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July 16, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBRyan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins-2.9 (162.6 on 7/9; 159.7 on 7/16)
RBDevontae Booker, Denver Broncos8.2 (163.7 on 7/9; 155.5 on 7/16)
WRMohamed Sanu, Atlanta Falcons-5.8 (168.6 on 7/9; 162.8 on 7/16)
TEEric Ebron, Detroit Lions-6.8 (148.4 on 7/9; 141.6 on 7/16)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 35 Fantasy TEs

Training camp is right around the corner. In fact, rookies for the Dallas Cowboys report to camp tomorrow (July 17th).

Before you know it, the preseason will be here and it will be time for (the majority of) our fantasy football drafts. We will update our fantasy football rankings frequently throughout the rest of the offseason and our latest update was this morning.

Here are our 2017 Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings (standard scoring):

1. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: When healthy, Gronkowski is as good as it gets. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old tight end has missed five-plus games in three of the past five seasons. That said, Gronk has averaged nearly 70 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns in 88 career games.

2. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs: Expected to be ready for training camp after offseason shoulder surgery, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. While Kelce has never scored more than five touchdowns in a season, he was targeted 16 times in the red zone last season -- only three TEs were targeted more inside the 20. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be the clear focal point of the passing offense and has a chance to finish as fantasy's TE1 even if Rob Gronkowski plays a full season.

3. Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

4. Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers: Olsen scored only three touchdowns, his lowest since his rookie season (2007). As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and played all 16 games every year except his rookie season. Scoring more fantasy points last year than all tight ends not named Travis, Olsen has finished as a top-seven fantasy tight end in five consecutive seasons.

5. Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

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Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 8th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 8
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.08 - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills: Averaging a career-high 5.4 yards per carry, McCoy rushed for 1,267 yards and added 50 catches for 356 yards as he scored 14 total touchdowns last season. Only the Cowboys (499) ran the ball more than the Bills (492) last season.

2.05 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: A top-10 fantasy wide receiver as a rookie, Thomas had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Brandin Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the unquestioned top target for Drew Brees.

3.08 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson had a down year (73/880/6) following his 2015 breakout (80/1,400/14). With the team likely to employ a run-first offensive game plan, A-Rob is unlikely to fully bounce back to his 2015 numbers, but things should go better for him in 2017.

4.05 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

5.08 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. A 75/1,000 season should be his floor with some upside for more than that.

6.05 - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings: Some concerns (off field, ball security, etc.) led him to slip to Round 2, but Cook rushed for 100-plus yards in nine of his final 10 games for the 'Noles and averaged 190.7 YFS per game during that stretch. With a strong set of receivers, I'm happy with Cook as my RB2 and the plan was to load up on the position at this point, which I did ...

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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Fantasy Wide Receiver Rankings

Training camp is right around the corner. In fact, rookies for the Dallas Cowboys report to camp tomorrow (July 17th).

Before you know it, the preseason will be here and it will be time for (the majority of) our fantasy football drafts. We will update our fantasy football rankings frequently throughout the rest of the offseason and our latest update was this morning.

Here are our 2017 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings from Kevin Hanson:

1. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has finished as the WR1, WR1 and WR3 in standard-scoring formats, respectively. Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons: Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

3. Odell Beckham, New York Giants: He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

4. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

5. A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals: Missing six games last season due to a hamstring injury, Green failed to reach the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his six-year career. That said, he still averaged a career-high 96.4 yards per game despite a goose egg in his 10th and final game played in 2016.

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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Fantasy Running Back Rankings

Training camp is right around the corner. In fact, rookies for the Dallas Cowboys report to camp tomorrow (July 17th).

Before you know it, the preseason will be here and it will be time for (the majority of) our fantasy football drafts. We will update our fantasy football rankings frequently throughout the rest of the offseason and our latest update was this morning.

Here are our 2017 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (standard scoring) from Kevin Hanson:

1. Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers: Missing the first four games of the 2016 season, Bell has now missed three-plus games (suspension and/or injury) in three of his four seasons as a pro. When on the field last season, however, the (now) 25-year-old back was better than ever as he was on a 16-game pace of 2,512 yards from scrimmage, 100 receptions and 12 touchdowns. (The single-season YFS record is 2,509 by CJ2K in 2009.)

2. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals: In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). Listed 1-2 in my rankings, Bell and Johnson are more like 1(a) and 1(b) or even both T-1st.

3. Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys: Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to Johnson in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played. Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, however, Elliott is "bracing for a short suspension." Considering that Le'Veon Bell was suspended the first four games of the season and still finished as fantasy's RB4 in 2016, I'll keep Elliott as my RB3 but I wouldn't take him third overall in fantasy drafts pending clarity on the NFL's investigation.

4. LeSean McCoy, Buffalo Bills: In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

5. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 40 Fantasy QBs

Training camp is right around the corner. In fact, rookies for the Dallas Cowboys report to camp tomorrow (July 17th).

Before you know it, the preseason will be here and it will be time for (the majority of) our fantasy football drafts. We will update our fantasy football rankings frequently throughout the rest of the offseason and our latest update was this morning.

Here are 2017 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings from Kevin Hanson:

1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: Posting an insane TD-INT ratio of 165 to 34 over the past five seasons combined, Rodgers led the league in passing touchdowns (40) last year while throwing for 4,428 yards, the third-most of his career. With injuries to the backfield, Rodgers ran for a career-high 369 yards and added four rushing touchdowns. Since becoming a starter in 2008, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in seven of nine seasons (and one of those two outliers was his injury-shortened 2013 season). With good health, he's a virtual lock for a top-two fantasy season.

2. Tom Brady, New England Patriots: Turning 40 years old in August, Brady has shown no signs of slowing down. In 12 games following his four-game suspension, Brady averaged 296.2 yards per game and 8.2 Y/A, a five-year high, while posting a 28-to-two TD-INT ratio. With the Patriots acquiring Brandin Cooks this offseason and Rob Gronkowski missing half of last season, Brady could post even better per-game numbers in 2017.

3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints: Tom Brady isn't the only quarterback that thinks he can play to 45. Regardless of how much longer he plays, Brees remains a top-five fantasy QB for the 2017 season. With passing statistics generally inflated in historical terms, Brees has five career 5,000-yard seasons (including 5,208 last year) and 32-plus touchdowns in nine consecutive seasons.

4. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts: Dealing with a shoulder injury for much of the past two years, Luck opted for shoulder surgery early this offseason and there's no clear timetable for when he will resume throwing. Even though he was less than 100 percent last year, Luck still scored the fourth-most fantasy points among QBs as he threw for 4,240 yards, 31 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. In the four (of five) seasons that he has played more than seven games, Luck has rushed for more than 250 yards and multiple touchdowns in each of those seasons.

5. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons: Coming off an MVP-winning season, Ryan shattered previous career highs with 4,944 passing yards and 38 touchdowns while throwing a career-low seven interceptions. With Steve Sarkisian taking over as offensive coordinator, the plan is to not deviate from the team's current offensive scheme.

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July 15, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 6th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants: I didn't plan to start this mock with four consecutive WRs, but the challenge with going WR in Round 1 is that there are major question marks with the RBs beyond the top 9-12 and those will be the options in the second half of Round 2. That said, Beckham has a minimum of 90/1,300/10 in each of his three NFL seasons and no player has more receiving scores during that span. Even with the addition of Brandon Marshall, OBJ remains a top-three fantasy wide receiver.

2.07 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: The two main concerns with Bryant are durability -- missed at least three games in each of past two seasons -- and the team's run-heavy offense. That said, Bryant can be dominant in the red zone and he was much better (and more featured) in the second half of the season as he and Dak Prescott built a stronger on-field rapport.

3.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Posting a disappointing 90/1,083/5 line in 2016, Thomas averaged 100/1,447/10 over the previous four seasons. I don't expect a 1,400-yard season, but things should be better in 2017 if he can avoid nagging injuries.

4.07 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: A disappointing season from A-Rob was primarily caused by a disappointing season from Blake Bortles. Even if Bortles is better in 2017, the concern is that the team will use a run-heavy approach with rookie Leonard Fournette. That said, A-Rob was the best available player here and there is tremendous upside with him as my WR4/flex.

5.06 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Especially if Jamaal Charles makes the 53-man roster and stays healthy, a committee approach should be expected in Denver. That said, I do expect CJA to lead the backfield in touches and Charles isn't a lock to make the roster given his salary situation (and knees).

6.07 - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings: Not thrilled with CJA as my RB1, I loaded up on RB2/flex options here. Among the running backs on this mock draft roster, Cook has the potential to be the top producer. The offensive line is a concern (better than last year but still a concern). Going into the season, however, Cook should get the largest share of the workload with a chance to take control of the lead-back role early in the year.

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July 14, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft (Super Flex): 10 Teams, 5th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 3 RB, 4 WR, 2 TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. Given his combination of size and speed, it's odd that he has only one season with double-digit touchdowns (10 in 2012), but he's once again a top-three wide receiver in 2017.

2.06 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, 2016 (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to 2014 (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport he shares with Aaron Rodgers, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

3.05 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 receiving touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons.

4.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Not bad numbers as "five-year lows," but Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. This mock features an unusual starting lineup combination and I didn't expect to start WR/WR/WR/WR, but all four of my receivers are inside my top-12 rankings.

5.05 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Given my wait until Round 5 to draft my RB1, there are certainly reasons for concern with Hyde. Not only has he missed 14 games over his three NFL seasons, but there are questions about his fit within the offense. That said, he almost certainly enters the season as the starter and there is upside in Shanahan's offense.

6.06 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, things should be even better for this ascending quarterback. The QB6 in my 2017 rankings, Mariota has a much improved supporting cast around him.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft (Super Flex): 10 Teams, 5th Pick" »


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July 13, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, 4th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 4
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.04 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played. The only concern with Zeke is the potential for some league discipline.

2.13 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Poor quarterback play sabotaged Hopkins' 2016 production as he finished with just 78 catches for 954 yards and four touchdowns. Things shouldn't be any worse in 2017, but expectations for a major bounce-back should be tempered given inexperience at quarterback. I have Demaryius Thomas ranked higher than Hopkins, but due to their respective fantasy football ADPs, I was more likely to get both by taking Hopkins first.

3.04 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. (Not bad for "five-year lows.") Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. It's reasonable to expect an improvement over last year's numbers even if he doesn't post another 100/1,400/10 season.

4.13 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Missing the final nine games due to a meniscus tear, Anderson averaged just 4.0 yards per carry in his seven games played. That said, CJA should get the largest share of early-down work even with the team adding Jamaal Charles in free agency.

5.04 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 with Shanahan as his coordinator in Washington.

6.13 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were unfortunately greater than his actual production in 2016. Coaches, players and reporters have generally talked Parker up all offseason once again. There is some upside with Parker as my WR4.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, 4th Pick" »


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July 12, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 5th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

2.08 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he's able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

3.05 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R -- in his first season with the Texans, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. With the team using its third-round pick on D'Onta Foreman, perhaps that keeps Miller fresh(er) and leads to a bounce-back in efficiency.

4.08 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Along with Cooper, Crabtree is part of one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.05 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and played all 16 games every year except his rookie season.

6.08 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Missing the final nine games due to a meniscus tear, Anderson averaged just 4.0 yards per carry in his seven games played. And even though there will likely be some form of a committee with CJA, Jamaal Charles and Devontae Booker, I still expect CJA to lead the group in touches and production if he can stay healthy.

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July 09, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 10 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Green missed six games last season due to a hamstring injury so he failed to exceed the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his six-year career. That said, he still averaged a career-high 96.4 yards per game despite a goose egg in his 10th and final game played in 2016.

2.01 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.10 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons.

4.01 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: Using a top-four selection on Fournette, the Jags should make Fournette a workhorse sooner rather than later with the possibility of seeing 20-plus touches per game. Given their strong defense, the Jags are likely to shift to a run-heavy approach after calling a run on only 37.26% of their plays (seventh-fewest) in 2016.

5.10 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Along with Amari Cooper, Crabtree is part of one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

6.01 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Expecting a "pass-happy" offense under (old and) new OC Mike McCoy, Sanders said: "I had an opportunity to play in this offense my first year in 2014. I had 1,400 yards."

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Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBTyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills-2.2 (134.1 on 7/2; 131.9 on 7/9)
RBJamaal Williams, Green Bay Packers-7.7 (124.4 on 7/2; 116.7 on 7/9)
WRKenny Britt, Cleveland Browns-9.2 (151.4 on 7/2; 142.2 on 7/9)
TEJared Cook, Oakland Raiders-3.6 (159.9 on 7/2; 156.3 on 7/9)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Continue reading "Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position" »


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July 08, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 7
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.07 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: There is somewhat of a consensus top six in most drafts, but the debate here was Evans or LeSean McCoy. In three-WR leagues (like this mock), I'd go with Evans the majority of the time here. Given the team's added weapons in the passing game, Evans may not lead the NFL in targets again, but no wide receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats last season.

2.06 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Finishing as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver with Brandin Cooks in the mix, Thomas should at least post another top-10 season without Cooks and as the unquestioned No. 1 WR for Drew Brees.

3.07 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: While I'd prefer to have another (better) RB1, Crowell has plenty of upside. Coming off a career-best season (1,271 YFS), the team improved their offensive line this offseason, added no real threat to his touches and Hue Jackson expects to be more committed to running the ball in 2017.

4.06 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be the clear focal point of the passing offense and has a chance to finish as fantasy's TE1 even if Rob Gronkowski plays a full season.

5.07 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Expecting a "pass-happy" offense under (old and) new OC Mike McCoy, Sanders said: "I had an opportunity to play in this offense my first year in 2014. I had 1,400 yards." With (the 2014 version of) Peyton Manning no longer under center, the offense may not be exactly like the 2014 version, but there is some upside with Sanders as my WR3.

6.06 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Back for (at least) one more season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 pick" »


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July 05, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 6 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants: He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

2.11 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R -- in his first season with the Texans, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. With the team using its third-round pick on D'Onta Foreman, perhaps that keeps Miller fresh(er) and leads to a bounce-back in efficiency.

3.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. It's reasonable to expect an improvement over last year's numbers even if he doesn't post another 100/1,400/10 season.

4.11 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Prefer to not have my WR2/WR3 to be on the same team, but I'm thrilled to have Sanders as my WR3 in a 16-team league.

5.06 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. While Devonta Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games and finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

6.11 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Shanahan was his coordinator in Washington.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 6 Pick" »


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July 04, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 12
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.12 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson essentially picked up where he left off as his 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets) was almost identical to 2014 (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets). Given the rapport he has with Aaron Rodgers, Nelson could be even better (at least in terms of his Y/R) as he's another year removed from his torn ACL.

2.01 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.12 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons.

4.01 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be the clear focal point of the passing offense and has a chance to finish as fantasy's TE1 even if Rob Gronkowski plays a full season.

5.12 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many (including myself) expected. With a tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season.

6.01 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: The coaching staff has talked about a committee approach in Denver, but Anderson should get the largest share of the committee provided that he can stay healthy.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 35 Fantasy Tight Ends

Here are 2017 Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings from Kevin Hanson:

1. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: When healthy, Gronkowski is as good as it gets. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old tight end has missed five-plus games in three of the past five seasons. That said, Gronk has averaged 69.3 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns in 88 career games.

2. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs: Expected to be ready for training camp after offseason shoulder surgery, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. While Kelce has never scored more than five touchdowns in a season, he was targeted 16 times in the red zone last season -- only three TEs were targeted more inside the 20. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be the clear focal point of the passing offense and has a chance to finish as fantasy's TE1 even if Rob Gronkowski plays a full season.

3. Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

4. Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers: Olsen scored only three touchdowns, his lowest since his rookie season (2007). As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and played all 16 games every year except his rookie season. Scoring more fantasy points last year than all tight ends not named Travis, Olsen has finished as a top-seven fantasy tight end in five consecutive seasons.

5. Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 35 Fantasy Tight Ends" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 100 Fantasy Wide Receivers

With training camp a few weeks away, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings and we continue with our wide receiver rankings.

Here are our updated 2017 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings:

1. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has finished as the WR1, WR1 and WR3 in standard-scoring formats, respectively. Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons: Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

3. Odell Beckham, New York Giants: He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

4. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats and only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

5. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

6. A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals: Green missed six games last season due to a hamstring injury so he failed to exceed the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his six-year career. That said, he still averaged a career-high 96.4 yards per game despite a goose egg in his 10th and final game played in 2016.

7. Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints: Along with Brandin Cooks, Thomas was one of two top-10 fantasy wide receivers for the Saints in 2016. The former Buckeye had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

8. Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 receiving touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons.

9. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts: Not only did Hilton record his fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season, but he led the NFL in receiving yards (1,448) in 2016. Furthermore, Hilton set career highs in both receptions (91) and targets (155), but he has scored five to seven touchdowns (six last year) in all five of his NFL seasons.

10. Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he's able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 100 Fantasy Wide Receivers" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Running Backs

With a few weeks to go before teams report to NFL training camps, we have updated our 2017 fantasy football rankings.

Here are our updated 2017 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings:

1. Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers
Missing the first four games of the 2016 season, Bell has now missed three-plus games (suspension and/or injury) in three of his four seasons as a pro. When on the field last season, however, the (now) 25-year-old back was better than ever as he was on a 16-game pace of 2,512 yards from scrimmage, 100 receptions and 12 touchdowns. (The single-season YFS record is 2,509 by CJ2K in 2009.)

2. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals
In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). A Week 17 knee injury gave fantasy owners a scare, but Johnson is already training "full throttle." When it comes to the top-three fantasy running backs in 2017, you could easily argue that it's more a 1(a)-1(b)-1(c) as opposed to a "1-2-3" in the rankings.

3. Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys
Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to Johnson in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played.
4. LeSean McCoy, Buffalo BillsIn standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

5. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons
Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

6. Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers
Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

7. Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins
There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) As great as he was in the 200-yard performances, Ajayi averaged less than 3.0 YPC in four of the team's final seven games counting their playoff loss. Getting double-digit carries every week starting in Week 5, only Bell (243) had more carries than Ajayi (242) from Weeks 5 to 17 last season. Only Ezekiel Elliott (1,219) rushed for more yards than Ajayi (1,197) during that span. Entering 2017 as the team's bellcow back, Ajayi could challenge for the league lead in carries in 2017.

8. Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears
The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Along with Matt Forte (1,339 in 2013), it was just the second 1,300-yard season for the Bears in the past decade. Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

9. DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans
Once again, expectations will be for Derrick Henry to cut into Murray's workload, but Coach Mularkey has called Murray "the guy." As "the guy" last season, Murray touched the ball 346 times for a total of 1,664 yards and 12 touchdowns.

10. Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams
A disappointment to those that took him in the first round last year, Gurley's numbers were consistently bad throughout his sophomore campaign. Averaging only 3.2 yards per carry on the season, Gurley averaged more than 4.0 YPC only once and never exceeded 85 rushing yards in any game in 2016. Some of the same concerns remain -- lack of elite weapons to keep defenses honest, shaky quarterback play and poor offensive line.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Running Backs" »


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July 03, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 1 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 1
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.01 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Missing the first four games of the 2016 season, Bell has now missed three-plus games (suspension and/or injury) in three of his four seasons as a pro. When on the field last season, however, the (now) 25-year-old back was better than ever as he was on a 16-game pace of 2,512 yards from scrimmage, 100 receptions and 12 touchdowns. (The single-season YFS record is 2,509 by CJ2K in 2009.)

2.12 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he's able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

3.01 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R -- in his first season with the Texans, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. With the team using its third-round pick on D'Onta Foreman, perhaps that keeps Miller fresh(er) and leads to a bounce-back in efficiency.

4.12 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Cooper and Crabtree form one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In general, I'd prefer to not have my WR1/WR2 be on the same team, but both were my highest-ranked receivers on the board when I selected them and I am happy with WR2-esque receivers I've selected after Crabtree.

5.01 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Brandin Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he's a solid WR3 for this team and is actually higher than Cooks in my Fantasy WR rankings.

6.12 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. While (the 2014 version of) Peyton Manning is no longer under center, Sanders should post another 1,000-yard season in Denver.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 1 Pick" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 40 Fantasy Quarterbacks

With the start of training camps still a few weeks away, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings today.

Here are my updated 2017 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings:

1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
Posting an insane TD-INT ratio of 165 to 34 over the past five seasons combined, Rodgers led the league in passing touchdowns (40) last year while throwing for 4,428 yards, the third-most of his career. With injuries to the backfield, Rodgers ran for a career-high 369 yards and added four rushing touchdowns. Since becoming a starter in 2008, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in seven of nine seasons (and one of those two outliers was his injury-shortened 2013 season). With good health, he's a virtual lock for a top-two fantasy season.

2. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
Regardless of how much longer he will play, Brady has shown no signs of slowing down. In 12 games following his four-game suspension, Brady averaged 296.2 yards per game and 8.2 Y/A, a five-year high, while posting a 28-to-two TD-INT ratio. With the Patriots acquiring Brandin Cooks this offseason and Rob Gronkowski missing half of last season, Brady could post even better per-game numbers in 2017.

3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Tom Brady isn't the only quarterback that thinks he can play to 45. Regardless of how much longer he plays, Brees remains a top-five fantasy QB for the 2017 season. With passing statistics generally inflated in historical terms, Brees has five career 5,000-yard seasons (including 5,208 last year) and 32-plus touchdowns in nine consecutive seasons.

4. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts
Dealing with a shoulder injury for much of the past two years, Luck opted for shoulder surgery this offseason to correct the issue and there's a chance he won't be ready for the start of training camp in July. Even though he was less than 100 percent last year, Luck still scored the fourth-most fantasy points among QBs as he threw for 4,240 yards, 31 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. In the four (of five) seasons that he has played more than seven games, Luck has rushed for more than 250 yards and multiple touchdowns in each of those seasons.

5. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
Coming off an MVP-winning season, Ryan shattered previous career highs with 4,944 passing yards and 38 touchdowns while throwing a career-low seven interceptions. With Steve Sarkisian taking over as offensive coordinator, the plan is to not deviate from the team's current offensive scheme.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 40 Fantasy Quarterbacks" »


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July 02, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBTyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills-5.4 (139.5 on 6/25; 134.1 on 7/2)
RBDevontae Booker, Denver Broncos-6.4 (162.8 on 6/25; 156.4 on 7/2)
WRJeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens-7.3 (102.3 on 6/25; 95.0 on 7/2)
TEC.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans-11.0 (173.1 on 6/25; 162.1 on 7/2)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Continue reading "Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position" »


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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 8 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 8
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.08 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats and only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

2.05 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: The Saints had two top-10 fantasy wide receivers -- Brandin Cooks and Thomas. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

3.08 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within the new offense could be an issue for Hyde. I'd prefer to have a different (read: better) RB1 for this team, but Hyde was the best available fantasy RB at this spot.

4.05 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. Especially with Jeremy Maclin released, it should be another dominant year for Kelce.

5.08 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value, but he's at least a solid WR3/flex option heading into 2017.

6.05 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Missing multiple games again, Coleman showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. Even though Devonta Freeman will lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of 13 games last season and finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 8 Pick" »


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July 01, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10-Team PPR Mock Draft with Super Flex

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring with Super Flex (QB-eligible flex)
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than Brown.

2.05 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Despite lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon finished only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, Gordon should improve his efficiency in 2017.

3.06 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the 2015 season, Nelson's production (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

4.05 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 receiving touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons. Even though this is essentially a 2-QB league given the QB-eligible flex position so QBs go earlier than usual, I'm surprised to get three WR1 type with Brown, Jordy and Dez.

5.06 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags should make Fournette a workhorse sooner rather than later considering they used a top-four pick on the former LSU Tiger. With a strong defense and a desire to limit mistakes by Blake Bortles, Fournette could see north of 20 touches per game as a rookie.

6.05 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: If the Chargers can keep their top pass-catchers healthy for a full season, Rivers has plenty of upside as this mock's QB16. He has 4,200-plus passing yards in seven of eight seasons and has thrown 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10-Team PPR Mock Draft with Super Flex" »


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June 30, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 5 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With my top-four players off the board, the mock has started as I'd expect.

2.08 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Posting career lows in efficiency (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R), Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. With the team drafting D'Onta Foreman on Day 2, perhaps a slight reduction in volume will lead to a bounce-back in efficiency.

