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July 02, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Miami Dolphins

We have begun the process of posting our 2017 Fantasy Football Projections as we post statistical projections (at least) one team per day.

Yesterday, we posted our fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills and today we turn our attention to the Miami Dolphins.

Below you will find our 2017 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill341.1525394624.214.649.82021.7255.84
In his first season with Adam Gase, Tannehill set a career high in completion percentage (67.1), yards per attempt (7.7) and TD percentage (4.9), but his attempts (389 in 13 games) were way down (29.2/G). He tossed 11 of his 19 touchdowns in his final five games before his season-ending injury, but it's likely that Gase employs a similar approach (run-first) in play calling in 2017.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Miami Dolphins" »


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Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBTyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills-5.4 (139.5 on 6/25; 134.1 on 7/2)
RBDevontae Booker, Denver Broncos-6.4 (162.8 on 6/25; 156.4 on 7/2)
WRJeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens-7.3 (102.3 on 6/25; 95.0 on 7/2)
TEC.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans-11.0 (173.1 on 6/25; 162.1 on 7/2)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Continue reading "Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position" »


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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 8 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 8
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.08 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats and only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

2.05 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: The Saints had two top-10 fantasy wide receivers -- Brandin Cooks and Thomas. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

3.08 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within the new offense could be an issue for Hyde. I'd prefer to have a different (read: better) RB1 for this team, but Hyde was the best available fantasy RB at this spot.

4.05 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. Especially with Jeremy Maclin released, it should be another dominant year for Kelce.

5.08 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value, but he's at least a solid WR3/flex option heading into 2017.

6.05 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Missing multiple games again, Coleman showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. Even though Devonta Freeman will lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of 13 games last season and finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 8 Pick" »


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July 01, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10-Team PPR Mock Draft with Super Flex

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring with Super Flex (QB-eligible flex)
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than Brown.

2.05 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Despite lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon finished only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, Gordon should improve his efficiency in 2017.

3.06 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the 2015 season, Nelson's production (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

4.05 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 receiving touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons. Even though this is essentially a 2-QB league given the QB-eligible flex position so QBs go earlier than usual, I'm surprised to get three WR1 type with Brown, Jordy and Dez.

5.06 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags should make Fournette a workhorse sooner rather than later considering they used a top-four pick on the former LSU Tiger. With a strong defense and a desire to limit mistakes by Blake Bortles, Fournette could see north of 20 touches per game as a rookie.

6.05 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: If the Chargers can keep their top pass-catchers healthy for a full season, Rivers has plenty of upside as this mock's QB16. He has 4,200-plus passing yards in seven of eight seasons and has thrown 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10-Team PPR Mock Draft with Super Flex" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Buffalo Bills

Beginning today (and over the next few weeks), we will post our initial 2017 Fantasy Football Projections by team. Once we've posted our projections for each team, you will then be able to view our overall projections by position.

Today, we will begin with our 2017 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills. Throughout the offseason, we will continue to modify and tweak our projections for all teams.

[Note: Future updates will be posted here for our 2017 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Football Projections.]

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tyrod Taylor330.9529.1384822.39.297.45074.6303.02
No team threw the ball fewer times than the Bills (474) in 2016, but that didn't keep Taylor from finishing as a top-10 fantasy quarterback (QB8) last season. While the dual-threat quarterback threw for 3,023 yards and 17 touchdowns, he ran for 580 yards and six scores. In his two seasons as a starter, Taylor has rushed for 1,148 yards and 10 touchdowns.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
LeSean McCoy244.21152.99.649.1376.31.7220.72
In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.
Jonathan Williams73.3310.433.221051.14
On limited touches (110 in 15 games), Mike Gillislee scored a total of nine touchdowns and the 27th-most fantasy points (39th in PPR) among running backs last season. With Gillislee now in New England, the 223-pound second-year back is expected to move into the role vacated by Gillislee and he has weekly flex upside even if McCoy stays healthy for a full season. That said, fullback Mike Tolbert could take some of those opportunities away from Williams.
Mike Tolbert48.9172.30.311.389.1027.94
Patrick DiMarco9.631.607.960.309.19
Jordan Johnson9.640.400004.04

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Buffalo Bills" »


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June 30, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 5 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With my top-four players off the board, the mock has started as I'd expect.

2.08 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Posting career lows in efficiency (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R), Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. With the team drafting D'Onta Foreman on Day 2, perhaps a slight reduction in volume will lead to a bounce-back in efficiency.

3.05 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

4.08 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

5.05 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. While Devonta Freeman led the backfield in usage and production, Coleman finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

6.08 - Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: The good news: 18 touchdowns. The bad news: 22 games. Unfortunately, Eifert has missed more games (26) than he has played (22) over the past three seasons, but he has been a dominant red-zone target, when healthy, with 18 touchdowns during that stretch.

7.05 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah was off to a good start -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.08 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were greater than his actual production in 2016, but there is upside for the former first-round pick as my WR4.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 5 Pick" »


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June 29, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 20 Teams, No. 11 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 20
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.11 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon just missed the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games in 2016. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.10 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

3.11 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Along with Amari Cooper, Crabtree is part of one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

4.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

5.11 - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Baltimore Ravens: Coming off a disappointing season (44/536/2 in 12 games), Maclin had 172 catches for 2,406 yards and 18 touchdowns over the previous two seasons combined.

6.10 - Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: A top-15 fantasy quarterback in each of his first two seasons, Winston has the potential to post his first top-10 fantasy season in 2017. Winston is the QB9 in my rankings and the 13th QB off the board in this mock.

7.11 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Stewart has missed at least three games in five consecutive seasons, has averaged less than 4.0 yards per carry in three of those five seasons including last year (3.8 YPC) and the Panthers selected Christian McCaffrey with the eighth overall pick. That said, I expect Stewart to lead the backfield in touches when healthy.

8.10 - Tyrell Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: Williams had a breakout season in 2016 as he finished with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With a healthy Keenan Allen, it will be nearly impossible for him to duplicate last year's numbers, but he offers depth as my WR4.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 20 Teams, No. 11 Pick" »


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June 28, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 2-QB PPR League, No. 2 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.02 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Leading the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20), Johnson also led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored. Even though I have Le'Veon Bell (selected first) ranked higher, it's a win-win with either back.

2.09 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Both Brandin Cooks and Thomas finished as top-10 fantasy wide receivers in 2016. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for Thomas to grow as the clear No. 1 target for Drew Brees.

3.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons.

4.09 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should (hopefully) keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason.

5.02 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: Exceeding 4,200 passing yards in seven of eight seasons and 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years, Rivers has plenty of upside as the QB14 in this mock.

6.09 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he's a bargain as my WR4/flex in this PPR mock.

7.02 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: There are concerns with Hyde, specifically durability and his fit in the offense. That said, there's a lot to like about his cost here in the seventh round.

8.09 - Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars: Taking a step back in Year 3, Bortles averaged 6.2 Y/A with a 23-to-16 TD-INT ratio in 2016 (7.3 Y/A and 35 TDs in 2015). With an elite defense and the addition of Leonard Fournette, it's highly unlikely that Bortles throws it 625 times again this year, but he's a fair value as QB19.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 2-QB PPR League, No. 2 Pick" »


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June 27, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.09 - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills: Shady had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns in 2016. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook as well.

2.04 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries) and while he may not finish second in rushing once again, Howard should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.09 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Starting this mock with back-to-back RBs means my WR1 is weaker than I'd prefer in a three-WR PPR league, but Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns last season. Playing in a high-powered offense led by Aaron Rodgers, Adams has double-digit touchdown upside again.

4.04 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Crabtree (and teammate Amari Cooper) form one of the league's top wide receiver duos and Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season. In addition, he is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.09 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders finished as PPR's WR21 last season and it wouldn't surprise me if he finishes better than that this season.

6.04 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: An ideal WR4, the 23-year-old (turns 24 in August) receiver could be poised for a breakout provided he stays healthy. Missing seven games last season, Moncrief had just 30/307/7, but his impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed makes him a strong performer in the red zone.

7.09 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph shattered previous career highs with 83 receptions (previous career high: 53) and 840 yards (previous career high: 495) while scoring seven touchdowns. Rudolph should come close to those numbers once again in 2017.

8.04 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks with weight-based contract bonuses. As much of a disappointment as Lacy has been over the past two seasons, he's a nice value in Round 8.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick" »


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June 25, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBMarcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans-4.1 (104.5 on 6/18; 100.4 on 6/25)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-9.6 (111.2 on 6/18; 101.6 on 6/25)
WRQuincy Enunwa, New York Jets
Jeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens
-10.8 (140.5 on 6/18; 129.7 on 6/25)
-10.8 (113.1 on 6/18; 102.3 on 6/25)
TEJack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts-2.8 (135.3 on 6/18; 132.5 on 6/25)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Biggest Risers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBTom Brady, New England Patriots-3.96% (27.8 on 6/18; 26.7 on 6/25)
RBChristian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers-14.05% (36.3 on 6/18; 31.2 on 6/25)
WRJeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens-9.55% (113.1 on 6/18; 102.3 on 6/25)
TETyler Eifert, Cincinnati Bengals-3.52% (71.0 on 6/18; 68.5 on 6/25)

Biggest Fallers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBRyan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins+4.3 (155.5 on 6/18; 159.8 on 6/25)
RBJeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals+8.9 (92.7 on 6/18; 101.6 on 6/25)
WRSterling Shepard, New York Giants+11.4 (137.5 on 6/18; 148.9 on 6/25)
TEDavid Njoku, Cleveland Browns+6.1 (157.0 on 6/18; 163.1 on 6/25)

Biggest Fallers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBAndrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts+6.47% (51.0 on 6/18; 54.3 on 6/25)
RBLatavius Murray, Minnesota Vikings+10.82% (72.1 on 6/18; 79.9 on 6/25)
WRJordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers+8.40% (13.1 on 6/18; 14.2 on 6/25)
TEDavid Njoku, Cleveland Browns+3.89% (157.0 on 6/18; 163.1 on 6/25)

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

- More: Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP): MFL10 Leagues

Our 2017 fantasy football rankings:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle


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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 14 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 14
  • Draft Slot: 14
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.14 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

2.01 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) Ajayi clearly enters the 2017 season as the team's workhorse and he gives me/this team two top-10 fantasy running backs.

3.14 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

4.01 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored last season. With Jeremy Maclin released and Rob Gronkowski's durability track record, it wouldn't be a huge surprise if Kelce leads the position in fantasy points once again.

5.14 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Back for (at least) one more season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in consecutive years with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons. Even though he will turn 34 years old prior to the 2017 season, Fitzgerald is a safe WR2 for this team.

6.01 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

7.14 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were greater than his actual production in 2016. That said, expectations are high for Parker again and (like with Abdullah) there is breakout potential if he can stay healthy.

8.01 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Coach Shanahan was his coordinator in Washington.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 14 Pick" »


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June 24, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 15 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 15
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.15 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Along with Brandin Cooks, Thomas was one of two top-10 fantasy wide receivers for the Saints in 2016. The former Buckeye had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

2.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: No team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays than the Cowboys last season. Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, however, Bryant had 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). Bryant is a solid WR1 due to his dominance in the red zone, but he may frustrate fantasy owners with the occasional dud in a run-first offense.

3.15 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within Kyle Shanahan's offense could be an issue for Hyde. Beat writer Matt Maiocco wrote of rookie Joe Williams in response to a mailbag question, "So, yes, Williams has a legitimate chance to immediately unseat Hyde as the team’s top running back."

4.02 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

5.15 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Kyle Shanahan was his coordinator in Washington.

6.02 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick will remain at least a vital part of the team's passing offense going forward and a solid RB2 in PPR formats.

7.15 - Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: For the post-Rashad Jennings New York Giants, Perkins enters the season as the starter. The team's offensive line was essentially (and surprisingly) ignored in the draft, which is a concern for the running game as a whole, but Perkins should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches.

8.02 - Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: There has been some speculation that the rookie out of Toledo could "lead the team in rushing" in 2017. Either way, Hunt figures to be plenty involved in the offense this season. Extremely productive throughout his collegiate career (nearly 5,000 rushing yards), Hunt didn't test well athletically at the NFL Combine, but running backs in Andy Reid's offense can be very productive and the rookie at least has a chance to be the most productive of the group.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 15 Pick" »


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June 23, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 10 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to 2014 (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers share, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.03 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.10 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows."

4.03 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within Kyle Shanahan's offense could be an issue for Hyde. There are a lot of question marks with the RB2 range (RB13-24) in general, however.

5.10 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: With an impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

6.03 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Back for (at least) one more season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in consecutive years with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons.

7.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.03 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph shattered previous career highs with 83 receptions (previous career high: 53) and 840 yards (previous career high: 495) while scoring seven touchdowns. Rudolph should come close to those numbers once again in 2017.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 10 Pick" »


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June 22, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12-Team League, QB-Eligible Flex, No. 6 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: In what is effectively a 2-QB league given the QB-eligible flex position, the only two QBs I'd consider here are Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady and both were off the board. Even if they weren't, I'd likely wait. That said, it allows me to get a top-four non-QB at pick No. 6. Brown has finished as the top-scoring PPR wide receiver in each of the past three seasons and no player has a higher floor.

2.07 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.06 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: A dominant force in the red zone, Bryant had a 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). The duo of Brown/Bryant (and some nice values later) probably gives me the strongest wide receiving corps in this mock.

4.07 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Setting or tying career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. Hopefully the selection of D'Onta Foreman allows Miller to stay fresh(er) and a subsequent bounce-back in efficiency.

5.06 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: After consecutive top-10 fantasy performances, Eli finished as fantasy's QB21 in 2017. The offensive line remains a major concern, but he has the most talented group of pass-catchers that he has ever had in his career, which puts a third top-10 finish in four years within reach.

6.07 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Part of a dynamic duo with Amari Cooper, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns in both of his seasons in Oakland and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

7.06 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

8.07 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five).

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12-Team League, QB-Eligible Flex, No. 6 Pick" »


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June 21, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 7 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 7
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.07 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

2.04 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: Finishing second in the NFL in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries), it was just the second 1,300-yard season for the Bears in the past decade. Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.07 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Poor quarterback play sabotaged Hopkins' 2016 production as he finished with just 78 catches for 954 yards and four touchdowns. That shouldn't happen again this season, but it's reasonable to temper expectations for a massive bounce-back with either a rookie or inexperienced quarterback under center.

4.04 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. With the release of Jeremy Maclin, Kelce could approach those numbers once again.

5.07 - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers: Breaking the collegiate record for all-purpose yards previously held by Barry Sanders, McCaffrey is a more valuable player in PPR formats like this one and he should immediately rank near the top of the league among running backs in receptions.

6.04 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders should improve upon his numbers from the past two seasons even if he doesn't bounce all the way back to 2014 production.

7.07 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Despite a potential committee approach, Anderson should still lead the backfield in workload and production provided he stays healthy.

8.04 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. While Devonta Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games and finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 7 Pick" »


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June 20, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR League with Super Flex

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 1
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.01 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: The only concern with Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons. That said, his full-season pace last year was 1,691 rushing yards, 100 receptions for 821 yards and a total of 12 touchdowns.

2.12 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: A top-10 fantasy wide receiver as a rookie, Thomas had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Brandin Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

3.01 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota should be even better in 2017 given the talent with which the Titans have surrounded the young quarterback this offseason. With a QB-eligible flex in this league, it's essentially a 2-QB league so I wanted to have at least stud quarterback on my roster.

4.12 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Playing only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013 -- a 16-game pace of 1,262 receiving yards. Signing just a one-year deal in free agency, Jeffery should be highly motivated to parlay that into a more lucrative contract next offseason.

5.01 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Just shy of the 1,000-yard mark, Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

6.12 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: Graham exceeded expectations with 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns last year. One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

7.01 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: CJA should get the largest share of early-down work despite any committee approach the Broncos may deploy. Any of the three RBs selected in a row here are worthy of starting as my RB2 along with Bell.

8.12 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks and as much of a disappointment as he has been over the past two seasons, he enters the season as the backfield favorite for touches.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR League with Super Flex" »


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June 19, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 5 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: Jones has averaged 100-plus yards in each of the past four seasons at a clip of 109.1 YPG during that stretch and has led the NFL in that category in each of the past two seasons. So far, this mock has gone as expected as Jones is my fifth-ranked player on my big board.

2.12 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: In his first season with the Texans, Miller set or tied career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R. Perhaps the selection of D'Onta Foreman in Round 3 of the 2017 NFL Draft will keep Miller fresh(er) and lead to a bounce-back in efficiency.

3.05 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

4.12 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Missing the final nine games due to a meniscus tear, Anderson averaged just 4.0 yards per carry in his seven games played. Even with a committee approach, CJA should lead the backfield in workload and production.

5.05 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many (including myself) expected. With an impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season if he can stay healthy.

6.12 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions and the dual-threat quarterback ran a little more often (60/349/2). Given the investments in pass-catching weapons, 2017 should be even better — perhaps much better — for this ascending quarterback.

7.05 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017. I really like his value in Round 7 of a 16-teamer.

8.12 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: There is a lot to dislike about Stewart: (1) recently turned 30, (2) three-plus missed games in five straight years and (3) averaged just 3.8 YPC last season. Even so, I expect Stewart to lead the backfield in touches per game and he's worth the risk here.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 5 Pick" »


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June 18, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBSam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings-6.3 (167.7 on 6/11; 161.4 on 6/18)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-15.4 (126.6 on 6/11; 111.2 on 6/18)
WRQuincy Enunwa, New York Jets-11.5 (152.0 on 6/11; 140.5 on 6/18)
TECoby Fleener, New Orleans Saints-4.7 (153.7 on 6/11; 149.0 on 6/18)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Continue reading "Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 12
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.12 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.01 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). Another year removed from his torn ACL, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

3.12 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013.

4.01 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

5.12 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: New head coach Vance Joseph has talked about using a committee approach and CJA missed nine games last season while averaging just 4.0 YPC. While I expect Anderson to get the largest share of the team's workload, I added a number of RB2 types with three straight picks.

6.01 - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: With 4.5 speed at 226 pounds, Mixon has the talent and versatility to stay on the field on all three downs. For the Sooners, Mixon carried the ball 187 times for 1,274 yards (6.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns and added 37/538/5 (14.5 Y/R) receiving in 2016. If not to start the season, Mixon should be the team's lead back by the end of it.

7.12 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.01 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many expected as he finished with 30 catches for 307 yards and seven touchdowns. With a tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, however, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick" »


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June 17, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.04 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. As safe as a pick could get in Round 1.

2.09 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

3.04 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: The volume was there (299 touches in 14 games), but the efficiency was not (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R, both career lows). Hopefully, the addition of third-rounder D'Onta Foreman will keep him fresh(er) and lead to a rebound in efficiency.

4.09 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Obviously, durability is the most important issue with Reed. Once again, he missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a monster 94/1,008/10 line.

5.04 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. He's a solid WR3 even if he never posts another 100/1,400 season again.

6.09 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Missing multiple games (again), Coleman had 118 carries for 520 yards, 31 catches for 421 yards and scored a total of 11 touchdowns. While Devonta Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games and still finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

7.04 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16 in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). Even if he and Matt Forte for a "committee backfield," Powell should get the larger share of the workload out of the duo.

8.09 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick would be a viable RB2 in PPR formats -- let alone an RB4, as he is for this team.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick" »


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June 16, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14-Team League, No. 11 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 14
  • Draft Slot: 11
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.11 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.04 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) As the full-season workhorse, Ajayi could see a major bump in touches in 2017.

3.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well.

4.04 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Amari Cooper and Crabtree form one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.11 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. Coleman had 118 carries for 520 yards, 31 catches for 421 yards and scored a total of 11 touchdowns. While Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games.

6.04 - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings should run the ball more often in 2017 than they did last year, but Diggs is clearly the team's best fantasy option at wide receiver and is a solid WR3 in a 14-team league.

7.11 - Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: The team's offensive line was essentially (and surprisingly) ignored in the draft, which is a concern for the running game as a whole, but Perkins enters the season as the starter and should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches.

8.04 - Hunter Henry, TE, Los Angeles Chargers: Henry finished his rookie campaign with 36/478/8 and he was especially productive during a four-game stretch early in the season (18/290/3 from Weeks 3 to 6). Even with Antonio Gates back, it's possible/likely that Henry leads the position group in targets and production.

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2017 Fantasy Football Top 200 Cheat Sheet

NFL mandatory mini-caps are now over and we have updated our Top 200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet.

Here is our Top-200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet:

1. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. And despite sitting out four games last season, Bell had a total of 75 receptions and eight-plus catches in four of those games. The only concern with the 25-year-old Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons.

2. David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals
In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). A Week 17 knee injury gave fantasy owners a scare, but Johnson is already training "full throttle." When it comes to the top-three fantasy running backs in 2017, you could easily argue that it's more a 1(a)-1(b)-1(c) as opposed to a "1-2-3" in the rankings.

3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys
Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to Johnson in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played.

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has finished as the WR1, WR1 and WR3 in standard-scoring formats, respectively. Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

5. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons
Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

6. Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants
He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

7. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats and only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

8. LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills
In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

9. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers
Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

10. Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers
Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

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June 15, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.02 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Missing three-plus games in three of four seasons, Bell is as dominant as it gets when he's on the field. Finishing third overall in YFS (1,884) despite missing a quarter of the season, Bell averaged a league-high 157.0 YFS/G (nearly 25 YPG more than DJ or Zeke).

2.11 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R) in his first season in Houston, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches over 14 games. Hopefully slightly lower volume will lead to a bounce back in efficiency.

3.02 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

4.11 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.02 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and has played all 16 games every year except his rookie season.

6.11 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders is hoping for a bounce-back season with Mike McCoy back in Denver, but he's a solid WR3/flex either way.

7.02 - Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Green Bay used three draft picks on running backs, but Montgomery is a strong RB3/flex for this team assuming he maintains his role throughout the season.

8.11 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: With a "[g]igantic year" expected for Parker again, perhaps this is the season that he breaks out. He's worth the risk here as my WR4.

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June 14, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: PPR Scoring, 2-QB League

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: 2-QB League with PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 8
  • Roster Setup: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.08 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631), Elliott scored double-digit PPR points in all 15 games played and averaged 21.69 per game as a rookie. With QB as deep as ever, I'm more than comfortable taking advantage of elite talent that drops and waiting on QB, especially in a 10-team, 2-QB league.

2.03 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. A top-five pick in standard one-QB leagues, Jones and Zeke give me top-three options at both RB/WR to start.

3.08 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Once again, Cooper is my team's WR2 (same in yesterday's mock). With a pair of 1,000-yard seasons to begin his career, he should be even better in his age-23 season.

4.03 - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: When healthy, Gronk is as good as it gets. While he has missed five-plus games in three of his past five seasons, he has averaged 69.3 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns in 88 career games.

5.08 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Thrilled to get Mariota as the QB14 in this mock since he's the QB8 in my rankings. Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions and the dual-threat quarterback ran a little more often (60/349/2). The team has invested three of four top-100 picks on improving the pass-catching weapons in this year's draft and free-agent Eric Decker recently visited the team, so 2017 should be even better for the ascending quarterback.

6.03 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Crowell set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line and a more consistent weekly workload, Crowell should have even more success in 2017.

7.08 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: Playing a full 16-game season, Edelman had a 98/1,106/3 line and represents a nice value as my WR3 in a PPR-scoring league. Even with the addition of Brandin Cooks to the receiving corps, I actually expect Edelman to score more PPR points than Cooks this season.

8.03 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Injuries prevented a breakout season, but his tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed could lead to a breakout in his age-24 season assuming good health.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: PPR Scoring, 2-QB League" »


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June 13, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 10 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we will draft (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.01 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

3.10 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he's able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

4.01 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Crowell had single-digit carries in five games and less than 30 rushing yards in six of 16 games, but he set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line, Crowell could (or should) have even more success (and hopefully more week-to-week consistency) in 2017.

5.10 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

6.01 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Brandin Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he remains a WR2, especially in PPR formats, heading into 2017.

7.10 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as the RB23 (RB16 in PPR) in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season. Even if it's a "backfield-by-committee," Powell should lead the backfield in touches and production in 2017.

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June 12, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock, No. 6 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Point-Per-Reception (PPR Scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants: He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. Adding Brandon Marshall to the receiving corps could mean a few less targets as only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), but he is still a top-three fantasy wide receiver in 2017.

2.07 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, Bryant had a 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). The go-to receiver in a run-first offense, Bryant may have the occasional dud but he's one of the league's best red-zone weapons.

3.06 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R-- in his first season in Houston, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. Even if he averages fewer touches per game, he should bounce back in terms of efficiency.

