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After all of the times that Ricky Williams has violated the NFL's substance abuse policy, I'm really surprised by some recent remarks that Williams has made.

Williams told The Miami Herald for Tuesday's editions that when players were given Friday off, "Automatically your mind, which is so constrained since training camp began ... says, 'I'm free, what can I do?' So there was definitely an urge," he said.

"I'd be lying if I said I'm never going to do it again after I'm done," he said. "I don't know. I don't spend much time thinking about it."

What good will come out of admitting any of this? Nothing.

Although he's not requesting it, I'm going to provide Ricky some free advice. Shut up. Don't talk.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:28 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Tick tock. Tick tock.

Time is running out for Scott Linehan and Lane Kiffin.

Scott Linehan has umm...led the Rams to an 0-4 start and has benched their starting QB, who now refuses to play for Linehan. Considering he was "benched", which means he won't be playing, I suppose that is the least of Linehan's concerns. But the benching has led to players (including its best player Steven Jackson) to express criticism.

Jackson called the benching of his teammate the "wrong decision" and added, "I'm not the only one who feels this way."

While Lane Kiffin has done a better job than Linehan, his Raiders are 1-3 after spending a lot of free agent money in the off-season. Granted, Al Davis orchestrated the deals and many of the deals were ill-advised. Spending $100,000 for a Yugo doesn't turn it into a luxury automobile.

But Al Davis is widely-believed to be on the cusp of letting Kiffin go even if Kiffin is doing a solid job with all things considered.

Considering both teams have a bye week in week 5 and that both coaches had 3rd-quarter leads today that they blew, I think it's a lock that both will be fired by Tuesday.

Tick tock.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 11:58 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

We have released our Week 4 Fantasy Football position rankings.

Here are the Top 5 QBs:

Jay Cutler, Broncos (at Chiefs)
Philip Rivers, Chargers (at Raiders)
Tony Romo, Cowboys (vs Redskins)
Drew Brees, Saints (vs 49ers)
Kurt Warner, Cardinals (at Jets)

Here are the Top 5 RBs:

Frank Gore, 49ers (at Saints)
Marion Barber, Cowboys (vs Redskins)
Marshawn Lynch, Bills (at Rams)
Reggie Bush, Saints (vs 49ers)
Adrian Peterson, Vikings (vs Titans)

Here are the Top 5 WRs:

Brandon Marshall, Broncos (at Chiefs)
Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals (at Jets)
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals (vs Browns)
Greg Jennings, Packers (at Bucs)
Anquan Boldin, Cardinals (at Jets)

See Full Week 4 Rankings: QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DEF

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:55 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

On 9/1, we (like every other fantasy columnist) recommended avoiding Derek Anderson of the Browns at all costs. He was being taken as the 7th overall QB at the time and we recommended instead that QBs going later than him (Donovan McNabb and Jay Cutler, specifically) should be on your radar.

Browns Coach Romeo Crennel is preparing Quinn for the inevitable move into the starting role. It may not come this week in Cincinnati, but it's coming soon.

"We will definitely try to get the other guy [Quinn] ready and ready to go," Crennel said. "We'll see how it progresses from there. [It means] probably a few more reps in practice right now."

Getting Quinn "ready to go" means the move's inevitable so why not make the move now? Crennel went on to say:

"If we decide to go with him, we just have to put it on the fact from what we've seen in practice and what we feel he's able to do," Crennel said of Quinn. "There's no hard evidence that he will have more success."

Considering Anderson has completed 46% of his passes for 405 yards (135 ypg) while throwing 2 TDs and 5 INTs, it's shocking (and/or sad) to hear that there's "no hard evidence" that Quinn will bring more "success."

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

In 2007, Jon Kitna made a 10-win guarantee and everyone thought he was crazy. After a 6-2 start, some thought it might have happened until they fell apart in the 2nd half to finish the year 7-9.

In 2008, Kitna slightly softened his "guarantee" by saying he would be "disappointed" if Detroit didn't win 10 games. After picking up where they left off at the end of 2007, the Lions have started 0-3 and have given up 113 points in 3 games, 2nd worst only to St. Louis (116 points).

Now, Bill Ford Jr. says he would fire GM/President Matt Millen:

It didn't take long for things to get ugly in Detroit. Today's brutal public comments from vice chairman Bill Ford Jr. -- who said he would have fired president/general manager Matt Millen today if he had the authority -- opens up a can of worms no one thought would be exposed this early in the season.

Ford Jr.'s father, William Clay Ford, runs the team and has been intensely loyal to Millen through seven losing seasons. The younger Ford, however, has made several strong comments this year about his expectations for the team -- making clear he believes Millen and coach Rod Marinelli have been given everything they asked for to build a winner.

I agree with Ford Jr. And they only Kitna and the Lions win 10 games in 2008 is if the NFL intervenes and modifies the 2008 schedule so that the Lions play the Rams every week for the rest of the year.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:33 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

We have released our Week 3 Fantasy Football position rankings.

Here are the Top 5 QBs:

Jay Cutler, Broncos (vs Saints)
Tony Romo, Cowboys (at packers)
Peyton Manning, Colts (vs Jags)
Drew Brees, Saints (at Broncos)
Kurt Warner, Cardinals (at Redskins)

Here are the Top 5 RBs:

Adrian Peterson, Vikings (vs Panthers): Note - AP is questionable and a game-time decision.
Frank Gore, 49ers (vs Lions)
Brian Westbrook, Eagles (vs Steelers)
Marion Barber, Cowboys (at Packers)
Brandon Jacobs, Giants (vs Bengals)

Here are the Top 5 WRs:

Brandon Marshall, Broncos (vs Saints)
Terrell Owens, Cowboys (at Packers)
Plaxico Burress, Giants (vs Bengals)
Reggie Wayne, Colts (vs Jags)
Calvin Johnson, Lions (at 49ers)

See Full Week 3 Rankings: QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DEF

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:01 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

The St. Louis Rams offense is awful, ranking last in the NFL. In 2 games, Marc Bulger has been sacked 10 times. Torry Holt placed the blame of the offense's woes on the offensive line.

"Those guys, the offensive line guys, have to continue to take more pride in what they’re doing to keep the quarterback clean," Holt said after practice at Rams Park. "I can stand here and say what needs to be done and who needs to do what, but that’s not going to solve anything.

"It’s going to come down to the guys up front that’s protecting Marc and giving Steven (Jackson) running lanes and giving us time to get open in the secondary to make things happen. They have to continue to take a stronger initiative, a more sense of urgency to keep No. 10 off his back. If he continues to get smacked around, we won’t be seeing No. 10 for long."

Holt is right about the O-Line needing to do a better job, but in general I think those comments should be kept in-house. Tell your teammates, not the media.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 09:59 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

It's unfortunate that the Chargers lost to the Broncos the way they did. Ed Hochuli blew a split-second call and realized immediately that it was a fumble and not an incomplete pass. However, rules dictated that the call couldn't be reversed. The real issue isn't that Ed Hochuli was human for a moment and made an error. The problem is that the rules disallowed him from correcting his mistake.

By making this error, Ed Hochuli received a lower grade.

"Officials are held accountable for their calls. They are graded on every play of every game," NFL spokesman Greg Aiello said Monday. "Ed has been an outstanding official for many years, but he will be marked down for this call. Under our evaluation system, an official's grades impact his status for potentially working the playoffs and ultimately whether or not he is retained."

Perhaps worse though has been the amount of hate mail/e-mail that Hochuli has received. According to the Union-Tribune, Hochuli plans on responding to all the mail that he has received.