3.05 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

4.08 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

5.05 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. While Devonta Freeman led the backfield in usage and production, Coleman finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

6.08 - Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: The good news: 18 touchdowns. The bad news: 22 games. Unfortunately, Eifert has missed more games (26) than he has played (22) over the past three seasons, but he has been a dominant red-zone target, when healthy, with 18 touchdowns during that stretch.

7.05 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah was off to a good start -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.08 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were greater than his actual production in 2016, but there is upside for the former first-round pick as my WR4.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 5 Pick" »


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June 29, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 20 Teams, No. 11 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 20
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.11 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon just missed the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games in 2016. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.10 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

3.11 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Along with Amari Cooper, Crabtree is part of one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

4.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

5.11 - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Baltimore Ravens: Coming off a disappointing season (44/536/2 in 12 games), Maclin had 172 catches for 2,406 yards and 18 touchdowns over the previous two seasons combined.

6.10 - Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: A top-15 fantasy quarterback in each of his first two seasons, Winston has the potential to post his first top-10 fantasy season in 2017. Winston is the QB9 in my rankings and the 13th QB off the board in this mock.

7.11 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Stewart has missed at least three games in five consecutive seasons, has averaged less than 4.0 yards per carry in three of those five seasons including last year (3.8 YPC) and the Panthers selected Christian McCaffrey with the eighth overall pick. That said, I expect Stewart to lead the backfield in touches when healthy.

8.10 - Tyrell Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: Williams had a breakout season in 2016 as he finished with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With a healthy Keenan Allen, it will be nearly impossible for him to duplicate last year's numbers, but he offers depth as my WR4.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 20 Teams, No. 11 Pick" »


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June 28, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 2-QB PPR League, No. 2 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.02 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Leading the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20), Johnson also led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored. Even though I have Le'Veon Bell (selected first) ranked higher, it's a win-win with either back.

2.09 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Both Brandin Cooks and Thomas finished as top-10 fantasy wide receivers in 2016. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for Thomas to grow as the clear No. 1 target for Drew Brees.

3.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Even though no team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays, Bryant is a dominant presence in the red zone. Dez has a league-high 52 touchdowns (in 70 games) over the past five seasons.

4.09 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should (hopefully) keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason.

5.02 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: Exceeding 4,200 passing yards in seven of eight seasons and 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years, Rivers has plenty of upside as the QB14 in this mock.

6.09 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he's a bargain as my WR4/flex in this PPR mock.

7.02 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: There are concerns with Hyde, specifically durability and his fit in the offense. That said, there's a lot to like about his cost here in the seventh round.

8.09 - Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars: Taking a step back in Year 3, Bortles averaged 6.2 Y/A with a 23-to-16 TD-INT ratio in 2016 (7.3 Y/A and 35 TDs in 2015). With an elite defense and the addition of Leonard Fournette, it's highly unlikely that Bortles throws it 625 times again this year, but he's a fair value as QB19.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 2-QB PPR League, No. 2 Pick" »


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June 27, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.09 - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills: Shady had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns in 2016. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook as well.

2.04 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries) and while he may not finish second in rushing once again, Howard should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.09 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Starting this mock with back-to-back RBs means my WR1 is weaker than I'd prefer in a three-WR PPR league, but Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns last season. Playing in a high-powered offense led by Aaron Rodgers, Adams has double-digit touchdown upside again.

4.04 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Crabtree (and teammate Amari Cooper) form one of the league's top wide receiver duos and Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season. In addition, he is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.09 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders finished as PPR's WR21 last season and it wouldn't surprise me if he finishes better than that this season.

6.04 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: An ideal WR4, the 23-year-old (turns 24 in August) receiver could be poised for a breakout provided he stays healthy. Missing seven games last season, Moncrief had just 30/307/7, but his impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed makes him a strong performer in the red zone.

7.09 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph shattered previous career highs with 83 receptions (previous career high: 53) and 840 yards (previous career high: 495) while scoring seven touchdowns. Rudolph should come close to those numbers once again in 2017.

8.04 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks with weight-based contract bonuses. As much of a disappointment as Lacy has been over the past two seasons, he's a nice value in Round 8.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick" »


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June 25, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBMarcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans-4.1 (104.5 on 6/18; 100.4 on 6/25)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-9.6 (111.2 on 6/18; 101.6 on 6/25)
WRQuincy Enunwa, New York Jets
Jeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens
-10.8 (140.5 on 6/18; 129.7 on 6/25)
-10.8 (113.1 on 6/18; 102.3 on 6/25)
TEJack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts-2.8 (135.3 on 6/18; 132.5 on 6/25)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Biggest Risers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBTom Brady, New England Patriots-3.96% (27.8 on 6/18; 26.7 on 6/25)
RBChristian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers-14.05% (36.3 on 6/18; 31.2 on 6/25)
WRJeremy Maclin, Baltimore Ravens-9.55% (113.1 on 6/18; 102.3 on 6/25)
TETyler Eifert, Cincinnati Bengals-3.52% (71.0 on 6/18; 68.5 on 6/25)

Biggest Fallers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBRyan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins+4.3 (155.5 on 6/18; 159.8 on 6/25)
RBJeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals+8.9 (92.7 on 6/18; 101.6 on 6/25)
WRSterling Shepard, New York Giants+11.4 (137.5 on 6/18; 148.9 on 6/25)
TEDavid Njoku, Cleveland Browns+6.1 (157.0 on 6/18; 163.1 on 6/25)

Biggest Fallers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBAndrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts+6.47% (51.0 on 6/18; 54.3 on 6/25)
RBLatavius Murray, Minnesota Vikings+10.82% (72.1 on 6/18; 79.9 on 6/25)
WRJordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers+8.40% (13.1 on 6/18; 14.2 on 6/25)
TEDavid Njoku, Cleveland Browns+3.89% (157.0 on 6/18; 163.1 on 6/25)

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

- More: Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP): MFL10 Leagues

Our 2017 fantasy football rankings:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle


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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 14 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 14
  • Draft Slot: 14
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.14 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

2.01 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) Ajayi clearly enters the 2017 season as the team's workhorse and he gives me/this team two top-10 fantasy running backs.

3.14 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

4.01 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored last season. With Jeremy Maclin released and Rob Gronkowski's durability track record, it wouldn't be a huge surprise if Kelce leads the position in fantasy points once again.

5.14 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Back for (at least) one more season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in consecutive years with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons. Even though he will turn 34 years old prior to the 2017 season, Fitzgerald is a safe WR2 for this team.

6.01 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

7.14 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were greater than his actual production in 2016. That said, expectations are high for Parker again and (like with Abdullah) there is breakout potential if he can stay healthy.

8.01 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Coach Shanahan was his coordinator in Washington.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 14 Pick" »


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June 24, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 15 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 15
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.15 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: Along with Brandin Cooks, Thomas was one of two top-10 fantasy wide receivers for the Saints in 2016. The former Buckeye had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

2.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: No team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays than the Cowboys last season. Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, however, Bryant had 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). Bryant is a solid WR1 due to his dominance in the red zone, but he may frustrate fantasy owners with the occasional dud in a run-first offense.

3.15 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within Kyle Shanahan's offense could be an issue for Hyde. Beat writer Matt Maiocco wrote of rookie Joe Williams in response to a mailbag question, "So, yes, Williams has a legitimate chance to immediately unseat Hyde as the team’s top running back."

4.02 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

5.15 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco with limited competition for targets. Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Kyle Shanahan was his coordinator in Washington.

6.02 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick will remain at least a vital part of the team's passing offense going forward and a solid RB2 in PPR formats.

7.15 - Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: For the post-Rashad Jennings New York Giants, Perkins enters the season as the starter. The team's offensive line was essentially (and surprisingly) ignored in the draft, which is a concern for the running game as a whole, but Perkins should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches.

8.02 - Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: There has been some speculation that the rookie out of Toledo could "lead the team in rushing" in 2017. Either way, Hunt figures to be plenty involved in the offense this season. Extremely productive throughout his collegiate career (nearly 5,000 rushing yards), Hunt didn't test well athletically at the NFL Combine, but running backs in Andy Reid's offense can be very productive and the rookie at least has a chance to be the most productive of the group.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 15 Pick" »


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June 23, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 10 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard Scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to 2014 (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers share, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.03 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.10 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows."

4.03 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, how he fits within Kyle Shanahan's offense could be an issue for Hyde. There are a lot of question marks with the RB2 range (RB13-24) in general, however.

5.10 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: With an impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

6.03 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Back for (at least) one more season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in consecutive years with 100-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons.

7.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.03 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph shattered previous career highs with 83 receptions (previous career high: 53) and 840 yards (previous career high: 495) while scoring seven touchdowns. Rudolph should come close to those numbers once again in 2017.

Continue reading "Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 10 Pick" »


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June 22, 2017

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12-Team League, QB-Eligible Flex, No. 6 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: In what is effectively a 2-QB league given the QB-eligible flex position, the only two QBs I'd consider here are Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady and both were off the board. Even if they weren't, I'd likely wait. That said, it allows me to get a top-four non-QB at pick No. 6. Brown has finished as the top-scoring PPR wide receiver in each of the past three seasons and no player has a higher floor.

2.07 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.06 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: A dominant force in the red zone, Bryant had a 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). The duo of Brown/Bryant (and some nice values later) probably gives me the strongest wide receiving corps in this mock.

4.07 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Setting or tying career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. Hopefully the selection of D'Onta Foreman allows Miller to stay fresh(er) and a subsequent bounce-back in efficiency.

5.06 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: After consecutive top-10 fantasy performances, Eli finished as fantasy's QB21 in 2017. The offensive line remains a major concern, but he has the most talented group of pass-catchers that he has ever had in his career, which puts a third top-10 finish in four years within reach.

6.07 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Part of a dynamic duo with Amari Cooper, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns in both of his seasons in Oakland and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

7.06 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

8.07 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five).

Continue reading "Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12-Team League, QB-Eligible Flex, No. 6 Pick" »


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June 21, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 7 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 7
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.07 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

2.04 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: Finishing second in the NFL in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries), it was just the second 1,300-yard season for the Bears in the past decade. Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.07 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Poor quarterback play sabotaged Hopkins' 2016 production as he finished with just 78 catches for 954 yards and four touchdowns. That shouldn't happen again this season, but it's reasonable to temper expectations for a massive bounce-back with either a rookie or inexperienced quarterback under center.

4.04 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. With the release of Jeremy Maclin, Kelce could approach those numbers once again.

5.07 - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers: Breaking the collegiate record for all-purpose yards previously held by Barry Sanders, McCaffrey is a more valuable player in PPR formats like this one and he should immediately rank near the top of the league among running backs in receptions.

6.04 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders should improve upon his numbers from the past two seasons even if he doesn't bounce all the way back to 2014 production.

7.07 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Despite a potential committee approach, Anderson should still lead the backfield in workload and production provided he stays healthy.

8.04 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. While Devonta Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games and finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 7 Pick" »


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June 20, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR League with Super Flex

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 1
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Super Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.01 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: The only concern with Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons. That said, his full-season pace last year was 1,691 rushing yards, 100 receptions for 821 yards and a total of 12 touchdowns.

2.12 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints: A top-10 fantasy wide receiver as a rookie, Thomas had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Brandin Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room for growth in his sophomore campaign as the clear top target for Drew Brees.

3.01 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota should be even better in 2017 given the talent with which the Titans have surrounded the young quarterback this offseason. With a QB-eligible flex in this league, it's essentially a 2-QB league so I wanted to have at least stud quarterback on my roster.

4.12 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Playing only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013 -- a 16-game pace of 1,262 receiving yards. Signing just a one-year deal in free agency, Jeffery should be highly motivated to parlay that into a more lucrative contract next offseason.

5.01 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Just shy of the 1,000-yard mark, Adams shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

6.12 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: Graham exceeded expectations with 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns last year. One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar (or even better) numbers in 2017.

7.01 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: CJA should get the largest share of early-down work despite any committee approach the Broncos may deploy. Any of the three RBs selected in a row here are worthy of starting as my RB2 along with Bell.

8.12 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks and as much of a disappointment as he has been over the past two seasons, he enters the season as the backfield favorite for touches.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR League with Super Flex" »


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June 19, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 5 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 16
  • Draft Slot: 5
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.05 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: Jones has averaged 100-plus yards in each of the past four seasons at a clip of 109.1 YPG during that stretch and has led the NFL in that category in each of the past two seasons. So far, this mock has gone as expected as Jones is my fifth-ranked player on my big board.

2.12 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: In his first season with the Texans, Miller set or tied career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R. Perhaps the selection of D'Onta Foreman in Round 3 of the 2017 NFL Draft will keep Miller fresh(er) and lead to a bounce-back in efficiency.

3.05 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

4.12 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Missing the final nine games due to a meniscus tear, Anderson averaged just 4.0 yards per carry in his seven games played. Even with a committee approach, CJA should lead the backfield in workload and production.

5.05 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many (including myself) expected. With an impressive blend of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season if he can stay healthy.

6.12 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions and the dual-threat quarterback ran a little more often (60/349/2). Given the investments in pass-catching weapons, 2017 should be even better — perhaps much better — for this ascending quarterback.

7.05 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017. I really like his value in Round 7 of a 16-teamer.

8.12 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: There is a lot to dislike about Stewart: (1) recently turned 30, (2) three-plus missed games in five straight years and (3) averaged just 3.8 YPC last season. Even so, I expect Stewart to lead the backfield in touches per game and he's worth the risk here.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 5 Pick" »


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June 18, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:


Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBSam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings-6.3 (167.7 on 6/11; 161.4 on 6/18)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-15.4 (126.6 on 6/11; 111.2 on 6/18)
WRQuincy Enunwa, New York Jets-11.5 (152.0 on 6/11; 140.5 on 6/18)
TECoby Fleener, New Orleans Saints-4.7 (153.7 on 6/11; 149.0 on 6/18)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Continue reading "Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position" »


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 12
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.12 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.01 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). Another year removed from his torn ACL, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

3.12 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013.

4.01 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers: Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.

5.12 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: New head coach Vance Joseph has talked about using a committee approach and CJA missed nine games last season while averaging just 4.0 YPC. While I expect Anderson to get the largest share of the team's workload, I added a number of RB2 types with three straight picks.

6.01 - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: With 4.5 speed at 226 pounds, Mixon has the talent and versatility to stay on the field on all three downs. For the Sooners, Mixon carried the ball 187 times for 1,274 yards (6.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns and added 37/538/5 (14.5 Y/R) receiving in 2016. If not to start the season, Mixon should be the team's lead back by the end of it.

7.12 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.01 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many expected as he finished with 30 catches for 307 yards and seven touchdowns. With a tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, however, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick" »


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June 17, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.04 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. As safe as a pick could get in Round 1.

2.09 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

3.04 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: The volume was there (299 touches in 14 games), but the efficiency was not (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R, both career lows). Hopefully, the addition of third-rounder D'Onta Foreman will keep him fresh(er) and lead to a rebound in efficiency.

4.09 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Obviously, durability is the most important issue with Reed. Once again, he missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a monster 94/1,008/10 line.

5.04 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. He's a solid WR3 even if he never posts another 100/1,400 season again.

6.09 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Missing multiple games (again), Coleman had 118 carries for 520 yards, 31 catches for 421 yards and scored a total of 11 touchdowns. While Devonta Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games and still finished the year as a top-20 fantasy running back.

7.04 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16 in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). Even if he and Matt Forte for a "committee backfield," Powell should get the larger share of the workload out of the duo.

8.09 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick would be a viable RB2 in PPR formats -- let alone an RB4, as he is for this team.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick" »


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June 16, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14-Team League, No. 11 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 14
  • Draft Slot: 11
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.11 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.04 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) As the full-season workhorse, Ajayi could see a major bump in touches in 2017.

3.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well.

4.04 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Amari Cooper and Crabtree form one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL. In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.11 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Once again, Coleman missed multiple games, but he showed his big-play ability when he was on the field. Coleman had 118 carries for 520 yards, 31 catches for 421 yards and scored a total of 11 touchdowns. While Freeman will continue to lead the backfield in usage and production, Coleman had double-digit touches in 11 of his 13 games.

6.04 - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings should run the ball more often in 2017 than they did last year, but Diggs is clearly the team's best fantasy option at wide receiver and is a solid WR3 in a 14-team league.

7.11 - Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: The team's offensive line was essentially (and surprisingly) ignored in the draft, which is a concern for the running game as a whole, but Perkins enters the season as the starter and should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches.

8.04 - Hunter Henry, TE, Los Angeles Chargers: Henry finished his rookie campaign with 36/478/8 and he was especially productive during a four-game stretch early in the season (18/290/3 from Weeks 3 to 6). Even with Antonio Gates back, it's possible/likely that Henry leads the position group in targets and production.

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2017 Fantasy Football Top 200 Cheat Sheet

NFL mandatory mini-caps are now over and we have updated our Top 200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet.

Here is our Top-200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet:

1. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. And despite sitting out four games last season, Bell had a total of 75 receptions and eight-plus catches in four of those games. The only concern with the 25-year-old Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons.

2. David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals
In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). A Week 17 knee injury gave fantasy owners a scare, but Johnson is already training "full throttle." When it comes to the top-three fantasy running backs in 2017, you could easily argue that it's more a 1(a)-1(b)-1(c) as opposed to a "1-2-3" in the rankings.

3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys
Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to Johnson in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played.

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Finishing as the top-scoring wide receiver in PPR formats for three consecutive seasons, Brown has finished as the WR1, WR1 and WR3 in standard-scoring formats, respectively. Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. Over his past four seasons, Brown has averaged 100.2 receiving yards per game. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

5. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons
Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

6. Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants
He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

7. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats and only Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson scored more in PPR formats last season. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

8. LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills
In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

9. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers
Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

10. Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers
Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

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June 15, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.02 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Missing three-plus games in three of four seasons, Bell is as dominant as it gets when he's on the field. Finishing third overall in YFS (1,884) despite missing a quarter of the season, Bell averaged a league-high 157.0 YFS/G (nearly 25 YPG more than DJ or Zeke).

2.11 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient (4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R) in his first season in Houston, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches over 14 games. Hopefully slightly lower volume will lead to a bounce back in efficiency.

3.02 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Another top-10 season should be within reach in 2017.

4.11 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: In both of his seasons in Oakland, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.02 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and has played all 16 games every year except his rookie season.

6.11 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Sanders is hoping for a bounce-back season with Mike McCoy back in Denver, but he's a solid WR3/flex either way.

7.02 - Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Green Bay used three draft picks on running backs, but Montgomery is a strong RB3/flex for this team assuming he maintains his role throughout the season.

8.11 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: With a "[g]igantic year" expected for Parker again, perhaps this is the season that he breaks out. He's worth the risk here as my WR4.

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June 14, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: PPR Scoring, 2-QB League

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: 2-QB League with PPR scoring
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 8
  • Roster Setup: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.08 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631), Elliott scored double-digit PPR points in all 15 games played and averaged 21.69 per game as a rookie. With QB as deep as ever, I'm more than comfortable taking advantage of elite talent that drops and waiting on QB, especially in a 10-team, 2-QB league.

2.03 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. A top-five pick in standard one-QB leagues, Jones and Zeke give me top-three options at both RB/WR to start.

3.08 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Once again, Cooper is my team's WR2 (same in yesterday's mock). With a pair of 1,000-yard seasons to begin his career, he should be even better in his age-23 season.

4.03 - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: When healthy, Gronk is as good as it gets. While he has missed five-plus games in three of his past five seasons, he has averaged 69.3 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns in 88 career games.

5.08 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Thrilled to get Mariota as the QB14 in this mock since he's the QB8 in my rankings. Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions and the dual-threat quarterback ran a little more often (60/349/2). The team has invested three of four top-100 picks on improving the pass-catching weapons in this year's draft and free-agent Eric Decker recently visited the team, so 2017 should be even better for the ascending quarterback.

6.03 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Crowell set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line and a more consistent weekly workload, Crowell should have even more success in 2017.

7.08 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: Playing a full 16-game season, Edelman had a 98/1,106/3 line and represents a nice value as my WR3 in a PPR-scoring league. Even with the addition of Brandin Cooks to the receiving corps, I actually expect Edelman to score more PPR points than Cooks this season.

8.03 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Injuries prevented a breakout season, but his tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed could lead to a breakout in his age-24 season assuming good health.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: PPR Scoring, 2-QB League" »


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June 13, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 10 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we will draft (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 10
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.01 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

3.10 - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he's able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

4.01 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Crowell had single-digit carries in five games and less than 30 rushing yards in six of 16 games, but he set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line, Crowell could (or should) have even more success (and hopefully more week-to-week consistency) in 2017.

5.10 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, it's durability for Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his per-game pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line.

6.01 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Brandin Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he remains a WR2, especially in PPR formats, heading into 2017.

7.10 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as the RB23 (RB16 in PPR) in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season. Even if it's a "backfield-by-committee," Powell should lead the backfield in touches and production in 2017.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Teams, No. 10 Pick" »


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June 12, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock, No. 6 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Point-Per-Reception (PPR Scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 6
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.06 - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants: He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. Adding Brandon Marshall to the receiving corps could mean a few less targets as only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), but he is still a top-three fantasy wide receiver in 2017.

2.07 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, Bryant had a 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). The go-to receiver in a run-first offense, Bryant may have the occasional dud but he's one of the league's best red-zone weapons.

3.06 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: Inefficient -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R-- in his first season in Houston, Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. Even if he averages fewer touches per game, he should bounce back in terms of efficiency.

4.07 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability, there are concerns about his fit in Kyle Shanahan's offense. If things don't go as hoped for Hyde, I really like the PPR potential of the next three RBs that I've drafted as well.

5.06 - Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots: After missing nine games combined in his previous two seasons, Edelman played a full 16-game slate and finished the year with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. The addition of Brandin Cooks hurts Edelman's fantasy value a bit, but he remains a strong WR2 in PPR formats (or flex for this team).

6.07 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post similar or even better numbers in 2017.

7.06 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as PPR's RB16 in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season.

8.07 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: One of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, Riddick has averaged 5.12 receptions for 41.08 yards and 0.35 touchdowns per game over the past two years. Missing the final six games and having double wrist surgery this offseason, Riddick should remain at least a vital part of the team's passing offense going forward.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock, No. 6 Pick" »


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June 11, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting yesterday, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 9
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.09 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

2.04 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

3.09 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013. Maintaining that pace over a 16-game season would equal 1,262 receiving yards.

4.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well and the Jags should become a run-first team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.

5.09 - Donte Moncrief, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Missing seven games in 2016, Moncrief didn't have the breakout that many (including myself) expected as he finished with just 30 catches for 307 yards and seven touchdowns. With a tantalizing combination of size (6-2, 220) and 4.4 speed, Moncrief could break out in his age-24 season provided he can stay healthy.

6.04 - Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks: In his comeback from a torn patellar tendon, Graham had 65 catches for 923 yards and six touchdowns. All three of his 100-yard games occurred in the first half of the season with a 38/545/3 split (compared to 27/378/3 over the final eight games). One more year removed from the injury, Graham has a chance to post even better full-season numbers in 2017.

7.09 - Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Due to injuries, Montgomery moved to running back last season and that's the plan for him going into 2017. Ted Thompson used three draft picks on running backs, but Montgomery could finish as a top-24 fantasy running back in Green Bay's high-powered offense.

8.04 - Adrian Peterson, RB, New Orleans Saints: It wouldn't be much of a surprise if Peterson emerged as the team leader in terms of workload split (and production) with Mark Ingram. Even so, Tim Hightower averaged nearly 10 touches per game (9.7/G) last year with Ingram playing a full 16-game season for only the second time in his career.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 9 Pick" »


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June 10, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 3 Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect.

While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our team(s) will be.

Starting today, I will draft (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, I'll switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts to give you an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.03 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. The only concern with the 25-year-old Bell is that he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons, but he is my top-ranked player going into 2017 so I'd be thrilled to get him here.

2.10 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: A top-four pick with an impressive blend of size, power and speed, Fournette should become a workhorse sooner rather than later and potentially see north of 20 touches per game.

3.03 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons and could do so again.

4.10 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: A solid WR2 both to Amari Cooper and in fantasy football, Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns in each of his seasons in Oakland and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.03 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. He's a high-end WR3 for this squad.

6.10 - Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: The good news: 18 touchdowns. The bad news: 22 games. Unfortunately, Eifert has missed more games (26) than he has played (22) over the past three seasons, but he has been a dominant red-zone target, when healthy, with 18 touchdowns during that stretch. I drafted Eric Ebron for insurance later on in this mock.