4.07 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability, there are concerns about his fit in Kyle Shanahan's offense. If things don't go as hoped for Hyde, I really like the PPR potential of the next three RBs that I've drafted as well.

5.06 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Brandin Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he remains a strong WR2 in PPR formats (or flex for this team).

6.07 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar or even better numbers in 2017.

7.06 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16 in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season.

8.07 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick should remain at least a vital part of the team's passing offense going forward.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock, No. 6 Pick" »


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June 11, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting yesterday, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.09 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.04 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.09 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013. Maintaining that pace over a 16-game season would equal 1,262 receiving yards.

4.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well and the Jags should become a run-first team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.

5.09 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many (including myself) expected as he finished with just 30 catches for 307 yards and seven touchdowns. With a tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

6.04 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post even better full-season numbers in 2017.

7.09 - Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Due to injuries, Montgomery moved to running back last season and that's the plan for him going into 2017. Ted Thompson used three draft picks on running backs, but Montgomery could finish as a top-24 fantasy running back in Green Bay's high-powered offense.

8.04 - Adrian Peterson, RB, New Orleans Saints: It wouldn't be much of a surprise if Peterson emerged as the team leader in terms of workload split (and production) with Mark Ingram. Even so, Tim Hightower averaged nearly 10 touches per game (9.7/G) last year with Ingram playing a full 16-game season for only the second time in his career.

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June 10, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 3 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect.

While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our team(s) will be.

Starting today, I will draft (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, I'll switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts to give you an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.03 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. The only concern with the 25-year-old Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons, but he is my top-ranked player going into 2017 so I'd be thrilled to get him here.

2.10 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: A top-four pick with an impressive blend of size, power and speed, Fournette should become a workhorse sooner rather than later and potentially see north of 20 touches per game.

3.03 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons and could do so again.

4.10 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: A solid WR2 both to Amari Cooper and in fantasy football, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns in each of his seasons in Oakland and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.03 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. He's a high-end WR3 for this squad.

6.10 - Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: The good news: 18 touchdowns. The bad news: 22 games. Unfortunately, Eifert has missed more games (26) than he has played (22) over the past three seasons, but he has been a dominant red-zone target, when healthy, with 18 touchdowns during that stretch. I drafted Eric Ebron for insurance later on in this mock.

7.03 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as the RB23 (RB16 in PPR) in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season. Even if it's a "backfield-by-committee," Powell should lead the backfield in touches and production in 2017.

8.10 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco. Lacking competition for targets, Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Kyle Shanahan was coordinator in Washington.

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May 29, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 4

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.


Here is Round 4 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

4.01. Sean Beazley III - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce had offseason shoulder surgery, but he is expected to be ready for training camp. Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. Going into 2017, Kelce will be a top-two fantasy tight end behind only Gronk.

4.02. Dan Yanotchko III - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Over his past 16 games, Allen has racked up 116 catches for 1,217 yards and eight touchdowns. Of course, the bad news is that those 16 games span three separate seasons as Allen has played just nine games over the past two seasons. Even though durability is the obvious concern, that 16-game production would equate to 169.7 (standard scoring) fantasy points, which would have ranked as the ninth-most had all 16 of those games occurred in 2016 only.

4.03. Brendan Donahue III - Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills

The obvious concern with Watkins is health (foot). Playing just 21 games over the past two seasons, Watkins had another foot surgery in January, but he is expected to be ready for the 2017 season. That said, foot injuries (especially for wide receivers) are always tricky and worrisome. When healthy, however, Watkins has the talent and potential to be domimant as we saw down the stretch in 2015.

4.04. Kevin Hanson III - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos

Coach Vance Joseph has talked about using a committee approach in the backfield, but CJA should lead the group in workload in 2017 if he can stay healthy. While he averaged just 4.0 YPC in his seven games played, Devontae Booker was a disappointment in a larger role and free-agent addition Jamaal Charles has no guaranteed money in his contract and has played only eight games over the past two seasons due to knee injuries.

4.05. Kevin Hanson II - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.
4.06. Brendan Donahue II - Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City ChiefsWare averaged 17.6 touches and 97.7 scrimmage yards per game last season. With the Chiefs trading up for Kareem Hunt in this year's draft, there is at least some speculation that Hunt, not Ware, will lead the team's backfield in touches and production, but I'd certainly be comfortable with Ware in the middle of Round 4.

4.07. Brendan Donahue I - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Oakland Raiders

Beast Mode is back. Coming out of retirement to play for his hometown Raiders, Lynch was a top-five fantasy running back in each of his past four full seasons. It would be unreasonable to expect that kind of production from him, but he should be a solid RB2 for Brendan with plenty of weekly upside in Oakland's high-powered offense.

4.08. Sean Beazley II - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos

After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Expecting a "pass-happy" offense under (old and) new OC Mike McCoy, Sanders said: "I had an opportunity to play in this offense my first year in 2014. I had 1,400 yards." It's clearly a quarterback downgrade for the Broncos compared to the 2014 version of Peyton Manning, but Sanders should improve upon his numbers from the past two seasons even if he doesn't bounce all the way back to 2014 production.

4.09. Sean Beazley I - Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

The first quarterback off the board, Rodgers is a virtual lock to finish as a top-two fantasy quarterback assuming good health. Since becoming a starter in 2008, Rodgers has finished as the fantasy QB1 or QB2 in seven of nine seasons (and one of those two outliers was his injury-shortened 2013 season).

4.10. Dan Yanotchko II - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins

Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, durability is the most important thing with Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line, but how many games will we get in 2017?

4.11. Dan Yanotchko I - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Diggs had a few monster games -- back-to-back 13-catch games to start November and two separate 160-yard performances including his 13/164 outing on Nov. 13th. With Adrian Peterson missing nearly all of the 2016 season, the Vikings were pass-heavy (ninth in NFL) in 2016 after ranking 30th in pass-play percentage (51.12%) in 2015. With Minnesota's trio of running backs, I expect them to be run-heavy again in 2017, but Diggs is clearly the team's best fantasy option at wide receiver with a WR2/3 outlook for 2017.

4.12. Kevin Hanson I - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints

The good news is that Ingram played a full 16-game slate for only the second time in his career while posting career highs of 1,043 rushing yards, 5.1 yards per carry and 10 total touchdowns. With Ingram taking a back seat at times to Tim Hightower, the threat of losing an even larger share to Adrian Peterson is a real concern even if Ingram is earning more money and going into the season as the nominal starter.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 5

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.

Here is Round 3 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

3.01. Kevin Hanson I - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots

When healthy, Gronk is as good as it gets. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old tight end has missed five-plus games in three of the past five seasons. In 88 career games, however, Gronk has averaged 69.3 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns. The upside is big here with the 25th-overall pick in this mock.

3.02. Dan Yanotchko I - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins

Much earlier than I would personally select Landry, the 24-year-old receiver has averaged just 10.6 Y/R over his career, scored just 13 receiving touchdowns in three seasons and saw a year-over-drop of 35 targets as the team shifted to a run-first team. Relying on volume to be productive, Landry's 2017 production may fall short of his WR13 draft slot. That said, Landry has finished as the WR15 and WR17, respectively, in non-PPR formats over the past two seasons.

3.03. Dan Yanotchko II - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

Immediately one of the most versatile running backs in the NFL, McCaffrey doesn't have great size (202 pounds), but he has tremendous vision, patience and footwork as a runner. A four-down player, McCaffrey is most dangerous, however, as a receiver and a returner. Furthermore, GM Dave Gettleman made the following lofty comparison — "The best tackle-box runner I’ve ever seen is Curtis Martin out of Pitt. Christian is right there with him."

3.04. Sean Beazley I - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks

While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Baldwin remains a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 option in 2017.

3.05. Sean Beazley II - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, there are worries about the lack of talent elsewhere on the roster impacting Hyde's outlook, but we've seen how productive running backs can be in Kyle Shanahan's offense. Then again, beat writer Matt Maiocco wrote of rookie Joe Williams in response to a mailbag question, "So, yes, Williams has a legitimate chance to immediately unseat Hyde as the team’s top running back."

3.06. Brendan Donahue I - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns

Crowell had single-digit carries in five games and less than 30 rushing yards in six of 16 games, but he set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line, Crowell could (or should) have even more success (and hopefully more week-to-week consistency) in 2017.

3.07. Brendan Donahue II - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks with weight-based contract bonuses. As much of a disappointment as Lacy has been over the past two seasons, he enters the season as the favorite to lead the backfield in touches. There is both plenty of upside and downside with Lacy here.

3.08. Kevin Hanson II - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013. Maintaining that pace over a 16-game season would equal 1,262 receiving yards.

3.09. Kevin Hanson III - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos

Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. It's reasonable to expect an improvement over last year's numbers even if he doesn't post another 100/1,400/10 season.

3.10. Brendan Donahue III - Brandin Cooks, WR, New England Patriots

Fortunately for Cooks, he goes from one Hall-of-Fame quarterback (Drew Brees) to another (Tom Brady). A top-10 producer in both PPR and standard-scoring formats last season, it's possible that he does so again. That said, I'd expect even more volatility in his weekly production, which could be highly frustrating for his fantasy owners (and Cooks). Based on what I believe is an inflated ADP for Cooks, it's unlikely that he ends up on any of my rosters.

3.11. Dan Yanotchko III - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Cook did not slip to the second round of the 2017 NFL Draft due to his on-field production at Florida State. While he didn't perform well in agility drills at the 2017 NFL Scouting Combine and there may be some durability and ball-security concerns, Cook exceeded the 100-yard rushing mark in nine of his final 10 games for the Seminoles with an average of 190.7 YFS per game during that stretch.

3.12. Sean Beazley III - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

With 4.5 speed at 226 pounds, Mixon has the talent and versatility to stay on the field on all three downs and has drawn some comparisons to Arizona's David Johnson. For the Sooners, Mixon carried the ball 187 times for 1,274 yards (6.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns and added 37/538/5 (14.5 Y/R) receiving in 2016. If not to start the season, Mixon could be the team's lead back by the end of it.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 4

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2
Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.

Here is Round 2 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

2.01. Sean Beazley III - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears

The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second behind another rookie (Ezekiel Elliott) in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Along with Matt Forte (1,339 in 2013), it was just the second 1,300-yard season for the Bears in the past decade. Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

2.02. Dan Yanotchko III - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.03. Brendan Donahue III - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins

There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) As great as he was in the 200-yard performances, Ajayi averaged less than 3.0 YPC in four of the team's final seven games counting their playoff loss. Going into last season as the 'backup' running back, Ajayi clearly enters the 2017 season as the team's workhorse and as a top-10 fantasy running back.

2.04. Kevin Hanson III - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers

Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.05. Kevin Hanson II - DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans

Once again, expectations will be for Derrick Henry to cut into Murray's workload, but Coach Mularkey has called Murray "the guy." As "the guy" last season, Murray touched the ball 346 times for a total of 1,664 yards and 12 touchdowns.

2.06. Brendan Donahue II - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys

No team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays than the Cowboys last season. Even though Bryant is clearly the team's go-to receiver, there were a few games where he disappeared (three one-catch games). Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, however, Bryant had 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). Bryant is a solid WR1 due to his dominance in the red zone, but he may frustrate Brendan with an occasional dud in a run-first offense.

2.07. Brendan Donahue I - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Not only did Hilton record his fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season, but he led the NFL in receiving yards (1,448) in 2016. Furthermore, Hilton set career highs in both receptions (91) and targets (155), but he has scored five to seven touchdowns (six last year) in all five of his NFL seasons.

2.08. Sean Beazley II - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans

In his first season with the Texans, Miller set or tied career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R. Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. The team used its third-round pick on D'Onta Foreman so they shouldn't overuse Miller and perhaps that leads to a bounce-back in efficiency.

2.09. Sean Beazley I - Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

A disappointment to those that took him in the first round last year, Gurley's numbers were consistently bad throughout his sophomore campaign. Averaging only 3.2 yards per carry on the season, Gurley averaged more than 4.0 YPC only once and never exceeded 85 rushing yards in any game in 2016. Some of the same concerns remain -- lack of elite weapons to keep defenses honest, shaky quarterback play and poor offensive line.

2.10. Dan Yanotchko II - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Poor quarterback play sabotaged Hopkins' 2016 production as he finished with just 78 catches for 954 yards and four touchdowns. Thirty-five wide receivers scored more fantasy points than Hopkins last year. That shouldn't happen again, but it's reasonable to temper expectations for a massive bounce-back after last season's disappointment with either inexperienced Tom Savage or rookie Deshaun Watson under center.

2.11. Dan Yanotchko I - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

With the Jaguars using a top-four selection on Fournette, a back with an impressive blend of size, power and speed, I'd expect the rookie to become a workhorse sooner rather than later and potentially see north of 20 touches per game. Given their strong defense, the Jags are likely to shift to a run-heavy approach after calling a run on only 37.26% of their plays (seventh-fewest) in 2016.

2.12. Kevin Hanson I - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well and the Jags should become a run-first team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1

With the 2017 NFL Draft behind us, we are in the process of conducting our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season. Four of our contributors each drafted for three teams.

This is a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur and I will add comments for each pick.


Here is Round 1 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

1.01. Kevin Hanson I - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. And despite sitting out four games last season, Bell had a total of 75 receptions and eight-plus catches in four of those games. If there's a concern with the 25-year-old Bell,he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons due to injury and/or suspension.

1.02. Dan Yanotchko I - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). When it comes to the top-three fantasy running backs in 2017, you could easily argue in favor of DJ over Bell, but both backs are elite and will likely be the consensus 1-2 (or 2-1) picks in fantasy drafts this summer.

1.03. Dan Yanotchko II - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to DJ in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played. No team called a run on a higher percentage of its plays and arguably no team has as talented of an offensive line as the Cowboys.

1.04. Sean Beazley I - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Finishing as the WR1, WR1 and WR3, respectively, in standard-scoring formats over the past three seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. With an average of more than 100 receiving yards per game over that span, Brown is as safe as it gets for first-rounders in fantasy football.

1.05. Sean Beazley II - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

1.06. Brendan Donahue I - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

1.07. Brendan Donahue II - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

1.08. Kevin Hanson II - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills

In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

1.09. Kevin Hanson III - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Green missed six games last season due to a hamstring injury so he failed to exceed the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his six-year career. That said, he still averaged a career-high 96.4 yards per game even with a goose egg in his final game played last season. Assuming good health in 2017, AJG is a top-five fantasy receiver.

1.10. Brendan Donahue III - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

1.11. Dan Yanotchko III - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders

Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign, but he was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) of the season than the second half (31/366/3). Perhaps he will be more consistent throughout his age-23 season, but there are a few receivers that I'd prefer over Cooper at this spot.

1.12. Sean Beazley III - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

Along with Brandin Cooks, Thomas was one of two top-10 fantasy wide receivers for the Saints in 2016. The rookie had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room to grow in his sophomore campaign as the top target for Drew Brees.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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April 23, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the 2017 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule Rankings:

RankTeamPlayer(s)Cumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Minnesota VikingsStefon Diggs24.1571.45
2Carolina PanthersKelvin Benjamin24.0371.82
3Chicago BearsKevin White2467.23
4Seattle SeahawksDoug Baldwin23.967.31
5New Orleans SaintsMichael Thomas23.7971.2
6Tampa Bay BuccaneersMike Evans23.6673.01
7Atlanta FalconsJulio Jones23.5673.03
8Arizona CardinalsLarry Fitzgerald23.4469.33
9San Francisco 49ersPierre Garcon23.3166.47
10New York GiantsOdell Beckham23.0773.03
11Detroit LionsGolden Tate22.9866.82
12Dallas CowboysDez Bryant22.9566.14
13Los Angeles RamsTavon Austin22.9275.58
14Houston TexansDeAndre Hopkins22.8764.12
15Baltimore RavensMike Wallace22.6665.91
16Green Bay PackersJordy Nelson22.6368.05
16Washington RedskinsJamison Crowder22.6359.75
18Pittsburgh SteelersAntonio Brown22.6264.51
19Jacksonville JaguarsAllen Robinson22.5767.25
20Miami DolphinsJarvis Landry22.565.37
21New York JetsEric Decker22.4959.54
22Tennessee TitansRishard Matthews22.4575.16
23Denver BroncosDemaryius Thomas22.2868.11
24Cleveland BrownsCorey Coleman22.2777.86
25New England PatriotsJulian Edelman22.2365.85
26Cincinnati BengalsA.J. Green22.1868.63
27Indianapolis ColtsT.Y. Hilton22.1359.49
28Buffalo BillsSammy Watkins22.0968.52
28Philadelphia EaglesAlshon Jeffery22.0964.7
30Oakland RaidersAmari Cooper21.7971.17
31Los Angeles ChargersKeenan Allen21.5568.57
32Kansas City ChiefsJeremy Maclin21.5269.65

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2017 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule Rankings for 2017:

RankTeamPlayer(s)Cumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1New England PatriotsDion Lewis, Rex Burkhead19.4660.52
2New York JetsMatt Forte19.3661.45
3Carolina PanthersJonathan Stewart19.152.11
4Tennessee TitansDeMarco Murray19.0359.65
5Jacksonville JaguarsChris Ivory, T.J. Yeldon18.8959.83
6Chicago BearsJordan Howard18.7857.71
7Baltimore RavensKenneth Dixon, Danny Woodhead18.6965.49
8Cincinnati BengalsJeremy Hill, Giovani Bernard18.6648.18
9Seattle SeahawksEddie Lacy, Thomas Rawls18.6349.3
10Buffalo BillsLeSean McCoy18.653.53
10Dallas CowboysEzekiel Elliott18.650.58
12Denver BroncosC.J. Anderson18.5961
13Kansas City ChiefsSpencer Ware18.5758.85
14Arizona CardinalsDavid Johnson18.5551.08
14Minnesota VikingsLatavius Murray18.5550.71
16Philadelphia EaglesRyan Mathews, Darren Sproles18.3255.9
17Los Angeles ChargersMelvin Gordon18.357.95
18Indianapolis ColtsFrank Gore18.2556.23
18Miami DolphinsJay Ajayi18.2553.98
20New York GiantsPaul Perkins18.0445.28
21Houston TexansLamar Miller17.9665.1
21New Orleans SaintsMark Ingram17.9659.67
23Detroit LionsAmeer Abdullah, Theo Riddick17.8954.61
24Atlanta FalconsDevonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman17.8264.58
24Green Bay PackersTy Montgomery17.8255.27
26Washington RedskinsRobert Kelley17.8153.34
27Oakland RaidersDeAndre Washington17.6148.81
28Cleveland BrownsIsaiah Crowell, Duke Johnson17.5149.53
29Tampa Bay BuccaneersDoug Martin, Charles Sims17.4952.03
30Los Angeles RamsTodd Gurley17.4445.92
31Pittsburgh SteelersLe'Veon Bell17.2747.79
32San Francisco 49ersCarlos Hyde16.4348.7

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.


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April 22, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the best Fantasy Football Strength of Schedules for quarterbacks in 2017:

RankTeamPlayerCumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Minnesota VikingsSam Bradford17.3350.1
2New Orleans SaintsDrew Brees17.1154.51
3Chicago BearsMike Glennon17.0554.26
3Carolina PanthersCam Newton17.0548.93
5Baltimore RavensJoe Flacco16.9451.84
6Tampa Bay BuccaneersJameis Winston16.8954.21
7Atlanta FalconsMatt Ryan16.8452.85
8New York JetsJosh McCown16.6846.67
9Green Bay PackersAaron Rodgers16.6150.78
10Buffalo BillsTyrod Taylor16.5851.96
11Seattle SeahawksRussell Wilson16.5149.52
12Pittsburgh SteelersBen Roethlisberger16.4745.08
13Miami DolphinsRyan Tannehill16.4146.93
14New England PatriotsTom Brady16.3949.18
15Cincinnati BengalsAndy Dalton16.3850.89
15Detroit LionsMatthew Stafford16.3849.18
15Houston TexansTom Savage16.3846.39
18Denver BroncosTrevor Siemian16.3651.38
19Arizona CardinalsCarson Palmer16.3347.95
20Jacksonville JaguarsBlake Bortles16.3144.75
21Cleveland BrownsCody Kessler16.350.23
22Tennessee TitansMarcus Mariota16.2949.89
23New York GiantsEli Manning16.1648.34
24Indianapolis ColtsAndrew Luck15.9343.52
25San Francisco 49ersBrian Hoyer15.9247.55
26Kansas City ChiefsAlex Smith15.8252.2
26Los Angeles RamsJared Goff15.8248.41
28Dallas CowboysDak Prescott15.7944.74
29Los Angeles ChargersPhilip Rivers15.7849.2
30Washington RedskinsKirk Cousins15.7744.3
31Oakland RaidersDerek Carr15.6547.95
32Philadelphia EaglesCarson Wentz15.5746.54

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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January 20, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy TE Rankings

As the final four teams vie for an opportunity to advance to Super Bowl LI, both games should feature plenty of offense with game totals of 61 and 51 points, respectively, for the NFC and AFC Conference Championship Games.

Here are our Conference Championship fantasy tight end rankings:

1. Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers

For the second time this season, Cook had a six-catch, 100-yard performance with a touchdown as he finished Sunday's game with 6/104/1 on 11 targets. The frustrating aspect of starting Cook is his propensity to lay an egg following big games. After his other 100-yard game, Cook had one catch for seven yards in the next game. On a positive note, Cook has eight-plus targets in four of his past five games and Aaron Rodgers is playing as well as ever. In addition, Green Bay's wide receivers are banged up, which could lead to more reliance on Randall Cobb and Cook.

2. Martellus Bennett, New England Patriots

Bennett has had his share of small performances -- three games of five yards or less, six games of 15 yards or less, etc. On the other hand, Bennett has three 100-yard games and another game with three TDs this season. In other words, the range of potential outcomes for the first-year Patriots tight end is wide.

3. Ladarius Green, Pittsburgh Steelers

Here's the good news: Green has 67-plus yards in three of his past four games played. The bad news? Green has played just six games this season and he hasn't played since Week 15. It's unclear if Green (concussion) will be able to go in this week's AFC Championship Game against the Patriots, but he would be a top-three option at tight end if he's cleared by Sunday.

4. Jesse James, Pittsburgh Steelers

James converted six targets into five catches for 83 yards against the Chiefs and he'll be a top-three option at the position if Ladarius Green (concussion) is not cleared in time for Sunday's game.

5. Levine Toilolo, Atlanta Falcons

Toilolo led Atlanta's tight ends in targets (four) and finished with two catches for 26 yards. While he's a TD-dependent option, the Falcons have a weekend-high 32-point team total so touchdowns could be plentiful on Sunday.

6. Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta's tight end of the future, Hooper turned his lone target into a 10-yard reception as Levine Toilolo led the position group with two catches for 26 yards on four targets. Neither option is too appealing on their own merits, but both are daily fantasy tournament dart throws given the dearth of options at the position this week for a team that is expected to be the highest-scoring team.

7. Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

During Green Bay's eight-game winning streak, Aaron Rodgers has targeted the other Rodgers no more than two times in any of those wins. That said, he does have two touchdowns in his past four games and it's always possible that he makes the most of his one reception -- like he did in Dallas.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

Conference Championship Round DFS Cheat Sheets:

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January 19, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy WR Rankings

Among the four major fantasy positions, wide receiver has the most injury question marks going into this Sunday's games. As Sunday approaches, hopefully we will gain clarity about the status of those dealing with injuries.

With that said, here are our current Conference Championship Game fantasy wide receiver rankings:

1. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers

It's rare to call a 106/1,284/12 season a disappointment, but Brown set four-year lows in both catches and yards in 2016. That said, the talented receiver has back-to-back 100-yard games this postseason and is a slam-dunk top-two option this weekend.

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons

If there's any concern with Jones, it's his foot but Atlanta's stud receiver will certainly suit up on Sunday. With a 6/67/1 line on eight targets, Jones spent nearly all of the second half of the sidelines due to his foot ailment, but part of that was Atlanta being cautious as they had a commanding lead. No team allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season than the Packers and Dez Bryant just lit up Green Bay's secondary for 9/132/2.

3. Julian Edelman, New England Patriots

Especially in PPR formats, Edelman has an extremely high floor as Tom Brady's trusted top target. With double-digit targets in seven of eight games, Edelman has had his two best games of the season in his past two -- 8/151/1 and 8/137. Edelman has a minimum of 73 yards in nine consecutive games and at least seven catches in seven of those nine games.

4. Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers

Gaining only 47 yards on 11 carries, Montgomery now has four consecutive games with less than 50 rushing yards, but he scored on two of those 11 carries. Not only have the Falcons allowed 19 touchdowns to opposing "running backs," but no team has allowed more receptions (109) to the position.

5. Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers

Cobb had a solid, but not spectacular, performance (7/62/0) in the Divisional Round after he blew up for a 5/116/3 game the previous week. In a heavyweight fight between two offensive juggernauts, Cobb has plenty of upside (as do most of the other options in this game).

6. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams have 12 touchdowns in the regular season and finish just three yards shy of 1,000, but he has double-digit targets in back-to-back games with a total of 13/201/1. If Jordy Nelson (ribs) is unable to go once again, Adams should see double-digit targets from Aaron Rodgers, who's playing as well as he has ever played. That is, assuming Adams is ready himself. Adams is dealing with an ankle injury and may not practice until Saturday. Adams is expected to play but only because it's the playoffs.

7. Taylor Gabriel, Atlanta Falcons

While Gabriel is a gadget player, he has been productive since Week 8 for the high-powered Falcons offense when he caught all three of his targets for 68 yards and a score. The opponent that week? The same one he faces this week. Going back to that game against the Packers, Gabriel has 31/543/6 receiving and 4/51/1 rushing in nine games.

8. Mohamed Sanu, Atlanta Falcons

On a two-game slate, virtually every skill-position player is in play, of course. That said, Sanu is a TD-reliant option for the Falcons as he has scored in back-to-back games, but he has five or fewer targets in five consecutive games. Given that Atlanta has the highest implied total from Vegas odds, touchdowns should be plentiful in an expected shootout Sunday afternoon.

9. Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers

Rogers has at least four receptions in four of his past five games, but he has 27 yards or less in back-to-back games and no scores in four straight. Rogers is a low-upside option on Sunday's two-game slate.

10. Chris Hogan, New England Patriots

In his first season with the Patriots, Hogan averaged a career-high 17.9 Y/R and had four catches for 95 yards in Saturday's win over the Texans. That said, Hogan has had five targets or less in all but two games this season.

11. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers

Dealing with at least two broken ribs, Nelson sat out the past two games and is likely to sit out this weekend as well, but there is a "small chance" that he is able to go. Nelson had 97 catches for 1,257 yards and 14 touchdowns last season and he'd be a top-three option if he's active. If he's not, it's a boost to Davante Adams, Randall Cobb and the rest of the Green Bay pass-catchers.

12. Malcolm Mitchell, New England Patriots

Mitchell has been battling a knee injury and has missed the previous two games (plus bye week), but he may return this week. If so, it just makes even harder to trust any Patriots receiver other than Edelman.

13. Geronimo Allison, Green Bay Packers

If Nelson sits again, Allison will be counted on as the team's No. 3 "wide receiver," but he could still be fifth in line for targets behind Adams, Cobb, Montgomery and Jared Cook. In addition, Allison is battling a hamstring injury and is less than 100 percent. The UDFA out of Illinois has a total of 13 catches for 211 yards and a touchdown in his past four games combined.

Here are the best of the rest:

14. Justin Hardy, Atlanta Falcons
15. Danny Amendola, New England Patriots
16. Michael Floyd, New England Patriots
17. Cobi Hamilton, Pittsburgh Steelers
18. Jeff Janis, Green Bay Packers
19. DeMarcus Ayers, Pittsburgh Steelers
20. Trevor Davis, Green Bay Packers
21. Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers
22. Aldrick Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
23. Nick Williams, Atlanta Falcons

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

Conference Championship Round DFS Cheat Sheets:

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Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy RB Rankings

As the final four teams vie for an opportunity to advance to Super Bowl LI, both games should feature plenty of offense with game totals of 61 and 51 points, respectively, for the NFC and AFC Conference Championship Games.

With that said, here are my fantasy football running back rankings for Sunday's games:

1. Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers

The Patriots' defensive game plan typically focuses on shutting (or slowing) down the opponent's biggest weapon. As talented as Antonio Brown is, the Patriots will (likely) make slowing down Bell their primary objective. That is easier said than done. With seven 100-yard rushing games in his past eight, Bell has a total of 220/1,172/8 rushing (5.33 YPC) and 34/259/1 receiving over that eight-game span.

2. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons

Freeman carried the ball 14 times for just 45 yards on Saturday, but he still racked up 125 yards from scrimmage with a touchdown for a productive fantasy outing. Once again exceeding 1,000 rushing yards and 50 receptions on the season, Freeman has scored a combined 28 touchdowns in his past 32 games. As home favorites in a game with a massive 61-point game total, Freeman should see 18-plus touches and is a good bet to find the end zone.

3. Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons

Not only is Coleman a viable start in playoff and/or daily fantasy leagues, but it's not a bad idea to start him along with Freeman. The 1(b) to Freeman's 1(a), Coleman had double-digit touches in all but two games (Weeks 6 and 7) this season and finished as a top-25 weekly fantasy running back in nine of 13 regular-season games played. Coleman scored 12 touchdowns in 14 games including Saturday's win over Seattle and is a threat to take it to the house any time he touches the ball.

4. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots

With a trifecta of touchdowns (rushing, receiving and return), Lewis (15) had nearly twice the amount of touches as LeGarrette Blount (seven) on Saturday. Projecting workloads for Patriots running backs is always a challenge, but Lewis appears to have emerged as the team's lead back with a team-high 70 combined touches over the past four games.

5. LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots

Setting career highs across the board this season with 299 carries, 1,161 yards and a league-high 18 touchdowns, Blount is no longer a lock for a massive workload if the Pats happen to jump out to a big lead with Lewis' role expanding recently. Blount had a season-low eight carries for 31 yards, which tied a season low, on Saturday.

6. Aaron Ripkowski, Green Bay Packers

On an eight-game winning streak, the Packers have scored 30-plus points in six consecutive games. Ripkowski will get the occasional carry (four last week) or reception (two the previous week), but his biggest chance for fantasy relevance is to potentially vulture a short-yardage touchdown from Ty Montgomery.

7. James White, New England Patriots

It's clear that White has become a distant third in line behind both Lewis and Blount in usage among the team's running backs as he had just one touch -- albeit a 19-yard touchdown reception -- last week.

8. Christine Michael, Green Bay Packers

Finishing the year as Seattle's leading rusher, Michael had zero touches for the Packers in their instant-classic victory over the Cowboys after getting 10 carries in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Despite his talent, it would take an injury for Michael to see fantasy-relevant snaps and usage.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

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January 18, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy QB Rankings

And then there were four.

Down to the NFL's version of the Final Four, the Falcons will host the Packers and the Patriots will host the Steelers in Sunday's Conference Championship games.

Not only do both games have over/unders in excess of 50 points, but the combined totals for the two games is 112.0 points so there should be no shortage of offense.

With that said, here are our fantasy quarterback rankings for Sunday's Conference Championship Games:

1. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

Not only did Ryan lead the NFL in Y/A (9.3), TD% (7.1) and passer rating (117.1), but Ryan gets a soft matchup against the Packers this week. Green Bay ranked 32nd in Y/A allowed (8.1) and only the Browns (36) and Lions (33) allowed more passing touchdowns than the Packers (32) this season. Ryan has been playing especially well lately with 14 touchdowns and no interceptions over his past five games and a minimum passer rating of 121.8 in each of those contests.

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

It appears unlikely that Jordy Nelson (broken ribs) will be able to return this week, but the future first-ballot Hall-of-Famer is perhaps playing as well as he has ever played. Over his past nine games, Rodgers has thrown 24 touchdowns to only one interception. Not only have the Packers scored 30-plus points in six consecutive games, but Rodgers has thrown for 300-plus yards in four straight. In an expected shootout with an over/under of 61 points, Rodgers has as much upside as any quarterback this weekend.

3. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

With only one 300-yard game in his past eight games played since Rob Gronkowski was injured, Brady has still managed to throw 18 touchdowns during that eight-game span. While he had only three interceptions over that stretch, two of them came last week against Houston's second-ranked NFL pass defense. His upside isn't as high without Gronk, but it's never a bad idea to start Brady in fantasy.

4. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

There is clearly a difference between the home and road versions of Big Ben. In seven home games this season, Roethlisberger has a 22:7 TD-INT ratio, 70.9 completion percentage and 8.66 Y/A. On the road, however, he has thrown as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (nine) this season while completing less than 60 percent of his pass attempts (59.9%) for only 6.78 Y/A.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

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January 15, 2017

Divisional Round Fantasy Football Projections: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Later today, the Dallas Cowboys will host the Green Bay Packers for the right to advance to the NFC Championship Game against the Atlanta Falcons.

Below you will my fantasy football projections for today's Cowboys vs. Packers matchup.

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers26.640.12872.30.53150.121.78
Against the Giants on Sunday, Rodgers threw for 362 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions to extend his streak of 300/4 games to three. Over his past eight games, Rodgers has thrown 22 touchdowns and no interceptions. Jordy Nelson (ribs) has already been ruled out this week, but as well as Rodgers has been playing, he's easily the top quarterback option in fantasy this weekend.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Christine Michael6.927.30.30.31.604.69
Tied his season high in carries (10) since joining the Packers, Michael led the team in rushing with 47 yards on the ground. That said, Michael's carries didn't come until the second half and I'd still expect Montgomery to handle a larger share of the workload this weekend.
Aaron Ripkowski1.87.80.11.79.50.23.53

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Davante Adams677.20.800012.52
Falling just shy of the 1,000-yard milestone (997), Adams finished with 12 touchdowns and the seventh-most fantasy points in the regular season. With Jordy Nelson (ribs) leaving Sunday's playoff game early, Adams had 8/125/1 on 12 targets against the Giants and should lead the Packers in targets in the Divisional Round.
Ty Montgomery4.237.10.110.551.309.44
Montgomery wasn't very efficient running the ball -- 11 carries for 27 yards -- and he exited the game briefly due to an ankle injury. That said, he had 41 receiving yards, which was his second-most over his past 10 games. In large part due to their ball-control offense, the Cowboys led the NFL in rushing defense (83.5 yards per game allowed) as opponents ran the ball a league-low 340 times against them.
Randall Cobb5.557.90.40.61.708.36
A non-factor down the stretch, Cobb had a huge game against the Giants with five catches for 116 yards and three touchdowns. While I wouldn't expect another three-TD performance, Aaron Rodgers is playing as well as ever and he should look Cobb's way often.
Geronimo Allison2.741.90.40006.59
With Nelson forced to sit due to his ribs injury, Allison will be counted on to step up as the team's No. 3 receiver. In an Aaron Rodgers-led offense and given how well he has played over the past half-season, that gives Allison some upside.
Jeff Janis0.54.600.11.500.61

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jared Cook5.262.10.27.41
Cook had 5/48 on Sunday and his nine targets were second on the team behind only Davante Adams (12). With Jordy Nelson (ribs) sidelined this week, Cook should see six or more targets in a favorable matchup. The Cowboys allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
Richard Rodgers0.65.600.56

DALLAS COWBOYS

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Dak Prescott21.331.92561.60.53.1140.318.84
Playing unlike a rookie, Prescott completed 67.8 percent of his pass attempts for 8.0 Y/A and threw 23 touchdowns to only four interceptions. In addition, he ran for another 282 yards and six touchdowns. Early in the season, Prescott led the Cowboys to a 14-point victory over the Packers as he completed 18-of-27 for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Even though the Packers have been playing much better defense lately, this is still a plus matchup for Dak and the Cowboys.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Ezekiel Elliott24115.812.526.30.120.81
Even though he sat out Week 17, Elliott led the NFL in carries (322) and rushing (1,631 yards) while scoring 15 touchdowns and finished just six yards shy of 2,000 yards from scrimmage. With 20-plus touches in 12 of 15 games this season, Elliott never scored fewer than 10 fantasy points in any game this season.
Darren McFadden3.111.600.63.801.54
Lance Dunbar0001.18.500.85
Alfred Morris0.31.100000.11

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dez Bryant4.7730.700011.5
Returning from a multi-game absence in Week 8, Bryant missed the first matchup against the Packers (Week 6), but he posted a 39/646/7 line over a nine-game stretch from Weeks 8 to 16. Even though the Packers have played better defense recently, no team allowed opposing wide receivers to haul in more touchdowns than the Packers (26). Only the Eagles (15.01) allowed more yards per reception than the Packers (14.37) to opposing receivers.
Cole Beasley4.654.80.40.10.707.95
Beasley had a two-TD performance against the Packers the first time these two teams met, but Bryant missed that game and Beasley's fantasy production has slowed considerably since that point. In the final six games of the season, Beasley finished as the WR50 or worse in every game and he had less than 50 yards in his five final games of the season.
Terrance Williams3.345.30.30006.33
After a six-game stretch from Weeks 8 to 13 with just nine catches and 83 yards, he has 15/200 over the final four games of the season. That said, Williams isn't much more than a TD-dependent dart throw as he has scored in three of his past six games.
Brice Butler0.34.20.10001.02
Lucky Whitehead0.34.700.64.500.92

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jason Witten3.638.20.25.02
Witten had a solid season (69/673/3), but he is a low-upside option at the position as he had just three top-12 weekly performances (standard scoring) this season.
Gavin Escobar0.21.800.18

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January 13, 2017

Divisional Round Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

Perhaps the best weekend of the football year kicks off on Saturday as the final eight teams will square off for the right to advance to the AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games.


Here are our top-eight fantasy football quarterback rankings for this weekend's slate of games:

1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers: Against the Giants on Sunday, Rodgers threw for 362 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions to extend his streak of 300/4 games to three. Over his past eight games, Rodgers has thrown 22 touchdowns and no interceptions. It appears that Jordy Nelson (ribs) is unlikely to play this week, but as well as Rodgers has been playing, he's easily the top quarterback option in fantasy this weekend.

2. Matt Ryan, Falcons: Only Aaron Rodgers scored more fantasy points this season than Ryan, who had a career (and MVP-caliber) season. Not only did Ryan set career highs in yards (4,944) and touchdowns (38) and a career low in interceptions (seven), he led the league in TD% (7.1), Y/A (9.3) and passer rating (117.1). Along with Carson Palmer and Tom Brady, Ryan was one of just three quarterbacks to throw for 300-plus yards against Seattle this season.

3. Tom Brady, Patriots: Since Week 11, Brady has thrown for 300-plus yards in only one of seven games, but he does have a 16:1 TD-INT ratio during that seven-game span. With one of the league's best secondaries, the Texans allowed the second-fewest passing yards this season and the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

4. Dak Prescott, Cowboys: Playing unlike a rookie, Prescott completed 67.8 percent of his pass attempts for 8.0 Y/A and threw 23 touchdowns to only four interceptions. In addition, he ran for another 282 yards and six touchdowns. Early in the season, Prescott led the Cowboys to a 14-point victory over the Packers as he completed 18-of-27 for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Even though the Packers have been playing much better defense lately, this is still a plus matchup for Dak and the Cowboys.

5. Russell Wilson, Seahawks: Coming off an efficient 23-of-30 playoff performance, it has been an up-and-down season for Wilson and Seattle's offense. That said, Wilson has finished as a top-five weekly fantasy quarterback in six of his final 13 games this season. As much as the Seahawks would like to run the ball, control the clock and keep Matt Ryan and the high-powered Falcons offense off the field, they could find themselves needing to keep (or catch) up in what should be a high-scoring game.

6. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers: Big Ben was a walking boot after Sunday's game, but it appears that his foot won't be an issue for this week's matchup against the Chiefs. Earlier in the season, Roethlisberger completed 22-of-27 for 300 yards and five touchdowns against the Chiefs. That was at Heinz Field, however, and Roethlisberger has some sharp home-road splits. Dominant at home (24.65 fantasy points per game this season), he averaged just 13.03 fantasy points in eight road games.

7. Alex Smith, Chiefs: An efficient but low-upside option, Smith set career highs of 3,502 yards and five rushing touchdowns, he also set four-year lows in passing touchdowns (15) and rushing yards (134).

8. Brock Osweiler, Texans: A distant eighth (among eight starting QBs) in this weekend's fantasy rankings, Osweiler led the Texans to a win over a Derek Carr-less Raiders team on Saturday. While he didn't play horribly, Osweiler still threw for just 168 yards (6.7 Y/A) and one touchdown last weekend. More than two-TD underdogs, Osweiler and the Texans are projected to score fewer than 15 points based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

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December 31, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 17

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 17 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. GB), $6,000
RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (at SF), $5,800
RB - Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. CAR), $4,900
WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (at SF), $7,200
WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (vs. GB), $6,600
WR - Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (at DET), $5,700
TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (at DET), $3,100
FLEX - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons (vs. NO), $8,400
DST - New York Jets (vs. BUF), $2,300

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($7,200): The Seahawks have one of the easiest matchups on the slate with a game vs. the 49ers. The Seahawks are one of the playoff teams with something to play for. With Tyler Lockett out for the rest of the year, Baldwin should get peppered with targets. He is very likely to be one of the highest-owned WRs this week, but I think he could 4-5x his price. I will have at least 30% exposure this week.

Comments by Kevin: Baldwin exploded for 13/171/1 on 19 targets against the Cardinals in Week 16. While he may not match last week's career-best numbers, the matchup against the 49ers is about as good as it gets and Baldwin had a nearly identical line (8/164/1) the first time he faced the Niners this season. In a week full of many meaningless games, the Seahawks can earn a first-round bye with a win and Falcons loss.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 17 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($4,900): One of my favorite plays of the week, as noted in our Week 17 DFS Roundtable post, Rodgers is set up for a massive workload. Not only is Doug Martin (four-game suspension) out again, but Charles Sims was placed on IR this week. Earlier in the year, Rodgers had 35 touches against the Panthers when both Martin and Sims were out. While I don't expect 35 touches, it's possible that 'Quizz sees in the neighborhood of 25 touches as home favorites and one of seven teams projected to score 25-plus points based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Comments by Sean: When Doug Martin and Charles Sims were out earlier this year, we saw Rodgers get around 30 touches per game. Carolina has absolutely nothing to play for here, and while the Bucs are pretty much drawing dead, they do have a shot so they will be all over this one. Rodgers, like Baldwin, will be popular I believe, but he should pay off his price given the volume.

3. Sean - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions ($6,000): The Lions/Packers game is the chalk game to stack this week. It's a winner-take-all, and it's the prime time hammer. Taking Stafford over Aaron Rodgers gets you almost $2K of savings, which I think is significant given I think each QB has the same ceiling.

Comments by Kevin: Playing in the final game of the week (and regular season), Stafford and the Lions are small home underdogs against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in a win-and-in matchup. Speaking of matchups, it's good for Stafford as the Packers have allowed an NFL-high 8.0 yards per pass attempt and only the Browns (33) have allowed more passing touchdowns than the Packers (30). Earlier this season, Stafford threw for 385 yards and three touchdowns against Green Bay.

4. Kevin - Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions ($6,600): With a minimum of five catches in nine of his past 10 games, Tate has averaged 6.8/86.6 on 9.4 targets per game over that stretch. Not only should he see steady volume in a fantasy-friendly matchup (only Titans allow more DK points to opposing WRs) with plenty of real football significance, but he has shown upside with four top-five PPR finishes during that 10-game span.

Comments by Sean: If I am playing Stafford, I am definitely pairing him with Tate. Tate has had double-digit targets in three of his last four. It wouldn't surprise me here to see Tate flirt with 10+ receptions in this one especially if the Lions are playing from behind. My only fear here is the Lions get ahead and control the clock like they did vs. the Saints earlier this year. I won't have all my eggs into this game like I did that one.

5. Sean - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers ($5,700): Jordy Nelson will likely be the highest-owned WR of the week. He is off a monster game so you have the recency bias, plus he is in a killer spot vs. the Lions. Jordy should see a majority of Darius Slay which is why I am going heavy Adams. Slay isn't a shut-down corner by any means, but Rodgers isn't afraid to spread the ball around. Adams has 30-point upside and should be 15-20% less owned than Jordy.

Comments by Kevin: With more from the running game these days, Adams now has six consecutive games with five or fewer receptions. That said, Adams has four 100-yard games in his past 10 and a total of 10 scores this season. Given how often Aaron Rodgers looks his way in the red zone, Adams has enormous upside and should be much less-owned than Jordy this week.

6. Kevin - Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,800): If you started Rawls in DFS or season-long leagues last week, he let you down even before he departed with a shoulder injury. Rawls will be good to go in Week 17 and the matchup means that Rawls could turn even a reduced workload into 100 yards and a score or two. Rawls didn't play in the first matchup, but Christine Michael had 20/106/2 in that game for the Seahawks. Unless you're Todd Gurley, who doesn't run for 100 yards against the 49ers? The only concern here is a potential blowout early or the Falcons establish a big lead early over the Saints. Either scenario could keep Rawls on the sidelines in the third and/or fourth quarters.

Comments by Sean: I got burned by Rawls last week big time. I had a couple of lineups in the 190 range with Rawls as my lone bust. I am not afraid to go back to the well here. The 49ers get destroyed in every aspect of the game. The Seahawks should cruise in this one which should lead to plenty of Rawls touches late.

7. Sean - Jared Cook, TE, Green Bay Packers ($3,100): I think the TE lock of the week will be Travis Kelce. Kelce has dominated the position this season. Given our team is pretty much chalk spots/players, I am going a little off the board here with Cook. Pairing Adams/Cook and fading Jordy could be extremely profitable if Rodgers has a big game. The Lions have been better vs. TE lately, but at one point this year you were just locking in opposing TEs vs. them.

Comments by Kevin: Cook is the boom-or-bust type play that makes sense for GPPs. Typically I roster him in his "bust" weeks, however, so I typically have limited exposure. Given the matchup, this has the potential to be one of his "boom" weeks.

8. Kevin - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($8,400): Active after a two-game absence, Jones had a mediocre 4/60 on seven targets in a 17-point win last week. Putting in a full practice on Friday, Jones should be more involved in a potential shootout against Drew Brees and the Saints. No team is projected to score more points this week than the Falcons and Jones has GPP-winning upside when healthy.

Comments by Sean: Another player that burned me last week was Jones. For whatever reason, the Falcons just don't look to Julio in the red zone, which means his production is basically reliant on long pass plays. Atlanta still has a shot at the No. 2 seed so It's pedal to the medal for the Falcons. I think the Ryan/Julio stack will be very low-owned even with a great matchup vs. the Saints.

9. Kevin - New York Jets DST ($2,300): The Jets have been a massive disappointment this season, but there is reason for some Week 17 optimism. That reason, of course, is E.J. Manuel. With Tyrod Taylor on the bench, the Bills will roll out the former first-round bust out of Florida State on Sunday. At their price point, I'm willing to roll the dice on the Jets defense this week.

Comments by Sean: There are a lot of defenses I like this week. One of those defenses for GPPs is the Jets. You get them at 1K savings off the rest of the ones I like, and they get a good matchup vs. E.J. Manuel, who will probably be rusty. This is a GPP play only as the Jets have been destroyed in recent weeks.

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December 29, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 17

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 17?

Kevin Hanson: Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Carolina Panthers ($4,900)

The great (and not-so-great) thing about Week 17 is that it's more difficult to figure out than any other week on the year. That said, there should be an abundance of value plays by the time Sunday rolls around. During other weeks, there are some value plays become extremely chalky.

Following a surprise inactive status for Doug Martin, Rodgers led the team in both usage and production -- 15/63/1 rushing and 2/15 receiving -- in Week 16. With Martin now suspended four games and set to be inactive on game day, Rodgers will dominate early-down work with Charles Sims assuming a change-of-pace role.

Not only are the Bucs six-point home favorites this weekend, but only the Falcons and Patriots are projected to score more points based on implied totals using Vegas odds. Rodgers won't get the 35 touches he had in his first matchup against the Panthers in Week 5 (with Martin/Sims out), but I could see 20-plus touches this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 17 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Sean Beazley: DeAngelo Williams, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,500) and DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans ($6,500)

Week 17 is a tricky week to play because of all the meaningless games for playoff teams. It is important to keep track of all the news before 1 PM. These picks are purely speculation at this point, because they are from two playoff teams who have nothing to gain from a win on Sunday.

DeAngelo Williams ($5,500) -- Mike Tomlin has said that Le'Veon Bell is a candidate for rest on Sunday, and it makes complete sense to me that he sits. We just saw the Raiders Super Bowl dreams crumble last week when Derek Carr broke his leg. An injury to Bell would clearly hurt the Steelers chances to push forward in the playoffs.

We have seen what DeAngelo has done in the past as the lead back. He gets a dream matchup at home against our favorite punching bag defense, the Cleveland Browns. If Bell is out Sunday, I will be locking DeAngelo in on nearly 100 percent of my tournament teams. His price is far too low to what we can expect him to score.

DeAndre Hopkins ($6,500) -- Had Randy Bullock made that kick Sunday night, I would have been 100% Hopkins this week in a winner-take-all matchup vs. the Titans. The Texans have the division wrapped up, so I do think there will be some key players resting like Lamar Miller. I do think Nuk plays though, because the Texans really need to get this passing attack figured out before the playoffs start. This is the perfect spot to iron out the kinks versus the Titans, who get torched by opposing WRs.

