to return one to the house (currently second in punt return average and eighth in kickoff return average), but Hill has been involved as both a runner (six carries) and a receiver (19/223/4) this season. Even so, he's more of a deep-league consideration in Kansas City's low-volume pass offense.

12. Cordarrelle Patterson, Minnesota Vikings (12 percent)

Patterson has three-plus catches in four consecutive games, but he has less than 40 yards in all but one of those outings. In a favorable matchup against the Lions in Week 9, there is some reason for optimism. But the overall lack of volume and his place in line for targets behind (at least) Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph would make him a very risky start in any week.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (48 percent)

Going into the season, it was expected that DeMarco Murray and Henry would form a 1-2 "exotic smashmouth" backfield that would wear down opposing defenses. Instead, Murray has run away (literally) with the job. Murray a minimum of 18 touches and 12.5 fantasy points in all eight games with an average of 23.5 touches and 17.66 fantasy points per contest. Only Arizona's David Johnson has scored more fantasy points among running backs this season.

In Week 8, however, Henry finally got a sizable share of the workload. Henry had more touches (20) last week than he had in his previous four games combined (15). The big bruising back carried the ball 16 times for 60 yards and a score while adding four catches for 37 yards.

While it would be unrealistic to expect many more 20-touch games as long as both Murray and Henry are healthy, it's possible that his role becomes more fantasy-relevant the rest of the way. Over the next four weeks, the Titans will face the Chargers, Packers, Colts and Bears. San Diego and Indianapolis both rank among the six-most fantasy-friendly defenses to running backs this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Charcandrick West, Kansas City Chiefs (nine percent)

Spencer Ware left Sunday's game with a concussion and Jamaal Charles (knee) was inactive last week so West finished Sunday with 14 carries for 52 yards and two catches for eight yards. Depending on how Ware progresses through the concussion protocol, it's possible that West ends up starting against the Jaguars in Week 9. Based on early odds, the Chiefs are nearly double-digit home favorites (-9), which sets up for a run-dominant game script for West and the Chiefs.

3. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots (33 percent)

The Patriots are on bye in Week 9, but perhaps Lewis returns following the bye. Lewis returned to practice last week and the Patriots will have up to 21 days to activate him from the PUP list.

At least initially, the biggest fantasy impact of the move would be to hurt the outlook of James White as opposed to being able to trust Lewis as a starter. That said, he has shown how good he could be when healthy and with Tom Brady under center.

4. Rob Kelley, Washington Redskins (35 percent)

With Matt Jones (knee) sidelined in Week 8, Jones led Washington's backfield with 21 carries for 87 yards and a score. Before Jones missed Week 8, he had lost a fumble in two of his previous three games and was essentially benched in Week 7. But it's unclear how much of the workload Kelley would have received in Week 8 if all three of the team's primary backs (Kelley, Jones and Chris Thompson) were healthy.

In games that Jones can't play, however, Kelley should get the bulk of the early-down work with Thompson maintaining a change-of-pace role. The Redskins are on bye in Week 9 and then get a pair of challenging matchups following their bye against the Vikings and Packers. Then again, Jordan Howard just racked up 200-plus yards from scrimmage and a touchdown against the Vikings defense on Monday Night Football.

5. Antone Smith, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (one percent)

Playing on a short week, it's likely that the Buccaneers will be without their top-three running backs as Jacquizz Rodgers left Sunday's game late with a foot injury. Tampa Bay Times writer Greg Auman tweeted it's "[s]afe to say" that Rodgers won't play on Thursday.

Considering that Smith had more snaps and touches than Peyton Barber on Sunday, it's reasonable that Smith gets the majority of touches in a plus matchup this Thursday night. The Falcons have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

6. Bilal Powell, New York Jets (37 percent)

After getting 21 receptions over a four-game stretch, Powell has only one reception in his past two games. Thanks to a long touchdown run, however, Powell had a nice fantasy performance in Week 8 with 6/76/1 rushing and 13.9 fantasy points.

Meanwhile, Matt Forte has had massive workloads in each of the past two games with 34 touches in Week 7 and 27 in Week 8. In those two games, Forte has 55/182/3 rushing (3.31 YPC) and 6/70/1 receiving. I'd expect Powell to become more involved as a receiver once again, but he's at least worth a stash/handcuff for Forte owners.

7. Tim Hightower, New Orleans Saints (five percent)

A fumble by Mark Ingram led to a massive workload for Hightower, who carried the ball 26 times for 102 yards against the Seahawks on Sunday. How much of that was a one-game statement to Ingram? We'll see, but Payton said that Hightower will "definitely" get more carries going forward. Depending on his Week 9 workload, there is plenty of upside against the NFL's most fantasy-friendly defense (49ers) to opposing running backs this week.

8. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (12 percent)

Dixon began his NFL career on the sidelines with a knee injury and he has been far less than spectacular since making his debut a few weeks ago. In his three NFL games, Dixon has six carries for 10 yards (1.67 YPC) and three catches for six yards (2.0 Y/A). He's even seen one less touch per game -- four to three to two, respectively.

That said, Dixon is much more talented than his production suggests. Not only was the team high on him when they selected him in the fourth round of this year's draft, so was I. Apparently, the plan remains to get him more involved in the offense.

Over the next three weeks, the Ravens get the Steelers, Browns and Cowboys.

9. C.J. Prosise, Seattle Seahawks (two percent)

Prosise broke the 100-yard mark with four carries for 23 yards and four catches for 80 yards. It's unlikely that he repeats that production at any point with Thomas Rawls set to return in a couple of weeks, but he is at least worth monitoring.

10. Don Jackson, Green Bay Packers (five percent)

If you're absolutely desperate, Jackson may be worth a look. Through two games, Jackson has managed only 16 yards on six carries (2.67 YPC), but the team cut Knile Davis and Ty Montgomery may not be available again this week either. The matchup is favorable against the Colts, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, although it wouldn't be a surprise if Aaron Rodgers once again led the team in rushing.

11. Kapri Bibbs, Denver Broncos (seven percent)

It seems likely that Devontae Booker (shoulder) will be ready to go for Week 9, but the rookie running back will go through some more tests on Monday. Bibbs had next to nothing (two carries for four yards) on Sunday, but the Broncos face the Raiders and Saints over the next two weeks and could have some value if Booker isn't cleared for whatever reason.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (22 percent)

With Jay Ajayi running for 200-plus yards in back-to-back games, Tannehill has thrown the ball 25 times or less for 204 yards or less in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, he has averaged 209 passing yards per game and thrown more interceptions (three) than touchdowns (two).

That said, Tannehill gets a favorable matchup in Week 9 against the Jets, who have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. The recent lack of volume is a concern for Tannehill's outlook, but the Jets have a stout run defense so Ajayi shouldn't run for another 200-yard game.

In a week with six quarterbacks (Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, Andy Dalton, etc.) on bye, Tannehill makes for a decent streamer this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 9 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (42 percent)

Smith exited Sunday's game against the Colts twice to be checked for a concussion and ruled out after the second time. Aside from the concussion, the other concern with Smith in any week is the potential for the Chiefs to call a run-heavy game plan that limits his upside.

If he's cleared in time for Week 9, he gets a favorable matchup against the Jaguars, who have allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. As nearly double-digit home favorites (-9), however, there is the potential for the Chiefs to dial up run plays more than Smith drops back to pass.

After this week, Smith gets two even better matchups against the Panthers and Buccaneers, both of whom are among the seven most fantasy-friendly defenses to fantasy quarterbacks this season.

3. Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (30 percent)

If you need a spot starter, Fitzpatrick is a viable streamer. While he didn't post gaudy statistics against the Browns, he has now thrown 48 pass attempts over the past two games with no interceptions. The Jets are small road underdogs (-3.5) in Miami and we could see a higher volume of attempts this week.

Considering he was benched once already for Geno Smith, it's possible that Fitzpatrick gets benched again in favor of the young quarterbacks on their roster if the season is completely lost. Despite the difficult schedule to begin the season, Fitzpatrick gets a more favorable schedule from here on out as the Jets quarterbacks have the sixth-most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule.

4. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (23 percent)

Here's the good news: Flacco has thrown 44-plus pass attempts in four consecutive games and 40-plus pass attempts in six straight. The bad news is that the pass offense has been terribly inefficient. Flacco has just two passing touchdowns in his past five games and is averaging just 13.25 fantasy points per game this season.

In Week 9, Flacco and the Ravens face the Steelers, who have allowed four top-12 weekly performances over the past six weeks. In Week 10, Flacco faces the winless Browns, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position this season.

5. Trevor Siemian, Denver Broncos (12 percent)

Siemian has finished as the weekly QB1 (Week 3), QB17 (Week 6) and outside the top-20 fantasy quarterbacks in every other game he has played. Siemian has thrown twice as many touchdowns (eight) as interceptions (four), but he is averaging only 6.95 yards per attempt. With that said, he is a fringe top-12 fantasy quarterback with a pair of top-10 matchups against the Raiders and Saints the next two weeks.

6. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (7 percent)

In two starts, Kaepernick has completed only 46.03 percent of his past attempts at 5.24 Y/A. In those same two games, however, he has rushed 17 times for 150 yards (8.82 YPC). While he may not throw for 300-plus yards, his Week 9 matchup against the Saints lends itself to posting a big fantasy day.

7. Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings (16 percent)

Many of the bottom-tier fantasy quarterbacks have favorable matchups in Week 9 and Bradford is one of them. Bradford has completed 66.5 percent of his pass attempts with an 8-to-1 TD-INT ratio, but the Vikings rank just 26th in pass-play percentage. Not only does Bradford get the Lions, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but the Lions have been particularly vulnerable to defending tight ends. Considering how often Bradford targets Kyle Rudolph, that bolsters his fantasy appeal as a streamer in Week 9.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 9

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October 30, 2016

Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 8 NFL picks against the spread:

Atlanta Falcons -3 over Green Bay Packers (3 Units)

Both Eddie Lacy and James Starks are out and while they may get more from Knile Davis and/or Don Jackson, we should see a pass-heavy approach from the Packers. Over the past season and a half, Aaron Rodgers hasn't been himself and it appears that he will be without Randall Cobb on Sunday. Meanwhile, I expect Desmond Trufant to shadow Jordy Nelson, who only had one reception last week in a game that three Green Bay receivers had double-digit receptions.

On the other side of the ball, the Falcons will be without Tevin Coleman and I think that is an issue as their dynamic backfield duo of Devonta Freeman and Coleman creates mismatches for opposing defenses. But Matt Ryan is playing the best football of his career and the Packers top-three cornerbacks will be out. Stopping (or slowing down) Julio Jones seems like an impossible task.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Carolina Panthers -3 over Arizona Cardinals (3 Units)

One year after posting a 15-1 regular-season record and getting to the Super Bowl, it's been a brutal start to the season for the Panthers (1-5). Like the Panthers, the Cardinals have disappointed compared to last season and preseason expectations. I certainly have some concerns about the Panthers on the back end even though Carson Palmer has not played as well this season. But after tying the Seahawks in a 6-6 defensive slugfest last Sunday night, the Cardinals face a well-rested Panthers team coming off their bye. I'll give the points as I expect the Panthers to get their second win of the season this week.

New York Jets -2.5 over Cleveland Browns (3 Units)

The Jets are bad, worse than anyone expected going into the season, but part of their struggles can be attributed to their brutal schedule to open the season. Of course, the other part is largely due to Ryan Fitzpatrick's propensity to turn the ball over.

That said, the Browns have one of the league's worst defenses and the Jets have the ability to exploit both run and pass matchups. Not only have running backs averaged 4.68 YPC (187/876/7) against them, but only the Panthers (8.64 Y/A) have allowed more yards per attempt than the Browns (8.63 Y/A).

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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October 29, 2016

Week 8 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Michael Crabtree is listed below as a "start" for Week 8. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 8 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Julio Jones, T.Y. Hilton and Crabtree and can only start two receivers, you should start Jones and Hilton -- and in turn, bench Crabtree.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 8:

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (at ATL)

Regardless of whether he's listed/eligible as wide receiver or running back in your league(s), Montgomery is worth a start this week. Due to the injuries in Green Bay's backfield, Montgomery has seen his usage rate skyrocket recently and he's set up for another high volume of work in Week 8.

Getting only two touches in the first four games of the season, Montgomery has exactly 10 receptions in back-to-back games for a total of 164 yards on 25 targets. In addition, he has 12 carries for 66 yards including 9/60 rushing in last week's game. It's certainly possible that Montgomery approaches the 19 touches he had last week once again.

Green Bay's other receivers should benefit from the team's best cornerback, Desmond Trufant, likely shadowing Jordy Nelson as well. For Montgomery, however, his fantasy floor gets a boost from his rushing stats and the matchup (from a fantasy running back standpoint) is outstanding as only six teams, two of whom are on bye, have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Falcons.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at ATL)

Like Montgomery, Cobb got some work as a rusher in Week 7 with five carries for 21 yards. With or without the carries, however, Cobb has been heavily involved in the passing game over the past three weeks.

During that three-game span, Cobb has 9/108/0 (11 targets), 7/53/1 (11 targets) and 11/95/1 (15 targets), respectively. A pass-heavy approach and a few carries gives Cobb a strong fantasy outlook for Week 8.

WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals (at CAR)

Here's the bad news first: Fitzgerald has finished as the weekly WR36 (or worse) in four his past five games. In his other three games, however, he has finished as a top-12 fantasy performer. Compared to the team's other receivers, Fitzgerald is the one for whom we can safely project a steady volume of work.

Not only does he have double-digit targets in four of seven games, but he has a minimum of seven targets in every game this season. On the year, Fitzgerald has 71 targets (10.14/G) and a total of five touchdowns. Fitzgerald has 25.45 percent of the team's targets; no other Cardinals receiver has more than 16.13 percent.

So far this season, the Panthers have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. In their past three games, the Panthers have allowed five receivers to score double-digit fantasy points (standard scoring).

WR - Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (at TB)

With six touchdowns in seven games, Crabtree has been consistent -- nine-plus fantasy points in all but one game. On the year, he has scored the seventh-most fantasy points among receivers. Crabtree has double-digit targets in three of the past five games. Projected to score the sixth-most points based on Vegas odds, both Amari Cooper and Crabtree are ranked inside my top-10 Week 8 fantasy wide receivers.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 8:

WR - Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs (at IND)

It's been a disappointing season for Maclin and his fantasy owners. Through Week 7, Maclin has scored the 52nd-most fantasy points among wide receivers (50th in PPR formats).

Maclin has had some great matchups and yet has finished with less than 50 receiving yards in three of his past four games. Over the past five weeks, Maclin has finished, as follows, in weekly fantasy production: WR46 (at HOU), WR61 (vs. NYJ), WR36 (at PIT), WR56 (at OAK) and WR52 (vs. NO).

The Colts have bled fantasy points to both running backs and tight ends, but they have been stingier against wide receivers -- fifth-fewest FPA to the position. Even though the Chiefs are on the road, this sets up to be Spencer Ware and perhaps Travis Kelce game more than a Maclin one.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (at DAL)

Only the Bears are projected to score fewer points this week than the Eagles, who head to Dallas for the Sunday Night Football matchup. Outside of Week 1 (7/114/1 on 14 targets), Matthews has finished no better than the weekly WR28 and he's coming off his worst performance (3/10 on four targets) of the season. Matthews is more of a WR3 or flex option this week than a WR2.

WR - Travis Benjamin, San Diego Chargers (at DEN)

Benjamin averaged 7.8 targets per game over the team's first five games, but he has just five targets in each of the past two games. In those two games, he has a total of seven catches for 71 yards and no touchdowns. In fact, he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 2.

On the other hand, Tyrell Williams had a season-high 10 targets in Week 7 and he now has a pair of 100-yard games over the past three weeks. Considering the Broncos have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, it would be unrealistic to expect a productive outing for Benjamin (or Williams) this week.

WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (at CAR)

As noted above, Fitzgerald is the clear leader among the team's receivers. Nearly halfway through the season, Floyd has yet to finish any better than the weekly WR29. On average, he has finished as the weekly WR47.

Floyd had five catches for 65 yards on seven targets last week, but the team was without John Brown. With Brown set to return this week, Floyd's volume will most likely be too low to trust his as a top-24 fantasy receiver.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 8

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Week 8 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jacquizz Rodgers is listed below as a "start" for Week 8. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 8 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Ezekiel Elliott, Spencer Ware and Rodgers and can only start two running backs, you should start Zeke and Ware -- and in turn, bench Quizz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 8:

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (vs. SD)

Both C.J. Anderson and Booker had big games against the Texans on Monday Night Football. Booker rushed 17 times for 83 yards and a score and added a four-yard reception while CJA gained 107 yards with a score on 16 carries.

With Anderson placed on Injured Reserve, however, Booker will dominate touches in the backfield going forward even though he had seen his workload expand on a weekly basis for much of the season. Since Week 3, Booker's percentage of carries has increased every week: 17.39% (W3), 21.88% (W4), 25.00% (W5), 31.25% (W6) and 48.57% (W7). With the potential to rank near the NFL leaders in RB touches from Weeks 8 to 17, Booker has also been productive on a per-touch basis (4.78 YPC).

Getting a fantasy-friendly matchup in Week 8 against the Chargers, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, Booker is a top-seven fantasy running back this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Christine Michael, Seattle Seahawks (at NO)

The workload has been there for Michael, who has a total of 85 touches -- 77.98 percent among the team's RBs -- in his past four games. In a tough defensive battle against the Cardinals last week that resulted in a 6-6 tie, Michael struggled on a per-touch basis (59 yards on 19 touches). Before that, however, Michael had a total of 284 YFS and five touchdowns in his previous three games and finished as a top-12 weekly producer in each game.

Even though the Seahawks are on the road this week, the Seahawks are projected to be one of the top-five scoring teams of the week based on Vegas odds. Plus, the matchup couldn't be any better as no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs this season than New Orleans.

In addition, no team has allowed more touchdowns (12) to running backs than New Orleans, who has also allowed the highest rate as well. Running backs have scored a touchdown on 6.99 percent of their carries. (San Diego is second in that statistic at 5.80 percent.)

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at IND)

With Jamaal Charles already ruled out this week, it should be some Ware and some more Ware against the soft Colts run defense. Over the past two seasons with the Chiefs, Ware has 167 carries for 895 yards (5.36 YPC), 21 catches for 290 yards (13.81 Y/R) and nine total touchdowns. Averaging 18.3 touches per game, Ware has scored 19-plus fantasy points in three of six games this season. On the year, he ranks eighth in fantasy points scored among running backs (10th in PPR).

As noted above, the Chiefs are projected to score the third-most points this week so a Ware touchdown (or two) is certainly possible (likely). The Colts have allowed the fifth-most YPC (4.83) to opposing RBs and the fourth-most Y/R (10.05). In addition, no team has allowed more receiving touchdowns (four) to RBs. The Colts have allowed six top-10 (eight top-17) weekly fantasy RBs in seven games.

RB - Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. OAK)

In back-to-back games, Rodgers has exceeded the 100-yard rushing mark on a total of 56 carries in addition to having six receptions as well. With both of Tampa's top-two running backs still sidelined, Rodgers should once again get 20 or more touches in a plus matchup against the Raiders.

While quarterback Jameis Winston had 50-plus pass attempts in back-to-back games earlier this season, the Bucs have been much more committed to running the football in their past two games. As noted in my Week 8 Fantasy Football QB Start'em, Sit'em, the Bucs have run the ball on 54.9 percent of their plays over the past two games. The Raiders have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 8:

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. MIN)

From Weeks 3 to 6, Howard finished as a top-24 weekly fantasy running back and averaged 13.68 fantasy points over that four-game span. During that four-game stretch, Howard rushed for 308 yards (4.89 YPC) on 63 carries, added 12 catches for 119 yards and scored two touchdowns.

With Ka'Deem Carey healthy now, however, Howard has seen his workload decrease over the past two weeks. After getting 19 touches in Week 5 against the Colts, he had 17 and seven in Weeks 6 and 7 against the Jaguars and Packers, respectively. Meanwhile, Carey had two carries in Week 5, nine in Week 6 and 11 in Week 7.

In a difficult matchup against the Vikings, who have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, with his usage rate going in the wrong direction, Howard isn't worth the risk even in a week with six teams on bye. In addition, the Bears are projected to be the lowest-scoring team based on Vegas odds this week.

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (at DAL)

On the season, Mathews has averaged 12.33 touches per game, but his weekly volume has been inconsistent. With a pair of lost fumbles over the past three games including one that essentially cost the Eagles a win in Detroit, Mathews could see a lower-than-average usage rate this week.

Over the past three weeks, Mathews has 16 touches (64.0% of RB usage) in Week 5, nine touches (42.86%) in Week 6 and 14 touches (62.5%) in Week 7. (Mathews lost fumbles in Weeks 5 and 7.) Not only did he see a dip in touches on an absolute and relative basis in the game following his first lost fumble, Mathews played only 21 percent of the snaps in Week 6.

It's certainly possible that Mathews sees another dip in usage/snaps this week following last week's lost fumble. Perhaps you have no other choice considering six teams are on a bye, but Mathews is just outside my top-24 fantasy running backs (RB26) for the week.

RB - Knile Davis, Green Bay Packers (at ATL)

On a short week, Davis had just two carries in his first game as part of the Packers organization. With additional time to get familiar with the offense, Davis will see more work this week as coach Mike McCarthy has essentially said so. McCarthy recently said of Davis: "[H]e's part of the game plan. I think the extra time he spent with Ben Sirmans [RB coach] over the weekend, getting ready. So, yeah, I like what he brings to the table. ... He's making progress."

In a favorable matchup against the Falcons, there are worse lottery tickets than Davis if you're desperate at the position. I'd rather take a wait-and-see approach, however, and he could be a viable start next week in another plus matchup (Colts) depending on how much his workload increases this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 8

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Week 8 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Kyle Rudolph is listed below as a "start" for Week 8. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 8 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Rob Gronkowski and Rudolph, you should start Gronk -- and in turn, bench Rudolph.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 8:

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (vs. DET)

In his first three games this season, Fiedorowicz was a non-factor. In those games, he had a total of two catches for seven yards on four targets. Since then, however, his role has expanded considerably.

Through Monday Night Football against the Broncos, Fiedorowicz has four-plus catches in four straight games. In his past three games, Fiedorowicz has a minimum of seven targets per game. In the four games from Weeks 4 to 7, Fiedorowicz has a total of 19 catches for 229 yards and two touchdowns on 27 targets.

Perhaps his rate of production will slow ... eventually, but this week's matchup sets up for another productive game. With six teams on bye, Fiedorowicz is a viable streaming option this week against the Lions, who allow the third-most fantasy points to the position.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. OAK)

Over his past four games, Brate had 10/113/2 on 18 targets in the first two and just 4/67/0 on six targets in the past two games. In a game with an over/under a tad shy of 50 points, there should be plenty of offense for both teams and the matchup is favorable for Brate. So far this season, the Raiders have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

TE - Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (vs. KC)

Over the past two weeks, Doyle has four catches for 53 yards and a touchdown against the Texans (weekly TE6) and nine catches for 78 yards and a score against the Titans (weekly TE3). With Dwayne Allen out for another week, Doyle should be the team's top-targeted tight end once again.

If there's a concern with Doyle, however, it's that the Chiefs have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to the position this season and only one tight end (Jesse James, TE12 in Week 4) has finished as a top-12 fantasy TE against the Chiefs in 2016. In addition, both Donte Moncrief and Phillip Dorsett are expected to return this week to provide Andrew Luck with more talented options in the passing game.

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (at CHI)

So far this season, Rudolph has seven-plus targets and finished as a top-12 weekly tight end in five of six games. Rudolph had just five catches for 55 yards last week, but he had a season-high 11 targets. Rudolph is on pace for a career-best 69/776/8 and 128 targets this season.

With 24.49 percent of Minnesota's targets, Rudolph has the largest target share at the position aside from Carolina's Greg Olsen (26.43%). The matchup this week isn't great as the Bears have limited opposing tight ends to the 10th-fewest fantasy points this season, but Rudolph's volume makes him a mid-tier (or better) TE1 in almost any matchup this season.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 8:

TE - Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (at DAL)

Since returning from a two-game absence, Ertz has finished as the weekly TE19, TE31 and TE26 over his past three games, respectively. During that three-game span, he has a total of five catches for 73 yards and no touchdowns and exactly three targets in each game.

At some point (hopefully soon for Ertz owners), he will become more involved in the passing offense and more productive. But given the past three duds, I prefer to be a week late than (perhaps several) too early. In one league with 11 offensive starters, I've actually benched Ertz in favor of Jimmy Graham and Fiedorowicz this week.

TE - Zach Miller, Chicago Bears (vs. MIN)

The volume for Miller has been excellent -- 44 total targets and 6.29 per game. That has allowed Miller to score the seventh-most fantasy points among tight ends (third-most in PPR formats) through the first seven weeks of the 2016 NFL season. That said, Miller & Co. get a difficult matchup against the Vikings in Week 8. No team is projected to score fewer points than the Bears (based on Vegas odds) and the Vikings have limited opposing tight ends to the ninth-fewest fantasy points this season.

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (vs. SEA)

In a difficult matchup against the Chiefs last week, Fleener had just two catches for 44 yards on two targets. Fleener has had some big games, finishing as a top-two fantasy tight end twice over his past four games, but he has less than three fantasy points in three games this season as well. Given the challenging matchup and his up-and-down season, Fleener is just outside of my top-12 fantasy tight ends for Week 8.

TE - Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys (vs. PHI)

Historically, Witten has been productive against the Eagles with six-plus catches in six of his past eight games over the last four seasons including 7/56 and 6/43 in 2015. Since his hot start in Week 1 (9/66 on 14 targets), however, Witten has finished outside the weekly top-15 fantasy tight ends in his other five games this season. With the Eagles allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Witten isn't a strong consideration in standard-scoring formats, especially with Dez Bryant set to return this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 8

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Week 8 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Derek Carr is listed below as a "start" for Week 8. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 8 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Aaron Rodgers and Carr, you should start Rodgers -- and in turn, bench Carr.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 8:

QB - Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. OAK)

Even without their top-two running backs healthy, the Bucs have been run-heavy (54.9 percent of plays) over the past couple of games -- both wins. While I still expect another heavy workload for Jacquizz Rodgers, this matchup could lead Winston to throw it more often. Earlier in the season, Winston had back-to-back 50-attempt games.

With the Bucs having their bye already, Winston has played six games and been highly productive in three of them. In the three games where he didn't finish as a top-12 fantasy quarterback, they were mostly poor matchups -- ARI, DEN and CAR.

When given a favorable matchup, however, Winston has generally exploited them -- Falcons (QB5, Week 1), Rams (QB5, Week 3) and 49ers (QB6, Week 7). This week, Winston and the Bucs will face a Raiders secondary that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

In addition, the Raiders have allowed three games of 350 passing yards and three-plus touchdowns. The only other team to allow more than one 350/3 games is Carolina (two).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (at NO)

With the exception of a Week 4 matchup against the Jets (309 yards, three TDs and no INTs), Wilson has thrown for 270 yards or less in his other five games with a combined two touchdowns. TWO!

While he's on pace to throw a career-high 552 pass attempts this season, Wilson's rushing production has been nearly non-existent. Through six games, he has 22 carries for 33 yards (1.5 YPC). Much of that has to do with the injuries (knee, ankle, etc.) he had sustained earlier this season that would have sidelined the typical quarterback.

Either way, Wilson has finished as the QB4 in his game against the Jets and QB14 against the 49ers in Week 3. Other than that, he has finished as the QB22 (or worse) every week.

The good news is that if you've been disappointed by another slow start for Wilson this season, he gets an incredibly soft matchup against the Saints to help him begin a second-half breakout again. The Saints have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

The only concern is that the Seahawks (Christine Michael) should have a lot of success running the ball and perhaps that reduces the production that Wilson will have through the air. I still expect Drew Brees to put up more points at home than a Seahawks defense would typically allow so perhaps that forces Wilson and the passing offense to keep up.

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. WAS)

In an underrated way, Dalton has been playing well this season. The only quarterbacks (min: 100 pass attempts) that are averaging more yards per attempt than Dalton (8.39 Y/A) this season are Tom Brady (9.94) and Matt Ryan (9.62).

Even though Josh Norman (concussion) is expected to play on Sunday and shadow All-World receiver A.J. Green, Dalton will get a more-involved Tyler Eifert this week. Limited in his return last week, Eifert should be much more involved in Week 8.

Only the Falcons (28.0), Patriots (27.25) and Chiefs (26.5) are projected to score more points than the Bengals (26.25) this week based on Vegas odds. While it's a better matchup for Cincinnati's backfield than their passing attack, Dalton should finish as a top-12 fantasy quarterback for a fourth consecutive week.

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (at TB)

The Bucs pass defense has been solid (17th-most fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks), but their past four matchups were against the Rams, Broncos, Panthers (game Cam Newton missed) and 49ers. In Weeks 1 and 2 against Matt Ryan and Carson Palmer, respectively, they allowed 24-plus fantasy points, 300-plus passing yards and multiple touchdowns to both.

Even though they haven't faced any QBs that fantasy owners would have started over their past four games, the Bucs are still allowing 7.80 Y/A, eighth-most, and 5.21 TD percentage, seventh-most, this season. The Bucs have a relatively tough run defense, top-10 in terms of YPC allowed to opposing running backs, so I think we see enough passing volume for Carr to have a nice game.

In terms of weekly consistency, it's been an up-and-down season for Carr. Through seven games, Carr has finished as a top-eight fantasy QB in four games and as the QB20 (or worse) in three games including each of the past two. On the season, however, Carr has the fifth-most fantasy points among quarterbacks and he has posted a 13:3 TD-INT ratio.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 8:

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at DEN)

Once again, Rivers has had to deal with a disproportionate share of injuries, but he continues to produce in spite of that. On the season, he has scored the 10th-most fantasy points while throwing for 2,022 yards, 13 touchdowns and only four interceptions in seven games.

In fact, Rivers has thrown for 320-plus yards in four of his past five games. The exception? Week 6 vs. Denver (178 yards). Of course, all QBs struggle against the Broncos defense.

Denver is allowing 193.1 passing yards per game with four passing touchdowns allowed and five interceptions. The only two quarterbacks to exceed the 200-yard passing mark against them this season was Andy Dalton (206) and Matt Ryan (267).

If you're a glass-half-full person, Rivers will have both of his Denver matchups out of the way after this weekend and he gets the best fantasy playoff schedule -- Panthers, Raiders and Browns in Weeks 14 to 16.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (vs. NE)

Since a Week 1 matchup against his former team (Baltimore), Taylor has finished as a top-15 fantasy quarterback in six consecutive weeks including the first time he faced the Patriots (QB14 in Week 4). Given the injuries among the team's skill-position players, however, it's hard to imagine Taylor doing much better than that QB14 performance he had the first time around. His rushing ability -- 271 yards and two TDs in seven games -- provides fantasy owners a floor to go along with plenty of upside, but there are at least 12 better options this week than Taylor.

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (at DAL)

After a pair of top-12 performances in his first three games, Wentz has not played as well lately. Over the past three games, he has more turnovers (four) than touchdowns (three). In addition, he has back-to-back games with less than 200 passing yards and has finished as the QB29 in both weeks.

The matchup isn't as challenging this week against the Cowboys, who allow the 13th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but Wentz should remain on your bench this week. Only the Bears are projected to score fewer points this week based on Vegas lines.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 8

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October 26, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 8

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 8?

Sean Beazley: Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks, $

You're either a narrative guy, or you’re not. I don't go out of my way looking for a narrative game (revenge, birthday, homecoming, etc.), but there are some that just fall into your laps each week. This week, we get the Jimmy Graham “Revenge” game after being discarded by the Saints front office and traded away to Seattle.