7.03 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Finishing as the RB23 (RB16 in PPR) in 2016, Powell set career highs in yards from scrimmage (1,110), receptions (58) and touchdowns (five). With Matt Forte either out or limited down the stretch, Powell had 82/411/2 rushing (5.01 YPC) and 21/141/1 receiving over the final four games of the season. Even if it's a "backfield-by-committee," Powell should lead the backfield in touches and production in 2017.

8.10 - Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Garcon is coming off his second career 1,000-yard season (79/1,041/3) and he could be in store for a bigger season in San Francisco. Lacking competition for targets, Garcon had 113 catches on 181 targets in 2013 when Kyle Shanahan was coordinator in Washington.

Continue reading "2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 3 Pick" »


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May 29, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 4

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.


Here is Round 4 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

4.01. Sean Beazley III - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce had offseason shoulder surgery, but he is expected to be ready for training camp. Even though he has yet to have more than five touchdowns in any season, Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored. Going into 2017, Kelce will be a top-two fantasy tight end behind only Gronk.

4.02. Dan Yanotchko III - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Over his past 16 games, Allen has racked up 116 catches for 1,217 yards and eight touchdowns. Of course, the bad news is that those 16 games span three separate seasons as Allen has played just nine games over the past two seasons. Even though durability is the obvious concern, that 16-game production would equate to 169.7 (standard scoring) fantasy points, which would have ranked as the ninth-most had all 16 of those games occurred in 2016 only.

4.03. Brendan Donahue III - Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills

The obvious concern with Watkins is health (foot). Playing just 21 games over the past two seasons, Watkins had another foot surgery in January, but he is expected to be ready for the 2017 season. That said, foot injuries (especially for wide receivers) are always tricky and worrisome. When healthy, however, Watkins has the talent and potential to be domimant as we saw down the stretch in 2015.

4.04. Kevin Hanson III - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos

Coach Vance Joseph has talked about using a committee approach in the backfield, but CJA should lead the group in workload in 2017 if he can stay healthy. While he averaged just 4.0 YPC in his seven games played, Devontae Booker was a disappointment in a larger role and free-agent addition Jamaal Charles has no guaranteed money in his contract and has played only eight games over the past two seasons due to knee injuries.

4.05. Kevin Hanson II - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

Adams just missed the 1,000-yard mark last season, but he shattered previous career highs with 75 catches for 997 yards and 12 touchdowns. Going into the 2017 season, he is clearly the No. 2 option for Aaron Rodgers behind Jordy Nelson in one of the league's most-explosive offenses.
4.06. Brendan Donahue II - Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City ChiefsWare averaged 17.6 touches and 97.7 scrimmage yards per game last season. With the Chiefs trading up for Kareem Hunt in this year's draft, there is at least some speculation that Hunt, not Ware, will lead the team's backfield in touches and production, but I'd certainly be comfortable with Ware in the middle of Round 4.

4.07. Brendan Donahue I - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Oakland Raiders

Beast Mode is back. Coming out of retirement to play for his hometown Raiders, Lynch was a top-five fantasy running back in each of his past four full seasons. It would be unreasonable to expect that kind of production from him, but he should be a solid RB2 for Brendan with plenty of weekly upside in Oakland's high-powered offense.

4.08. Sean Beazley II - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos

After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Expecting a "pass-happy" offense under (old and) new OC Mike McCoy, Sanders said: "I had an opportunity to play in this offense my first year in 2014. I had 1,400 yards." It's clearly a quarterback downgrade for the Broncos compared to the 2014 version of Peyton Manning, but Sanders should improve upon his numbers from the past two seasons even if he doesn't bounce all the way back to 2014 production.

4.09. Sean Beazley I - Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

The first quarterback off the board, Rodgers is a virtual lock to finish as a top-two fantasy quarterback assuming good health. Since becoming a starter in 2008, Rodgers has finished as the fantasy QB1 or QB2 in seven of nine seasons (and one of those two outliers was his injury-shortened 2013 season).

4.10. Dan Yanotchko II - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins

Durability, durability, durability. Like "location, location, location" being important in real estate, durability is the most important thing with Reed. Once again, Reed has missed multiple games -- four games -- and he was less than 100 percent in many others. If he were to maintain his pace of the past two seasons over a full 16-game slate, Reed would post a 94/1,008/10 line, but how many games will we get in 2017?

4.11. Dan Yanotchko I - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Diggs had a few monster games -- back-to-back 13-catch games to start November and two separate 160-yard performances including his 13/164 outing on Nov. 13th. With Adrian Peterson missing nearly all of the 2016 season, the Vikings were pass-heavy (ninth in NFL) in 2016 after ranking 30th in pass-play percentage (51.12%) in 2015. With Minnesota's trio of running backs, I expect them to be run-heavy again in 2017, but Diggs is clearly the team's best fantasy option at wide receiver with a WR2/3 outlook for 2017.

4.12. Kevin Hanson I - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints

The good news is that Ingram played a full 16-game slate for only the second time in his career while posting career highs of 1,043 rushing yards, 5.1 yards per carry and 10 total touchdowns. With Ingram taking a back seat at times to Tim Hightower, the threat of losing an even larger share to Adrian Peterson is a real concern even if Ingram is earning more money and going into the season as the nominal starter.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 5

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.

Here is Round 3 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

3.01. Kevin Hanson I - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots

When healthy, Gronk is as good as it gets. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old tight end has missed five-plus games in three of the past five seasons. In 88 career games, however, Gronk has averaged 69.3 yards per game with a total of 69 touchdowns. The upside is big here with the 25th-overall pick in this mock.

3.02. Dan Yanotchko I - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins

Much earlier than I would personally select Landry, the 24-year-old receiver has averaged just 10.6 Y/R over his career, scored just 13 receiving touchdowns in three seasons and saw a year-over-drop of 35 targets as the team shifted to a run-first team. Relying on volume to be productive, Landry's 2017 production may fall short of his WR13 draft slot. That said, Landry has finished as the WR15 and WR17, respectively, in non-PPR formats over the past two seasons.

3.03. Dan Yanotchko II - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

Immediately one of the most versatile running backs in the NFL, McCaffrey doesn't have great size (202 pounds), but he has tremendous vision, patience and footwork as a runner. A four-down player, McCaffrey is most dangerous, however, as a receiver and a returner. Furthermore, GM Dave Gettleman made the following lofty comparison — "The best tackle-box runner I’ve ever seen is Curtis Martin out of Pitt. Christian is right there with him."

3.04. Sean Beazley I - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks

While Baldwin scored half as many touchdowns (seven) in 2016, he set career highs in both receptions (94) and yards (1,128) and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in back-to-back seasons. Baldwin remains a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 option in 2017.

3.05. Sean Beazley II - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Through three NFL seasons, Hyde has played 34 of 48 games and missed multiple games each season. Aside from durability concerns, there are worries about the lack of talent elsewhere on the roster impacting Hyde's outlook, but we've seen how productive running backs can be in Kyle Shanahan's offense. Then again, beat writer Matt Maiocco wrote of rookie Joe Williams in response to a mailbag question, "So, yes, Williams has a legitimate chance to immediately unseat Hyde as the team’s top running back."

3.06. Brendan Donahue I - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns

Crowell had single-digit carries in five games and less than 30 rushing yards in six of 16 games, but he set career highs in rushing yards (952), yards per carry (4.8) and receptions (40) in 2016. With improvements along their offensive line, Crowell could (or should) have even more success (and hopefully more week-to-week consistency) in 2017.

3.07. Brendan Donahue II - Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Lacy signed a one-year prove-it deal with the Seahawks with weight-based contract bonuses. As much of a disappointment as Lacy has been over the past two seasons, he enters the season as the favorite to lead the backfield in touches. There is both plenty of upside and downside with Lacy here.

3.08. Kevin Hanson II - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013. Maintaining that pace over a 16-game season would equal 1,262 receiving yards.

3.09. Kevin Hanson III - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos

Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Even though Thomas battled a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. It's reasonable to expect an improvement over last year's numbers even if he doesn't post another 100/1,400/10 season.

3.10. Brendan Donahue III - Brandin Cooks, WR, New England Patriots

Fortunately for Cooks, he goes from one Hall-of-Fame quarterback (Drew Brees) to another (Tom Brady). A top-10 producer in both PPR and standard-scoring formats last season, it's possible that he does so again. That said, I'd expect even more volatility in his weekly production, which could be highly frustrating for his fantasy owners (and Cooks). Based on what I believe is an inflated ADP for Cooks, it's unlikely that he ends up on any of my rosters.

3.11. Dan Yanotchko III - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Cook did not slip to the second round of the 2017 NFL Draft due to his on-field production at Florida State. While he didn't perform well in agility drills at the 2017 NFL Scouting Combine and there may be some durability and ball-security concerns, Cook exceeded the 100-yard rushing mark in nine of his final 10 games for the Seminoles with an average of 190.7 YFS per game during that stretch.

3.12. Sean Beazley III - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

With 4.5 speed at 226 pounds, Mixon has the talent and versatility to stay on the field on all three downs and has drawn some comparisons to Arizona's David Johnson. For the Sooners, Mixon carried the ball 187 times for 1,274 yards (6.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns and added 37/538/5 (14.5 Y/R) receiving in 2016. If not to start the season, Mixon could be the team's lead back by the end of it.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 4

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2
Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, we have begun our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season.

Four of our contributors are picking for three teams each in our 12-team, 12-round mock draft that will exclude both kickers and team defenses.

Note: It's a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur with comments from yours truly.

Here is Round 2 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

2.01. Sean Beazley III - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears

The Bears did not have much on offense last year, but Howard was the clear exception as the rookie finished second behind another rookie (Ezekiel Elliott) in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Along with Matt Forte (1,339 in 2013), it was just the second 1,300-yard season for the Bears in the past decade. Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he should see an even larger workload in his second season.

2.02. Dan Yanotchko III - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.03. Brendan Donahue III - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins

There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) As great as he was in the 200-yard performances, Ajayi averaged less than 3.0 YPC in four of the team's final seven games counting their playoff loss. Going into last season as the 'backup' running back, Ajayi clearly enters the 2017 season as the team's workhorse and as a top-10 fantasy running back.

2.04. Kevin Hanson III - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers

Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets and second-most fantasy points) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets and second-most fantasy points). The main difference for Jordy was his drop in Y/R (13.0 in 2016 compared to 15+ in previous four seasons played). Another year removed from his torn ACL and given the rapport and trust that he and Aaron Rodgers have with each other, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.05. Kevin Hanson II - DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans

Once again, expectations will be for Derrick Henry to cut into Murray's workload, but Coach Mularkey has called Murray "the guy." As "the guy" last season, Murray touched the ball 346 times for a total of 1,664 yards and 12 touchdowns.

2.06. Brendan Donahue II - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys

No team called a pass on a lower percentage of their plays than the Cowboys last season. Even though Bryant is clearly the team's go-to receiver, there were a few games where he disappeared (three one-catch games). Counting the team's playoff loss to the Packers, however, Bryant had 43/646/8 stat line over his final eight games (excluding Week 17 when the starters sat most of the game). Bryant is a solid WR1 due to his dominance in the red zone, but he may frustrate Brendan with an occasional dud in a run-first offense.

2.07. Brendan Donahue I - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Not only did Hilton record his fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season, but he led the NFL in receiving yards (1,448) in 2016. Furthermore, Hilton set career highs in both receptions (91) and targets (155), but he has scored five to seven touchdowns (six last year) in all five of his NFL seasons.

2.08. Sean Beazley II - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans

In his first season with the Texans, Miller set or tied career lows in efficiency -- 4.0 YPC and 6.1 Y/R. Miller gained 1,261 yards and scored six touchdowns on 299 touches in 14 games. The team used its third-round pick on D'Onta Foreman so they shouldn't overuse Miller and perhaps that leads to a bounce-back in efficiency.

2.09. Sean Beazley I - Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

A disappointment to those that took him in the first round last year, Gurley's numbers were consistently bad throughout his sophomore campaign. Averaging only 3.2 yards per carry on the season, Gurley averaged more than 4.0 YPC only once and never exceeded 85 rushing yards in any game in 2016. Some of the same concerns remain -- lack of elite weapons to keep defenses honest, shaky quarterback play and poor offensive line.

2.10. Dan Yanotchko II - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Poor quarterback play sabotaged Hopkins' 2016 production as he finished with just 78 catches for 954 yards and four touchdowns. Thirty-five wide receivers scored more fantasy points than Hopkins last year. That shouldn't happen again, but it's reasonable to temper expectations for a massive bounce-back after last season's disappointment with either inexperienced Tom Savage or rookie Deshaun Watson under center.

2.11. Dan Yanotchko I - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

With the Jaguars using a top-four selection on Fournette, a back with an impressive blend of size, power and speed, I'd expect the rookie to become a workhorse sooner rather than later and potentially see north of 20 touches per game. Given their strong defense, the Jags are likely to shift to a run-heavy approach after calling a run on only 37.26% of their plays (seventh-fewest) in 2016.

2.12. Kevin Hanson I - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but that will require an improved season from Bortles as well and the Jags should become a run-first team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 3

> Go back to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1

With the 2017 NFL Draft behind us, we are in the process of conducting our first Fantasy Football Mock Draft for the 2017 season. Four of our contributors each drafted for three teams.

This is a "slow" draft so picks will be added as they occur and I will add comments for each pick.


Here is Round 1 of our 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

1.01. Kevin Hanson I - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Even more dominant than usual down the stretch, Bell had five 100-yard rushing games with a total of 1,091 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over his final six games in 2016. And despite sitting out four games last season, Bell had a total of 75 receptions and eight-plus catches in four of those games. If there's a concern with the 25-year-old Bell,he has missed three-plus games in three of four seasons due to injury and/or suspension.

1.02. Dan Yanotchko I - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

In his breakout sophomore campaign, Johnson led the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,118) and total touchdowns (20) and led running backs in receptions (80) and fantasy points scored (in both standard and PPR-scoring formats). When it comes to the top-three fantasy running backs in 2017, you could easily argue in favor of DJ over Bell, but both backs are elite and will likely be the consensus 1-2 (or 2-1) picks in fantasy drafts this summer.

1.03. Dan Yanotchko II - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Leading the NFL in rushing attempts (322) and rushing yards (1,631) as a rookie, Elliott had a minimum of 80 rushing yards in every game from Weeks 2 to 16. Finishing second to DJ in fantasy points scored, Elliott had a minimum of 10.7 fantasy points (standard scoring) in all 15 games played. No team called a run on a higher percentage of its plays and arguably no team has as talented of an offensive line as the Cowboys.

1.04. Sean Beazley I - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Finishing as the WR1, WR1 and WR3, respectively, in standard-scoring formats over the past three seasons, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. With an average of more than 100 receiving yards per game over that span, Brown is as safe as it gets for first-rounders in fantasy football.

1.05. Sean Beazley II - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Jones had foot surgery on March 6th, but he's expected to be ready for the start of training camp and (more importantly) Week 1. With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 yards per game in four consecutive seasons. With good health, he's a clear-cut top-three fantasy wide receiver that should go in the top half of Round 1 in fantasy football drafts this summer.

1.06. Brendan Donahue I - Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

He may have frustrated fantasy owners, teammates and fans at times, but Beckham is now three-for-three in seasons with double-digit touchdowns and at least 90 catches and 1,300 yards. The only real concern with OBJ is the addition of Brandon Marshall. Only Tampa's Mike Evans (175) had more targets last season than Beckham (169), who could see perhaps 20 or so fewer targets in 2017.

1.07. Brendan Donahue II - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

No receiver scored more fantasy points in standard-scoring formats. Setting career highs in receptions (96) and yards (1,321) with 12 touchdowns for the second time in his three NFL seasons, Evans also led the NFL in targets (175). The addition of DeSean Jackson will mean a few less targets for Evans but less defensive attention as well.

1.08. Kevin Hanson II - LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills

In standard-scoring formats, only two running backs -- Johnson and Elliott -- scored more fantasy points than McCoy in 2016. In 15 games, McCoy had 1,267 rushing yards (a career-high 5.4 YPC), 50 catches for 356 yards and scored 14 total touchdowns. The return of Tyrod Taylor is a positive for McCoy's 2017 fantasy outlook.

1.09. Kevin Hanson III - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Green missed six games last season due to a hamstring injury so he failed to exceed the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his six-year career. That said, he still averaged a career-high 96.4 yards per game even with a goose egg in his final game played last season. Assuming good health in 2017, AJG is a top-five fantasy receiver.

1.10. Brendan Donahue III - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Lacking efficiency as a runner (3.9 YPC), Gordon made huge strides in his sophomore campaign as he was only three yards shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns in 13 games. If MG3 is able to stay healthy for a full season, new coach Anthony Lynn should help Gordon improve his efficiency and overall production in 2017.

1.11. Dan Yanotchko III - Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders

Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign, but he was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) of the season than the second half (31/366/3). Perhaps he will be more consistent throughout his age-23 season, but there are a few receivers that I'd prefer over Cooper at this spot.

1.12. Sean Beazley III - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

Along with Brandin Cooks, Thomas was one of two top-10 fantasy wide receivers for the Saints in 2016. The rookie had at least four catches and 40 yards in all 15 games played and finished the season with a 92/1,136/9 statistical line. With Cooks now in New England, there is plenty of room to grow in his sophomore campaign as the top target for Drew Brees.

> Continue to 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 2

Our 2017 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Fantasy Football Rankings (Standard scoring)
- PPR Fantasy Football Rankings

Check out more of our content:
- 2018 NFL Mock Draft
- 2019 NFL Mock Draft
- 2017 NBA Mock Draft
- NFL Mock Draft Database
- NFL Power Rankings
- Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator


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May 13, 2017

2017 NFL Power Rankings: Atlanta Falcons Post-Draft Power Rankings Roundup

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, it’s time for NFL teams to turn their full attention to getting ready for the upcoming season.

In previous seasons, we have published our own version of NFL Power Rankings.

Starting in 2017, we’ve decided to post a weekly consensus NFL Power Rankings throughout the season. Even though the media is far from perfect in ranking teams, the goal of aggregating power rankings from various sites is to arrive at a consensus outlook for teams.

Considering most sites have published a post-draft update to their power rankings, we figured now would be a great time to begin posting the consensus rankings.

In addition to gathering data on a league-wide basis, we will post individual team roundups so fans of teams can see where their team stacks up and what the national media is writing about them.

With that said, here is where the Atlanta Falcons rank in the post-draft edition of our Consensus 2017 NFL Power Rankings:

  • Rank: 2nd
  • Average score: 2.2
  • Best rank/site: 2nd (Multiple)
  • Lowest rank/site: 3rd (SI.com)

Based on where the Atlanta Falcons stand in this update, here is a roundup from the sources that are included in our consensus power rankings (sorted by best ranking to worst ranking):

ESPN: 2nd

No truth to the rumor that the Falcons had a 25-spot lead with a day and a half to go and coughed it up. Too soon? Well, so was the Falcons' slow-down game plan in the second half of the Super Bowl. In all honesty, they should be fine, unless Kyle Shanahan's playcalling was the key to the whole thing.

NFL.com: 2nd

Enough with the Super Bowl LI talk. Does anyone piss on "Star Wars" because of "Attack of the Clones" and the really bad choice for Darth Vader's grandkid in "The Force Awakens"? No. Let's quit viewing the Falcons' 2016 campaign negatively just because of the bum ending. Those guys balled out, and this team hasn't gotten any worse. First-round pick Takkarist McKinley and free-agent signees Dontari Poe and Jack Crawford are going to help the front seven. Ditto third-round pick Duke Riley. And don't forget that five rookies made a huge impact last year (Keanu Neal, Deion Jones, Austin Hooper, De'Vondre Campbell and Brian Poole). The personnel department is on a hot streak. In Hotlanta. You're welcome.

CBS Sports: 2nd

We know the offense is going to be explosive again, but they've added some nice pieces to the defense. They will be even faster on that side of the ball.

Fox Sports: 2nd

The Falcons traded up to land Takk McKinley in the first round, a fiery, raw pass rusher out of UCLA. He may start the year on the PUP list, but in the second half of the season, expect Dan Quinn to unleash him opposite Vic Beasley. LB Duke Riley gives Atlanta even more speed on defense, too – a good selection in the third. They're among the best teams in the league.

SI.com: 3rd

​​​​Atlanta didn’t need to mess with much on the roster, but Dontari Poe and first-rounder Takk McKinley add stoutness and speed, respectively, to a defensive line that nearly made the difference in the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan’s departure is the big question mark, but you don’t have to go back very far to find a contender that won it all with two first-year coordinators: The Broncos won Super Bowl 50 the same year Rick Dennison and Wade Phillips were tabbed to replace Adam Gase and Jack Del Rio when they got head coaching gigs.​

- View full consensus 2017 NFL Power Rankings

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May 08, 2017

2017 NFL Power Rankings: Patriots Unanimous Top Team in Post-Draft Consensus Power Rankings

With the 2017 NFL Draft now behind us, it’s time for NFL teams to turn their full attention to getting ready for the upcoming season.

In previous seasons, we have published our own version of NFL Power Rankings.

Starting in 2017, we’ve decided to post a weekly consensus NFL Power Rankings throughout the season. Even though the media is far from perfect in ranking teams, the goal of aggregating power rankings from various sites is to arrive at a consensus outlook for teams.

Considering most sites have published a post-draft update to their power rankings, we figured now would be a great time to begin posting the consensus rankings.

Below are the post-draft Consensus 2017 NFL Power Rankings:

RankTeamRecordLastChg.Avg.ESPNNFLSICBSFox
1New England Patriots0-0--111111
2Atlanta Falcons0-0--2.222322
3Green Bay Packers0-0--4.435437
4Pittsburgh Steelers0-0--544665
4Dallas Cowboys0-0--556293
6Oakland Raiders0-0--5.673576
7New York Giants0-0--7.297758
8Seattle Seahawks0-0--7.46101344
9Kansas City Chiefs0-0--9.68881113
10Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-0--10.814912811
11Tennessee Titans0-0--11.612129169
12Miami Dolphins0-0--121311101214
13Denver Broncos0-0--13.81014211410
14Houston Texans0-0--151116152112
15Detroit Lions0-0--15.61513112415
16Arizona Cardinals0-0--161817171018
17Washington Redskins0-0--172015161816
18Carolina Panthers0-0--18.41719201719
18Indianapolis Colts0-0--18.41920142217
20Baltimore Ravens0-0--20.21621242020
21New Orleans Saints0-0--20.62423221321
22Minnesota Vikings0-0--21.22122182322
23Cincinnati Bengals0-0--22.42325261523
24Philadelphia Eagles0-0--22.82218252524
25Los Angeles Chargers0-0--23.62524231927
26Buffalo Bills0-0--24.62627192625
27Jacksonville Jaguars0-0--26.82726282726
28Los Angeles Rams0-0--28.62828292830
29Chicago Bears0-0--29.62929313029
30San Francisco 49ers0-0--303130303128
31New York Jets0-0--30.63032273232
32Cleveland Browns0-0--313231322931
Sources: ESPN, NFL.com, SI.com, CBS Sports and Fox Sports.

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April 26, 2017

2017 NFL Mock Draft (Final version): Browns trade up for Mitchell Trubisky

The long wait is almost over. We are now less than 24 hours away from the start of the 2017 NFL Draft in Philadelphia on Thursday night.

Without further ado, here is my 2017 NFL Mock Draft:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M

Mock drafts are hard, but this pick is easy. As Sean Beazley noted in his mock draft, "[e]ven the Browns can’t screw up this pick."

With a rare blend of length, burst and freakish athleticism, Garrett has all of the tools to develop into a perenniel All-Pro pass-rusher. Even though rookie Emmanuel Ogbah led the team in sacks last year, only the Raiders (25) recorded fewer sacks than the Browns (26) in 2016.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Jamal Adams, S, LSU

Ideally, the 49ers would like to trade out of this spot and accumulate more draft capital. Assuming they are unable to move down, it's unclear who will be the first-ever draft pick in the John Lynch era, but I think the choice comes down to Adams or Stanford's Solomon Thomas. Perhaps the former safety sees a bit of himself in Adams, a defensive tone-setter and a great leader by all accounts.

3. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford

In most previous updates of my mock, I've slotted Thomas to the 49ers (and Adams to the Bears). I think Marshon Lattimore is in play here, but Thomas gives Fox and Fangio a versatile lineman with outstanding strength and quickness and a non-stop motor.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU

Despite rumors of a quarterback possibly in play here, this decision comes down to Fournette or Alabama's Jonathan Allen, for me. If teams are concerned about Allen's shoulders, it's possible he slides beyond this point. That said, their defense isn't the problem. Finishing sixth in total defense in 2016, they added premier defensive free agents in Calais Campbell and A.J. Bouye last month.