John Trifone: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers ($7,700)

Week 17 has a lot of uncertainty right now. We're still waiting to find out who exactly will be resting, who will be taking a look at rookies, who may start the game but not finish, etc. Some we know, much we will find out later in the week. At this point, I think Aaron Rodgers is as safe a bet to give you a great floor and high ceiling. He's expensive, but you know what you're getting with Rodgers and the Green Bay offense. They need to win at Detroit to clinch the division, and the Lions pass defense has been the worst or among the worst most of the year. I think Rodgers is worth the hefty price tag this week.

Dan Yanotchko: Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions ($6,600)

This week you have to take guys that have something to play for, so I like Golden Tate of the Lions. He has a great last-four split with 378 yards on 34 receptions on 40 targets. The Packers give up a ton of passing yards per game with 265 and 30 touchdowns to boot. I look for a shootout in the dome, with the winner going to the playoffs.

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December 24, 2016

Week 16 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Philip Rivers is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Tom Brady and Rivers, you should start Brady -- and in turn, bench Rivers.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

Reaching the 300-yard mark in only one of his past seven games, Rivers has also failed to finish as a top-12 weekly quarterback in nine consecutive games. And while he has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven straight with a total of 16 during that span, he has also been a turnover machine with 14 interceptions in those seven games.

There is reason for optimism in Championship Week, however, as Rivers and the Chargers head to Cleveland to face the winless Browns. Not only have the Browns allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year, but no team has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in more games this season than Cleveland (11).

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND)

With back-to-back disappointing performances, Carr completed just 17-of-41 for 117 yards and no touchdowns in Week 14 and 19-of-30 for 213 yards and a score in Week 15. In what is expected to be a shootout against Andrew Luck and the Colts, Carr should have a have a bounce-back performance in Week 16. In fact, the Raiders are projected to score the second-most points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Meanwhile, the Colts have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. And that's after allowing just one passing touchdown to five passes intercepted over their past three games. Of course, that dominance is primarily due to the matchups against the likes of Bryce Petty, Brock Osweiler and Sam Bradford.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at CHI)

Second in the NFL to only Drew Brees, Cousins is averaging 311.4 passing yards per game and has seven 300-yard games this season. With the exception of Week 5 against the Ravens, Cousins has either thrown for 300-plus yards and/or accounted for multiple touchdowns. Due to that consistency, Cousins has finished as a top-12 weekly fantasy quarterback in seven of his past eight games.

Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (at SEA)

The good news is that Palmer has thrown for 300-plus yards in two of his past three games and multiple touchdowns in five consecutive games. In fact, he has finished as a top-three weekly quarterback in both of those 300-yard games.

That said, Palmer and the Cardinals head to Seattle this week to take on the Seahawks, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Even without Earl Thomas, it's a difficult matchup, especially on the road at CenturyLink. In fact, only the Jets and Broncos are projected to score fewer points this week than the Cardinals.

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (at HOU)

The good news is that Dalton gets back A.J. Green this week. The bad news is that it is unclear what we should expect from AJG and Dalton will miss Tyler Eifert, one of the league's best tight ends and red-zone weapons. In addition, the Texans have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the position, which makes Dalton a poor streaming option this week.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at DAL)

Scoring the eighth-most fantasy points through Week 15, Stafford has been up-and-down this season. While Stafford has seven top-10 weekly performances, he has also finished as the QB20 or worse in five games this season including three of his past five. During that five-game span, Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in just one game with a total of only four passing touchdowns over that stretch. Only five teams are projected to score fewer points than the Lions this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Bilal Powell is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned DeMarco Murray, Le'Veon Bell and Powell and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Murray -- and in turn, bench Powell.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SF)

A few players -- DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, etc. -- could earn the dubious honor as well, but Gurley has arguably been the biggest first-round fantasy football bust of the 2016 season.

Despite the high cost on draft day, there has been little to show for it. With double-digit fantasy points in only four of 14 games, Gurley has yet to exceed 85 rushing yards any week and has averaged just 55.6 per game on the season.

If you somehow advanced to Week 16 with Gurley as your first-round pick, the good news is that he could finally deliver for his owners with a soft matchup against the 49ers. San Francisco has allowed the most fantasy points to the position and 5.11 yards per carry and 22 touchdowns to the position, both of which are league highs.

Even worse (or better from Gurley's standpoint), the 49ers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in 11 of their past 13 games. Stated differently, the 49ers have allowed 12.94 percent (11 of 85) of the 100-yard rushing games this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. WAS)

In a season where little has gone right for the Bears, Howard has been a bright spot. Heading into Championship Week, the ex-Hoosier has racked up the seventh-most yards from scrimmage (1,348) and has been even better more recently.

Since Week 8, Howard has a minimum of 15 touches and 99 YFS in seven straight games. During that seven-game span, Howard ranks fourth in the NFL in touches (152) and YFS (868).

Granted, the Bears are home underdogs this week, but Howard has a plus matchup. Washington has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In addition, only three teams have allowed more yards per carry (4.52) and combined touchdowns (18) to running backs this season.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND)

In the 12 games he has played, Murray has finished outside the top-30 fantasy running backs in only one game (RB52 in Week 4 at Baltimore). So, in other words, Murray has a minimum of seven fantasy points in 11 of 12 games this season.

Finishing as the RB30 last week, Murray should bounce back in a plus matchup against the Colts. Not only have the Colts allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, but only the Patriots are projected to score more points this week than the Raiders. It wouldn't surprise me if Murray, who has averaged a rushing score per game this season, found the end zone once again.

RB - Bilal Powell, New York Jets (at NE)

With Matt Forte (knee) active last week, Powell once again dominated touches. In his past two games, Powell now has 61 total touches -- 45/229/2 rushing and 16/112 receiving.

Even though the Jets are 17-point underdogs and projected to be the lowest-scoring team of the week, according to implied totals from Vegas odds, Powell should be heavily involved in the passing game and get 20-plus touches once again as Forte is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game.

Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (at PIT)

One week after carrying it twice for just two yards, West erupted for 77 yards on 13 carries and added four catches for 45 yards against the Eagles in Week 15. The 122 yards from scrimmage and 17 touches were five-week highs.

It's possible that he has another productive game, but it's difficult to know whether West or Kenneth Dixon will get the larger share of the workload and we've seen the Ravens abandon the run even in games where they are successfully running the ball. Therefore, West and Dixon are both flex options as opposed to RB2 starts.

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (vs. CAR)

Since returning from injury, Coleman has scored three touchdowns in four games. That said, he has averaged just 3.62 yards per carry and 5.2 yards per reception over that four-game span. Meanwhile, the Panthers have allowed the third-lowest yards per carry (3.58) to opposing running backs this season and Coleman had just 19 yards on eight carries earlier this season against Carolina.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (at KC)

In two games with the Broncos, Justin Forsett has nine and 14 touches, respectively. Meanwhile, Booker has just five and eight touches in those same games and has failed to finish as a top-50 fantasy running back in both games. Before Forsett was signed, Booker had averaged 20.5 touches over a six-game span including 25 the first time against the Chiefs. Forsett is a solid flex option and Booker is completely off the fantasy radar.

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Dontrelle Inman is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, T.Y. Hilton and Inman and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Hilton -- and in turn, bench Inman.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

Whether you call him a running back or a wide receiver, Montgomery is worth a start. It would be unreasonable to expect another 16/162/2 rushing performance, but more than reasonable to expect double-digit touches and a productive outing for a third consecutive game.

As far as the matchup goes, the Vikings have been much worse against the run over the past half-season or so than they were at the beginning of the year. From Weeks 1 to 7, the Vikings allowed 3.74 yards per carry (26th-most) and no running back exceeded 56 rushing yards. From Weeks 8 to 15, they have allowed 4.52 YPC (eighth-most) and six running backs have at least 70 rushing yards against them.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans (at JAX)

Hopkins has just one 100-yard game this season and it was all the way back in Week 2. In addition, the matchup this week is challenging as the Jaguars have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. That said, the quarterback change to Tom Savage gives the passing offense a shot in the arm and a reason for Hopkins owners to be optimistic. Last week, Savage peppered Hopkins with targets and Nuk finished with eight catches for 87 yards on 17 targets.

WR - Dontrelle Inman, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

Inman has a minimum of 43 yards in eight consecutive games, but he has averaged 4.6 receptions and 67.0 yards per game over that span. While his streak of games with a touchdown ended last week at three, Inman and the Chargers receivers get a plus matchup against the winless Browns. The Browns have allowed 14.01 Y/R and 10.76-percent touchdown rate, both of which are fourth-most, to opposing receivers this year.

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. NYJ)

During the team's past five games, Tom Brady has targeted Edelman a minimum of 11 times in every game for an average of 13.4 per game over that span. That has allowed Edelman to post consistent receiving numbers -- a minimum of six catches and 73 yards in six consecutive games.

In their first matchup in Week 12, Edelman had eight catches for 83 yards on 11 targets. Not only have the Jets allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, but no team is projected to score more points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

With only one target last week, Cobb put up a goose egg against the Bears. Over his past seven games, he has only one game with more than 41 receiving yards and has averaged 3.0/31.7/0.3 on 4.1 targets per game during that span. At this point, Cobb is only the fourth-best wide receiver option on his own team after Jordy Nelson, Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams.

WR - DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (at BUF)

It's been an up-and-down (mostly down) season for Parker. The second-year receiver has a total of just six catches for 65 yards on 10 targets in his past three games combined. Even though Matt Moore threw four touchdowns last week, he threw only 18 pass attempts. Given the lack of volume and production recently, Parker isn't anything more than a low-floor, TD-dependent WR4.

WR - Terrelle Pryor, Cleveland Browns (vs. SD)

In two starts by RG3 in Weeks 14 and 15, Pryor has one catch for three yards and four catches for 19 yards, respectively. Obviously, fantasy owners were hoping for more. Not only have the Chargers allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to receivers this season, but I'd expect Casey Hayward to also shadow Pryor as well. In addition, Pryor will need surgery this offseason for a torn ligament in his finger.

WR - Brandon Marshall, New York Jets (at NE)

The good news? Marshall ended an eight-game streak of single-digit targets with 11 in Week 15. The bad news? He converted that volume into one catch for 16 yards. With Bryce Petty (still) under center, I'd (still) prefer Robbie Anderson over Marshall among the Jets wide receivers. With a league-low implied total of 13.5 points this week, however, the Jets could struggle to generate much offense on Saturday.

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Kyle Rudolph is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Greg Olsen and Rudolph, you should start Olsen -- and in turn, bench Rudolph.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (at GB)

Over his past four games, Rudolph has three games with double-digit targets and a minimum of eight during that span. That volume has led to a total of 27 catches for 266 yards and a touchdown over the past quarter season. In a favorable matchup against the Packers, who have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, I would expect another high-usage and productive game from Rudolph.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

With two weeks to go in the season (and likely his career), Gates is two touchdowns behind Tony Gonzalez for the most-ever by a tight end. Not only could Philip Rivers look to force an end-zone target or two into Gates' direction, the Browns have been atrocious when defending tight ends. No team has allowed more fantasy points to the position and only the Lions have surrendered more touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at NO)

Speaking of tight end touchdowns, Brate has scored a touchdown in five of his past eight games. During that eight-game span, Brate has a total of 36 catches for 422 yards and five touchdowns and he's a strong TE1 for Week 16. Start him with confidence.

Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (at PIT)

Pitta had a breakout performance in Week 13 with 9/90/2 on 11 targets against the Dolphins. For much of the season, Pitta has been heavily-targeted although the fantasy production didn't match. Over his past two games, however, Pitta has just 4/18 on five targets and 2/16 on two targets. Pitta should remain on your bench this week as he had just 2/14 on three targets against Pittsburgh earlier this season.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

One of the most inconsistent tight ends in the NFL, Cook is coming off a 6/85 performance against the Bears and a top-seven weekly outing. Since returning from a multi-week absence, Cook has finished as the weekly TE1, TE51, TE28, TE37 and TE7, respectively. Stated differently, he has 85-plus yards in two of those games and less than 20 yards in the other three.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. SD)

Barnidge had a seven-game streak with at least 37 receiving yards from Weeks 2 to 8, but since then, he has failed to exceed 35 yards in any game. Over his past six games, Barnidge has averaged just 3.11 fantasy points per game.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings:

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December 23, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 16

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 16 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND), $6,800
RB - Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SF), $6,500
RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (at BUF), $5,600
WR - Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at NO), $8,500
WR - DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans (vs. CIN), $5,200
WR - Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND), $6,100
TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at CLE), $4,400
FLEX - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. TEN), $4,600
DST - Chicago Bears (vs. WAS), $2,300

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($8,500): Evans has been held to single-digit scores the past three weeks, and one of those games was versus this same Saints defense. I think he is in a great position for a bounce-back spot in a game which is expected to be very high-scoring. My only concern here is ownership. Le'Veon Bell is not on this slate, and David Johnson has a tough matchup on paper vs. Seattle on the road. This could lead to the reverse of what we have seen the past few weeks where it was popular to jam in high-priced RBs.

Comments by Kevin: Evans has three disappointing performances in a row, but we have have seen him have monster games with huge target totals. With OBJ/AB not playing on the Sunday main slate and Julio/AJG coming back from injuries, Evans is the top main-slate WR by a considerable margin for me.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams ($6,500): Not only have the 49ers allowed the most fantasy points to the position, but running backs have averaged 5.11 YPC with 22 rushing scores, both of which are season highs (by a wide margin). In addition, the 49ers have allowed 11 100-yard rushers on the year plus two more had at least 100 yards from scrimmage. Gurley has yet to exceed 85 rushing yards in any game and he's averaging just 55.6 per game this season, but it wouldn't surprise me if he exceeded the 100-yard mark with a few receptions and perhaps a touchdown on Saturday.

Comments by Sean: You know a defense is bad vs. the run when a RB is coming off a four-point week and his price increases $2,000! There is no reason to get cute here. Jam Gurley in your lineup and watch the point totals rise.

3. Sean - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans ($5,200): I am more excited for a Week 17 showing in a potential winner-take-all game vs. the Titans secondary. I would be 100% locked in with Hopkins at anything below $7,000 next week. I would hope that he would have a bad game here vs. the Bengals, so people wouldn't jump on board with me, but at this price, you can't overlook him this week. Hopkins had 17 targets last week in a comeback win vs. Jacksonville. Tom Savage is the new QB and he looked ten times better than Brock Osweiler. I think the QB play makes the difference here and Nuk has a massive day.

Comments by Kevin: The QB switch gives Hopkins owners some reason for optimism and the high volume of targets last week (17) is a huge positive as well. At his price point, he's more than worth the gamble.

4. Kevin - Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers ($4,400): Gates has been up-and-down this season and was a disappointment last week. The Browns are terrible against tight ends as they have allowed the position a total of 72 catches (second-most in NFL), 782 yards (second-most) and eight TDs (second-most). I expect Philip Rivers to target Gates heavily in the red zone.

Comments by Sean: The touchdown Antonio Gates narrative. I was all aboard last week with 40% exposure in GPPs. There are a few TEs I like better that are cheaper than Gates this week so I probably won't have 40% this week, but I should have a decent amount again. Gates gets a great matchup vs. Cleveland who basically can't stop anything.

5. Sean - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins ($5,600): This is a huge game in Buffalo this week. With a win Rex Ryan could potentially save his job. Miami needs to keep winning to secure a spot in the playoffs. Without Ryan Tannehill, I expect the Dolphins to let Ajayi shoulder the load. The Bills run defense has been shredded in recent weeks. We have seen the enormous upside that Ajayi has this season. I think Ajayi will be under owned this week in tournaments.

Comments by Kevin: Ajayi isn't one of the first players that I'd want to put in this lineup, but I think Sean makes some good points. He has shown upside, Buffalo has allowed some very big games to opposing running backs, Ajayi should get tons of usage and his ownership level should be low. He could turn out to be a perfect GPP play.

6. Kevin - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders ($6,100): Crabtree has averaged 5.5/61.9/0.6 per game this season and he's averaging nearly double-digit targets (9.88/G) over his past eight. In an expected shootout, Crabtree has a ton of upside this week and could be the third among this game's wide receivers in terms of ownership after T.Y. Hilton and Amari Cooper. I will certainly stack this game in many of my GPP lineups.

Comments by Sean: Picking the right Raiders WR this year has been extremely difficult for me this season. Crabtree had outscored Cooper in 7/14 games this season. Split right down the middle. The Colts secondary is beatable. Vontae Davis is starting to look more and more like Darelle Revis each week. That's not a good thing. I will be hedging this week and playing probably equal shares of both Oakland wideouts.

7. Sean - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,400): Andy Reid and the Chiefs didn't attack the Titans corners last week the way I thought he would. BLAKE Bortles is arguably the worst starting QB in the league, but this Titans secondary is very bad. Robinson continues to get peppered with targets each week and at his price tag of $4,600, it's very tough to pass on him in tournaments. I definitely will have my fair share of A-Rob this week.

Comments by Kevin: If you owned Robinson in season-long leagues, few players were bigger disappointments (although several in this lineup could give him a run for his money). There are three things to like this week, though: (1) his talent level, which has been true every week, (2) the matchup vs. TEN (32nd in FPA to WRs) and (3) the sub-$5,000 price. The potential to smash value is there even with Blake Bortles throwing him the ball.

8. Kevin - Derek Carr, QB, Oakland Raiders ($6,800): After the Falcons, no team has averaged more points per game this season than the Raiders. Based on Vegas odds, only the Patriots are projected to score more points this week. Carr has plenty of upside in what should be a shootout against Andrew Luck and the Colts and pairs well with Crabtree. I will certainly have a lot of exposure to both QBs and all the key skill players in this game across my GPP lineups.

Comments by Sean: I didn't leave Kevin with much after the Robinson pick, so it was either punt QB or punt D. Kevin elected to punt D which is how I would have played it as well. Carr gets a great matchup vs. the Colts at home. The Colts are still in the playoff hunt, so they do have something to play for. This game is a great one to consider a game stack in GPPs this week.

9. Kevin - Chicago Bears DST ($2,300): The Bears may give up a fair amount of points to Washington, but due to their heavy pass volume, there will be opportunities for sacks/INTs and the Bears have actually scored double-digit fantasy points in two of their past three games.

Comments by Sean: Of the choices left, the Bears make the most sense. The Redskins are coming off a short week where they played like crap. All it takes is one Defense/Special Teams TD to really make this unit pay off.

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December 21, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 16

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 16?

Kevin Hanson: Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams ($6,500)

As disappointing as the season has been for Gurley, he has a great opportunity on Saturday. Even though Gurley struggled in Week 1 against the 49ers, no team has been more generous to opposing running backs this season.

Not only have the 49ers allowed the most fantasy points to the position, but running backs have averaged 5.11 YPC with 22 rushing scores, both of which are season highs (by a wide margin). In addition, the 49ers have allowed 11 100-yard rushers on the year plus two more had at least 100 yards from scrimmage.

Gurley has yet to exceed 85 rushing yards in any game and he's averaging just 55.6 per game this season, but it wouldn't surprise me if he exceeded the 100-yard mark with a few receptions and perhaps a touchdown on Saturday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Brendan Donahue: Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets ($6,000)

In the past two games that Powell has taken over as the lead back for the Jets, he has scored 27.2 and 37.9 points on DraftKings. I don't see that role changing this week both due to the injury to Matt Forte and the game plan as 16-point underdogs to the Patriots. In a blowout loss last week, he caught 11 passes on 12 targets for 78 yards and that could very well be the same situation this week, giving him a very safe floor and a huge ceiling if he is able to put any of those targets into the end zone.

Sean Beazley: Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,000)

I think the Titans could be in for a let-down game after their big last-minute win vs. the Chiefs last week. I've been burned on the Jags call pretty much all year, but I'm not going to miss out on that one time they go off. I don't play high stakes often, but I'm rolling out Blake Bortles in the $50 Chop Block this week on DK. The Titans pass defense is awful, and I think this game could be a shootout. I’m on the fence about pairing him with Marqise Lee or Allen Robinson or just playing him naked. He is the stone minimum on DK which allows you to get pretty much whoever you want. I believe Bortles gets the 300-yard bonus and a couple of scores this week.

John Trifone: Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams ($6,500)

It only took until Week 16, but it might be Todd Gurley's week this week. He's facing the 49ers 32nd-ranked rush defense at home after recently calling out his offense and contributing to getting Jeff Fisher fired. Gurley should be in for a heavy workload and should be able to put together his best game of the year. He's a good RB choice this week at $6,500.

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December 17, 2016

Week 15 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tyrod Taylor is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Matt Ryan and Taylor, you should start Ryan -- and in turn, bench Taylor.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

Cousins has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in seven consecutive games with an average of 22.13 fantasy points per contest over that stretch. Going back to Week 2, Cousins has finished as a top-15 weekly quarterback in all but one game (Week 6 vs. the Eagles).

This week, Cousins is behind only Atlanta's Matt Ryan in my quarterback rankings. In addition, only the Falcons are projected to score more points this week than the Redskins (using Vegas odds).

On the season, Cousins is averaging 311.15 pass yards per game with 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Counting a pair of rushing touchdowns, he has accounted for multiple touchdowns in eight consecutive games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (vs. CLE)

With a season-low two rushing yards last week, Taylor ended a streak of 11 consecutive games with a minimum of 25 rushing yards and an average of 41.6 per game over that 11-game span. In addition, Taylor had a rushing score in five of his previous six games.

While we shouldn't expect prolific passing statistics from Taylor (and Buffalo's run-heavy offense) in any given week, he gets a fantasy-friendly matchup against the league's most generous defense to opposing quarterbacks. In addition, improved health from Sammy Watkins is another positive for the outlook of his passing numbers.

As double-digit favorites, the Bills are projected to score the seventh-most points this week, according to Vegas odds. Given his favorable matchup and ability to make plays with his legs, Taylor is worth a start over some typical high-end QB1's with difficult matchups -- Tom Brady (at Broncos), Andrew Luck (at Vikings), etc.

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (vs. NO)

Palmer hasn't played great, but he has multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games and five of his past six. During that stretch, he has thrown a total of 13 touchdowns to eight interceptions.

Not only do the Saints allow the 11th-most fantasy points to the position, but they will be without their best cornerback (Devin Breaux) this weekend as well. Among the teams left to play this week, only the Falcons and Redskins are projected to score more points than the Cardinals.

Week 15 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (at CIN)

With a notable home-road split, Big Ben has averaged just 231.14 passing yards per game in his seven games away from Heinz Field this season with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Scoring single-digit fantasy points in four of those seven, he has averaged just 12.76 fantasy points on the road this year.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have allowed only two passing touchdowns in their past four games combined and no more than 13.26 fantasy points in any of those games. Roethlisberger is just outside of my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for the week at No. 14.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (vs. DET)

Manning has now thrown for less than 200 yards in three consecutive games and in five of his past nine games. Over his past seven games, he has averaged just 214.57 yards per game.

While the Lions have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, they have been much better lately. They have not allowed a top-12 quarterback in any of their past six games and during that span, they have as many passes intercepted (seven) as they have allowed passing scores (seven).

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at NYG)

The other in this game has an even more difficult matchup. Only the Broncos have allowed fewer fantasy points this season than the Giants. When playing at home (or at a neutral site), the Giants have held all but one opposing quarterback to a QB20 (or worse) finish with the exception of Cousins in Week 3.

The Lions have won eight of nine and Stafford has a 15:3 TD-INT ratio in those games. Even though he has a pair of top-10 fantasy performances in consecutive games, this matchup is more difficult than his recent matchups and all but one of those past nine games were played in a dome -- six at home, at New Orleans and at Minnesota.

With a dislocated middle finger on his throwing hand, a more challenging matchup and playing outside of a controlled environment in December, there are enough reasons to downgrade Stafford and keep him on your bench this week.

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tevin Coleman is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, DeMarco Murray and Coleman and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Murray -- and in turn, bench Coleman.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Bilal Powell, New York Jets (vs. MIA)

Dealing with a torn meniscus, Matt Forte may play on a short week against the Dolphins as he's considered to be a game-time decision. Even so, I'd expect Powell to get the majority of work if both are active on Saturday night.

Powell had a massive 34 touches last week against the 49ers and posted a 29/145/2 rushing line to go along with five catches for 34 yards. The matchup isn't nearly as favorable this week as the 49ers have one of the worst run defenses in the league, but the duo of Forte and Powell combined for 148 yards from scrimmage on 23 touches against the Dolphins in Week 9.

