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With less than 5 hours until kickoff, I've waited long enough to make my official Super Bowl XLIII prediction. Of course, I would be much more accurate if I waited another 9 hours.

With the exception of the wildcard round, the Arizona Cardinals have surprised me throughout the post-season.

The Cardinals (6-2 at home, 3-5 away) were much more successful at home in 2008. And the Falcons (7-1 at home, 4-4 away) and Michael Turner (14 of his 17 TDs came at home) had much less success on the road this year.

But who didn't write the Cardinals off in the divisional round against the Panthers?

Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald has been unconscious in the post-season. In 3 playoff games, he has 23 receptions for 419 yards and 5 TDs.

This post-season, fellow WR Anquan Boldin has been quiet (at least, on the field). In 2 playoff games, he has 6 receptions for 106 yards and 1 TD.

Perhaps it's a consequence of the sideline confrontration with OC Todd Haley, but I wouldn't be surprised if Boldin has a monster game tonight as the Steelers' defense focuses on Fitzgerald.

The Cards, who have the best WR corps in the NFL, trailed only the Saints in passing ypg this season. Fitzgerald, Boldin and Steve Breaston all had 1,000+ receiving yards.

But with nerves and pressure high, how does the bye week affect the timing of the Cardinals offense?

The Steelers, who have the league's top-rated defense, should be less affected by the time off. In the Steelers' 18 games (16 regular-season, 2 post-season), the Steelers gave up 30+ points only once. And that one game (week 16 against the Titans) included a pick six that the Steelers offense allowed.

The Steelers lost all 3 of the games in which Ben Roethlisberger threw multiple interceptions. Their other loss was the game that the Eagles sacked Big Ben 8 times.

The Cardinals ranked roughly in the middle of the league in total defense (19th), interceptions (tied for 17th) and sacks (tied for 14th), but they ranked near the bottom in scoring defense (28th).

As long as Big Ben plays within himself (i.e., manages the game), I can't pick against the Steelers defense.

Final score: Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Arizona Cardinals 21

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:56 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

I completed the 2008 Divisional predictions before week 1 started, but I didn't get my post-season picks done in time. Although I have the luxury of seeing 1 week of game action, I will use my pre-season picks for records to determine the post-season outcomes.

These were my division winners:

AFC East: New England Patriots 12-4
AFC North: Pittsburgh Steelers 8-8
AFC South: Indianapolis Colts 12-4 (bye)
AFC West: San Diego Chargers 14-2 (bye)

NFC East: Dallas Cowboys 11-5 (bye)
NFC North: Minnesota Vikings 10-6 (bye)
NFC South: New Orleans Saints 10-6
NFC West: Arizona Cardinals 9-7

My wildcard teams are:

AFC: Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5) and Denver Broncos (9-7)
NFC: Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) and Green Bay Packers (9-7)

AFC Championship Game: Indianapolis Colts over San Diego Chargers
NFC Championship Game: Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl XLIII: Dallas Cowboys over Indianapolis Colts

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 01:36 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Prediction: 14-2 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The good news: the Chargers have won 46 games over the past 4 seasons and only 2 teams have won more. The bad news: both of those teams (New England and Indianapolis) are also in the AFC. Most would say that the best team in the NFL is one of those 3 teams. The Chargers are head and shoulders above the rest of this division, but their goal isn't to simply win the AFC West again. In order to win the Super Bowl, they will need to stay healthy. Shawne Merriman is playing with ligament tears in his knee. One blow could end his season. LT has been durable in the regular season (missed 1 - a meaningless week 17 - game in his career), but much was made of LT being on the sidelines last post-season. Philip Rivers showed his toughness, but he needs to continue progressing. Antonio Gates has been battling injuries last year and early this season. If (a big if) they all stay healthy, I think the Chargers are the most balanced team in the AFC. The question is will they?

Interesting Stat/Fact: 2 - # of torn ligaments in Shawne Merriman's knee. Merriman opted to play with the injuries against doctor's wishes.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 108-148 (.422)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs New England, at Pittsburgh, vs Indianapolis, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 34 wins (11.3 per season)