Graham gets an extremely soft matchup with the Saints pass defense, who is among the worst in the league. This game is also in New Orleans which is always a good sign for some extra points. Each week, TE is usually a spot to plug in someone for $3,500 or less to get some savings, so Graham could come in at a pretty low ownership percentage, which is ideal for tournaments. Fire up Graham everywhere this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Devontae Booker, RB, Denver Broncos, $3,700

If anything, the drawback to owning Booker this week will be his increased ownership levels following Monday night's performance (17/83/1 rushing). Playing more snaps than "starter" C.J. Anderson, Booker also had more touches (18) than CJA (16). While I don't expect him to out-snap, out-touch Anderson this week (or most weeks), his role in the offense had been steadily increasing before his big game in Week 7.

Since Week 3, Booker's percentage of his team's carries has increased every week: 17.39% (W3), 21.88% (W4), 25.00% (W5), 31.25% (W6) and 48.57% (W7). Productive this season on a per-touch basis (4.78 YPC) and a favorable matchup to exploit this week, Booker offers plenty of upside and cost relief for owners looking to fit in high-priced studs elsewhere.

- Related: Booker topped my list of waiver-wire adds at RB this week

Brendan Donahue: Devontae Booker, RB, Denver Broncos, $3,700

Denver said before the Texans game that they wanted to get Booker more involved in the offense and they were true to their word. Booker ran the ball 17 times for 83 yards and a touchdown and actually out-snapped C.J. Anderson 35 to 28. His talent is obvious on the field and I think he at the very least keeps a 50/50 share with Anderson going forward and at just $3700 this week against a Chargers defense that ranks 30th vs opposing RB's on the year, he is a great value play on DK this week.

John Trifone: Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $8,100

Evans isn't cheap this week, but he's also not quite in the Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham, A.J. Green range yet, and he should be. With Vincent Jackson done for the year, Evans is an absolute target monster. He's had between 11-18 targets in each of his last five games with Week 1 being his only game that wasn't double digits (seven). Jameis Winston is still a young quarterback and he locks onto his favorite target more than a veteran might. In a PPR format like DK, Evans is a tough fade -- even at $8,100.

Dan Yanotchko: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts, $

This week, I am going with T.Y. Hilton of the Colts as I think his ownership will be a little less than Mike Evans of the Buccaneers. Hilton has been a true workhorse all year, 45 receptions on 76 targets for 689 yards receiving and four touchdowns . The Colts get the Chiefs on the fast track at home in Indianapolis, and the Chiefs do allow 257 yards passing per game, and surprisingly they only have gotten eight sacks. This means Andrew Luck might actually live another week behind that offensive line.

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October 25, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 8

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (30 percent)

With Dwayne Allen -- and receivers Donte Moncrief and Phillip Dorsett -- sidelined, Doyle finished with nine catches for 78 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets in Week 7. Doyle now has four touchdowns on the season including scores in back-to-back games and has the third-most fantasy points through Week 7. While Allen is expected to miss multiple games, Doyle gets a difficult matchup in Week 8 against the Chiefs, who have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (22 percent)

One week after finishing with two catches for 50 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles, Davis caught all six of his targets for 79 yards. In the two games that Jordan Reed (concussion) has missed, Davis has finished as the weekly TE7 and TE5, respectively. With Reed expected to miss another game, Davis remains a viable starting option available in about three-quarters of fantasy leagues.

3. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (seven percent)

Through last night's Monday Night Football matchup against the Broncos, Fiedorowicz now has four catches in four straight games. During that four-game span, he has a total of 19 catches for 229 yards and two touchdowns on 27 targets. With a favorable matchup in Week 8 against the Lions, who allow the third-most fantasy points to the position, Fiedorowicz is a viable streaming option this week.

4. Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31 percent)

Since getting a total of 18 targets in back-to-back games against the Broncos and Rams, Brate has only three targets in his two most-recent games against the Panthers and 49ers. Over that four-game span, he has a total of 18 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns.

5. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills (27 percent)

I expected more from Clay in Week 7 than two catches for 29 yards, but he had five catches in each of his previous three games. Over his past four games, Clay has a total of 201 receiving yards. He has yet to score a touchdown this season, but he has finished as a top 10-18 fantasy tight end in the past four weeks.

6. Lance Kendricks, Los Angeles Rams (one percent)

The Rams have a bye following their Week 7 loss to the Giants in London, but Kendricks has been a bigger part of the passing offense over the past couple of weeks. In his past two games combined, he has a total of 17 targets, 12 receptions, 89 yards and a touchdown. In fact, he has five-plus receptions and seven-plus targets in three of his past four games. He's at least worth a look in deeper leagues.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 8

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 8

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (41 percent)

Unlikely to return from his hand injury, Coleman may not be able to practice this week, according to coach Hue Jackson. That said, it appears that he isn't too far away from returning to the field.

Before the injury, Coleman had a 5/104/2 performance on eight targets against the Ravens in Week 2. Over the next four weeks, the Browns face the Jets, Cowboys, Ravens and Steelers.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (18 percent)

Given the injuries at running back for the Packers, Aaron Rodgers dropped back 58 times (including two sacks) and targeted Adams a season-high 16 times. It was an unusual night as three different Green Bay receivers recorded double-digit receptions and none were Jordy Nelson, but Adams led all receivers in fantasy points last week with a 13/132/2 line.

We shouldn't expect 56 pass attempts from Rodgers every week, but the injuries to Eddie Lacy (IR) and James Starks (multiple weeks) should lead to a higher pass-run split than would otherwise be the case. On the season, Adams has a total of five touchdowns and the 20th-most fantasy points among wide receivers so far.

3. Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (36 percent)

With 7/108 on nine targets in Week 7, Crowder now has at least nine fantasy points in three consecutive games and five of his past six. On the season, Crowder has the 21st-most fantasy points in standard-scoring and 20th-most in PPR-scoring formats. The upcoming matchups aren't great -- CIN, bye, MIN -- so maybe Crowder comes back down to earth, but he is worth an add in all leagues, especially PPR formats.

4. Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (32 percent)

Enunwa had a productive outing (13.3 fantasy points, WR13) in a favorable matchup, but the disappointing news is that he had just two receptions on four targets, both of which were season lows. Before last week's performance, Enunwa had finished outside of the top-40 weekly fantasy receivers in four consecutive games. He does have at least 17-percent target share in all but one game, however, and the next couple of weeks give the Enunwa and the Jets (and his fantasy owners) incredible matchups against the Browns and Dolphins, respectively.

5. Brian Quick, Los Angeles Rams (seven percent)

Quick has a bye in Week 7, but then he gets several plus matchups against the Panthers, Jets, Dolphins and Saints over the next four weeks. Posting season highs in targets (eight) and yards (92) on four receptions in London, Quick now has five consecutive games with 50-plus yards.

6. Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals (12 percent)

The good news is that LaFell has been a scoring machine over the past three weeks. The team's No. 2 receiver has scored in each game with a total of four touchdowns over that span. One thing that is good for the Bengals (and Andy Dalton's fantasy outlook) is the return of Tyler Eifert. That said, it isn't a favorable thing for LaFell's fantasy outlook as the tight end has thrived in the red zone and LaFell has finished as the WR57 on average in games that he hasn't scored.

7. Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers (14 percent)

Before the team's bye, Funchess had two receptions for 28 yards and a touchdown on a season-high six targets. After playing less than 40 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Weeks 4 and 5, Funchess played on 55.6 percent of the snaps in Week 6. With Kelvin Benjamin likely to draw shadow coverage from Patrick Peterson, the big-bodied second-year receiver could to see an expanded role in the passing offense in Week 8.

8. Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (two percent)

Lee has yet to score a touchdown this season, but the other receiver drafted in the second round with Allen Robinson had seven catches for 108 yards on eight targets, all of which were season highs, in Week 7. In Week 6, Lee had 6/61 and he now has six-plus targets in five consecutive games.

Given how poorly Blake Bortles has played this season, the Jaguars have not taken the step forward many had anticipated. At least in terms of fantasy production, that could lead to more garbage-time opportunities for Lee and the team's pass-catchers.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 8

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (36 percent)

Both C.J. Anderson and Booker had big games against the Texans on Monday Night Football. Booker rushed 17 times for 83 yards and a score and added a four-yard reception while CJA gained 107 yards with a score on 16 carries.

While it's the first time that Booker (18) had more touches than Anderson (16) and won't likely be the norm when both backs are healthy, Booker has seen his share of the workload steadily increase up to this point.

Since Week 3, Booker's percentage of carries has increased every week: 17.39% (W3), 21.88% (W4), 25.00% (W5), 31.25% (W6) and 48.57% (W7). In addition, Booker has been productive on a per-touch basis (4.78 YPC).

With a fantasy-friendly matchup in Week 8 against the Chargers, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, both CJA and Booker will be viable starts this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Chris Thompson, Washington Redskins (12 percent)

With Matt Jones losing a fumble, it was Thompson that saw the largest share of work in Washington's backfield in Week 7. Thompson had a season-high 19 touches -- 12 carries and seven receptions -- for a total of 113 yards from scrimmage. On pace for 50 receptions, Thompson has finished as a top-33 fantasy running back in five of seven weeks and has scored the 31st-most fantasy points among running backs this season.

Washington and Cincinnati play in London this week and the Bengals have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

3. Ka'Deem Carey, Chicago Bears (two percent)

Carey has a total of 19 carries for 98 yards (5.16 YPC) and one reception for nine yards in his past two games. This week, Carey (11) out-touched rookie Jordan Howard (seven touches). With the workload for Carey and Howard going in opposite directions, it's certainly possible (or likely) that Carey leads the team's backfield in usage once again. That said, the Bears get a tough matchup on Monday Night Football against the Vikings.

4. Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (20 percent)

Asiata led the Vikings in touches (18) in Week 7 with 12 carries for 55 yards and six catches for 25 yards on eight targets. It was the second game in a row that he has at least 17 touches. While the Bears have been more generous to fantasy receivers than running backs, the Vikings are 5.5-point favorites this week so we should see a heavy dose of Asiata and Jerick McKinnon.

5. Knile Davis, Green Bay Packers (36 percent)

With Eddie Lacy placed on IR and James Starks out several weeks following knee surgery, the newly-acquired Davis has an opportunity to get a sizable workload in one of the better offenses in the league. It's unclear how much larger his role will grow for the Week 8 matchup against the Falcons, but Atlanta has allowed six touchdowns -- five rushing and one receiving -- to running backs in their past two games.

6. Peyton Barber, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( percent)

Not only did Jacquizz Rodgers get 26 carries for 154 yards, but Barber rushed 12 times for 84 yards and a touchdown against the 49ers on Sunday. With Doug Martin (hamstring) sidelined, Quizz has a total of 62 touches in his past two games. It's unclear how much more time, if any, Martin will miss, but the Bucs have a few favorable matchups coming up against the Raiders, Falcons and Bears over the next three weeks.

7. Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (48 percent)

In games that he has played, Ivory had a season-low five carries on Sunday for 48 yards (9.6 YPC) and he now has 36/123/1 rushing through four games played. Ivory and T.J. Yeldon have a near identical split in usage. Since Ivory made his Jaguars debut in Week 3, he has 41 touches and Yeldon has 40.

8. DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (29 percent)

Not only did Latavius Murray (turf toe) return from a two-week absence, but Murray had a season-high 20 touches (64.52-percent RB usage rate). In addition, it was the most for any Raiders running back this season. Washington did get the second-most touches (six), but it will take (another) injury to Murray for Washington to become fantasy-relevant in 12-team leagues. If Washington (5.11 YPC) continues to be more efficient than Murray (3.98 YPC), it's possible earns a larger role down the stretch.

9. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (46 percent)

Expected to form a 1-2 punch with DeMarco Murray, it's been more of a 1-1 punch with Murray and more Murray. Murray has more than 20 touches in five consecutive games and a total of 166 through Week 7. That puts him on pace for 379 touches for the season. As productive as Murray has been this season, he has struggled with durability in the past.

Henry has seen his role diminish with only one carry in Week 7 and four or fewer touches in three of the past four games. For now, the talented second-rounder is purely bench stash, but there would be enormous upside if anything were to happen to Murray.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 8

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 8

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. , Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (38 percent)

In back-to-back favorable matchups, Smith has thrown just 22 and 24 pass attempts against the Raiders and Saints, respectively. With a couple of touchdown tosses against the Saints, Smith scored the 10th-most fantasy points among quarterbacks this week.

There is always the possibility that a Smith-led offense will employ a run-heavy offense despite a fantasy-friendly defensive matchup and disappoint his fantasy owners. That said, Smith has four favorable matchups on the horizon against the Colts, Jaguars, Panthers and Buccaneers. In other words, he's a viable streaming option every week over the next month, especially considering that the number of teams on bye increases this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 8 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (19 percent)

With Geno Smith (torn ACL) knocked out of Sunday's game early, the Jets turned back to the guy that Smith had replaced. In relief of Smith, Fitzpatrick completed nine-of-14 pass attempts for 120 yards and a touchdown and (perhaps more importantly) no interceptions. With Smith out for the season, Fitzpatrick gets two exploitable matchups against the Browns and Dolphins over the next two weeks. The last three QBs to face the Browns have finished as the weekly QB2, QB4 and QB7, respectively, and only one starter facing the Browns finished worse than the weekly QB13 this season.

3. Brock Osweiler, Houston Texans (14 percent)

Osweiler has yet to finish any better than the weekly QB16 this season. On the year, he has as many interceptions (eight) as touchdowns (eight) and he is averaging only 219 passing yards per game. Following Monday night's difficult matchup against the Broncos, however, things get much easier for Osweiler and the pass offense going forward. Over the next eight weeks, the Texans face the Lions, Jaguars (twice), Raiders, Chargers, Packers and Colts in addition to their bye in Week 9.

4. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (24 percent)

In a low-scoring week for fantasy quarterbacks, Tannehill managed to finish the week as the QB13 despite throwing for 204 yards and one touchdown. His 16.36 fantasy points were the second-lowest total for the QB13 in the first seven weeks of the season.

Before this week, Tannehill had finished as the QB25 or worse for three consecutive weeks and he has a bye in Week 8. That said, Tannehill gets a favorable matchup against the Jets coming out of his bye. The Jets have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

5. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (48 percent)

In his past two games, Wentz has completed only 27 (54.0 percent) of 50 pass attempts for 317 yards (6.34 Y/A) and one touchdown. With three turnovers -- two interceptions and a fumble lost -- on Sunday, Wentz has now scored less than eight fantasy points in back-to-back games. Next week's matchup against the Cowboys isn't great, but it's certainly not as difficult as Sunday's matchup against the Vikings was.

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October 23, 2016

Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 7 NFL picks against the spread:

Tennessee Titans -3.5 over Indianapolis Colts (3 Units)

I like the Titans for a number of reasons, but mostly for two reasons -- their ability to rush the ball (and Indy's inability to stop it) and their ability to get to the quarterback (and Indy's inability to prevent that). Andrew Luck has been sacked a league-high 23 times and the Titans rank fifth in the league with 18 sacks.

On the other hand, only the Bills and Cowboys have more rushing yards per game than the Titans. Meanwhile, the Colts rank 25th in the NFL against the run (117.7 YPG, 4.8 YPC). Not only are we seeing a rejuvenated DeMarco Murray, but quarterback Marcus Mariota has displayed his dual-threat abilities with 60-plus rushing yards in each of the past two games.

If the Titans can get an early lead, they can control the clock with their running game and then pressure Luck as the Colts try to come from behind. I think the Titans win this one by a touchdown.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Minnesota Vikings -3 over Philadelphia Eagles (3 Units)

Eventually, the Vikings will lose a game. While they have had their fair share of injuries on offense, their defense has been been playing lights out. With Mike Zimmer getting an extra week to prepare coming off their bye, it's not going to be easy for Carson Wentz & Co. to end their two-game slide. Wentz has been playing beyond his years and he's shown already that he can be the long-term answer, but the Eagles have issues on the offensive line and I expect the ferocious Vikings pass rush to get to the rookie early and often. While he hasn't turned the ball over much this season, he could look like more like a rookie this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 over San Francisco 49ers (3 Units)

At one point, the Bucs were giving the 49ers points, but they are now one-point underdogs. Both teams will be without their starting running backs -- Carlos Hyde and Doug Martin. Without Martin in Week 5 (Tampa had a Week 6 bye), the Bucs gave Jacquizz Rodgers 30 carries and he gained 101 yards. I don't expect Rodgers to get as many carries, but I do expect him to be more efficient against a 49ers team that has allowed five consecutive 100-yard rushers this season. I'll take the point, but I expect the Bucs to win this one outright.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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October 22, 2016

Week 7 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Mike Wallace is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 7 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Julio Jones, Amari Cooper and Wallace and can only start two receivers, you should start Jones and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Wallace.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 7:

WR - Mike Wallace, Baltimore Ravens (at NYJ)

The volume of targets has been there for Wallace, who has seen 30 targets in his past three games. With Steve Smith Sr. out again this week, 60 Minutes should be busy in Week 7 as well. Averaging 2.10 fantasy points per touch, Wallace gets a soft matchup against a burnable Jets secondary.

Provided Joe Flacco is active, the Ravens should try to push the ball down the field as only the Raiders (nine) have allowed more 40-yard receptions than the Jets (eight). Among teams left to play this week, the Ravens and Jets allow the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers through Week 6. The Jets have allowed a league-high 71.79-percent catch rate to opposing wide receivers and 84/1,209/8 (14.39 Y/R) to the position.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at SF)

You don't need me to tell you to start Evans, but I will anyways. And part of that is because I have Evans ranked higher than Odell Beckham Jr., who just posted a career-high 222 yards and two touchdowns in Week 6. That's how much I like Evans this week. Both Julio Jones and A.J. Green have phenomenal matchups, but it wouldn't surprise me if Evans finished as the WR1 this week. Either way, I have him ranked as a top-three option.

Before the bye, Evans had nearly a 30-percent target share (29.56 percent) and that should increase with Vincent Jackson placed on IR. Before the bye, Evans had double-digit targets in his previous four games with an average of 13.25 per game over that span. Evans is averaging 89.8 yards per game and has scored a touchdown in four of five games this season.

The 49ers have been middle of the road (17th-most) in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers, but only the Ravens (12) have allowed more receiving touchdowns to opposing wideouts than the 49ers (10). But their mediocrity in FPA to receivers can be partly attributable to allowing five consecutive 100-yard rushers. With Doug Martin out for another week, Evans has a legitimate chance to get 15-20 targets this week even though I expect Jacquizz Rodgers to have a good game as well.

WR - Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (at JAX)

Normally, I wouldn't list Cooper on this list as he's fairly obvious to start every week, but the second-year receiver has been dominant over the past couple of weeks with a great matchup upcoming. While Cooper has nine-plus targets in five of six games, he has a total of 25 targets that have resulted in a total of 16 catches for 267 yards and a touchdown in the past two weeks.

So far this season, the Jaguars have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Not only is Cooper a strong start this week, but Crabtree is a viable WR2 for fantasy owners this week as well.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. BUF)

Landry has only one touchdown this season, but the high-volume receiver has at least seven catches in all but one game so far this season. No receiver has a higher team target share than Landry (31.32 percent). The matchup isn't necessarily great, but Landry had a total of 18 catches on 25 targets in his two games against the Bills last season.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 7:

WR - Will Fuller, Houston Texans (at DEN)

With DeAndre Hopkins more of a fringe WR2 type this week, it's impossible to trust Fuller in such a difficult matchup. Ex-Broncos (and current Texans) quarterback Brock Osweiler has struggled especially in difficult matchups. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season than the Broncos.

Since Week 2, the only receiver to finish as a top-30 performer against the Broncos is A.J. Green (WR30 in Week 3). Some of the other top receivers that they have shut down during that span are T.Y. Hilton (4.1 fantasy points in Week 2), Mike Evans (5.9 in W4), Julio Jones (2.9 in W5), etc. Start Hopkins and Fuller at your own risk this week.

WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SEA)

Floyd has scored a touchdown every other game this season, but he has finished no higher than the weekly WR29 in any week this season. Through six games, Floyd has only 14 catches (2.3/G) and 192 yards (32.0/G). Even though John Brown won't play this week, it's hard to trust Floyd against the stingy Seahawks pass defense.

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (vs. WAS)

Tate is coming off his best game of the season and he actually set a career high in receiving yards (165). Before his 8/165/1 outburst in Week 6, however, Tate had a total of 17/134/0 in five games. With talented corners on the perimeter, Washington could slow down Tate and Marvin Jones Jr. and it wouldn't surprise me if Anquan Boldin has a solid game this week. Maybe Tate will surprise me and put up back-to-back big games, but he is outside my top-30 fantasy receivers this week.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. MIN)

Matthews joins the other "Mathews" and Zach Ertz as the team's top skill-position players to appear on the sit'em side of our weekly Start'em, Sit'em. Since his 7/114/1 outing in Week 1 on 14 targets, Matthews has scored a solid but not spectular 6-8 fantasy points every week. That means that he has finished in the WR28-WR42 range in each of those games. Based on my rankings, I expect more of the same (WR35 in my Week 7 rankings) as the Vikings defense should be able to slow down the Eagles this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 7

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Week 7 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Hunter Henry is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 7 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Rob Gronkowski and Henry, you should start Gronk -- and in turn, bench Henry.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 7:

TE - Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (at ATL)

With or without Antonio Gates active, Henry has been productive. Henry has exceeded 60 yards in four consecutive games, scored a touchdown in three consecutive games and he posted a season-high target share (27.59 percent) in Week 7 against the Broncos. Over the past three weeks, Henry has finished as the weekly TE3, TE3 and TE4, respectively.

Gates returned in Week 5 and even had a 20-percent target share last week so I think that Henry can continue to be productive going forward. That said, Gates isn't fully healthy so I'd prefer Henry over Gates this week. Both tight ends have a favorable matchup against the Falcons, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (at DET)

Unfortunately, Jordan Reed (concussion) will miss another game this week. That opens up a tremendous opportunity for Davis. Getting the start in Week 6, Davis finished with two catches for 50 yards and a touchdown (weekly TE7). No team has allowed more touchdowns (seven) to tight ends and only the Browns and Panthers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at SF)

Prior to Tampa's Week 7 bye, Brate had just one catch for 38 yards on three targets against the Panthers. Before that, however, Brate had five catches in back-to-back games and a total of 113 yards and two touchdowns on 18 targets over that two-game span.

While he may not get eight-plus targets like he had in Weeks 3 and 4, Brate gets a nice stretch of favorable matchups starting this week with San Francisco, who has surrendered the 12th-most fantasy points to the position this season.

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (at NYJ)

Bad news first: Pitta has yet to score a touchdown this season. With that said, here's the good news: Pitta has eight-plus targets in four of his past five games. During that five-game span, he's averaging 6.2/51.2 on 8.6 targets per game. So far this season, Pitta ranks second among tight ends in receptions (34) behind only Greg Olsen (39) and sixth in yards (295).

The Jets pass defense is a mess. Not only do they allow a 71.2-percent completion rate and 8.8 Y/A, both second-most in the NFL, they have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. They have allowed the sixth-most receptions (33) and seventh-most yards (390) to the position on the year.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 7:

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (at KC)

In his past four games, Fleener has alternated between road and home games. Like with Drew Brees and the Saints offense in general, the splits have been pronounced with Fleener. In his two home games, Fleener has 7/109/1 (overall TE2) in Week 3 and 6/74/1 (TE2) in Week 6. In his previous two road games, Fleener had 2/29 (TE31) in Week 2 and 3/19 (TE28) in Week 4. (He was on bye in Week 5.)

Brees, Fleener and the Saints head to Kansas City this weekend to face the Chiefs. Considering the general road-split downgrade and the difficult matchup (Chiefs allow sixth-fewest fantasy points to TEs), Fleener is outside my top-12 fantasy tight ends for Week 7.

TE - Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. MIN)

Ertz is back, I suppose. If you own him, it may feel like he hasn't yet returned. In those two games since returning to the field, Ertz has a total of four catches for 59 yards on six targets.

Facing the suffocating Vikings defense, the Eagles are projected to score the third-fewest points this week; only the Texans (at DEN) and Browns (at CIN) are projected to score fewer. This may not be the week that Ertz bounces back to what his fantasy owners expected when they drafted him.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at ATL)

The good news is that Gates had more than 20-percent target share last week and that the Falcons bleed fantasy points to opposing tight ends. The bad news is that Gates is less than 100 percent and has admitted so. Given how productive Gates has been in the red zone over his career, it wouldn't surprise me if he scored a touchdown (or two) in this expected shootout, but I do think he is a TD-dependent option this week and I'd prefer Henry over Gates.

TE - Jacob Tamme, Atlanta Falcons (vs. SD)

Even though the Falcons are projected to score the most points in Week 7, Tamme isn't a viable option at TE this weekend. After exceeding 50 yards with eight targets (20%-plus target share) in back-to-back games to begin the season, Tamme has less than 30 yards in four consecutive games. In fact, he has averaged just 12.0 yards per game during that span with three yards or less in two of those four games. Over his past three games, Tamme has drawn only 5.41%, 3.57% and 7.32% of the team's passing targets.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 7

Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 7 DFS Resources:

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Week 7 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jacquizz Rodgers is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 7 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned DeMarco Murray, Melvin Gordon and Rodgers and can only start two running backs, you should start Murray and MG3 -- and in turn, bench Rodgers.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 7:

RB - DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans (vs. IND)

Clearly the lead dog of the team's exotic smashmouth offense, Murray (76.67 percent of RB usage) has 138 touches -- 114 carries and 24 receptions -- through six games. Not only is the overall volume high, but Murray has a minimum of 18 touches every week and 21-plus touches in four consecutive games.

While I expected Derrick Henry to see his workload expand as the season progressed, some others thought that he may actually lose his featured-back role to the rookie at some point. It's actually gone in the opposite direction -- Henry has 27 combined touches in his first three games and only 14 touches in the past three games.

At this point in the season, Murray is an obvious start. I list him here, however, because he is the RB1 in my Week 7 rankings for the first (perhaps only) time this season. The Titans are projected to score the sixth-most points this week based on Vegas implied point totals and Murray gets a soft matchup to exploit.

Only the Saints have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. The Colts have allowed 4.95 yards per carry (fifth-most) to opposing running backs, 352 receiving yards (fourth-most) and a total of nine touchdowns (tied for second-most) -- five rushing and four receiving -- to the position. In addition, the Colts have allowed seven top-16 fantasy running backs in only six games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons (vs. SD)

In our Week 7 DFS Round Table post, Freeman was my choice as favorite DraftKings play for Week 7. Here's what I wrote earlier this week: "Freeman (59.44% of team's RB usage) is getting the larger share of the workload than Coleman (38.33%). Not only does Freeman have a minimum of 15 touches in all six games this season, but he has five targets in three of the past four games. So far this season, no team has allowed more receptions to RBs than the Chargers (54) and only the Saints (10) have allowed more TDs to RBs than the Chargers (nine)." Freeman is a top-four running back in both standard and PPR-scoring formats for Week 7.

- Related: We paired Freeman with Tevin Coleman in our DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 7

RB - Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at SF)

Playing a starting running back against the 49ers has been a profitable strategy in both season-long and daily fantasy this season. Allowing 140 yards and three touchdowns to LeSean McCoy last week, the 49ers have now allowed five consecutive 100-yard rushers. Only the Redskins (5.22 YPC) have allowed more yards per carry to opposing running backs than the 49ers (5.13) this season. And only the Saints (10) have allowed more rushing touchdowns to RBs than the 49ers (nine).

Before the bye, Rodgers filled in for Doug Martin and Charles Sims (IR) as the starter. Rodgers had 30 carries for 101 yards and five catches for 28 yards in that game against the Panthers. While I don't expect 35 touches for Quizz this week, he should dominate touches (20-plus or so) as Martin (hamstring) had an injury setback and will miss (at least) another game.

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. NO)

As noted a few times above, the Saints defense is not good against the run. (Or in general, for that matter.) Therefore, Ware and Jamaal Charles are both starts this week. Favored by nearly a touchdown at home, only the Falcons are projected to score more points this week than the Chiefs.

Like in last week's blowout win against the Raiders, it's certainly possible that Ware sees another massive workload. Ware had 24 carries for 131 yards and a touchdown plus two catches for 32 yards even though Charles had 11 touches last week. On the season, Ware has averaged 5.32 YPC and 17.77 Y/R.

RB - Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills (at MIA)

Assuming that McCoy misses this week's game, Gillislee should handle the bulk of the team's running back workload in Week 7. One report suggested that McCoy would miss multiple weeks, but he is listed as a game-time decision this week. The good news is that the Bills play at 1 PM so we will have plenty of time to adjust, if necessary. During their current four-game winning streak, the Bills have run the ball on 51.72 percent of their plays and there is no reason for them to deviate from their run-heavy approach as road favorites in Miami.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 7:

RB - Matt Forte, New York Jets (vs. BAL)

The Ravens rush defense is one of the best in the league and they have allowed the following rushing stats to opposing running backs: 110/393/2 (3.57 YPC). They've also limited opposing backs to only 6.76 Y/R; the league-average is 7.96 Y/R to opposing running backs.

After getting 59 combined touches in the first two games of the season, Forte has seen his usage decline to 17, 16, 14 and 10 over the past four weeks, respectively. All four of those games have been double-digit losses and this week's game is a pick'em, but Forte's involvement in the passing game has been dwarfed by that of Bilal Powell.

Over the past four weeks, Powell has 28 targets that he has converted into 21 receptions for 148 yards. During that same span, Forte has been targeted only nine times and those targets have resulted into 25 yards on seven receptions.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (at JAX)

After missing the past two games with turf toe, Murray is expected to return this week even though he is listed as questionable. Given how the workload was allocated prior to his injury, Murray deserves to remain on your fantasy bench. In his four games played, Murray had 15, 14, 11 and 10 touches, respectively.

Not only was his volume heading in the wrong direction before the injury, he has been less efficient (4.30 YPC) than both DeAndre Washington (5.34 YPC) and Jalen Richard (6.10 YPC) this season. More than anything, this is a running back situation to avoid for Week 7.

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. MIN)

Effective on a per-touch basis (60 yards on nine carries) in a favorable matchup against the Redskins, Mathews had just nine total touches last week. Mathews may get a larger workload this week, but it won't be easy to produce. The Vikings have allowed running backs to average just 3.51 YPC, fifth-lowest in the NFL, and only one rushing touchdown.

RB - Arian Foster, Miami Dolphins (vs. BUF)

Foster returned from a multi-game absence last week, but he had just five touches for 15 yards. Meanwhile, teammate Jay Ajayi ran wild (25/204/2) and finished as the week's top-producing fantasy running back. Perhaps the workload differential won't be so vast between these two backs in Week 7, but I would expect Ajayi to maintain his current lead-back role this week (and perhaps for the rest of the season).

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 7

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Week 7 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Marcus Mariota is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 7 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Tom Brady and Mariota, you should start Brady -- and in turn, bench Mariota.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 7:

QB - Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (vs. SD)

Ryan is coming off extremely difficult road matchups against the Broncos and Seahawks in back-to-back weeks and still leads all fantasy quarterbacks in points scored this season. In fact, Ryan played well (or much better than expected) in those games as he threw for 602 yards, four touchdowns and only one interception. Not only was Ryan's production season highs allowed by both defenses in terms of passing yards, he vastly exceeded what other quarterbacks have done -- Broncos (+61 over second-most) and Seahawks (+74).

Now Ryan comes home to Atlanta to face a Chargers defense that is much more vulnerable to the pass. The Chargers have allowed 300-yard passers in four of six games and the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Last but not least, no team has a higher implied Vegas total this week as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at ATL)

It's been a boom-or-bust season for Rivers, who has three top-eight weekly performances and three QB20 (or worse) performances. And even though Rivers and the Chargers are road underdogs, he is a top-three fantasy quarterback in my Week 7 rankings as well. Immediately preceeding a 178-yard performance against the stingy Broncos pass defense last week, Rivers had a three-game streak of games with more than 320 passing yards.