If Forte sits, Powell is a borderline RB1 this week. If he's active, Powell remains a solid RB2.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at ATL)

Coming off his best game of the season, Hyde rushed for 193 yards and scored 26.0 fantasy points against the Jets in Week 14. Hyde had just one catch and one target, but he scored his second receiving touchdown in the past three games as well.

We are unlikely to see a repeat performance of last week, but one thing is for sure, Hyde should see lots of volume in a favorable matchup. With a minimum of 18 touches in four consecutive games, he has averaged nearly 20 touches per game on the year and the 49ers have shown a commitment to run the ball even in games where they trail by a lot.

With the 2016 season nearing a close, the Falcons have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. They have allowed a total of 16 touchdowns -- 11 rushing and five receiving -- to opposing running backs on the year.

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (vs. SF)

Even though I expect a bounce-back game from Devonta Freeman, Coleman should be productive as well. The second-year back out of Indiana had a pair of touchdowns last week as the Falcons blew out the Rams. A big play waiting to happen, Coleman has scored nine times on 110 touches -- or roughly one touchdown per every 12.2 touches.

While Hyde has a great matchup, Coleman's is even better. Not only have the 49ers allowed the most fantasy points to the position, no team has allowed more yards per carry (4.99) to opposing RBs or more rushing touchdowns (19) to the position. In addition, the Falcons are projected to be this week's highest-scoring team using implied totals from Vegas odds.

Related: The Coleman/Freeman duo is a great play on DraftKings this week

RB - Robert Kelley, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

Even though he isn't much of a factor in the passing game, Kelley should get a heavy workload with a minimum of 14 carries in six consecutive games since taking over as the starter. During that six-game span, he has averaged 80.3 rushing yards per game and scored a total of five touchdowns. Considering the Redskins are home favorites and projected to score the second-most points this week, Kelley could get a few goal-line opportunities this week.

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (at BAL)

While Darren Sproles has already been ruled out for Week 15, it's hard to trust Mathews in a tough matchup. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Ravens this season. Only the Cardinals (3.18 YPC) have allowed fewer yards per carry to the position than the Ravens (3.48) and they have surrendered just four rushing scores to running backs. Meanwhile, the Eagles are one of just six teams with an implied total under 18 points this week.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (vs. NE)

In his three games prior to Week 14, Booker had 24, 24 and 18 carries, respectively. Last week? Three. Even worse, he averaged just one foot per carry as he gained only one yard against the Titans. Booker had been anything but efficient, but he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in the previous three weeks due to sheer volume. In his past six games, Booker has a total of 98 carries for 267 yards -- or 2.72 yards per carry.

Booker should get more touches this week (than he had last week), but Justin Forsett had nearly double the number of touches (nine) that Booker had in his debut with Denver. Considering Kubiak's history with Forsett, who already had familiarity with Kubiak's offense, it's certainly possible that the workload gap even widens this week as well.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. PHI)

West had a Booker-like rushing performance with two carries for two yards against the Patriots last week although he added four receptions for 24 yards. It was the third time in seven games that West had single-digit touches even though he has the same number of games with 16-plus touches during that span. That said, Kenneth Dixon had a season-high 19 touches last week and has 17-plus in two of three games so I'd trust Dixon much more than I'd trust West this week.

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tyreek Hill is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Odell Beckham, Larry Fitzgerald and Hill and can only start two receivers, you should start OBJ and Fitz -- and in turn, bench Hill.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals (vs. NO)

Fitzgerald had three catches for 12 yards last week in Miami and both of those were season-low totals for the 33-year-old veteran receiver. Before last week's disappointment, however, Fitzgerald had double-digit receptions in three of five games. In fact, Fitzgerald is averaging double-digit targets on the season.

Even though he was having an up-and-down season, the Cardinals released Michael Floyd following a DUI arrest after last week's game and J.J. Nelson has big-play ability but is inconsistent. So, in other words, Fitz should see 10 to 15 targets in a matchup where the Cardinals are expected to put up plenty of points.

Among the teams left to play this weekend, only the Falcons and Redskins are projected to score more points than the Cardinals, according to Vegas odds. And as much as Drew Brees has struggled over the past two weeks (zero touchdowns and six interceptions), it wouldn't surprise me if the Saints were able to put plenty of points this week as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (at SD)

Crabtree is listed as questionable on the injury report, but he's fully expected to play this week. Crabtree had four catches for just 21 yards last week and now has less than 30 yards in three of five games, but a bounce-back performance should be expected.

Earlier this season, Crabtree had a 3/47/1 performance against the Chargers, but Casey Heyward is now shadowing and will likely shadow Amari Cooper. In other words, I like Crabtree as much as or even more than Cooper this week. In fact, I have both just inside my top-10 fantasy wide receiver rankings this week.

WR - Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. TEN)

Even with Jeremy Maclin back in the lineup and Travis Kelce exploding with four consecutive 100-yard games, Hill is a viable WR2 this week against the Titans. The matchup is great as no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season the Titans.

One of the fastest players in the league, Hill has a pair of return scores in his past three games. But the explosive receiver also has 50-plus receiving yards in five consecutive games and six of his past seven in addition to 11 carries in his past eight games. Even as Maclin gets healthier, Hill should maintain a significant offensive role.

WR - Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

As noted above, Washington has one of the two highest implied totals for Week 15. While his targets have been somewhat inconsistent, Crowder had double-digit fantasy points in six of his previous seven games prior to last week's 2/37 dud. Even though he's far from the biggest receiver, Crowder had 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown in each of those seven games. The matchup this week is favorable as the Panthers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, which means Crowder is a viable WR2 this week.

Week 15 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at HOU)

It would be an understatement to say that Robinson has had a disappointing season. As bad as the season overall has been for AR15, it's been even worse recently. Here are his fantasy points scored over the past three weeks: 2.4 (WR83), 3.1 (WR69) and 1.7 (WR82), respectively. To be fair, the matchups were tough, but he doesn't have a great matchup this week either as the Texans have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers this year.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at CHI)

In his past six games, Cobb has a total of 21 catches for 222 yards -- or 3.5/37.0 per game -- and two touchdowns on 28 targets (4.67/G). Despite playing with Aaron Rodgers in a favorable matchup against the Bears, Cobb is a distant third, at best, behind Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams when it comes to Green Bay receivers that I'd start. Considering the historically cold temperatures expected in Chicago for Sunday's game, you can do better than Cobb this week.

WR - Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina Panthers (at WAS)

Scoring less than two fantasy points in consecutive games, Benjamin has two (or fewer) receptions in three consecutive games. Since beginning the season with a bang (6/91/1 and 7/108/2 in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively), Benjamin has finished as a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in only one of 11 games -- WR23 in Week 12. With Josh Norman likely to shadow the under-performing wideout, it'd be foolish to expect a bounce-back performance to happen this week.

WR - Brandon Marshall, New York Jets (vs. MIA)

Marshall is expected to be on a "pitch count," but he has been brutal either way. Marshall has 45 yards or less in four of his past five games and clearly Robbie Anderson (double-digit targets in back-to-back games) is Bryce Petty's BFF. Not only does Marshall have single-digit targets in eight consecutive games, but he has scored just one touchdown during that span.

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Cameron Brate is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Travis Kelce and Brate, you should start Kelce -- and in turn, bench Brate.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (vs. IND)

Once again, Rudolph is one of the most-targeted tight ends in the league. In his past three games, Rudolph has 10, 12 and eight targets, respectively, and a combined 19 catches for 169 yards and a touchdown during that span. In those three games, he has a minimum of 23.53-percent target share. In other words, those are of three of his four most-involved games since Week 4.

Over their past five games, the Colts have defended tight ends better with no top-12 weekly finishes over that stretch. That said, they have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season so I expect Rudolph to get plenty of opportunities on Sunday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (vs. OAK)

Gates had a five-week span with a minimum 20-percent target share, but then he had a total of four targets in two games (and worse, one of those was a goose egg). Last week, however, Gates caught five-of-nine targets (25-percent share) for 61 yards against the Panthers. With a top-12 matchup against the Raiders, Philip Rivers should once again look Gates' way early and often.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at DAL)

Brate has a minimum of four catches and 40 yards in three consecutive games and in five of his past six. Going back to Week 8, Brate has scored in four of seven games. During that seven-game span, Brate has a 31/349/4 line on 40 targets.

The Cowboys have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to oppposing tight ends this season. Brate, who has averaged 8.41 fantasy points per game in his past seven, could be in store for another solid outing.

Week 15 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (vs. PHI)

Here are Pitta's last six games: 2/14, 6/26, 3/30, 3/34, 9/90/2 and 4/18. One of these was clearly unlike the others and Pitta gets a difficult matchup this week agains the Eagles, who have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends. It is highly unlikely that he bounces back in such a tough matchup.

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (at ARI)

If Pitta has a tough matchup, Fleener's matchup is even more difficult. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. It would be surprising if Drew Brees were to have three terrible outings in a row, but the future Hall-of-Famer has zero touchdowns and six interceptions in his past two games. While Fleener is coming off a one-catch, six-yard performance as well, I have much more confidence in Brees' ability to bounce back than I do Fleener's.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (at BUF)

Barnidge has a better, not great, but better matchup than either Pitta or Fleener. Of course, that's obvious considering Pitta and Fleener have the worst two matchups at the position this week.

That said, Barnidge has no more than three catches, five targets or 27 yards in any of his past five games. Granted, he did score his only touchdown this season in one of those five games, but those five games have featured five of his six lowest yardage totals on the year. He had zero in Week 1 against the Eagles with RG3 under center.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 15

Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings:

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December 14, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 15

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 15?

Sean Beazley: Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills ($5,900)

I really like Sammy Watkins this week in GPPs. I had 20% exposure to Watkins in tournaments last week and will probably have a little more this week as he gets a great matchup vs. the Browns. This is an offense you can definitely stack with Tyrod Taylor and LeSean McCoy as well. Many may be off the Tyrod train this week, but I am all aboard. Watkins appears to be healthy finally and he has as much upside as any WR in the league giving his deep play potential. I could see a 8/140/2 type of game from him this week vs. the Browns.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Devonta Freeman/Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons ($6,700/$5,000)

Last week, I went with Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas as a double-WR stack against the poor Titans pass defense and both WRs reached the 100-yard mark on a combined 30 targets. Many of my tournament lineups this week will feature a pair of Falcons running backs against the woeful 49ers run defense. (Virtually all of my lineups will have one, if not both, of these two backs.)

The 49ers have allowed 10 100-yard rushers in their past 12 games with Jordan Howard (32/117/3) and Bilal Powell (29/145/2) doing plenty of damage in Weeks 13 and 14, respectively. No team has allowed more yards per carry (4.99) to opposing running backs, who have also rushed for 19 touchdowns and added three more receiving scores.

With Freeman coming off a disappointing performance in their blowout win, that will hopefully keep his ownership down slightly. Especially if Julio Jones plays (at less than 100 percent), I could see the Freeman/Coleman duo racking up 200-300 YFS, 5-10 receptions and a couple of touchdowns in this dream matchup.

Brendan Donahue: Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($5,700)

Hill's speed was on display on national TV last Thursday night and it seems like KC is figuring out what kind of weapon they now have in Hill. Over his past five games, he has caught at least four balls and had at least 52 receiving yards and scored double-digits on DK in each so he is starting to establish a decent floor. Within those five, he's also had three games where he's scored over 20 points with a high over 32.5 so he's also establishing a really high ceiling. This week he gets the Titans, who have given up the most points to opposing WRs so he's a must-play for me this week at just $5,700.

John Trifone: Kenneth Dixon, RB, Baltimore Ravens ($3,800)

The clear value play at running back, Dixon is coming off a good game against the Patriots Monday night. He out-touched Terrance West with 11 carries and eight receptions, and should continue to see increased usage. Salaries came out before Dixon's good game, so I wouldn't overthink it. He's a solid option and the low price tag will help get in some of the higher-priced guys.

Dan Yanotchko: LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots ($5,000)

This week I have LeGerette Blount of the Patriots going up against the Denver Broncos. Last year the Broncos hit Tom Brady 20 times in the AFC Championship Game, and this year the Broncos are soft against the run. They allow 127 yards per game, 4.2 yards per carry, and 12 touchdowns on the year, and have allowed a 100-yard rusher in their last three games. Blount has an impressive four-game split -- 66 carries, 351 yards and two touchdowns. They are going to play this game like the Colts, run them into the ground.

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December 09, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 14

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 14 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. NYJ), $5,800
RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. WAS), $4,000
RB - Jeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals (at CLE), $5,800
WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at TEN), $5,700
WR - Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (at CAR), $6,100
WR - Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos (at TEN), $6,000
TE - Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans (vs. DEN), $4,400
FLEX - David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals (at MIA), $9,800
DST - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. NO), $2,400

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($4,000): This is a must-win game for the Eagles Sunday as a loss certainly eliminates them from the playoff race this season. The Redskins run defense is pretty mediocre so I expect the Eagles to rely on the run game heavily. I won't go overweight on Mathews because he is a huge injury risk, but I definitely will have him on a bunch of teams this week. I can see a 20-point week out of Mathews.

Comments by Kevin: After missing a couple of games with a knee injury, Mathews is ready to return on Sunday. I almost never roster Mathews (when he's healthy), but it would certainly make sense for the Eagles to feed Mathews and establish the run game after Carson Wentz slung it 60 times in Week 13.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals ($5,800): Certainly, the efficiency leaves a lot to be desired. That said, the volume and matchup gives Hill as much upside as virtually any running back this week. Hill has 18-plus touches in three consecutive games with 25 touches in last week's win and only the 49ers and Falcons have allowed more DK points to opposing running backs this season. Even though the Bengals are on the road, they are favored by 5.5 points against the winless Browns and I could see Hill getting another 20-25 touches with the possibility for a score (or two).

Comments by Sean: I’m a little hesitant to roster a RB who over the past two games has 35 carries for only 54 yards. Hill would need 64 carries this week to reach that 100 yard bonus! His price also increased $1,500 this week despite the gross YPC. With all this being said, Hill does have a great matchup vs. the Browns. I’ll bite on this play this week, because both Baltimore and Philly have pretty solid run defenses.

3. Sean - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals ($9,800): Johnson’s price is almost $10K, which is absolutely crazy, but he is deserving of this price considering how he has played this year. Larry Fitzgerald’s production has dipped as the season has progressed, which has led to more work for DJ in the pass game. Johnson has had double-digit receiving targets in his last three games. The wheels will off the DJ bus eventually, but I am going to ride him until it happens.

Comments by Kevin: You have spend money to make money? No player is priced higher than Johnson this week, but the stud running back has 33-plus DK points in three consecutive games and at least 27 DK points in all but one game since Week 5. With double-digit targets in three consecutive games, Johnson, like Le'Veon Bell, is one of those rare players that could get the 100/100 (double-bonus) line in any given week.

4. Kevin - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos ($5,700): While he had a 7/162/1 line in Week 12, Sanders has been frustrating to roster. That said, the volume has been there. Twelve wide receivers have at least a 25-percent share of their team's targets; two of them play for the Broncos. In fact, Sanders (28.64%) ranks second in the NFL in that category behind Tampa's Mike Evans (31.05%). Assuming that Trevor Siemian is the starter, I think both Sanders and Thomas can take advantage of the favorable matchup — Tennessee allows the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Comments by Sean: You don't have to sell me on picking WRs vs the Titans. Kevin and I both wrote up Broncos players in our roundtable this week. There are a couple of things that worry me early in the week. First being Trevor Siemian’s status. I expect him to go this week, but if he doesn't I won't have as much Manny this week. Also, the Titans did just come off a bye week. They have had two weeks to game plan and fine tune their D.

5. Sean - Tyrell Williams, WR, San Diego Chargers ($6,100): This is my favorite game of the week to target as I think this will be the highest-scoring game of the week. I absolutely love Cam Newton in a bounce-back spot after an embarrassing loss vs. the Seahawks last week. Cam will probably be my highest-owned QB in GPPs this week. Since I expect the Panthers to go nuts on offense, I believe the Chargers will have to throw the ball a lot. Williams is Rivers favorite option and I think he has a 7/120/1 type game this week.

Comments by Kevin: The good news is that Williams played nearly the entire game despite his shoulder injury and is practicing in full this week. Not only has Williams scored in four consecutive games, but he has double-digit targets in three of six and 100-plus yards in three of eight games. Williams should be able to reach value at his price point and there is some upside as Philip Rivers should throw more often than he did last week (26 attempts).

6. Kevin - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos ($6,000): Even though Sanders has the second-highest target share in the NFL this season, Thomas has double-digit targets in six of his past seven games. As noted above, the matchup is great and due to the volume for both receivers, I think both can be productive.

Comments by Sean: It looks like Kevin is going in the direction of a Denver stack this week with DT. I do have some concerns as noted above. In a GPP though, I am on board with the play.

7. Sean - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans ($4,400): Giving the roster build of having exposure to two Denver WRs, we are hoping for a shootout in this game. I’m going to come back with Delanie Walker as he is the Titans best threat In their passing attack. I think the Denver corners will have an easy time shutting down Rishard Matthews, Kendall Wright, and Tajae Sharpe. Walker has as much upside as any other TE on this slate.

Comments by Kevin: I'd like for Walker's target volume to be more consistent, but I'd expect a higher volume of targets for him this week given the matchup. It's certainly tougher to beat the Broncos on the outside. And even though he has 50 yards or less in three of his past four games, Walker has scored a touchdown in three games during that stretch.

8. Kevin - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers ($5,800): Kaepernick was benched after throwing for only four yards and burned plenty of owners last week, but he gets another shot in a favorable matchup. Before last week, Kaepernick had finished as a top-eight weekly quarterback in four consecutive games. While I wouldn't roster him in cash games (head-to-heads, 50/50's, etc.), the upside remains just as high as ever in tournaments. With Thomas and Sanders dominating team targets, I could see both having productive PPR performances without Trevor Siemian having a monster game, but I considered him here as well.

Comments by Sean: Taking Thomas/Sanders at $12K off our salary we are hoping for roughly 50 points in tournaments. If we get that 50 then Siemian is a lock as well. It would suck to hit the nuts in a game stack and not have the QB. Kaepernick has more upside than Siemian, but I’d rather take the play that makes more sense based on our roster build.

9. Kevin - Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST ($2,400): Based on remaining salary, there aren't/weren't a lot of choices to fill our defense. The Bucs have been playing better defense during their four-game winning streak, they play at home and Drew Brees and the Saints are not as prolific of an offense as on the road as they are at home.

Comments by Sean: Tampa D has played better than expected this year. I’ll have a few shares of Tampa D this week as Brees does struggle on the road at times.

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December 08, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsFantasy Playoffs
1San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule10.1630.48
2Chicago BearsTeam Schedule9.5428.62
3Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule9.1827.54
4Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule9.0327.1
5Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule8.6125.83
6Houston TexansTeam Schedule8.5225.55
7Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule8.4625.37
8New York GiantsTeam Schedule8.3925.17
9San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule8.3224.95
10Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule8.1224.37
11Detroit LionsTeam Schedule8.0424.12
12Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule8.0224.05
13Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule7.8823.63
14Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule7.823.4
15Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule7.6723
16Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule7.6522.95
17Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule7.6322.88
18Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule7.5822.75
19Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule7.5522.65
20New York JetsTeam Schedule7.221.6
21Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule7.1821.53
22Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule7.1521.46
23New England PatriotsTeam Schedule6.8320.48
24Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule6.6920.07
25Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule6.6619.98
26Denver BroncosTeam Schedule6.4219.27
27Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule6.3819.15
28Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule6.1918.57
29Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule6.0818.24
30Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule5.9917.98
31New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule5.8917.67
32Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule5.8117.42

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule25.9277.76
2Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule25.5276.55
3San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule25.476.19
4Denver BroncosTeam Schedule25.1975.57
5San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule24.9274.75
6Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule24.6974.07
7Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule24.5873.73
8New York JetsTeam Schedule24.3172.94
9Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule24.2872.85
10Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule24.2772.81
11New York GiantsTeam Schedule23.9271.77
12Chicago BearsTeam Schedule23.7471.21
12New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule23.7471.22
14Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule23.7171.12
15Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule23.5870.74
16Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule23.5670.69
17Detroit LionsTeam Schedule23.470.21
18Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule23.3169.94
19Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule23.2369.69
20Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule23.0969.28
21Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule22.6768.02
22Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule22.5967.77
23Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule22.567.51
24Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule21.8765.62
25Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule21.8265.47
26Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule21.6865.03
27Houston TexansTeam Schedule21.5764.72
28New England PatriotsTeam Schedule21.3864.14
29Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule21.0963.27
30Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule20.7762.32
31Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule20.7162.14
32Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule20.3861.13

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsTotal Points
1Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule21.5164.54
2Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule21.3163.92
3Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule21.0763.21
4Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule20.6862.03
5Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule20.5161.53
6San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule20.2860.83
7New York JetsTeam Schedule20.0260.06
8San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule19.3157.94
9Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule19.2957.87
10Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule18.9656.89
11Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule18.9156.74
12Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule18.7756.3
13Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule18.6956.06
14Houston TexansTeam Schedule18.655.81
15Chicago BearsTeam Schedule17.9253.75
16Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule17.9153.74
17Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule17.8953.66
18Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule17.753.1
19Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule17.3652.07
20New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule17.0151.03
21Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule16.9250.75
22Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule16.8750.6
23Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule16.7950.37
24Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule16.5949.76
25New England PatriotsTeam Schedule16.549.51
26Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule16.4749.4
27Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule16.2548.75
28Denver BroncosTeam Schedule15.9647.89
29Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule15.6246.86
30Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule15.3546.04
31New York GiantsTeam Schedule15.2945.87
32Detroit LionsTeam Schedule15.2745.8

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 14-16):

1San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule18.5955.78
2Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule18.254.61
3Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule18.1254.37
4Chicago BearsTeam Schedule18.0554.16
4Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule18.0554.16
6San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule18.0354.08
7Denver BroncosTeam Schedule17.9253.75
8New York JetsTeam Schedule17.7953.38
8Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule17.7953.36
10New York GiantsTeam Schedule17.7153.14
11Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule17.6953.08
12Houston TexansTeam Schedule17.5352.58
13Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule17.3652.08
14Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule17.2551.76
15Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule17.0751.22
16Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule17.0251.07
17Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule1751
18Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule16.6249.87
19Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule16.5649.68
20New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule16.5249.57
21Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule16.4149.22
22Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule16.3749.12
23Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule16.348.89
24Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule16.1648.49
25Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule16.1448.41
26Detroit LionsTeam Schedule16.0148.02
27Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule15.5546.65
28Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule15.5146.54
29Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule15.3846.13
30Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule15.3746.1
31New England PatriotsTeam Schedule15.0945.27
32Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule14.643.8

* Note: Totals above are the average and total fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.

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December 07, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 14

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 14?

Sean Beazley: Trevor Siemian, QB, Denver Broncos ($5,100)

I am targeting a QB this week who is near minimum salary facing a defense that has giving up 21 or more points in seven straight games. That QB is Trevor Siemian at $5,100. Siemian is out of a walking boot, and from early reports is on track to play vs. the Titans this week.

The Titans did release CB Perrish Cox, who was one player we all loved to target in DFS, but their backups are just as bad. This team makes mediocre QBs like Matt Barkley look like Hall-of-Famers. I’ll be running a dozen-plus Siemian GPP stacks this week as I think they will be pretty much unowned.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, WRs, Denver Broncos ($6,000/$5,700)

In his past seven games, Thomas has double-digit targets in six games. Meanwhile, Sanders has a minimum of nine targets in five consecutive games. Both of these wide receivers dominate team targets so they should combine for roughly 20 or so in a great matchup against the Titans. This year, the Titans have allowed 173 catches (5th-most in NFL) for 2,227 yards (3rd-most) and 14 touchdowns (tied, 7th-most) to opposing wide receivers. Based on their bargain salaries, Thomas (19th-most expensive WR) and Sanders (23rd-most) should easily exceed value with plenty of upside.

Brendan Donahue: Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers ($5,800)

Yes, I am going with the guy who set an NFL record last week by actually being sacked more times than he had yards passing in the game. I am willing to chalk that performance up to the weather. This pick might even have more to do with who the Niners are playing, as the Jets defense not only got torched by the Colts but looked disinterested while they were out there. Again, if you can overlook last week's performance, Kapernick was performing as a top-three fantasy QB over the previous four weeks and while he might not be the safest play, I am willing to take a chance on him for tournaments this week at just $5,800 at home vs. the Jets.

John Trifone: Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers ($4,900)

The Jets defense on Monday night was absolutely terrible. With nothing left to play for and Bryce Petty taking over at quarterback for the last four games, I expect the 49ers and Hyde to have plenty of opportunities to put up fantasy points. When healthy, Hyde has been a workhorse back, and I think a 100-yard game and a touchdown is well within his range of outcomes. He could score multiple TDs, but certainly has a safe floor with upside. For $4,900, he's a strong play his week.