While the defense hasn't been the problem, Blake Bortles certainly regressed in his third season. One way to help him is to add a back like Fournette. Given his unique combination of size, power and speed, Fournette is built to be a workhorse back that will wear down opposing defenses and helps to change the team's identity into a run-first team that plays great defense.

(Projected trade: Browns/Titans)

5. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

Since professional football returned in 1999, the Browns have had 26 starting quarterbacks. At this point, it appears the Browns could move up for their 27th -- even if he isn't the Week 1 starter.

The biggest knock on Trubisky is his lack of experience as a starter (only one season). Possessing a strong arm and mobility, however, Trubisky completed 68.2 percent of his pass attempts with 30 touchdowns and only six interceptions in 2016 including a 17-to-none TD-INT ratio in the red zone.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State

There's a good chance that Lattimore is off the board at this point, especially if the Titans don't move back, but he'd be a perfect fit for the Jets. Lattimore displayed his elite athleticism (4.36 forty and 38.5-inch vertical) at the 2017 NFL Scouting Combine prior to tweaking his hamstring. His history of hamstring injuries is a potential concern, but he is extremely fluid with the cover skills to develop into a true shutdown corner.

7. Los Angeles Chargers (Draft History): Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State

Drawing comparisons to Ed Reed, Hooker is a ball-hawking free safety with tremendous range that finished his only season as a starter with seven interceptions, three of which he returned for scores.

8. Carolina Panthers (Draft History): Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

The last time Jonathan Stewart did not miss at least three games in a season was 2011. Not only did Stewart recently turn 30, but he averaged just 3.8 yards per carry last season. McCaffrey may not be ideally suited to be a workhorse at 202 pounds, but he's as versatile as they come and especially gifted as a receiver and returner.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Draft History): Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama

Better than the ninth-overall prospect in this year's draft, the Bengals would be getting a nice value if Allen slips to this point and they are comfortable with his shoulders. Allen would give the Bengals a highly disruptive, productive and run-dominant defensive lineman with the versatility to play multiple spots along the line.

10. Buffalo Bills (Draft History): O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama

Especially given the durability track record of receiver Sammy Watkins, adding pass-catching reinforcements would make sense. With all wide receivers still on the board, perhaps they add Mike Williams or Corey Davis here. That said, Howard is a complete tight end that excels as a blocker while also possessing elite physical tools (4.51 forty at 6-foot-6 and 251 pounds) to create mismatches in the passing game.

11. New Orleans Saints (Draft History): Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama

Given his failed/diluted drug test at the combine, however, it's likely that Foster at least slips outside of the top 10. While Foster begins his NFL career in the league's drug program, reports are that he has never failed a drug test at Alabama. The Butkus Award winner, Foster is a devastating hitter with sideline-to-sideline range that I've heard ESPN's Louis Riddick dubbed a "shutdown linebacker." Meanwhile, Greg Cosell compared him to Patrick Willis.

(Projected trade: Browns/Titans)

12. Tennessee Titans (Draft History): Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama

Upgrading the secondary was a major need for the Titans and their two biggest free-agent signings (cornerback Logan Ryan and safety John Cyprien) will help to bolster the unit. With the team releasing Jason McCourty this month, however, they will go into the season with two new starters -- Ryan and Humphrey -- based on this mock.

13. Arizona Cardinals (Draft History): Mike Williams, WR, Clemson

Possessing the size (6-4, 220) and physicality to overpower defensive backs, Williams isn't the fastest receiver, but he's fast enough. Bouncing back from his 2015 neck injury, the Clemson wideout finished 2016 with 98/1,361/11 and has the talent to develop into a true No. 1 receiver at the next level.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (Draft History), via MIN: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee

While he may lack the elite burst of some other pass-rushers in this class, Barnett's production is unparalelled as no player had more sacks over the past three seasons combined. In fact, Barnett broke Reggie White's all-time sack record at Tennessee despite playing only three seasons and the junior edge rusher became the first player in SEC history to record double-digit sacks in three different (consecutive) seasons.

15. Indianapolis Colts (Draft History): Haason Reddick, LB, Temple

A three-down linebacker prospect with tremendous speed and range, Reddick began his Temple career as a walk-on defensive back and has played a variety of roles for the Owls. As an undersized defensive end last year, Reddick finished with 22.5 tackles for loss, third-most in college football, and a team-high 10.5 sacks. Few prospects, if any, improved their draft stock since the end of the college football season as much as Reddick has.

16. Baltimore Ravens (Draft History): Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan

Both Mike Wallace and Breshad Perriman have elite speed as vertical receivers, but Davis has the talent to develop into a true No. 1 receiver for the Ravens. On NFL Network on Wednesday night, ex-Raven Steve Smith compared Davis to Terrell Owens and I think Davis is the best receiver prospect in this year's draft class.

In each of his past three seasons, Davis has dominated lesser competition with 1,400-plus yards and 12-plus touchdowns. The senior receiver has excellent size (6-3, 213), speed, hands and is an outstanding route-runner. Assuming Davis is selected here (or somewhere in Round 1), he will join Randy Moss as the second MAC wide receiver to be selected in the first round.

- Continue to picks 17-32 in our 2017 NFL Mock Draft

- For more 2017 NFL mocks, check out our NFL Mock Draft Database

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April 23, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the 2017 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule Rankings:

RankTeamPlayer(s)Cumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Minnesota VikingsStefon Diggs24.1571.45
2Carolina PanthersKelvin Benjamin24.0371.82
3Chicago BearsKevin White2467.23
4Seattle SeahawksDoug Baldwin23.967.31
5New Orleans SaintsMichael Thomas23.7971.2
6Tampa Bay BuccaneersMike Evans23.6673.01
7Atlanta FalconsJulio Jones23.5673.03
8Arizona CardinalsLarry Fitzgerald23.4469.33
9San Francisco 49ersPierre Garcon23.3166.47
10New York GiantsOdell Beckham23.0773.03
11Detroit LionsGolden Tate22.9866.82
12Dallas CowboysDez Bryant22.9566.14
13Los Angeles RamsTavon Austin22.9275.58
14Houston TexansDeAndre Hopkins22.8764.12
15Baltimore RavensMike Wallace22.6665.91
16Green Bay PackersJordy Nelson22.6368.05
16Washington RedskinsJamison Crowder22.6359.75
18Pittsburgh SteelersAntonio Brown22.6264.51
19Jacksonville JaguarsAllen Robinson22.5767.25
20Miami DolphinsJarvis Landry22.565.37
21New York JetsEric Decker22.4959.54
22Tennessee TitansRishard Matthews22.4575.16
23Denver BroncosDemaryius Thomas22.2868.11
24Cleveland BrownsCorey Coleman22.2777.86
25New England PatriotsJulian Edelman22.2365.85
26Cincinnati BengalsA.J. Green22.1868.63
27Indianapolis ColtsT.Y. Hilton22.1359.49
28Buffalo BillsSammy Watkins22.0968.52
28Philadelphia EaglesAlshon Jeffery22.0964.7
30Oakland RaidersAmari Cooper21.7971.17
31Los Angeles ChargersKeenan Allen21.5568.57
32Kansas City ChiefsJeremy Maclin21.5269.65

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2017 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule Rankings for 2017:

RankTeamPlayer(s)Cumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1New England PatriotsDion Lewis, Rex Burkhead19.4660.52
2New York JetsMatt Forte19.3661.45
3Carolina PanthersJonathan Stewart19.152.11
4Tennessee TitansDeMarco Murray19.0359.65
5Jacksonville JaguarsChris Ivory, T.J. Yeldon18.8959.83
6Chicago BearsJordan Howard18.7857.71
7Baltimore RavensKenneth Dixon, Danny Woodhead18.6965.49
8Cincinnati BengalsJeremy Hill, Giovani Bernard18.6648.18
9Seattle SeahawksEddie Lacy, Thomas Rawls18.6349.3
10Buffalo BillsLeSean McCoy18.653.53
10Dallas CowboysEzekiel Elliott18.650.58
12Denver BroncosC.J. Anderson18.5961
13Kansas City ChiefsSpencer Ware18.5758.85
14Arizona CardinalsDavid Johnson18.5551.08
14Minnesota VikingsLatavius Murray18.5550.71
16Philadelphia EaglesRyan Mathews, Darren Sproles18.3255.9
17Los Angeles ChargersMelvin Gordon18.357.95
18Indianapolis ColtsFrank Gore18.2556.23
18Miami DolphinsJay Ajayi18.2553.98
20New York GiantsPaul Perkins18.0445.28
21Houston TexansLamar Miller17.9665.1
21New Orleans SaintsMark Ingram17.9659.67
23Detroit LionsAmeer Abdullah, Theo Riddick17.8954.61
24Atlanta FalconsDevonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman17.8264.58
24Green Bay PackersTy Montgomery17.8255.27
26Washington RedskinsRobert Kelley17.8153.34
27Oakland RaidersDeAndre Washington17.6148.81
28Cleveland BrownsIsaiah Crowell, Duke Johnson17.5149.53
29Tampa Bay BuccaneersDoug Martin, Charles Sims17.4952.03
30Los Angeles RamsTodd Gurley17.4445.92
31Pittsburgh SteelersLe'Veon Bell17.2747.79
32San Francisco 49ersCarlos Hyde16.4348.7

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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April 22, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 1 to 16

Now that the NFL has released the 2017 NFL Schedule, we have updated our 2017 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule pages.

Our fantasy football strength of schedule (SOS) rankings for each position are based on last year's production. In other words, we average the fantasy points allowed per game (in 2016) for every team's set of 2017 opponents. The higher the number listed below, the more cumulative fantasy points their 2017 opponents allowed in 2016.

A player's fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect of his outlook. But if you're debating a pair of players to draft and they are otherwise comparable in your view, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie.


Here are the best Fantasy Football Strength of Schedules for quarterbacks in 2017:

RankTeamPlayerCumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Minnesota VikingsSam Bradford17.3350.1
2New Orleans SaintsDrew Brees17.1154.51
3Chicago BearsMike Glennon17.0554.26
3Carolina PanthersCam Newton17.0548.93
5Baltimore RavensJoe Flacco16.9451.84
6Tampa Bay BuccaneersJameis Winston16.8954.21
7Atlanta FalconsMatt Ryan16.8452.85
8New York JetsJosh McCown16.6846.67
9Green Bay PackersAaron Rodgers16.6150.78
10Buffalo BillsTyrod Taylor16.5851.96
11Seattle SeahawksRussell Wilson16.5149.52
12Pittsburgh SteelersBen Roethlisberger16.4745.08
13Miami DolphinsRyan Tannehill16.4146.93
14New England PatriotsTom Brady16.3949.18
15Cincinnati BengalsAndy Dalton16.3850.89
15Detroit LionsMatthew Stafford16.3849.18
15Houston TexansTom Savage16.3846.39
18Denver BroncosTrevor Siemian16.3651.38
19Arizona CardinalsCarson Palmer16.3347.95
20Jacksonville JaguarsBlake Bortles16.3144.75
21Cleveland BrownsCody Kessler16.350.23
22Tennessee TitansMarcus Mariota16.2949.89
23New York GiantsEli Manning16.1648.34
24Indianapolis ColtsAndrew Luck15.9343.52
25San Francisco 49ersBrian Hoyer15.9247.55
26Kansas City ChiefsAlex Smith15.8252.2
26Los Angeles RamsJared Goff15.8248.41
28Dallas CowboysDak Prescott15.7944.74
29Los Angeles ChargersPhilip Rivers15.7849.2
30Washington RedskinsKirk Cousins15.7744.3
31Oakland RaidersDerek Carr15.6547.95
32Philadelphia EaglesCarson Wentz15.5746.54

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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April 21, 2017

2017 NFL Mock Draft: Myles Garrett, Mitchell Trubisky to Browns

The countdown is on.

Instead of months or even weeks, we are now just days away from the start of the 2017 NFL Draft in the City of Brotherly Love. A high volume of rumors will surface between now and draft day, so for many, the 2017 NFL Draft can't come too soon.

Please note that there will be at least one additional update of this mock draft, no later than the Wednesday night preceding the draft.

For now, however, here is my updated 2017 NFL Mock Draft:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M

No position in sports, not just football, is more important than quarterback and the Browns lack of success in finding their franchise quarterback has been well-documented. Even though the Browns used a third-round pick on Cody Kessler in last year's draft, the quarterback position remains unsettled for the long term.

With so many other holes on the roster, Garrett appears to be a lock here despite reports the Browns may consider UNC's Mitchell Trubisky at No. 1 as well. Fortunately for the Browns, their five top-65 selections gives them the draft-day ammunition and flexibility to address the need.

Only the Raiders (25) recorded fewer sacks than the Browns (26) last season, but Emmanuel Ogbah, one of the team's 2016 second-round picks, led the team with 5.5 last year. Racking up 31 sacks in 34 career games, Garrett has the length, burst and freakish athleticism to make an immediate impact with the potential to develop into a perenniel All-Pro pass-rusher to pair with Ogbah.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford

“There’s the traditional trade chart, (and) we’ve got one of our own,” [GM John] Lynch said. “I think we know how we value that (pick). As I’ve said, we’re open for business. We’d listen to anything. But, I’ve always said you don’t like being 2-14, but you like having the second pick. I think it puts you in the driver’s seat with a lot of options at your disposal and we’ll explore every single one of them.”

If the 49ers stay put and are unable to find a trade partner to move back, this pick likely comes down to Thomas or one of the top-three defensive backs -- safeties Jamal Adams and Malik Hooker and cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Considering the potential for Kirk Cousins to call the Bay area his home this time next year, I wouldn't expect the the 49ers to use a top-two pick on a quarterback even though they currently go into the season with backup-caliber quarterbacks Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley atop the depth chart.

Even though the 49ers (albeit Trent Baalke) have selected defensive linemen with back-to-back first-round picks in 2015 (Arik Armstead) and 2016 (DeForest Buckner), they aren't exactly ideal fits in the team's new defensive scheme. Meanwhile, Thomas has outstanding quickness and strength and a tireless motor that warrants a selection this high in the 2017 draft.

3. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama

Signing Mike Glennon this offseason means the Bears should target the defensive side of the ball with this selection. Perhaps the Bears will select one of the top three defensive backs here (I had Jamal Adams mocked here in the previous version of my mock), but Allen would be a good fit provided the medical staff is comfortable with his shoulders. The SEC Defensive Player of the Year, Allen closed his collegiate career with back-to-back seasons of double-digit sacks and will help shore up Chicago's 27th-ranked run defense.

MORE: Bears select a QB in my way-too-early 2018 NFL Mock Draft

4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU

Going eighth overall to the Panthers in previous versions of this mock, Fournette may not last that long. Likely the first team to take a serious look at selecting Fournette (despite reports the 49ers could select him at No. 2), the Jaguars have built upon their strong defense (sixth in total defense in 2016) by adding Calais Campbell and A.J. Bouye in free agency.

Despite universal expectations that the Jags would take a step (or two) forward in 2016, they instead took a step backwards as the play of quarterback Blake Bortles regressed. In addition, Jacksonville ranked only 27th in the NFL in rushing offense (92.1 yards per game).

Adding a back with Fournette's combination of size, power and speed would take some pressure off Bortles. And Fournette is built to be a workhorse back that will wear down opposing defenses as the game progresses.

5. Tennessee Titans (Draft History), via Rams: Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State

Upgrading the secondary was a major need for the Titans and their two biggest free-agent signings (cornerback Logan Ryan and safety John Cyprien) will help to bolster the unit. With the team releasing Jason McCourty this month, they will go into the season with two new starters -- Ryan and Lattimore -- based on this mock.

At the 2017 NFL Scouting Combine, Lattimore displayed his elite athleticism (4.36 forty and 38.5-inch vertical) prior to tweaking his hamstring. His history of hamstring injuries is a potential concern, but he is extremely fluid with the cover skills to develop into a true shutdown corner.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): Jamal Adams, S, LSU

In the previous version of this mock, I had the Jets selecting UNC quarterback Mitchell Trubisky and the Tar Heel or another quarterback could certainly be in play here. Using (read: wasting) a second-round pick on Christian Hackenberg last season, however, the Jets may decide to wait until 2018 to add another early-round quarterback in a year where the talent is widely expected to be better (depending on which quarterbacks declare early).

Recently running a sub-4.4 forty at LSU's Pro Day, Adams has a first-round pedigree (father George was a first-round pick in 1984), the versatility to play either safety spot and is a defensive tone-setter. In fact, NFL.com's Bucky Brooks went so far recently to call Adams "the best prospect in the draft."

7. Los Angeles Chargers (Draft History): Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State

Once again, I have the Chargers selecting Hooker and if he's still on the board here, it's hard to imagine him the Bolts passing on him. Drawing comparisons to Ed Reed, Hooker is a ball-hawking free safety with tremendous range that finished his only season as a starter with seven interceptions, three of which he returned for scores.

8. Carolina Panthers (Draft History): O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama

If Leonard Fournette were available here, I think he'd be the pick -- and he was in the previous version of this mock -- as Jonathan Stewart recently turned 30 and has missed three-plus games in each of the past five seasons. If Fournette is off the board, I'm not sure that they add Christian McCaffrey or Dalvin Cook here.

The Panthers could use more dynamic pass-catchers. A top-10 prospect, Howard is a complete tight end that excels as a blocker while also possessing elite physical tools (4.51 forty at 6-foot-6 and 251 pounds) to create mismatches in the passing game. Howard had just two 100-yard games at Alabama, coincidentally both coming in the past two national championship games, but he should be much more productive in the NFL than he was in college.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Draft History): Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee

Carlos Dunlap had 8.0 sacks (and defensive tackle Geno Atkins had 9.0), but the Bengals could use an upgrade opposite Dunlap as 30-year-old Michael Johnson had 3.5 sacks and graded out as PFF's 105th edge rusher (out of 109 qualified players).

While he may lack the elite burst of some other pass-rushers in this class, Barnett's production is unparalelled as no player had more sacks over the past three seasons combined. In fact, Barnett broke Reggie White's all-time sack record at Tennessee despite playing only three seasons and the junior edge rusher became the first player in SEC history to record double-digit sacks in three different (consecutive) seasons.

10. Buffalo Bills (Draft History): Mike Williams, WR, Clemson

Before the start of free agency, there was rampant speculation that the Bills would part ways with Tyrod Taylor -- and many mocks, including mine, had the Bills selecting a quarterback in this slot. With all of the quarterback prospects still on the board, it's possible that the Bills select one of them here, but adding pass-catching reinforcements would make sense especially given the durability track record of receiver Sammy Watkins.

Possessing the size (6-4, 220) and physicality to overpower defensive backs, Williams isn't the fastest receiver, but he's fast enough. Bouncing back from his 2015 neck injury, the Clemson wideout finished 2016 with 98/1,361/11 and has the talent to develop into a true No. 1 receiver at the next level.

11. New Orleans Saints (Draft History): Haason Reddick, LB, Temple

A three-down linebacker prospect with tremendous speed and range, Reddick began his Temple career as a walk-on defensive back and has played a variety of roles for the Owls. As an undersized defensive end last year, Reddick finished with 22.5 tackles for loss, third-most in college football, and a team-high 10.5 sacks. Few prospects, if any, improved their draft stock since the end of the college football season as much as Reddick has.

12. Cleveland Browns (Draft History), via Eagles: Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

Since professional football returned in 1999, three quarterbacks have had double-digit wins during their time in Cleveland: Tim Couch (22), Derek Anderson (16) and Brian Hoyer (10). Out of that group, only Hoyer (10-6) has a winning record as a starter. Meanwhile, 26 of them have a QB loss.

It's possible that Trubisky doesn't last this long in the draft. Specifically, the Jets at No. 6 and Bills at No. 10 would be the two most-likely teams to select him. Then again, it's possible that the Browns trade up to get in front of the Jets to select Trubisky.

The biggest knock on Trubisky is his relative lack of experience as a starter (only one season), but he could at least enter the 2017 season as the backup to McCown in this scenario. Possessing a strong arm and mobility, Trubisky completed 68.2 percent of his pass attempts with 30 touchdowns and only six interceptions in 2016.

13. Arizona Cardinals (Draft History): Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State

The Cardinals are fortunate to have cornerback Patrick Peterson, but that means teams will heavily target the other cornerback. And for the most part, that has been met with plenty of success.

If college teammate Lattimore tops the cornerback draft class, you could argue that Conley is the second best in this deep and talented group. With good length (6-0 with 33-inch arms) and athleticism (4.44 forty and 37-inch vertical), Conley has started every game over the past two seasons and intercepted four passes in 2016.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (Draft History), via MIN: Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

If the Cardinals went in a different direction than Conley, I would expect him to be the pick here and he's been slotted in this spot in many of my previous editions of this mock. With both Lattimore and Conley off the board, perhaps the Eagles will go in a different direction here and target a corner in Round 2.

Breaking Barry Sanders record for all-purpose yards in college football back in 2015, McCaffrey may not be ideally suited to be a workhorse at 202 pounds, but he's as versatile as they come and especially gifted as a receiver and returner. One player comp for McCaffrey has been former Eagles great Brian Westbrook, but Westbrook himself doesn't seem to be a fan of McCaffrey at No. 14.

15. Indianapolis Colts (Draft History): Takkarist McKinley, OLB, UCLA

The Colts lost a number of pass-rushers to free agency or retirement (Erik Walden, Robert Mathis, etc.) and added others in free agency (Jabaal Sheard, John Simon, etc.), but you can never have too many pass-rushers. An explosive athlete with a relentless motor, McKinley had a breakout season for the Bruins with 18 tackles for loss including 10 sacks.

MORE: The Indianapolis Colts have the easiest strength of schedule in 2017

16. Baltimore Ravens (Draft History): Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan

Without Steve Smith and Kamar Aiken, the Ravens will rely on Mike Wallace, a free agent after the 2017 season, and former first-rounder Breshad Perriman, who missed the 2015 season due to injury and posted a 33/499/3 line in 2016. Both Wallace and Perriman have elite speed as vertical receivers, but Davis has the talent to develop into a true No. 1 receiver for the Ravens.

In each of his past three seasons, Davis has dominated lesser competition with 1,400-plus yards and 12-plus touchdowns. The senior receiver has excellent size (6-3, 213), speed, hands and is an outstanding route-runner. Assuming Davis is selected here (or somewhere in Round 1), he will Randy Moss as the second MAC wide receiver to be selected in the first round.

- Continue to picks 17-32 in our 2017 NFL Mock Draft

- For more 2017 NFL mocks, check out our NFL Mock Draft Database

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April 02, 2017

2017 NFL Mock Draft: Myles Garrett, Mitchell Trubisky to Browns

Now only four weeks from the 2017 NFL Draft in Philadelphia, the majority of free-agency moves and college Pro Days are behind us.

Leading up to the draft, I will project all seven rounds and 253 picks in the 2017 NFL Draft.

For now, here is how I think Round 1 could play out:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M

No position in sports, not just football, is more important than quarterback and the Browns lack of success in finding their franchise quarterback has been well-documented. Even though the Browns used a third-round pick on Cody Kessler in last year's draft, the quarterback position remains unsettled for the long term.

With so many other holes on the roster, however, Garrett is all but a lock as the No. 1 overall pick. In fact, the Browns have five top-65 selections; three more than any other team.

Only the Raiders (25) recorded fewer sacks than the Browns (26) last season, but Emmanuel Ogbah, one of the team's 2016 second-round picks, led the team with 5.5 sacks last year. Racking up 31.0 sacks in 34 career games, Garrett has the length, burst and freakish athleticism to make an immediate impact and the potential to develop into a perenniel All-Pro pass-rusher.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford

San Francisco's fourth head coach in as many seasons, Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch have time on their side after signing six-year deals this offseason. In other words, they have the job security to rebuild the roster with a long-term view in mind.

Neither Brian Hoyer nor Matt Barkley is the long-term answer at quarterback. And perhaps Kirk Cousins will be that guy (starting in 2018). But with so many holes and such a high pick in a talent-rich draft, it's unlikely that the 49ers reach for a quarterback here.

Even though the 49ers (albeit Trent Baalke) have selected defensive linemen with back-to-back first-round picks in 2015 (Arik Armstead) and 2016 (DeForest Buckner), Thomas has outstanding quickness and strength to go along with a tireless motor that warrants a selection this high in the 2017 draft.

3. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State

Signing Mike Glennon to a three-year deal in free agency all but eliminates the possibility that the Bears use this pick on a quarterback. If things don't work out with Glennon, however, it would only be a $4.5 million cap hit for the Bears to move on after the 2017 season.

At the NFL Scouting Combine, Lattimore sustained a hip flexor or hamstring injury (depending on whom you ask), but he participated in on-field drills at Ohio State's Pro Day. His history of hamstring injuries is a potential concern with Lattimore, but he has elite athleticism (4.36 forty and 38.5-inch vertical) and the cover skills to develop into a true shutdown corner.

MORE: Bears select a QB in my way-too-early 2018 NFL Mock Draft

4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama

One year after giving Malik Jackson a massive free-agent deal, the Jags signed Calais Campbell to a $60 million contract. Perhaps there are some concerns about arthritis in his shoulders or his overall level of athleticism, but Allen gives the Jags another highly disruptive, productive and run-dominant defensive lineman with the versatility to play multiple spots along the line.

In both news and other mock drafts, a common prospect linked to the Jags with this particular pick is LSU's Leonard Fournette. With the regression of quarterback Blake Bortles, a good and improving defense and last year's 27th-ranked rushing offense (92.1 yards per game), Fournette would make sense as well.

5. Tennessee Titans (Draft History), via Rams: Jamal Adams, S, LSU

Upgrading the secondary was a major need for the Titans and their two biggest free-agent signings (cornerback Logan Ryan and safety John Cyprien) will help to bolster the unit. While those moves give them more flexibility with this pick, it wouldn't surprise me if they added another defensive back here. With a first-round pedigree (father George was a first-round pick in 1984), Adams has the versatility to play either safety spot and is a defensive tone-setter.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama

In the previous version of this mock, I slotted a quarterback (UNC's Mitchell Trubisky) to join the trio of Josh McCown, Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg. Even though they team used (wasted?) a second-round pick on Hackenberg, the long-term answer at the position does not appear to currently be on the roster. If they go in a different (non-QB) direction with the sixth-overall pick, someone like Howard could help whoever is under center. Howard is a complete tight end that excels as a blocker while also possessing elite physical tools (4.51 forty at 6-foot-6 and 251 pounds) to create mismatches in the passing game.

7. Los Angeles Chargers (Draft History): Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State

Drawing comparisons to Ed Reed, Hooker is a ball-hawking free safety with tremendous range that finished his first season as a starter with seven interceptions. A pair of surgeries kept him from working out at the combine, but Hooker would be a Day 1 starter and upgrade for Gus Bradley's defense.

8. Carolina Panthers (Draft History): Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU

The last time Jonathan Stewart did not miss at least three games in a season was 2011. Not only did Stewart recently turn 30, but he averaged just 3.8 yards per carry last season. The Panthers signed Stewart to a one-year extension, but perhaps more than anything, that helps to alleviate his cap hit for 2017.

Given his unique combination of size, power and speed, Fournette is built to be a workhorse back that will wear down opposing defenses as the game progresses. With quarteback Cam Newton recently undergoing shoulder surgery, Fournette will help take some pressure off Cam while also significantly upgrading the long-term outlook of their rushing attack.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Draft History): Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee

Carlos Dunlap had 8.0 sacks (and defensive tackle Geno Atkins had 9.0), but the Bengals could use an upgrade opposite Dunlap as 30-year-old Michael Johnson had 3.5 sacks and graded out as PFF's 105th edge rusher (out of 109 qualified players).

While he may lack the elite burst of some other pass-rushers in this class, Barnett's production is unparalelled as no player had more sacks over the past three seasons combined. In fact, Barnett broke Reggie White's all-time sack record at Tennessee despite playing only three seasons and the junior edge rusher became the first player in SEC history to record double-digit sacks in three different (consecutive) seasons.

10. Buffalo Bills (Draft History): Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan

Before free agency began, speculation led to the Bills parting ways with Tyrod Taylor -- and many mocks, including mine, had the Bills selecting a quarterback in this slot. With Taylor agreeing to a restructured deal (or pay cut), adding reinforcements would make sense especially given the durability track record of stud receiver Sammy Watkins and free-agent departures of Robert Woods and Marquise Goodwin.

In each of his past three seasons, Davis has dominated lesser competition with 1,400-plus yards and 12-plus touchdowns. The senior receiver has excellent size (6-3, 213), speed, hands and is an outstanding route-runner.

11. New Orleans Saints (Draft History): Rueben Foster, LB, Alabama

Only the 49ers (30.0) allowed more points per game than the Saints (28.4) last season, New Orleans can use help at all three levels of their defense. The Butkus Award winner as college football's top linebacker, Foster is a devastating hitter with sideline-to-sideline range.

12. Cleveland Browns (Draft History), via Eagles: Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

Since returning in 1999, three quarterbacks have double-digit wins during their time in Cleveland: Tim Couch (22), Derek Anderson (16) and Brian Hoyer (10). Out of that group, only Hoyer (10-6) has a winning record as a starter. Meanwhile, 26 of them have a QB loss.

Passing on Carson Wentz last season, it's possible that they pass on a quarterback here given the talent that could be available in next year's draft. And with their number of picks including the second-round pick obtained by acquiring free-agent flop Brock Osweiler, it's possible that the Browns are able to package together an offer to pry Jimmy Garoppolo away from the Patriots (despite New England's apparent reluctance to part ways with their backup QB).

Completing 68.2 percent of his pass attempts with 30 touchdowns and only six interceptions in 2016, the biggest knock on Trubisky is his relative lack of experience as a starter. That said, the local kid (Mentor, OH) looks the part with a strong arm and good mobility.

13. Arizona Cardinals (Draft History): Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State

The Cardinals are fortunate to have cornerback Patrick Peterson, but that means teams will heavily target the other cornerback. And for the most part, that has been met with plenty of success.

If college teammate Lattimore tops the cornerback draft class, you could argue that Conley is the second best in this deep and talented group. With good length (6-0 with 33-inch arms) and athleticism (4.44 forty and 37-inch vertical), Conley has started every game over the past two seasons and intercepted four passes in 2016.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (Draft History), via MIN: Tre'Davious White, CB, LSU

Signing Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith in free agency addresses one of their biggest needs this offseason. Another big need that hasn't yet been addressed is the secondary. Last year's starting cornerbacks -- Nolan Carroll and Jalen Mills -- graded out as PFF's 92nd and 112th (of 112) cornerbacks last season and Carroll is now in Dallas. Essentially a four-year starter with outstanding cover skills, White could be the first (of potentially multiple) pick(s) to improve their secondary in the draft.

15. Indianapolis Colts (Draft History): Haason Reddick, LB, Temple

New GM Chris Ballard has been active in free agency as the Colts have added six new players to their front-seven. But there is still plenty of work to do to continue to improve this 26th-ranked defense (379.1/G) from last season.

A three-down linebacker prospect with tremendous speed and range, Reddick began his Temple career as a walk-on defensive back and has played a variety of roles for the Owls. Last year, Reddick finished with 22.5 tackles for loss, third-most in college football, and a team-high 10.5 sacks.

16. Baltimore Ravens (Draft History): Mike Williams, WR, Clemson

Without Steve Smith and Kamar Aiken, the Ravens will rely on Mike Wallace, a free agent after the 2017 season, and former first-rounder Breshad Perriman, who missed the 2015 season due to injury and posted a 33/499/3 line in 2016. Both Wallace and Perriman have elite speed as vertical receivers, something that Williams doesn't necessarily possess, but he has the talent to develop into a true No. 1 receiver with the size and physicality to overpower defensive backs.

- Continue to picks 17-32 in our 2017 NFL Mock Draft

- For more 2017 NFL mocks, check out our NFL Mock Draft Database.

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February 23, 2017

Way-too-early 2018 NFL Mock Draft: Browns Select Franchise Quarterback

We are still a week away from the 2017 NFL Scouting Combine and more than two months away from the 2017 NFL Draft in Philadelphia.

So, naturally, it makes sense to post my first 2018 NFL Mock Draft. (Of course, it makes no sense as there is so much that will change between now and then.)

But that won't stop me.

For simplicity, the 2018 NFL Draft order used below is based on the draft order for this year's draft. More than anything, the goal of this mock draft is to highlight some players and some possible fits, but this will clearly look so different with future iterations of this mock draft.

With all of that said, here is my early projection of how Round 1 of the 2018 NFL Draft could play out:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Sam Darnold, QB, USC

It appears to be a lock that the Browns will use their No. 1 overall pick in 2017 to select Texas A&M's Myles Garrett, the consensus top player available in this year's draft. Provided they don't trade for Jimmy Garoppolo or draft a signal-caller with their other first-round pick, selecting a potential franchise quarterback like Darnold would make sense next year if the Browns are once again in this spot.

Not only is the 2018 quarterback class widely viewed as being more talented than this year's crop of quarterbacks, Darnold has the potential to be the best of the group. With prototypical physical tools and outstanding poise and leadership, the redshirt freshman engineered a come-from-behind victory over Penn State in Rose Bowl as he threw for 453 yards and five scores.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Arden Key, DE/OLB, LSU

Based on my 2017 NFL Mock Draft (as of 2/17), Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers will get their franchise quarterback in UNC's Mitch Trubisky. There is some uncertainty with Key, who has recently taken a leave of absence for personal reasons, but he's an explosive edge rusher that set the school's single-season sack record (12) as a true sophomore in 2016.

3. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming

The Jay Cutler era is likely to end soon and both backup-caliber quarterbacks Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley are due to become unrestricted free agents. In previous versions of my 2017 mock, I've had the Bears select Notre Dame quarterback DeShone Kizer. It's unlikely that they pass on a signal-caller once again if they don't address the position long term this year.

Perhaps the Bears go with another Josh (UCLA's Rosen) at quarterback, but Allen has great size (6-5, 222) and plays in a pro-style offense although he is a bit raw. One AFC Exec told MMQB's Albert Breer, "He’s a big ol’ kid with a big arm, and he’s pretty athletic too. We gotta learn more about him, but the tools are there." Coincidentally, Allen plays for Craig Bohl, who recruited Carson Wentz to North Dakota State.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Derwin James, S, Florida State

With Tashaun Gipson signed to a free-agent deal before last season, the Jags may go in a different direction here. That said, James is a freakish talent that warrants a top-five selection and one ACC coach said the following of James before the start of last season: "Derwin James is flat scary good. He could probably start at all 11 positions. He’s one of those freaky guys who might be better than Ramsey when it’s all said and done."

5. Los Angeles Rams (Draft History): Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB, Alabama

The Rams could certainly use more weapons for or help protecting Jared Goff and I strongly considered slotting Christian Kirk or Calvin Ridley to them. But defensive back could be a need as well. Trumaine Johnson is a free agent this year, Lamarcus Joyner is a free agent next year and E.J. Gaines graded out as the 107th-best of 112 qualified cornerbacks last season. With experience at both cornerback and safety, the 6-foot-1 Fitzpatrick led the SEC with six interceptions as a sophomore.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA

Perhaps the Jets will address their need at quarterback in 2017 with only two unproven quarterbacks -- Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg -- on the roster. Considering they used a second-round pick on Hackenberg last season, it's possibly the franchise waits another year before investing a high draft pick in the position. Expected to be the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NFL Draft even before stepping foot on campus, Rosen's 2016 season was cut short by a shoulder injury and he will now have his third offensive coordinator in as many seasons. But if Rosen's still available here, it would be difficult for the Jets to pass on him.

7. Los Angeles Chargers (Draft History): Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame

Left tackle King Dunlap has played in only 19 of 32 games over the past two seasons and will turn 33 years old at the beginning of the 2018 NFL season. While the team's offensive line seems to be in perpetual need of an upgrade, McGlinchey would be a first step in upgrading it.

8. Carolina Panthers (Draft History): Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M

One of the most explosive receivers in college football, Kirk (5-11, 200) has 80-plus catches and 900-plus yards in each of his first two seasons in College Station. In addition, Kirk has averaged 22.25 yards per punt return with five returned for scores over the past two seasons. Meanwhile, WR/PR/KR Ted Ginn Jr. is a free agent heading into the 2017 season.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Draft History): Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama

While his sophomore season (71/776/7) was a disappointment at least compared to expectations and his freshman production (89/1,045/7), Ridley has elite speed, hands and route-running ability to develop into a true No. 1 receiver at the next level. If Tyler Eifert could stay healthy, the Bengals would have one of the best trios of pass-catchers with A.J. Green, Ridley and Eifert for years to come.

10. Buffalo Bills (Draft History): Sam Hubbard, DE, Ohio State

Originally committed to play lacrosse at Notre Dame and a high school safety, Hubbard is a freakish athlete that closed the season strong. Per PFF, Hubbard had seven total pressures and 12 defensive stops in the team's final three games. If he builds upon that momentum in 2017, Hubbard could become a top-10 pick in 2018.

- Continue reading our 2018 NFL Mock Draft

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January 27, 2017

2017 NFL Mock Draft: Three QBs in the Top 10?

Roughly three months until Round 1 of the 2017 NFL Draft in Philadelphia, here's one prediction that's sure to come true: This mock draft will look a lot different in April than it looks today.

It's virtually impossible to predict how things will shake out three minutes before the start of a draft, let alone three months before it. After all, some prospects will rise and fall following workouts at the NFL Scouting Combine and their Pro Days, teams will fill needs (or not) via NFL free agency, etc.

As we get closer to April, I will add more rounds to this mock with the goal to be a full seven-round mock draft.

With all of that said, here is my early projection of how Round 1 of the 2017 NFL Draft could play out:

1. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M

Obviously, it's a quarterback-driven league and the Browns (still) do not have a franchise quarterback on the roster. While the team used a third-round pick on Cody Kessler in the 2016 NFL Draft, he's a low-end, low-upside starter (if not a career backup). That said, if the team passed on a signal-caller at the top of last year's draft class, there's a good chance they won't feel compelled to select a quarterback with the No. 1 overall pick this year.

The Browns defense could use upgrades at all three levels. Not only did the Browns rank 31st in total defense (375.4 YPG) and 30th in scoring defense (28.3 PPG), but only the Raiders (25) recorded fewer sacks than the Browns (26) in 2016. On a positive note, Emmanuel Ogbah, one of the team's 2016 second-round picks, led the team with 5.5 sacks.

With Garrett, the Browns get a difference-making pass-rusher that is widely viewed as the top prospect in this year's draft class. After finishing with 11-plus sacks in his first two collegiate seasons, the explosive edge rusher had just 8.5 sacks in 10 games this season as he battled a high-ankle sprain in addition to facing many double and triple teams from opposing defenses.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Mitch Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

As usual, there are several quarterback-needy franchises picking at the top of the draft yet there isn't necessarily a slam-dunk consensus choice at the position. Not only is Blaine Gabbert a free agent (and not a good quarterback), but there is a good chance that Colin Kaepernick won't on the opening day roster either.

Only a one-year starter for the Tar Heels, Trubisky completed 68.2 percent of his pass attempts with 30 touchdowns and only six interceptions in 2016. With good size (6-3, 220), accuracy, a strong arm and mobility, he possesses all of the traits to potentially develop into a franchise quarterback for presumed head coach Kyle Shanahan.

3. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama

Will the Bears go with Notre Dame's DeShone Kizer or Clemson's Deshaun Watson here and make it two quarterbacks in the top three? (After all, Dabo Sweeney recently compared Watson to Michael Jordan.) It's certainly possible the Bears draft a quarterback here as they are expected to move on from Jay Cutler, but it wouldn't surprise me if they go with Allen here.

Few prospects are as safe as Allen. With the versatility to play multiple spots along the defensive line, Allen closed his collegiate career with back-to-back seasons with double-digit sacks and will help shore up Chicago's 27th-ranked run defense.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Jamal Adams, S, LSU

Possessing great size (6-1, 213) and a first-round pedigree (father George was a first-round pick in 1984), Adams has the versatility to play either safety spot, but he is especially good playing in the box. Having his best season, strong safety John Cyprien was the seventh-graded PFF safety (of 90 qualified), but he will be an unrestricted free agent this offseason.

5. Tennessee Titans (Draft History), via Rams: Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State

With a franchise quarterback in Marcus Mariota, the Titans exceeded expectations in 2016 and have a bright future. One area that needs to be addressed via the draft and/or free agency, however, is their pass defense, which ranked 30th in the NFL last season. One of the deeper positions in this year's draft class, the Titans can double-dip with a pair of first-round cornerbacks as I project in this mock.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame

None of the quarterbacks on the 2016 roster have shown that they are the long-term answer at quarterback for the Jets and both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Geno Smith are free agents anyways. Perhaps it's too early to judge Christian Hackenberg, but Kizer has all of the physical tools to potentially become the long-term answer for the Jets.

7. Los Angeles Chargers (Draft History): Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State

Drawing comparisons to Ed Reed, Hooker is a play-making safety with tremendous range. One year after letting Eric Weddle depart via free agency, Hooker would fill the void.

8. Carolina Panthers (Draft History): Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU

The last time that Jonathan Stewart did not miss at least three games was 2011. Stewart, who turns 30 in March, averaged just 3.8 yards per carry this season and there is some speculation that Stewart could turn out to be a cap casualty. A man among boys, Fournette has a rare combination of size, power and speed and his presence would help take some pressure off of Cam Newton even if Stewart isn't released.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Draft History): Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford

Viewed by some as a 'tweener, the redshirt sophomore was the Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year and was dominant in the Sun Bowl win over UNC. Possessing rare physical attributes, Thomas has drawn some comparisons to J.J. Watt and Aaron Donald, but the long-term upside is tremendous.

10. Buffalo Bills (Draft History): Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson

Tyrod Taylor's days as starter in Buffalo appear to be numbered, so the Bills could be in the market for a starter with this pick if (at least) one of the top-three signal-callers is still available here. First-round bust E.J. Manuel will be an unrestricted free agent and the only other quarterback on the roster is fourth-rounder Cardale Jones.

There is plenty to like about the dual-threat Watson, who led Clemson to a national championship win over Alabama and a runner-up finish the year before. While he has come up big in big games, he has struggled with accuracy and thrown too many interceptions -- 30 over his past two seasons -- so it's possible that Trubisky and/or Kizer are selected before him.

11. New Orleans Saints (Draft History): Rueben Foster, LB, Alabama

The Saints have finished 27th in team defense and have failed to make the postseason in each of the past three seasons. Obviously, adding playmakers to all three levels of their defense should be their offseason priority. The Butkus Award winner as college football's top linebacker, Foster is a devastating hitter with sideline-to-sideline range.

12. Cleveland Browns (Draft History), via Eagles: Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State

Isaiah Crowell had a number of big games (four 100-yard games), but he also rushed for less than 30 yards in seven of 16 games. Cook is a true difference-maker at the position and is a threat to take it to the house any time he touches the ball.

13. Arizona Cardinals (Draft History): Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan

The first wide receiver off the board in this mock, Davis has dominated lesser competition with 1,400-plus yards and 12-plus touchdowns in each of his past three seasons. The senior receiver has excellent size (6-3, 213), speed, hands and is an outstanding route-runner.

While the Cardinals had a trio of receivers with 50-plus catches for 800-plus yards in 2015, wide receiver has become a position of need with plenty of question marks over the short term. While Larry Fitzgerald is expected back in 2017, his career is winding down, the team cut Michael Floyd earlier this season after his DUI arrest and John Brown has had some health concerns.

** Note: A coin flip will break a tie to determine whether the Colts or Eagles pick 14th or 15th. **

14. Indianapolis Colts (Draft History): Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee

Far from the most explosive edge rusher, Barnett has been one of college football's most productive. After all, Barnett broke Reggie White's school record with 33 sacks in just three seasons.

The Colts had two players that recorded more than three sacks -- Erik Walden (11.0) and Robert Mathis (5.0). Walden is an unrestricted free agent and the soon-to-be 36-year-old Robert Mathis has announced his retirement.

15. Philadelphia Eagles (Draft History), via MIN: Teez Tabor, CB, Florida

Tabor certainly doesn't lack confidence and ex-Florida coach Will Muschamps put Tabor in his "starting five" of trash-talkers. But Tabor has the size, aggressive demeanor and ball skills to help upgrade a positional unit in massive need of improvement.

16. Baltimore Ravens (Draft History): Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama

As PFF's 19th-graded offensive tackle, starting right tackle Ricky Wagner is about to become an unrestricted free agent. Especially if the Ravens are unable to re-sign Wagner, Robinson would be a good fit here. Even though he has started exclusively on the left side at Alabama, he may be a better fit on the right side opposite last year's first-round pick Ronnie Stanley.

- Continue to picks 17-32 in our 2017 NFL Mock Draft

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January 20, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy TE Rankings

As the final four teams vie for an opportunity to advance to Super Bowl LI, both games should feature plenty of offense with game totals of 61 and 51 points, respectively, for the NFC and AFC Conference Championship Games.

Here are our Conference Championship fantasy tight end rankings:

1. Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers

For the second time this season, Cook had a six-catch, 100-yard performance with a touchdown as he finished Sunday's game with 6/104/1 on 11 targets. The frustrating aspect of starting Cook is his propensity to lay an egg following big games. After his other 100-yard game, Cook had one catch for seven yards in the next game. On a positive note, Cook has eight-plus targets in four of his past five games and Aaron Rodgers is playing as well as ever. In addition, Green Bay's wide receivers are banged up, which could lead to more reliance on Randall Cobb and Cook.

2. Martellus Bennett, New England Patriots

Bennett has had his share of small performances -- three games of five yards or less, six games of 15 yards or less, etc. On the other hand, Bennett has three 100-yard games and another game with three TDs this season. In other words, the range of potential outcomes for the first-year Patriots tight end is wide.

3. Ladarius Green, Pittsburgh Steelers

Here's the good news: Green has 67-plus yards in three of his past four games played. The bad news? Green has played just six games this season and he hasn't played since Week 15. It's unclear if Green (concussion) will be able to go in this week's AFC Championship Game against the Patriots, but he would be a top-three option at tight end if he's cleared by Sunday.

4. Jesse James, Pittsburgh Steelers

James converted six targets into five catches for 83 yards against the Chiefs and he'll be a top-three option at the position if Ladarius Green (concussion) is not cleared in time for Sunday's game.

5. Levine Toilolo, Atlanta Falcons

Toilolo led Atlanta's tight ends in targets (four) and finished with two catches for 26 yards. While he's a TD-dependent option, the Falcons have a weekend-high 32-point team total so touchdowns could be plentiful on Sunday.

6. Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta's tight end of the future, Hooper turned his lone target into a 10-yard reception as Levine Toilolo led the position group with two catches for 26 yards on four targets. Neither option is too appealing on their own merits, but both are daily fantasy tournament dart throws given the dearth of options at the position this week for a team that is expected to be the highest-scoring team.

7. Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

During Green Bay's eight-game winning streak, Aaron Rodgers has targeted the other Rodgers no more than two times in any of those wins. That said, he does have two touchdowns in his past four games and it's always possible that he makes the most of his one reception -- like he did in Dallas.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

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January 19, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy WR Rankings

Among the four major fantasy positions, wide receiver has the most injury question marks going into this Sunday's games. As Sunday approaches, hopefully we will gain clarity about the status of those dealing with injuries.

With that said, here are our current Conference Championship Game fantasy wide receiver rankings:

1. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers

It's rare to call a 106/1,284/12 season a disappointment, but Brown set four-year lows in both catches and yards in 2016. That said, the talented receiver has back-to-back 100-yard games this postseason and is a slam-dunk top-two option this weekend.

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons

If there's any concern with Jones, it's his foot but Atlanta's stud receiver will certainly suit up on Sunday. With a 6/67/1 line on eight targets, Jones spent nearly all of the second half of the sidelines due to his foot ailment, but part of that was Atlanta being cautious as they had a commanding lead. No team allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season than the Packers and Dez Bryant just lit up Green Bay's secondary for 9/132/2.

3. Julian Edelman, New England Patriots

Especially in PPR formats, Edelman has an extremely high floor as Tom Brady's trusted top target. With double-digit targets in seven of eight games, Edelman has had his two best games of the season in his past two -- 8/151/1 and 8/137. Edelman has a minimum of 73 yards in nine consecutive games and at least seven catches in seven of those nine games.

4. Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers

Gaining only 47 yards on 11 carries, Montgomery now has four consecutive games with less than 50 rushing yards, but he scored on two of those 11 carries. Not only have the Falcons allowed 19 touchdowns to opposing "running backs," but no team has allowed more receptions (109) to the position.

5. Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers

Cobb had a solid, but not spectacular, performance (7/62/0) in the Divisional Round after he blew up for a 5/116/3 game the previous week. In a heavyweight fight between two offensive juggernauts, Cobb has plenty of upside (as do most of the other options in this game).

6. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams have 12 touchdowns in the regular season and finish just three yards shy of 1,000, but he has double-digit targets in back-to-back games with a total of 13/201/1. If Jordy Nelson (ribs) is unable to go once again, Adams should see double-digit targets from Aaron Rodgers, who's playing as well as he has ever played. That is, assuming Adams is ready himself. Adams is dealing with an ankle injury and may not practice until Saturday. Adams is expected to play but only because it's the playoffs.

7. Taylor Gabriel, Atlanta Falcons

While Gabriel is a gadget player, he has been productive since Week 8 for the high-powered Falcons offense when he caught all three of his targets for 68 yards and a score. The opponent that week? The same one he faces this week. Going back to that game against the Packers, Gabriel has 31/543/6 receiving and 4/51/1 rushing in nine games.

8. Mohamed Sanu, Atlanta Falcons

On a two-game slate, virtually every skill-position player is in play, of course. That said, Sanu is a TD-reliant option for the Falcons as he has scored in back-to-back games, but he has five or fewer targets in five consecutive games. Given that Atlanta has the highest implied total from Vegas odds, touchdowns should be plentiful in an expected shootout Sunday afternoon.

9. Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers

Rogers has at least four receptions in four of his past five games, but he has 27 yards or less in back-to-back games and no scores in four straight. Rogers is a low-upside option on Sunday's two-game slate.

10. Chris Hogan, New England Patriots

In his first season with the Patriots, Hogan averaged a career-high 17.9 Y/R and had four catches for 95 yards in Saturday's win over the Texans. That said, Hogan has had five targets or less in all but two games this season.

11. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers

Dealing with at least two broken ribs, Nelson sat out the past two games and is likely to sit out this weekend as well, but there is a "small chance" that he is able to go. Nelson had 97 catches for 1,257 yards and 14 touchdowns last season and he'd be a top-three option if he's active. If he's not, it's a boost to Davante Adams, Randall Cobb and the rest of the Green Bay pass-catchers.

12. Malcolm Mitchell, New England Patriots

Mitchell has been battling a knee injury and has missed the previous two games (plus bye week), but he may return this week. If so, it just makes even harder to trust any Patriots receiver other than Edelman.

13. Geronimo Allison, Green Bay Packers

If Nelson sits again, Allison will be counted on as the team's No. 3 "wide receiver," but he could still be fifth in line for targets behind Adams, Cobb, Montgomery and Jared Cook. In addition, Allison is battling a hamstring injury and is less than 100 percent. The UDFA out of Illinois has a total of 13 catches for 211 yards and a touchdown in his past four games combined.

Here are the best of the rest:

14. Justin Hardy, Atlanta Falcons
15. Danny Amendola, New England Patriots
16. Michael Floyd, New England Patriots
17. Cobi Hamilton, Pittsburgh Steelers
18. Jeff Janis, Green Bay Packers
19. DeMarcus Ayers, Pittsburgh Steelers
20. Trevor Davis, Green Bay Packers
21. Sammie Coates, Pittsburgh Steelers
22. Aldrick Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
23. Nick Williams, Atlanta Falcons

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

Conference Championship Round DFS Cheat Sheets:

Also, check out my 2017 NFL Mock Draft.

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Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy RB Rankings

As the final four teams vie for an opportunity to advance to Super Bowl LI, both games should feature plenty of offense with game totals of 61 and 51 points, respectively, for the NFC and AFC Conference Championship Games.

With that said, here are my fantasy football running back rankings for Sunday's games:

1. Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers

The Patriots' defensive game plan typically focuses on shutting (or slowing) down the opponent's biggest weapon. As talented as Antonio Brown is, the Patriots will (likely) make slowing down Bell their primary objective. That is easier said than done. With seven 100-yard rushing games in his past eight, Bell has a total of 220/1,172/8 rushing (5.33 YPC) and 34/259/1 receiving over that eight-game span.

2. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons

Freeman carried the ball 14 times for just 45 yards on Saturday, but he still racked up 125 yards from scrimmage with a touchdown for a productive fantasy outing. Once again exceeding 1,000 rushing yards and 50 receptions on the season, Freeman has scored a combined 28 touchdowns in his past 32 games. As home favorites in a game with a massive 61-point game total, Freeman should see 18-plus touches and is a good bet to find the end zone.

3. Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons

Not only is Coleman a viable start in playoff and/or daily fantasy leagues, but it's not a bad idea to start him along with Freeman. The 1(b) to Freeman's 1(a), Coleman had double-digit touches in all but two games (Weeks 6 and 7) this season and finished as a top-25 weekly fantasy running back in nine of 13 regular-season games played. Coleman scored 12 touchdowns in 14 games including Saturday's win over Seattle and is a threat to take it to the house any time he touches the ball.

4. Dion Lewis, New England Patriots

With a trifecta of touchdowns (rushing, receiving and return), Lewis (15) had nearly twice the amount of touches as LeGarrette Blount (seven) on Saturday. Projecting workloads for Patriots running backs is always a challenge, but Lewis appears to have emerged as the team's lead back with a team-high 70 combined touches over the past four games.

5. LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots

Setting career highs across the board this season with 299 carries, 1,161 yards and a league-high 18 touchdowns, Blount is no longer a lock for a massive workload if the Pats happen to jump out to a big lead with Lewis' role expanding recently. Blount had a season-low eight carries for 31 yards, which tied a season low, on Saturday.

6. Aaron Ripkowski, Green Bay Packers

On an eight-game winning streak, the Packers have scored 30-plus points in six consecutive games. Ripkowski will get the occasional carry (four last week) or reception (two the previous week), but his biggest chance for fantasy relevance is to potentially vulture a short-yardage touchdown from Ty Montgomery.

7. James White, New England Patriots

It's clear that White has become a distant third in line behind both Lewis and Blount in usage among the team's running backs as he had just one touch -- albeit a 19-yard touchdown reception -- last week.

8. Christine Michael, Green Bay Packers

Finishing the year as Seattle's leading rusher, Michael had zero touches for the Packers in their instant-classic victory over the Cowboys after getting 10 carries in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Despite his talent, it would take an injury for Michael to see fantasy-relevant snaps and usage.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

Conference Championship Round DFS Cheat Sheets:

Also, check out my 2017 NFL Mock Draft.

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January 18, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Fantasy QB Rankings

And then there were four.

Down to the NFL's version of the Final Four, the Falcons will host the Packers and the Patriots will host the Steelers in Sunday's Conference Championship games.

Not only do both games have over/unders in excess of 50 points, but the combined totals for the two games is 112.0 points so there should be no shortage of offense.

With that said, here are our fantasy quarterback rankings for Sunday's Conference Championship Games:

1. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

Not only did Ryan lead the NFL in Y/A (9.3), TD% (7.1) and passer rating (117.1), but Ryan gets a soft matchup against the Packers this week. Green Bay ranked 32nd in Y/A allowed (8.1) and only the Browns (36) and Lions (33) allowed more passing touchdowns than the Packers (32) this season. Ryan has been playing especially well lately with 14 touchdowns and no interceptions over his past five games and a minimum passer rating of 121.8 in each of those contests.

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

It appears unlikely that Jordy Nelson (broken ribs) will be able to return this week, but the future first-ballot Hall-of-Famer is perhaps playing as well as he has ever played. Over his past nine games, Rodgers has thrown 24 touchdowns to only one interception. Not only have the Packers scored 30-plus points in six consecutive games, but Rodgers has thrown for 300-plus yards in four straight. In an expected shootout with an over/under of 61 points, Rodgers has as much upside as any quarterback this weekend.

3. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

With only one 300-yard game in his past eight games played since Rob Gronkowski was injured, Brady has still managed to throw 18 touchdowns during that eight-game span. While he had only three interceptions over that stretch, two of them came last week against Houston's second-ranked NFL pass defense. His upside isn't as high without Gronk, but it's never a bad idea to start Brady in fantasy.

4. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

There is clearly a difference between the home and road versions of Big Ben. In seven home games this season, Roethlisberger has a 22:7 TD-INT ratio, 70.9 completion percentage and 8.66 Y/A. On the road, however, he has thrown as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (nine) this season while completing less than 60 percent of his pass attempts (59.9%) for only 6.78 Y/A.

Conference Championship Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

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January 13, 2017

Divisional Round Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

Perhaps the best weekend of the football year kicks off on Saturday as the final eight teams will square off for the right to advance to the AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games.


Here are our top-eight fantasy football quarterback rankings for this weekend's slate of games:

1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers: Against the Giants on Sunday, Rodgers threw for 362 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions to extend his streak of 300/4 games to three. Over his past eight games, Rodgers has thrown 22 touchdowns and no interceptions. It appears that Jordy Nelson (ribs) is unlikely to play this week, but as well as Rodgers has been playing, he's easily the top quarterback option in fantasy this weekend.

2. Matt Ryan, Falcons: Only Aaron Rodgers scored more fantasy points this season than Ryan, who had a career (and MVP-caliber) season. Not only did Ryan set career highs in yards (4,944) and touchdowns (38) and a career low in interceptions (seven), he led the league in TD% (7.1), Y/A (9.3) and passer rating (117.1). Along with Carson Palmer and Tom Brady, Ryan was one of just three quarterbacks to throw for 300-plus yards against Seattle this season.

3. Tom Brady, Patriots: Since Week 11, Brady has thrown for 300-plus yards in only one of seven games, but he does have a 16:1 TD-INT ratio during that seven-game span. With one of the league's best secondaries, the Texans allowed the second-fewest passing yards this season and the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

4. Dak Prescott, Cowboys: Playing unlike a rookie, Prescott completed 67.8 percent of his pass attempts for 8.0 Y/A and threw 23 touchdowns to only four interceptions. In addition, he ran for another 282 yards and six touchdowns. Early in the season, Prescott led the Cowboys to a 14-point victory over the Packers as he completed 18-of-27 for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Even though the Packers have been playing much better defense lately, this is still a plus matchup for Dak and the Cowboys.

5. Russell Wilson, Seahawks: Coming off an efficient 23-of-30 playoff performance, it has been an up-and-down season for Wilson and Seattle's offense. That said, Wilson has finished as a top-five weekly fantasy quarterback in six of his final 13 games this season. As much as the Seahawks would like to run the ball, control the clock and keep Matt Ryan and the high-powered Falcons offense off the field, they could find themselves needing to keep (or catch) up in what should be a high-scoring game.

6. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers: Big Ben was a walking boot after Sunday's game, but it appears that his foot won't be an issue for this week's matchup against the Chiefs. Earlier in the season, Roethlisberger completed 22-of-27 for 300 yards and five touchdowns against the Chiefs. That was at Heinz Field, however, and Roethlisberger has some sharp home-road splits. Dominant at home (24.65 fantasy points per game this season), he averaged just 13.03 fantasy points in eight road games.

7. Alex Smith, Chiefs: An efficient but low-upside option, Smith set career highs of 3,502 yards and five rushing touchdowns, he also set four-year lows in passing touchdowns (15) and rushing yards (134).

8. Brock Osweiler, Texans: A distant eighth (among eight starting QBs) in this weekend's fantasy rankings, Osweiler led the Texans to a win over a Derek Carr-less Raiders team on Saturday. While he didn't play horribly, Osweiler still threw for just 168 yards (6.7 Y/A) and one touchdown last weekend. More than two-TD underdogs, Osweiler and the Texans are projected to score fewer than 15 points based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Divisional Round Fantasy Football Rankings:

Divisional Round DFS Cheat Sheets:

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January 01, 2017

Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 17 NFL picks against the spread:

New Orleans Saints +8 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)

Too many points here. Drew Brees does have notable home/road splits, but he actually isn't too bad in road dome games. This game has a total of 58 for a reason. I think the Saints upset the Falcons on the road here. Saints 38, Falcons 34.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 17 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Green Bay Packers -3.5 over Detroit Lions (5 Units)

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are on fire just at the right time. Cowboys fans better hope Detroit can win here because they definitely do not want to see this Packers team in the playoffs. I think both offenses play well, but Rodgers wins it late. Packers 30, Lions 24.

Houston Texans +4 over Tennessee Titans (5 Units)

The Texans have nothing to play for, but I still think they need to get things right on offense before next week's playoff game. The Titans secondary is atrocious. I think Houston keeps this one close enough, although I do think Tennessee wins to finish above .500. Tennessee 23, Houston 20.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 17 NFL picks against the spread:

Chicago Bears +6.5 over Minnesota Vikings (5 Units)

In a meaningless game from a playoff perspective, both teams will still have individuals looking to show off talent. The Bears have been surprisingly competitive of late while the Vikings have been a pretty big disappointment. An outright Chicago win would not surprise me so I'll definitely take the points.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 17 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 over Carolina Panthers (4 Units)

Cam Newton will probably play, at least some in this game. But the Panthers look like a team ready for next year. After a 15-1 Super Bowl season last year, I don't think they much care if they finish 7-9 or 6-10 at this point. The Bucs need a miracle to get into the playoffs but I think they look to finish the season strong at home and I like them to take care of business this week.

New Orleans Saints +8 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)

While this game has no playoff implications for the Saints, they still have some individual numbers to hit, and I expect all the starters to play. It's still a division game and the Saints can still play the role of spoiler for the Falcons seeding. I like a shootout, and eight points just seems like too much to me. I'll take the Saints here.

Seattle Seahawks -9 over San Francisco 49ers (3 Units)

The Seahawks still have a chance to finish as the two seed, and home-field advantage may not mean more to any other team. The 49ers have been bad all year, and it anything, a loss may help them get the first pick in the draft, depending on the outcome of the Browns game. I like Seattle to roll and cover the nine.

Denver Broncos -1.5 over Oakland Raiders (4 Units)

I just don't think you can lose your quarterback having an MVP-caliber season and pick up where you left off. Both Trevor Semien and Paxton Lynch will get some run this game and both will be looking to prove they belong as an NFL starter. I'll take Denver to win this one.

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December 31, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 17

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 17 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. GB), $6,000
RB - Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks (at SF), $5,800
RB - Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. CAR), $4,900
WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (at SF), $7,200
WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (vs. GB), $6,600
WR - Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (at DET), $5,700
TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (at DET), $3,100
FLEX - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons (vs. NO), $8,400
DST - New York Jets (vs. BUF), $2,300

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by boths us):

1. Sean - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks ($7,200): The Seahawks have one of the easiest matchups on the slate with a game vs. the 49ers. The Seahawks are one of the playoff teams with something to play for. With Tyler Lockett out for the rest of the year, Baldwin should get peppered with targets. He is very likely to be one of the highest-owned WRs this week, but I think he could 4-5x his price. I will have at least 30% exposure this week.

Comments by Kevin: Baldwin exploded for 13/171/1 on 19 targets against the Cardinals in Week 16. While he may not match last week's career-best numbers, the matchup against the 49ers is about as good as it gets and Baldwin had a nearly identical line (8/164/1) the first time he faced the Niners this season. In a week full of many meaningless games, the Seahawks can earn a first-round bye with a win and Falcons loss.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 17 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Kevin - Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($4,900): One of my favorite plays of the week, as noted in our Week 17 DFS Roundtable post, Rodgers is set up for a massive workload. Not only is Doug Martin (four-game suspension) out again, but Charles Sims was placed on IR this week. Earlier in the year, Rodgers had 35 touches against the Panthers when both Martin and Sims were out. While I don't expect 35 touches, it's possible that 'Quizz sees in the neighborhood of 25 touches as home favorites and one of seven teams projected to score 25-plus points based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Comments by Sean: When Doug Martin and Charles Sims were out earlier this year, we saw Rodgers get around 30 touches per game. Carolina has absolutely nothing to play for here, and while the Bucs are pretty much drawing dead, they do have a shot so they will be all over this one. Rodgers, like Baldwin, will be popular I believe, but he should pay off his price given the volume.

3. Sean - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions ($6,000): The Lions/Packers game is the chalk game to stack this week. It's a winner-take-all, and it's the prime time hammer. Taking Stafford over Aaron Rodgers gets you almost $2K of savings, which I think is significant given I think each QB has the same ceiling.

Comments by Kevin: Playing in the final game of the week (and regular season), Stafford and the Lions are small home underdogs against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in a win-and-in matchup. Speaking of matchups, it's good for Stafford as the Packers have allowed an NFL-high 8.0 yards per pass attempt and only the Browns (33) have allowed more passing touchdowns than the Packers (30). Earlier this season, Stafford threw for 385 yards and three touchdowns against Green Bay.

4. Kevin - Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions ($6,600): With a minimum of five catches in nine of his past 10 games, Tate has averaged 6.8/86.6 on 9.4 targets per game over that stretch. Not only should he see steady volume in a fantasy-friendly matchup (only Titans allow more DK points to opposing WRs) with plenty of real football significance, but he has shown upside with four top-five PPR finishes during that 10-game span.

Comments by Sean: If I am playing Stafford, I am definitely pairing him with Tate. Tate has had double-digit targets in three of his last four. It wouldn't surprise me here to see Tate flirt with 10+ receptions in this one especially if the Lions are playing from behind. My only fear here is the Lions get ahead and control the clock like they did vs. the Saints earlier this year. I won't have all my eggs into this game like I did that one.

5. Sean - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers ($5,700): Jordy Nelson will likely be the highest-owned WR of the week. He is off a monster game so you have the recency bias, plus he is in a killer spot vs. the Lions. Jordy should see a majority of Darius Slay which is why I am going heavy Adams. Slay isn't a shut-down corner by any means, but Rodgers isn't afraid to spread the ball around. Adams has 30-point upside and should be 15-20% less owned than Jordy.

Comments by Kevin: With more from the running game these days, Adams now has six consecutive games with five or fewer receptions. That said, Adams has four 100-yard games in his past 10 and a total of 10 scores this season. Given how often Aaron Rodgers looks his way in the red zone, Adams has enormous upside and should be much less-owned than Jordy this week.

6. Kevin - Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks ($5,800): If you started Rawls in DFS or season-long leagues last week, he let you down even before he departed with a shoulder injury. Rawls will be good to go in Week 17 and the matchup means that Rawls could turn even a reduced workload into 100 yards and a score or two. Rawls didn't play in the first matchup, but Christine Michael had 20/106/2 in that game for the Seahawks. Unless you're Todd Gurley, who doesn't run for 100 yards against the 49ers? The only concern here is a potential blowout early or the Falcons establish a big lead early over the Saints. Either scenario could keep Rawls on the sidelines in the third and/or fourth quarters.

Comments by Sean: I got burned by Rawls last week big time. I had a couple of lineups in the 190 range with Rawls as my lone bust. I am not afraid to go back to the well here. The 49ers get destroyed in every aspect of the game. The Seahawks should cruise in this one which should lead to plenty of Rawls touches late.

7. Sean - Jared Cook, TE, Green Bay Packers ($3,100): I think the TE lock of the week will be Travis Kelce. Kelce has dominated the position this season. Given our team is pretty much chalk spots/players, I am going a little off the board here with Cook. Pairing Adams/Cook and fading Jordy could be extremely profitable if Rodgers has a big game. The Lions have been better vs. TE lately, but at one point this year you were just locking in opposing TEs vs. them.

Comments by Kevin: Cook is the boom-or-bust type play that makes sense for GPPs. Typically I roster him in his "bust" weeks, however, so I typically have limited exposure. Given the matchup, this has the potential to be one of his "boom" weeks.

8. Kevin - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($8,400): Active after a two-game absence, Jones had a mediocre 4/60 on seven targets in a 17-point win last week. Putting in a full practice on Friday, Jones should be more involved in a potential shootout against Drew Brees and the Saints. No team is projected to score more points this week than the Falcons and Jones has GPP-winning upside when healthy.

Comments by Sean: Another player that burned me last week was Jones. For whatever reason, the Falcons just don't look to Julio in the red zone, which means his production is basically reliant on long pass plays. Atlanta still has a shot at the No. 2 seed so It's pedal to the medal for the Falcons. I think the Ryan/Julio stack will be very low-owned even with a great matchup vs. the Saints.

9. Kevin - New York Jets DST ($2,300): The Jets have been a massive disappointment this season, but there is reason for some Week 17 optimism. That reason, of course, is E.J. Manuel. With Tyrod Taylor on the bench, the Bills will roll out the former first-round bust out of Florida State on Sunday. At their price point, I'm willing to roll the dice on the Jets defense this week.

Comments by Sean: There are a lot of defenses I like this week. One of those defenses for GPPs is the Jets. You get them at 1K savings off the rest of the ones I like, and they get a good matchup vs. E.J. Manuel, who will probably be rusty. This is a GPP play only as the Jets have been destroyed in recent weeks.

Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 17 DFS Resources:

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December 24, 2016

Week 16 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 16 NFL picks against the spread:

Washington Redskins -3 over Chicago Bears (4 Units)

The Redskins had an opportunity this past weekend at home vs. Carolina that they let slip away. I don't think that happens again this weekend as they travel to Chicago. I like Kirk Cousins to have a big game and Washington to win this one pretty handily.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Carolina Panthers +3 over Atlanta Falcons (4 Units)

The Falcons are clearly better than I've given them credit for all year, but I think they get beat by the Panthers on the road this week. Carolina has blown a lot of games late this year but are clearly better than their record would indicate. I think they play well again this week against their division rival and finish the season strong.

Minnesota Vikings +7 over Green Bay Packers (4 Units)

The Packers have been awesome of late, and Aaron Rodgers has been terrific. They have gotten back into the division hunt and now control their own destiny to win the NFC North, which I think they'll do. Minnesota has fallen off, but they will be looking to bounce back from an absolutely embarrassing loss to the Colts at home last week. Packers win the game but seven is too many points.

Indianapolis Colts +3.5 over Oakland Raiders (5 Units)

The Colts are coming off one of their best games of the year, going into Minnesota and winning easily. Cold December weather may slow down Andrew Luck and the Colt offense at some point, but that won't be the case this week in Oakland. Two high-powered offenses should give us a high-scoring affair here. I'll take the Colts with the outright upset so I'll take the 3.5.

New York Jets +17 over New England Patriots (4 Units)

This is just way too big of a spread. The perception of the Jets is just so low, but they still have guys looking to make a roster next year and they're not just going to roll over against the Patriots. This game is the last real meaningful game they will play this season because it's against their hated rival. The Patriots should win easily, but too many ways this one plays out that end within 17 points. I like the Jets side.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Philip Rivers is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Tom Brady and Rivers, you should start Brady -- and in turn, bench Rivers.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

Reaching the 300-yard mark in only one of his past seven games, Rivers has also failed to finish as a top-12 weekly quarterback in nine consecutive games. And while he has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven straight with a total of 16 during that span, he has also been a turnover machine with 14 interceptions in those seven games.

There is reason for optimism in Championship Week, however, as Rivers and the Chargers head to Cleveland to face the winless Browns. Not only have the Browns allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year, but no team has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in more games this season than Cleveland (11).

QB - Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND)

With back-to-back disappointing performances, Carr completed just 17-of-41 for 117 yards and no touchdowns in Week 14 and 19-of-30 for 213 yards and a score in Week 15. In what is expected to be a shootout against Andrew Luck and the Colts, Carr should have a have a bounce-back performance in Week 16. In fact, the Raiders are projected to score the second-most points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Meanwhile, the Colts have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. And that's after allowing just one passing touchdown to five passes intercepted over their past three games. Of course, that dominance is primarily due to the matchups against the likes of Bryce Petty, Brock Osweiler and Sam Bradford.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at CHI)

Second in the NFL to only Drew Brees, Cousins is averaging 311.4 passing yards per game and has seven 300-yard games this season. With the exception of Week 5 against the Ravens, Cousins has either thrown for 300-plus yards and/or accounted for multiple touchdowns. Due to that consistency, Cousins has finished as a top-12 weekly fantasy quarterback in seven of his past eight games.

Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (at SEA)

The good news is that Palmer has thrown for 300-plus yards in two of his past three games and multiple touchdowns in five consecutive games. In fact, he has finished as a top-three weekly quarterback in both of those 300-yard games.

That said, Palmer and the Cardinals head to Seattle this week to take on the Seahawks, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Even without Earl Thomas, it's a difficult matchup, especially on the road at CenturyLink. In fact, only the Jets and Broncos are projected to score fewer points this week than the Cardinals.