In what is likely to be a shootout (highest over/under), Rivers should throw around the yard early and often as the Bolts try to keep up with the high-powered Falcons offense. In addition, only the Lions have allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. WAS)

Like with Rivers, Stafford has provided fantasy owners with inconsistent production, but the good times (four top-10 weekly finishes) have outnumbered the bad (two QB20+ outings). In fact, Stafford has thrown three-plus touchdowns in four of six games so he has finished as a top-four weekly quarterback three times already this year. Stafford and Drew Brees are the only two quarterbacks with three top-four weekly outings so far this season.

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (vs. IND)

Things have gone much differently for Mariota in his past two games (QB1 and QB4, respectively) compared to his first four games (QB15, QB18, QB30 and QB30, respectively). In favorable matchups against the Dolphins and Browns, Mariota threw three touchdowns and ran for at least 60 yards in both games.

Mariota gets another favorable matchup this week against the Colts (ninth-most FPA to QBs) and the Titans are tied with the Lions for the sixth-most projected points based on Vegas odds. Especially if he continues to run, Mariota has enormous upside and is a top-five fantasy quarterback for me this week.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 7:

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SEA)

If you own Palmer, you've been highly disappointed with the output you've been getting. In his past three games played, Palmer has thrown 120 total pass attempts, but he has scored an average of only 9.14 fantasy points per game. In a favorable matchup against the Jets last week, Palmer threw for a season-low 213 yards and finished as the weekly QB19. Over his past three games, Palmer has thrown more interceptions (five) than touchdowns (two). With the Legion of Boom coming to town, this isn't the week to expect improved production and Palmer should remain on your bench.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (vs. LA)

Averaging just 14.54 fantasy points per game, Manning has just one top-12 fantasy performance this season although that occurred last week. Manning had a season-best performance last week against the Ravens as he threw for 403 yards and three touchdowns. On the year, Eli has as many turnovers -- six interceptions and two lost fumbles -- as he has passing touchdowns (eight). Perhaps Eli, Odell Beckham Jr. and the Giants string together back-to-back strong performances, but he is outside of my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for Week 7.

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. MIN)

Things won't be easy for Wentz and the Eagles offense this week. Not only do they face the Vikings suffocating defense, but Minnesota is coming off a bye with an extra week to prepare for the rookie quarterback. Wentz has played extremely well early in his career and the future is bright, but only the Texans and Browns are projected to score fewer points this week than the Eagles. As my QB24, Wentz is barely a starter in a 12-team, 2-QB league.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 7

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October 21, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 7

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 7 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,200)
RB - Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons ($5,900)
RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons ($4,900)
WR - Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($7,800)
WR - A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals ($8,600)
WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars ($7,300)
TE - Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts ($2,500)
FLEX - Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills ($3,000)
DST - Minnesota Vikings ($3,700)

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers ($7,800): There are so many WRs that I want to play this week in this price range, and I think it will be the chalk build with so many cheap options at RB this week. Evans target average goes up from 8.5 with Vincent Jackson to 12.5 without him. Jackson is on IR, and Evans has a great matchup vs. the 49ers. Evans should be a top-three WR this week.

Comments by Kevin: I love Evans this week! Evans has double-digit targets in four consecutive games, five receptiosn every week and a touchdown in four of five games. Like in Week 2 (17 targets), Evans has shown to be a type of receiver that could approach 20 targets in a given week. Since last season, Evans is tied with Antonio Brown for most 15-target games (four) behind Julio Jones (seven). With V-Jax out, this could easily be another 15-target game for Evans in a favorable matchup against a bad and fast-paced 49ers team. It wouldn't surprise me if Evans finished with 100-plus yards and two scores this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons ($5,900): Freeman is my favorite, or one of my favorite plays, this week and here's part of what I wrote in our DFS Round Table post: "Freeman (59.44% of team's RB usage) is getting the larger share of the workload than [Tevin] Coleman (38.33%). Not only does Freeman have a minimum of 15 touches in all six games this season, but he has five targets in three of the past four games. So far this season, no team has allowed more receptions to RBs than the Chargers (54) and only the Saints (10) have allowed more TDs to RBs than the Chargers (nine)." As home favorites in the game with the largest over/under and this week's highest Vegas implied total, Freeman is a safe play with enormous upside.

Comments by Sean: This is the highest total game of the week, and San Diego’s defense is pretty bad. This is a game I will be stacking. I won't make the mistake this week to leave Matty Ice out of my Falcons stack like I did when they faced the Panthers. Freeman is priced in the middle of the pack still, and could get overlooked with everyone wanting to jump on board the Julio Jones express. I love Freeman for both cash and tournaments.

3. Sean - Jack Doyle, TE, Colts ($2,500): Doyle comes in at the minimum of $2,500. Dwayne Allen will be out this week, which should increase Doyle’s targets. There is a concern that that Colts offensive line is so bad that Doyle will be left in to block, but It also could mean Andrew Luck is forced to throw quick short passes. Tennessee is very aggressive blitzing on defense, which could lead to a lot of quick check downs to Doyle. For the minimum, I think Doyle is a great play who could push to be a sneaky top 5-7 TE this week.

Comments by Kevin: Based on salary, Doyle should easily exceed value. The Colts have shown a propensity to target their TEs, especially in the red zone, so Doyle has plenty of upside. Even with Dwayne Allen in the lineup, we saw that upside in Week 1 when he led all tight ends in fantasy production. Aside from the concern noted above by Sean about possibly keeping him in to block often, the other concern is a possible high ownership.

4. Kevin - Allen Robinson, WR, Jaguars ($7,300): Robinson has underperformed compared to expectations this season with his most recent outing in a favorable matchup (Chicago) being a complete dud (3/49). Ownership levels should be very low considering some of the other high-priced receivers in great matchups. That said, A-Rob has 17 TDs in his past 20 games, a favorable matchup against the Raiders and double-digit targets in three of five games this season. Could this be the week that he breaks out with a monster game?

Comments by Sean: The Raiders rank last in the NFL in yards allowed in the air this year, and what's even more amazing is that they have played some pretty inept passing attack teams (Titans, Chiefs, Ravens) this season. Robinson should absolutely eat against this secondary.

5. Sean - Blake Bortles, QB, Jaguars ($6,200): I think Andy Dalton will be the highest-owned QB this week as he has the safest floor facing the Browns, but if the Bengals get up big we could see them take their foot off the gas. As noted with A-Rob, the Raiders have the worst pass defense in the league. If this game shoots out, Bortles could be a top-three scorer this week.

Comments by Kevin: Given the upside of the QBs priced right below Bortles (Marcus Mariota, Dalton, etc.), many could skip right over Bortles. We have seen a lot of fantasy QBs have big games against the Raiders and Bortles scored the fourth-most fantasy points last season so the upside is there even if he is off to a relatively slow start this season.

6. Kevin - Tevin Coleman, RB, Falcons ($4,900): I expect Freeman to be a popular pick in all contests this weekend, but Coleman could be very low-owned. For $600 less, you could get Jacquizz Rodgers, who should get a monster workload (35 touches in Week 5 before the bye) and has an ideal matchup against the 49ers (five consecutive 100-yard rushers allowed). Given the other injuries at RB in Buffalo, San Francisco, etc., there are plenty of bargain-basement options at the position.

It's not common that you could (or should) roster two running backs from the same team in a GPP, but I think both backs could be in store for a big game. Back in Week 3, the duo finished as the top-two weekly RBs in a favorable matchup against the Saints. In a less favorable matchup against the Broncos in Week 5, the duo finished as a pair of top-eight PPR RBs. I'd expect less than one percent of lineups to have both backs in the same lineup and Coleman could be less than 5%-owned overall.

Comments by Sean: The Freeman/Coleman combo has worked in the past for Atlanta. If you are going to fade Julio, then this is a perfect leverage play to get extra exposure to the Falcons skilled players. Coleman disappointed many owners last week, so I expect his ownership to be low. This is a high risk/reward play.

7. Sean - A.J. Green, WR, Bengals ($8,600): Well, we have three of my favorite WRs plays this week in this GPP lineup. All three have the upside to be the days No. 1 scorer. It also would not be a horrible strategy to play all three of them as a core and rotate in some of the low-value plays. I have two concerns this week with Green, which will probably lead me to be a little underweight on him. The blowout factor mentioned above, and the possible return of goal-line machine Tyler Eifert. Green still has enormous upside and should not be overlooked this week.

Comments by Kevin: Green has a pair of 170-yard games this season in great matchups against the Jets and Dolphins. This week, he gets a great matchup against the Browns. It's certainly possible that this is one of those 30-point fantasy outings for Green. My main concern is that the Bengals jump out to an early lead as 10-point favorites and we see a lot of the running game this week, but I still like AJG a lot.

8. Kevin - Mike Gillislee, RB, Bills ($3,000): Assuming that LeSean McCoy is out this week (one report suggests a multi-week absence, another says that he'll be a GTD), Gillislee is going to be one of the chalk plays at running back this week. Priced at only $3,000 in a soft matchup against the Dolphins, the Bills should continue to utilize a run-heavy game plan with Gillislee. Obviously, Gillislee is a talent downgrade from McCoy, but the Bills have 135 rush attempts for a league-high 847 yards (6.27 YPC) and seven TDs in their past four games since making a change at offensive coordinator.

Comments by Sean: LeSean McCoy missed practice again today with a hamstring injury. If he is out, Gillislee will be one of the most popular value plays of the week. You really only need about 12-15 points here from him to pay off, and given the workload he will see, he should have no problem paying that off.

9. Kevin - Minnesota Vikings DST ($3,700): With enough salary left to select any defense, I'm going with my top-ranked fantasy defense of the week. The Vikings have a minimum of 8.0 DK points in all five games and double-digit fantasy points in four of those five games. Not only do the Vikings have four defensive TDs, they have 19 sacks, seven interceptions and five fumble recoveries this season. They have also limited opposing offenses to 16 points or fewer in all games. With the Eagles dealing with issues on the offensive line and coming off their bye, they are in a good spot despite being on the road.

Comments by Sean: Defenses are a crap shoot each week basically because anyone can return a kick for a TD or get a couple of defensive scores. I really don't like paying up for them in tournaments because of this. I'd rather use my cap space on players where I can predict point totals better. I won't have much exposure to Minnesota D this weekend.

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October 19, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 7

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 7?

Sean Beazley: DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans ($7,200)

One of my favorite DK plays this week is Titans RB DeMarco Murray. Murray is the fourth-highest priced RB this week, and has an extremely favorable matchup vs. the Colts. Murray has had 20-plus touches in each of his last four games, and I expect another heavy workload for him this week.

Last week, DeMarco was the chalk, and he disappointed many owners. This week, I think he will get overlooked. David Johnson is only priced $200 higher than Murray and is coming off a great game In prime time. I think the majority of players will click DJ’s name even with the bad matchup over DeMarco in an elite matchup.

I would estimate ownership being 10-15% higher on DJ this week. Recency bias at its finest, and this is the week to capitalize. I think DeMarco will be the highest-scoring RB this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons ($5,900)

One of my GPP strategies will be to start both Freeman and Tevin Coleman in the same lineup. Normally it wouldn't make sense to pair running backs from the same team in the same GPP lineup, but the Falcons are home favorites with the highest implied point total of the week. The duo has shown that they have the potential to BOTH perform as top-eight PPR running backs in the same week twice in their past four games.

With all that said, Freeman (59.44% of team's RB usage) is getting the larger share of the workload than Coleman (38.33%). Not only does Freeman have a minimum of 15 touches in all six games this season, but he has five targets in three of the past four games. So far this season, no team has allowed more receptions to RBs than the Chargers (54) and only the Saints (10) have allowed more TDs to RBs than the Chargers (nine).

Brendan Donahue: DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans ($7,200)

Murray is the clear workhorse in Tennessee and is even getting more carries as the year goes on as evidenced by his 73 carries and seven catches over the past three weeks. With that type of volume and talent going against the 30th-ranked defense against opposing RBs this year, I think Murray has a chance to be the top-scoring RB of the week. At $7200, I think he's as safe an option to build a lineup around.

John Trifone: Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans ($6,000)

At $6K, Mariota is one of the cheaper viable quarterback options this week and he's got a great matchup at home against the Colts. He's rushed for over 60 yards in each of his last two games and has thrown six TDs and rushed for one in those games. Mariota should easily pay off value but also has tremendous upside, and as a lower-cost option, will allow you to spend up in other spots.

Dan Yanotchko: Allen Hurns, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,000)

This week, I really like Allen Hurns going up against the worst pass defense in the league, the Oakland Raiders. Hurns is due for a breakout game, as he has complied 200 yards on 20 receptions, but he has been targeted 38 times in those five games. The Raiders allow 313 yards passing per game, and 12 touchdowns as well, so Hurns is a great add this week.

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October 18, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 7

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 7 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (34 percent)

With or without Antonio Gates in the lineup, Henry has been highly productive over the past four weeks. With more than 60 receiving yards in each of those games, Henry has also scored a touchdown in three consecutive outings. During that four-game span, Henry has a total of 18 catches (on 24 targets) for 290 yards and three scores.

The good times should continue to roll for Henry with a couple of favorable matchups coming up. Henry, Gates and the Chargers next face the Falcons, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position this season. After Atlanta in Week 7, the Chargers get a rematch against the Broncos and Henry just had a 6/83/1 line against them on Thursday Night Football last week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (19 percent)

Prior to Tampa's Week 6 bye, Brate had just one catch for 38 yards on three targets against the Panthers. Before that, however, Brate had five catches in back-to-back games and a total of 113 yards and two touchdowns on 18 targets over that two-game span.

While he may not get eight-plus targets like he had in Weeks 3 and 4, Brate gets a nice stretch of favorable matchups with San Francisco, Oakland and Atlanta next up on the schedule. All three of those teams rank in the top-12 most fantasy-friendly defenses to opposing tight ends this season.

3. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills (24 percent)

Since firing their offensive coordinator, the Bills have won four consecutive games in large part to their success in the running game. With Sammy Watkins (foot) sidelined, however, Clay has emerged as a more integral component of the passing game.

In each of his past three games, Clay has a minimum of five receptions. While he has yet to score a touchdown this season, he gets a fantasy-friendly matchup against his former team (Dolphins) in Week 7. The Dolphins have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

4. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (four percent)

Davis has the potential to make for an excellent Week 7 streamer for Greg Olsen or Jason Witten owners -- both tight ends on bye in Week 7. With Jordan Reed (concussion) out in Week 6, Davis got the start and was productive with a 2/50/1 performance.

Given Reed's troubling history with concussions, it's certainly possible that this turns into a multi-game absence for him. If so, Davis and Washington's tight ends get a favorable matchup against the Lions, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

5. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (one percent)

Fiedorowicz has gone from barely used (two catches for seven yards) in his first three games to finishing as the weekly TE7, TE13 and TE3, respectively, over the past three weeks. During that three-game span, he has 14 catches for 194 yards and two touchdowns. Following a Week 7 matchup against the Broncos, Fiedorowicz has a great schedule in the second half.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 7

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 7

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 7 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (13 percent)

Britt scored his first touchdown, and second, on Sunday, but he has been consistently productive all season. With a minimum of 67 yards in five of six games, Britt now has a total of 30 catches for 492 yards and two scores.

From 1999 to 2007, it was an annual tradition for the Rams to have one (or two) 1,000-yard receivers every year with Torry Holt and/or Isaac Bruce. Not only is Britt on pace to become the team's first 1,000-yard receiver in nearly a decade, he's currently on pace for 1,312 yards. Only four other receivers in franchise history have ever reached the 1,300-yard mark.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (45 percent)

Not only has Beasley scored double-digit PPR fantasy points in every game this season, he has been productive in standard-scoring formats as well. Through Week 6, Beasley has scored the 19th-most fantasy points (15th-most in PPR) and has averaged 5.5/64.8/0.5 per game during that span.

The team is on bye in Week 7 and Beasley's weekly production will likely dip once Dez Bryant returns (likely following their bye), but he's worth picking up in all formats and league sizes. While Tony Romo (back) may be ready to return following the bye, Dak Prescott is playing well and Beasley has shown plenty of chemistry with the rookie signal-caller.

3. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (39 percent)

Coleman had 104 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2 and has missed the past four games with a broken hand. Although he hasn't yet been cleared to practice, he will immediately become a WR3 (or better) once he's able to return.

4. Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (47 percent)

On the season, Enunwa is averaging 5.0/56.0 on 7.33 targets per game, but he had his lowest number of targets (five, 14.71% target share) in Week 6. He now has finished outside the top-40 fantasy wide receivers in four consecutive weeks. With Eric Decker (shoulder) out for the season and better matchups on the horizon, however, we should expect more production going forward.

5. Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (one percent)

Lining up often in the backfield and getting three carries, Montgomery had a team-high 12 targets, 10 catches and 98 receiving yards. With no other catches this season, we obviously shouldn't expect double-digit receptions from Montgomery every week, but Davante Adams (concussion) is unlikely to play on a short week against the Bears. In addition, James Starks (knee) will miss roughly a month.

6. Robert Woods, Buffalo Bills (22 percent)

Over the past four weeks, Woods has a minimum of six targets every week and five-plus catches in three of four games. While he has converted 20-of-30 receptions into 210 yards and a score during that span, Woods has exceeded 51 receiving yards only once this season. With Sammy Watkins sidelined, Woods is the team's top receiving option albeit in a run-dominant offense.

7. Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (25 percent)

With Colin Kaepernick taking over as quarterback, it's certainly a positive for Smith. With the Blaine Gabbert under center, the speedster was virtually invisible. In Kaepernick's first game, Smith had a 25-percent target share for only the second time this season. (In the previous two games, he was targeted on 8.7 and 3.23 percent of Gabbert's pass attempts, respectively.)

Smith turned his seven targets into three catches for 76 yards and a touchdown and finished the week as a top-10 fantasy receiver. While I wouldn't expect another top-10 finish, the 49ers face the Buccaneers in Week 7. Tampa has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

8. Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (29 percent)

Even though he has three or fewer receptions (and four or fewer targets) in each of his past three games, Crowder continues to be productive. The diminutive receiver has now finished as a top-30 wide receiver (standard scoring) in four of his past five games.

Crowder and the Redskins receivers have a favorable matchup in Week 7 against the Lions, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

9. Anquan Boldin, Detroit Lions (20 percent)

Boldin reached the 50-yard mark for the first time in Week 6, but the veteran wideout has a minimum of four catches in five consecutive games. In addition, he has scored a touchdown in three of those five games. With the bulk of bye weeks on the horizon, Boldin provides some consistent bye-week production.

10. Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (19 percent)

Here's the good news: Matthews has 70-plus yards and/or a touchdown in three consecutive games. In those games, he has finished as the weekly WR32, WR28 and WR11, respectively.

What's the bad news? Even though he has a 100-percent catch rate during that stretch, Matthews has only nine targets in those three games. Unless his production is followed by an increase in volume, it's unlikely that he continues to maintain his recent level of production.

11. Brian Quick, Los Angeles Rams (nine percent)

Quick had a season-high five catches in Week 6, but he now has 50-plus yards in four consecutive games. Over that four-game span, the ex-Appalachian State receiver has 12 catches for 234 yards and three touchdowns. While I'd prefer Britt or Tavon Austin over Quick, he's worth a look in deeper leagues.

12. Breshad Perriman, Baltimore Ravens (four percent)

Perriman had a season-high eight targets in Week 6 and turned those targets into three catches for a season-high 48 yards. If Steve Smith Sr. misses another game, Perriman is a deep-league flier in Week 7 versus a poor Jets secondary that allows a league-high 9.2 yards per pass attempt.

13. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (three percent)

Coming off his best game of the year, Wright is unlikely to come anywhere close to his Week 6 production (8/133/1 on nine targets). While his upcoming matchups won't all be as good as his last week's against Cleveland, Wright and the Titans receivers have a favorable schedule upcoming -- Colts, Jaguars, Chargers, Packers, Colts (again) and Bears.

14. Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins (14 percent)

With Jordan Reed (concussion) sidelined, Garcon had a season-high 11 targets last week. He turned those 11 targets into six catches for 77 yards. As noted above, Washington gets a top-five fantasy matchup this week against the Lions.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 7

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 7 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (30 percent)

Clearly, you shouldn't expect a 200-yard, two-TD game every week from Ajayi. That said, Ajayi has now been usable in three of the past four weeks as he has finished as the RB25, RB38, RB17 and RB1, respectively. Given that Arian Foster (hamstring) returned in Week 6 but had just five touches, it wouldn't surprise me if Ajayi once again dominated backfield touches in Week 7 and perhaps even longer if he continues to be effective. That said, the Dolphins have a bye in Week 8.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (43 percent)

Following Jacksonville's bye, Ivory had 11 carries for 32 yards and a touchdown and added two catches for three yards. While it wasn't an efficient performance, he did get nearly twice as many touches (13) as teammate T.J. Yeldon (seven). Ivory now has 13 touches in two of three games since returning from an undisclosed condition that sidelined him for the first two weeks of the season. Perhaps difficult to trust as a starter, Ivory (and Yeldon) have a favorable matchup in Week 7 against the Raiders, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

3. Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (27 percent)

After getting 20-plus touches in three of the first four games, C.J. Anderson has a season-low 14 touches in back-to-back games. In terms of workload share with CJA, Booker has gone from 25.5 percent of the touches (28 of 110) in the first four games combined to 37.8 percent (17 of 45) over the past two games.

While I'm not sure that his share will increase to much better than a 60/40 split as long as both backs are healthy, Booker could certainly maintain his current usage rate going forward. In addition, the volume of overall RB touches should increase considering the Broncos have back-to-back losses.

4. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots (25 percent)

It's unclear when Lewis might return, but Lewis has shown how productive he can be in a Tom Brady-led offense. Once he returns, he's likely to get the majority of passing-down snaps sooner rather than later. Lewis is technically eligible to return now, but a return following their Week 9 bye is probably the most-likely scenario.

5. Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (23 percent)

After missing the previous three games, Doug Martin (hamstring) is expected to return against the 49ers in Week 7. If he does, he gets a great matchup against a team that has allowed a 100-yard rusher in five consecutive games. If he doesn't, Rodgers should get another massive workload.

Before the bye, Quizz had 30 carries for 101 yards and five catches for 28 yards against the Panthers. Either way, Rodgers will fill the change-of-pace role once Martin is healthy considering Charles Sims was placed on Injured Reserve.

6. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (28 percent)

Terrance West has been highly productive with three strong performances since the Ravens have released Justin Forsett. In those three games, West has 55 carries for 295 yards (5.36 YPC) and three touchdowns plus six catches for 30 yards. In other words, Dixon's opportunity to take over as lead back may only come from an injury to West.

In Week 6, West had 27 of 35 RB touches. Appearing in only his second NFL game since sustaining a preseason knee injury, Dixon has the talent to create a larger role as the season progresses.

7. Bilal Powell, New York Jets (37 percent)

So far this season, only Matt Forte (72.5 percent) and Powell (27.5) have RB touches for the Jets. After getting only eight combined touches in the first two weeks of the season, Powell has double-digit touches in three of his past four games.

If Forte were to miss time, Powell has plenty of upside all league formats. With Forte healthy, however, Powell has been useful in PPR formats with 11-plus fantasy points in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, Powell has 21 receptions for 148 yards on 28 targets.

8. DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (45 percent)

With Latavius Murray (toe) out another week, Washington had a team-high and season-high 10 carries for 49 yards against the Chiefs. Washington has been efficient (5.341 yards per carry) and has been a deeper-league flex option as a top-38 performer in four of the past five weeks. Once Murray returns, Washington will likely get a lighter workload, but he's worth owning in all league sizes.

9. Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (11 percent)

Not only is Ameer Abdullah on Injured Reserve, but Theo Riddick and Dwayne Washington were inactive in Week 6. The only two running backs to get touches for the Lions in Week 6 were Zach Zenner (77 yards on 16 touches) and newly-signed Justin Forsett (five yards on five carries).

Washington did participate in a limited practice on Friday of last week before being declared inactive so it's possible that he returns for next week's matchup against the Redskins. The Redskins have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

10. Chris Thompson, Washington Redskins (eight percent)

Thompson has been productive so far this season -- RB33 in standard, RB29 in PPR. Thompson has not had any big games, but he has been consistently productive. He has finished as a top-40 weekly running back (standard scoring) in all but one game this season. Thompson is worth a look by owners in deep(er) standard leagues as well as 12-team PPR leagues.

11. Zach Zenner, Detroit Lions (one percent)

Depending on the health of the rest of the backfield, Zenner may be in line for another heavy workload. Against the Rams, he gained 58 yards on 14 carries and added 19 yards on two receptions. As noted above, the Lions have a favorable matchup against the Redskins this week.

12. Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (17 percent)

Asiata had a season-high 17 touches in a lopsided win over the Texans prior to his Week 6 bye. It was the first time that he had more than eight touches in a game this season, but Asiata now has a touchdown in back-to-back games. Considering Week 5 was the first time he rushed for more than 15 yards in a game this season, Asiata remains a TD-dependent boom-or-bust option.

13. Rob Kelley, Washington Redskins (one percent)

Even though Matt Jones has exceeded 100 rushing yards in two of the past three games, Kelley could see his role in the rushing attack continue to expand as the season progresses. The UDFA had five carries for 59 yards, both of which were season highs, against the Eagles in Week 6.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 7

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 7 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (27 percent)

Bad news first: Smith failed to exploit a favorable matchup against the Raiders. Part of that lack of fantasy production should be attributed to the run-heavy game plan (40 of 64 offensive plays were runs) in the team's double-digit win on an inclimate weather day. While Smith completed an efficient 19-of-22 pass attempts (86.36 percent) for 224 yards (10.18 Y/A), but he failed to reach nine fantasy points.

Going forward, Smith has a number of favorable matchups to (potentially) exploit. Most immediately, Smith and the Chiefs will host the Saints, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Following that matchup, he faces the Colts, Jaguars, Panthers and Buccaneers -- all of whom rank in the top half in terms of favorable matchups to the position.

Of course, the concern is that the Chiefs will take the air out of the ball in any game where they have a commanding lead. As we are about to enter the heart of the bye weeks, however, Smith provides streaming value as a fringe top-12 weekly fantasy quarterback nearly every week from Weeks 7 to 11.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 7 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Brian Hoyer, Chicago Bears (20 percent)

While Hoyer failed to throw a touchdown, he extended his streak of 300-yard passing games to four. Not only is that the longest such streak this season, but Philip Rivers is the only quarterback with a three-game streak of 300-yard games. There is a quick turnaround this week, but the Bears will face the Packers, who have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. At some point, the Bears may turn back to Jay Cutler, but Hoyer is a potential plug-and-play for owners in need of a starter this week.

3. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (eight percent)

Starting for the first time this season, Kaepernick was a better fantasy -- than real -- quarterback as he completed only 13-of-29 pass attempts for 187 yards. That said, the dual-threat quarterback scored a total of 18.08 fantasy points and nearly finished inside the top-12 (QB14) fantasy quarterbacks in Week 6. In the next three weeks, the 49ers face the Buccaneers, have a bye and then get the Saints. Kaep has plenty of upside in both of those matchups vs. leaky NFC South secondaries.

4. Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (31 percent)

In his past four games, Fitzpatrick has thrown just two touchdowns and 10 interceptions. It's been a brutal stretch of matchups for Fitzpatrick (and he was even benched at the end of Monday night's loss to the Cardinals). Coach Todd Bowles has said that Fitzpatrick will continue to start and it's about to get better (from a schedule standpoint) with Baltimore, Cleveland and Miami up over the next three weeks.

The Ravens haven't allowed a lot of yards (260 or less in their first five games), but Eli Manning threw for 403 yards and three scores against them in Week 6. In addition, they have allowed a total of 12 passing touchdowns in five games since Week 2. Meanwhile, the Browns and Dolphins have allowed the third- and 15th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, respectively.

5. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

The good news is that Flacco has thrown 40-plus pass attempts in five consecutive games and has averaged 46.2 over that five-game stretch. The bad news is that he has only two passing touchdowns over his past four games (186 pass attempts) and he has finished as a top-15 fantasy quarterback only once this season despite several favorable matchups.

But, if you're in need of a streamer, Flacco is worth a roll of the dice against the Jets. The Jets have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points this season to the position.

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October 16, 2016

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 6 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals -7.5 over New York Jets (3 Units)

The Cardinals have been a disappointment so far this season, but they got a win to improve to 2-3 with Carson Palmer sidelined with a concussion last week. Coming off a Thursday Night win, the Cardinals got a mini-bye and face a Jets pass defense that allows opposing quarterbacks to throw for 9.2 Y/A, a 118.6 passer rating and a 71.7 completion percentage, all of which are the worst in the NFL. I expect the Cardinals to light up the Jets, with or without Darrelle Revis, for roughly 30-plus points on Sunday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 6 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Seattle Seahawks -6.5 over Atlanta Falcons (3 Units)

It's tough to play in Seattle and the high-flying Atlanta offense will have its stiffest test to date against the Seahawks and their 12th Man. Matt Ryan & Co. escaped Denver with a win last week, so I think they are better than their doubters may believe. With the Seahawks coming off a bye, however, it's good timing for Russell Wilson, who has battled ankle and knee injuries early this season, and Jimmy Graham has back-to-back 100-yard games prior to the bye.

Washington Redskins +3 over Philadelphia Eagles (3 Units)

In many cases, you go throw out records in divisional matchups. The Eagles are a Ryan Mathews fumble away from a 4-0 start under rookie quarterback Carson Wentz, who threw his first NFL interception on his last NFL pass attempt. In general, one of my favorite plays is a home underdog and especially so in a divisional matchup so I'll take Washington and the points at home even without Jordan Reed.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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October 14, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 6

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 5 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. I had the first and odd-numbered picks; Sean had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. ATL), $6,9000
RB - Lamar Miller, Houston Texans (vs. IND), $6,600
RB - DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (vs. KC), $4,200
WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at CHI), $7,800
WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. LA), $7,200
WR - Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers (at MIA), $4,700
TE - Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks (vs. ATL), $4,900
FLEX - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (at SEA), $4,800
DST - Jacksonville Jaguars DST (at CHI), $2,700

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Kevin - Allen Robinson, WR, Jaguars: In our DFS Round Table post this week, Robinson was my choice. I think he's a great option in both GPPs and cash games. Priced on DraftKings as the WR7, A-Rob goes into Week 6 as the WR2 in my rankings. After leading the league with 14 touchdown receptions last season, Robinson got three TDs in his two games prior to the bye and has double-digit targets in three of four games. It wouldn't surprise me if this is the first week of the year that he goes over 100 yards and scores.

Comments by Sean: I'm a huge A-Rob fan. I went all-in Week 3 when they faced the Ravens and was rewarded with two scores, and a boost to my bankroll. He has a great matchup vs. the Bears so I am on board with this play. I think this is a very good game to stack as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 6 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Sean - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seahawks: Now is the time to get on board the Jimmy Graham Express. Two consecutive games with eight or more targets, and over 20 DK points in each of them. The Seahawks have a very good matchup vs. the Falcons. I think Graham has another 20-plus point week.

Comments by Kevin: Graham has finished as a top-five fantasy TE in back-to-back weeks before Seattle's bye and gets a phenomenal matchup this week against the Falcons. Based on some of the tight ends priced around him (e.g., Delanie Walker at $5,500 and Martellus Bennett at $4,900 as examples), Graham will likely be relatively low-owned with plenty of upside. I like this pick.