Dan Yanotchko: Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,100)

This week I like Andy Dalton of the Bengals, as he has the best possible matchup in the Browns. Dalton last two 300-yard games were 332 yards last week against Philly and 308 in Week 6 vs. Cleveland. The Browns passing defense is really bad allowing 259 yards per game, 28 touchdowns and they only have eight interceptions and 17 sacks on the year. It will definitely be raining points for the ginger.

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December 06, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (40 percent)

In three of his past four games, Fiedorowicz has failed to score at least five fantasy points. That said, he continues to see a steady volume of targets his way.

Since Week 4, Fiedorowicz has a minimum of five targets in every game and an average of 7.11/G over that nine-game span. And in the past three games, he's averaged 8.33/G. During that nine-game span, the third-year tight end has averaged 4.78/51.78/0.33 per game.

Fiedorowicz gets a favorable matchup this week against the Colts, who have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. In his first game this season against the Colts, Fiedorowicz had a 6/85/1 line on seven targets and finished the week as fantasy's TE3.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Ladarius Green, Pittsburgh Steelers (23 percent)

Green's playing time continues to expand and the first-year Steeler had six catches for 110 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets in Week 13. With the team looking for a pass-catcher to step up beyond Antonio Brown (and Le'Veon Bell), Green could/should be that guy down the stretch.

3. Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (33 percent)

Through Week 12, Pitta had zero touchdowns (despite being one of the most-targeted tight ends in the league). Through Week 13, he now has two. I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't score another touchdown the rest of the season. Joe Flacco has only three multi-TD games this season. That said, he should continue to see a steady dose of targets in one of the league's most pass-happy offenses.

4. Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis Colts (29 percent)

Allen saw Pitta's two touchdowns and raised him a score. Turning three-quarters of his targets into touchdowns, Allen finished Monday Night Football with a 4/72/3 line against the Jets. Allen had five catches for 49 yards on six targets in Week 12. Of course, Allen won't score three touchdowns in a game again this season, but he remains a TD-dependent option going forward.

5. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (37 percent)

Davis now has five catches in back-to-back games as Jordan Reed missed Week 13 against the Cardinals. Davis has a minimum of 47 yards in six of his past seven games -- the miss was a Week 11 goose egg against the Packers. Especially if Reed misses another game, Davis will be a back-end TE1/high-end TE2 despite another difficult matchup against the Eagles.

6. Jermaine Gresham, Arizona Cardinals (three percent)

The upside with Gresham isn't great, but he now has five catches in back-to-back games, touchdowns in two of his past three games and six-plus targets in three of his past four games. With injuries (Rob Gronkowski and Reed) at the top of the position, Gresham is at least worth a look for those in dire need at the position.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 14

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Malcolm Mitchell, New England Patriots (29 percent)

Productive in Weeks 11 and 12, Mitchell scored a total of three touchdowns in those two games, but he had a total of only nine targets and no more than 14-percent target share in either of those two games. Week 13 was different. Mitchell had eight catches and 10 targets, both of which were season highs, and a 21.74-percent target share.

Not only is Rob Gronkowski out for the rest of the season, but Danny Amendola is now dealing with a high-ankle sprain. With the Pats running more three-wide sets with Gronk out and Mitchell gaining the trust of Tom Brady, he is a must-add for those in any league size.

2. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (48 percent)

Since returning from his multi-game absence, Coleman has only 13 total receptions in four games with no more than 41 yards in any of those games. That said, he has 31 targets (7.75/G) and RG3 is likely to get the Week 14 start and down the stretch.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

3. Dontrelle Inman, San Diego Chargers (20 percent)

Inman had just two catches and five targets, both of which were seven-game lows, but he finished with 49 yards and a touchdown to score double-digit fantasy points in his second consecutive game. Even though the absolute number of targets were a seven-game low, Inman now has at least 20-percent target share in four consecutive games.

The Chargers receivers get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Panthers, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, and then the Raiders and Browns in Weeks 15 and 16.

4. Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals (16 percent)

In the first two games since the A.J. Green hamstring injury, LaFell had nine targets in each game but only 32 and 38 yards, respectively. Last week, LaFell had fewer targets (seven), but he was much more efficient and productive (5/95/1). Dealing with a Grade 2 hamstring tear, it appears that AJG is still a week or two, if not more, away from returning.

5. Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (46 percent)

Floyd had only three catches for 18 yards on Sunday and he now has 31 yards or less in three consecutive games. That said, the good news is Floyd had eight targets (18.6-percent target share, his highest since Week 3) and scored a touchdown Sunday. In addition, he's re-emerged as the clear No. 2 receiver after Larry Fitzgerald in the Cardinals offense.

6. Ted Ginn Jr., Carolina Panthers (23 percent)

Ginn now has three-plus catches and 40-plus yards in seven consecutive games and touchdowns in each of his past three. During that span, however, he has an additional six carries so has at least five touches in six of his past seven games. That said, he has no more than seven targets in any of those games and remains a TD-dependent fantasy option.

7. Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins (32 percent)

Garcon had seven catches for 78 yards on Sunday and he now has at least six catches and 67 yards in four of his past five games. If tight end Jordan Reed misses another game in Week 14, Garcon will be in the WR3 mix.

8. Will Fuller, Houston Texans (43 percent)

One week after hauling in four catches for 60 yards, Fuller had five catches for 59 yards against the Packers. It's hard to trust any of Houston's receivers, primarily due to Brock Osweiler's struggles, but there is some upside with the explosive rookie receiver.

9. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks (37 percent)

Lockett had five catches for 63 yards on six targets and a 75-yard touchdown run to have his best performance of the season. He now has six targets (16-percent target share) in three of his past five games. Dangerous in the open field, Lockett's talent warrants a larger offensive role (although it's hard to count on it) and the Seahawks get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Packers.

10. Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (11 percent)

Lee had just three catches for 34 yards in Week 13 against the Broncos, but the good news is that he continues to see heavy volume in the pass game. Lee now has a 20-percent share in three consecutive games and in four of his past five. In fact, he now has at least six targets in 10 of the 11 games since Week 2. Unfortunately, the Jags have a couple more tough matchups on the horizon with Minnesota in Week 14 and Houston in Week 15.

11. Taylor Gabriel, Atlanta Falcons (38 percent)

After four consecutive top-15 weekly performances, Gabriel finished as fantasy's WR55 in Week 13, but he actually had a season-high six targets. Over his past five games, the speedster has 18/315/4 receiving with 3/51/1 rushing. Depending on the status of Julio Jones (turf toe) and Mohamed Sanu (groin), both of whom were dealing with injuries at the end of Week 13's loss to the Chiefs, Gabriel could see similar volume in Week 14.

12. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (16 percent)

Since Week 5, Thielen has 39 catches for 512 yards and three touchdowns on 53 targets over eight games. Better in PPR formats, Thielen has now finished as a top-35 PPR wide receiver in four consecutive games.

13. Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (eight percent)

Green-Beckham now has double-digit targets in back-to-back games. With Carson Wentz throwing it 60 times and Jordan Matthews sidelined on Sunday, it's disappointing that DGB had just four catches for 29 yards on his 10 targets. Matthews should return this week, but DGB should see 6-8 targets.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (46 percent)

Even with the Ravens winning by 32 points on Sunday, Dixon had just six carries and backfield mate Terrance West (13) had more touches than Dixon (10). The good news, however, is that Dixon actually ran for a season-high 56 yards (9.3 yards per carry) and he has exceeded 6.0 yards per carry in three of his past four games.

Over that four-game span, Dixon has rushed for 183 yards on 31 carries (5.90 YPC) and he has four-plus receptions in three of those games as well. While Dixon has been effective on a per-touch basis, one of his concerns is that West is more likely to get the goal-line opportunities and West scored a pair of touchdowns on Sunday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills (23 percent)

Gillislee missed Week 12 with a hamstring injury and he's a clear second to LeSean McCoy on the depth chart. That said, he is starting to see a steady rise in workload and he's been highly productive in the red zone.

Not only does Gillislee have a minimum of eight carries in each of his past four games, but he now has six touchdowns in his past seven games played. With a minimum of 7.2 fantasy points in four consecutive games, Gillislee has finished as a top-15 weekly performer in three of those four weeks.

The Bills have a pair of fantasy-friendly matchups coming up against the Steelers and Browns. Both teams rank among the top-six in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs this season.

3. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (45 percent)

Expected to be part of a 1-2 rushing attack with DeMarco Murray, it has been more of a 1-1 attack with Murray followed by some more Murray. That said, Henry now has eight-plus carries in three of four games. (Of course, the exception was a Week 11 goose egg.)

In his most recent game (Week 12 before their bye), Henry had eight carries for 60 yards and a touchdown against the Bears. Henry now has two touchdowns in his past four games and the team has talked about getting Henry more involved in short-yardage situations.

4. Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13 percent)

Sims is eligible to return from IR this week and the team plans to activate him in time to return for Sunday's game against the Saints. Sims has been productive in a third-down, change-of-pace role for the Bucs and Doug Martin has historically struggled with durability. The Bucs get a pair of matchups against the Saints (Weeks 14 and 16) and the Cowboys (Week 15) in the fantasy playoffs.

5. Justin Forsett, Denver Broncos (six percent)

With Devontae Booker struggling with efficiency (3.29 YPC or worse in five consecutive games) and Kapri Bibbs sent to IR, the Broncos claimed Forsett off waivers. Considering Forsett had the best season of his career playing for Gary Kubiak in Baltimore, it's possible that he earns some opportunities sooner than later. That said, he hasn't been all that effective with the Ravens or the Lions this season.

6. Rex Burkhead, Cincinnati Bengals (five percent)

Burkhead lost a fumble last week, but he had 12 touches -- eight carries and four receptions -- for 66 yards. The Bengals get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Browns, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs after the 49ers.

7. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (44 percent)

Scoring his second touchdown on the season, McKinnon had 55 yards from scrimmage and a score on 14 touches on Sunday. He now has 12-plus touches in three consecutive games. Adrian Peterson may or may not return this season, but both McKinnon and/or Matt Asiata lack upside as the Vikings are averaging a league-low 3.0 YPC this season.

8. Shane Vereen, New York Giants (three percent)

Designated as the team's player to return from IR, Vereen is eligible to return in Week 14 and is expected to resume practicing on Wednesday. Vereen is worth a look in PPR formats.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (23 percent)

Coming off his best game of the season, Flacco threw for 381 yards, four touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's win over the Dolphins. Even in a 32-point victory, he threw it 47 times. Only the winless Browns and the Packers, who had been decimated by injuries at running back, have thrown it on a higher percentage of their offensive plays than the Ravens this season.

The Ravens are touchdown underdogs to the Patriots on Monday Night Football so Flacco should drop back to pass 40-plus times once again. Even so, Flacco has thrown for 300-plus yards and/or multiple touchdowns in only four of 12 games despite ranking second in the NFL in pass attempts (497) behind Drew Brees (500).

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (27 percent)

Bad news first: Smith has thrown for zero or one touchdown in five consecutive games. More bad news: Smith failed to take advantage of this exact matchup the first time around: 19-of-22 for 224 yards and no TDs (8.86 fantasy points, QB28).

The good news is that he's likely to get back Jeremy Maclin, who has sat out the past four games. In addition, his next two matchups against the Raiders and Titans are favorable. Both teams have ranked amongst the top-12 most generous defenses to fantasy quarterbacks this season.

3. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (48 percent)

After completing just one-of-five pass attempts for four yards, Kaepernick was benched in favor of Blaine Gabbert. As disappointing as that was for anyone that had started him or played him in daily fantasy, Kaep will remain the starter heading into Week 14.

Assuming that he is also the finisher in Week 14 against the Jets, he may be in consideration in Week 15 against the Falcons. The matchup is favorable this week, but I wouldn't play him with my playoff life/lives on the line this week or in DFS cash games.

But I will have a few shares of him in DFS tournaments this weekend. Before last week, Kaepernick had finished as fantasy's QB8 (or better) in four consecutive weeks.

4. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (32 percent)

Wentz has not been great, or even good, lately. In his past five games, the rookie out of North Dakota State has thrown three touchdowns and eight interceptions. That said, Wentz has thrown 43-plus pass attempts in four of his past six games including 60 on Sunday. In addition, he has a minimum of 15 fantasy points in three consecutive games.

Wentz was horrible the first time these two teams met, but the Redskins have allowed a top-12 weekly QB finish in their past five of six games with Week 10 (Sam Bradford, QB13) being the lone exception.

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December 03, 2016

Week 13 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, C.J. Fiedorowicz is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 13 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jimmy Graham and Fiedorowicz, you should start Graham -- and in turn, bench Fiedorowicz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 13 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (at GB)

As much as the Texans offense, particularly the pass offense, has struggled this season, Fiedorowicz has emerged as a steady and consistent option. The third-year tight end now has a streak of eight games with at least five targets and he's averaged 6.88 per game over that stretch with a line of 4.63/52.75/0.38 and 7.53 fantasy points per game.

The matchup this week is favorable as the Packers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points this season. On the year, only the Bills and Buccaneers have allowed more Y/R to opposing tight ends than the Packers (13.2 Y/R). Over their past four games, they have allowed four tight ends to exceed six fantasy points.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Vance McDonald, San Francisco 49ers (at CHI)

With the exception of his first start, Colin Kaepernick has consistently targeted McDonald, who has six-plus targets in five consecutive games. In his past four games, McDonald has finished as a top-four weekly tight end twice. In his past four games, he has a minimum of 46 yards each week and a total of 240 yards and two touchdowns.

There are a number of top tight ends out this week. Not only will Rob Gronkowski miss the next two months following back surgery, but Jordan Reed has been ruled out as well and Delanie Walker is on bye. While it's hard to trust any of San Francisco's wide receivers on a weekly basis, McDonald is certainly a viable streamer this week and he's owned in only 19 percent of Yahoo! leagues as of Saturday morning.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at SD)

Over his past five games, Brate has scored a touchdown and finished as a top-12 weekly tight end in three of those games. In addition, he has five-plus targets in four of those games. With less than 50 yards in four of those five games, Brate is a TD-dependent option at tight end, but Jameis Winston often looks his way in the red zone and he's just inside my top-12 tight ends this week.

Week 13 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (vs. MIA)

Even though Pitta ranks fifth among tight ends in targets (74) this season, he has finished as fantasy's weekly TE14 (or worse) in nine consecutive games. During that span, he has scored an average of 3.31 fantasy points per game in standard-scoring formats.

In addition, Pitta's volume of targets has decreased recently with just 19 (4.75/G) over his past four games compared to 8.14/G in the first seven games of the year. Pitta gets a favorable matchup as the Dolphins allow the 11th-most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends, but the likelihood that Pitta is able to exploit it is fairly low.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (vs. HOU)

In typical Cook fashion, he went from being fantasy's top-scoring tight end one week to the TE50 the next. In Week 11 against the Redskins, Cook had six catches for 105 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets. In Week 12, he had one catch for seven yards on two targets. With a matchup against the Texans, typically stingy against opposing tight ends, Cook is merely a roll of the dice in DFS tournaments than anything more than that.

TE - Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (at NYJ)

A viable streamer at times this season, Doyle has scored the 14th-most fantasy points among tight ends (12th-most in PPR formats) on the year. That said, Doyle has exactly two targets in back-to-back games and three of fewer in three of his past four games. With Dwayne Allen back for the past three games, neither tight end is reliable enough to trust as a starter in 12-team leagues.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 13

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Week 13 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Jamison Crowder is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 13 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Julio Jones, Larry Fitzgerald and Crowder and can only start two receivers, you should start Jones and Fitzgerald -- and in turn, bench Crowder.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (at ARI)

What a season it has been for Crowder! Crowder has finished as a top-33 fantasy wide receiver in seven consecutive games and in nine of his past 10. On the year, Crowder has actually been better in standard-scoring formats (11th-most fantasy points) than he has in PPR formats (14th-most).

Either way, he has vastly exceeded expectations.

During that 10-game span since Week 2, he has scored less than 8.8 fantasy points only once (Week 4) and he has averaged 10.85 per game over that stretch. And he's been even better over his past five games with three 100-yard outings with a total of 31 catches for 442 yards and three touchdowns on 41 targets.

With Jordan Reed out and Tyrann Mathieu doubtful, it helps Crowder for different reasons. Reed's absence could/should lead to more targets and Mathieu's absence improves an otherwise difficult matchup.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (vs. DET)

Thomas is coming off a 9/108/2 game, but he has been consistent despite being a rookie playing in a spread-it-around type of offense. Thomas has a minimum of four catches and 40 yards in every game this season. There are only three players that have 11 games of 4/40 this season: Mike Evans, Larry Fitzgerald and Thomas.

Since Week 3, Thomas has an average of 6.1/75.0 on 8.1 targets per game with seven TDs in nine games so there is plenty of upside in addition to his established floor. With no team is projected to score more points this week and given how well Drew Brees and the Saints offense play at home, all of the Saints should be popular plays in daily fantasy this week.

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. LA)

With Rob Gronkowski (back surgery) out for two months, Edelman should be peppered with targets by Tom Brady all game long. That's what happened with Gronk sidelined two weeks ago when Edelman had a season-high 17 targets (44.74% target share).

In fact, Edelman now has double-digit targets in back-to-back games. Not only does Edelman have seven-plus catches in three consecutive games, but each of his three highest weekly yardage totals this season have come in those three games.

Expecting him to get double-digit targets (12 or so) in a plus matchup (vs. LA, 8th-most FPA to WRs) for a team with the second-highest implied total from Vegas odds, Edelman could finish as a top-10 receiver this week.

WR - Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (vs. BUF)

Crabtree was limited in practice this week by an ankle injury, but he's a low-end WR1/high-end WR2 this week. Crabtree has been a little boom-or-bust lately. Over his past five games, Crabtree has 8/96 or better in three games, but only 27 and five yards in the other two games. That said, the two duds were against tough pass defenses (Denver and Houston). During that five-game span, Crabtree has averaged 10.6 targets per game.

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina Panthers (at SEA)

Benjamin began the season with a bang -- 13/199/3 in his first two games. Since then, his best weekly finish has been the WR23 (last week). During that nine-game span, Benjamin has averaged 3.89 catches and 59.67 yards per game and has scored just two touchdowns. Even though he doesn't always shadow, I'd expect Richard Sherman to shadow Benjamin as he's the team's clear-cut WR1, which makes Benjamin more of a fantasy WR3 this week than a must-start.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (vs. HOU)

Over his past four games, Cobb has finished as fantasy's WR34, WR59, WR28 and WR68, respectively. With the running back on the roster getting healthier, the Packers were more run-pass balanced last week than they have been in a long time. Against the low-powered Texans offense, Aaron Rodgers may not need to sling it all over Lambeau Field either.

When he has recently, however, Cobb has not been as big of a factor in the passing game as he was earlier in the season. In the first six games of the season, Cobb had 20-percent target share five times. Since then, however, he's been at 4.76, 14.55, 11.63 and 18.42 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, the Texans have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (at BAL)

It seems as though DeVante Parker (listed as "questionable") will miss Sunday's game against the Ravens. “Right now, this moment, we got to make sure we have a plan in place if he doesn’t make it,” [OC Clyde] Christensen said.

Parker's absence would give Landry a boost, but the previously target-dominant Landry has gone from double-digit targets in each of his first four games to an average of 6.29/G since then. Part of Landry's diminished role in the passing game has been due to Parker's increased role, but the team has transformed themselves into a run-first team lead by Jay Ajayi.

Right now, Landry is ranked in the 35-40 range of my wide receiver rankings. Assuming Parker sits, he'd get bumped up to the 25-30 range, but he'd still be outside of my top-24 wideouts for Week 13, making him a WR3.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 13

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Week 13 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Latavius Murray is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 13 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, Melvin Gordon and Murray and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and MG3 -- and in turn, bench Murray.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 13 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. SF)

With the exception of Week 7 against the Packers, Howard has a minimum of 15 carries in his other seven games since Week 4. During that span, he has four 100-yard rushing games and the odds of him rushing for 100-plus yards this week is high.

Not only have the 49ers allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, but no team has allowed more yards per carry to opposing running backs than the 49ers (5.18). The Raiders are a distant second at 4.61 YPC to RBs. In addition, the 49ers have allowed RBs a league-high 14 rushing touchdowns and a total of 17 touchdowns. Meanwhile, the 49ers have allowed eight 100-yard rushers this season.

Given the teams injuries and/or suspensions on offense, we should see Howard get north of 20 carries and possibly 25 touches in this game provided it remains close.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at ATL)

Ware hasn't been great recently with 60-70 rushing yards and no touchdowns in his three games since returning from a concussion. That said, Ware has 16, 19 and 19 touches, respectively, and I would expect Kansas City to try to control the clock as much as possible against the high-powered Falcons offense on the road. Regardless of whether Jeremy Maclin suits up or not, the Chiefs aren't built to win shootouts.

As far as the matchup goes, it's favorable for Ware. Only the 49ers (see above) and the Browns (on bye) have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs so far this season. No team has allowed more receptions to opposing running backs than the Falcons and Ware has multiple receptions in six consecutive games and even had a 7/129 receiving line in Week 1.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (vs. BUF)

Since missing a couple of games earlier in the season, Murray has a minimum of 16 touches in five consecutive games. During that five-game span, he carried the ball 80 times for 299 yards (only 3.74 YPC). That said, Murray has scored six touchdowns and added 16 receptions for 142 yards on 22 targets over that stretch.

Far from efficient, Murray's volume (19.2 touches per game over his past five), role as a receiver and opportunities near the goal line make him a top-12 play this week. Only five other teams are projected to score more points than the Raiders, who are three-point home favorites.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at CHI)

In many weeks, Hyde is a mid- or back-end RB2 in my rankings, but he's solidly inside the top-10 this week. It's not often that the 49ers are favorites and even though they are on the road this weekend, San Francisco is currently a two-point favorite against the Bears.

Even in losses, Chip Kelly has shown his commitment to the running game. Provided this game stays close or that 49ers play with a lead, Hyde could see 25-plus touches.

And while the matchup may not look great on paper as Chicago has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, the team has been decimated by injuries and/or suspensions. I currently have Hyde projected for 21 touches, 91 yards and a touchdown.

Week 13 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. MIA)

The matchup against the Dolphins isn't great, as they have limited opposing running backs to the 13th-fewest fantasy points this season. More concerning for West's outlook, however, is the role (or specifically the rise of it) for Kenneth Dixon. The Ravens have said they would get their fourth-round rookie more involved -- and they have.

Not only did Dixon have one more touch than West last week, but he played more snaps (31 to 23) than West as well. In addition, the Ravens have the fourth-lowest run-to-pass play percentage in the NFL this year. With the trend not favorable for West, it's hard to trust him as anything more than a flex option at this point.

RB - James White, New England Patriots (vs. LA)

If I were to start a Patriots running back, it would be LeGarrette Blount. In fact, the Blount is flirting with RB1 territory in a game where the Patriots are expected to blow out the Rams. If I were to start two Patriots running backs, it would be Blount and Dion Lewis. Since returning to action, Lewis has had five and six carries in addition to roughly 14 percent of the team's target share. On the other hand, White has maintained a role as a receiver (10/85/1 on 15 targets), but he has zero carries in his past two games.

RB - T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. DEN)

Even with Chris Ivory ruled out this week and Yeldon active last week, it's unlikely that he sees a large enough workload to warrant RB2 consideration. With Ivory leaving early last week, Yeldon had just six carries for 17 yards and one three-yard reception on two targets. Meanwhile, Denard Robinson had 13 carries for 39 yards and he's expected to get a sizable workload this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 13

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Week 13 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Colin Kaepernick is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 13 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Aaron Rodgers and Kaepernick, you should start Rodgers -- and in turn, bench Kaepernick.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 13 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (at CHI)

If you need a Week 13 streamer, Kaepernick is available in more than half of Yahoo! leagues as of Saturday morning. But at this point, Kaepernick has become much more than just a weekly streamer in a favorable matchup.

Since San Francisco's Week 8 bye, few quarterbacks have been more productive than Kaepernick. During that four-game span, Kaepernick has scored a minimum of 19.44 fantasy points every week, averaged just shy of 25 per game as he finished no worse than fantasy's QB8 in any of those four weeks.

In a week where Drew Brees accounted for a total of five touchdowns, San Francisco's dual-threat quarterback actually led all signal-callers in fantasy points as he just missed a 300/100 game by a mere four passing yards. Kaepernick threw for 296 yards and three touchdowns and rushed 10 times for 113 yards to score 33.14 fantasy points.