I'm getting hundreds of emails – hate mail – but I'm responding to it all. People deserve a response.

You can rest assured that nothing anyone can say can make me feel worse than I already feel about my mistake on the fumble play. You have no idea ...

Affecting the outcome of a game is a devastating feeling. Officials strive for perfection – I failed miserably. Although it does no good to say it, I am very, very sorry.

Ed Hochuli

Mike Pereira, head of NFL referees, said about Hochuli:

"He is a consummate professional who's refereed in this league for 17 years and he hates to make any mistake. So when you add a mistake of this magnitude, at this particular junction of the game, it's been really hard on him. We've talked probably seven or eight times since that game, and my whole goal is to try to get him back to get on the horse and work again this weekend. He's too good of a guy, too good of an official to keep off the field over this critical mistake he made. I think he'll be all right, but he's really been affected over this mistake he made."

Ed Hochuli has been a great ref and he is a class act for responding to hate mail personally. I can only imagine how difficult that must be.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:54 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Porter doesn't learn from his own mistakes. Remember last year after starting 0-3, Porter said this "...Write it how you want to write it: we will win on Sunday.''

How did that work out? Raiders 35, Dolphins 17

"I just know he's not a Tom Brady," Porter said. "So if it's not Tom Brady, it shouldn't be that hard." (insert your own joke here)

Yet Porter said "It'll be good to go out there and get our first victory."

"You treat him like you treat a backup," Porter said. "How do you prepare for a backup? He don't get that many snaps, right? So you throw the kitchen sink at him. That's what we're going to do."

"He's a guy we'll prepare for, but that was his first start since high school," Porter said. "So you can take all the reps you want to. This is a totally different game, a totally different league. He's only had one start in the NFL. Take that for what it's worth. He won it, but if you compare him to Brady, there's no comparison.

Yes Joey, Cassel has only started 1 game in his career and won 1 game. The Dolphins have played 18 games since Porter has been in Miami and won 1 game.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 11:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

The Indianapolis Colts suffered a huge blow losing reigning Defensive Player of the Year Bob Sanders for 4-6 weeks. Interestingly enough, he has struggled to stay healthy in even-numbered years in the past. He played 6 games in 2004, his rookie season, and 4 games in 2006.

"I feel like I'm prepared," [Sanders' replacement Melvin] Bullitt said. "It's always hard to replace a player like Bob, who was the defensive player of the year and, in my opinion, is the best safety in the league."

In the Colts Super Bowl winning season, Sanders played only 4 regular season games. The Colts finished 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game. In fact, they allowed more rushing ypg (173.0) than they allowed passing ypg (159.3).

Then, Sanders returned for the post-season and the Colts' run defense improved dramatically:

vs KC: 17 attempts for 44 yards
vs BAL: 20 attempts for 83 yards
vs NE: 24 attempts for 93 yards
vs CHI: 19 attempts for 111 yards

If you're a glass half-full kind-of person, you can take solace in the fact that Sanders will be back in 4-6 weeks. Consisdering the Patriots lost Tom Brady and the Chargers lost Shawne Merriman for the season, I still view the Colts as the team to beat in the AFC. However, they haven't looked like that so far. Their offense should look better with Jeff Saturday.

If Sanders misses 6 weeks, he would miss the following games:

vs Jacksonville
bye
at Houston
vs Baltimore
at Green Bay
at Tennessee

If he misses exactly 4 weeks, he will return in time for the Green Bay and Tennessee games, which will be big games for the Colts. If he misses extended time, however, the Colts schedule continues with 3 difficult games in 4 weeks:

vs New England
at Pittsburgh
vs Houston
at San Diego

The Colts have battled many injuries in the off-season, pre-season and early in the regular season. But this is the Colts' biggest loss.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 10:38 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Here are the Top 10 teams:

1. New York Giants (208.0)
2. Arizona Cardinals (204.0)
3. Denver Broncos (194.5)
4. Philadelphia Eagles (188.0)
5. Baltimore Ravens (185.5)
6. Dallas Cowboys (183.5)
7. Tennessee Titans (180.0)
T8. Buffalo Bills (179.0)
T8. Pittsburgh Steelers (179.0)
10. Green Bay Packers (177.0)

See Full Domination Index

* Domination Index ranks all 32 teams based on key differential statistics. It looks back at how dominant a team has been in its games thus far and is adjusted for strength of schedule.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:38 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 5 Defenses for week 2:

1. New York Giants (at STL)
2. Seattle Seahawks(vs SF)
3. Tennessee Titans (at CIN)
4. Green Bay Packers (at DET)
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs ATL)

See Full Top 20 Defenses for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:31 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 5 Kickers for week 2:

1. Mason Crosby, Packers (at DET)
2. Adam Vinatieri, Colts (at MIN)
3. Nick Folk, Cowboys (vs PHI)
4. Nate Kaeding, Chargers (at DEN)
5. Neil Rackers, Cardinals (vs MIA)

See Full Top 20 Kickers for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:28 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 10 TEs for week 2:

1. Jason Witten, Cowboys (vs PHI)
2. Kellen Winslow, Browns (vs PIT)
3. Jeremy Shockey, Saints (at WAS)
4. Antonio Gates, Chargers (at DEN)
5. Tony Gonzalez, Chiefs (vs OAK)
6. Chris Cooley, Redskins (vs NO)
7. Heath Miller, Steelers (at CLE)
8. Anthony Fasano, Dolphins (at ARI)
9. L.J. Smith, Eagles (at DAL)
10. Owen Daniels, Texans (vs BAL) * Note: game postponed to Nov. 9th due to damage at Reliant Stadium.

See Full Top 20 TEs for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:25 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 10 WRs for week 2:

1. Reggie Wayne, Colts (at MIN)
2. Terrell Owens, Cowboys (vs PHI)
3. Plaxico Burress, Giants (at STL)
4. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals (vs MIA)
5. Andre Johnson, Texans (vs BAL) * Game postponed to November 9th due to damage to Reliant Stadium.
6. Randy Moss, Patriots (at NYJ)
7. Braylon Edwards, Browns (vs PIT)
8. Anquan Boldin, Cardinals (vs MIA)
9. Brandon Marshall, Broncos (vs SD)
10. Greg Jennings, Packers (at DET)

See Full Top 50 WRs for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:17 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 10 RBs for week 2:

1. LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers (at DEN)
2. Adrian Peterson, Vikings (vs IND)
3. Brian Westbrook, Eagles (at DAL)
4. Brandon Jacobs, Giants (at STL)
5. Frank Gore, 49ers (at SEA)
6. Willie Parker, Steelers (at CLE)
7. Larry Johnson, Chiefs (vs OAK)
8. Marion Barber, Cowboys (vs PHI)
9. Ryan Grant, Packers (at DET)
10. Earnest Graham, Bucs (vs ATL)

See Full Top 40 RBs for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:14 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Each week, we prepare fantasy football rankings for all positions. If you're familiar with our site, you know that we average various sites' rankings in an effort to reach a consensus or average ranking. It's the "2 heads are better than 1" philosophy. The rankings are derived from ESPN, Yahoo! Sports, Sportsline and Fox Sports.