3. Kevin - Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks: Despite the injuries that Wilson has dealt with earlier this season (yet not missed any time), I like the fact that he had his bye last week. Before the bye, Wilson had his best game of the season (23/32, 309 yards, three TDs). With the emergence of Graham, Wilson has as much upside as any quarterback this week.

Comments by Sean: Kevin stole my pick here. I absolutely love Russell Wilson this week. Everyone will want to get a piece of the Saints/Panthers game, but I think Wilson could be the highest-scoring QB of the week. Wilson also comes with a 1K savings over Drew Brees.

4. Sean - DeAndre Washington, RB, Raiders: Everyone will be off DeAndre this week after his poor performance vs. a very bad Chargers defense. Latavius Murray missed practice again on Thursday and his status is still up in the air for this week's game. Even if Murray is able to go, Washington will still likely see 10-12 touches. This is a great spot for a bounce back.

Comments by Kevin: In our "draft" last week, I wasn't crazy about Washington, but I like him more this week than last. His ownership should be much lower than last week and he has shown the ability to be productive on a per-touch basis (5.48 YPC this season). If the Raiders go with a hot-hand approach, Washington has as much potential as Jalen Richard to develop the "hot hand" this week.

5. Kevin - Lamar Miller, RB, Texans: Miller had just nine touches in last week's 18-point loss to the Vikings. Before that, however, he had a minimum of 22 touches in each of the first four games with an average of 26.5 over that stretch. In a favorable matchup against the Colts, who have allowed the third-most PPR points to opposing running backs this season, Miller could be in store for a massive (and much more efficient) workload. At his $6,600 price point, I love the upside.

Comments by Sean: Miller might go overlooked this week as well giving the recency bias after his bad game vs. Minnesota last week. He is in a very good spot this week vs the Colts, and I expect the Texans to be able to move the ball at will vs. them.

6. Sean - Marvin Jones, WR, Lions: His production has dipped since his red hot start, but I like him a lot here in tournaments this week. I would expect ownership to fall in under 7% for him this week as the majority of players will be paying up for RBs this week. Jones is also in a weird price point surrounded by Dez Bryant and Alshon Jeffery, two receivers that I don't expect people to be playing either. The Lions play better at home, so I think Jones will be back to getting his targets and points.

Comments by Kevin: Jones is coming off a sub-par performance (4/37/1 on five targets) last week, but he had 74-plus yards in each of his first four games including games with 118 yards and 205 yards. I'm on board with Jones this week.

7. Kevin - Tevin Coleman, RB, Falcons: The duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman have exactly 1,000 YFS through five games. With just shy of 40 percent (39.87%) of the RB touches, Coleman has a total of five touchdowns and most of his production has come in the receiving game (17/313/1). Coleman has shown what he could do in a tough matchup (last week vs. Broncos) and I think he should be very low-owned given the tough matchup this week.

Comments by Sean: Sadly, this will be the first time I played Tevin Coleman on a full slate this season. This is the perfect complementary play to go alongside the Russell/Graham stack. If you think Seattle is going to go off this week like I do, then Atlanta will be playing from behind which should lead to a ton of garbage time targets for Coleman. Coleman should be able to hit value this week.

8. Sean - Sammie Coates, WR, Steelers: I was stuck with the final two picks this week. I like Coates spot this week, and he isn't nearly as high priced as he should be giving the fact that he has solidified himself as the team's No. 2 WR. Coates missed practiced today with a hand injury, which might be one of the reasons why he dropped so many passes last week! If Coates doesn't play, I would 2v2 swap him and my D with Michael Thomas/Titans D.

Comments by Kevin: I loved Coates last week. The leader in 40-yard receptions this season, Coates is a big play waiting to happen. My only concern with him this week is the expected spike in ownership, but his salary is great (assuming that he plays).

9. Sean - Jacksonville Jaguars, DST: Defenses are such a crap shoot each week. I tend to play roughly 5-7 defenses each week in my GPP lineups. I usually only play defenses at home, but from time to time I will roll the dice on a small road dog. This play will be under 3% owned, and it could be the difference in a big pay day.

Comments by Kevin: Brian Hoyer has three consecutive 300-yard, multi-TD games, but he's Brian Hoyer. I like Hoyer actually from a fantasy perspective this week, but did I mention that he's Brian Hoyer. I have no qualms with taking a defense facing the great Brian Hoyer.

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October 13, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 6

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 6?

Sean Beazley: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($6,300)

Roster construction last week was cheap RB and pay up for WR. This week, I expect it to be the exact opposite as there are so many high priced RBs in great matchups. Cam Meredith will likely be one of the highest-owned players to get those stud RBs in. I think this week a more balanced approach will be key to differentiate yourself from the pack. One of those targets I like this week is Jeremy Maclin. Maclin is priced outside the top 20 this week, and he gets a very juicy matchup vs. the Raiders, who can’t stop anyone. Maclin has had success in the past vs. the Raiders (12/149/3 last season) and I think he has top-five upside this week. Fire him up in GPPs.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 6 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars ($7,500)

There are plenty of players that I considered, but I absolutely love Allen Robinson this week. While there are six other receivers priced higher than A-Rob, the third-year wideout is my second-ranked receiver after Antonio Brown ($10,000) this week. The volume of targets has been there for Robinson, who has double-digit targets in three of four games. After leading (tied) the league with 14 touchdowns last season, Robinson has three touchdowns in his past two games before the bye. That said, the immensely talented receivers has yet to have that monster game that he's capable of producing and it wouldn't surprise me if it happened against a beatable Bears secondary that just gave up 10/171/1 last week to T.Y. Hilton.

Brendan Donahue: Sammie Coates, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers ($4,700)

While I don't expect Coates to duplicate exactly what he did last week, he is certainly trending in that direction. In the past two weeks, he has 12 catches for 218 yards and two touchdowns on 19 targets. He actually had a few drops last week that cost him an even bigger day and an easy touchdown, but Ben Roethlisberger is clearly gaining confidence in him. In a great matchup against the Dolphins defense that ranks 29th against WRs, he is a great value at only $4,700.

John Trifone: Robert Woods, WR, Buffalo Bills ($4,200) and Cam Meredith, WR, Chicago Bears ($4,100)

My DK pick this week is going to go back to some value options and I'm going to give two WRs in the same range: Robert Woods for $4,200 and Cam Meredith for $4,100. Woods is coming off a poor game, catching only two of his six targets this past week. However, he's got a good matchup coming up and is the Bills top wideout option with Sammy Watkins out. His performance this past week should keep his ownership down.

Meredith also has a good matchup at home against the Jags this week. He played almost the entire game, replacing Kevin White's role, and the presence of Eddie Royal and Alshon Jeffrey on the field did not hurt his production. In the limited time he has played, he's been heavily targeted and made the most of his opportunities. Both wideouts are great value options to open up your lineup to some of the more expensive guys.

Dan Yanotchko: Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans ($6,600)

This week, I really like Lamar Miller of the Texans, as he has a great matchup against the Colts. Miller has averaged 74 yards per game, and added 14 receptions as well, as I believe he will be focal point of their offense this week. The Colts have allowed 109.6 yards per game, 4.6 yards per carry, and five touchdowns on the ground. This week will be a breakthrough for Miller, against a really bad Colts front seven.

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October 09, 2016

Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 5 NFL picks against the spread:

Dallas Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bengals, Under 45.5 (3 Units)

So far, the Dak Prescott "era" (until Tony Romo returns, anyways) has gotten off to a great start -- only a one-point loss away from a perfect 4-0 start. Prescott has yet to turn the ball over and has accounted for five touchdowns -- three passing and two rushing. The Cowboys have scored 24-plus points in three consecutive games (WAS, CHI and SF), but they face their toughest test of the season against the Bengals. And they are likely to be without Dez Bryant for another game.

On the other side of the ball, the Bengals are without tight end Tyler Eifert for another week. They obviously have an All-World talent in A.J. Green, but Andy Dalton has yet to throw multiple touchdowns in a game this season. And aside from the Broncos (206 passing yards and no touchdowns), Dalton has not faced any other elite secondaries. This game is shaping up to be a 21-17, 24-20 type of game.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Denver Broncos -4 over Atlanta Falcons (4 Units)

What a week it was Matt Ryan and Julio Jones! Coming off a 500-yard passing and 300-yard receiving game last week, expectations should be greatly lowered for Week 5. The Broncos have allowed only one 200-yard passer (as noted above -- Dalton, 206 yards) and have held Cam Newton, Andrew Luck and Jameis Winston to less than 200 yards so far this season.

Even though Paxton Lynch will get the start, the duo of Emmanuel Sanders (17/205/3 in pas two games) and Demaryius Thomas (90-plus yards in three consecutive games) have been productive. The Falcons continue to struggle to get to the quarterback. After ranking last in the NFL last season with 19 sacks, they are tied with the Giants with a league-low four sacks this year.

And while a clean pocket will certainly help a rookie quarterback, we should expect to see more C.J. Anderson this week. CJA had 47 touches in the team's first two games and just 35 in the past two games. I like the Broncos to win by a touchdown this week.

Green Bay Packers -7 over New York Giants (3 Units)

Before their bye, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers showed that their offense can be explosive with four first-half touchdowns. They nearly allowed the Lions to come back, but I expect them to keep their foot on the gas pedal longer this time around. Historically, Rodgers is nearly flawless at Lambeau -- 51-13 W-L, 143:26 TD-INT ratio and 110.2 passer rating.

The Packers will force Eli Manning and Odell Beckham to be one-dimensional. Not only is Rashad Jennings (thumb) likely to miss another game, but the Packers have limited opposing running backs to just 2.0 yards per carry. I do expect better results from OBJ this week, but I'm not sure it'll be enough.

With the Packers getting an extra week to rest, which should come in handy considering some of the defensive injuries they were battling prior to the bye, and the Giants playing on a short week (played Monday), I'm comfortable giving the touchdown.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 5 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Martellus Bennett is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 5 with him as my starting tight end.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jordan Reed and Bennett, you should start Reed -- and in turn, bench Bennett.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 5:

TE - Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (at DET)

Ertz has missed the past two games (and a bye), but he was targeted seven times in the opener and finished with six catches for 58 yards. If there's any concern with Ertz this week, it's that he is returning from a multiple-game absence following his injury, but he has been practicing in full.

The matchup couldn't be more perfect. Not only have the Lions allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, but they have surrendered a total of six touchdowns to the position in four games. In addition, they have allowed a top-10 producer every week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (vs. HOU)

Only Carolina's Greg Olsen has scored more fantasy points among tight ends than Rudolph, who has finished as the weekly TE11, TE10, TE6 and TE4, respectively. On pace for 76/884/12, Rudolph has scored a touchdown in all three games with Sam Bradford and he has a minimum of seven targets in every game this season.

Of course, he won't score every week and the matchup is not good. The Texans have limited opposing tight ends to the third-fewest fantasy points this season. Moreover, they have allowed just 7.67 Y/R to the position. Only the Eagles (7.17 Y/R) have allowed less and no team has limited opposing tight ends to a lower catch rate (46.15 percent).

With all of that said, Rudolph should remain one of the most heavily targeted tight ends this week. Not only has he shown a great rapport with Bradford, but Stefon Diggs is listed as doubtful.

TE - Zach Miller, Chicago Bears (at IND)

One week after leading all tight ends in fantasy points, Miller had just three catches for 31 yards, but he scored a touchdown and finished as the weekly TE11. In Brian Hoyer's two starts, Miller now has 11 catches (on 12 targets) for 109 yards and three touchdowns. With Kevin White placed on IR, perhaps Miller seems more targets in Week 5 than he had last week. White -- not Alshon Jeffery -- leads the Bears in targets this season and he has had 23 of them from Hoyer over the past two weeks.

TE - Martellus Bennett, New England Patriots (at CLE)

In fantasy terms, it has been boom-or-bust for Bennett this season. Here's Bennett's game log: 3/14 (TE38), 5/114/1 (TE2), 2/10 (TE33) and 5/109 (TE6). With Tom Brady back from suspension, perhaps this is the week that Rob Gronkowski (hamstring) returns to form.

That said, Bennett is a viable starting option as well as no team is projected to score more points than the Patriots and a shift from being the league's run-heaviest team to more pass-oriented with Brady back should be expected.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 5:

TE - Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis Colts (vs. CHI)

Allen had four catches for 53 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. Since then, however, he has finished with 35 yards or less and outside of the top-20 weekly fantasy tight ends every week. During that three-game span, he has just seven catches for 80 yards and no touchdowns.

TE - Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills (at LA)

With Sammy Watkins out in Week 4, Clay converted five-of-seven targets into 47 yards. With Watkins on IR, Clay may see a similar volume of targets, but it's unlikely that he has a big game. On the season, he has 12 catches for 114 yards and has yet to finish any better than a weekly TE18. Meanwhile, the Rams have allowed the second-lowest catch rate (51.72 percent) to tight ends and the eighth-lowest Y/R (9.13) to the position.

TE - Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (at SD)

In the past two games (with Antonio Gates sidelined), Henry has a total of nine catches for 137 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. In the first two games (with Gates active), Henry had one catch for 20 yards. With the injuries on the roster, it's possible that Henry maintains a significant role as a pass-catcher going forward. That said, Gates (hamstring) is likely to return this week and perhaps that reduces Henry's role in the short term.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 5

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October 08, 2016

Week 5 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Steve Smith is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 5 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned A.J. Green, Jarvis Landry and Smith and can only start two receivers, you should start AJG and Landry -- and in turn, bench Smith.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 5:

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. CLE)

Minus a suspended Tom Brady, the Patriots were the league's most run-heavy team (51.59 percent) in the first quarter of the season. With Brady's suspension over, however, that's about to change and perhaps no player will benefit more than Edelman.

Through the first four games of the season, Edelman has averaged 4.75 catches for 49 yards per game with no touchdowns. In those games, he has finished as the WR35, WR39, WR47 and WR87, respectively, and 55 receivers totalled more fantasy points.

In his past 16 games played with Brady, however, Edelman has a total of 119 catches for 1,355 yards and 10 touchdowns (on 176 targets). Based on Vegas odds, the Patriots have this week's highest implied total. And while a blowout may be a concern, let's not kid ourselves -- Brady, Belichick & Co. aren't going to take their foot off the gas after last week's home shutout loss.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (vs. ATL)

Only Miami's Jarvis Landry (34.09%) has greater share of his team's targets than Sanders (33.60%). With eight-plus targets in every game this season, Sanders has 13 in each of the past two games. In those two games, Sanders has 17 catches for 205 yards and three touchdowns. Sanders' production hasn't come at the expense of Demaryius Thomas, who has a minimum of 90-plus yards in three consecutive games.

Perhaps the Broncos dial up more runs than they have over the past couple of weeks (50.8-percent pass in Weeks 1/2 vs. 56.7-percent pass in Weeks 3/4) with Paxton Lynch expected to start, but Sanders (and Thomas) remain strong options. While the Falcons have talented corners, they have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (at DET)

Matthews had just 2/19/1 on three targets in their blowout win over the Steelers before their bye, but Matthews had a total of 22 targets in the team's first two games. This week's matchup is about as favorable as it gets. The Lions rank 32nd in Football Outsiders DVOA against the pass and they have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. Matthews is a high-end WR2/back-end WR1 this week.

WR - Steve Smith, Baltimore Ravens (vs. WAS)

It took a couple of weeks, but Smith is looking healthy and re-emerged as the team's go-to receiver. With eight catches on 11 targets in each of the past two games, Smith has a total of 198 yards and a touchdown in those games. Washington has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

WR - Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. NYJ)

Technically, Coates is my WR27 in this week's rankings. Typically, I only list top-24 options in this section, but Coates has emerged as a viable WR3/flex option and he has plenty of upside this week. The other reason I list him here is that he is owned in only 31 percent of Yahoo! leagues in case you need a bye-week replacement.

No receiver has more 40-yard receptions than Coates (five); Julio Jones (four) is second. Surprisingly, the big-play receiver has yet to score a touchdown, but he has a total of 282 yards (19th-most in NFL). While Coates is second to Jones in Y/R this season, no team has allowed more Y/R to opposing wide receivers than the Jets (16.6 Y/R).

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 5:

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (vs. PHI)

Earlier in the week, offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter said, "Tate's going to ... have a huge week." Um, ok. Maybe Tate will, but I'm taking a wait-and-see approach before inserting him into my starting lineup. I'd rather be a week late than (many weeks?) too early.

With Calvin Johnson retiring, it seemed as though Tate -- not Marvin Jones -- would be the 1(a) receiver for the Lions. With only 17.11 percent of the team's targets, Tate has barely been the No. 3. While he has more targets (26) than Anquan Boldin (24), he is third among the team's receivers in catches (14) and fifth on the team in receiving yards (95).

While he may not finish outside the top-60 fantasy receivers like all other games this year, the team's matchup against the Eagles isn't great. Coming off their bye, the Eagles have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - Mike Wallace, Baltimore Ravens (vs. WAS)

Starting his tenure in Baltimore with a bang, Wallace has turned into a TD-dependent fantasy option. Scoring three touchdowns in the first two games, Wallace finished as a top-10 fantasy producer in both of those games. With no touchdowns in the past two games, Wallace has finished outside the top-40 weekly fantasy receivers each week. Wallace has less than 45 yards in three consecutive games and Smith (see above) is clearly my favorite Ravens receiver to play this week.

WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (vs. CHI)

The bad news is that Dorsett had just one catch last week. The good news is that it was a 64-yard touchdown. Of course, you can't bank on a one-catch wide receiver finishing as a top-20 receiver (WR16 last week) every week.

It's not a bad matchup against the Bears; in fact, it's a good one. But even with Donte Moncrief out, Dorsett has just four and three targets in Weeks 3 and 4, respectively. More of a dice roll than anything, Dorsett is little more than a flex option until we see more involvement from the second-year speedster.

WR - Vincent Jackson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at CAR)

Even though Jameis Winston has thrown the ball an NFL-high 177 times through four games, Jackson has only 12 catches (on 27 targets) for 137 yards and no touchdowns. Yet to score more than 4.4 fantasy points in any game, Jackson has the 86th-most fantasy points among wide receivers. With only 14.7 percent of the fantasy points scored among the team's wide receivers, Jackson (15.61%) is third behind fellow receivers Mike Evans (27.75%) and Adam Humphries (16.76%) in target share. V-Jax doesn't belong on your bench, however; he belongs on your league's waiver wire.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 5

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Week 5 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Devonta Freeman is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 5 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, C.J. Anderson and Freeman and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and CJA -- and in turn, bench Freeman.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 5:

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. WAS)

To be clear, I prefer Kenneth Dixon long-term (e.g., for the rest of the season). Even though Dixon (knee) is set to make his NFL debut, I expect (more) big things from West in Week 5. With Justin Forsett released, West ran wild last week with a 23/113/1 rushing performance and scored the eighth-most fantasy points among running backs for the week.

West gets a favorable matchup to exploit in Week 5. The former Towson State product faces a Washington defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In addition, no defense has allowed a higher yards-per-carry average to running backs than Washington (5.12 YPC).

If you own West, start him with confidence.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons (at DEN)

Despite a relatively poor Week 1 outing, Freeman has a minimum of 15 touches in all four games this season despite getting only 54.55 percent of the team's running back touches. The dynamic duo of Freeman (RB13 so far in 2015) and Tevin Coleman (RB12) have all but two of the team's running back touches and there is some concern (see below) for Coleman's ability to play a full allocation of snaps this week.

While Freeman has averaged 16.5 touches per game, it's not unreasonable to expect 20-plus this week. Despite the relatively tough matchup, Freeman is a viable RB2 (perhaps borderline RB1 this week).

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (at IND)

Howard handled a massive workload in Week 4 and produced for the Bears and his fantasy owners. The rookie out of Indiana gained 111 yards on 23 carries and added three catches for 21 yards. In his past two games, Howard has a total of 224 yards from scrimmage.

The workload should be there this week as Jeremy Langford is listed as doubtful and Howard gets a favorable matchup. Through a quarter of the season, the Colts have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

RB - Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts (vs. CHI)

If "slow and steady" wins the race, then Gore is your guy. The offensive line has continued to have its share of issues and Gore is once again averaging less than 4.0 YPC. The good news, however, is that Gore has a minimum of 16 touches in all four games and a total of 43 in the past two games.

Gore has finished as a top-15 fantasy running back in three straight games. As a home favorite, the Colts are projected to be a top-five scoring offense this week based on Vegas odds.

RB - DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (vs. SD)

One year after Latavius Murray had more 15-touch games than any player in the NFL, his usage has declined every week: 15, 14, 11 and 10 touches, respectively. With Murray (turf toe) ruled out for Week 5, it will likely be Washington that leads the backfield in touches. After Murray (45.46 percent), Washington (25.46 percent) is second on the team in usage, but Jalen Richard (20.91 percent) is not far behind. If there's any concern with Washington this week, it's that he forms a committee with Richard and the team goes with a hot-hand approach.

That said, Washington has been effective on a per-touch basis. Not only has he averaged 6.68 YPC on the season, but he has averaged over 6.0 YPC in three consecutive games. On the other hand, Richard has averaged just 4.0 YPC in the past three games.

In addition, the Chargers are about as good of a matchup as any on the slate. Surrendering the third-most fantasy points to the position, San Diego has allowed a total of eight running back touchdowns -- six rushing and two receiving. There could be plenty of scoring opportunities as this game features the highest over/under of the week and only the Pats, Steelers and Packers are projected to score more points than the Raiders.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 5:

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (at DEN)

Due to elevated risks, it's perhaps not the wisest of moves for Coleman (sickle cell trait) to play in Denver's high altitude. (Of course, I suppose you can argue that playing this game we love in general isn't the wisest move for a player's long-term health.) That said, Coleman says that he will play yet stay in communication with the team's doctors throughout the game. With an approximate 55/45 split between Freeman and Coleman this season, I wouldn't be surprised if Coleman's workload is scaled back some this week. At the moment, Coleman is ranked outside of my top-24 fantasy running backs.

RB - Rashad Jennings and Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants (at GB)

It appears that Jennings (thumb) will miss another game this week. Regardless of which Giants running back draws the start this week, he (all of them) should remain on your fantasy bench. Not only have the Packers allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, but they have limited them to just 2.0 YPC (64/128/1 rushing) this season.

RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (vs. TEN)

With Arian Foster listed as doubtful for Week 5, Ajayi should get the largest share of work in Week 5. Since Foster was hurt in Week 2, Ajayi has had five, seven and six carries, but it seems like he could get a larger share this week. That said, the Titans have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In other words, Ajayi is nothing more than a flex option this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 5

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 5 DFS Resources:

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Week 5 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Carson Wentz is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 5 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Ben Roethlisberger and Wentz, you should start Big Ben -- and in turn, bench Wentz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 5:

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (at DET)

It has been a perfect 3-0 start in Wentzlvania and the games haven't been all that close (+65 scoring differential). Playing beyond his years, the rookie from North Dakota State has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in two of three games and has thrown five touchdowns with no turnovers. In fact, the Eagles are the only team with no turnovers yet this season.

As is typical for a rookie, Wentz is sure to have some ups and downs (eventually), but he has vastly exceeded expectations so far. Only the Falcons have allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than the Lions this season. One other positive for Wentz is the that Zach Ertz (ribs) will return in Week 5 and the Lions have really struggled defending tight ends. I expect the good times to continue to roll for last year's No. 2 overall pick.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. SD)

A top-three fantasy quarterback through the first quarter of the season, Carr has finished as a top-eight weekly fantasy quarterback and scored 22-plus fantasy points in three of his four games. Only three teams -- Patriots, Steelers and Packers -- are projected to score more points this week based on implied point totals from Vegas odds.

In four career games versus the Chargers, Carr has thrown a total of eight touchdowns and only two interceptions and the Chargers have just lost their best cornerback, Jason Verrett, for the season. Surrendering the 11th-most fantasy points to the position, the Chargers have allowed 300-plus passing yards in three of four games and the fifth-most passing yards this season.

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at OAK)

The other quarterback in this game is a viable start as well. The Chargers have been hit hard by the injury bug this season. Not only have they lost Verrett, they lost Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead to season-ending ACL injuries in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively. Despite the injuries, Rivers is the QB10 going into Week 5 and has thrown for 320-plus yards in back-to-back games.

Even though the Chargers are underdogs in this game, it's the only game with an over/under above 50 points and San Diego is still projected to score the 10th-most points this week. In addition, the Raiders have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. While they have allowed only one passing touchdown in their past two games, they have allowed a weekly QB6 (or better) in three of four games this season.

QB - Brian Hoyer, Chicago Bears (at IND)

In a week with Drew Brees, Blake Bortles and Russell Wilson all on bye, Hoyer is a viable streaming option this week. In fact, if you were forced to start him over the past two weeks, you were happy with the results. Finishing as the QB11 and QB7 in his two starts, Hoyer threw for 300-plus yards and multiple touchdowns in each game. Part of that is due to volume as Hoyer has a total of 85 pass attempts combined in those two games. The Colts secondary is healthy now, but they are coming off a trip to London without a bye.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 5:

QB - Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (at DEN)

Not only is Ryan the top-scoring fantasy quarterback at this point of the season, but he has yet to finish outside the top-eight weekly fantasy quarterbacks. Ryan has thrown for a league-best 1,473 yards and 11 touchdowns with career and league highs in completion percentage (72.1), Y/A (10.52), passer rating (126.3) and TD% (7.9). Despite what seemed to be a difficult matchup last week, Ryan threw for 503 yards and four touchdowns against the Panthers.

That said, his numbers will eventually come back down to earth and this week's matchup is as tough as it gets. Through four weeks, the Broncos have limited opposing passers -- Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Andy Dalton and Jameis Winston -- to 206 yards or less. In addition, they have given up only two passing touchdowns while intercepting five passes.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. PHI)

Stafford has had a relatively inconsistent start to his season: QB4, QB20, QB2 and QB29. The matchup this week isn't great as Jim Schwartz, Stafford's former head coach, has the Eagles playing great defense. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season and they held Ben Roethlisberger to less than seven fantasy points in their past game. In Big Ben's other three games, he has finished as a weekly top-12 performer. With some other streaming options having favorable matchups this week, Stafford is outside the top-12 of my fantasy quarterbacks in Week 5.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at BAL)

Cousins has thrown zero, one, two and three touchdowns, respectively, in his first four games this season. So, perhaps he's due for four this week? And Cousins has scored at least 17.32 fantasy points in each of his past three games.

That said, the Ravens have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Even though they have surrendered eight touchdowns over their past three games, they have held three of four quarterbacks to under 200 passing yards including Blake Bortles and Derek Carr in back-to-back games. In addition, only the Broncos (5.58) have held quarterbacks to fewer passing yards per attempt than the Ravens (5.97).

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 5

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 5 DFS Resources:

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October 07, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 5

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 5 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:


Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Brandon Marshall, WR, Jets: Marshall may be part of my GPP core this week as I think he is in a great spot this week vs. the Steelers on the road. The Jets should be playing catchup this week, which should lead to a surplus of targets headed towards Marshall. With Eric Decker out last week, Marshall led the team with 12 targets. I think Marshall could be a sneaky top-three WR option this week.

Comments by Kevin: Despite the volume (22 targets) in his past two games, Marshall has been somewhat disappointing. In fact, Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown more interceptions (nine) than Marshall completions (seven) during that span. Not only does Marshall have a career-low catch rate (41.0 percent), but he has a TD/target rate of only 2.564 percent compared to 7.3+ percent in each of the past three seasons. In other words, it would not surprise me if he caught a TD (or two) as that percentage regresses closer to his career average (5.323 percent).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots: During Tom Brady's four-game suspension, Edelman has averaged a 4.75/49 line with no touchdowns. Yawn! In his past 16 games with Brady, however, Edelman has racked up 119 catches (on 176 targets) for 1,355 yards and 10 touchdowns. Not only do the Patriots get Brady back this week, no team is projected to score more points this week as the Browns are tasked with slowing down a pissed-off Brady. As the 18th-priced receiver for DraftKings main slate of Sunday games, Edelman should easily exceed value (for the first time this season).

Comments by Sean: This will be the cheapest you will get Edelman all season. He is in a great spot vs. the Browns in the classic F.U. spot in Brady’s return. If Brady shows any sign of rust, he will look towards Edelman early and often. He makes for a safe GPP play who should have a floor in the 15-20 point range.

3. Sean - DeAndre Washington, RB, Raiders: This backfield has been up for grabs all season. Latavius Murray had had a decreased workload each week and now he is expected to miss this week's game. I’m rolling the dice with Washington over Jalen Richard. I have had success targeting San Diego’s run defense this season.

Comments by Kevin: I prefer this pick in cash games, not GPPs. I don't hate it; I just don't love it. Here's the good news: Washington has been highly efficient on limited touches (6.68 YPC), Latavius Murray (turf toe) is considered doubtful for Week 5 and the Chargers have allowed eight RB touchdowns (six rushing and two receiving) in four games. The bad news? It's been close to a 50-25-25 split with Murray, Washington and Jalen Richard so (close to) a 50-50 split is possible for Washington and Richard, which could cap Washington's ceiling.

4. Kevin - Todd Gurley, RB, Rams: To modify an old series of antacids commercials, how do you spell disappointment? G-U-R-L-E-Y. Even though Gurley has a league-high 90.91 percent of his team's RB touches, the über-talented second-year back is facing 12-men boxes (or so it seems). Given his struggles (a brutal 2.63 YPC), he should be fairly low-owned this week. From a talent standpoint, however, there is always the chance that he busts out for 150 yards and two scores regardless of matchup, but he has a more favorable matchup compared to the past few weeks.

Comments by Sean: I have heard a lot of talk about Gurley this week. I am just not that excited with the play this week, or playing any Rams in DFS for that matter. Gurley is only averaging 2.6 YPC this year, which is by far the worst in the NFL among qualifying backs. If I make 100 lineups this week, I'll probably only have 1 percent exposure to Gurley (this lineup ... haha). Much better options in this price range and below.

5. Sean - Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Jets: As discussed with Marshall, I like the Jets passing attack this week. Pittsburgh has given up nearly 300 yards of passing in every game this year, which bodes well for a QB at pretty much minimum salary. I think Fitz is more than likely to hit that 4x his price point that you want in GPPs on DK (20 points) than Tom Brady (30 points).

Comments by Kevin: You can't spell "Ryan Fitzpatrick" without an "INT." With a one-to-nine TD-to-INT ratio over his past two games, it can only get better for Fitzpatrick, right? Compared to his salary, however, there is certainly upside and I don't mind this choice.

6. Kevin - Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons: With Tevin Coleman saying that he will play this week, it's not clear how much work he'll get. Considering his health condition (sickle cell anemia), it would be wise to not play given the elevated (no pun intended) risks. What I'm hoping is that Coleman is "active" but not a major part of the action. Even with a 55-45 split in workload so far this season, Freeman has 66 touches (16.5/G) through four games. Assuming the Falcons are playing in catch-up mode and Coleman plays less (than usual), Freeman could get 20-plus touches including a ton of targets on Sunday.

Comments by Sean: At first look, Freeman is a terrible play vs. the league's best defense. But if you really dig deeper, this is a brilliant GPP play. Tevin Coleman’s status is up in the air still for Sunday which could lead to Freeman seeing the bulk of the work. The one place you can attack this defense is with pass-catching backs. Freeman is very cheap giving the opportunity he should see this week.

7. Sean - Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers: After the Freeman pick, we were left with a good chunk of change left. I didn't want to pay up for TE this week, so by spending 4K or less on TE and even taking a top-tier defense, it would leave us with a very odd price point for this spot. So, I went with Brown here. Obviously you don't need to know why you should play AB84. If you solely look at roster construction this play fits in perfectly with Fitz & Marshall. The QB-WR1-Opposing WR1 is one of my favorite ways to stack games.