Taking over as the starter in Week 6, Kaepernick has 46 carries for 373 yards and a touchdown in six games. From his rushing stats alone, Kaepernick has averaged 7.22 fantasy points per game. Those rushing numbers both buoy his fantasy floor and maximize his fantasy ceiling.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (at OAK)

With a minimum of five rush attempts in every game except Week 2, Taylor has averaged 7.0 carries for 44.78 yards since Week 3. In addition, he has rushed for a score in four of his past five games.

Taylor threw a season-low 18 times last week for 166 yards and a touchdown, but he still managed to score over 20 fantasy points due to his 7/38/1 rushing line. In fact, he has thrown for less than 200 yards in five of his past seven games yet he has finished outside the top-15 weekly fantasy quarterbacks only once during that span.

While Sammy Watkins is supposedly still dealing with a broken bone in his foot, he is expected to play on Sunday and he had three catches for 80 yards in his return last week. Because of the concerns about his foot, I wouldn't start Watkins at wide receiver this week, but his presence gives Taylor a boost. In addition, the Raiders have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at NO)

It's been more than a month since Stafford has finished as a weekly top-15 fantasy quarterback. Over his past four games, Stafford has finished as fantasy's QB19, QB17, QB23 and QB24, respectively. That said, they were four challenging matchups -- Texans, Jaguars and Vikings twice.

While the Saints are playing better defense lately, this week's matchup is more favorable than any of his previous four. Even though the Lions are six-point underdogs, they have the 12th-highest implied total based on Vegas odds in what is expected to be a shootout (highest over/under of the week).

Week 13 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (at PIT)

After throwing just five touchdowns in his first five games this season, Manning has thrown multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games and in five of his past six. That means that Eli has also scored a minimum of 17 fantasy points in those five games with multiple scores.

During the team's six-game winning streak, however, Manning has thrown multiple interceptions three times and he has failed to throw for more than 257 yards in five consecutive games. Over his past five games, he's averaging just 222.8 passing yards per game.

While they haven't faced many elite quarterbacks (and even Andrew Luck sat last week with a concussion), the Steelers have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (vs. WAS)

Palmer has thrown for 300-plus yards and/or multiple scores in five consecutive games. That's the good news. The bad news is that he has just one top-12 performance since Week 3 to show for it.

Not only does Palmer have six interceptions in his past four games combined, but the Cardinals offensive line has struggled to protect him. Only the Browns (104) and Colts (90) have allowed more QB hits than the Cardinals (88) this season. Until further notice, Palmer more of a QB2 than a QB1.

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. DEN)

The Jags have numerous injuries on offense with Chris Ivory and Allen Hurns already ruled out and Julius Thomas doubtful (likely out). Over their past five games, Bortles has thrown multiple touchdowns every week although much of his production continues to come in garbage time to salvage an otherwise poor performance.

One way that I could see Bortles having a productive day is on the ground like last week when he ran eight times for 81 yards, but no team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than the Broncos.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 13

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December 02, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 13

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 13 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. CAR), $6,300
RB - Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions (at NO), $5,800
RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at CHI), $5,300
WR - Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons (vs. KC), $8,700
WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (vs. DET), $6,900
WR - Marquess Wilson, Chicago Bears (vs. SF), $4,000
TE - Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks (vs. CAR), $5,500
FLEX - Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (at ATL), $4,700
DST - Pittsburgh Steelers DST (vs. NYG), $2,800

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks ($5,500): There are a lot of great options with a very high price this week which is going to naturally lead to buying low at the favorite TE position. Paying up for TE is contrarian for tournaments and I expect ownership to be low as Seattle played awful last week vs. the Bucs. They have a home date with the Panthers, who struggle vs. the pass. I think Graham will be peppered with targets here and will be the No. 1 TE of the week. Graham has already had a 30-point week this year, and I think he has a good chance in this one.

Comments by Kevin: Rob Gronkowski will miss two months following surgery and Jordan Reed is more likely than not to sit in a tough matchup against Arizona. Sean starts the "draft" with my top-ranked TE of the week and later I select my second-ranked TE for week as well. The offense, especially the offensive line, looked horrible last week, but Graham has three 100-yard games on the season and has as much upside as any tight end playing this weekend.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers ($5,300): The one-win 49ers are often underdogs, but that's not the case this week even though they are on the road. That tells us a lot about the opponent. On paper, it appears to be a tough matchup for Hyde as Chicago surrenders the third-fewest DK points to RBs, but the defense (and offense, for that matter) has been decimated by injuries. The other RB (Jordan Howard) in this game will be one of the most popular on Sunday's slate, but Hyde should get 20-plus touches including a few receptions, close to/more than 100 yards and perhaps a score.

Comments by Sean: The Bears defense might be worse than the 49ers defense. They are dealing with a ton of injuries. Colin Kaepernick will probably be the popular pick of the week in this matchup, which should keep ownership down on Hyde as QB/RB1 is not a good correlation play. I haven't played a lot of Hyde this year, but have no problem firing him into a bunch of GPPs this week.

3. Sean - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions (at NO): The Saints have the worst defense against pass catching RBs in the NFL. Drew Brees eats at home, which should lead to a lot of passes by Matthew Stafford in catch-up mode. Riddick is my favorite DFS RB of the week. I think he is extremely safe giving his work in the passing game and if he finds the end zone, he could crush value.

Comments by Kevin: The Saints can put up points in a hurry, especially at home on the fast track, so the Lions could be playing from behind for the majority of this game. Or at least be forced to try to keep up with the high-powered Saints offense. Riddick was a bit of a disappointment last week with his five catches going for only 13 yards, but he has double-digit targets and 70-plus receiving yards in two of his past four games. It wouldn't surprise me if we see something similar this week from Riddick.

4. Kevin - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints ($6,900): The biggest concern with Thomas is that he is coming off a 9/108/2 game and no team is projected to score more points this week in the game with the highest over/under. In other words, his ownership level will be very high as owners load up on Saints players and Thomas specifically. Unlike, say, Brandin Cooks, he's established a floor with a minimum of 4/40 in every game. Since Week 3, he has an average of 6.1/75.0 on 8.1 targets per game with seven TDs in nine games so there is plenty of upside for the ex-Buckeye.

Comments by Sean: As I mentioned above, the Saints offense rolls at home. The difficult decision this week is rostering the correct Saints skilled position player. Cooks had a goose egg last week, which actually should increase his ownership this week as many people will be on him for the bounce back. Then we have the Saints TEs, who match up well vs. Detroit's awful TE defense. We also have Willie Snead, who draws an elite matchup vs. Quandre Diggs, who is one of the worst slot corners in the league. All of these guys are in play. Thomas has been Brees' rock though in the red zone, so I’m on board with the play. I just won’t have as much Thomas as I would in other weeks.

5. Sean - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($6,300): We have our exposure to the Saints/Lions game already so I’m ok going with a player in a different game. Russell Wilson’s price is extremely low given how well he has been playing as of late. I am willing to write off the Bucs game last week. Wilson has as much upside as any QB on this slate, and he will be extremely under owned.

Comments by Kevin: I liked Wilson a lot last week -- and was burned, as were many owners. Wilson had scored 25-plus fantasy points in three consecutive games before his 12-point dud (151 passing yards, no TDs, two INTs) last week. The offensive line remains a concern, but it's great to see a more mobile (read: healthy again) Wilson start to run more often. Wilson now has eight rush attempts in back-to-back games and he set a season high with 80 rushing yards last week. Due to his dual-threat abilities, Wilson always has a shot at being a top-three producer in any given week.

6. Kevin - Marquess Wilson, WR, Chicago Bears ($4,000): Wilson had 8/125/1 last week and could have had an even better outing. Given the injuries and/or suspensions to the offense, Wilson has been thrust into a prominent offensive role and he could remain the team's most useful option in the passing game until Alshon Jeffery returns. Several will try to chase points, but he provides some salary relief and should exceed value in a favorable matchup against a woeful 49ers defense that is all-around atrocious.

Comments by Sean: Having two players in a game with a total of 43 is extremely risky. That being said, neither team is great on defense and the 49ers have been beaten through the air in recent weeks. If SF gets ahead, our team looks good with Hyde at RB, and Wilson in catch-up mode. Wilson is probably the Bears No. 1 option moving forward In the pass game.

7. Sean - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($8,700): The only question I will have this week in regards to Julio is, how much is too much Julio? Julio is my No. 1 overall play on this slate. He has a great matchup vs. Kansas City and I believe he should shatter his value this week. Of all the players in Julio’s range and higher, I like Julio to outscore all of them. I think we could see another massive week out of him where if you don't play him, you could be sunk in tournies.

Comments by Kevin: In 10 games since Week 2, Jones has more than 100 yards -- including a 300-yarder -- in six games and 35 or less in four games. (None in between 36-99 -- although he fell into that range in Week 1.) There is obviously tremendous upside with Julio every week and I expect him to once again go over the 100-yard mark this week.

8. Kevin - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($4,700): Perhaps Jeremy Maclin returns this week, but it's possible they ease him back in. Either way, Kelce is a difference-making tight end that now has seven-plus catches for 100-plus yards in three of his past five. In a matchup against the high-powered Falcons offense, the Chiefs may end up throwing a little more often than usual and Kelce is my TE2 for the week.

Comments by Sean: Kelce will be extremely low owned especially if Jeremy Maclin is able to go this week. I think many will just avoid this situation completely, unless they are buying the Tyreek Hill game, which I am not. Kelce, like Graham, is one of the rare TEs who has 30-point upside and this game could be a shootout given how bad Kansas City’s pass defense is.

9. Kevin - Pittsburgh Steelers DST ($2,800): The Steelers are six-point home favorites and Ben Roethlisberger has great home-road splits. If the Steelers put up big offensive numbers, it's possible that the Steelers have plenty of opportunities for sacks and interceptions. In their past four games, Pittsburgh's defense has 16 sacks and four interceptions. Evevn though Eli Manning has multiple TD passes in five of his past six games, he is vulnerable to multi-INT games with three of them during that same six-game span.

Comments by Sean: Defense looks to be tough this week unless you are paying up for one of the elite options. I am going to be spread all over the place on D this week. It’s a crap shoot, but Pittsburgh does fit in with the types of D’s I like to target.

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December 01, 2016

Thursday Night Football Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings

We are hours away from the start of Week 13, a potential do-or-die situation (in terms of their fantasy lives) for fantasy owners as Week 14 begins the playoffs in most fantasy leagues.

Tonight the Minnesota Vikings will host the Dallas Cowboys, who are four-point road favorites.


Below you will find our Week 13 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Dak Prescott20.431.42411.50.43.6160.418.84
Playing beyond his years yet within himself by not trying to do too much, Prescott has been incredibly consistent despite being a fourth-round rookie starter. During the team's 10-game winning streak, Prescott has scored a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points every week and averaged 21.31/G over that stretch. And since Week 3, Dak has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in all but one game (Week 6 in GB, QB13). Even with Ezekiel Elliott scoring double-digit rushing touchdowns so far this season, Prescott has five rushing scores on the year to go along with an 18:2 TD-INT ratio.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Ezekiel Elliott24.61170.92.3230.120
Not only does Elliott lead the NFL in carries (243) and rushing yards (1,199), but he's averaging 21.6 rushing yards per game more than Le'Veon Bell (87.4/G), who ranks second in the NFL in that category. With more than 90 rushing yards every week since Week 3, Zeke also has three multiple-score games over his past four. While the Vikings allowed only 3.71 YPC to opposing running backs through Week 7, they have been much more generous over their past five games (4.68 YPC allowed to RBs).
Alfred Morris2.9110.10.2101.8
Lance Dunbar0.30.701.19.801.05

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dez Bryant4.4660.600010.2
Since returning in Week 8, Bryant has averaged 80.0 yards per game with four touchdowns in five games. The matchup isn't great as the Vikings have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers and there's always the chance that Dez is not targeted as much as his fantasy owners would like given the team's run-heavy offense. That said, he remains a borderline WR1/WR2 in Week 13.
Cole Beasley5.155.40.40.10.608
With the exception of Week 10, Beasley has 50-75 yards in every game this season. In fact, he has 50-59 yards in six of his past seven games. Perhaps unsurprisingly, I have Beasley projected to finish in that same 50-59 range once again.
Terrance Williams1.215.70.10002.17
Brice Butler0.8100.10001.6

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jason Witten4.449.30.26.13
There isn't a ton of touchdown upside with Witten, but he sees a consistent volume of targets from Prescott. Witten now has less than 50 yards in seven of his past nine games and is more of a TE2 this week for me.
Gavin Escobar0.76.300.63

Below you will find our Week 13 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Sam Bradford26.637.42641.40.311015.66
Losers in five of their past six games, Bradford has averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game this week. With only six pass touchdowns in those six games, Bradford is a low-ceiling option. With 16-plus fantasy points in only one of those six games, Bradford has averaged only 11.88 per game over that span. Bradford is a low-end QB2 in 2-QB leagues for this week.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jerick McKinnon13.444.40.21.610.206.66
The good news is that McKinnon has more than half of the team's rush attempts in back-to-back games. The bad news is that he has averaged just 2.58 YPC since Week 5 with no rushing scores. While Matt Asiata hasn't been more efficient than McKinnon, he's a better bet for the goal-line carries and third-down work.
Matt Asiata8.328.80.41.510.506.33
Asiata has rushed for a total of 87 yards in his past four games combined, but he has scored in three consecutive games. He's a TD-dependent play every week.
Zach Line12.700000.27

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Stefon Diggs7.988.50.30.30.9010.74
After sitting out on Thanksgiving, Diggs is a high-end WR2 assuming that he's active in Week 13. In his past four games, Diggs has racked up a total of 40 catches for 357 yards and a touchdown on 49 targets. With 13-plus targets in three of the four games (or the one where he wasn't shadowed by Patrick Peterson), Diggs should see double-digit targets once again.
Adam Thielen4.347.30.30.54.406.97
With Diggs out, Thielen had eight catches on 11 targets, both of which were season highs, but he finished with only 53 yards. He has at least 40 yards in six of seven games.
Cordarrelle Patterson4.540.80.30.5306.18
Charles Johnson0.44.900000.49
Jarius Wright0.32.700000.27
Laquon Treadwell0.34.200000.42

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Kyle Rudolph4.342.30.57.23
Rudolph's target share has been a bit inconsistent lately -- three, eight, three and 10 over his past four weeks, respectively. That said, I expect Rudolph to see another high volume of targets in another fantasy-friendly matchup against the Cowboys, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Rhett Ellison1.713.601.36

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November 30, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 13

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Roundtable post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 13?

Sean Beazley: Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions ($5,800)

The past few weeks, the chalk has crumbled which has led to a major dent in my bankroll. I am going to get back on track this week and the one player I love this week is Theo Riddick. Riddick has a very reasonable salary at $5,800.

The Lions have a date with the Saints on the road this week, and we just saw how good Drew Brees and the Saints offense was this past week vs. a good defense. This week, they get the Lions defense, one of the worst in the NFL vs. the pass. Points for New Orleans equals opportunity for Riddick in the passing game in catch-up mode. I could see Riddick easily getting 8-10 receptions for 100 yards and a TD this week, which would more than pay off his value in receiving stats alone.

This is also a great game to stack in tournaments as it should be the highest-scoring of the week. This will be a popular stack, so going a little contrarian in your non-stack part of your lineup will be needed to differentiate yourself from the field. Game stack example: Matthew Stafford, Riddick, Golden Tate, Michael Thomas and Coby Fleener.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($4,700)

I debated a few players here and I debated listing Jordan Howard as it's always a wise move to start running backs facing the 49ers. Another player at a different position that will be in the mix to be my most-owned player is Kelce.

Kelce has hit the 100-yard mark in back-to-back games with a total of 15 catches in those two games. In fact, he had 15 targets on Sunday Night Football against the Broncos. Granted, that game went to overtime, but he has at least seven catches, nine targets and 100 yards in three of his past five games with a favorable matchup on tap. Only five teams that allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, but two of those teams -- Browns (bye) and Cowboys (TNF) -- won't play on the main Sunday slate.

Even though he has scored only one touchdown in his past five games (and none in his past four), Kelce has finished with 20-plus DK points three times. Priced below six other tight ends, Kelce is a top-two option for me this week.

Brendan Donahue: Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers ($6,100)

For a guy that has garnered a lot of attention for his off-the-field actions, he's surprisingly stayed pretty under the radar for his on-the-field performance for fantasy owners. In his last four games, he's averaged 26.9 points per game on DraftKings that culminated with a 37.1-point effort last week against a pretty good defense in Miami. In that game, he ran for 103 yards and facing a Bears defense that will be missing their top two linebackers, I can see him scrambling for a few longs runs once he breaks containment from the defensive line. He continues to produce as a top-10 QB, but DraftKings still has yet to catch up to his production as he is still only priced as the 13th-highest QB this week.

John Trifone: Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears ($6,900)

Even though I want as much of the Saints/Lions game as possible, I'm going to recommend Jordan Howard as a top play. At $6,900, he's a substantial discount from top backs like David Johnson or Le'Veon Bell, but should have a comparable floor and even ceiling in Week 13. The 49ers were actually decent against Jay Ajayi in Week 12, but Miami was missing multiple starters on the O-line. I'm not putting too much stock in the performance. The 49ers run D has been atrocious all year. They play at a fast pace and Howard has been getting the volume as the lead back for Chicago. They should rely on him heavily this week, making his $6,900 price tag a bargain.

Dan Yanotchko: Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions ($5,800)

This week, I like Theo Riddick of the Lions as I think he will not be selected as much of the other options at running back. Riddick fits well with PPR formats, as he is averaging six receptions per game over his last four, and he has been targeted 29 times. The Saints have allowed 13 touchdowns on the ground, and 27 FPTS to opposing runners in PPR format.

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November 25, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 12

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 12 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (at TB), $6,700
RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (vs. SF), $7,600
RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. TEN), $5,300
WR - Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons (vs. ARI), $8,500
WR - Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (at ATL), $4,300
WR - Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (at CHI), $4,000
TE - Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks (at TB), $5,300
FLEX - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants (at CLE), $5,600
DST - San Diego Chargers (at HOU), $2,700

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins ($7,600): I’m going back to the well picking on the San Francisco run defense. The past two weeks it played reasonably well, but Arizona just didn't run the ball for whatever reason, and the Patriots are the Patriots and do whatever they want. It took garbage time for LeGarrette Blount to eclipse the 100-yard mark last week. I don't think Miami will get cute here. Ryan Tannehill is one of the worst QBs in the league in my opinion, and I think they lean on Ajayi heavily. I will definitely be overweight on him this week as I think he should have no trouble getting 30 DK points.

Comments by Kevin: After a 1-3 start, the Dolphins have turned their season around with a five-game winning streak fueled by Ajayi's success as a runner. He hasn't rushed for 200 yards, or even 100 yards, or scored a touchdown in the past two games, but Ajayi has a minimum of 19 touches in all five games during their winning streak with an average of 24.2/G. Facing the league's worst run defense as 7.5-point home favorites, it wouldn't surprise me if Ajayi reached the 100-yard mark and scored a touchdown or two.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($6,700): Wilson is the sixth-most expensive QB on the Sunday slate, but there are only two QBs that I have ranked higher that play on Sunday (Tom Brady and Drew Brees), but Wilson has as much upside as either. In his first seven games of the season, Wilson exceeded 15 DK points only once. Since then, however, he has 26.28, 29.52 and 25.28 in his past three games, respectively. Within their past four games, the Bucs have allowed the top-scoring fantasy quarterback twice -- Derek Carr (513 yards and four TDs) in Week 8 and Matt Ryan (344 yards and four TDs) in Week 9.

Comments by Sean: I think the Seahawks offense will be one of the most popular teams this week. They are all in play, Russ, Thomas Rawls, Jimmy Graham and Doug Baldwin. When Wilson is healthy, he is one of the most deadly QBs in the league as he has enormous upside with his rushing ability. I'm on board with this pick.

3. Sean - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears ($5,300): I expect Howard's ownership to be extremely low this week and this call could make or break my week because I am going to be extremely heavy on him. The big news here was the loss of Jay Cutler. Matt Barkley is not an NFL-caliber QB. They will also be without their best remaining option in the pass game, Zach Miller. This is going to lead to a lot of check downs to Howard. Howard only had one reception last week, but he was targeted eight times. I expect Howard to more than pay off this price tag this week.

Comments by Kevin: I won't have a ton of exposure to Howard this week, mostly because there are other running backs in his price range that I like more -- Thomas Rawls, Todd Gurley, Rashad Jennings, etc. That said, those favorable matchups for other backs should lead to very low ownership levels so I'll throw a few tournament darts on him.

4. Kevin - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks ($5,300): Graham had four and five targets in his past two games, but he is averaging 5.13/73.25/0.5 on 7.25 targets per game since Week 3. Not only does Graham have three 100-yard games over that eight-game span, but he has scored three touchdowns in his past three games. The only other tight ends with three 100-yard games this season are New England's Rob Gronkowski and Martellus Bennett.

Comments by Sean: I would really like to see Graham get more targets. He has had only nine the past two weeks combined. Travis Kelce just had a pretty big game against this Tampa defense last week, so this is a spot where I could see Graham having a big game.

5. Sean - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($8,500): Normally I shy away from Patrick Peterson, but Julio Jones is matchup proof. In fact, the last time Julio faced Peterson, he erupted for 10/189/1. I think we could see a repeat performance here in the day's highest total game. The Cardinals offense should be able to move the ball vs. the Atlanta's defense so I think Jones should have plenty of targets.

Comments by Kevin: The matchup is far from ideal, but only the Patriots are projected to score more points than the Falcons this Sunday. Jones has been a little hit or miss with zero games of 30-99 yards since Week 2. That said, he has twice as many 100-yard games (six) including a 300-yarder than he has sub-30 yard games (three) during that span. There is certainly downside due to the matchup, but Jones has the potential to be the top-scoring player in any given week regardless of matchup and Peterson will scare plenty of people off Julio.

6. Kevin - Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants ($5,600): Appearing in my Week 12 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em, Jennings has exceeded 100 yards from scrimmage and has now finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in back-to-back games. Last week's matchup against the Bears wasn't great, but Jennings carried the ball 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown and added five catches for 44 yards on six targets. This week's matchup against the Browns is much softer. In their past five games, the Browns have allowed running backs to rush for 832 yards (5.40 YPC) and eight touchdowns and add 24 catches for 178 yards. During that span, eight different running backs have finished as a top-24 PPR running back.

Comments by Sean: Jennings is someone I always have a hard time clicking on. Last week was the first week I played him all year, which paid off. Too bad the rest of my team sucked! Jennings has an elite matchup vs. the Browns this week, so I have no problems with putting him into my lineup again. I am going to have a good share of Jennings/Ajayi combos in GPPs this week.

7. Sean - Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals ($4,300): Picking Arizona’s No. 2 WR has been a challenge all year. I think this game will shoot out, and I like Floyd the best among the cheap Cardinals wideouts. I think most will want to jam David Johnson into lineups this week, so having a natural leverage play like this could pay off.

Comments by Kevin: Floyd has been a major disappointment as he was recently demoted behind guys like J.J. Nelson, but it looks like he has re-emerged as the No. 2 receiver behind Larry Fitzgerald. Floyd now has a minimum of five targets in back-to-back games and in three of his past four and a 100-yard performance during that stretch. Certainly not safe for cash games, Floyd is worth a roll of the dice in a potential shootout.

8. Kevin - Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans ($4,000): I almost never play Wright, but he should be very low-owned given some of the other options in the $4,000 range like Tyler Boyd. And the Titans have had eight top-24 PPR performances since Week 6 -- Rishard Matthews (four times), Tajae Sharpe (two times) and Wright (two times) -- and no team has allowed more DK points to opposing receivers than the Bears. Similar to Floyd, Wright isn't worth cash-game consideration, but Marcus Mariota has been playing lights out lately and the matchup is certainly exploitable.

Comments by Sean: We were running low on cap space here, and Kevin had the final two picks. I would have went in a number of different directions. I will probably have no Kendall Wright exposure this week. Better plays in better matchups. I expect the Titans to pound the rock on the ground this week with DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Limited targets and opportunity here.

9. Kevin - San Diego Chargers, DST ($2,700): One of my favorite defenses of the week will be the Titans DST, but I didn't want to play them against Sean's Howard pick. And I usually prefer to start defenses at home, but Brock Osweiler has been brutal this season. The Chargers have scored double-digit fantasy points in three of their past five games. Even though they have relied on three defensive scores in two of those double-digit games, only the Chiefs and Vikings have more interceptions than the Chargers this season.

Comments by Sean: Giving the Wright choice, this was the only defense that made sense unless you wanted to roll with the Texans in this same matchup. The stats are fairly similar between the two teams in sacks and INTs. I'll never fault anyone for wanting to pick on Brock Osweiler.