Here are Top 10 QBs for week 2:

1. Peyton Manning, Colts (at MIN)
2. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers (at CLE)
3. Drew Brees, Saints (at WAS)
4. Tony Romo, Cowboys (vs PHI)
5. Kurt Warner, Cardinals (vs MIA)
6. Eli Manning, Giants (at STL)
7. Jay Cutler, Broncos (vs SD)
8. Aaron Rodgers, Packers (at DET)
9. Donovan McNabb, Eagles (at DAL)
10. Brett Favre, Jets (vs NE)

See Full Top 25 QBs for week 2.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:05 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

If you were paying attention to my picks in week 1, you noticed that I was 3-0 on The Weekly Blitz. If you checked out my buddy's site at 1440wallstreet.com, you noticed that I was 5-0. Yes, each week I give his site and readers 2 extra picks.

Here are my picks released on The Weekly Blitz for Week 2:

Packers (-3) over Lions: This game has trap written all over it, but I can’t resist. In fact, I consider this to be the “lock” of the week (another reason why it might be a trap). But here’s how I look at it - what has changed on the Packers from 2007 to 2008? Aside from Brett Favre, there’s not much. The Packers still have their core of solid defensive players, talented skill players, etc. Although I don’t expect the Packers to repeat their 13-3 performance, this team is good. Really good. Despite what Jon Kitna might tell you, the Lions are not. Calvin Johnson and Roy Williams are one of the NFL’s top WR tandems and I predict that Calvin Johnson will be the best WR in the NFL by end of the 2009 season. But it’s week 2 in the 2008 season. After Michael “The Burner” Turner scorched the Lions run defense for 220, I expect Ryan Grant to put up gaudy numbers. This one will be over at halftime.

Titans (+1) over Bengals: There is one thing the Bengals can’t do well (stop the run) that the Titans can (run). I’m surprised by this line. Even though Vince Young is out, he was being booed in Nashville by Titan fans before he got hurt. And the Titans won over a physical Jaguars team. So, we’ll see how much the loss of #10 hurts the Titans. Chris Johnson and LenDale White provide a solid 1-2 punch that will knock out these lightweights from the Queen City. How long will we have to wait for the “Ocho Stinko” jerseys if #85 goes another game without a reception? Look for the Titans to smash the Bengals in the mouth and for the Bengals to leave more banged up than they already are. Plus, the Titans are 11-5 in last 16 games against-the-spread (ATS).

Cardinals (-6) over Dolphins: I saw an interesting stat involving “grass” and couldn’t resist with Ricky Williams in the game. The Dolphins are 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games on grass while the Cardinals are 11-4 in their last 15 games on grass. The Arizona Cardinals are my pick to win the NFC West, which isn’t saying much, but the Cards have a great offense with Kurt Warner at the helm. Look for Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower to have good games against a run defense that was 32nd in the NFL in 2007.

This week, the 2 bonus picks are the Jets vs Patriots and the Colts vs Vikings. See who I picked here.

And while you're at it, take a look at the week 2 picks of our 4 other contributors here.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:54 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

I completed the 2008 Divisional predictions before week 1 started, but I didn't get my post-season picks done in time. Although I have the luxury of seeing 1 week of game action, I will use my pre-season picks for records to determine the post-season outcomes.

These were my division winners:

AFC East: New England Patriots 12-4
AFC North: Pittsburgh Steelers 8-8
AFC South: Indianapolis Colts 12-4 (bye)
AFC West: San Diego Chargers 14-2 (bye)

NFC East: Dallas Cowboys 11-5 (bye)
NFC North: Minnesota Vikings 10-6 (bye)
NFC South: New Orleans Saints 10-6
NFC West: Arizona Cardinals 9-7

My wildcard teams are:

AFC: Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5) and Denver Broncos (9-7)
NFC: Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) and Green Bay Packers (9-7)

AFC Championship Game: Indianapolis Colts over San Diego Chargers
NFC Championship Game: Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl XLIII: Dallas Cowboys over Indianapolis Colts

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:36 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

In college, Vince Young impressed me as a laid-back yet confident football player and young man. In his rookie NFL season, he was named the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year. His future seemed bright.

Earlier in the year, however, he surprised many when news surfaced that he had thought about retirement.

“I really thought long and hard about it,” Young told the Web site. “There was so much going on with my family. It was crazy being an NFL quarterback. It wasn’t fun anymore. All of the fun was out of it. All of the excitement was gone. All I was doing was worrying about things.

Then earlier this week reports show that Vince Young was “suicidal” even though Young and Jeff Fisher said reports of the incident were “overblown”.

“I asked [Fisher], ‘What made her worry about him?’” Lt. Andrea Swisher wrote. “He stated, ‘His mood, his emotions, he wants to quit, and he mentioned suicide several times.’ He went on to state that [Young] left the house with a gun.”

Nobody likes to be booed, but Young is extremely thin-skinned. He says that he is “committed” to football, but Pro Football Talk says he has lost the Titans’ locker room and may never play again.

The recent post from MDS regarding Peter King’s report that Titans quarterback Vince Young has lost the locker room (by the way, Eddie George says the same thing on FSN’s PFP . . . check your local listing for the next showing) convinces us that, barring a dramatic turn of events, Young will never play football again for the Tennessee Titans, and possibly never play again for any team.

I’m not sure whether or not Young will play football again. But he’s fun to watch so I hope he does.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:16 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

With the threat of Hurricane Ike, the NFL moved the Texans-Ravens game from Sunday to Monday Night. Now, Hurricane Ike has changed that.

"The facility will not be usable," said Shey Guinn, president of SMG, the company that manages Reliant Park.

"There's some structural damage to the roof. Part of it is off," Guinn said.

"There's also some other damage on the property caused by wind and water. We're in the process of assessing the damage," he said. "As far as the game being postponed again or played, that will be up to the NFL."

Last year, the Houston Texans had their first non-losing season at 8-8. Despite getting trounced by the Steelers in week 1, the Texans had high hopes of the franchise's first-ever winning season this year.

However, since the Texans play in arguably the toughest division (although I think that honor belongs to the NFC East), achieving their first winning season in 2008 was probably not going to happen. Well, it will be even tougher if Reliant Stadium is unusable for an extended period.

The NFL will determine where and when the Texans play the Ravens. The Texans' bye week (Oct. 26) is a possibility.

The big question is, can Reliant Stadium be repaired in time for the Texans' next home game Oct. 5 against Indianapolis.

The Colts game marks the first of three in a row at home. Miami (Oct. 12) and Detroit (Oct. 19) are scheduled to come to Houston after Indianapolis.

Although safety comes first and there are more important things in life than football, hopefully the Texans won't suffer the same outcome as the Saints did post-Katrina.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 04:36 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

As Danny KGB predicted on The Weekly Blitz, the Aaron Rodgers era did start well. (Note: we were collectively 9-6 in our week 1 picks and I was 3-0. In fact, if you saw my 2 bonus picks on 1440 Wall Street, you'll see that I was 5-0 for the week. OK - enough plugging our site...) Here's what Danny KGB wrote:

"The Aaron Rodgers era will start well...and...gives the Packers fans at least one week to say Brett who?"

Here's Rodgers line:

18/22, 178 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT
8 rushes, 35 yards, 1 TD (and Lambeau Leap)
1 Win over division rival

Not sure the fans are saying "Brett who?", but week 1 probably went as well as could possibly be expected for Rodgers. Although it is only 1 game, let's face it this game was huge for a number of reasons. This should set the tone for the Packers and Rodgers for the rest of the year.

That being said, I still stick by my prediction that the Vikings win the NFC North in 2008.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:56 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Today the New England Patriots beat the Kansas City Chiefs 17-10 for their 19th consecutive regular-season victory, which broke the record. Their own record. However, Tom Brady was hit in the knee, left the field and never returned. Early reports indicate Brady may be out for the year although he has an MRI scheduled for Monday.