Comments by Kevin: With such a high floor and ceiling, it's always a good idea to own Brown. Only the Patriots are projected to score more points this week than the Steelers. I agree with Sean about the QB with both WR1's being a great GPP stack. Here's a stat I find interesting: Sammie Coates has a league-high five 40-yard receptions with no touchdowns. (That almost seems impossible.) Meanwhile, the Jets have allowed a league-high 16.6 Y/R to opposing WRs. At $3,600, Coates is a nice roll-the-dice GPP play this week as well.

8. Kevin - Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles: The only concern with Ertz is his return from a multi-game injury. Assuming he plays a full complement of snaps, however, Ertz is in a great spot against the Lions. In GPPs, you want upside and Ertz provides that. Only the Falcons have allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends and the Lions have allowed six touchdowns to the position.

Comments by Sean: I wrote up Ertz as one of my favorite plays in our DFS Round Table post for Week 5. Detroit is horrible vs TEs and I will have plenty of Ertz this week.

9. Sean - Miami Dolphins DST: The Titans offense has been pretty bad this year. They aren't allowing a lot of sacks, but Marcus Mariota has thrown some costly INTs and D/STs have already scored three touchdowns vs. them this year. If the game is played Sunday, the conditions will be sloppy so I would expect another low-scoring game.

Comments by Kevin: I'm fine with this. D/STs are so hit or miss since defensive scores are so important. It's unclear where or when this game will be played due to Hurricane Matthew, but the Titans have shown a propensity to allow big plays to opposing defenses.

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October 05, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 5

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 5?

Sean Beazley: Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles, $3,500

One guy that I will be heavily targeting this week is Eagles TE Zach Ertz. Ertz should be 100 percent ready to go this week versus a Lions defense that just bleeds points to TEs. Last season, they were the worst unit versus the position, and this year they are allowing on average 6-64-1.5. This is 21.4 DK points. Ertz is only $3,500 so he more than pays off this value.

Ertz should be somewhat low-owned this week as well considering the increase in ownership that Rob Gronkowski will have with Tom Brady back and the weekly chasers targeting Jordan Reed. Ertz’s price point is perfect given that I expect the recency bias to fall as well on players like Kyle Rudolph, Zach Miller, and Hunter Henry (if Antonio Gates is out), who all scored touchdowns last week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 5 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Julian Edelman, New England Patriots, $6,700

During Tom Brady's four-game suspension, Edelman averaged a 4.75/49 line with no touchdowns. Not only do the Patriots get Brady back this week, but they get a favorable matchup against the Browns. In his past 16 games with Brady, Edelman has racked up 119 catches (on 176 targets) for 1,355 yards and 10 touchdowns. As the 18th-priced receiver for DraftKings main slate of Sunday games, Edelman should easily exceed value (for the first time this season).

Brendan Donahue: Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears, $5,200

Howard was given the lead role in the Bears backfield last week and may have just won the job going forward even when Jeremy Langford and Ka'Deem Carey come back from their injuries. John Fox said in his post-game interview that the Bears will "continue riding Howard," which certainly makes sense as he ran for 111 yards on 23 carries and caught three balls for 21 yards against the Lions. With a good matchup against a bad Colts defense this week, he is still priced too low on Draftkings at only $5,200 and should have a rather high floor with the potential to be a top-five RB this week.

John Trifone: Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts, $7,300

There are always a ton of guys to like on DK, both for value and matchup-based situations, regardless of price. I typically go with a value guy for my recommendation, but this week, I'm going to go with Andrew Luck. At 1-3, the Colts absolutely need a win at home against the Bears this week. Luck has been solid from a fantasy perspective — the Denver game aside, which any quarterback is going to struggle with. He hasn't had that huge game yet, though, and this is an absolutely prime spot for him to get it. I don't mind going for more value at quarterback, but on raw points, I like Luck to blow up this week. I'm expecting 350+ yards with 4 TDs.

Dan Yanotchko: Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, New York Jets, $5,100

This week I like — and don't laugh — Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Jets at Pittsburgh. Take away his horrible interceptions, and he has averaged 252 yards per game, and has added 60 yards rushing as well. The Steelers have been bad against the pass, allowing 317 yards per game, and a 64-percent completion rate to opposing QBs. I like his value and he's less than Brian Hoyer this week.

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October 02, 2016

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 4 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals -7.5 over Los Angeles Rams (4 Units)

With a 2-1 record going into Week 4, the Jeff Fisher-coached Rams are due to for a loss. Seriously though, they are not as good as their record suggests. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are not as bad as their 1-2 record suggests.

Todd Gurley scored a pair of touchdowns last week, but his 3.15 YPC average was a season high. Through three games, the talented back has been bottled up for a less-than-mediocre 2.90 YPC on the season. Arizona should be able to limit Gurley's production and force Case Keenum and a weak group of pass-catchers to try to beat them.

Winning four of their past five head-to-head matchups, the Cardinals have held the Rams to an average of 8.25 points in those four wins. Three of those four victories were by a margin of 17-plus points. In addition, the Cardinals have posted an impressive 16-6 ATS record following an ATS loss. All signs point to the Cards getting back on track this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

San Diego Chargers -3.5 over New Orleans Saints (3 Units)

Season-ending injuries to key offensive players, such as Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead, weaken the offense's potential in 2016. That said, Philip Rivers & Co. get an exploitable matchup against the Saints this week. Ranked 31st in the NFL in total defense so far this season, the Saints have posted the worst or second-worst team defense numbers in four of the past five seasons.

The Chargers have done a good job of bouncing back from straight-up losses as they have covered six consecutive times under that scenario. In addition, they are 6-1 ATS in their past seven games overall.

Carolina Panthers -3 over Atlanta Falcons (2 Units)

The Panthers lone (regular-season) loss in 2015 was in Atlanta, but I look for them to bounce back in a big way following their 1-2 start. Unlike the Vikings, who were able to apply lots of pressure on Cam Newton, the Falcons have one of the league's least-potent pass rushes.

On the other hand, Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense have looked spectacular, but they have faced shaky defenses. The upcoming three games against the Panthers, Broncos and Seahawks will be a true measure of how potent their offense is.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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September 28, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 4

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 4?

Sean Beazley: DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, WR, Houston Texans, $8,400/$5,300

The pricing this week on DraftKings looks much softer than it has in previous weeks. With some of that value on the board this week, you can pretty much pay for anyone. This will make playing GPPs this week very fun.

I have a pair of teammates that I will be targeting heavily this week: DeAndre Hopkins ($8,400) and Will Fuller ($5,300). I wouldn't be opposed to a double stack with Brock Osweiler in GPPs. Recency bias and the extremely low total of 40.5 will get people off the Texans offense this week. This is a big mistake. Hopkins has 15/211/2 in two games vs. the Titans last year and I expect him to get in the end zone again this week.

The Titans released DFS favorite CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson and replaced him with Perrish Cox, who has been equally awful this season. If Fuller is matched up with Cox, he should have a monster game.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (vs. NO), $

I'm going back to the well with Gordon again (my pick in Week 3). It was a mildly disappointing performance for Gordon last week as he barely averaged two yards per carry against the Colts. That said, he did get 20 touches and score a touchdown. With Danny Woodhead injured, Gordon has a total of 47 touches in the past two games and he's a lock for close to (or more than) 20 touches every week.

MG3 was such a popular pick last week, I'm hoping a high volume of disappointed owners get off him this week. Gordon and the Chargers face a Saints defense that allowed Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman to finish as the week's top-two scorers at the position.

The Chargers are four-point home favorites in a game that has highest over/under. As the 10th-most expensive back for the Sunday slate, he should easily return value and has as much upside as any running back this week.

Brendan Donahue: Trevor Siemian, QB, Denver Broncos (at TB), $5,400

In a week that I don't really love any quarterbacks at their price points, I'm looking for value and possibly no better value this week than in Trevor Siemian. In his first road game last week, Siemian put up 312 yards and four touchdowns on a Bengals D that isn't great, but certainly is better than Tampa's defense that is currently giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the season.

While I'm not expecting another 300-yard, four-touchdown performance, I am expecting a very solid performance from Siemian. And at only $5,400 this week on Draftkings, he will allow you to spend up at the other skill positions.

John Trifone: Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears (vs. DET), $3,700

Jordan Howard is this week's value play at $3,700. The Bears offense is terrible, but they're at home this week against the Lions and Howard should receive a heavy workload. In the age of the passing game, there aren't too many backs that get the volume Howard should with Jeremy Langford out, so for $3,700, he's a great lineup starter.

Dan Yanotchko: Travis Benjamin, WR, San Diego Chargers (vs. NO), $5,900

This week, I really like Travis Benjamin of the Chargers, who has a dream matchup against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints have been really bad against the pass, giving up 299 yards per game, and a 70% completion percentage. Benjamin is the Chargers WR1 with 17 receptions, 229 yards, and two scores. With his big-play ability, you have to love his opportunity this week.

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September 27, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

TE - Zach Miller, Chicago Bears (40 percent)

Scoring a pair of garbage-time touchdowns, Miller finished as fantasy's TE1 in Week 3 with an 8/78/2 stat line against the Cowboys. Miller won't score multiple touchdowns every week, of course, and his Week 3 production was as much as he had in Weeks 1 and 2 combined.

That said, Miller is set up for success in Week 4 with a favorable matchup against the Lions. Through three weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Lions. Miller is an excellent streaming option this week.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (41 percent)

Through the first three weeks of the season, only Greg Olsen has scored more fantasy points than Rudolph. In each of his first three games, Rudolph has finished with at least 65 yards and/or a touchdown and he has finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end every week.

Not only is he second behind only Olsen (27) among tight ends in targets (26), but Rudolph has a minimum of eight targets in each game. Even though the Giants have defended tight ends better this season, he gets a favorable matchup in Week 4 and is a strong streaming option.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (two percent)

After being targeted four times in each of the team's first two games, Brate was targeted 10 times on Sunday and turned those targets into five catches for 46 yards and two touchdowns. Jameis Winston threw it 58 times on Sunday after throwing 52 pass attempts in Week 2. In other words, it's possible that Brate sees a consistent stream of targets, especially with Austin Seferian-Jenkins recently released following a DUI arrest. That said, his next two matchups aren't great as the Bucs will face the Broncos and Panthers in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively.

TE - Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (10 percent)

With Donte Moncrief sidelined four to six weeks, we should see a higher volume of two-TE sets for the Colts over the next month. Since leading all tight ends in fantasy production in Week 1 with his two-TD performance, Doyle has been targeted five-plus times in the past two games with a total of 10 catches for 102 yards over that two-game span.

TE - Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (six percent)

Starting in place of the injured Antonio Gates (hamstring), Henry caught all five of his targets for 76 yards in Sunday's loss to the Colts. Unfortunately, he lost a key fourth-quarter fumble, but he's in a great spot if Gates misses another game. The Chargers will face the Saints and Raiders in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 4

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

WR - Terrelle Pryor, Cleveland Browns (21 percent)

What didn't Pryor do on Sunday? The converted wide receiver and former quarterback threw for 35 yards, ran for 21 yards and a touchdown to go along with eight catches for 144 yards on 14 targets on Sunday.

With Josh Gordon suspended for one more week and Corey Coleman (hand) out for several more, Pryor will be the focal point of Cleveland's offense in Week 4 against Washington. Pryor has double-digit targets in back-to-back games and 31 through three games.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

WR - Steve Smith, Baltimore Ravens (39 percent)

In Sunday's win, Smith had eight receptions for 87 yards on 11 targets. Through three weeks, he now has 16 catches for 170 yards on 25 targets. Smith and his fellow Ravens receivers have a favorable matchup in Week 4 against the Raiders, who have allowed the most fantasy points to the position this season.

WR - Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (34 percent)

Enunwa had only four receptions for 37 yards on Sunday, but he had a team-high 11 targets. Through three games, only Brandon Marshall (27) has more targets than Enunwa (25, 22.12 percent market share). Enunwa leads the Jets in receptions (17) and only Eric Decker (194) has more yards (183). Week 4's matchup (vs. Seattle) isn't great, but Enunwa figures to be a key component of the Jets offense for the entire season.

WR - Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (20 percent)

Beasley should be owned in all PPR leagues as the Cowboys slot receiver has shown great rapport with rookie quarterback Dak Prescott. In his three games, Beasley has a minimum of five catches, six targets, 65 yards and 12.5 PPR points every week. Beasley has the 31st-most fantasy points in PPR formats (43rd-most in standard). The Cowboys face the 49ers in Week 4.

WR - Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (15 percent)

Through three weeks, Crowder has 16 catches for 175 yards and two touchdowns on 25 targets. That puts Crowder on a full-season pace of 85.3/933.3/10.7 on 133.3 targets. Of course, the 5-foot-8 Crowder is unlikely to score double-digit touchdowns, but he is tied with Jordy Nelson for the most red-zone targets (eight) through Sunday's games. Crowder currently has the 28th-most fantasy points in standard-scoring leagues (WR24 in PPR).

WR - Robert Woods, Buffalo Bills (one percent)

It's unclear whether Sammy Watkins (foot) will play in Week 4 after being inactive in Week 3. If he's out another week, however, Woods should lead the team's receivers in targets like he did last week. Woods had six catches for 51 yards on eight targets against the Cardinals on Sunday.

WR - Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (eight percent)

The Titans were quick to give up on the second-year, second-round receiver, but the Eagles plan to get Green-Beckham more involved in the offense. Coach Doug Pederson recently said, "... we'd love to obviously get him a little more involved from a standpoint of getting more targets thrown in his direction." DGB had just 3/33 on four targets in Week 3, but it wouldn't surprise me if he finishes the rest of the season as a top-50 receiver with upside for much better.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (21 percent)

Navigating the running back injury minefield can be tricky and Jeremy Langford is the latest starter set to miss multiple games. Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Langford will miss the next four to six weeks with an ankle injury.

With Langford sidelined, Howard is set to take over as the team's lead back. Howard has 12 carries for 67 yards (5.58 yards per carry) and six catches for 58 yards so far this season.

Howard gets a pair of favorable matchups in Weeks 4 and 5 against the Lions and Colts. The Lions have limited opposing running backs to the eighth-fewest fantasy points, but they have allowed opposing running backs to average 5.31 YPC this season. Meanwhile, the Colts have allowed the second-most fantasy points to the position.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

RB - Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles (39 percent)

Earlier this summer, Philadelphia's current (and San Diego's former) offensive coordinator Frank Reich asked the following question in reference to Sproles: "How can we get this guy the football?" (And then sometimes, this happens.)

Carrying the ball only twice for negative one yard on Sunday, Sproles caught all six of his targets for 128 yards and a touchdown. On pace for close to last year's 55 catches (current pace: 53.3), Sproles is a top-25 running back early this season. (Last year, he finished as the RB25 in PPR.)

RB - Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (23 percent)

Washington (10) and Theo Riddick (10) split carries evenly although Riddick added seven receptions on nine targets as well. Considering the Lions were down by as much as 31-3 at one point in the second half, it's natural for Riddick to get a larger share of the workload. In games that are close, I'd still expect Riddick to lead the team's backfield in touches, but I'd expect Washington to get a little more work than he had in Week 3. More importantly, he remains the goal-line back.

RB - Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants (three percent)

With Shane Vereen (torn triceps) placed on IR, Darkwa would get the start if Rashad Jennings (thumb) is unable to go in Week 4. It seemed likely that Jennings would be ready for Week 3 so it's possible that Jennings misses more time. On Sunday, Darkwa had 10 carries for 53 yards and a touchdown in addition to a nine-yard reception on Sunday.

RB - Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (12 percent)

With a three-down skill set, Dixon rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three out of four seasons and posted 30-plus catches in back-to-back seasons at Louisiana Tech. Dixon has missed the team's first three games with a knee sprain, but he has the talent to emerge as the team's lead back at some point this season. It's possible that he makes his debut in Week 4. If not, he should be getting close.

RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (37 percent)

Arian Foster (groin) missed Week 3 and the Dolphins have a short turnaround as they face the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. And it appears likely that Foster will miss at least one more game.

Technically, Kenyan Drake got the start for the Dolphins, but Ajayi scored the game-winning touchdown in overtime. It would be difficult to trust any of Miami's backs, but I expect Ajayi to lead the group in workload and fantasy production.

RB - DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (11 percent)

Through three weeks, it's been a 50/25/25 split between starter Latavius Murray (40 touches) and backups Jalen Richard (20) and Washington (20). On a per-touch basis, Washington has been efficient -- 6.88 YPC and 7.0 Y/R -- and that has led to back-to-back top-36 weekly performances. Unless or until he sees an increase in usage, Washington is worth stashing on your bench.

RB - Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers (19 percent)

Fozzy Whittaker deserves to be listed as well, but it was Artis-Payne that led the team in workload (13 touches), as expected, over Whittaker (10) with Jonathan Stewart sidelined. Stewart is expected to miss a couple more weeks, but both CAP and Whittaker are relatively low-upside options.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (21 percent)

The good news is that West has double-digit touches in all three games this season. The bad news is that he has yet to finish as a weekly top-30 fantasy running back. Through three weeks, he has 148 yards from scrimmage on 37 touches and no touchdowns. At some point, I expect Dixon to emerge as the lead guy (as mentioned above) in Baltimore's backfield.

RB - Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia Eagles (one percent)

With Ryan Mathews (ankle) aggravating an ankle injury in Sunday's win over the Steelers, Smallwood handled nearly half of the running back touches (17, 48.6 percent). Productive in his expanded role on Sunday, Smallwood finished with 79 rushing yards (4.65 YPC) and a touchdown. The team has a Week 4 bye and Mathews appears likely to return in Week 5, but Smallwood should get the largest share of the workload if Mathews misses Week 5 (or any time in the future).

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 4

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (19 percent)

Wentz and the Eagles go into their Week 4 bye with a perfect 3-0 record and the games haven't been close (+65 scoring differential). Playing beyond his years, the rookie from North Dakota State has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in two of three weeks and has thrown five touchdowns with no turnovers. In fact, the Eagles are the only team with no turnovers yet this season.

As is typical for a rookie, Wentz is sure to have some ups and downs (eventually), but he has vastly exceeded expectations so far. A strong streaming option in favorable matchups, Wentz gets the Lions out of his bye in Week 5. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season than the Lions.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (44 percent)

Tannehill threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns (as well as two interceptions) in Sunday's overtime win over the Browns to finish as the weekly QB10. Tannehill has now finished as a weekly top-10 fantasy quarterback in back-to-back games and would have done so in all three games had Kenny Stills not dropped a wide-open 70-yard touchdown in the opener against the Seahawks. Either way, Tannehill has thrown for 708 yards and five touchdowns (with four interceptions) in his past two games and has scored the eighth-most fantasy points early this season.

Next week's matchup isn't great against the Bengals, but they just allowed Denver's Trevor Siemian to throw for 312 yards and four touchdowns as fantasy's Week 3 QB1. Actually, the Bengals have allowed a total of nine passing touchdowns in their first three games and the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks so far this season.

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys ( percent)

Completing two-thirds of his pass attempts (66 of 99), Prescott has played efficiently in leading the Cowboys to a one-point loss away from a perfect 3-0 start. Finally throwing his first touchdown of the season in Week 3, Prescott has also rushed in a score in back-to-back weeks. While he uses his mobility primarily to buy more time as a passer, he has the potential to pick up fantasy points with his legs.

Prescott and the Cowboys get a favorable matchup in Week 4 against the 49ers, who have allowed more than 48 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in their past two games.

QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

Flacco has had a favorable schedule so far this season but has yet to capitalize on his opportunities as he has finished as the weekly QB23, QB19 and QB21 against the Bills, Browns and Jaguars, respectively. Ranking near the top of the league in pass attempts (118), Flacco has thrown more interceptions (four) than touchdowns (three) in this young season.

With a top-three Week 4 matchup, Flacco faces a Raiders defense that has allowed a league-high 1,020 passing yards through three weeks. While Drees Brees (423 yards and four TDs) and Matt Ryan (396 yards and three TDs) lit them up, they played much better against Marcus Mariota (214 yards, no TDs and two INTs) in Week 3.

QB - Brian Hoyer, Chicago Bears (two percent)

Filling in for an injured Jay Cutler, Hoyer threw for 319 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in a loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football to finish as fantasy's weekly QB11. Much of that production occurred in garbage time as the Cowboys had a commanding lead for most of the game, but the Bears have a favorable schedule over the next few weeks.

If Cutler misses another game, Hoyer will draw a start against the Lions, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks through Week 3. The Bears will then face the Colts, Jaguars and Packers in Weeks 5 to 7.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 4

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September 25, 2016

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

So far, so good through two weeks -- 4-2 ATS. With that said, here are my Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 over Los Angeles Rams (3 Units)

This game "features" the past two No. 1 overall picks in the NFL Draft: Jameis Winston (2015) and Jared Goff (2016). Of course, Goff is holding a clipboard for Case Keenum, who has completed 53.8 percent of his pass attempts at 5.7 Y/A with no touchdowns and two interceptions.

Even though they have scored a league-low nine points (all field goals), the Rams are 1-1 (appropriate for a Jeff Fisher-coached team). Despite the immense physical talent of running back Todd Gurley, he has managed only 98 rushing yards (2.72 YPC) on 36 carries through two weeks.

Gurley has talked about how it feels like he's facing 12 defenders and things may not get much better this week. The Bucs have limited opposing running backs to 2.98 YPC, fourth-lowest in the NFL, through Week 2.

I like the Bucs to bottle up Gurley once again and I trust Winston much more than I trust Keenum to make plays in the passing game. The Bucs open up their home schedule in bounce-back fashion.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 3 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Pittsburgh Steelers -4 over Philadelphia Eagles (2 Units)

Like the saying goes, you can only play/beat the teams on your schedule and the Eagles have done that. That said, their first two wins have come against the Browns and Bears, two of the bottom-three teams in my Week 3 NFL Power Rankings. In other words, they will get a real test this week against the Steelers.

Even without Le'Veon Bell, the Steelers have had plenty of success running the ball as 33-year-old DeAngelo Williams leads the NFL in rushing through Week 2. The Steelers have one of the better run defenses in the league and they will force Carson Wentz to beat them. The rookie has played incredibly well with no turnovers, but he faces his toughest test in his young career today.

Jacksonville Jaguars +2 over Baltimore Ravens (1 Unit)

All that hype. All those expectations. A team on the rise? It certainly hasn't looked that way so far as the Jags were pummeled into submission last week by Philip Rivers and the Chargers. As they return home and try to right the ship, they will host the 2-0 Ravens. This is more of a hunch call than anything, but I think the Jags play better football in Week 3 and get their first W.

The Ravens overcame a 20-0 first-half deficit against the Browns last week. Granted, they scored 25 unanswered points and won. But 20 first-half points to the Browns?! Maybe Blake Bortles and the Jaguars will score some points before garbage time this week.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Travis Benjamin is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Julio Jones, Amari Cooper and Benjamin (and could only start two receivers), you should start Jones and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Benjamin.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE)

With double-digit targets in each of the team's first two games, Landry has a total of 17 catches for 196 yards going into Week 3. Not only do the Dolphins have one of the highest implied point totals this week, but he gets a favorable matchup against the Browns. So far, Cleveland has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

WR - Eric Decker, New York Jets (at KC)

Brandon Marshall may be on a snap count so it could lead to a few more targets for Decker this week. Either way, Decker has been incredibly consistent. Extending his touchdown streak to six games, Decker led the Jets in receiving with 6/126/1 last week. Decker has now scored a touchdown in 15 of his past 18 games. In addition, he has 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown in 18 consecutive games.

WR - Travis Benjamin, San Diego Chargers (at IND)

Given the season-ending ACL injury to Keenan Allen, the Chargers will rely on Benjamin as their No. 1 receiver. In addition, Danny Woodhead, who led RBs in receptions last year, is out for the season and Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful for Week 3. Especially if Vontae Davis (questionable) sits once again in Week 3, Benjamin has plenty of upside. Only the Saints/Falcons have a higher over/under this week than the Chargers/Colts. Catching all six of his targets, Benjamin had 115 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2 against the Jags.

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at GB)

With Golden Tate and Jones described as 1(a) and 1(b) options, Jones is clearly the 1(a) out of the duo with 12 catches on 21 targets for 203 yards, all of which are team highs, and a touchdown. Averaging 16.9 Y/R, Jones has at least 85 yards in each game this season. The Packers have a number of key defensive players ruled out for Week 3 including cornerback Sam Shields (concussion).

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (at GB)

Even though Jones has more targets, the good news is that Tate has a total of 16 targets (20.25 percent target share) through two games. The bad news is that Tate has turned those targets into only 54 yards on nine catches. Averaging just 6.0 Y/R, Tate's long reception so far is only 11 yards. Tate is more of a WR3/flex than a must-start WR2.

WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at CIN)

Sanders has exactly eight targets in each of his first two games, but Sanders has finished as the WR60 (or worse) with 5/49 and 3/39 lines. The Bengals have limited opposing receivers to the 12th-fewest fantasy points early this season. One of eight teams projected to score less than 20 points this week based on Vegas odds, things may not be much better for Sanders this week.

WR - Kevin White, Chicago Bears (at DAL)

Like Sanders, White has finished as the WR60+ in both of his first two games. With a total of 13 targets in those games, White had 3/34 against Houston and 4/36 against Philadephia. With a rare skill set that made him a top-seven draft pick in the 2015 NFL Draft, White has all of the physical tools to one day develop into a dominant (real and fantasy) receiver. For now, however, he should remain on your bench.

WR - John Brown, Arizona Cardinals (at BUF)

Finishing with 1,003 yards in his second NFL season (2015), Brown has played less than half of the team's offensive snaps (49.6 percent) through the first two weeks of the 2016 season. Targeted a total of seven times, Brown has only one catch in each game. Until Brown's role and snaps increases, I'd take a wait-and-see approach with him and keep him on the bench.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Charles Sims is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned C.J. Anderson, Matt Forte and Sims, you should start CJA and Forte -- and in turn, bench Sims.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

RB - Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers (at IND)

His rookie season was a year to forget as Gordon averaged a pedestrian 3.48 yards per carry with zero touchdowns on 217 touches. Things are off to a much better start for the sophomore back. Rushing for a career-high 102 yards last week, MG3 scored his third touchdown of this young season. Finishing as a top-10 fantasy running back in both games, Gordon has scored the fourth-most fantasy points among running backs through Week 2.

With Danny Woodhead (ACL) out for the season, MG3 had a total of 27 touches in Sunday's rout of the Jaguars. Given the team's injuries on offense, Gordon should be a lock for a massive workload each and every week. Two weeks into the season, the Colts have already allowed a trio of top-10 fantasy running backs and no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs.

- Related: Gordon is my Favorite Play on DraftKings in Week 3

RB - Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts (vs. SD)

The other running back in this game has upside as an RB2 this week as well. With the 20th-most fantasy points through two weeks, Gore is averaging only 3.81 YPC but he has at least 16 touches in each game. Only seven teams allow more fantasy points to the position this season than the Chargers, who allowed the fourth-most to opposing running backs last season. As home favorites, Gore and the Colts are projected to score the third-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

RB - Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. LA)

As a change-of-pace option to Doug Martin last season, Sims finished as fantasy's RB22 (RB17 in PPR) in 2015. With Martin (hamstring) out this week (and expected to miss a few games), Sims will lead the backfield in usage over the next few weeks. Among running backs that ranked inside the top-40 running backs last season, no running back averaged more yards per touch (6.90) than Sims. Favored by 5.5 points at home against the low-powered Rams, Sims could benefit from positive game flow, but his receiving prowess should keep him on the field regardless of the score.

RB - DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans (vs. OAK)

Through two weeks, Murray has the eighth-most fantasy points (RB4 in PPR) with 222 yards from scrimmage, an RB-high (tied with T.J. Yeldon) 12 receptions and two touchdowns. While their pass defense has been lit up by Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, the Titans will likely rely on a ground-and-pound game plan with Murray and rookie Derrick Henry and should have plenty of success. Allowing an average of 517.5 yards and 34.5 points per game, the Raiders have allowed 4.40 YPC (eighth-most) to opposing running backs so far this season.

RB - Christine Michael, Seattle Seahawks (vs. SF)

Through two weeks, Michael has 25 carries for 126 yards (5.04 YPC) and five receptions for 31 yards. With Thomas Rawls out this week, the Seahawks will rely on Michael as their lead back. Nearly double-digit favorites, positive game flow should lead to a heavy workload (and perhaps multiple scoring opportunties) for C-Mike. Coach Pete Carroll said (via the Seattle Times): "He’s had 20-something carries so far. He’s ready to carry the ball 20-something times in a game. He could be fine with that."

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (at CAR)

The Star Tribune's Matt Vensel has projected that McKinnon could handle the "65" part of a 65/35 split with Matt Asiata in Adrian Peterson's absence. Most of McKinnon's yardage will likely come between the 20's, however, as the team seems to trust Asiata more in the red zone. In fact, Asiata has a league-high three games with three-plus rushing scores since 2013. While I'd prefer not to use McKinnon or Asiata as my RB2, both are in the flex mix for me.

RB - T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL)

The good news is that Yeldon had a total of 40 touches in Weeks 1 and 2 as Chris Ivory was a scratch. The bad news for Yeldon fantasy owners is that he generated an inefficient 107 YFS on those touches -- 21/39 rushing (1.86 YPC) in Week 1 and 8/10 receiving (1.25 Y/R) in Week 2. Due to his passing-game volume, Yeldon finished as the RB18 in PPR last week despite finishing as the RB46 in standard-scoring formats. With Ivory due to make his Jacksonville debut this week, Yeldon (and Ivory) should remain on your bench.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at SEA)

Productive in the opener, Hyde had 25 touches and scored two touchdowns as he finished as fantasy's RB5, but he managed only 3.83 YPC in Week 1. Even less efficient in Week 2 against the Panthers, Hyde averaged just 2.43 YPC and he also lost a fumble.

Things won't get any easier in Week 3 as the 49ers head north to Seattle. Only the Packers (1.84) and Vikings (2.65) have allowed fewer yards per carry to opposing running backs than the Seahawks (2.86) this season.

Facing a tough Seahawks defense, no team is projected to score fewer points than the 49ers this week based on Vegas odds. Nearly double-digit underdogs, game flow could limit Hyde's opportunities if the 49ers get down early, as expected.

RB - Matt Jones, Washington Redskins (at NYG)

Jones had 13 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown last week against Dallas as he scored the 14th-most fantasy points among running backs in Week 2. That said, the matchup isn't great for Jones in Week 3 as a road underdog against a revamped Giants defense. Not only have the Giants allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, but they have allowed only 3.18 YPC to opposing backs as well.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Ryan Tannehill is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Drew Brees and Tannehill, you should start Brees -- and in turn, bench Tannehill.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

QB - Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (at NO)

Through the first two weeks of the 2016 NFL season, no quarterback has scored more fantasy points than Ryan (52.2). Throwing for a total of 730 yards and five touchdowns, Ryan has finished as the weekly QB6 and QB2, respectively.

Aside from his career 5-10 record against the Saints, Ryan has played well against the Saints. In the previous 10 games (over five seasons), Ryan has averaged 329.5 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions against the Saints. In addition, he has thrown for less than 290 yards only once over that 10-game (five-year) span.

Granted, I was low (perhaps too low) on Ryan entering the season, but he's a top-five play at the position for me in Week 3.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (vs. OAK)

Starting your quarterback against the Raiders has been a profitable strategy so far this season. Through two weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points per game than Oakland. One week after Drew Brees lit them up for 423 yards and four scores, Ryan threw for 396 yards and three touchdowns against them.

While I don't expect that type of production through the air from Mariota, the favorable matchup puts him inside of my top-12 quarterbacks for the week. Through two weeks, Mariota has thrown for 509 yards and four touchdowns and added 30 rushing yards.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE)

The NFL schedule makers did not do the Dolphins any favors by scheduling the Seahawks and Patriots on the road to start the season. But things get easier, much easier, in Week 3 as Miami makes their home debut against the Browns.