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DENVER BRONCOS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Last year, the Denver Broncos had their only losing season of the decade. As usual, the Broncos were still a solid offensive rushing team. However, the problem lies in the transformation seen in their ability (or lack thereof) to stop the run. From 2001 to 2005, the Broncos finished as high as 2nd against the run but no worse than 7th in that span. However, they finished 12th and 30th in 2006 and 2007, respectively. Provided the Broncos can turn around their run defense, they should bounce back in 2008. I expect a huge year from Jay Cutler, now that he's begun treating his diabetes. He found out in the off-season that was why he lost weight and strength during the regular season. The Broncos will contend for a wildcard spot in 2008 but there is still a considerable gap between the Broncos and the Chargers.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Selvin Young's goal for 2007 is 2,000 rushing yards.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 114-142 (.445)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs San Diego, vs Tampa Bay, vs Jacksonville, at New England, at San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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OAKLAND RAIDERS
Prediction: 6-10 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Poor Lane Kiffin. He's done a good job as head coach of the disfunctional Raiders. Al Davis hasn't made it easy for him though. Davis has overpaid players like Tommy Kelly, Javon Walker and Gibril Wilson. In 2007, the Raiders were 1 of 6 teams to average at least 130 rushing yards/game. Aside from Minnesota, the other 4 teams all made the playoffs. To make the running attack stronger, the Raiders drafted the explosive Darren McFadden. He provides Lane Kiffin with plenty of versatility. The Raiders also added Deangelo Hall at CB and arguably have the best tandem of CBs in the NFL with Hall and Nnamdi Asomugha. However, will the Raiders be able to stop the run on defense and throw the ball on offense? They were 2nd to last in both last year. I expect a couple more wins for the Raiders in 2008, but there are a lot of changes necessary for this to become a playoff-caliber team.

Interesting Stat/Fact: After 3 consecutive 10-win seasons (2000-2002), the Raiders haven't won more than 5 games in any season (2003-2007).

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 112-144 (.438)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs San Diego, at San Diego, vs New England, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 10 wins (3.3 per season)

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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The good news: the Chiefs arguably had the best draft of any team in 2007. The bad news: they are very young and are sure to finish last in the AFC West. They also traded their best player (Jared Allen) to the Minnesota Vikings. Will they be able to get back to Chiefs football and re-establish a running game? Last year, they finished last in the NFL in rushing yards/game. That is surprising considering the Broncos and Raiders were 2 of the 4 worst defenses against the run in 2007 and they play them twice each year. But the Chiefs also have a bad rushing defense: 5th-worst last year. Dwayne Bowe had a great rookie season and should have another solid season. Although getting older, Tony Gonzalez is still one of the elite TEs in the league. But the Chiefs are still have a long road ahead of them.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Chiefs offense, long known for their rushing attack, finished last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (78.0) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 116-140 (.453)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): at New England, vs Tennessee, vs Tampa Bay, at San Diego, vs San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 23 wins (7.7 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

ARIZONA CARDINALS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview:Quick...who had the most 2nd-half passing TDs in the NFL in 2007? Tom Brady? Peyton Manning? Tony Romo? None of those. It was Kurt Warner. The Arizona Cardinals have the best offense in the NFC West. Kurt Warner was finally given the starting QB job that he deserved. Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are the best 2 WRs in the NFC West and their RB duo of Edgerrin James and rookie Tim Hightower is solid. The defense is underrated with Karlos Dansby, Adrian Wilson and rookie Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. The Cardinals have only had one winning season in the past 23 seasons, but 2008 will make it 2 in 24 years.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Cardinals were the most penalized team in the NFL (137 penalties for 1,128 yards) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Washington, vs Dallas, at Seattle, vs NY Giants, at New England, vs Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 18 wins (6.0 per season)

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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Seattle Seahawks have won the NFC West every year from 2004-2007. Can the 'Hawks extend it one more season in what will be Mike Holmgren's final season? The Arizona Cardinals have the best offense in the division although I think the Seahawks have the best defense. With the injuries at WR (Bobby Engram, Deion Branch, Ben Obomanu) and the worst running attack in the NFC West with Maurice Morris and Julius Jones, I expect the Seahawks offense to sputter at times. The Seahawks have enough to challenge for a wildcard berth and even the division title, but I think their streak is over at 4 years.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Unlike the Cardinals, the Seahawks were the least penalized team in the NFL (59 penalties for 428 yards) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 122-134 (.477)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at NY Giants, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay, vs Washington, at Dallas, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 32 wins (10.7 per season)

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ST. LOUIS RAMS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Steven Jackson and Rams management engaged in an expensive game of chicken this pre-season, but Jackson has re-joined the Rams with a new deal. Without Jackson, the Rams would have been really awful. With Jackson, the Rams will be awful (not really awful). However, Marc Bulger and the Rams passing attack haven't been the same in the pre-season and last year as they once have been. In fact, it's not even close. Chris Long was a good draft pick at #2 and he will help make the defense stronger, but the defense still has a lot of weaknesses. And the Rams won't be able to put up enough points to compensate. It will be another rough year for the Rams.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Marc Bulger went from 24 TDs and 8 INTs in 2006 to 11 TDs and 15 INTs in 2007. Will it be the 2007 or the 2006 Bulger in 2008?

Strength of Schedule: 125-131 (.488)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs NY Giants, at Seattle, at Washington, vs Dallas, at New England, vs Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 17 wins (5.7 per season)

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Mike Martz is widely-regarded as an offensive genius. But can he work his magic with the lack of weapons in the Niners' passing game? The 49ers start Isaac Bruce and Bryant Johnson at WR and J.T. O'Sullivan at QB. TE Vernon Davis has a ton of potential although TEs don't typically put up big numbers in a Martz' offense. That being said, Davis has the potential to be used as a WR. With Davis' TE size and WR speed, the possibilities are scary for DBs. Will Frank Gore be used similarly to how Marshall Faulk was used? There are a lot of question marks on offense although the defense should be healthy and solid. How many games will they lose 9-6? I think too many.