In my AFC East preview, I predicted a 12-4 finish for the Patriots with the New York Jets at 9-7 and the Buffalo Bills at 8-8. The Jets and the Bills are serious playoff contenders, but I thought they would be contending for the 6th wildcard seed.

Matt Cassel played well in Tom Brady's absence. But he hasn't started a football game since he was in high school after backing up Carson Palmer and Matt Leinart at USC and Tom Brady in New England.

Although it's not a knock on Cassel, he's no Tom Brady - the league's reigning MVP. Granted Brady seemed to have come out of nowhere to replace Drew Bledsoe, but it seems unrealistic to think the same thing can happen again. So, let's say that Tom Brady is worth 2 of the Patriots 12 wins. That reduces their win total to 10.

After today's games, the Bills especially and the Jets too seem capable of winning 10 games. I still think the Patriots will manage to win the AFC East (even without Brady), but it's no longer a lock like I thought it was 12 hours ago.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 11:06 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Prediction: 14-2 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The good news: the Chargers have won 46 games over the past 4 seasons and only 2 teams have won more. The bad news: both of those teams (New England and Indianapolis) are also in the AFC. Most would say that the best team in the NFL is one of those 3 teams. The Chargers are head and shoulders above the rest of this division, but their goal isn't to simply win the AFC West again. In order to win the Super Bowl, they will need to stay healthy. Shawne Merriman is playing with ligament tears in his knee. One blow could end his season. LT has been durable in the regular season (missed 1 - a meaningless week 17 - game in his career), but much was made of LT being on the sidelines last post-season. Philip Rivers showed his toughness, but he needs to continue progressing. Antonio Gates has been battling injuries last year and early this season. If (a big if) they all stay healthy, I think the Chargers are the most balanced team in the AFC. The question is will they?

Interesting Stat/Fact: 2 - # of torn ligaments in Shawne Merriman's knee. Merriman opted to play with the injuries against doctor's wishes.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 108-148 (.422)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs New England, at Pittsburgh, vs Indianapolis, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 34 wins (11.3 per season)

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DENVER BRONCOS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Last year, the Denver Broncos had their only losing season of the decade. As usual, the Broncos were still a solid offensive rushing team. However, the problem lies in the transformation seen in their ability (or lack thereof) to stop the run. From 2001 to 2005, the Broncos finished as high as 2nd against the run but no worse than 7th in that span. However, they finished 12th and 30th in 2006 and 2007, respectively. Provided the Broncos can turn around their run defense, they should bounce back in 2008. I expect a huge year from Jay Cutler, now that he's begun treating his diabetes. He found out in the off-season that was why he lost weight and strength during the regular season. The Broncos will contend for a wildcard spot in 2008 but there is still a considerable gap between the Broncos and the Chargers.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Selvin Young's goal for 2007 is 2,000 rushing yards.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 114-142 (.445)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs San Diego, vs Tampa Bay, vs Jacksonville, at New England, at San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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OAKLAND RAIDERS
Prediction: 6-10 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Poor Lane Kiffin. He's done a good job as head coach of the disfunctional Raiders. Al Davis hasn't made it easy for him though. Davis has overpaid players like Tommy Kelly, Javon Walker and Gibril Wilson. In 2007, the Raiders were 1 of 6 teams to average at least 130 rushing yards/game. Aside from Minnesota, the other 4 teams all made the playoffs. To make the running attack stronger, the Raiders drafted the explosive Darren McFadden. He provides Lane Kiffin with plenty of versatility. The Raiders also added Deangelo Hall at CB and arguably have the best tandem of CBs in the NFL with Hall and Nnamdi Asomugha. However, will the Raiders be able to stop the run on defense and throw the ball on offense? They were 2nd to last in both last year. I expect a couple more wins for the Raiders in 2008, but there are a lot of changes necessary for this to become a playoff-caliber team.

Interesting Stat/Fact: After 3 consecutive 10-win seasons (2000-2002), the Raiders haven't won more than 5 games in any season (2003-2007).

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 112-144 (.438)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs San Diego, at San Diego, vs New England, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 10 wins (3.3 per season)

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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The good news: the Chiefs arguably had the best draft of any team in 2007. The bad news: they are very young and are sure to finish last in the AFC West. They also traded their best player (Jared Allen) to the Minnesota Vikings. Will they be able to get back to Chiefs football and re-establish a running game? Last year, they finished last in the NFL in rushing yards/game. That is surprising considering the Broncos and Raiders were 2 of the 4 worst defenses against the run in 2007 and they play them twice each year. But the Chiefs also have a bad rushing defense: 5th-worst last year. Dwayne Bowe had a great rookie season and should have another solid season. Although getting older, Tony Gonzalez is still one of the elite TEs in the league. But the Chiefs are still have a long road ahead of them.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Chiefs offense, long known for their rushing attack, finished last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (78.0) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 116-140 (.453)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): at New England, vs Tennessee, vs Tampa Bay, at San Diego, vs San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 23 wins (7.7 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

ARIZONA CARDINALS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview:Quick...who had the most 2nd-half passing TDs in the NFL in 2007? Tom Brady? Peyton Manning? Tony Romo? None of those. It was Kurt Warner. The Arizona Cardinals have the best offense in the NFC West. Kurt Warner was finally given the starting QB job that he deserved. Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are the best 2 WRs in the NFC West and their RB duo of Edgerrin James and rookie Tim Hightower is solid. The defense is underrated with Karlos Dansby, Adrian Wilson and rookie Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. The Cardinals have only had one winning season in the past 23 seasons, but 2008 will make it 2 in 24 years.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Cardinals were the most penalized team in the NFL (137 penalties for 1,128 yards) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Washington, vs Dallas, at Seattle, vs NY Giants, at New England, vs Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 18 wins (6.0 per season)

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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Seattle Seahawks have won the NFC West every year from 2004-2007. Can the 'Hawks extend it one more season in what will be Mike Holmgren's final season? The Arizona Cardinals have the best offense in the division although I think the Seahawks have the best defense. With the injuries at WR (Bobby Engram, Deion Branch, Ben Obomanu) and the worst running attack in the NFC West with Maurice Morris and Julius Jones, I expect the Seahawks offense to sputter at times. The Seahawks have enough to challenge for a wildcard berth and even the division title, but I think their streak is over at 4 years.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Unlike the Cardinals, the Seahawks were the least penalized team in the NFL (59 penalties for 428 yards) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 122-134 (.477)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at NY Giants, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay, vs Washington, at Dallas, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 32 wins (10.7 per season)

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ST. LOUIS RAMS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Steven Jackson and Rams management engaged in an expensive game of chicken this pre-season, but Jackson has re-joined the Rams with a new deal. Without Jackson, the Rams would have been really awful. With Jackson, the Rams will be awful (not really awful). However, Marc Bulger and the Rams passing attack haven't been the same in the pre-season and last year as they once have been. In fact, it's not even close. Chris Long was a good draft pick at #2 and he will help make the defense stronger, but the defense still has a lot of weaknesses. And the Rams won't be able to put up enough points to compensate. It will be another rough year for the Rams.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Marc Bulger went from 24 TDs and 8 INTs in 2006 to 11 TDs and 15 INTs in 2007. Will it be the 2007 or the 2006 Bulger in 2008?