Double-digit favorites, the Dolphins have an implied point total of 25.75 based on Vegas odds; only three teams (Saints, Packers and Colts) have a higher total for Week 3. In two games, the Browns have allowed a total of 580 passing yards and four passing touchdowns.

Through two weeks, Tannehill is the QB11 and he would have been much higher on his list if Kenny Stills did not drop a wide-open 70-yard touchdown pass against the Seahawks in Week 1. Even though much of last week's production occurred in garbage time, Tannehill finished as Week 2's QB7 in fantasy and that's my ranking for him this week as well.

- Related: Tannehill was the QB in our DraftKings tournament "drafted" lineup

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL)

We saw some garbage-time Jags and Bortles last week as they were blown out in San Diego and didn't score any points until the fourth quarter. There was plenty of optimism about the Jaguars heading into the season, but they have been a major disappointment thus far. (No team has a worse scoring differential and they are 31st in my NFL Power Rankings.)

Tied for the league lead in pass attempts (89) through Week 2, Bortles has thrown for 320-plus yards in each of his first two games. On paper, the Ravens have a stingy pass defense -- fourth-fewest fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks -- but that was against the Bills and Browns. Josh McCown showed in the first half how vulnerable Baltimore's secondary can be.

Even though Bortles has finished as the QB19 and QB15 in each of his first two games, respectively, I expect him to finish as a top-10 perfomer in Week 3 as the offense starts to get on track.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. DEN)

With a league-high 732 passing yards through Week 2, Dalton has thrown exactly 366 yards in each of his first two games. Holding Cam Newton (194) and Andrew Luck (197) to less than 200 passing yards in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively, the Broncos will provide Dalton with a stiffer challenge in Week 3. Despite passing volume, Dalton has managed to throw only one touchdown per game. Even though the Bengals are favored by 3.5 points on Sunday, they are still projected to be one of the bottom-half scoring offenses in Week 3.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (at ARI)

Shortly after Taylor threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns as the Bills put up 31 yards, the Bills fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman. While a tweet from Sammy Watkins (foot) on Saturday night suggested he may give it a go, ESPN's Adam Schefter has reported that Watkins will sit on Sunday. Through two weeks, the Cardinals have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and intercepted Jameis Winston four times last week.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at NYG)

In back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys, Cousins has thrown the ball a total of 89 times for 693 yards, but he has only one touchdown to three interceptions. Spending heavily on the defensive side of the ball in free agency, the Giants have limited opposing quarterbacks to the sixth-fewest fantasy points through the first two weeks of the season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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September 23, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 3

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 3 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE), $6,200
RB - Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800
RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (at CAR), $3,000
WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL), $7,500
WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE), $6,600
WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (vs. SD), $4,400
TE - Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins (at NYG), $6,500
FLEX - Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (vs. CHI), $6,900
DST - Green Bay Packers (vs. DET), $3,000

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by both of us):

1. Sean - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars, $7,500: I wrote up Robinson as my favorite DK play this week. I absolutely love him in this matchup vs. Baltimore. Jason Verrett and the San Diego secondary shut down Robinson last week so giving recency bias I am hoping Robinson gets overlooked this week. I am projecting Robinson to be the No. 1 WR this week in fantasy. I think a line of 8-140-2 is definitely attainable.

Comments by Kevin: It's been a slow start for Robinson (nine catches for 126 yards), but he has 20 targets through two games and a more favorable matchup in Week 3. One of the most talented young receivers in the NFL, I expect bigger and better things from A-Rob both this week and the rest of the season. With lots of upside, his ownership levels should be relatively low due to his slow start. I like this pick.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

2. Kevin - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins, $6,200: Projected to score the fifth-most points (tied) based on Vegas odds, the Dolphins enter Week 3 as the biggest favorites of the week. Through two weeks, the Browns have allowed 580 passing yards and four touchdowns to rookie Carson Wentz and Joe Flacco. DeVante Parker (hamstring) was limited in yesterday's practice, but he had a strong debut (8/106) last week. The trio of Jarvis Landry, Parker and Kenny Stills should give the Browns secondary fits.

Comments by Sean: Tannehill and Dolphins stacks this week will not be sneaky. That being said, most multi-entry GPP players pick a core group of players and rotate in different QB/WR stacks. Ownership will never be too high on a QB. Tannehill has a great matchup vs. the Browns this week. Tannehill also has the ability to rush one in, which is huge. I think Tannehill should pay off this price tag.

3. Sean - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins, $6,600: Landry is the safe WR to stack with Tannehill, but safe doesn't necessarily rule out a good GPP play. Landry should be targeted heavily as Arian Foster will miss this week's game. Jay Ajayi and Kenyan Drake are not backs I would trust to move the chains even in a potential blowout. I think a 10/120/1 game is quite possible this week for Landry.

Comments by Kevin: In a full-PPR format like DraftKings, I'm fine with Landry here as the option to pair with Tannehill. Landry has double-digit targets in both games and a total of 17 catches through two weeks. With Arian Foster expected to miss this week's game, the Dolphins could end up using the short passing game with Landry to substitute for some of their running game.

4. Kevin - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers, $5,800: With Danny Woodhead out for the year, the Chargers will rely heavily on Gordon (like they did last week). MG3 had a 24/102/1 rushing line last week and has a total of three scores through two weeks. In a favorable matchup against the Colts, who have allowed the most PPR fantasy points to opposing running backs, MG3 should get 20-plus touches and easily exceed value on his $5,800 salary.

Comments by Sean: Gordon is the mega chalk at RB this week facing the Colts, who just bleed yardage and points. The only thing that could worry me here is if the Colts get up big early. We could see the Chargers abandon the ground game. Given his salary and opportunity, Gordon should produce enough to pay off. I will have a lot of shares of Gordon on Sunday.

5. Sean - Phillip Dorsett, WR, Indianapolis Colts, $4,400: This game has the highest total of the slate and without Donte Moncrief this week, Dorsett’s targets should increase. T.Y. Hilton plays about 60 percent of his snaps from the slot, which could result in more Jason Verrett coverage for Dorsett, but I’m willing to take the gamble here. I will be targeting both wideouts heavily this week. The Colts defense cannot stop anyone, so I expect Andrew Luck to throw the ball 40-plus times.

Comments by Kevin: With Donte Moncrief (shoulder) out for a month-plus, Dorsett will start in two-receiver sets opposite T.Y. Hilton. At only $4,400, the speedy second-year receiver always has the potential for a big play or two and should be more involved overall.

6. Kevin - Matt Asiata, RB, Minnesota Vikings, $3,000: As weird as it feels to pick Asiata, I think the potential reward is big. The matchup isn't great and there are a lot of other cheap RBs this week including Asiata's teammate. I think his ownership level should be fairly low despite the bargain-basement price tag. Given that the Vikings trust him at the goal line and in pass protection, there could be opportunities for a score (or three) and some receptions. From 2013 to 2016, the leader in games with three rushing TDs is ... you guessed it ... Asiata (three such games). All three of those games came in an 11-game span overlapping the 2013 and 2014 seasons.

Comments by Sean: Matt YOLO Asiata! We know what the negative factors are here with this play. (Matchup, less workload than Jerick McKinnon). The positive play is that this is the perfect pivot off McKinnon. It worked great last week if you faded the chalk, Danny Woodhead, for MG3. Also, I expect the ownership to be high on Stefon Diggs as well since his salary was released before the monster game on Monday night. Asiata should get all the goal-line carries as well. He could be very sneaky this week. I'm on board for $3K.

7. Sean - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins, $6,500: My final pick was Jordan Reed. Paying up at a position most people pay down at is optimal GPP strategy. The Giants defense is one of the worst defenses vs. the TE. The Redskins are 0-2, so I think they go back to what got them to the playoffs last year; a heavy dose of Reed. Reed will be the No. 1 TE in fantasy this week.

Comments by Kevin: It's been a somewhat slow start for Reed, but he has 18 targets and 12 catches through two games. Reed is tied for the positional lead in both categories. In two games against the Giants last year, Reed had 14 catches for 194 yards on 18 targets. There is plenty of upside here.

8. Kevin - Ezekiel Elliott, RB/Flex, Dallas Cowboys, $6,900: Things haven't gone as well as most had hoped so far with Elliott, who has a total of 139 yards on 44 touches. Favored by a touchdown at home in a favorable matchup against the Bears, however, Elliott should get another hefty workload (assuming he holds onto the ball) with the potential for some goal-line opportunities.

Comments by Sean: Zeke has scored in both of his first two NFL games this year, but hasn’t looked great in either game. Perhaps wearing a full jersey is what is slowing him down this year. He is only averaging 3.3 YPC behind arguably the best O-line in football. I’m not high on Elliott this week, but game script looks good here with the Cowboys being a 7.5-point favorite. Paying up for RB this week is contrarian as well as most will spend down for the injury replacements.

9. Kevin - Green Bay Packers DST, $3,000: With the Packers and Dolphins priced the same ($3,000), the majority of owners will choose Miami in this spot. So, Green Bay's defense should be very low-owned.

Comments by Sean: The Dolphins are going to be the highest-owned defense of the week, and it's probably not even going to be close. A pivot here to Green Bay could make or break this GPP lineup as I would imagine if you are stuck on this price point, 99 percent of the players will take Miami.

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September 21, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 3

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 3?

Sean Beazley: Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL), $7,500

There is a ton of value this week giving the plethora of injuries this past week. Getting one of your top-end options correct is going to be very important this week. One of those players I really like is the Jaguars receiver Allen Robinson at $7,500.

When you look for WRs, looking at targets is probably one of the most important factors. A-Rob has 20 targets in his first two games and leads the team. Robinson was shut down last week by Jason Verrett, who I think is a top-three CB in the league, so his ownership should be lower than normal.

The matchup is great vs. the Ravens despite the Ravens giving up the least amount of passing yards in the NFL this season. I hope the casual DFS player overlooks the fact that the Ravens first two games were versus Tyrod Taylor and Josh McCown. My bold call is that Robinson is the No. 1 WR this week in DFS. Get him in your lineups.

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Kevin Hanson: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

Talent? Check. Heavy workload? Check. Favorable matchup? Check. What's not to like about Gordon this week? The 13th-most expensive running back this week, MG3 offers his owners plenty of value this week. Through two weeks, Gordon has three touchdowns after failing to score any as a rookie, and he had 27 touches in Sunday's win over Jacksonville. MG3 should be one of the staples of your cash-game lineups and he has some upside for GPPs as well.

Brendan Donahue: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

Even though the Chargers added Dexter Mccluster this week, I don't see him stealing too many snaps from Gordon. With Gordon getting the bulk of the work against the defense that's currently allowing the most points per game to opposing RBs, Gordon has a great chance to surpass last week's performance that returned 24 points for his owners.

John Trifone: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

The Chargers continue to offer value through injuries. It's early in the week and several RB injuries this past weekend are likely to open up some great cheap options, but at this point, Melvin Gordon already looks like one of the better plays. He's averaging over 20 DK points through two games, and with Danny Woodhead's injury, Gordon should get even more usage.

He had 24 carries for over 100 rushing yards, and has another great matchup with Indianapolis coming up. Gordon has looked more like the guy that San Diego thought he would be when they drafted him, and he should get plenty of opportunities to continue that trend.

Dan Yanotchko: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals (at BUF), $6,900

I really like Larry Fitzgerald of the Cardinals this week, as he's turned back the clock to 2009 and he gets to play the Bills. Fitzgerald has 168 yards receiving on 14 receptions on 22 targets and three touchdowns. The Bills have given up 295 yards passing per game and just look woeful in the secondary after letting Ryan Fitzpatrick carve them up.

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September 20, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

WR - Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (49 percent)

As the team's No. 3 receiver entering the season, the 6-foot-3 speedster had some sleeper appeal. With Keenan Allen lost for the season in the opener, however, it has immediately opened up opportunities for the rest of the team's pass-catchers including Williams.

With a commanding lead (21-0 at the half and 35-0 after three quarters), the Chargers threw the ball only 25 times on Sunday. Tied with Travis Benjamin, Williams was targeted a team-high six times in the win. Williams turned those targets into three catches for 61 yards, which included an impressive 44-yard touchdown.

Williams and the Chargers receivers have a phenomenal three-game schedule upcoming with the Colts, Saints and Raiders in Weeks 3 through 5.

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WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (42 percent)

How much time Donte Moncrief (shoulder) will miss is unclear? But it seems that he will miss some time even though he hasn't officially been ruled out for Week 3 yet.

With Moncrief expected to miss time, Dorsett will move into the No. 2 receiver role behind T.Y. Hilton. The second-year speedster has played 83.6 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Week 2 after playing 72.9 percent in Week 1. Dorsett converted only one-of-five targets for 30 yards against Denver on Sunday.

The next few matchups are favorable. Not only do I expect Jason Verrett to shadow Hilton this week, but the Colts face the Jaguars and Bears in Weeks 4 and 5.

WR - Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets ( percent)

Once again, Enunwa had at least six catches. Once again, Enunwa appears on my receiver waiver-wire list.

Different than Week 1, however, the team's dynamic duo of Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker both exceeded the 100-yard mark as well in Week 2. Through two games, Enunwa has a total line of 13/142/1 on 14 targets.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (48 percent)

Through two weeks, Thomas has had two solid games: 6/58 and 4/56. Playing in a Drew Brees offense with a bad defense, it wouldn't surprise me if Thomas approaches 900 receiving yards on the season. (Based on his average through two games, Thomas is on pace for 80/912/0.)

WR - Victor Cruz, New York Giants (37 percent)

With the Giants often using three-WR sets, the trio of Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard and Cruz have all played greater than 90 percent of the team's offensive snaps. Given the durability concerns entering the season as he returned from his patellar tendon injury in 2014, Cruz has looked healthy. Cruz has a total of eight catches (on 12 targets) for 125 yards and a touchdown through two games.

WR - Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (10 percent)

Beasley is worth an add in PPR formats. Through two weeks, the slot receiver has 13 catches for 140 yards on 18 targets. Beasley's 18 targets is tied with Jason Witten for a team high. The Cowboys get a favorable matchup in Week 3 against the Bears.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 3

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (24 percent)

Adrian Peterson left Sunday night's game with a knee injury that has been diagnosed as a torn meniscus. While it could have been worse, Peterson is likely to miss a few games with the injury.

In his absence, it will be Jerick McKinnon and Matt Asiata that handle the workload. Matt Vensel of the Minneapolis Star Tribune projects a "65/35 split" in favor of McKinnon with Asiata getting the valuable goal-line opportunities assuming AP misses time.

On 168 career rushing attempts, McKinnon has averaged 4.9 yards per carry. The upcoming matchups aren't great as the Vikings face the Panthers, Giants and Texans over the next three weeks.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (27 percent)

A healthy scratch in Week 1, Ajayi had five carries for 14 yards in Week 2 as Arian Foster left Sunday's game early with a groin injury. It appears likely that Foster will miss Miami's Week 3 favorable matchup against Cleveland, but usage for Ajayi may be more committee-like even with Foster sidelined. Given Foster's durability track record, however, Ajayi deserves to be owned in all leagues.

RB - Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers (percent)

Artis-Payne has been a healthy scratch in each of the past two games, but he appears to be the favorite for touches (based on coach Ron Rivera's comments) assuming that Jonathan Stewart (hamstring) misses time.

"I've got a tremendous amount of faith in who CAP can be for us, and in knowing that you've got a good change-of-pace guy in Fozzy and a guy who can play situational football for you in Mike Tolbert," Rivera said. "CAP is a stout inside runner who runs the ball very well and has good vision. He makes good cuts, but he more plants the leg and drives straight ahead. Fozzy is more nifty, a little better lateral movement as you saw when he got outside, though he also ran inside a couple of times."

RB - Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (eight percent)

With a three-down skill set, Dixon rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three out of four seasons and posted 30-plus catches in back-to-back seasons at Louisiana Tech. Dixon sustained a left knee sprain in Baltimore's third preseason game so he may still miss a few more games.

Javorius Allen has been a healthy scratch and neither Justin Forsett or Terrance West has lit the world on fire in the first two games. SI's Peter King wrote before the season that he wouldn't be surprised if Dixon (knee) is the starter by the middle of the October.

(Me either.)

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (26 percent)

It's been a nearly even split between West (23/74, 3.2 YPC) and Justin Forsett (24/78, 3.3 YPC) through two weeks, but neither back has been all that inspiring. West has added three catches for 21 yards as well. With a couple of favorable matchups upcoming against Jacksonville, Oakland and Washington, West (and Forsett) could enter the flex discussion especially until Dixon is able to make his debut.

RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (two percent)

As noted above, Asiata is the favorite for goal-line opportunities for as long as Peterson is sidelined. Even though he has never averaged four yards per carry in a season, Asiata scored double-digit touchdowns -- nine rushing and one receiving -- in 2014 when Peterson was suspended for 15 games.

RB - Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (one percent)

With Ameer Abdullah exiting Sunday's loss with a foot injury and scheduled to see a specialist today, Washington appears to see an expanded workload in the near future. In addition, Washington will continue to get the important goal-line touches.

RB - Fozzy Whittaker, Carolina Panthers (three percent)

With Stewart leaving Sunday's win early, Whittaker carried the ball 16 times for 100 yards and added three catches for 31 yards as well. Based on comments from Rivera (see above), however, the Panthers expect Whittaker to stay in a change-of-pace role (behind CAP).

RB - Shane Vereen, New York Giants (19 percent)

Rashad Jennings (hand) played less than half of the team's snaps last week and Vereen had more touches (17) than Jennings (14) in Week 2. Through two weeks, Vereen has a total of 127 yards from scrimmage on 20 carries and six receptions. Jennings should be ready to go in Week 3, but he has long had a shaky durability history.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 3

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (28 percent)

Nearly overcoming a large deficit, Tannehill finished with 389 yards on 32-of-45 passing with two touchdowns and two interceptions on Sunday. In addition, he added 35 rushing yards on six carries. Granted, (almost) all of that production was in garbage time, but there are a couple of reasons to be optimistic.

Not only did Jarvis Landry exceed the 100-yard mark, but DeVante Parker made his season debut on Sunday and the second-year receiver finished with eight catches for 106 yards. Tannehill has finished as the weekly QB17 and QB7 in his first two games, respectively, and was a Kenny Stills dropped 70-yard touchdown in Week 1 away from a pair of top-10 outings.

And after a pair of road games against the Seahawks and Patriots, Tannehill gets a more favorable matchup in Week 3 as the Dolphins host the Browns. The Browns have given up 25-plus points and multiple passing touchdowns in each of their past two games.

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QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

It was far from an efficient outing (25-of-45 passing and two interceptions), but Flacco led the Ravens to a come-from-behind win over the Browns as he threw for 302 yards and two touchdowns. And while I expected more fantasy production in a favorable Week 2 matchup, Flacco has a pair of top-five matchups coming up in Weeks 3 and 4.

The Ravens visit the Jags in Week 3 and host the Raiders in Week 4. Not only have the Raiders allowed at least 396 passing yards in each game, but the two defenses have combined to allow a total of 13 passing touchdowns to only one interception through Week 2.

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (45 percent)

Prescott showed good poise in the team's come-from-behind win on the road over their division rivals in Week 2. Prescott completed 22 of 30 pass attempts (73.3 percent) for 292 yards (9.73 Y/A) and added a six-yard rushing touchdown as well. In Week 3, the rookie gets a favorable matchup at home against the Bears, who will be playing on a short week.

QB - Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (41 percent)

On a short week, Fitzpatrick threw for 374 yards and a touchdown against his former team to score 21.06 fantasy points. Fitzpatrick, who finished as fantasy's QB11 in 2015, will have plenty of opportunities for streamers, but his upcoming schedule is pretty brutal. Over the next four weeks, Fitzpatrick and the Jets face the Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers and Cardinals. Three of those four teams finished among the six stingiest defenses to opposing quarterbacks in 2015.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 3

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September 18, 2016

Week 2 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jason Witten is listed below as a "start" for Week 2. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 2 with him as my starting tight end.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Greg Olsen and Witten, you should start Olsen -- and in turn, bench Witten.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 2:

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. BAL)

Targeted only twice in Week 1, it was a goose-egg performance for Barnidge in the opener. We never like to see injuries, but the injury to RG3 benefits the fantasy outlook for Barnidge, who was sensational with Josh McCown under center last season.

In the seven games that McCown had double-digit pass attempts, Barnidge racked up a total of 43 catches for 603 yards and six touchdowns on 64 targets. That's an average of 6.14/86.14/0.86 on 9.14 targets on a per-game basis.

Two of those games with McCown last season were against the Ravens last season. In those games, Barnidge had 8/139/1 and 7/91 with double-digit targets in both.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

TE - Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys (at WAS)

No tight end had more receptions (nine) or targets (14) than Witten had in Week 1 against the Giants. The Giants struggle in defending tight ends, but it's clear that Witten is a trusted security blanket for rookie starter Dak Prescott. Given the volume of targets that Witten should/could get this week, he has a chance to once again finish as a top-10 fantasy tight end.

TE - Julius Thomas, Jacksonville Jaguars (at SD)

Thomas got off to a good start as he caught all five of his targets for 64 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. Thomas is in a good spot this week as well. Since signing with the Jags last offseason, his best game was last year's performance (9/116/1) against the Chargers. The nine catches tied his career high and it is one of only four 100-yard games in his career.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 2:

TE - Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks (at LA)

At one point in his career, Graham was an obvious no-brainer start along with Gronk. That has no longer been the case since Graham has joined the Seahawks. After a devastating patellar tendon injury last season, it's great that Graham was active and played in Week 1. That said, he played only 17 (or 21.0 percent) of the team's offensive snaps.

His snap count is expected to increase in Week 2, but he should still remain on your bench. Not only is he still less than 100 percent, but the Rams are one of the league's better teams at defending the tight end position.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (at MIN)

Load up Cook in DraftKings tournaments at his bargain $2,900 price tag was my thought last week. What a mistake that turned out to be!

Cook is a physical freak at the position, but he was not a major factor in the offensive game plan in Week 1. Playing roughly half of the team's offensive snaps (52.0 percent), Cook was targeted only twice and finished with one catch for seven yards.

Facing one of the best defenses in the league, the Vikings have an outstanding safety in Harrison Smith as well as athletic linebacker corps.

TE - Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at ARI)

The good news: Seferian-Jenkins scored on a 30-yard touchdown. The bad news: It was his only target.

Seferian-Jenkins is the most-talented of the team's tight ends, but he played on only 28 percent of the team's offensive snaps. Perhaps as (or if) his relationship with head coach Dirk Koetter improves, ASJ will become worth considering as a starter. But it's unlikely he finishes as a top-five fantasy tight end (like last week) playing only a quarter of the snaps.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 2

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Week 2 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jordan Matthews is listed below as a "start" for Week 2. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 2 with him as one of my starting receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned A.J. Green, Amari Cooper and Matthews and could only start two receivers, you should start AJG and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Matthews.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 2:

WR - Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina Panthers (vs. SF)

Expected to play 35 snaps in the opener, Benjamin instead led all of the team's wide receivers in offensive snaps (52, 71.0 percent) in Week 1's loss to the Broncos. With a team-high 36.4 percent of the targets, Benjamin posted a 6/91/1 stat line against the talented Broncos secondary and finished the week as fantasy's WR13.

In a (much) softer matchup against the 49ers, the only concern for Benjamin is that it could turn into an early blowout as Carolina is favored by nearly two touchdowns. If the game gets out of hand early, however, it's certainly possible that Benjamin will have already done enough damage to have a productive fantasy outing.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (at CHI)

The only wide receiver targeted more often than Matthews (14) in Week 1 was Jacksonville's Allen Robinson (15). Matthews converted those 14 targets into seven catches for 114 yards and a touchdown against the Browns. Showing good early chemistry with rookie quarterback Carson Wentz, Matthews is positioned for another productive outing in a favorable matchup against the Bears.

WR - DeSean Jackson, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL)

A big play waiting to happen, his lone career 200-yard game came against the Cowboys several years ago, but he's been productive against the Cowboys more recently as well. Since signing with Washington, Jackson has at least 80 yards in each game and has scored in two of three Washington-Dallas games (he didn't play in Week 17 last year). In those three games, D-Jax has a combined line of 14/302/2 (21.57 Y/R).

- Related: D-Jax was "drafted" onto our DraftKings Tournament Lineup for Week 2

WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals (vs. TB)

Starting Fitzgerald early in the season has been beneficial for fantasy owners over the past couple of seasons. Getting off to a hot start in Week 1 against the Patriots, Fitzgerald had eight catches for 81 yards and two scores on 10 targets. The Buccaneers have an underrated run defense so I would expect Arizona's game plan to focus on exploiting a relatively weak pass defense.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 2:

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at DEN)

In a shootout against the Lions, Moncrief opened the season with six catches for 64 yards and a touchdown to finish with the 15th-most fantasy points among receivers in Week 1. In the eight games that Andrew Luck has played over the past two seasons, Moncrief has a total of six touchdowns. Moncrief was one of my favorite receivers entering the season, but expectations should be lowered in such a difficult Week 2 matchup against the Broncos. Outside my top-24 fantasy receivers for Week 2, Moncrief is still a WR3/flex for me this week, but expectations should be lowered.

WR - Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos (vs. IND)

Listed as questionable on the injury report, Thomas (hip) will likely be a game-time decision for the Broncos on Sunday. If he suits up, it's unclear how effective he'll be and it's possible that he'll be used primarily as a decoy. Given the favorable matchup against a Vontae Davis-less Colts secondary, it's disappointing for Thomas' fantasy owners, but I expect Emmanuel Sanders to be more productive on Sunday.

WR - Tavon Austin, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SEA)

The good news? Austin was one of seven receivers to get 12-plus targets in Week 1. The bad news? He managed only 13 yards (on four receptions). Austin also had a rush attempt and had 15 total yards -- 3.0 per touch.

Perhaps he's more efficient in Week 2, but the matchup is terrible. In five career games against the Seahawks, Austin has a total of 45 receiving yards and 46 rushing yards.

WR - Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (at CAR)

Not only is Smith a "sit," he's a "drop." In a week where the 49ers had the second-most offensive plays (77), Smith was targeted only six times and finished with two catches for 13 yards. That followed up a catch-less preseason where he was targeted only once. I wouldn't be surprised if Jeremy Kerley, 11 targets last week, had more production than Smith this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 2

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Week 2 DFS Resources:

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Week 2 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Rashad Jennings is listed below as a "start" for Week 2. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 2 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Lamar Miller, C.J. Anderson and Jennings and could only start two running backs, you should start Miller and CJA -- and in turn, bench Jennings.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 2:

RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (vs. NO)

While Eli Manning (as noted in my QB Start'em, Sit'em), Odell Beckham and the passing offense have a phenomenal matchup against New Orleans' inexperienced secondary, Jennings and the rushing attack do as well. In addition, only the Panthers are projected to score more points than the Giants this week based on Vegas odds.

In the season opener, Jennings carried the ball 18 times for 75 yards and added a reception for three yards. Going back to last season, he has a total of 81 touches in his past four games. With a large workload virtually guaranteed in arguably the best matchup of the weekend, Jennings is certainly a top-10 play for me this week.

- Related: I "drafted" Jennings in our Week 2 DraftKings tournament "draft"

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at HOU)

In the season opener, Ware led the team in both rushing and receiving as he racked up 199 yards from scrimmage and a score. The 230-pound running back had three 20-yard receptions (45, 28 and 20 yards). With Jamaal Charles doubtful for Week 2, Ware should lead the team's backfield in touches and production once again.

Although the matchup is less favorable than last week's and it would be unreasonable to expect another 200-yard game, Ware is continuing to make a case for a large role even when all of the backs are healthy. Over the past two seasons (12 games) with the Chiefs, Ware has 83 carries for 473 yards (5.70 YPC) and seven touchdowns.

RB - DeAngelo Williams, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. CIN)

This is an obvious start for those who own him, but it's amazing how productive he has been as the featured back with Le'Veon Bell out. In Monday's opener, Williams carried the ball 28 times for 143 yards and two touchdowns and added six catches for 28 yards.

The oldest running back in the NFL, the 33-year-old continues to be an absolute must-start any time that Bell misses time. Excluding a meaningless Week 17 matchup vs. the Browns last season, here are Williams' fantasy outings in games without Bell: RB12, RB1, RB1, RB27, RB4, RB15, RB4, RB16 and RB1.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

RB - Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers (vs. SF)

As noted above, the Panthers are projected to be this week's highest-scoring team. In addition, they are favored by nearly two touchdowns. Last year, Stewart (eight) had the second-most games with 20-plus carries after Minnesota's Adrian Peterson (nine).

Stewart (ankle) is listed as questionable on the injury report, but he is expected to play this week. This game should feature a heavy dose of The Daily Show. There is always a concern that Cam Newton will vulture Stewart's touchdown opportunities, but Stewart is a top-12 fantasy running back in my rankings this week.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 2:

RB - Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts (at DEN)

Getting 75 percent of the team's 24 running back touches in Week 1, Gore had 14 carries and four receptions for 78 yards from scrimmage in Sunday's high-scoring loss to the Lions. Gore should once again dominate the opportunities for the backfield, but he faces a much tougher defense on the road this week. The Broncos allowed a league-low 3.08 YPC to opposing running backs last season.

RB - Matt Jones, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL)

Washington ran the ball on a league-low 21.82 percent of the plays in a 22-point loss to the Steelers in Week 1. Returning from a shoulder injury he suffered in the preseason, Jones had just eight touches for 33 total yards. Washington is a small favorite at home this against Dallas so Washington should run the ball more often, but Jones is more of a RB3/flex option (outside my top-24 running backs) against the Cowboys this week.

RB - Ameer Abdullah, Detroit Lions (vs. TEN)

Both Theo Riddick and Abdullah finished as top-10 fantasy running backs in Week 1. While the Titans offense gave up two defensive touchdowns to Minnesota, their defense did an excellent job of limiting Peterson and Minnesota's rushing attack. Tennessee allowed a total of 50 rushing yards to Minnesota's backs on 24 carries (2.08 YPC).

The Titans allowed only 3.91 YPC to RBs last season (10th-lowest) and were tied with the Browns for allowing the fewest receptions (56) to RBs as well. Like Jones, Abdullah is more of a flex than RB2 option for me this week.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at CAR)

Like in 2015, Hyde started the 2016 season with a huge multi-TD performance. Finishing as a top-five fantasy running back with 25 touches, Hyde rushed for 88 yards and two touchdowns on 23 carries and added two catches for five yards.

Last week, the Niners led the game wire to wire in their 28-0 shutout of the Rams. The game script won't be nearly as favorable for Hyde this week as the 49ers are double-digit underdogs and projected to score the second-fewest points of the week.

Although Hyde had three of the five backfield targets, it wouldn't surprise me if the 74-26 split between Hyde and Shaun Draughn last week is closer to 60-40 this week if the 49ers get down big early. Hyde is the highest-ranked back (RB27) among the "sits," but he's not an RB1/2 in 12-team leagues for most owners this week.

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Week 2 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Matthew Stafford is listed below as a "start" for Week 2. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 2 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Cam Newton and Stafford, you should start Newton -- and in turn, bench Stafford.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 2:

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (vs. NO)

With three touchdowns in the season opener, Manning now has a total of 68 touchdown passes in 33 games since 2014. Only three quarterbacks have more -- Aaron Rodgers (71), Tom Brady and Drew Brees (69 each) -- during that span. If recent history (and the matchup) is any indication, Manning will add multiple touchdowns to that total this week.