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November 24, 2016

Week 12 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Below you will find our 2016 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Scott Tolzien21.236.62490.70.924011.36
With Andrew Luck (concussion) ruled out, Tolzien will make the third start of his career. In his other two starts (with the Packers), Tolzien threw for 619 yards but he threw only one touchdown and five interceptions.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Frank Gore17.666.90.43.7300.112.69
In his past nine games, Gore has finished as a top-20 fantasy running back eight times with the exception being an RB25 finish in Week 5 against the Bears. (The Bears have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to RBs this season.) The scoring opportunities diminish with Luck sidelined, but the volume could approach or exceed his 19.1 touches per game average if the Colts are able to keep the game close and sustain drives.
Robert Turbin3.711.30.51.814.305.56
Josh Ferguson0.81.50215.701.72

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
T.Y. Hilton5700.40009.4
Hilton had 5/97/1 last week and has 82 yards in three of his past four games. With Tolzien under center, however, it's unlikely that Hilton has as productive of a game against the Steelers.
Donte Moncrief3.641.60.40.1-0.106.55
When Moncrief and Luck are healthy (i.e., play in the same game) together, Moncrief has scored a touchdown in nine of 11 games. With Luck out, it's an instant downgrade for Moncrief's outlook.
Phillip Dorsett2.539.90.10.10.204.61

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jack Doyle332.10.35.01
Dwayne Allen2.325.40.23.74




Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ben Roethlisberger26.640.93052.20.71.140.120.6
In general, Roethlisberger has been much better at home than on the road. So far this season, Big Ben has averaged 336.75 passing yards per game with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions in four home games and just 235.4/G with a 5:5 TD-INT ratio on the road. That said, Roethlisberger has destroyed the Colts with 522 yards and six TDs (2014) and 364 yards and four TDs (2015) in his last two matchups against the Colts even though they were in Pittsburgh.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Le'Veon Bell20.391.60.67.259.10.320.47
A do-it-all back, Bell had 36 touches last week and has at least a 20-percent target share in all seven games played this season. With a large workload in a favorable matchup, Bell is my top-ranked running back this week. The Colts have allowed 4.49 YPC to RBs (sixth-most) and 9.33 Y/R (ninth-most) as well as a league-high five receiving scores to the position.
Fitzgerald Toussaint0.41.200.10.900.21

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Antonio Brown7.994.50.70.31.1013.76
Given the sustained winds in Cleveland last weekend, Brown did fairly well to finish with eight catches for 76 yards on 10 targets. In a controlled environment, AB should be much more productive in Week 12.
Eli Rogers4.551.70.30006.97
Rogers had a big game (6/103 on 10 targets) a few weeks ago. In his other games this season, he has averaged only 32.83 yards per game with only one other 50-yard game (Week 1). That said, he's been consistent with five-plus targets in his past five games and the Steelers are projected to score the second-most points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.
Cobi Hamilton1.623.30.20003.53
Sammie Coates119.10.10.20.702.58

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jesse James2.320.60.23.26
Ladarius Green1.919.70.23.17

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Week 12 Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins

Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Dak Prescott21.531.62611.70.33.2150.420.54
Playing beyond his years yet within himself, but Prescott has been nearly flawless in his own right. With back-to-back 300-yard passing games, Prescott has accounted for multiple touchdowns (passing and rushing) in eight consecutive games. During that eight-game span, he has finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy quarterback in all but one week (QB13, Week 6 at Lambeau). Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, no team is projected to score more real points this week than the Cowboys.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Ezekiel Elliott23.5113.71222.50.120.22
With a minimum of 18 touches in every game, Zeke has averaged 24.5 touches per game and has scored double-digit fantasy points in every game this season. Elliott has a seven-game streak of finishing as a top-12 fantasy running back.
Alfred Morris3.814.30.20.20.902.72
Lance Dunbar0.61.50.10.76.401.39

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dez Bryant4.166.30.600010.23
Since returning in Week 8, Bryant has 80-plus yards and eight-plus targets in three of four games and a total of four touchdowns during that span. It's possible that Dez is shadowed by Norman this week.
Cole Beasley5.159.80.40.10.608.44
A trusted target for Prescott, Beasley has been steady with more than 50 yards in nine of 10 games this season. While he has yet to exceed 75 yards in any game this season, Beasley has five touchdowns in his past six games.
Terrance Williams1.723.90.10002.99
Brice Butler113.40.10001.94

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jason Witten552.20.26.42
With a total of 25 targets over his past three games, Witten has a minimum of seven in each game. On the year, he has averaging 4.9/52.0/0.2 on seven targets per game.
Gavin Escobar0.97.400.74
Geoff Swaim0.22.200.22

Below you will find our Week 12 fantasy football projections for the Washington Redskins:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kirk Cousins27.740.83181.80.62.470.120.02
With the exception of Week 5 (at Baltimore), Cousins has thrown for either 300-plus yards and/or multiple touchdowns in every game since Week 2. Over his past four games, Cousins has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week and has averaged 349.0 passing yards per game with eight touchdowns and only one interception.

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Robert Kelley17.377.90.70.30.5012.04
A complete non-factor in the passing game, Kelley has more than 20 carries in three consecutive games and a total of 67/321/4 rushing during that span. While the Redskins are road touchdown underdogs, Kelley has a strong grip on the lead-back role for now and is a solid RB2 on Thanksgiving.
Chris Thompson4.119.20.13.426.40.15.76
After three consecutive games with 12-plus touches, Thompson has a total of just 10 touches in his past two games including three on Sunday Night Football. The Redskins are 6-1-1 in their past eight games and Thompson had a season-high 19 touches in their lone loss during that stretch. I don't expect 19 touches this week, but he should see more than three touches with the Cowboys favored by a touchdown.

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jamison Crowder5.165.90.50.2-0.109.58
Crowder had only three targets in Week 11, but he now has three 100-yard games over his past four games played. In addition, he has scored in three consecutive games and in four of his past five. Not only has Crowder finished as a top-four fantasy receiver in two of his past three, but he has finished as the WR27 (or better) in six consecutive games.
Pierre Garcon5.464.90.30008.29
Garcon has a minimum of five targets in every game this season. In addition, he has a minimum of five catches, seven targets and 56 yards in five of his past six games.
DeSean Jackson4.457.40.30007.54
Jackson returned on Sunday and hauled in four receptions for 51 yards and a touchdown in his return from a shoulder injury. D-Jax is a boom-or-bust option historically, but he has had his share of big games against the Cowboys.
Ryan Grant0.7600000.6

Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Jordan Reed6.165.20.48.92
Reed is a true difference-maker at tight end and is averaging 6.13/66.88/0.38 on 8.63 targets per game. With double-digit targets in four of his eight games played, Reed has more than 50 receiving yards in all but one game this season. In Week 2, he had 5/70 on seven targets against the Cowboys.
Vernon Davis2.939.20.25.12
Davis had just one target (and no catches) on Sunday Night Football, but he had 50-plus yards in each of his previous four games. Even though he has had some productive games with Reed healthy, Davis is little more than a dart throw with a full complement of weapons for Kirk Cousins.

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, C.J. Fiedorowicz is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jimmy Graham and Fiedorowicz, you should start Graham -- and in turn, bench Fiedorowicz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. GB)

After sustaining a rib injury in the season opener, Ertz missed a couple of games and returned following their Week 4 bye. In his first four games back, he was frustratingly under-utilized with four or fewer targets in the first four games back. In fact, he had just nine catches for 92 yards over that four-game span.

Since then, however, Ertz has become much more involved in the offense again. With a minimum of seven targets and a total of 26 over his past three games, Ertz has six-plus catches in three consecutive games and has finished as a top-10 fantasy tight in two of those three games. And he could have had an even better performance last week if an unnecessary penalty did not negate a touchdown of more than 50 yards.

With a great matchup against the Packers this week, Ertz could be in store for another strong performance. The Packers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Only the Bills (13.89 Y/R) and Buccaneers (13.84) have allowed more yards per reception than the Packers (13.20) this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (vs. SD)

Barely used as a receiver in the team's first three games, Fiedorowicz has become much more involved in the passing offense since then. The third-year tight end now has five targets in seven consecutive games.

Over that seven-game span, Fiedorowicz has averaged 7.0 targets per game and has posted a 33/380/3 line during that stretch including 6/82 on 10 targets on Monday Night Football in Mexico City. Fiedorowicz now has at least 24-percent target share in two of his past three games.

The Chargers have been solid at defending tight ends, 12th-fewest fantasy points to the position, but Fiedorowicz is still a top-12 option due to his volume. If you're looking for a streamer, Fiedorowicz was on my list of waiver-wire options to target as he was owned in roughly one-fifth of Yahoo! leagues as of Tuesday this week.

TE - Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

After being sidelined for a few games, Ebron has been highly productive over his past three games. During that stretch, he has finished as fantasy's weekly TE12, TE11 and TE2, respectively, with a minimum of 70 receiving yards in each game.

Over that three-game span, Ebron has 17 catches for 241 yards on 23 targets and had a one-yard touchdown run last week as well. In his first game against the Vikings (Week 9), Ebron had seven catches on eight targets for a season-high 92 yards and I expect another productive outing from him on Thanksgiving.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at HOU)

Over his past four games, Gates has a minimum of nine targets. Going back five games, Gates has a minimum of 20-percent target share. The matchup this week against the Texans isn't favorable, but one thing that we know for sure is that Gates will be targeted heavily by Philip Rivers.

And of course, Gates is still one of the better red-zone weapons in the NFL. With a touchdown in three consecutive games, Gates has finished as the TE7, TE4 and TE5, respectively, over that span.

Week 12 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Julius Thomas, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

Thomas has been a huge disappointment this season. Healthy going into his second season with the Jaguars, Thomas has 28 yards or less in every game played since Week 3.

Even though he has a touchdown in three of his past five games, he kills your fantasy team when he doesn't score -- 2/21 (TE29) in Week 9 and 3/12 (TE36) in Week 11. More TD-dependent than any other position in general, Thomas is one of the most TD-dependent players at the most TD-dependent position.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

Returning from a multi-month absence, Cook had six catches for 105 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 11 targets on Sunday Night Football. It was clearly his best performance as a Packer, but hopefully it's a sign of what may be to come.

In his first three games with the Packers, however, Cook had just 53 total yards on six catches and 11 targets. And the Packers have a Week 12 matchup against the Eagles, who have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

As inconsistent as Cook has been over his career and given the difficult matchup this week, he's outside my top-12 fantasy tight ends for Week 12.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. NYG)

I listed Barnidge as a sit last week and I wrote, "he's going to score a touchdown at some point this season and perhaps that's this week, but ..." (Naturally, he scored his first touchdown of the season last week.) So, perhaps listing Barnidge on this side of the post once again will lead to another score for him.

That said, he is a TD-dependent option this week. In his past three games including last week's performance, Barnidge has finished with 3/23 (TE27), 1/8 (TE40) and 2/23/1 (TE9).

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (vs. LA)

In the first five games of the season, Fleener had a pair of TE2 performances (and three outside the top-25). Since then, he has finished somewhere between the weekly TE12 (last week) and TE31 in five consecutive games.

The good news is that Fleener had both of his TE2 outings at home and the Saints are at home this week, but the bad news is that his matchup against the Rams isn't a favorable one. The Rams have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position this season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Rashad Jennings is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, Jay Ajayi and Jennings and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Ajayi -- and in turn, bench Jennings.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (at CLE)

Jennings has exceeded 100 yards from scrimmage and has now finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in back-to-back games. In addition, Jennings has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of his past four games. Coming off his best game of the season, Jennings carried the ball 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown and added five catches for 44 yards on six targets in Week 11 against the Bears.

Only the 49ers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Browns, who have been especially bad the past five weeks. Granted, they have faced some elite backs like Le'Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliott, etc., but they have allowed four top-five running backs in the past five weeks and a total of 13 top-24 running backs in their past eight games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (at TB)

In his return on Sunday, Rawls carried the ball 14 times for 57 yards and added three catches for 31 yards. The numbers by themselves aren't spectacular, but he didn't show any ill effects from the injury or rust, which inspires confidence about his ability to handle an expanded workload going forward.

And that's what he should get in Week 12. With C.J. Prosise suffering what could turn out to be a season-ending injury, Rawls shouldered more of the load than expected last week and is in line for a major workload in his second game back with Seattle favored by nearly a touchdown.

RB - Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs (at DEN)

Since returning from a concussion that sidelined him in Week 9, Ware has had a couple of modest performances -- 72 and 85 yards from scrimmage on 16 and 19 touches, respectively, with no touchdowns. Even though the Chiefs are projected to score the second-fewest points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds, the matchup for Ware is much more favorable than those for Kansas City's other skill-position players.

The Broncos have allowed opposing running backs to average 4.30 yards per carry, 11th-most to the position, and they have surrendered the eight-most fantasy points to running backs. Assuming the score stays relatively close, the Chiefs should stay committed to the run and Ware could approach or exceed 20 touches in Week 12.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (vs. KC)

After getting 11 touches in Week 9 in the loss to the Raiders, there was some concern that Kapri Bibbs would eat into Booker's role as lead back with C.J. Anderson out for the rest of the year. While Bibbs had seven touches in Week 10 (compared to just three in Week 9), it was Booker that dominated backfield touches (26).

In his past three games, Booker has 53 carries for 152 yards (only 2.87 YPC) and eight catches for 50 yards. Despite the inefficiency, Booker has finished as a top-17 fantasy running back in two of those three starts. Assuming that Booker gets 20-plus touches again, he should finish as a solid RB2 with upside for much better if he can improve upon his efficiency.

Week 12 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Chris Ivory, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

Predicting Ivory's workload has been virtually impossible. Over the past four games, Ivory has gone from five to 19 to 11 to 23 touches. Especially if T.J. Yeldon (ankle) sits, Ivory should get another large workload with should being the operative word.

Then again, the Jaguars are more than a touchdown underdog on the road and projected to be one of this week's lowest-scoring teams. Given the struggles of Blake Bortles, it's hard to trust Ivory or any Jag, especially if they get off to another notoriously slow start.

RB - James Starks, Green Bay Packers (at PHI)

With a larger workload in his second game (14 touches) back from his knee injury compared to his first (10), Starks totalled 71 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown to finish the week as a top-10 fantasy running back. Not only has Starks scored in back-to-back games, but he has a total of 10 targets (eight receptions) in the passing game.

Averaging a mediocre 3.63 YPC in his two games back, however, Starks is a TD-dependent fantasy option this week especially if Christine Michael makes his Packers debut. I would expect Starks to get more touches than Michael, but losing some touches to him and/or Ty Montgomery eats a bit into his upside.

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (at DET)

The good news is that McKinnon had 17 touches in Week 11. Although he was trending up (seven and nine in Weeks 9 and 10, respectively), that was his most, by far, since Week 5. The not-so-good news is that he could only must 41 YFS on those 17 touches.

The Vikings have been a historically bad run offense this year as no team has averaged fewer yards per carry than the Vikings (2.70) since 1970. Only three other teams -- 1994 Patriots (2.79), 1992 Colts (2.91) and 1986 Patriots (2.93) -- have averaged less than 3.0 YPC over the past 45 seasons.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. CIN)

Despite being a home favorite in a plus matchup against the Bengals, who have allowed running backs to average 4.48 YPC, it's hard to trust West this week. One week after saying that Kenneth Dixon would be more involved, West had just nine touches.

The Ravens did lose by 10 points, but West's volume has been inconsistent on a week-to-week basis: 27, eight, 16, 22 and nine over his past five games. Due to a split in playing time with Dixon, West is more of a flex option than a RB2 in a game with one of the week's lowest over/unders (40.5).

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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Week 12 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Eli Manning is listed below as a "start" for Week 12. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 12 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Drew Brees and Manning, you should start Brees -- and in turn, bench Eli.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 12 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (vs. WAS)

Breaking the record previously held by Tom Brady for most pass attempts without an interception to begin a career, Prescott has played beyond his years yet within himself. It helps to have one of the best offensive line units, perhaps ever, and an outstanding running game, but Prescott has been nearly flawless in his own right.

With back-to-back 300-yard passing games, Prescott has accounted for multiple touchdowns (passing and rushing) in eight consecutive games. During that eight-game span, he has finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy quarterback in all but one week (QB13, Week 6 at Lambeau). In addition, he has a minimum of 17.48 fantasy points in every game since Week 2 (at Washington) and has averaged 21.27/G over that stretch.

Thursday begins the first time that he will face an opponent for a second time in the same season. Perhaps this is the week that he will look like a rookie (since he is one).

Or perhaps he has another 25-point fantasy performance like last week. Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, no team is projected to score more real points this week than the Cowboys.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (at CHI)

The last time that Mariota finished outside the top-12 weekly fantasy quarterbacks was October 2nd in Houston. Mariota completed only 13-of-29 for 202 yards and no touchdowns in that game, but since then, he has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game.

In fact, he has 19 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions in those seven games. If you count his two rushing scores, he's averaging exactly three scores per game. During that span, he has completed 67.58 percent of his pass attempts for 8.43 Y/A and a passer rating of 116.8.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (at CLE)

The good times should continue to roll for Eli. While he had a Week 7 dud against the Rams, Eli has scored at least 17 fantasy points in his other four out of five most recent games. With the exception of the London game against the Rams, Manning has thrown multiple touchdowns in the other four games over that stretch.

This week, Manning should be thankful for one of the best matchups on the schedule.

Cleveland has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Not only have the Browns allowed the highest passing TD% (6.58 percent), but they have allowed the third-most Y/A (7.96) this season.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (vs. JAX)

It was a brutal week for Taylor, from a fantasy perspective, as the Bills won 16-12 over the Bengals and he threw for just 166 yards and no touchdowns. Taylor has fewer 200-yard games (four) than he has with less than 200 yards (six games), but there is the potential that he gets Sammy Watkins back this week.

Even if I wouldn't start Watkins if he's active due to an expected limit in snaps, the presence of a true weapon can only help the passing attack overall. Despite the lack of gaudy passing stats, Taylor has performed as a weekly top-15 fantasy quarterback in eight of his 10 games played this season.

Of course, he derives much of his production from his rushing numbers. The dual-threat quarterback has averaged 6.2 rush attempts per game and has at least five carries in all but one game (Week 2). On the season, he has 401 rushing yards and four touchdowns, which equates to 6.41 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone.

Week 12 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (at BUF)

It's been a disappointing season for the Jags, Bortles and his fantasy owners. As bad as he's been, Bortles has thrown multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games, but the majority of his production has come in garbage time. With no teams on bye this week, it will be tougher for one-quarter (or one-half) of garbage-time production from Bortles to lead to a productive outing.

The Jaguars are one of six teams projected to score fewer than 19 points this week, according to implied totals from Vegas odds. In addition, the Bills have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

QB - Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. SEA)

In his past five games, Winston has thrown for either 300-plus yards and/or multiple touchdowns in every game. During that span, he has averaged 19.44 fantasy points with a minimum of 17.44 in each game. This week's matchup agains the Seahawks isn't great, although injuries in the secondary could make it less daunting than usual. Either way, there are more than 12 better options than Winston this week.

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at HOU)

Rivers had finished outside of the top-12 weekly fantasy quarterbacks in five consecutive games prior to his Week 10 bye. During that five-game span, Rivers had averaged 283.4 yards per game with nine touchdowns, but he has also thrown eight interceptions including four of them in Week 10 against Miami. Going on the road in Week 12, Rivers will face the Texans, who have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the fourth-fewest passing yards this season.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. MIN)

After throwing for 300-plus yards in two of his first three games this season, Stafford has failed to reach the 300-yard mark in seven consecutive games. And after finishing as a top-10 weekly quarterback in five of his first seven games, Stafford has failed to do in each of his past three games.

Stafford has averaged 13.16 fantasy points per game over his past three with a max of 14.76 (QB17) in Week 9 against the Vikings. Part (read: much) of that production came in the fifth as Stafford threw a game-winning touchdown to Golden Tate in overtime.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 12

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November 23, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 12

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 12?

Brendan Donahue: Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,700)

I think last weekend was a prime example of why more and more people have started to switch over to DFS vs. season-long leagues. While the rash of injuries most likely ruined some teams in season-long leagues, it opened up some nice opportunities for us this weekend who are playing on DraftKings. The main one I like this week is Thomas Rawls, who is unquestionably the featured back for Seattle as they only have two running backs currently on the roster after cutting Christine Michael and the injury to C.J. Prosise.

Rawls has already shown that he's ready for a larger workload as he was forced into more action last week and carried the ball 14 times and caught it three times. Rawls was a fantasy difference-maker down the stretch last year and now with his increased role and a good matchup against Tampa Bay, I will be putting him in almost all my lineups at just $5,700 this week.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($6,700)

The Sunday-slate wide receiver options aren't great this week as Antonio Brown plays on Thursday, Julio Jones draws shadow coverage from Mike Evans will likely be shadowed by Richard Sherman and A.J. Green tore his hamstring last week.

With Russell Wilson playing better (now at full health), the Seahawks offense is one of my favorite team stacks this weekend. I will have many tournament lineups with Wilson paired up with Rawls, Baldwin and/or Jimmy Graham this weekend. One week after hauling in three touchdowns, Baldwin reached the 100-yard mark and he now has back-to-back top-10 PPR performances.

Sean Beazley: Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd, WRs, Arizona Cardinals ($7,000, $4,300)

I just came off my worst week playing NFL DFS, but I'm ready to get back on the winning side this week. There is one particular game I really like this week and it's the Arizona-Atlanta game. This game should have a ton of points.

People will see that "green 31" next to David Johnson's name and want to jam him in. I will have my fair share of DJ this week (including cash) and I really like Larry Fitzgerald at $7,000 and Michael Floyd at $4,300. This Atlanta team can be thrown on, and for some strange reason, Arians doesn't like to run the ball even though he has the league's best RB. I believe both will have lower ownership this week and make a great natural leverage play off DJ.

John Trifone: Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($4,000)

With A.J. Green likely done for the year, Boyd may emerge as the top wideout on the team. He had eight catches and a touchdown last week, the game in which AJG went down early on. He's also got a matchup with the Ravens, who have one of the league's top run defenses. This looks like a good spot for a cheap WR to have a solid floor with big potential upside.

Dan Yanotchko: Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,700)

This week I like Thomas Rawls of the Seahawks, as he has a under-the-radar matchup against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed 114.3 yards per game, 4.3 yards per carry, and nine touchdowns this season. Rawls will be seeing a plenty of action this week, as C.J. Prosise is on the shelf, and Seattle has limited options on the depth chart.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Minnesota Vikings (Kyle Rudolph): 9.07
2. San Diego Chargers (Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry): 8.97
3. Chicago Bears: 8.90
4. Dallas Cowboys (Jason Witten): 8.75
5. Houston Texans (C.J. Fiedorowicz): 8.69

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 12-16):

28. New England Patriots (Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett): 6.27
29. Atlanta Falcons (Austin Hooper): 6.19
30. Tennessee Titans (Delanie Walker): 6.15
31. Green Bay Packers (Jared Cook, Richard Rodgers): 6.10
32. Miami Dolphins (Dion Sims): 5.63

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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November 22, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Chicago Bears (Cameron Meredith): 25.65
2. San Francisco 49ers (Jeremy Kerley): 24.91
3. Seattle Seahawks (Doug Baldwin): 24.58
4. Miami Dolphins (Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker): 24.44
5. Atlanta Falcons (Julio Jones): 24.34

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Tennessee Titans (Rishard Matthews, Tajae Sharpe): 22.02
29. Green Bay Packers (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams): 20.88
30. Kansas City Chiefs (Jeremy Maclin): 20.71
31. Indianapolis Colts (T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief): 20.32
32. Jacksonville Jaguars (Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee): 18.97

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 12-16):

1. Los Angeles Rams (Todd Gurley): 21.28
2. Carolina Panthers (Jonathan Stewart): 20.08
3. San Diego Chargers (Melvin Gordon): 19.95
4. Buffalo Bills (LeSean McCoy, Mike Gillislee): 19.94
5. Kansas City Chiefs (Spencer Ware): 19.82

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Minnesota Vikings (Matt Asiata, Jerick McKinnon, Adrian Peterson): 16.91
29. New Orleans Saints (Mark Ingram, Tim Hightower): 16.57
30. Denver Broncos (Devontae Booker): 16.38
31. Seattle Seahawks (Thomas Rawls): 16.00
32. Washington Redskins (Robert Kelley): 14.55

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football RB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 12 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 12 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 12-16):

T1. New York Jets (Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bryce Petty): 18.55
2. Chicago Bears (Matt Barkley): 18.55
3. Minnesota Vikings (Sam Bradford): 18.46
4. Los Angeles Rams (Case Keenum): 18.16
5. Houston Texans (Brock Osweiler): 18.15

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 12 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 12-16):

28. Tennessee Titans (Marcus Mariota): 15.60
29. Detroit Lions (