Strength of Schedule: 125-131 (.488)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs NY Giants, at Seattle, at Washington, vs Dallas, at New England, vs Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 17 wins (5.7 per season)

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Mike Martz is widely-regarded as an offensive genius. But can he work his magic with the lack of weapons in the Niners' passing game? The 49ers start Isaac Bruce and Bryant Johnson at WR and J.T. O'Sullivan at QB. TE Vernon Davis has a ton of potential although TEs don't typically put up big numbers in a Martz' offense. That being said, Davis has the potential to be used as a WR. With Davis' TE size and WR speed, the possibilities are scary for DBs. Will Frank Gore be used similarly to how Marshall Faulk was used? There are a lot of question marks on offense although the defense should be healthy and solid. How many games will they lose 9-6? I think too many.

Interesting Stat/Fact: 26 - # of career pass attempts for J.T. O'Sullivan, who replaces #1 overall draft pick Alex Smith

Strength of Schedule: 124-132 (.484)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Seattle, vs New England, at NY Giants, vs Seattle, at Dallas, vs Washington

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 wins (5.3 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The New Orleans Saints were a popular pre-season pick in 2007, but struggled out of the gates losing their first 4 games of the season. The Saints averaged 361.2 ypg in 2007, which was good enough to make them 4th in the NFL after the Patriots, Packers and Cowboys. With Deuce McAllister back from injury and Jeremy Shockey added in the off-season, I wouldn't be surprised if the Saints led the NFL in offense. However, only 6 teams gave up more yards than the Saints defense did. With the additions of Bobby McCray, Jonathan Vilma and rookie Sedrick Ellis, the Saints defense should be much improved. With the weakest schedule in the NFC South, I expect the Saints to have a bounce-back season.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Drew Brees threw 652 passes in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 115-141 (.449)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs Tampa Bay, at Washington, vs San Diego, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 20 wins (6.7 per season)

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CAROLINA PANTHERS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Panthers had an eventful training camp with the Steve Smith and Ken Lucas brawl. Or, more accurately, the Steve Smith sucker punch of Ken Lucas. Lucas has said he's forgiven Smith and has put it behind him. And even though Lucas wishes Smith was active for the first 2 games, Smith will serve a 2-game suspension against San Diego and Chicago. Reports are that Julius Peppers has looked as good as ever. With a healthy Jake Delhomme and rookie Jonathan Stewart adding depth and talent to the Panthers running game, I think the Panthers have a better year than in 2007 when they went 7-9.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Their leading WR (Steve Smith) had more yards receiving (1,002) than their leading QB (Vinny Testaverde) had yards passing (952) last season.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): at San Diego, at Tampa Bay, at Green Bay, vs Tampa Bay, at NY Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 26 wins (8.7 per season)

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: With a first-place schedule, I expect the Bucs to take a step backwards in 2008. The Bucs' core players are getting old(er): Jeff Garcia, Joey Galloway, Derrick Brooks, Ronde Barber, etc. Will young players like Gaines Adams (5 sacks in last 11 games), Jovan Haye (6 sacks) and rookie Aqib Talib step up? Maybe Michael Clayton has a good year, but he had more yards receiving in his rookie year than he has had in the last 3 years. I think anyone can win the South (excluding the Falcons), but I believe it's most likely the Bucs finish 3rd in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Michael Clayton had more yards receiving in his rookie year than he has had in the last 3 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 120-136 (.469)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs Green Bay, vs Seattle, at Dallas, vs San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

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ATLANTA FALCONS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: What a year it has been for the Atlanta Falcons! Some of the worst stories in the NFL last year involve the Falcons: Michael Vick, Bobby Petrino, etc. But now the Falcons have a new GM (Thomas Dimitroff), a new Head Coach (Mike Smith), a new starting QB (rookie Matt Ryan) and a new starting RB (Michael Turner). The Falcons have started to put some of the pieces of the puzzle together, however, they clearly remain the worst team in the NFC South. It will a long year for the Falcons, but hopefully more quiet.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Roddy White had 1200+ yards receiving even with the QBs they had in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 118-138 (.461)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at Tampa Bay, at Green Bay, at San Diego, vs Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 19 wins (6.3 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Minnesota Vikings was Brett Favre's preferred destination in the off-season. If he had landed there, the Vikings would be a serious Super Bowl contender. And they still will be if Tarvaris Jackson provides consistent QB play. The Vikings have one of the best offensive lines, running back duos and defensive lines in football. With the off-season acquisition of Jared Allen and Madieu Williams, the Vikings pass rush and coverage should be better in 2008. They remain one of the toughest teams to run the ball on with Kevin and Pat Williams at DT. If Bernard Berrian can stay healthy, the Vikings will have a solid set of WRs with Sidney Rice.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Vikings allowed the fewest rushing yards (74.1 ypg) and the most passing yards (264.1 ypg) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 141-115 (.551)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (7): at Green Bay, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay, at Jacksonville, vs NY Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 23 wins (7.7 per season)

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GREEN BAY PACKERS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Aaron Rodgers era begins in Green Bay. Rodgers replaces a beloved legend and faces immense pressure as his successor. His "get on board or shut up" quote didn't do much to endear him to fans. However, the Packers are one of the younger teams in the NFL with lots of the same talented pieces to surround Rodgers. The Packers over-achieved in 2007 with a 13-win campaign so I would have expected a dropoff in 2008 even with Brett Favre. But the circus environment and pressure that has surrounded this team will make it difficult to fight off the Vikings.

Interesting Stat/Fact: 0 - That's the number of games started by Aaron Rodgers.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 136-120 (.531)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Dallas, at Tampa Bay, at Seattle, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, at Jacksonville

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 25 wins (8.3 per season)

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CHICAGO BEARS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Bears made it to the Super Bowl in 2006 with the best defense in football that year. With an offense that has Kyle Orton starting at QB, rookie Matt Forte at RB and Devin Hester and Brandon Lloyd at WRs, the Bears need their defense to stay healthy and play like they did in 2006. Their defense will likely fall somewhere in between their 2006 and 2007 performance. The Bears drafted Tackle Chris Williams to help a bad OL, but he will miss most of the season due to a back injury. Will the Bears' special teams and defense win them more games than their offense loses?

Interesting Stat/Fact: Devin Hester, entering his 3rd season, already has 11 return TDs placing him 3rd all-time.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 136-120 (.531)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Indianpolis, vs Tampa Bay, vs Tennessee, at Green Bay, vs Jacksonville, vs Green Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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DETROIT LIONS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Only one team (Oakland Raiders) in the NFL has won fewer games than the Lions over the past 3 years. The Lions have one of the best WR corps in the NFL, but they have many holes, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Jon Kitna has made it his business to predict double-digit win seasons for the Lions and they started on track in 2007 with a 6-2 record. However, they fell apart down the stretch finishing 1-7 in their last 8. This team has too many weaknesses to challenge either the Vikings or Packers in 2008. On the bright side, I think Calvin Johnson will be a Top 5 WR in the league heading into 2009.

Interesting Stat/Fact: No team gave up more points (27.8 ppg) and more yards (377.6 ypg) than the Lions defense last season.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 139-117 (.543)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Green Bay, vs Washington, vs Jacksonville, vs Tampa Bay, at Indianapolis, at Green Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 15 wins (5 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:49 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Based on the positive feedback we've received about our Top 150 Cheat Sheets, we've decided to carry over the same concept to weekly positional rankings. Similarly based on our belief that "2 heads are better than 1", we averaged out the weekly rankings of 4 different sites to arrive at a consensus.