The last time these two teams met, they combined to score a total of 101 points in a 52-49 shootout at the Louisiana Superdome. In that game, Manning threw for 350 yards and six touchdowns. Coincidentally, the Giants have scored 101 points in their last two matchups against the Saints as Eli has a total of 10 touchdown passes in those two games.

Based on Vegas odds, only the Panthers are projected to score more points than the Giants this week. Helping Eli's cause, the normally generous Saints defense lost their best cornerback last week in their 35-34 shootout against the Raiders.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. TEN)

Winning a shootout against a bad and banged-up Colts defense, Matthew Stafford completed 31-of-39 pass attempts for 340 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in Week 1. In his past seven games, Stafford has thrown 20 touchdowns and one interception. As six-point favorites over the Titans, only three teams -- Panthers, Giants and Cardinals -- are projected to score more points than the Lions this week.

QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (at CLE)

Appearing on my list of waiver-wire options for Week 1, Flacco makes for an excellent streaming option in Week 2. Flacco and the Ravens threw it only 33 times in a 13-7 win in the opener, but Sunday's matchup should be a higher-scoring affair.

Given up 29 points to Carson Wentz in his NFL debut last week, the Browns surrendered 270 yards and two touchdowns through the air as Wentz finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in Week 1. It may be difficult to isolate which of the team's pass-catchers to play, but Flacco is ranked inside my top-12 signal-callers in Week 2.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 2:

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (vs. JAX)

As one would expect, Rivers' numbers without his No. 1 receiver are not nearly as good as those with his No. 1 receiver. Last year, Keenan Allen played the first eight games and then missed the final eight games with a kidney injury. Rivers averaged 21.05 fantasy points per game with Allen; only 14.52/G without him.

The matchup isn't terrible. In fact, Rivers threw for 300 yards and four touchdowns against the Jags last November AND was without Allen. That said, Rivers is just outside my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for Week 2 at No. 13.

QB - Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (at OAK)

Ryan threw for 334 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's loss to the Bucs and finished as fantasy's QB7 in Week 1. The Raiders defense had a rough showing against the Saints, but I expect to see a better effort at home in Week 2. Most defenses have a bad showing against Drew Brees and the Saints at the Superdome. In addition, Ryan averaged just 14.53 fantasy points per game on the road last season. If you're in a standard one-QB league, I'd keep Ryan on your bench.

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (at PIT)

Sacked as many times (seven) as he threw incompletions, Dalton was 23-of-30 on Sunday for 366 yards and a touchdown. All-World talent A.J. Green accounted for more than half of that production (12/180/1).

Just outside my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for the week, Dalton's matchup isn't terrible. In fact, the Steelers pass defense is much more vulnerable than their run defense. AJG has torched the Steelers secondary with 45/649/3 in his past five regular-season games vs. the Steelers.

Despite Green's production against their division rivals, Dalton has had limited fantasy success against the Steelers. Not only has he thrown more interceptions (five) than touchdowns (three) in his past three games vs. Pittsburgh, he has thrown for less than 250 yards in three of his past four (full) matchups.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 2

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September 17, 2016

Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 2 NFL picks against the spread:

Carolina Panthers -13.5 over San Francisco 49ers (5 Units)

Vegas expects this game to be a blowout; everyone expects this game to be a blowout. Are 13.5 points too much? Nope. In fact, I expect this game to be a 38-9 type of game.

Not only are the 49ers playing on a short week (Monday Night Football) and traveling across the country for a 1 PM start, but the Panthers have a mini-bye coming off a Thursday Night Football loss in a Super Bowl 50 rematch.

With a dink-and-dunk offense that can't (or won't) try to stretch the field, it's going to be a long day for Blaine Gabbert, Carlos Hyde, etc. Unlike last week, the 49ers won't be able to move the ball as well as they did against the Rams and I can envision plenty of three-and-outs. I expect Cam Newton and Jonathan Stewart to wear San Francisco's defense down quickly.

If I could go with more than five units here, I would. This is a mortgage-your-house type of opportunity. [Please don't mortgage your house to make a bet, but you get the point.]

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Arizona Cardinals -7 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2 Units)

If at first you don't succeed, try and try again, I suppose. I went 2-1 ATS last week with the Cardinals as my lone loss. With no Tom Brady or Rob Gronkowski, it seemed like a slam-dunk opportunity for the Cardinals. Granted, it's never good when Bill Belichick has five months to game plan for you, but Arizona is one of the most-talented teams in the NFL and Bruce Arians is one of the best coaches.

Fast forward one week, I expect the Cardinals to bounce back.

Since 2013 (when Arizona hired Arians), the Cardinals are 31-21 (59.6 percent) ATS and 8-5 ATS after a loss. The Buccaneers have a stout run defense, but their secondary is exploitable. With a talented trio of receivers and one of the league's best young running backs, I expect Carson Palmer to have a big game.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3 over San Diego Chargers (2 Units)

One of the more popular "sleeper" teams this season, the Jaguars opened the season with a loss to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. This week, they take on another talented quarterback in San Diego. That said, Philip Rivers has had more success with Keenan Allen than he has had without him. (Of course, all quarterbacks are going to be less productive without their No. 1 receiver.)

The Chargers have one of the league's best young cornerbacks in Jason Verrett, but Verrett is 5-foot-9 and Jacksonville's stud 23-year-old receiver Allen Robinson is 6-foot-3. Verrett won't shadow him on every snap, but I think he has a better game than expected given the matchup vs. Verrett.

That said, the Jaguars have two other favorable matchups with Julius Thomas, who had his best game (9/116/1) as a Jag against the Chargers last season. And with safety Eric Weddle now in Baltimore, the matchup is even better. The other favorable matchup is for T.J. Yeldon, who struggled last week with an inefficient 21/39/1 rushing line. That said, the Chargers allowed a 199-yard performance to Spencer Ware last week while being gashed at a clip of 4.98 yards per RB carry last season.

Not only do I think the Jags keep this game close, but I expect them to win the game outright.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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September 16, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 2

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 2 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers (vs. SF), $7,900
RB - C.J. Anderson, Denver Broncos (vs. IND), $6,800
RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (vs. NO), $5,600
WR - DeSean Jackson, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL), $6,300
WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (vs. TB), $5,900
WR - Steve Smith Sr., Baltimore Ravens (at CLE), $4,300
TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (at NYG), $3,900
FLEX - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers (vs. JAX), $5,200
DST - Carolina Panthers (vs. SF), $3,900

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by both of us):

1. Sean - Steve Smith Sr., WR, Baltimore Ravens (at CLE), $4,300: Smith led all Baltimore WRs, playing 66% of the snaps last week. He had a pretty weak 5-19 line on nine targets, but I really like this spot vs. the Browns this week. I’m not a big fan of Mike Wallace, and Breshad Perriman is nursing a calf injury that forced him to missed practice on Wednesday. (Practiced Thursday.) Value isn't as plentiful as Week 1, so finding some cheaper plays is going to be more important this week. Of the players in this price range at WR, I believe Smith is the most likely to pay off 5-6x value that you will need to win a GPP. Smith also is a good pivot off all three cheap San Diego options, and Tajae Sharpe who looked good Week 1.

[Comments by Kevin: Even though Wallace was the most productive Ravens receiver in Week 1, Smith was the most-targeted (nine) of the group. He was terribly inefficient (2.11 yards per target), but I expect him to lead the team in targets again in a favorable matchup. Worth a flier.]

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

2. Kevin - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos (vs. IND), $6,800: With a high floor and plenty of upside, Anderson will be the building block in the majority of my lineups (both GPPs and cash games). After a slow start last season, CJA averaged an RB-high 6.35 yards per carry from Weeks 7 to 17 last season and racked up a total of 139 yards and two scores on 24 touches in Week 1. Favored by nearly a touchdown at home against a soft Colts defense as the focal point of a run-heavy offense, what is not to like? The Colts surrendered four total TDs -- two rushing and two receiving -- to RBs in last week's shootout against the Lions.

[Comments by Sean: I expect Anderson to be the highest-owned RB this week. The Colts defense is horrendous. Theo Riddick was a huge weapon out of the backfield last week, and Anderson is a dual threat back in an offense that will likely be doing a lot of dink and dunking. Sign me up for Anderson.]

3. Sean - Coby Fleener, TE, New Orleans Saints (at NYG), $3,900: We saw Dak and the Cowboys attack the middle of the field all last week vs. the Giants. Part of that was to protect Dak, but also I think the Giants corners are underrated. Drew Brees spreads the ball around better than probably any QB in the league so I could see a big game from Fleener this week. I think the recency bias will draw the ownership of Willie Snead & Brandin Cooks up, while Fleener’s should be relatively low. Fleener is a very good play to get a piece of this game at a low price.

[Comments by Kevin: In a game where Brees threw for 423 yards and four touchdowns in a soft matchup for TEs, Fleener had one catch for six yards. SIX! That will scare off many. Perhaps rightfully so. That said, there is plenty of upside in another favorable matchup for opposing TEs. It wouldn't surprise me if the Saints game-planned to exploit the middle of the field with Fleener and he goes off.]

4. Kevin - DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL), $6,300: A big play waiting to happen, his lone career 200-yard game came against the Cowboys. Since signing with Washington, Jackson has at least 80 yards per game with a score in two of three Washington-Dallas games (he didn't play in Week 17 last year). In those three games, D-Jax has a combined line of 14/302/2 (21.57 Y/R).

[Comments by Sean: Jackson is the ultimate GPP play. He has scored over 15 DK points in his last three games vs. the Cowboys. I’m not sure how much exposure to any of the Redskins receivers I will have this giving the Cowboys projected pace of play, and the fact that Kirk Cousins spread the ball around so well last week. I’ll trust Kevin here with his gut shot though giving that he is a Cowboys fan.]

5. Sean - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers (vs. SF), $7,900: I’m trying my best to get Cam into my cash lineup this week, but it's very hard considering you want to roster one of the elite WRs as well. I will however have extra exposure to him in tournaments. He is one of the few QBs in the league who has 40-point scoring potential, and this is one of those matchups where I could see the Panthers scoring 40+ points despite facing the league's "best" defense, lol. I’m hoping that red #1 scares off some people.

[Comments by Kevin: Brees and Eli Manning could be the two highest-owned QBs, but Newton is my top-ranked QB and no QB has the type of weekly upside that he does. The 49ers play so fast and the Panthers defense is so good that I expect a lot of Niner three-and-outs to lead to a lot of Panther drives. I absolutely love the upside here.]

6. Kevin - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants (vs. NO), $5,600: Jennings didn't have a great performance Week 1, but he had 19 touches. In their past four games, Jennings has a total of 81 touches. Priced as an "average" player ($5,555 average salary per roster spot), Jennings is virtually assured of 20 touches against one of the softest defenses in the league in a game with the highest over/under of the week. While Odell Beckham obviously has a ton of upside, so does Jennings as only the Panthers are projected to score more points this week (based on Vegas odds).

[Comments by Sean: So we faded the Saints WRs with Fleener and now ODB with Jennings. This is a great pivot off extremely high-owned players. I don’t think Jennings will go as overlooked as Fleener, but he still is a great play here. If the Giants get off to a lead at home which they could, we could see Jennings with a 100-yard, 2-TD type of game.]

7. Sean - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers (vs. JAX), $5,200: I wrote up Woodhead as my favorite DK play of the week. I think Woodhead will be chalky giving the lack of value this week, but so was Spencer Ware last week. If you didn't have Ware last week in tournaments, you were behind a quarter of the field. This is an up-tempo game and I definitely think Woodhead pays off his sub-6K price tag.

[Comments by Kevin: The Keenan Allen injury means that there will be plenty of passing-game targets for other options. Of course, players like Travis Benjamin, Tyrell Williams, etc. will see an uptick, but I think Woodhead could see a higher volume of targets as well. I found it interesting that Woodhead doubled Melvin Gordon's snaps last week despite a pair of MG3 touchdowns and a commanding early lead last week.]

8. Kevin - Carolina Panthers DST (vs. SF), $3,900: Given what the 49ers defense did against Case Keenum and the anemic Rams offense, I expect plenty to load up on the ($100 cheaper) Seahawks defense against the Rams. After losing a hard-fought battle in a Super Bowl re-match, I expect the Panthers to take out their frustrations at home. Playing with the lead wire to wire, the 49ers offense looked better than expected last week. Things won't go as smoothly if they're forced into catch-up mode early. Carolina is favored by two TDs. The Panthers scored five defensive TDs last week and there is an excellent chance they get one this week.

[Comments by Sean: The Panthers are the highest-priced defense and for good reason. They should dominate this game which should mean tee off time on Blaine Gabbert. I could see a half-dozen sacks, and a few turnovers in this one. I generally like to play cheap defenses in GPPs but I can’t argue with this one. Great spot.]

9. Kevin - Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals (vs. TB), $5,900: I debated three receivers here with the remaining money -- Willie Snead, Michael Crabtree and Floyd. I like all of them, but I think Floyd will be the lowest-owned after Larry Fitzgerald had a pair of touchdowns last week. The Bucs actually have a good run defense -- both Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman averaged less than 3.0 YPC last week -- so I expect the Cardinals to throw the ball often. Floyd showed his upside last year down the stretch with five 100-yard performances over the final half season.

[Comments by Sean: Floyd will definitely be low-owned. I expect ownership under 5%. Kevin had the double pick at the end and really wanted the Panthers defense. Most will take Willie Snead at this price point, but in a GPP this could pay off going off the board.]

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September 15, 2016

2016 NFL Power Rankings: Week 2



Here are our Week 2 NFL Power Rankings:

1. New England Patriots (Record: 1-0; Last: 3)

With Tom Brady suspended and Rob Gronkowski (hamstring) inactive, things went better for Jimmy Garoppolo and the Patriots than anyone could have expected as they escaped with a road win in the desert. There is a chance that the Patriots emerge from Brady's suspension with a 4-0 record as they have three winnable home games against the Dolphins, Texans and Bills over the next three weeks.

2. Seattle Seahawks (Record: 1-0; Last: 1)

It took a last-minute touchdown from Russell Wilson to Doug Baldwin (31 seconds to go) to avoid a home loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 1. There was some worry that Wilson (ankle) might miss Week 2, but he has returned to practice and is considered a "full go" for Week 2.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (Record: 1-0; Last: 4)

Once again, no Le'Veon Bell, no problem. The oldest running back in the NFL at 33, Williams racked up 171 yards from scrimmage and scored twice in the team's MNF win. Not that it's a good thing to be without a talent like Bell, but perhaps the suspension will turn out to be a blessing in disguise -- keeping him fresh for a full season (once he returns).

4. Green Bay Packers (Record: 1-0; Last: 5)

Aaron Rodgers threw for only 199 yards, but he accounted for three touchdowns -- two passing (one to Jordy Nelson) and one rushing -- in the team's 27-23 win over the Jags.

5. Denver Broncos (Record: 1-0; Last: 8)

C.J. Anderson averaged an RB-high 6.35 yards per carry from Weeks 7 to 17 last season and he picked up where he left off in Week 1. Anderson racked up a total of 139 yards and two scores on 24 touches against a stingy Panthers defense. Inexperience at quarterback is a concern, but the Broncos will rely heavily on their rushing attack and defense.

6. Arizona Cardinals (Record: 0-1; Last: 2)

Like last season, Larry Fitzgerald has begun the year with a hot start with 81 yards and two scores, but it wasn't enough. It was a disappointing loss in the opener against a Brady-less, Gronk-less Patriots, but the Cardinals are one of the most-balanced and talented teams in the NFL.

7. Carolina Panthers (Record: 0-1; Last: 6)

After a tough loss in a Super Bowl rematch, the Panthers are this week's biggest favorites and projected to score the most points based on Vegas odds.

8. Cincinnati Bengals (Record: 1-0; Last: 7)

Even though Andy Dalton was sacked seven times, A.J. Green went off with a 12/180/1 line against the Jets as the Bengals escaped with a one-point victory.

9. Minnesota Vikings (Record: 1-0; Last: 9)

Despite a slow start from Adrian Peterson (19 carries for 31 yards), the Vikings defense scored two more touchdowns than the Vikings offense in Week 1.

10. Oakland Raiders (Record: 1-0; Last: 10)

Trailing by a point in the final minute, it was a gutsy call to go for two, but it made sense considering the amount of offense (and lack of defense) in the team's 35-34 win over the Saints.

11. Houston Texans (Record: 1-0; Last: 12)

Under-utilized in Miami, Lamar Miller carried the ball a career-high 28 times for 106 yards and added four catches for 11 yards in his Texans debut.

12. Kansas City Chiefs (Record: 1-0; Last: 13)

Overcoming a 17-point deficit on Sunday, the Chiefs set a franchise record with their largest come-from-behind victory. Accounting for nearly 200 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown, Spencer Ware led the team in both rushing (11/70/1) and receiving (7/129/0) in Week 1 against the Chargers.

13. Baltimore Ravens (Record: 1-0; Last: 18)

Since leaving the Steelers for free agency after the 2012 season, Wallace set a four-year high for his long reception (66 yards) in his first game with the Ravens.

14. New York Jets (Record: 0-1; Last: 11)

The good news? The Jets sacked Andy Dalton seven times. The bad news? They still lost and have a difficult upcoming schedule with the Bills on Thursday Night Football and then four consecutive 2015 playoff teams: Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers and Cardinals.

15. New York Giants (Record: 1-0; Last: 21)

Eli Manning threw three touchdowns as the Giants beat the Cowboys by a point. This week, the Giants host the Saints, who have surrendered 10 passing touchdowns to Manning in his past two games against them.

16. Detroit Lions (Record: 1-0; Last: 22)

Winning a shootout against a bad and banged-up Colts defense, Matthew Stafford completed 31-of-39 pass attempts for 340 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in Week 1. In his past seven games, Stafford has thrown 20 touchdowns and one interception.

17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Record: 1-0; Last: 25)

2015 No. 1 overall pick Jameis Winston threw four TDs in the season opener as the Bucs beat division-rival Atlanta. It was the second-most touchdown passes Winston has thrown in his young career.

18. Jacksonville Jaguars (Record: 0-1; Last: 15)

With Chris Ivory scratched, T.J. Yeldon managed only 39 rushing yards on 21 carries (1.9 YPC) against the Packers in Week 1. It seems unlikely that Ivory will play this week, but the Chargers gave up 199 YFS to Spencer Ware last week.

19. Indianapolis Colts (Record: 0-1; Last: 14)

Andrew Luck and the passing offense could be great this year. Their defense won't be.

20. Dallas Cowboys (Record: 0-1; Last: 16)

Rookie Ezekiel Elliott described his play as "average" in the opener. Not quite "average," Elliott gained just 51 yards on his 20 carries (2.55 YPC).

21. Philadelphia Eagles (Record: 1-0; Last: 30)

Rookie Carson Wentz played well (278 yards and two TDs) in his NFL debut and Wentz and the Eagles will face the Bears in prime time in Week 2.

22. Washington Redskins (Record: 0-1; Last: 17)

In Washington's MNF loss, they ran the ball only 12 times (a league-low 21.82 percent of their plays). Game flow obviously influenced that, but one of the concerns for Washington's offense this season will be their effectiveness (or lack therof) running the ball.

23. New Orleans Saints (Record: 0-1; Last: 19)

Drew Brees threw for 423 yards and four touchdowns as the Saints opened the season with a 35-34 loss. As always, it's the defense, not offense, that is the problem and the Saints have lost their best cornerback, Devin Breaux, to a fractured fibula.

24. Buffalo Bills (Record: 0-1; Last: 20)

Tyrod Taylor and the Bills offense got off to a slow start. Depending on the health of Sammy Watkins' foot, there is potential that the Bills offense underachieves all season.

25. Tennessee Titans (Record: 0-1; Last: 24)

The good news? The Titans defense did not allow any touchdowns in Week 1. The bad news? Their offense allowed two of them.

26. Miami Dolphins (Record: 0-1; Last: 26)

After nearly pulling off the upset in Seattle, the Dolphins head to New England for another tough road game. Ryan Tannehill has thrown for 300-plus yards in three consecutive (and four of his past five) games agianst the Patriots.

27. San Diego Chargers (Record: 0-1; Last: 28)

On pace for 134 catches last season before suffering a season-ending kidney injury, Keenan Allen will miss even more time in 2016 as he suffered a torn ACL in Week 1. It's a devastating blow to the Chargers offense and hopefully Allen will be able to stay healthy in 2017, but he will play only 38 total games in his first four NFL seasons combined.

28. Atlanta Falcons (Record: 0-1; Last: 27)

The Falcons ranked last in the NFL in sacks (19) last season. In Week 1, they failed to sack Jameis Winston.

29. Chicago Bears (Record: 0-1; Last: 29)

The team's offensive line struggled as Jay Cutler was sacked five times in the opener.

30. San Francisco 49ers (Record: 1-0; Last: 32)

Things went MUCH better than expected for the 49ers in Week 1. They should came back down to earth this week following a tough matchup against the Panthers in Week 2.

31. Los Angeles Rams (Record: 0-1; Last: 23)

With Jared Goff inactive, Case Keenum and the Rams generated no points and virtually no offense against the 49ers.

32. Cleveland Browns (Record: 0-1; Last: 31)

With RG3 placed on Injured Reserve, the Browns turn (back) to Josh McCown. McCown threw 12 touchdowns to four interceptions in eight games last season and he set a career high with 457 passing yards last year against this week's opponent (Baltimore).

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September 14, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 2

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 2?

Sean Beazley: Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers (vs. JAX), $5,200

Woodhead outsnapped Melvin Gordon 50-23 on Sunday and had seven more touches. Even when the Chargers were up big in the game, the Chargers were using Woodhead, which is a pretty telling sign.

The Chargers will be without Keenan Allen for the rest of the season, and will need to turn to Woodhead even more in the passing game. Woodhead could see upwards of 10 targets this week against a Jags defense that gave up 105 receptions to RBs last year (third-highest in the NFL). Woodhead could even be safe in cash this week as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Kevin Hanson: C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos (vs. IND), $6,800

After a slow start last season, CJA averaged an RB-high 6.35 yards per carry from Weeks 7 to 17. Picking up where he left off, Anderson racked up a total of 139 yards and two scores on 24 touches as he finished Week 1 as a top-three back.

Favored by nearly a touchdown (-6) in Week 2, the Broncos should once again force feed the ball to Anderson. CJA gets a favorable matchup against the Colts, who allowed a pair (Theo Riddick and Ameer Abdullah) of top-10 fantasy running backs last week.

Six running backs have a higher salary than Anderson this week. That said, there is only one running back ahead of him in my PPR running backs: David Johnson, who's also the highest-priced back of the week. With plenty a high floor and plenty of upside, he'll be the building block in the majority of my lineups.

Brendan Donahue: Willie Snead, WR, New Orleans Saints (at NYG), $5,800

Even though it's only been one week, I think the Saints have already come to the realization that they are only going to win games in shootouts this year, which is great for us in fantasy. Snead had a terrific Week 1 catching all nine targets for 172 yards and a touchdown. In last year's matchup with the Giants, Snead put up 25 points on DraftKings with 6 catches for 70 yards and two touchdowns. I see another high-scoring game between these two teams and Snead is in line for another big game.

John Trifone: Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers (vs. JAX), $5,200

If you're not playing Eli Manning and Odell Beckham in cash Week 2, you're going to be in the minority. And you should be. There are plenty of tournament options I like as pivots off Eli - specifically Philip Rivers, who everyone will be off after the Keenan Allen news. I also like Kirk Cousins in tournaments after having a sub-par performance on Monday night.

My favorite early value play, though, would probably be Danny Woodhead. He substantially out-snapped Melvin Gordon Week 1 and has better usage with Keenan out of the lineup. With DK's PPR scoring, Woodhead has a safe floor and also a fairly high ceiling in what should be a relatively fast-paced game against Jacksonville. At $5,200, he looks like great value to me.

Dan Yanotchko: T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (at SD), $4,700

This week I like T.J. Yeldon of the Jaguars going against a very bad Chargers run defense. Chris Ivory was just released from the hospital, and most likely will not play this week. Although he was inefficient, Yeldon had 25 touches -- 21 carries and four receptions -- last week and added a TD. Also, last week San Diego gave up 4.4 yards per carry and two scores as well.

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September 13, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

WR - Tajae Sharpe, Tennessee Titans (46 percent)

Houston rookie Will Fuller (51 percent) missed our self-imposed 50-percent rule, but he would top this list if he were eligible. Instead, another AFC South rookie tops this list.

After leading college football in receptions, Sharpe generated plenty of positive buzz throughout the offseason and had a productive preseason. It was more of the same for the rookie out of UMass as he led the Titans with seven catches for 76 yards on a team-high 11 targets.

While Marcus Mariota won't throw the ball 41 times per week, Sharpe should continue to lead the receiving corps in production. Even in a conservative, run-oriented offense, Sharpe should flirt with WR3/flex production on a weekly basis with upside for more once byes start in a few weeks.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

WR - Mohamed Sanu, Atlanta Falcons (45 percent)

Both targeted eight times in Sunday's loss to the Bucs, Sanu (5/80/1) was more productive than Julio Jones (4/66/1). That obviously won't happen often (or maybe ever again), but Sanu could be a productive WR3 going forward as Jones draws the bulk of the attention from opposing defenses. In addition, Sanu (and the Falcons) gets a couple of favorite matchups against the Raiders and Saints in the next weeks before a brutal three-game stretch against the Panthers, Broncos and Seahawks.

WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (39 percent)

With Coby Fleener in New Orleans, the Colts are expected to use more three-WR sets and Donte Moncrief (68/70 snaps), T.Y. Hilton (67/70) and Dorsett (51/70) all played more than 50 snaps each as the Colts trailed the majority of their Week 1 loss. Targeted six times, Dorsett finished with four catches for 94 yards (23.5 Y/R).

One of the fastest players in the NFL, Dorsett will have plenty of big plays as two of his four receptions were for more than 30 yards each (51 and 33 yards). It's difficult to rely on him as a weekly starter, but he's worth stashing on your bench and could move into the WR3/flex range in weeks with expected shootouts.

WR - Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals (five percent)

LaFell actually led the team's receivers in snaps (55) although that was only one more than A.J. Green, who had a monster game (12/180/1) on his visit to Revis Island. LaFell had a productive outing (4/91 on four targets) and he's the team clear No. 2 receiver after AJG. That said, it wouldn't surprise me if LaFell dropped to fourth on target depth chart at some point this season once Tyler Eifert returns and assuming Tyler Boyd continues to see his role expand within the offense.

WR - Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers (eight percent)

The absence of Markus Wheaton opened up some additional opportunities for Rogers, who finished with 6/59/1 on seven targets in the team's MNF win over Washington. That said, he's the team's No. 3/slot receiver when Wheaton is healthy and has drawn rave reviews this offseason from Ben Roethlisberger and OC Todd Haley. Rogers is especially worth consideration in PPR formats.

WR - Mike Wallace, Baltimore Ravens (36 percent)

A vertical threat that is finally playing with a quarterback that can push the ball down the field, Wallace had a 66-yard touchdown in the season opener. Wallace finished with three catches for 91 yards and a touchdown and the Ravens get a soft matchup in Week 2 against the Browns.

WR - Steve Smith, Baltimore Ravens (46 percent)

While Wallace was more productive, Smith Sr. had more targets (nine) than Wallace (six) although he turned those targets into only 19 yards on five receptions. As he continues to get back into shape following last year's devastating Achilles' injury, Smith should continue to lead the team in targets (and perhaps production). Wallace has more weekly upside, while Smith will likely have more consistency from week to week due to his volume of targets.

WR - Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (three percent)

The Chargers receiving corps was delivered a devastating blow in Week 1. One year after Keenan Allen was lost for half of the season with a kidney ailment, he's now going to miss 15 1/2 games due to a torn ACL. The injury diminishes the fantasy outlook for Philip Rivers, but one player that gets a boost from the injury is Williams. As the team's No. 3 receiver entering the season, the 6-foot-3 speedster had some sleeper appeal and now he's virtually guaranteed of a more prominent role in the offense.

WR - Jeremy Kerley, San Francisco 49ers (one percent)

Recently acquired from the Lions, the 49ers wasted no time in featuring Kerley. (Of course, that says as much about the quality of the healthy talent on the roster as it does about Kerley.) Either way, Kerley had a team-high 11 targets in a 28-0 blowout win only two weeks after joining the club. While he won't have much value in standard-scoring leagues, he has the potential to return WR3-type value in PPR formats.

WR - Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (three percent)

With Tony Romo sidelined, Beasley may be more trustworthy than Terrance Williams (not considering running the wrong direction on his final reception) on a weekly basis. Beasley actually had more targets (12) than the team's other three receivers -- Dez Bryant (five), Williams (four) and Brice Butler (two) -- combined. Especially in deeper PPR formats, Beasley is worth a long look.

WR - Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (one percent)

With Jace Amaro released, no Jets "tight end" was targeted in the opener. That said, Enunwa essentially operates as the team's tight end. Enunwa won't get seven catches for eight targets every week, but he played 63/71 snaps (88.73%) and he could have plenty of opportunities as defenses try to limit Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker as much as possible.

WR - Chris Hogan, New England Patriots (31 percent)

It's difficult to trust Hogan on a weekly basis, but the free-agent addition finished as fantasy's WR17 (12.0 fantasy points) in his debut with his new team. Hogan finished with 3/60/1, but he was targeted only four times.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (43 percent)

The Falcons did what they said they would do: Get Tevin Coleman more involved. As feared, it was at the expense of Devonta Freeman. Both backs played a fairly even number of snaps (36 for Freeman to Coleman's 32). While Freeman (15) edged Coleman (13) in touches, Coleman was more productive with 77 more total yards (117 to 40).

Showing off his big-play ability, Coleman had a 47-yard reception and four of his five receptions went for at least 16 yards. Based on his Week 1 effectiveness, Coleman should continue to get (roughly) as much work as Freeman and deserves to be owned in all leagues.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

RB - Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions (35 percent)

Playing only 24 snaps in Week 1, Riddick touched the ball on half of his snaps played. The versatile back had seven carries for 45 yards and a touchdown plus five catches for 63 yards and another score in Week 1's win over the Colts. Ameer Abdullah was productive -- 120 YFS and a score on 17 touches -- as well.

Riddick is unlikely to average seven carries per game and he only scored three touchdowns in all of last season, but he should be 100-percent owned in PPR formats and is worth a look in standard-scoring leagues. With 80 receptions last season, Riddick finished as the RB18 in PPR leagues (RB38 in standard-scoring formats) in 2015.

RB - Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (eight percent)

With a three-down skill set, Dixon rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three out of four seasons and posted 30-plus catches in back-to-back seasons at Louisiana Tech. Dixon sustained a left knee sprain in Baltimore's third preseason game so he may still miss a few more games.

In the opener, Javorius Allen was a surprise inactive and neither Justin Forsett (56 yards on 13 touches) or Terrance West (38 yards on 14 touches) lit the world on fire in Week 1. SI's Peter King wrote not too long ago that he wouldn't be surprised if Dixon is the starter by the middle of the October.

(Me either.)

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

As noted above, West was not very efficient in the opener with 12 carries for 32 yards (2.67 YPC) and two catches for six yards. Playing nearly as many snaps as Forsett (34 snaps), West (30 snaps) got one more touch than Forsett. With West more likely to get goal-line opportunities over Forsett as well, I'd prefer him over Forsett, who is owned in 60 percent of leagues.

RB - Shaun Draughn, San Francisco 49ers (three percent)

Draughn did lose a fumble last night, but the backup to Carlos Hyde still had nine touches in their Monday Night Football matchup against the Rams. Draughn only had 36 yards, but he did score a touchdown. Given the durability history of Hyde and his sizable volume with Hyde healthy, Draughn is worth a look in all formats.