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (at HOU)

The good news is that Dalton gets back A.J. Green this week. The bad news is that it is unclear what we should expect from AJG and Dalton will miss Tyler Eifert, one of the league's best tight ends and red-zone weapons. In addition, the Texans have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the position, which makes Dalton a poor streaming option this week.

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at DAL)

Scoring the eighth-most fantasy points through Week 15, Stafford has been up-and-down this season. While Stafford has seven top-10 weekly performances, he has also finished as the QB20 or worse in five games this season including three of his past five. During that five-game span, Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in just one game with a total of only four passing touchdowns over that stretch. Only five teams are projected to score fewer points than the Lions this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings:

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Bilal Powell is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned DeMarco Murray, Le'Veon Bell and Powell and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Murray -- and in turn, bench Powell.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SF)

A few players -- DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, etc. -- could earn the dubious honor as well, but Gurley has arguably been the biggest first-round fantasy football bust of the 2016 season.

Despite the high cost on draft day, there has been little to show for it. With double-digit fantasy points in only four of 14 games, Gurley has yet to exceed 85 rushing yards any week and has averaged just 55.6 per game on the season.

If you somehow advanced to Week 16 with Gurley as your first-round pick, the good news is that he could finally deliver for his owners with a soft matchup against the 49ers. San Francisco has allowed the most fantasy points to the position and 5.11 yards per carry and 22 touchdowns to the position, both of which are league highs.

Even worse (or better from Gurley's standpoint), the 49ers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in 11 of their past 13 games. Stated differently, the 49ers have allowed 12.94 percent (11 of 85) of the 100-yard rushing games this season.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs. WAS)

In a season where little has gone right for the Bears, Howard has been a bright spot. Heading into Championship Week, the ex-Hoosier has racked up the seventh-most yards from scrimmage (1,348) and has been even better more recently.

Since Week 8, Howard has a minimum of 15 touches and 99 YFS in seven straight games. During that seven-game span, Howard ranks fourth in the NFL in touches (152) and YFS (868).

Granted, the Bears are home underdogs this week, but Howard has a plus matchup. Washington has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. In addition, only three teams have allowed more yards per carry (4.52) and combined touchdowns (18) to running backs this season.

RB - Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders (vs. IND)

In the 12 games he has played, Murray has finished outside the top-30 fantasy running backs in only one game (RB52 in Week 4 at Baltimore). So, in other words, Murray has a minimum of seven fantasy points in 11 of 12 games this season.

Finishing as the RB30 last week, Murray should bounce back in a plus matchup against the Colts. Not only have the Colts allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, but only the Patriots are projected to score more points this week than the Raiders. It wouldn't surprise me if Murray, who has averaged a rushing score per game this season, found the end zone once again.

RB - Bilal Powell, New York Jets (at NE)

With Matt Forte (knee) active last week, Powell once again dominated touches. In his past two games, Powell now has 61 total touches -- 45/229/2 rushing and 16/112 receiving.

Even though the Jets are 17-point underdogs and projected to be the lowest-scoring team of the week, according to implied totals from Vegas odds, Powell should be heavily involved in the passing game and get 20-plus touches once again as Forte is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game.

Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (at PIT)

One week after carrying it twice for just two yards, West erupted for 77 yards on 13 carries and added four catches for 45 yards against the Eagles in Week 15. The 122 yards from scrimmage and 17 touches were five-week highs.

It's possible that he has another productive game, but it's difficult to know whether West or Kenneth Dixon will get the larger share of the workload and we've seen the Ravens abandon the run even in games where they are successfully running the ball. Therefore, West and Dixon are both flex options as opposed to RB2 starts.

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (vs. CAR)

Since returning from injury, Coleman has scored three touchdowns in four games. That said, he has averaged just 3.62 yards per carry and 5.2 yards per reception over that four-game span. Meanwhile, the Panthers have allowed the third-lowest yards per carry (3.58) to opposing running backs this season and Coleman had just 19 yards on eight carries earlier this season against Carolina.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (at KC)

In two games with the Broncos, Justin Forsett has nine and 14 touches, respectively. Meanwhile, Booker has just five and eight touches in those same games and has failed to finish as a top-50 fantasy running back in both games. Before Forsett was signed, Booker had averaged 20.5 touches over a six-game span including 25 the first time against the Chiefs. Forsett is a solid flex option and Booker is completely off the fantasy radar.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings:

Week 16 DFS Resources:

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Dontrelle Inman is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Jordy Nelson, T.Y. Hilton and Inman and can only start two receivers, you should start Jordy and Hilton -- and in turn, bench Inman.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

Whether you call him a running back or a wide receiver, Montgomery is worth a start. It would be unreasonable to expect another 16/162/2 rushing performance, but more than reasonable to expect double-digit touches and a productive outing for a third consecutive game.

As far as the matchup goes, the Vikings have been much worse against the run over the past half-season or so than they were at the beginning of the year. From Weeks 1 to 7, the Vikings allowed 3.74 yards per carry (26th-most) and no running back exceeded 56 rushing yards. From Weeks 8 to 15, they have allowed 4.52 YPC (eighth-most) and six running backs have at least 70 rushing yards against them.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans (at JAX)

Hopkins has just one 100-yard game this season and it was all the way back in Week 2. In addition, the matchup this week is challenging as the Jaguars have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. That said, the quarterback change to Tom Savage gives the passing offense a shot in the arm and a reason for Hopkins owners to be optimistic. Last week, Savage peppered Hopkins with targets and Nuk finished with eight catches for 87 yards on 17 targets.

WR - Dontrelle Inman, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

Inman has a minimum of 43 yards in eight consecutive games, but he has averaged 4.6 receptions and 67.0 yards per game over that span. While his streak of games with a touchdown ended last week at three, Inman and the Chargers receivers get a plus matchup against the winless Browns. The Browns have allowed 14.01 Y/R and 10.76-percent touchdown rate, both of which are fourth-most, to opposing receivers this year.

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. NYJ)

During the team's past five games, Tom Brady has targeted Edelman a minimum of 11 times in every game for an average of 13.4 per game over that span. That has allowed Edelman to post consistent receiving numbers -- a minimum of six catches and 73 yards in six consecutive games.

In their first matchup in Week 12, Edelman had eight catches for 83 yards on 11 targets. Not only have the Jets allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, but no team is projected to score more points this week based on implied totals from Vegas odds.

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

With only one target last week, Cobb put up a goose egg against the Bears. Over his past seven games, he has only one game with more than 41 receiving yards and has averaged 3.0/31.7/0.3 on 4.1 targets per game during that span. At this point, Cobb is only the fourth-best wide receiver option on his own team after Jordy Nelson, Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams.

WR - DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (at BUF)

It's been an up-and-down (mostly down) season for Parker. The second-year receiver has a total of just six catches for 65 yards on 10 targets in his past three games combined. Even though Matt Moore threw four touchdowns last week, he threw only 18 pass attempts. Given the lack of volume and production recently, Parker isn't anything more than a low-floor, TD-dependent WR4.

WR - Terrelle Pryor, Cleveland Browns (vs. SD)

In two starts by RG3 in Weeks 14 and 15, Pryor has one catch for three yards and four catches for 19 yards, respectively. Obviously, fantasy owners were hoping for more. Not only have the Chargers allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to receivers this season, but I'd expect Casey Hayward to also shadow Pryor as well. In addition, Pryor will need surgery this offseason for a torn ligament in his finger.

WR - Brandon Marshall, New York Jets (at NE)

The good news? Marshall ended an eight-game streak of single-digit targets with 11 in Week 15. The bad news? He converted that volume into one catch for 16 yards. With Bryce Petty (still) under center, I'd (still) prefer Robbie Anderson over Marshall among the Jets wide receivers. With a league-low implied total of 13.5 points this week, however, the Jets could struggle to generate much offense on Saturday.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

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Week 16 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Kyle Rudolph is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Greg Olsen and Rudolph, you should start Olsen -- and in turn, bench Rudolph.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (at GB)

Over his past four games, Rudolph has three games with double-digit targets and a minimum of eight during that span. That volume has led to a total of 27 catches for 266 yards and a touchdown over the past quarter season. In a favorable matchup against the Packers, who have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, I would expect another high-usage and productive game from Rudolph.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 16 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (at CLE)

With two weeks to go in the season (and likely his career), Gates is two touchdowns behind Tony Gonzalez for the most-ever by a tight end. Not only could Philip Rivers look to force an end-zone target or two into Gates' direction, the Browns have been atrocious when defending tight ends. No team has allowed more fantasy points to the position and only the Lions have surrendered more touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at NO)

Speaking of tight end touchdowns, Brate has scored a touchdown in five of his past eight games. During that eight-game span, Brate has a total of 36 catches for 422 yards and five touchdowns and he's a strong TE1 for Week 16. Start him with confidence.

Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (at PIT)

Pitta had a breakout performance in Week 13 with 9/90/2 on 11 targets against the Dolphins. For much of the season, Pitta has been heavily-targeted although the fantasy production didn't match. Over his past two games, however, Pitta has just 4/18 on five targets and 2/16 on two targets. Pitta should remain on your bench this week as he had just 2/14 on three targets against Pittsburgh earlier this season.

TE - Jared Cook, Green Bay Packers (vs. MIN)

One of the most inconsistent tight ends in the NFL, Cook is coming off a 6/85 performance against the Bears and a top-seven weekly outing. Since returning from a multi-week absence, Cook has finished as the weekly TE1, TE51, TE28, TE37 and TE7, respectively. Stated differently, he has 85-plus yards in two of those games and less than 20 yards in the other three.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (vs. SD)

Barnidge had a seven-game streak with at least 37 receiving yards from Weeks 2 to 8, but since then, he has failed to exceed 35 yards in any game. Over his past six games, Barnidge has averaged just 3.11 fantasy points per game.

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December 18, 2016

Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 15 NFL picks against the spread:

Atlanta Falcons -14 over San Francisco 49ers (3 Units)

The Falcons will be without Julio Jones on Sunday, but they should still be able to put up plenty of points with the 1-2 rushing attack of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. So far this season, the 49ers have allowed 170.8 rushing yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry, both of which rank dead last in the NFL. Despite the big number, I could easily see the Falcons winning this game by more than two scores at home.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

San Diego Chargers +3 over Oakland Raiders (3 Units)

Melvin Gordon has been such a focal point of the team's offense this season and he's going to miss this week's game, but I like the Chargers to at least keep this game close at home. Earlier this season, Philip Rivers completed 21-of-30 for 359 yards (11.97 Y/A) and four touchdowns in a three-point loss in Oakland. Rivers has too many interceptions this season and 13 of them in his past six games, but I like the Chargers getting points at home in a division game.

Arizona Cardinals -3 over New Orleans Saints (2 Units)

It's been a rough two-game stretch for Drew Brees, who has zero touchdowns and six interceptions in his past two games. While I don't expect another three-INT game this week, this is a difficult matchup on the road against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, David Johnson has been as consistently productive as any player in football this season with 13 consecutive games of 100-plus yards from scrimmage. The next closest player is Ezekiel Elliott (10 such games).

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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December 17, 2016

Week 15 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tyrod Taylor is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Matt Ryan and Taylor, you should start Ryan -- and in turn, bench Taylor.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

Cousins has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in seven consecutive games with an average of 22.13 fantasy points per contest over that stretch. Going back to Week 2, Cousins has finished as a top-15 weekly quarterback in all but one game (Week 6 vs. the Eagles).

This week, Cousins is behind only Atlanta's Matt Ryan in my quarterback rankings. In addition, only the Falcons are projected to score more points this week than the Redskins (using Vegas odds).

On the season, Cousins is averaging 311.15 pass yards per game with 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Counting a pair of rushing touchdowns, he has accounted for multiple touchdowns in eight consecutive games.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (vs. CLE)

With a season-low two rushing yards last week, Taylor ended a streak of 11 consecutive games with a minimum of 25 rushing yards and an average of 41.6 per game over that 11-game span. In addition, Taylor had a rushing score in five of his previous six games.

While we shouldn't expect prolific passing statistics from Taylor (and Buffalo's run-heavy offense) in any given week, he gets a fantasy-friendly matchup against the league's most generous defense to opposing quarterbacks. In addition, improved health from Sammy Watkins is another positive for the outlook of his passing numbers.

As double-digit favorites, the Bills are projected to score the seventh-most points this week, according to Vegas odds. Given his favorable matchup and ability to make plays with his legs, Taylor is worth a start over some typical high-end QB1's with difficult matchups -- Tom Brady (at Broncos), Andrew Luck (at Vikings), etc.

QB - Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (vs. NO)

Palmer hasn't played great, but he has multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games and five of his past six. During that stretch, he has thrown a total of 13 touchdowns to eight interceptions.

Not only do the Saints allow the 11th-most fantasy points to the position, but they will be without their best cornerback (Devin Breaux) this weekend as well. Among the teams left to play this week, only the Falcons and Redskins are projected to score more points than the Cardinals.

Week 15 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

QB - Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (at CIN)

With a notable home-road split, Big Ben has averaged just 231.14 passing yards per game in his seven games away from Heinz Field this season with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Scoring single-digit fantasy points in four of those seven, he has averaged just 12.76 fantasy points on the road this year.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have allowed only two passing touchdowns in their past four games combined and no more than 13.26 fantasy points in any of those games. Roethlisberger is just outside of my top-12 fantasy quarterbacks for the week at No. 14.

QB - Eli Manning, New York Giants (vs. DET)

Manning has now thrown for less than 200 yards in three consecutive games and in five of his past nine games. Over his past seven games, he has averaged just 214.57 yards per game.

While the Lions have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, they have been much better lately. They have not allowed a top-12 quarterback in any of their past six games and during that span, they have as many passes intercepted (seven) as they have allowed passing scores (seven).

QB - Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (at NYG)

The other in this game has an even more difficult matchup. Only the Broncos have allowed fewer fantasy points this season than the Giants. When playing at home (or at a neutral site), the Giants have held all but one opposing quarterback to a QB20 (or worse) finish with the exception of Cousins in Week 3.

The Lions have won eight of nine and Stafford has a 15:3 TD-INT ratio in those games. Even though he has a pair of top-10 fantasy performances in consecutive games, this matchup is more difficult than his recent matchups and all but one of those past nine games were played in a dome -- six at home, at New Orleans and at Minnesota.

With a dislocated middle finger on his throwing hand, a more challenging matchup and playing outside of a controlled environment in December, there are enough reasons to downgrade Stafford and keep him on your bench this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 15

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tevin Coleman is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Le'Veon Bell, DeMarco Murray and Coleman and can only start two running backs, you should start Bell and Murray -- and in turn, bench Coleman.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

RB - Bilal Powell, New York Jets (vs. MIA)

Dealing with a torn meniscus, Matt Forte may play on a short week against the Dolphins as he's considered to be a game-time decision. Even so, I'd expect Powell to get the majority of work if both are active on Saturday night.

Powell had a massive 34 touches last week against the 49ers and posted a 29/145/2 rushing line to go along with five catches for 34 yards. The matchup isn't nearly as favorable this week as the 49ers have one of the worst run defenses in the league, but the duo of Forte and Powell combined for 148 yards from scrimmage on 23 touches against the Dolphins in Week 9.

If Forte sits, Powell is a borderline RB1 this week. If he's active, Powell remains a solid RB2.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at ATL)

Coming off his best game of the season, Hyde rushed for 193 yards and scored 26.0 fantasy points against the Jets in Week 14. Hyde had just one catch and one target, but he scored his second receiving touchdown in the past three games as well.

We are unlikely to see a repeat performance of last week, but one thing is for sure, Hyde should see lots of volume in a favorable matchup. With a minimum of 18 touches in four consecutive games, he has averaged nearly 20 touches per game on the year and the 49ers have shown a commitment to run the ball even in games where they trail by a lot.

With the 2016 season nearing a close, the Falcons have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. They have allowed a total of 16 touchdowns -- 11 rushing and five receiving -- to opposing running backs on the year.

RB - Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons (vs. SF)

Even though I expect a bounce-back game from Devonta Freeman, Coleman should be productive as well. The second-year back out of Indiana had a pair of touchdowns last week as the Falcons blew out the Rams. A big play waiting to happen, Coleman has scored nine times on 110 touches -- or roughly one touchdown per every 12.2 touches.

While Hyde has a great matchup, Coleman's is even better. Not only have the 49ers allowed the most fantasy points to the position, no team has allowed more yards per carry (4.99) to opposing RBs or more rushing touchdowns (19) to the position. In addition, the Falcons are projected to be this week's highest-scoring team using implied totals from Vegas odds.

Related: The Coleman/Freeman duo is a great play on DraftKings this week

RB - Robert Kelley, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

Even though he isn't much of a factor in the passing game, Kelley should get a heavy workload with a minimum of 14 carries in six consecutive games since taking over as the starter. During that six-game span, he has averaged 80.3 rushing yards per game and scored a total of five touchdowns. Considering the Redskins are home favorites and projected to score the second-most points this week, Kelley could get a few goal-line opportunities this week.

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

RB - Ryan Mathews, Philadelphia Eagles (at BAL)

While Darren Sproles has already been ruled out for Week 15, it's hard to trust Mathews in a tough matchup. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Ravens this season. Only the Cardinals (3.18 YPC) have allowed fewer yards per carry to the position than the Ravens (3.48) and they have surrendered just four rushing scores to running backs. Meanwhile, the Eagles are one of just six teams with an implied total under 18 points this week.

RB - Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (vs. NE)

In his three games prior to Week 14, Booker had 24, 24 and 18 carries, respectively. Last week? Three. Even worse, he averaged just one foot per carry as he gained only one yard against the Titans. Booker had been anything but efficient, but he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in the previous three weeks due to sheer volume. In his past six games, Booker has a total of 98 carries for 267 yards -- or 2.72 yards per carry.

Booker should get more touches this week (than he had last week), but Justin Forsett had nearly double the number of touches (nine) that Booker had in his debut with Denver. Considering Kubiak's history with Forsett, who already had familiarity with Kubiak's offense, it's certainly possible that the workload gap even widens this week as well.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (vs. PHI)

West had a Booker-like rushing performance with two carries for two yards against the Patriots last week although he added four receptions for 24 yards. It was the third time in seven games that West had single-digit touches even though he has the same number of games with 16-plus touches during that span. That said, Kenneth Dixon had a season-high 19 touches last week and has 17-plus in two of three games so I'd trust Dixon much more than I'd trust West this week.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 15

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Tyreek Hill is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned Odell Beckham, Larry Fitzgerald and Hill and can only start two receivers, you should start OBJ and Fitz -- and in turn, bench Hill.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals (vs. NO)

Fitzgerald had three catches for 12 yards last week in Miami and both of those were season-low totals for the 33-year-old veteran receiver. Before last week's disappointment, however, Fitzgerald had double-digit receptions in three of five games. In fact, Fitzgerald is averaging double-digit targets on the season.

Even though he was having an up-and-down season, the Cardinals released Michael Floyd following a DUI arrest after last week's game and J.J. Nelson has big-play ability but is inconsistent. So, in other words, Fitz should see 10 to 15 targets in a matchup where the Cardinals are expected to put up plenty of points.

Among the teams left to play this weekend, only the Falcons and Redskins are projected to score more points than the Cardinals, according to Vegas odds. And as much as Drew Brees has struggled over the past two weeks (zero touchdowns and six interceptions), it wouldn't surprise me if the Saints were able to put plenty of points this week as well.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

WR - Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders (at SD)

Crabtree is listed as questionable on the injury report, but he's fully expected to play this week. Crabtree had four catches for just 21 yards last week and now has less than 30 yards in three of five games, but a bounce-back performance should be expected.

Earlier this season, Crabtree had a 3/47/1 performance against the Chargers, but Casey Heyward is now shadowing and will likely shadow Amari Cooper. In other words, I like Crabtree as much as or even more than Cooper this week. In fact, I have both just inside my top-10 fantasy wide receiver rankings this week.

WR - Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. TEN)

Even with Jeremy Maclin back in the lineup and Travis Kelce exploding with four consecutive 100-yard games, Hill is a viable WR2 this week against the Titans. The matchup is great as no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season the Titans.

One of the fastest players in the league, Hill has a pair of return scores in his past three games. But the explosive receiver also has 50-plus receiving yards in five consecutive games and six of his past seven in addition to 11 carries in his past eight games. Even as Maclin gets healthier, Hill should maintain a significant offensive role.

WR - Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (vs. CAR)

As noted above, Washington has one of the two highest implied totals for Week 15. While his targets have been somewhat inconsistent, Crowder had double-digit fantasy points in six of his previous seven games prior to last week's 2/37 dud. Even though he's far from the biggest receiver, Crowder had 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown in each of those seven games. The matchup this week is favorable as the Panthers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, which means Crowder is a viable WR2 this week.

Week 15 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at HOU)

It would be an understatement to say that Robinson has had a disappointing season. As bad as the season overall has been for AR15, it's been even worse recently. Here are his fantasy points scored over the past three weeks: 2.4 (WR83), 3.1 (WR69) and 1.7 (WR82), respectively. To be fair, the matchups were tough, but he doesn't have a great matchup this week either as the Texans have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers this year.

WR - Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at CHI)

In his past six games, Cobb has a total of 21 catches for 222 yards -- or 3.5/37.0 per game -- and two touchdowns on 28 targets (4.67/G). Despite playing with Aaron Rodgers in a favorable matchup against the Bears, Cobb is a distant third, at best, behind Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams when it comes to Green Bay receivers that I'd start. Considering the historically cold temperatures expected in Chicago for Sunday's game, you can do better than Cobb this week.

WR - Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina Panthers (at WAS)

Scoring less than two fantasy points in consecutive games, Benjamin has two (or fewer) receptions in three consecutive games. Since beginning the season with a bang (6/91/1 and 7/108/2 in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively), Benjamin has finished as a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in only one of 11 games -- WR23 in Week 12. With Josh Norman likely to shadow the under-performing wideout, it'd be foolish to expect a bounce-back performance to happen this week.

WR - Brandon Marshall, New York Jets (vs. MIA)

Marshall is expected to be on a "pitch count," but he has been brutal either way. Marshall has 45 yards or less in four of his past five games and clearly Robbie Anderson (double-digit targets in back-to-back games) is Bryce Petty's BFF. Not only does Marshall have single-digit targets in eight consecutive games, but he has scored just one touchdown during that span.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 15

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Week 15 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Cameron Brate is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Travis Kelce and Brate, you should start Kelce -- and in turn, bench Brate.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 15 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (vs. IND)

Once again, Rudolph is one of the most-targeted tight ends in the league. In his past three games, Rudolph has 10, 12 and eight targets, respectively, and a combined 19 catches for 169 yards and a touchdown during that span. In those three games, he has a minimum of 23.53-percent target share. In other words, those are of three of his four most-involved games since Week 4.

Over their past five games, the Colts have defended tight ends better with no top-12 weekly finishes over that stretch. That said, they have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season so I expect Rudolph to get plenty of opportunities on Sunday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (vs. OAK)

Gates had a five-week span with a minimum 20-percent target share, but then he had a total of four targets in two games (and worse, one of those was a goose egg). Last week, however, Gates caught five-of-nine targets (25-percent share) for 61 yards against the Panthers. With a top-12 matchup against the Raiders, Philip Rivers should once again look Gates' way early and often.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at DAL)

Brate has a minimum of four catches and 40 yards in three consecutive games and in five of his past six. Going back to Week 8, Brate has scored in four of seven games. During that seven-game span, Brate has a 31/349/4 line on 40 targets.

The Cowboys have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to oppposing tight ends this season. Brate, who has averaged 8.41 fantasy points per game in his past seven, could be in store for another solid outing.

Week 15 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

TE - Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (vs. PHI)

Here are Pitta's last six games: 2/14, 6/26, 3/30, 3/34, 9/90/2 and 4/18. One of these was clearly unlike the others and Pitta gets a difficult matchup this week agains the Eagles, who have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends. It is highly unlikely that he bounces back in such a tough matchup.

TE - Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints (at ARI)

If Pitta has a tough matchup, Fleener's matchup is even more difficult. No team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. It would be surprising if Drew Brees were to have three terrible outings in a row, but the future Hall-of-Famer has zero touchdowns and six interceptions in his past two games. While Fleener is coming off a one-catch, six-yard performance as well, I have much more confidence in Brees' ability to bounce back than I do Fleener's.

TE - Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (at BUF)

Barnidge has a better, not great, but better matchup than either Pitta or Fleener. Of course, that's obvious considering Pitta and Fleener have the worst two matchups at the position this week.