To see Week 1 rankings, click on the links below:

Top 25 Fantasy QBs

Top 40 Fantasy RBs

Top 50 Fantasy WRs

Top 20 Fantasy TEs

Top 20 Fantasy Kickers

Top 20 Fantasy Team Defenses

Good luck in week 1...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:36 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Prediction: 12-4 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Colts have had to deal (are dealing) with injuries to several key players: Peyton Manning, Bob Sanders, Dwight Freeney, Jeff Saturday, etc. Peyton Manning is like a coach on the field and helps orchestrate perhaps the greatest offense of this decade. The Greatest Show on Turf was better at its peak, but their success hasn't lasted as long. But the most important player on this team is Bob Sanders. The under-sized, playmaking safety is the reigning Defensive Player of the Year and without a healthy Sanders, I would expect the Jags to pass the Colts. If it weren't for the difference Sanders made to this defense after returning in 2006, Peyton and the Colts would have never won the Super Bowl that year.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Colts have the longest current streak of 10-win seasons in the NFL at 6 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 152-104 (.594)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Jacksonville, at Green Bay, at Tennessee, vs New England, at Pittsburgh, at San Diego, at Jacksonville, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 38 wins (12.7 per season)

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Prediction: 11-5 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: As good as the Jaguars have been recently, they unfortunately play in arguably the toughest division in football. Every year, I think this could be the year that the Jags overtake the perennial AFC South winner Indianapolis Colts. The Jaguars play a smash-mouth style of football and can grind it out with the best of them. They may not be exciting unless, of course, you find winning football games exciting. My biggest concern for the Jaguars are the issues they have had off the field from Fred Taylor getting arrested in Miami and Matt Jones getting arrested for cocaine possession amongst many other issues. Some have referred to the Jags as the "Bengals of the South" because of the number of arrests they have had over the past couple of years. My other big concern is the production out of their wideouts. Reggie Williams and Jerry Porter have been hurt while Troy Williamson still couldn't catch a cold. Matt Jones, their best WR in the pre-season, faces an October court date. The Jags are a 1a to the Colts, but I think it's going to be more of the same for the Jags and a wildcard berth.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Of the Top 10 teams in victories over the last 3 years, the Jaguars are the only team to not win their division at least once in the past 3 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 143-113 (.559)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Tennessee, at Indianapolis, vs Pittsburgh, vs Tennessee, vs Green Bay, vs Indianapolis

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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TENNESSEE TITANS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Colts have the current Defensive Player of the Year (Bob Sanders). However, the Titans may have the league's defensive MVP, if such an award existed. Whether or not Albert Haynesworth is the best defensive player in the league is questionable, but I believe he's the most valuable to his team. And if you think the Jaguars are boring, you're not going to find the Titans much more exciting. Vince Young can make plays with his legs and rookie RB Chris Johnson is electric, but the Titans will win games by winning it in the trenches. I think this is a make-or-break season for Young, who threw nearly twice as many INTs than TDs in his sophomore season. Young will need to protect the ball better if the Titans are going to make it back to the post-season with their style of football. There's a saying about that the 3 most important things in business are "location, location, location." That applies to football too. The Titans are disadavantaged by playing in the same division as the Colts and the Jags (2 of the NFL's top 5 teams in my opinion). The Titans have a shot at the 6th wildcard spot, but I think they lose out on the tie-breaker.

Interesting Stat/Fact: In 2007, 5 of the 6 AFC playoff teams scored 100+ points more than their opponents. The Titans scored 4 more (301 PF, 297 PA). Very efficient.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 139-117 (.543)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, vs Green Bay, at Jacksvonille, vs Pittsburgh, at Indianapolis

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 22 wins (7.3 per season)

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HOUSTON TEXANS
Prediction: 7-9 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Houston Texans drafted Mario Williams with the 1st overall pick in 2006. Everyone scoffed. How could you not take the electric Reggie Bush or Houston-native Vince Young? After 2 seasons, the Texans are the ones who are laughing last. Plus they hit the jackpot with their 2nd round pick that year, DeMeco Ryans, who won Defensive Rookie of the Year. The Texans had their first non-losing season last year and are heading in the right direction. However, they're in the AFC South (see Tennessee Titans). If Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson stay healthy, the passing game will be solid (see stat about Andre Johnson below). Their front seven on defense is solid, but the question marks for the Texans are will they be able run the ball consistently and how will their secondary play. The Texans are still at least a year away, but they are building their team around a solid core of young talent.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Texans were 6-3 last year in the 9 games Andre Johnson played. They were 2-5 in games he did not.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Pittsburgh, at Tennessee, at Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, at Indianapolis, vs Jacksonville, at Green Bay, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 (5.3 per season)

Check back for other 4 division previews (see AFC East Preview, AFC North Preview, NFC East Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this weekend...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:56 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Devin Hester is one of the most exciting players in the NFL. Drafted as a DB by the Bears in 2006, Hester has worn #23 for his whole career.

With the WRs on the Chicago Bears roster, it's easy to imagine Devin Hester being the Bears go-to WR in 2008. Now as Brad Biggs points out in his blog, Devin Hester may need to change #s based on the amount of playing time he receives as a WR.

All players must wear numerals on their jerseys in accordance with Rule 5, Section 4, Article 3(c).

Such numerals must be by playing position, as follows:

(a) quarterbacks, punters, and placekickers: 1-19;
(b) running backs and defensive backs: 20-49;
(c) centers: 50-59 (60-79 if 50-59 are unavailable);
(d) offensive guards and tackles: 60-79;
(e) wide receivers: 10-19 and 80-89;
(f) tight ends: 80-89;
(g) defensive linemen: 60-79 (90-99 if 60-79 are unavailable); and
(h) linebackers: 50-59 (90-99 if 50-59 are unavailable).

If a player changes his position during his playing career in the NFL, and such change moves him out of a category specified above, he must be issued an appropriate new jersey numeral.

I really don't care about Devin Hester wearing 23, 32 or 82. However, it makes no sense to me why this rule exists in the first place. As an example, why can Calvin Johnson wear #21 as a WR at Georgia Tech but not as a WR with the Detroit Lions?

#23 is a special number in Chicago sports. Shouldn't the city's most exciting athlete be allowed to continue wearing the number? I think so. The NFL should abolish this pointless rule.

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 04:32 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Throughout his football career, Keith Rivers has worn #55. That is, until he was drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals. Ahmad Brooks, troubled Bengals LB, already had #55. So, Rivers chose #58 and has been wearing it throughout training camp (once he signed) and the pre-season.

Then, the Cincinnati Bengals cut Brooks when trimming their roster to 53. (Brooks was signed by the San Francisco 49ers.)

To be expected, Rivers has asked to wear #55.

It appears Keith Rivers will be wearing No. 55, his USC number, instead of No. 58 by Sunday. Reebok's holding up the move asking Rivers to buy out the remaining stock of "58" jerseys, which reportedly is about $11,000 worth.

I think it's ridiculous for Reebok to charge Rivers $11,000 for unsold "58" jerseys. Donate them to a charity of something not that $11,000 would be a huge hit for Reebok to take anyways.

It makes no sense to run the risk of alienating Rivers by "nickling and diming" him. Would they do this to Chad Johnson, I mean Chad Ocho Cinco?