RB - James White, New England Patriots (47 percent)

With Dion Lewis on the PUP list, White will be the team's passing-game back for at least five more weeks. Getting only one carry in the opener, White converted five of seven targets into 40 yards on Sunday night. Down the stretch last season with Lewis sidelined, White finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in three of the last seven games of the season and averaged 15.26 PPR points per game during that stretch.

It would take a leap of faith to actually start White given Bill Belichick's unpredictability with allocating running back touches, but White should have a few highly productive games over the next half season.

RB - Jalen Richard, Oakland Raiders (one percent)

Getting the second-most snaps (10) among Oakland's running backs after Latavius Murray (45), Richard had three carries for 84 yards, which included a 75-yard touchdown run, and had two receptions for 11 yards. Generating buzz in August, he's worth a look for those in deeper leagues.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (seven percent)

In his NFL debut on Sunday, Wentz completed 22-of-37 pass attempts for 278 yards and two touchdowns as he scored more than 19 fantasy points and finished as a top-12 fantasy QB against the Browns. Especially given the amount of time that he missed in the preseason, it was an impressive performance for the rookie. Looking at his numbers, here are a couple of surprises: (1) Wentz threw it 37 times despite the Eagles winning by 19 points and (2) Wentz ran the ball only twice.

On the team's first offensive series, Wentz marched the team down the field on a drive that culminated with a TD pass to Jordan Matthews so Philadelphia led the game nearly wire to wire. I expected closer to 30 pass attempts for Wentz, although the team ran the ball a total of 40 times. Given his mobility, Wentz should run the ball more often in future weeks than he did in Week 1 and that helps boost his floor given what should be some ups and downs as a rookie passer.

The Eagles go into Week 2 as 3.5-point underdogs, but the Bears secondary offers Wentz another favorable matchup.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (18 percent)

Excluding last year's injury-shortened season, Flacco had finished as a top-20 fantasy quarterback in each of the first seven seasons of his career and as a top-16 performer in four of five seasons from 2010-2014. Flacco got off to a slow start in Week 1 with only 12 fantasy points against the Bills as he threw for 258 yards and one touchdown. His immediate fantasy outlook is looking up though as it's Flacco's turn to face the Browns in Week 2. Like Wentz last week, Flacco has top-12 upside as a streamer in Week 2.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (31 percent)

A slow start against the stingy Seahawks defense was expected and Tannehill threw for only 186 yards and no touchdowns against the Seahawks, but he did rush for the team's only score in the game. And if a wide-open Kenny Stills did not make a brutal drop of what would have been a 70-yard touchdown (and nearly seven fantasy points for Tannehill), it would have been a much different fantasy outcome for Tannehill. (He would have had 22-plus fantasy points and finished the week as a top-10 performer.)

The matchup against the Patriots in Week 2 isn't great either, but Tannehill has thrown for 300-plus yards in three consecutive games (and four of his last five) against his division rival. Meanwhile, Tannehill is on deck for a favorable matchup against the Browns in Week 3 if you're looking a little further ahead.

QB - Brock Osweiler, Houston Texans (28 percent)

Osweiler doesn't have a great matchup against the Chiefs in Week 2, but the Texans play as fast as any team in the league and he has plenty of talented options on offense with DeAndre Hopkins and rookie Will Fuller at receiver and Lamar Miller in the backfield. There will be plenty of streaming opportunities for Osweiler down the line.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

TE - Vance McDonald, San Francisco 49ers (25 percent)

I expected a larger volume of targets (than three) for McDonald in the opener, but he did score on one of his two receptions. That said, the Rams defend tight ends well and McDonald has another difficult positional matchup against the Panthers in Week 2.

Over his final six games in 2015, however, McDonald had 21 catches for 262 yards and three touchdowns and he finished with the 11th-most fantasy points among tight ends over that span. As long as Blaine Gabbert remains the starting quarterback, I think McDonald could finish as a back-end TE1 in 2016.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 2 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

TE - Jesse James, Pittsburgh Steelers (21 percent)

James had seven targets, five catches and 31 yards in the season opener against Washington on Monday night. Only Antonio Brown (11) and DeAngelo Williams (nine) had more targets than James, but his long reception was just eight yards. A big-bodied tight end, however, James saw multiple targets inside the 10 this week and it's possible that James finishes the year with six to eight TDs.

TE - Clive Walford, Oakland Raiders (19 percent)

In a shootout with nearly 70 total points and a matchup as favorable as the one against the Saints, it was a disappointing performance for Walford, who finished with three receptions (on five targets) for 25 yards. Walford has another favorable matchup as the Falcons allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to the position in 2015 and they gave up a pair of touchdowns to tight ends in the regular-season opener against the Bucs on Sunday. I wouldn't necessarily trust Walford as a starter this week, but bigger and better performances should be in his near-term future.

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (18 percent)

Only Stefon Diggs (nine) drew more targets than Rudolph (eight), who finished with four catches for 65 yards. It's hard to get too excited about Rudolph as it was only his sixth game with at least 65 yards over 65 career games. With Shaun Hill (and eventually Sam Bradford, possible this week) under center, however, it's possible that he sees the second-most targets on Minnesota this season. (Granted, the Vikings threw the ball fewer than any other team in the league last year.)

TE - Jacob Tamme, Atlanta Falcons (two percent)

Tamme had a productive Week 1 as he finished with six catches for 51 yards on eight targets. I don't expect those numbers on a consistent basis from Tamme, but he has a pair of favorable matchups in Weeks 2 and 3 against the Raiders and Saints and could be a good option for owners looking to find an injury fill-in for Zach Ertz (ribs). Along with the Giants, both teams finished in the top-three in terms of most fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends in 2015.

TE - Virgil Green, Denver Broncos (27 percent)

Behind Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, Green is no better than third in line for targets in a run-first offense with an inexperienced quarterback under center. If he finishes in the neighborhood of 80 targets (five times 16 games), however, that would have been good enough to finish 16th among tight ends last season. In other words, he has the potential to finish as a solid TE2 despite his modest Week 1 stat line (4/28).

TE - Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (nine percent)

Based on talent, Seferian-Jenkins is arguably the most-talented player on this list. That said, both Luke Stocker (37 snaps, 63.79%) and Cameron Brate (25, 43.10%) saw more action than Seferian-Jenkins (18, 31.03%). The third-year tight end did catch a 30-yard touchdown in the opener, but it was his only target in the game.

ASJ is too unreliable to start in the near future, but it's certainly possible that he sees his playing time and offensive involvement increase throughout the season if he can stay out of Dirk Koetter's dog house. And if (perhaps a big if) he eventually plays 60-plus percent of the team's snaps, he could post top-12 production from that point forward.

TE - Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills (27 percent)

Targeted only three times and finishing with two catches for 40 yards in Week 1, Clay is limited by Buffalo's low-volume passing offense. Depending on the status of Sammy Watkins (foot), however, Clay could become the team's top passing-game option if Watkins misses time. Initial reports by Manish Mehta of the NY Daily News suggested Watkins could be shut down for a lengthy period, but Watkins says that his foot is "fine."

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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September 11, 2016

Week 1 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Jets, Cardinals and Vikings

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 1 NFL picks against the spread:

New York Jets +1.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (4 Units)

The Jets have a brutal start to their season ֫— Bengals, at Bills, at Chiefs, Seahawks, at Steelers and at Cardinals. Not only do they face five playoff teams in their first six games, but the one non-playoff team is a road game against a division rival on a short week (Thursday Night Football). They are underdogs in all of their first six games.

While this should be a low-scoring affair (41.5 O/U), the Jets offense should have some success. Not only do they have one of the league's best receiver duos (Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker), Decker will likely draw a matchup versus Josh Shaw, a plus matchup for Decker. The addition of Matt Forte via free agency gives them a pair of versatile backs as well. On the other side, the Bengals will be without Tyler Eifert on offense.

The Bengals were 8-0 ATS on the road last season, but the Jets have posted an 8-3 ATS record at home in their last 11 at MetLife Stadium. As small home 'dogs, I like the Jets to get the job done at home.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 1 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Arizona Cardinals -7 over New England Patriots (3 Units)

Tom Brady? Nope. Rob Gronkowski? Nope. Rob Ninkovich? Nope. Chandler Jones? Nope. I mean, yes. Well, sort of. He's playing; just not for the Patriots.

In my opinion, the Cardinals are one of the two best teams in the NFL (along with the Seahawks). They have true balance on both sides of the ball as well as run vs. pass. At full strength, the Patriots are obviously one of the best teams in the league as well, but the dynamic changes considerably without Brady and Gronk.

The Patriots are favored in their next three games without Brady, but Jimmy Garoppolo's debut has the potential to get ugly. I like the Cardinals to win by double digits in primetime.

Minnesota Vikings -3 over Tennessee Titans (2 Units)

There are a lot of reasons to be excited about the direction of the Titans. Not only do they have a young franchise quarterback in Marcus Mariota, but their "exotic smash-mouth" duo of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry will help take some pressure off of Mariota. In addition, their offensive line upgrades should allow them to improve on their league-worst 54 sacks allowed last year.

The loss of Teddy Bridgewater for the season was a devastating blow to an up-and-coming Minnesota team that had/has the potential go from just making the playoffs to being serious Super Bowl contenders. With last year's rushing champion and one of the league's best defenses, the Vikings will play conservative football with Shaun Hill (or Sam Bradford) under center this week (in future weeks).

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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September 10, 2016

Week 1 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jarvis Landry is listed below as a "start" for Week 1. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 1 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned DeAndre Hopkins, Alshon Jeffery and Landry and could only start two receivers, you should start Hopkins and Jeffery -- and in turn, bench Landry.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 1:

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (vs. DET)

Moncrief doubled his reception total from 32 as a rookie to 64 catches in year two for 733 yards and six touchdowns. Possessing an ideal combination of size (6-2, 222) and athleticism (4.40 forty, 39.5-inch vertical), Moncrief, who recently turned 23, has plenty of breakout appeal heading into his third season.

ESPN's Mike Wells recently wrote that "Moncrief may not lead the Colts in receiving yards or yards per catch this season, but it won't be surprising if he leads them in receptions, because he'll be the receiver Luck turns to when a play breaks down." If it weren't for Andrew Luck's injuries last season, Moncrief would have posted better second-year numbers. In fact, five of his six touchdowns came within the seven games that Luck played.

With the Colts projected to score as many points as any other team in the NFL this week, Moncrief, T.Y. Hilton, et al, are set up for highly productive weeks.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 1 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

WR - Eric Decker, New York Jets (vs. CIN)

Scoring a touchdown in 12 of 15 games, Decker's weekly production was extremely consistent: 8.1 to 15.7 fantasy points every week (11.7-plus in PPR). While he finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy wide receiver only twice, he never finished worse than WR31 in any week last season. That consistency led to a top-10 full-season finish in fantasy points scored among wide receivers. A favorable matchup for Decker against Darqueze Dennard, who is doubtful with an ankle injury, means that Decker is in store for an even better matchup in Week 1.

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at IND)

Jones set career highs in both receptions (65) and yards (816) in his final season with the Bengals last year. While the Lions could be more balanced this year, no team threw the ball on a higher percentage of their plays in 2015. Showing good chemistry with Matthew Stafford, Jones could be in store for career highs in receptions and yards in 2016. Both Jones and fellow receiver Golden Tate are starts this week in matchups against a depleted Colts defense missing its best cornerback.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (at SEA)

In a record-setting season, Landry hauled in 110 receptions for 1,157 yards, added another 113 rushing yards and scored a total of six touchdowns. Not only did he finish as fantasy's WR8 in PPR formats, but he was the 13th-best receiver in standard-scoring formats as well. Despite facing a stingy Seahawks pass defense, Landry is a worthy start as Richard Sherman is unlikely to shadow the slot receiver. That said, the low projected total for the Dolphins (16.75, 32nd this week) limits Landry's upside.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 1:

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (at ARI)

Missing seven games with a broken foot, Edelman still posted a career high with seven receiving touchdowns and averaged 6.8 receptions and 76.9 yards per game, both of which were also career highs. Edelman is normally a high-volume receiver playing in lockstep with future HOFer Tom Brady. With Brady suspended for the first four games of the season, it's hard to trust Jimmy Garoppolo and Edelman to be on the same page in the opener, especially against a defensive challenge as difficult as the one they face against the Cardinals.

Once Brady returns, Edelman will be an every-week WR2 (or better). This week, however, he is nothing more than a WR3.

WR - Jordan Matthews, Philadephia Eagles (vs. CLE)

Improving on his rookie numbers (67/872/8), Matthews finished 2015 with 85 receptions for 997 yards and eight touchdowns. Fantasy owners had expected a bigger year-over-year improvement and Matthews was inconsistent, but I do expect this year's full-season numbers to exceed last year's production. That's the good news.

A knee injury kept Matthews out of the entire preseason, but he will be ready to play on Sunday against the Browns. Rookie Carson Wentz will make the start and it'll be the fourth Eagles quarterback with whom Matthews has played. As small home favorites with a rookie under center, the Eagles should dial up more running plays than passing plays, which undermines my confidence in all of the passing-game options.

WR - Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings (at TEN)

Off to great start with 6/87 (or better) in his first four NFL games as a rookie, Diggs production fizzled down the stretch with 22 yards or less in four of his final five games. Even though the Vikings drafted Laquon Treadwell in the first round of this year's draft, Diggs enters the season as the team's clear No. 1 receiver.

Given Minnesota's low-volume pass offense (32nd in pass attempts last season) and the injury to Teddy Bridgewater, Diggs should be a productive yet unspectacular fantasy option in 2016. With Shaun Hill starting this week, the Vikings should rely heavily on Adrian Peterson in what should be one of the slowest-paced games of the weekend.

WR - Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (vs. LA)

By default, Smith seemed to have a plenty of fantasy value going into the 2016 season. With Anquan Boldin no longer in San Francisco, Smith theoretically moved to the front of the line for targets in what should be an up-tempo offense. And while he set career lows in receptions (33), targets (62) and yards (663) last season, he did lead the NFL in Y/R (20.1). Smith was a top-24 fantasy WR in each of his first four seasons (2011 to 2014) before disappointing fantasy owners (WR48) in 2015. With only one target, and no catches, in the preseason, however, Smith is not even a viable WR3 option for Week 1.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 1

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Week 1 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Ryan Mathews is listed below as a "start" for Week 1. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 1 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Ezekiel Elliott, DeAngelo Williams and Mathews and could only start two of those three running backs, you should start Elliott and Williams -- and in turn, bench Mathews.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 1:

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. SD)

With Jamaal Charles doubtful for Week 1, Ware is set to draw the start in the opener and should have a fairly large role for at least the first month of the season. Even though Reid suggested "all" running backs will have a role in Week 1, I still expect Ware to handle the bulk of the workload. On 72 carries last season, the 230-pound back averaged 5.6 YPC and rushed for six touchdowns.

Ware and the Chiefs backs get a fantasy-friendly matchup against the Chargers, who surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing backs last season. In fact, the Chargers were tied for a league-high 0.80 fantasy points per touch allowed to running backs last season.

In two games against the Chargers last season, Ware carried the ball 19 times for a total of 148 yards (7.79 YPC) and two touchdowns. Favored by nearly a touchdown at home, the game script sets up favorably for Ware to get a high volume of carries in this one.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 1 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (at NO)

Not only did Murray rank fourth in the NFL in touches (307) last season, but no other running back had as many games with 15-plus touches than Murray (15). In addition, Coach Del Rio has talked about how he wants Murray to get even more carries in 2016 than he had in 2015.

Perhaps the Raiders will need to play catch up if the Drew Brees-led Saints offense jumps out to an early lead, but the Saints are favored by only 1.5 points in a game with this week's highest point total. In fact, I think the Raiders would prefer to give Murray a heavy workload to keep Brees off the field.

If Murray gets a large workload (as expected), the Saints defense should put up little resistance. A defense that isn't much better than last year's version, the Saints allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and no team allowed more fantasy points per touch (0.80) to running backs last season.

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. CLE)

As the Eagles traded Sam Bradford to the Vikings, it transformed the status of rookie Carson Wentz from "redshirt" to opening-week starter. While the Browns defense may not pose much resistance via the air, the Eagles presumably would prefer to rely heavily on the ground game instead. Mathews has been productive, when healthy, and he averaged a career-high 5.08 YPC in his first season with Eagles. It wouldn't surprise me if Mathews gets 20-plus touches in the season opener and he has top-10 upside.

- Related: Mathews was selected in our DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 1

RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (at DAL)

Durability has long been a concern with Jennings as he played the first full 16-game season of his career in 2015 and set career highs of 195 carries and 863 rushing yards. Dominating touches in the final three games of the season, Jennings racked up 419 yards from scrimmage, which led all running backs during that span, on 62 touches (third-most).

The Cowboys will try to control the clock with their run game and the Giants had their two lowest times of possession in these two divisional tilts last season. Despite the potential of a slow-paced game, Jennings should get 15 to 20 touches and is a solid RB2 in all formats. Not only did the Cowboys rank 22nd in the NFL in rush defense, but only four teams allowed more rushing touchdowns than Dallas (16) last season.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 1:

RB - Jeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals (at NYJ)

One of my favorite players in terms of full-season outlooks, Hill starts the season with a less-than-favorable matchup against the Jets. Even though the Jets will be without Sheldon Richardson (suspension) and Damon "Snacks" Harrison (free agency), they possess one of the league's stingiest run defenses. Last year, they ranked second in run defense (83.4 YPG allowed) and third in YPC allowed (3.6) and limited opposing backs to the third-fewest fantasy points. While I think backfield mate Giovani Bernard will outperform Hill, Hill may be a solid flex option for Week 1 (RB25), but he is ranked much lower than he was in my preseason rankings (RB15).

RB - Arian Foster, Miami Dolphins (at SEA)

Dolphins offensive coordinator Clyde Christensen had recently said (via the Miami Herald), “We really need someone to emerge as the guy. ... We don't want to substitute. ... We really need one guy to be a three-down back, stay in there for that drive.”

That guy is Foster. In fact, Jay Ajayi is expected to be a healthy scratch on Sunday.

While Foster should get enough volume to be a potential RB2, the matchup against last year's stingiest defense to fantasy running backs bumps him down to the flex range in my rankings (currently: RB28). Based on Vegas odds, the Dolphins have this week's lowest implied team total (16.75 points).

RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (vs. MIA)

In games without Marshawn Lynch, fantasy owners have seen a glimpse of what life could be like with Rawls as the full-time starter. In the six games that he has started and finished, Rawls had four 100-yard rushing games while averaging 118.67 rushing yards per game and 5.65 yards per carry.

That said, Christine Michael will get the start in Week 1 as Rawls (ankle) is eased back into a lead-back role. Here's what Pete Carroll said of Rawls role (and the manner in which he may be limited) in Week 1 (via ESPN):

"Just in the amount of plays. It’s the second preseason game for him, if you look at it that way, and we’re trying to take care of him as we’ve said all along, in every way that we can. We’re just going to watch and see how he does and how he handles it, that’s all. Just see how he handles it. That would be his only restriction, is how he’s taking the rigors of the game."

With the Seahawks being double-digit favorites in this game, it would make sense for the Seahawks to not overwork Rawls, especially if this game gets out of hand early. I don't have Michael listed as one of four starts above, but he is ranked inside my top-24 running backs and the preferred Seahawks running back in fantasy this week.

RB - Matt Jones, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. PIT)

Jones hasn't played since suffering a shoulder injury in the second preseason game and "hasn't been hit" since then. Jones clarified that he has been "banged around" in practice, just not tackled to the ground, but the injury is just one part of the reason that Jones is outside my top-24 fantasy running backs this week. The other is the matchup. The way to beat Pittsburgh isn't on the ground -- they allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing RBs last season -- but instead through the air.

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Week 1 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Kirk Cousins is listed below as a "start" for Week 1. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 1 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Russell Wilson and Cousins, you should start Wilson -- and in turn, bench Cousins.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 1:

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at IND)

Following his slow start, Stafford averaged 21.29 fantasy points per game and posted a 26-to-5 TD-INT ratio over his final 11 games last season. During that 11-game stretch, Stafford finished as a top-12 weekly fantasy quarterback seven times. Even without Calvin Johnson, who retired after the 2015 season, Stafford will have an excellent opportunity to pick up where he left off last season.

Despite being three-point underdogs, the Lions are projected to score the 11th-most points this week based on implied team totals using Vegas odds. Facing a mediocre (at best) defense when at full strength, Stafford and the Lions get a banged-up Colts defense that will be without its best cornerback (Vontae Davis). Stafford is a top-six fantasy quarterback for me in Week 1.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 1 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (at NO)

Like the Lions, the Raiders are road underdogs (-1.5 at New Orleans) projected to score a lot of points (25.5, eighth-most) in Week 1. No team allowed more passing touchdowns (45) or Y/A (8.7) than the Saints last season. Not only did the Saints allow the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season, but they allowed a QB to finish as a weekly top-five performer in eight of 16 games.

Slumping down the stretch (at least in part due to Amari Cooper's foot injury), Carr averaged 18.33 fantasy points (263.18 Y/G and 24:6 TD-to-INT ratio) through Week 12, but he averaged only 14.34 (218.4 Y/G and 8:7 TD-to-INT ratio) over his final five games. With Cooper healthy and a juicy matchup, Carr is a top-five play for me this week at QB.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. PIT)

Over the final 10 games of the season, few quarterbacks were as productive as Cousins, who threw 23 touchdowns, rushed for four more and threw only three interceptions. During that 10-game span, Cousins finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback seven times and as fantasy's weekly QB1 three times. In addition, Cousins was much better at home (16:2 TD-INT ratio, 8.44 Y/A) than he was on the road (13:9 TD-INT, 6.98 Y/A).

While I don't expect Cousins to be as productive overall as he was last season, he still has a talented supporting cast — in fact, even more talented than last year's group if DeSean Jackson stays healthy all season and with first-rounder Josh Doctson added to the mix. In what should be a high-scoring affair (one of three games with 50-point over/unders) and his positive home-road splits, Cousins could easily finish as a top-12 fantasy QB in Week 1.

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. GB)

A popular name to be a fantasy bust in 2016 after a breakout sophomore campaign, one of the arguments against Bortles was Jacksonville's overall improvement and commitment to the run game. After all, much was made of last season's fantasy production that occurred while trailing (often big). Bortles may not repeat last year's top-four fantasy season and 35 passing touchdowns, but the Jags are nearly a touchdown underdog in Week 1 as they will try to keep up with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 1:

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at KC)

One of my favorite fantasy quarterbacks for the 2016 season, Rivers was my sixth-ranked quarterback entering the season. And after Tom Brady, Rivers had scored the second-most fantasy points through Week 8 last season. (Keenan Allen missed the final eight games with a kidney injury.)

That said, Rivers draws a difficult Week 1 matchup against the Chiefs. Kansas City's defense had the second-most intercepted passes (22) and held opposing passers to the second-lowest completion percentage (57.5) last season. While Rivers did not have Keenan Allen (kidney) in either matchup last season, the Chargers scored a total of six points in their games against the Chiefs. In fact, Rivers has zero passing touchdowns and four interceptions in his past three matchups against the Chiefs.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (at DAL)

I don't hate Eli this week, well as a Cowboys fan, I suppose I do. But from a fantasy perspective, I don't think he's the worse play of the week. That said, he is outside my top-12 weekly QBs (barely at No. 13, but still outside my top 12). Here are Manning's two games against the Cowboys last season: 20/36 (55.56%), 193 yards, no TDs in Week 1 in Dallas and 13/24 (54.17%), 170 yards, no TDs in Week 8 at home.

Manning threw for less than 200 yards in only three games, two of which were against the Cowboys, and had only four single-digit fantasy point games, two of which were against the Cowboys. Not only did he have disappointing performances against Dallas, these were New York's two games with the least amount of time of possession. Considering the Cowboys will start fourth-round rookie Dak Prescott for an injured Tony Romo, I expect them to employ a run-heavy game plan that will attempt to keep their defense (and Eli) off the field as much as possible.

QB - Andy Dalton, CIncinnati Bengals (at NYJ)

From Weeks 1 to 13, Dalton scored the fifth-most fantasy points last season. In Week 14, he injured his thumb after throwing five passes, the last of which was an interception (that led to the injured thumb that kept him out for the remainder of the season). Dalton is healthy; however, Tyler Eifert is not. In addition, the matchup isn't great as the Jets have limited opposing quarterbacks to a league-low completion rate (57.1 percent) and the seventh-fewest fantasy points to the position in 2015.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (at SEA)

Tannehill has finished as fantasy's full-season QB16, QB9 and QB17, respectively, from 2013 to 2015 and enters the 2016 season as the QB14 in my preseason rankings. Higher on Tannehill's full-season fantasy outlook than most, I expect the coaching upgrade with Adam Gase to have positive impact on his production. That said, he gets a brutal start on the schedule against the Legion of Boom. Seattle allowed a league-low 14 passing touchdowns last season and no team is projected to score fewer points than Miami this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 1

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September 08, 2016

2016 NFL Preseason Predictions: Seahawks over Steelers in Super Bowl LI

The 2016 NFL season kicks off within the hour.

With that said, I've made division-by-division predictions as well as postseason predictions below:

AFC East

1. New England Patriots: 11-5
2. New York Jets: 9-7
3. Buffalo Bills: 7-9
4. Miami Dolphins: 6-10

AFC North

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-5
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 10-6
3. Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
4. Cleveland Browns: 4-12

AFC South

1. Houston Texans: 9-7
2. Indianapolis Colts: 8-8
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-8
4. Tennessee Titans: 6-10

AFC West

1. Oakland Raiders: 9-7
2. Denver Broncos: 9-7
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 8-8
4. San Diego Chargers: 6-10

NFC East

1. Dallas Cowboys: 8-8
2. Washington Redskins: 7-9
3. New York Giants: 7-9
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 6-10

NFC North

1. Green Bay Packers: 11-5
2. Minnesota Vikings: 9-7
3. Detroit Lions: 7-9
4. Chicago Bears: 6-10

NFC South

1. Carolina Panthers: 12-4
2. New Orleans Saints: 8-8
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-10
4. Atlanta Falcons: 6-10

NFC West

1. Seattle Seahawks: 12-4
2. Arizona Cardinals: 12-4
3. Los Angeles Rams: 7-9
4. San Francisco 49ers: 3-13

Wild Card Round

(3) Raiders over (6) Broncos

Raiders host Texans in regular season and higher seed means a third matchup against division rivals and Super Bowl champs.

(5) Bengals over (4) Texans

Andy Dalton, Marvin Lewis & Co. get their first playoff win since 1990 (season).

(3) Packers over (6) Vikings

Aaron Rodgers or Sam Bradford? At Lambeau? Easy choice.

(5) Cardinals over (4) Cowboys

Perhaps Tony Romo will be back this season. Maybe he won't, and Dak Prescott exceeds expectations. Either way, the Cowboys defense is no match for Carson Palmer and their high-powered offense.

Byes: (1) Patriots, (2) Steelers, (1) Seahawks, (2) Panthers

Divisional Round

Patriots over Bengals

Tom Brady is suspended for the first four games, but the Patriots get another first-round bye and get to a sixth consecutive AFC Championship Game.

Steelers over Raiders

It's been a while (2002 season) since the Raiders have made the playoffs, but Pittsburgh has been Oakland's most common playoff opponent (six of 43 playoff games including five from 1972 to 1976).

Packers over Panthers

The Panthers (obviously) have one of the league's best defenses, but Rodgers has faced them four times in his career with at least 29 points in all four games.

Seahawks over Cardinals

The two best teams in the NFC (and perhaps the NFL) are close, but the 12th Man advantage gives the Seahawks the edge.

AFC Championship Game: Steelers over Patriots

Ben Roethlisberger has led the Steelers to four AFC Championship Games; he's 3-1. The "1"? Versus Brady and the Pats in 2004 as a rookie. Big Ben gets his revenge.

NFC Championship Game: Seahawks over Packers

Russell Wilson now gets to his third Super Bowl in his first five seasons.

Super Bowl 51: Seahawks 24, Steelers 20

Wilson has faced the Steelers once in his career -- last November and finished with 345 yards and five TDs in a 39-30 shootout. I don't expect this one to be as high-scoring, but the Seahawks win their second Super Bowl in the Wilson era.

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September 07, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 1

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts why in our DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 1?

Brendan Donahue: Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. SD), $4,400

It's becoming more apparent that Jamaal Charles will miss Week 1 and since prices were released before the news broke, you can get his replacement, Spencer Ware, for only $4,400 this week. Ware got 11 carries or more in four games last season and he scored at least one TD in each of those four games and got you over 23 DraftKings points in two of them. As the 30th-most expensive RB on the board this week, he presents great value in cash-game formats and will allow you to spend at other positions.


Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 1 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Sean Beazley: Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions (at IND), $7,300

If you are reading this DFS advice column, you have probably read countless others, so I'm not going to talk to you about all of the same chalky plays that everyone is talking about. Dak Prescott, Marvin Jones Jr. are four players that will be very high owned, and I have all four penciled into my cash team right now. One player that I absolutely love that will get overlooked is Golden Tate. Tate has a hefty price tag at $7,300 considering his teammate Jones Jr. is $2,700 cheaper.

Here are two reasons why I love Tate for GPPs:

  1. Ownership: Unless you are going full game stack, or a QB-WR-WR Lions stack, chances are you are going to be choosing Jones Jr. over Tate. Jones Jr. will be 20-25% higher owned than Tate. There are also a lot of other flashy players in great matchups in this same price range. Randall Cobb vs. Jacksonville, Amari Cooper vs. New Orleans, and Mike Evans vs. Atlanta. The casual DFS player is not going to choose Tate over those players. I think this gets overlooked when building lineups.
  2. This is a dream matchup for Tate. The Colts defense is decimated with injuries in the secondary which should lead to plenty of opportunities for Matthew Stafford and the Lions offense. I read a great article today on defensive tendencies. I would imagine Tate sees a lot of Darius Butler (89th of 111 corners in coverage last year according to PFF) in the slot.
DraftKings offers full point per catches, and it wouldn't shock me at all to see Tate be among the league's best WRs in Week 1.

Alternating picks for a tournament lineup, Sean/Kevin did a DraftKings GPP Draft for Week 1.

Kevin Hanson: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys (vs. NYG), $7,300

Even if Tony Romo weren't injured, I'd expect the Cowboys to employ a run-dominant game plan with Zeke. With a horrible defense and a rookie quarterback replacing a fragile one, the Cowboys can protect both Dak and their leaky defense by controlling the clock and LOS on offense. There is plenty of value to be had this week so it's easy to spend up, but I think Elliott's ownership will be much lower than next week given Dak's contest-minimum price tag this week. In my early Week 1 rankings, Elliott is my top-ranked fantasy running back and my bold prediction for his debut is 200 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns.

[FYI: I looked it up and no rookie had more than 194 rushing yards in Week 1. Coincidentally, it was Ottis Anderson against the Cowboys.]

John Trifone: Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts (vs. DET), $6,000

There are a lot of great value picks this week -- more than there will usually be because of the long gap between when prices came out and Week 1. Guys like Spencer Ware, Dak Prescott, and Marvin Jones are all good value options. I'm going to pick two different value plays, though. I like Donte Moncrief for $6,000 and the Browns defense for $2,300 against a rookie quarterback in Philly. Moncrief should see a lot of targets in a high-scoring affair Week 1 against a bad defense. The Browns are facing a team that just traded their starting quarterback, a sign that they're essentially waving the white flag on the entire season. Those are two of my favorite cash plays for Week 1.

Dan Yanotchko: Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at ATL), $6,200

I like Doug Martin this week at home against the Atlanta Falcons. Last year Martin had a solid stat line in two games of 166 rushing yards and a TD. Not only will the Falcons start two rookies at linebacker, they gave up 105 rushing yards per game, 4.0 yards per carry, and a league-high 20 rushing touchdowns last year.

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