That said, Barnidge has no more than three catches, five targets or 27 yards in any of his past five games. Granted, he did score his only touchdown this season in one of those five games, but those five games have featured five of his six lowest yardage totals on the year. He had zero in Week 1 against the Eagles with RG3 under center.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 15

Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings:

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December 14, 2016

DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 15

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 15?

Sean Beazley: Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills ($5,900)

I really like Sammy Watkins this week in GPPs. I had 20% exposure to Watkins in tournaments last week and will probably have a little more this week as he gets a great matchup vs. the Browns. This is an offense you can definitely stack with Tyrod Taylor and LeSean McCoy as well. Many may be off the Tyrod train this week, but I am all aboard. Watkins appears to be healthy finally and he has as much upside as any WR in the league giving his deep play potential. I could see a 8/140/2 type of game from him this week vs. the Browns.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 15 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Kevin Hanson: Devonta Freeman/Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons ($6,700/$5,000)

Last week, I went with Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas as a double-WR stack against the poor Titans pass defense and both WRs reached the 100-yard mark on a combined 30 targets. Many of my tournament lineups this week will feature a pair of Falcons running backs against the woeful 49ers run defense. (Virtually all of my lineups will have one, if not both, of these two backs.)

The 49ers have allowed 10 100-yard rushers in their past 12 games with Jordan Howard (32/117/3) and Bilal Powell (29/145/2) doing plenty of damage in Weeks 13 and 14, respectively. No team has allowed more yards per carry (4.99) to opposing running backs, who have also rushed for 19 touchdowns and added three more receiving scores.

With Freeman coming off a disappointing performance in their blowout win, that will hopefully keep his ownership down slightly. Especially if Julio Jones plays (at less than 100 percent), I could see the Freeman/Coleman duo racking up 200-300 YFS, 5-10 receptions and a couple of touchdowns in this dream matchup.

Brendan Donahue: Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($5,700)

Hill's speed was on display on national TV last Thursday night and it seems like KC is figuring out what kind of weapon they now have in Hill. Over his past five games, he has caught at least four balls and had at least 52 receiving yards and scored double-digits on DK in each so he is starting to establish a decent floor. Within those five, he's also had three games where he's scored over 20 points with a high over 32.5 so he's also establishing a really high ceiling. This week he gets the Titans, who have given up the most points to opposing WRs so he's a must-play for me this week at just $5,700.

John Trifone: Kenneth Dixon, RB, Baltimore Ravens ($3,800)

The clear value play at running back, Dixon is coming off a good game against the Patriots Monday night. He out-touched Terrance West with 11 carries and eight receptions, and should continue to see increased usage. Salaries came out before Dixon's good game, so I wouldn't overthink it. He's a solid option and the low price tag will help get in some of the higher-priced guys.

Dan Yanotchko: LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots ($5,000)

This week I have LeGerette Blount of the Patriots going up against the Denver Broncos. Last year the Broncos hit Tom Brady 20 times in the AFC Championship Game, and this year the Broncos are soft against the run. They allow 127 yards per game, 4.2 yards per carry, and 12 touchdowns on the year, and have allowed a 100-yard rusher in their last three games. Blount has an impressive four-game split -- 66 carries, 351 yards and two touchdowns. They are going to play this game like the Colts, run them into the ground.

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December 11, 2016

Week 14 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 14 NFL picks against the spread:

Carolina Panthers Pick'em over San Diego Chargers (5 Units)

I love this rebound spot for Cam Newton and the Panthers. I think Cam finishes the week as the top fantasy QB as well. The Panthers get Luke Kuechly back as well which will be a huge boost to a defense that has been struggling. Panthers 37, Chargers 24.

[Note: Kuechly has been ruled out for Week 14.]

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Los Angeles Rams +6 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)

Even if Julio Jones goes this week, he will be extremely limited or a decoy, as reported. The Rams have played decent at home this year, and I think they find a way to upset the Falcons here. I think Jared Goff has a multi-TD game and the Rams D gets to Matt Ryan. Rams 23, Falcons 17.

New York Giants +3.5 over Dallas Cowboys (5 Units)

The Cowboys are bound to trip up before the playoffs and this is the perfect spot. I think Odell Beckham has a big game in prime time and the Giants upset the Cowboys. Giants 24, Cowboys 23.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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December 08, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsFantasy Playoffs
1San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule10.1630.48
2Chicago BearsTeam Schedule9.5428.62
3Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule9.1827.54
4Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule9.0327.1
5Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule8.6125.83
6Houston TexansTeam Schedule8.5225.55
7Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule8.4625.37
8New York GiantsTeam Schedule8.3925.17
9San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule8.3224.95
10Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule8.1224.37
11Detroit LionsTeam Schedule8.0424.12
12Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule8.0224.05
13Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule7.8823.63
14Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule7.823.4
15Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule7.6723
16Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule7.6522.95
17Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule7.6322.88
18Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule7.5822.75
19Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule7.5522.65
20New York JetsTeam Schedule7.221.6
21Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule7.1821.53
22Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule7.1521.46
23New England PatriotsTeam Schedule6.8320.48
24Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule6.6920.07
25Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule6.6619.98
26Denver BroncosTeam Schedule6.4219.27
27Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule6.3819.15
28Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule6.1918.57
29Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule6.0818.24
30Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule5.9917.98
31New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule5.8917.67
32Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule5.8117.42

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule25.9277.76
2Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule25.5276.55
3San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule25.476.19
4Denver BroncosTeam Schedule25.1975.57
5San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule24.9274.75
6Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule24.6974.07
7Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule24.5873.73
8New York JetsTeam Schedule24.3172.94
9Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule24.2872.85
10Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule24.2772.81
11New York GiantsTeam Schedule23.9271.77
12Chicago BearsTeam Schedule23.7471.21
12New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule23.7471.22
14Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule23.7171.12
15Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule23.5870.74
16Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule23.5670.69
17Detroit LionsTeam Schedule23.470.21
18Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule23.3169.94
19Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule23.2369.69
20Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule23.0969.28
21Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule22.6768.02
22Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule22.5967.77
23Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule22.567.51
24Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule21.8765.62
25Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule21.8265.47
26Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule21.6865.03
27Houston TexansTeam Schedule21.5764.72
28New England PatriotsTeam Schedule21.3864.14
29Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule21.0963.27
30Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule20.7762.32
31Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule20.7162.14
32Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule20.3861.13

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 14-16):

RankTeamTeam ScheduleAverage PointsTotal Points
1Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule21.5164.54
2Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule21.3163.92
3Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule21.0763.21
4Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule20.6862.03
5Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule20.5161.53
6San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule20.2860.83
7New York JetsTeam Schedule20.0260.06
8San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule19.3157.94
9Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule19.2957.87
10Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule18.9656.89
11Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule18.9156.74
12Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule18.7756.3
13Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule18.6956.06
14Houston TexansTeam Schedule18.655.81
15Chicago BearsTeam Schedule17.9253.75
16Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule17.9153.74
17Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule17.8953.66
18Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule17.753.1
19Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule17.3652.07
20New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule17.0151.03
21Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule16.9250.75
22Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule16.8750.6
23Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule16.7950.37
24Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule16.5949.76
25New England PatriotsTeam Schedule16.549.51
26Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule16.4749.4
27Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule16.2548.75
28Denver BroncosTeam Schedule15.9647.89
29Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule15.6246.86
30Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule15.3546.04
31New York GiantsTeam Schedule15.2945.87
32Detroit LionsTeam Schedule15.2745.8

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 14 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 14 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 14-16):

1San Diego ChargersTeam Schedule18.5955.78
2Carolina PanthersTeam Schedule18.254.61
3Oakland RaidersTeam Schedule18.1254.37
4Chicago BearsTeam Schedule18.0554.16
4Tampa Bay BuccaneersTeam Schedule18.0554.16
6San Francisco 49ersTeam Schedule18.0354.08
7Denver BroncosTeam Schedule17.9253.75
8New York JetsTeam Schedule17.7953.38
8Buffalo BillsTeam Schedule17.7953.36
10New York GiantsTeam Schedule17.7153.14
11Minnesota VikingsTeam Schedule17.6953.08
12Houston TexansTeam Schedule17.5352.58
13Los Angeles RamsTeam Schedule17.3652.08
14Atlanta FalconsTeam Schedule17.2551.76
15Arizona CardinalsTeam Schedule17.0751.22
16Washington RedskinsTeam Schedule17.0251.07
17Cleveland BrownsTeam Schedule1751
18Dallas CowboysTeam Schedule16.6249.87
19Cincinnati BengalsTeam Schedule16.5649.68
20New Orleans SaintsTeam Schedule16.5249.57
21Baltimore RavensTeam Schedule16.4149.22
22Pittsburgh SteelersTeam Schedule16.3749.12
23Kansas City ChiefsTeam Schedule16.348.89
24Miami DolphinsTeam Schedule16.1648.49
25Seattle SeahawksTeam Schedule16.1448.41
26Detroit LionsTeam Schedule16.0148.02
27Philadelphia EaglesTeam Schedule15.5546.65
28Jacksonville JaguarsTeam Schedule15.5146.54
29Tennessee TitansTeam Schedule15.3846.13
30Indianapolis ColtsTeam Schedule15.3746.1
31New England PatriotsTeam Schedule15.0945.27
32Green Bay PackersTeam Schedule14.643.8

* Note: Totals above are the average and total fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:

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December 06, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (40 percent)

In three of his past four games, Fiedorowicz has failed to score at least five fantasy points. That said, he continues to see a steady volume of targets his way.

Since Week 4, Fiedorowicz has a minimum of five targets in every game and an average of 7.11/G over that nine-game span. And in the past three games, he's averaged 8.33/G. During that nine-game span, the third-year tight end has averaged 4.78/51.78/0.33 per game.

Fiedorowicz gets a favorable matchup this week against the Colts, who have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. In his first game this season against the Colts, Fiedorowicz had a 6/85/1 line on seven targets and finished the week as fantasy's TE3.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Ladarius Green, Pittsburgh Steelers (23 percent)

Green's playing time continues to expand and the first-year Steeler had six catches for 110 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets in Week 13. With the team looking for a pass-catcher to step up beyond Antonio Brown (and Le'Veon Bell), Green could/should be that guy down the stretch.

3. Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens (33 percent)

Through Week 12, Pitta had zero touchdowns (despite being one of the most-targeted tight ends in the league). Through Week 13, he now has two. I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't score another touchdown the rest of the season. Joe Flacco has only three multi-TD games this season. That said, he should continue to see a steady dose of targets in one of the league's most pass-happy offenses.

4. Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis Colts (29 percent)

Allen saw Pitta's two touchdowns and raised him a score. Turning three-quarters of his targets into touchdowns, Allen finished Monday Night Football with a 4/72/3 line against the Jets. Allen had five catches for 49 yards on six targets in Week 12. Of course, Allen won't score three touchdowns in a game again this season, but he remains a TD-dependent option going forward.

5. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (37 percent)

Davis now has five catches in back-to-back games as Jordan Reed missed Week 13 against the Cardinals. Davis has a minimum of 47 yards in six of his past seven games -- the miss was a Week 11 goose egg against the Packers. Especially if Reed misses another game, Davis will be a back-end TE1/high-end TE2 despite another difficult matchup against the Eagles.

6. Jermaine Gresham, Arizona Cardinals (three percent)

The upside with Gresham isn't great, but he now has five catches in back-to-back games, touchdowns in two of his past three games and six-plus targets in three of his past four games. With injuries (Rob Gronkowski and Reed) at the top of the position, Gresham is at least worth a look for those in dire need at the position.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 14

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Malcolm Mitchell, New England Patriots (29 percent)

Productive in Weeks 11 and 12, Mitchell scored a total of three touchdowns in those two games, but he had a total of only nine targets and no more than 14-percent target share in either of those two games. Week 13 was different. Mitchell had eight catches and 10 targets, both of which were season highs, and a 21.74-percent target share.

Not only is Rob Gronkowski out for the rest of the season, but Danny Amendola is now dealing with a high-ankle sprain. With the Pats running more three-wide sets with Gronk out and Mitchell gaining the trust of Tom Brady, he is a must-add for those in any league size.

2. Corey Coleman, Cleveland Browns (48 percent)

Since returning from his multi-game absence, Coleman has only 13 total receptions in four games with no more than 41 yards in any of those games. That said, he has 31 targets (7.75/G) and RG3 is likely to get the Week 14 start and down the stretch.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

3. Dontrelle Inman, San Diego Chargers (20 percent)

Inman had just two catches and five targets, both of which were seven-game lows, but he finished with 49 yards and a touchdown to score double-digit fantasy points in his second consecutive game. Even though the absolute number of targets were a seven-game low, Inman now has at least 20-percent target share in four consecutive games.

The Chargers receivers get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Panthers, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, and then the Raiders and Browns in Weeks 15 and 16.

4. Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals (16 percent)

In the first two games since the A.J. Green hamstring injury, LaFell had nine targets in each game but only 32 and 38 yards, respectively. Last week, LaFell had fewer targets (seven), but he was much more efficient and productive (5/95/1). Dealing with a Grade 2 hamstring tear, it appears that AJG is still a week or two, if not more, away from returning.

5. Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals (46 percent)

Floyd had only three catches for 18 yards on Sunday and he now has 31 yards or less in three consecutive games. That said, the good news is Floyd had eight targets (18.6-percent target share, his highest since Week 3) and scored a touchdown Sunday. In addition, he's re-emerged as the clear No. 2 receiver after Larry Fitzgerald in the Cardinals offense.

6. Ted Ginn Jr., Carolina Panthers (23 percent)

Ginn now has three-plus catches and 40-plus yards in seven consecutive games and touchdowns in each of his past three. During that span, however, he has an additional six carries so has at least five touches in six of his past seven games. That said, he has no more than seven targets in any of those games and remains a TD-dependent fantasy option.

7. Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins (32 percent)

Garcon had seven catches for 78 yards on Sunday and he now has at least six catches and 67 yards in four of his past five games. If tight end Jordan Reed misses another game in Week 14, Garcon will be in the WR3 mix.

8. Will Fuller, Houston Texans (43 percent)

One week after hauling in four catches for 60 yards, Fuller had five catches for 59 yards against the Packers. It's hard to trust any of Houston's receivers, primarily due to Brock Osweiler's struggles, but there is some upside with the explosive rookie receiver.

9. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks (37 percent)

Lockett had five catches for 63 yards on six targets and a 75-yard touchdown run to have his best performance of the season. He now has six targets (16-percent target share) in three of his past five games. Dangerous in the open field, Lockett's talent warrants a larger offensive role (although it's hard to count on it) and the Seahawks get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Packers.

10. Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (11 percent)

Lee had just three catches for 34 yards in Week 13 against the Broncos, but the good news is that he continues to see heavy volume in the pass game. Lee now has a 20-percent share in three consecutive games and in four of his past five. In fact, he now has at least six targets in 10 of the 11 games since Week 2. Unfortunately, the Jags have a couple more tough matchups on the horizon with Minnesota in Week 14 and Houston in Week 15.

11. Taylor Gabriel, Atlanta Falcons (38 percent)

After four consecutive top-15 weekly performances, Gabriel finished as fantasy's WR55 in Week 13, but he actually had a season-high six targets. Over his past five games, the speedster has 18/315/4 receiving with 3/51/1 rushing. Depending on the status of Julio Jones (turf toe) and Mohamed Sanu (groin), both of whom were dealing with injuries at the end of Week 13's loss to the Chiefs, Gabriel could see similar volume in Week 14.

12. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (16 percent)

Since Week 5, Thielen has 39 catches for 512 yards and three touchdowns on 53 targets over eight games. Better in PPR formats, Thielen has now finished as a top-35 PPR wide receiver in four consecutive games.

13. Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (eight percent)

Green-Beckham now has double-digit targets in back-to-back games. With Carson Wentz throwing it 60 times and Jordan Matthews sidelined on Sunday, it's disappointing that DGB had just four catches for 29 yards on his 10 targets. Matthews should return this week, but DGB should see 6-8 targets.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 14

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 14

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (46 percent)

Even with the Ravens winning by 32 points on Sunday, Dixon had just six carries and backfield mate Terrance West (13) had more touches than Dixon (10). The good news, however, is that Dixon actually ran for a season-high 56 yards (9.3 yards per carry) and he has exceeded 6.0 yards per carry in three of his past four games.

Over that four-game span, Dixon has rushed for 183 yards on 31 carries (5.90 YPC) and he has four-plus receptions in three of those games as well. While Dixon has been effective on a per-touch basis, one of his concerns is that West is more likely to get the goal-line opportunities and West scored a pair of touchdowns on Sunday.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 14 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

2. Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills (23 percent)

Gillislee missed Week 12 with a hamstring injury and he's a clear second to LeSean McCoy on the depth chart. That said, he is starting to see a steady rise in workload and he's been highly productive in the red zone.

Not only does Gillislee have a minimum of eight carries in each of his past four games, but he now has six touchdowns in his past seven games played. With a minimum of 7.2 fantasy points in four consecutive games, Gillislee has finished as a top-15 weekly performer in three of those four weeks.

The Bills have a pair of fantasy-friendly matchups coming up against the Steelers and Browns. Both teams rank among the top-six in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs this season.

3. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (45 percent)

Expected to be part of a 1-2 rushing attack with DeMarco Murray, it has been more of a 1-1 attack with Murray followed by some more Murray. That said, Henry now has eight-plus carries in three of four games. (Of course, the exception was a Week 11 goose egg.)

In his most recent game (Week 12 before their bye), Henry had eight carries for 60 yards and a touchdown against the Bears. Henry now has two touchdowns in his past four games and the team has talked about getting Henry more involved in short-yardage situations.

4. Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13 percent)

Sims is eligible to return from IR this week and the team plans to activate him in time to return for Sunday's game against the Saints. Sims has been productive in a third-down, change-of-pace role for the Bucs and Doug Martin has historically struggled with durability. The Bucs get a pair of matchups against the Saints (Weeks 14 and 16) and the Cowboys (Week 15) in the fantasy playoffs.

5. Justin Forsett, Denver Broncos (six percent)

With Devontae Booker struggling with efficiency (3.29 YPC or worse in five consecutive games) and Kapri Bibbs sent to IR, the Broncos claimed Forsett off waivers. Considering Forsett had the best season of his career playing for Gary Kubiak in Baltimore, it's possible that he earns some opportunities sooner than later. That said, he hasn't been all that effective with the Ravens or the Lions this season.

6. Rex Burkhead, Cincinnati Bengals (five percent)

Burkhead lost a fumble last week, but he had 12 touches -- eight carries and four receptions -- for 66 yards. The Bengals get a favorable matchup in Week 14 against the Browns, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs after the 49ers.

7. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (44 percent)

Scoring his second touchdown on the season, McKinnon had 55 yards from scrimmage and a score on 14 touches on Sunday. He now has 12-plus touches in three consecutive games. Adrian Peterson may or may not return this season, but both McKinnon and/or Matt Asiata lack upside as the Vikings are averaging a league-low 3.0 YPC this season.

8. Shane Vereen, New York Giants (three percent)

Designated as the team's player to return from IR, Vereen is eligible to return in Week 14 and is expected to resume practicing on Wednesday. Vereen is worth a look in PPR formats.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 14

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December 04, 2016

Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 13 NFL picks against the spread:

Atlanta Falcons -5.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (3 Units)

This week, the Chiefs have another massive road test flying out to the East coast to take on the Atlanta Falcons in the Georgia Dome. The Chiefs are coming off a big emotional divisional game against the defending champions, and I think they will be due for a let-down this week. The Falcons have exactly the right personnel available to attack the Chiefs, as Kansas City's secondary has been like a sieve this year to opposing wide receivers. The Chiefs allow 261 yards passing to opposing quarterbacks, and they also have given up 20 touchdowns through the air as well. I really like the Falcons at home in the dome, and having Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and Taylor Gabriel to go against a Chiefs team that will be without Jeremy Maclin again.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Miami Dolphins +3.5 over Baltimore Ravens (3 Units)

The Dolphins will certainly have a test this week to see if they are truly for real, as they are coming into this game winners of their last six ball games. The Ravens lead the AFC North for now, and one would think that the Ravens at home with the best run defense in the league will slow down Jay Ajayi. Over the last six games, Ajayi has been on fire, as he has posted the following split 730 yards rushing and 6 touchdowns over that span. Also, don't sleep on the Dolphins passing offense, as they have emerged with dual threats in Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker, and you can certainly exploit the Ravens secondary that gives up 223 yards passing per game and 20 touchdowns. I think this will be a close game overall and when in doubt, take the points as always.

Chicago Bears +2 over San Francisco 49ers (4 Units)

Outside of Cleveland of course, this game features the two other worst teams in the league, and well, I think, this one is more for draft positioning than anything. Although the Bears have lost two starting quarterbacks this year, Matt Barkely did a credible job last week in his first start, and if it wasn't for the backup receivers having the drops, they would have beaten Tennessee. The Bears have also found a bright spot in running back Jordan Howard, who over the last four games has posted a stat line of 414 yards rushing, two touchdowns, and also hauled in eight catches for 114 yards as well. Howard has the dream matchup against a 49ers defense that allows 171.8 yards rushing per game and 5.1 yards per carry. I know a lot of people love Colin Kaepernick this week, but the Bears are better than the Niners at home.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 13 NFL picks against the spread:

Kansas City Chiefs +5.5 over Atlanta Falcons (3 Units)

The Chiefs are coming off an impressive come-from-behind victory in Denver last week and have set themselves up for a playoff run. They'll need to continue playing well down the stretch, and with Jeremy Maclin ruled out, we should see a good bit of Tyreek Hill. I like a close game that the Chiefs may win outright, so I'll grab the 5.5 here.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Denver Broncos -3.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (4 Units)

The Broncos late loss to Kansas City last week means they'll have some work to do if the defending champs want to make another run at it. Rookie Paxton Lynch will be the starter, and while the Jags pass defense has been good this year, I have more confidence in Lynch this week than I do in Blake Bortles against the Broncos the way he has been playing this year. I don't think the Jags score enough here, and Denver is too good in a very winnable game to let this be the game that kills their playoff hopes. I'll go against the grain and take the small road favorite to cover.

Cincinnati Bengals -2 over Philadelphia Eagles (3 Units)

The Eagles may have a bright future with Carson Wentz at the helm, but the future is not now. After a great start, Philly has regressed to what they really are. They're a middle-of-the-pack team with a solid defense but very weak offense. They have injuries at the running back and wide receiver position, and may have to rely on Dorial Green-Beckham as their No. 1 receiver this week. I think these are two pretty comparable teams and with home field alone, I like Cincy by three or so. I'll give the 2.

New York Giants +6 over Pittsburgh Steelers (4 Units)

We're all waiting for the Steelers to rise up to be the team to challenge New England and potentially come out of the AFC, but at 6-5, they need to secure a playoff spot first. I expect an offensive game, but the Giants defense has been getting better and better as the season goes on, and I think six points is too much. The Giants offense should be able hang in with Pittsburgh, and the Steelers should win the game, but I see less than a touchdown as the difference.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Continue reading "Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)" »


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December 03, 2016

Week 13 Fantasy Football: Tight Ends Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, C.J. Fiedorowicz is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 13 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Jimmy Graham and Fiedorowicz, you should start Graham -- and in turn, bench Fiedorowicz.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

Week 13 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

TE - C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (at GB)

As much as the Texans offense, particularly the pass offense, has struggled this season, Fiedorowicz has emerged as a steady and consistent option. The third-year tight end now has a streak of eight games with at least five targets and he's averaged 6.88 per game over that stretch with a line of 4.63/52.75/0.38 and 7.53 fantasy points per game.

The matchup this week is favorable as the Packers have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points this season. On the year, only the Bills and Buccaneers have allowed more Y/R to opposing tight ends than the Packers (13.2 Y/R). Over their past four games, they have allowed four tight ends to exceed six fantasy points.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 13 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

TE - Vance McDonald, San Francisco 49ers (at CHI)

With the exception of his first start, Colin Kaepernick has consistently targeted McDonald, who has six-plus targets in five consecutive games. In his past four games, McDonald has finished as a top-four weekly tight end twice. In his past four games, he has a minimum of 46 yards each week and a total of 240 yards and two touchdowns.

There are a number of top tight ends out this week. Not only will Rob Gronkowski miss the next two months following back surgery, but Jordan Reed has been ruled out as well and Delanie Walker is on bye. While it's hard to trust any of San Francisco's wide receivers on a weekly basis, McDonald is certainly a viable streamer this week and he's owned in only 19 percent