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 04:28 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

DALLAS COWBOYS
Prediction: 11-5 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Last year, the Cowboys tied a franchise record 13 regular season victories, led the NFL with most players named to Pro Bowl (13) and extended their playoff victory drought (longest in team history - 1996). While the NFC East is clearly the most competitive division in the NFC and arguably in the NFL, the Cowboys are generally regarded as the best team in the NFC. No arguments here. With the addition of Adam (don't call me "Pacman") Jones and 1st-round rookie Mike Jenkins to the secondary, the Cowboys have one of the Top 5 secondaries in the NFL. Anthony Spencer, once declared the toughest opponent Joe Thomas had to block when both were playing Big Ten Football, is poised to have a breakout year. The Cowboys lack depth at WR and that weakness is glaring heading into Cleveland week 1 with Miles Austin and Sam Hurd out and Isaiah Stanback to play with a harness to protect his separated shoulder. The 'Boys will win the NFC East again in 2008 and might even win a playoff game (or more) to boot.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Cowboys had no 1,000-yard receivers from 2000-2004 yet have had 2 1,000-yard receivers in both of the past 2 seasons.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 134-122 (.523)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Green Bay, vs Washington, vs Tampa Bay, at Giants, at Washington, vs Seattle, at Pittsburgh, vs Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Donovan McNabb finished 2007 strongly when he was finally healthy (816 passing yards in his final 3 games of season). With Asante Samuel added to the group of CBs, the Eagles have arguably the best trio of CBs in football with Sheldon Brown and Lito Shepard. They should easily exceed their league-worst (tied with Houston and Pittsburgh) 11 INTs in 2007. The offensive line is a little bit of a question mark with Shaun Andrews battling depression and Tackles Tra Thomas and Jon Runyan battling Father Time. Many are predicting the Eagles as a sleeper team to win the East, but I think that's going a little too far. A 10-win season with a playoff berth isn't unreasonable though.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Eagles were the only team in the NFL to not score a defensive TD in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 133-123 (.520)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Washington, at Seattle, vs Giants, at Giants, at Washington, vs Dallas

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

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NEW YORK GIANTS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Plaxico Burress and Jeremy Shockey had the potential to be big problems for the defending Super Bowl champs. However, Burress just got a contract extension tonight and Shockey was traded to the Saints. The 2 question marks for this team is Eli Manning's ability to continue to progress from his post-season run and the effectiveness ofl the Giants pass rush. The Giants lost Osi Umenyiora for the season due to injury and tried (unsuccessfully) to talk Michael Strahan, now Fox Sports analyst, out of retirement. Justin Tuck was expected to take on a bigger role in 2008, but now he's going to be asked to carry the DL. The Giants lost 22 of their league-leading 53 sacks with Strahan's retirement and Osi's injury. With defenses having to contend with those two, how many of Tuck's 10 sacks would he have had if he faced consistent double teams? I guess we'll find out in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Eli Manning has thrown 42 TDs to 23 INTs in 25 games played during weeks 1-8, but has thrown 35 TDs to 41 INTs in 31 games during weeks 9-16.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 133-123 (.520)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Washington, vs Seattle, at Pittsburgh, at Dallas, at Washington, at Dallas

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Jim Zorn was hired as the Redskins Offensive Coordinator early in the pre-season. In fact, he was named OC before the 'Skins selected their Head Coach. Then, in a surprising move, Zorn was promoted to HC in the shortest tenure of an OC promoted to HC in NFL history. In another surprising move, the Redskins signed Jason Taylor, when they lost Phillip Daniels to injury. The Taylor move will give the Redskins a much-improved ability to put pressure on the QB. However, their WR corps is average and the rookies they drafted have been banged up. In a division as talented as the NFC East, I can't see the Redskins making the post-season in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Ladell Betts finished 2006 with 666 rushing yards on 132 carries in December only. Last season, he was only given 93 carries and finished with 335 yards.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 134-122 (.523)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Giants, at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Dallas, at Seattle, at Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

Check back for other 5 division previews (see AFC East Preview, AFC North Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 09:33 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

All four AFC North teams play half of their games versus teams that made the playoffs in 2007. The Steelers have the toughest schedule in the NFL (based on 2007 records), but the other 3 teams have a strength of schedule in the Top 8. Therefore, I expect one and only one team from the AFC North to make the post-season in 2009 (again).

PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Steelers have the strongest schedule in the NFL. In fact, the opponents fall into only 2 categories: division foe or team with a .500 record or better. I believe that the Steelers are the best team in the AFC North, however, with their schedule is reason for Steelers' fans to temper their enthusiasm about 2008. Arguably the 4 best teams in the NFL are the Patriots, Colts, Chargers and Cowboys. The Steelers play all 4 of those teams in a 5-week span beginning November 9th. The Steelers added a couple of playmakers with their first 2 draft picks this year: Rashard Mendenhall and Limas Sweed. However, their biggest question mark is how will the offensive line protect Big Ben, who was 2nd in the NFL in QB Rating (104.1) behind Tom Brady. The schedule is too tough to improve upon last year's 10-win season, but they will win enough games to win the division.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Steelers allowed the fewest yards per game (266.4) last year.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 153-103 (.598)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Jacksonville, vs NY Giants, at Washington, vs Indianapolis, vs San Diego, at New England, vs Dallas, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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CLEVELAND BROWNS
Prediction: 7-9 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Cleveland Browns were the feel-good story of 2007. They went from 4 wins in 2006 to 10 wins in 2007. It was the first time they won double-digit games this decade and they made the biggest year-to-year improvement (6 games) of any team in the NFL. After a poor start (4-10, 1 INT) for Charlie Frye week 1, Frye was benched and traded to Seattle. Derek Anderson took over and had a Pro Bowl campaign. However, if you look closer at his numbers, you'll notice that in 4 games (week 2, 6, 8 and 10), Anderson threw 14 TDs and only 1 INT. However, in the other 12 games, he threw 15 TDs and 18 INTs. The Browns were third worst in the NFL last year in yards allowed (359.6 ypg), but they made two big additions to the defensive line: Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams. They have tons of playmakers (Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow, Josh Cribbs as return guy, etc.), but give up big plays too. I expect the Steelers to fend the Browns off again this year. And with the tough schedule for all AFC North teams, it's unrealistic to expect the wildcard to come out of the North. The Browns playoff drought continues although they have more talent (and tough opponents on their schedule) than my #6 seed.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Derek Anderson threw 10 INTs and 9 TDs in final 7 games of 2007. None of those 7 games were against playoff-bound opponents.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs NY Giants, at Washington, at Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, at Pittsburgh

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 20 wins (6.7 per season)

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CINCINNATI BENGALS
Prediction: 6-10 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Although Marvin Lewis was known for being a defensive coach, the Bengals strength is its offense. However, questions abound on offense. Chad Johnson (Ocho Cinco) has a torn labrum, T.J. Houshmandzadeh has naggin hamstring injury, Carson Palmer is recovering from a broken nose and the team cut (now Lions RB) Rudi Johnson, who came to camp with 16 pounds of added muscle but lingering health concerns. With their injuries at WR, they resorted to re-signing troubled WR Chris Henry, who will serve a suspension through week 4. With a 6-10 record in 2008, the question is will Marvin Lewis be back in 2009?

Interesting Stat/Fact: Chad Johnson has legally changed his name to Chad Javon Ocho Cinco. Now, can the NFL disallow him from putting "Ocho Cinco" on the back of his jersey?

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Tennessee, at NY Giants, at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Jacksonville, at Pittsburgh, at Indianapolis, vs Washington

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 26 wins (8.7 per season)

BALTIMORE RAVENS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Their run defense was strong in 2007 allowing only 79.3 rushing ypg. Only the Vikings were better. However, they were in the bottom half in the league in passing yards allowed (222.3 ypg). Plus their defense didn't make plays. In 2007, they recorded a total of 25 interceptions and forced fumbles. Only 3 teams (Jets, 49ers and Eagles) did worse. On offense, they lack playmakers and an experienced QB. With Kyle Boller and Troy Smith out for the opener against Cincinnati, the Ravens have brought in Todd Bouman as a back-up QB as rookie Joe Flacco gets the start week 1. For the Ravens to make the post-season in 2008, their defense needs to bounce back in a big way. With the defense getting older and the uncertainty surrounding Ed Reed's health/status in week 1 (and more), 2008 will much more of the same...

Interesting Stat/Fact: Derrick Mason, who turned 34 in January, had the 1st 100-reception season of his career last year.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 141-115 (.551)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Pittsburgh, vs Tennessee, at Indianapolis, at NY Giants, vs Washington, vs Pittsburgh, at Dallas, vs Jacksonville

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 25 wins (8.3 per season)

Check back for other 6 division previews (see AFC East Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:27 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

We have once again updated our Top 150 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet and there wasn't a lot of movement since our last update on August 19th. Here is the new Top 10:

1. Ladainian Tomlinson, RB, Chargers
2. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
3. Brian Westbrook, RB, Eagles
4. Steven Jackson, RB, Rams
5. Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
6. Joseph Addai, RB, Colts
7. Randy Moss, WR, Patriots
8. Clinton Portis, RB, Redskins
9. Marion Barber, RB, Cowboys
10. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Bills

Within the Top 100, here are some notable movers (+/- 10 points since August 19th):

Positive:
#40: Brandon Marshall, WR, Broncos - average cheat sheet position improved 14.0 spots
#89: Ricky Williams, RB, Dolphins - average cheat sheet position improved 29.3 spots
#97: Patrick Crayton, WR, Cowboys - average cheat sheet position improved 13.2 spots
#100: Maurice Morris, RB, Seahawks - average cheat sheet position improved 25.5 spots

Negative:
#49: Ronnie Brown, RB, Dolphins - average cheat sheet position declined 12.2 spots

Good luck with your fantasy drafts!

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 09:57 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

ESPN is reporting that Derek Anderson will be the starting QB vs the Dallas Cowboys to open the season. He has been battling a concussion and his status has been in question. Some fans may still be clamoring for Ohio-born Brady Quinn to get the start. And if he didn't hold out of training camp in 2007, who knows? Quinn might have earned a starting nod in camp and Anderson wouldn't have had the opportunity to take advantage of after Charlie Frye was benched and traded.

"The expectation is 'DA' will be back and ready to go," Savage said.

Let's take a closer look at Derek Anderson's passing numbers:
- In 1/4 of season (games 2, 6, 8 and 10), Anderson threw 14 TDs and only 1 INT
- In 3/4 of season (other 12 games), Anderson threw 15 TDs and 18 INTs

If you are going to make Derek Anderson the 7th QB and 44th overall draft pick taken in your fantasy draft (where he appears in ESPN's Top 200 cheat sheet), you will need greater consistency out of DA. In fact, in his final 7 games of the season, Anderson threw more INTs (10) than TDs (9). And none of those 7 games were against playoff-bound teams.

Even fantasy "gurus" within ESPN expect Anderson to be replaced by Brady Quinn by mid-season. QBs ranked lower than Anderson that I like more: Donovan McNabb at #8 (finished strong and finally healthy) and Jay Cutler #10 (healthy now that he's being treated for diabetes and he's had a strong pre-season).

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 02:40 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Prediction: 12-4 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: While the Patriots can't improve upon (and won't repeat) last year's 16-0 performance, Belichick & Co. are certainly more concerned with improving upon their 0-1 performance in the Super Bowl. Tom Brady and Randy Moss will have strong years in 2008 again, but I expect both to retreat from the record-setting levels they attained last year. The Giants showed the rest of this copy-cat league the blueprint for success against the Patriots: rush the passer. Last year, Tom Brady threw the 2nd most passes in the NFL behind Drew Brees. This season I expect the Patriots to establish a stronger running attack. Their offense will still put up points, but their biggest question mark is their secondary? The Jets and Bills will be better in 2008 and the Dolphins will be...well, the Dolphins, but the AFC East is still clearly the Patriots division.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Patriots could win 100 games in the decade by week 10 (their 9th game of season). They have the most victories this decade with 91.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 99-157 (.387)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at San Diego, at Indianapolis, vs Pittsburgh, at Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 38 wins (12.7 per season)

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NEW YORK JETS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Jets did a lot in the off-season to improve their team, most notably add the NFL's all-time passing leader and last year's MVP runner-up Brett Favre. However, before the last-minute trade, the Jets improved themselves by adding projected starters All-Pro Alan Faneca and Damien Woody to the offensive line as well as Calvin Pace to LB corps. In the NFL Draft, the Jets added 2 athletic freaks with their first 2 picks: Vernon Gholston from Ohio State and Dustin Keller from Purdue. I expect the additions to the O-Line and the iconic QB will allow Thomas Jones to reverse his downward trend: 2005 (1335 yards, 4.3 ypc, 9 TDs) to 2006 (1210 yards, 4.1 ypc, 6 TDs) to 2007 (1119 yards, 3.6 ypc, 1 TD).

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Jets have alternated between 4 and 10 wins during the past 4 seasons. After winning 4 games last year, they are due for 10 wins this year, right?

Strength of Schedule: 2007 Opponents were 117-139 (.457)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs New England, at San Diego, at New England, at Tennessee, at Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 18 wins (6 per season)

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BUFFALO BILLS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Donte Whitner has put the pressure on the Buffalo Bills with his guarantee: “Do I expect us to make the playoffs? I’m guaranteeing it.” Although the Bills have the potential to be even better, 8-8 is where I expect them to finish. Leodis McKelvin gives them a playmaker on special teams and in the defensive backfield. James Hardy is a big target that should take off pressure on Lee Evans and be very productive in the redzone. Marshawn Lynch is arguably one of the 10 best RBs in the NFL. At the time we went to press (always wanted to say that), however, Jason Peters, the Bills' Pro Bowl Left Tackle, still hasn't reported and his appearance is not imminent. In the deep AFC, the Bills will just fall short of making the post-season in 2008. But the good news is they are headed in the right direction...and I don't mean Toronto.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Bills haven't had a 100-reception WR since 2002 when Eric Mould caught 100 passes.

Strength of schedule: 2007 opponents were 115-141 (.449)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs Seattle, at Jacksonville, vs San Diego, at New England, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 19 wins (6.3 per season)

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MIAMI DOLPHINS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: I have confidence that The Tuna will turn around the mess he inherited in Miami. He helped turn around the Cowboys organization by assembling a team that many consider to have the most talent in the NFL. On the other hand, the Dolphins (i.e., Parcells) traded away their best player (Jason Taylor) for two draft picks (2nd-rounder in 2009 and 6th-rounder in 2010). On offense, their starting QB will be Chad Pennington, who was waived by the Jets. Their RBs will be Ronnie Brown (injury question mark) and Ricky Williams (all-around question mark) although many believe Williams will have a big comeback year (haven't we heard that before?). Their best WR is Ted Ginn Jr., arguably the worst selection based on value in the 2007 NFL Draft, but he should provide more production in his sophomore season. Their O-Line will be better with #1 overall pick Jake Long, but the Dolphins are (at least) a year away before playoff possibilities can be discussed.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Although the 'Fins won only 1 game in 2007, they lost 3 points in 6 different games.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at New England, vs San Diego, vs Seattle, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 wins (5.3 per season)

Check back for other 7 division previews, playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:36 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)