Interesting Stat/Fact: 26 - # of career pass attempts for J.T. O'Sullivan, who replaces #1 overall draft pick Alex Smith

Strength of Schedule: 124-132 (.484)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Seattle, vs New England, at NY Giants, vs Seattle, at Dallas, vs Washington

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 wins (5.3 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The New Orleans Saints were a popular pre-season pick in 2007, but struggled out of the gates losing their first 4 games of the season. The Saints averaged 361.2 ypg in 2007, which was good enough to make them 4th in the NFL after the Patriots, Packers and Cowboys. With Deuce McAllister back from injury and Jeremy Shockey added in the off-season, I wouldn't be surprised if the Saints led the NFL in offense. However, only 6 teams gave up more yards than the Saints defense did. With the additions of Bobby McCray, Jonathan Vilma and rookie Sedrick Ellis, the Saints defense should be much improved. With the weakest schedule in the NFC South, I expect the Saints to have a bounce-back season.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Drew Brees threw 652 passes in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 115-141 (.449)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs Tampa Bay, at Washington, vs San Diego, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 20 wins (6.7 per season)

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CAROLINA PANTHERS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Panthers had an eventful training camp with the Steve Smith and Ken Lucas brawl. Or, more accurately, the Steve Smith sucker punch of Ken Lucas. Lucas has said he's forgiven Smith and has put it behind him. And even though Lucas wishes Smith was active for the first 2 games, Smith will serve a 2-game suspension against San Diego and Chicago. Reports are that Julius Peppers has looked as good as ever. With a healthy Jake Delhomme and rookie Jonathan Stewart adding depth and talent to the Panthers running game, I think the Panthers have a better year than in 2007 when they went 7-9.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Their leading WR (Steve Smith) had more yards receiving (1,002) than their leading QB (Vinny Testaverde) had yards passing (952) last season.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): at San Diego, at Tampa Bay, at Green Bay, vs Tampa Bay, at NY Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 26 wins (8.7 per season)

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: With a first-place schedule, I expect the Bucs to take a step backwards in 2008. The Bucs' core players are getting old(er): Jeff Garcia, Joey Galloway, Derrick Brooks, Ronde Barber, etc. Will young players like Gaines Adams (5 sacks in last 11 games), Jovan Haye (6 sacks) and rookie Aqib Talib step up? Maybe Michael Clayton has a good year, but he had more yards receiving in his rookie year than he has had in the last 3 years. I think anyone can win the South (excluding the Falcons), but I believe it's most likely the Bucs finish 3rd in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Michael Clayton had more yards receiving in his rookie year than he has had in the last 3 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 120-136 (.469)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): vs Green Bay, vs Seattle, at Dallas, vs San Diego

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

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ATLANTA FALCONS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: What a year it has been for the Atlanta Falcons! Some of the worst stories in the NFL last year involve the Falcons: Michael Vick, Bobby Petrino, etc. But now the Falcons have a new GM (Thomas Dimitroff), a new Head Coach (Mike Smith), a new starting QB (rookie Matt Ryan) and a new starting RB (Michael Turner). The Falcons have started to put some of the pieces of the puzzle together, however, they clearly remain the worst team in the NFC South. It will a long year for the Falcons, but hopefully more quiet.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Roddy White had 1200+ yards receiving even with the QBs they had in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 118-138 (.461)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at Tampa Bay, at Green Bay, at San Diego, vs Tampa Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 19 wins (6.3 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:50 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Minnesota Vikings was Brett Favre's preferred destination in the off-season. If he had landed there, the Vikings would be a serious Super Bowl contender. And they still will be if Tarvaris Jackson provides consistent QB play. The Vikings have one of the best offensive lines, running back duos and defensive lines in football. With the off-season acquisition of Jared Allen and Madieu Williams, the Vikings pass rush and coverage should be better in 2008. They remain one of the toughest teams to run the ball on with Kevin and Pat Williams at DT. If Bernard Berrian can stay healthy, the Vikings will have a solid set of WRs with Sidney Rice.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Vikings allowed the fewest rushing yards (74.1 ypg) and the most passing yards (264.1 ypg) in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 141-115 (.551)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (7): at Green Bay, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, vs Green Bay, at Tampa Bay, at Jacksonville, vs NY Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 23 wins (7.7 per season)

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GREEN BAY PACKERS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Aaron Rodgers era begins in Green Bay. Rodgers replaces a beloved legend and faces immense pressure as his successor. His "get on board or shut up" quote didn't do much to endear him to fans. However, the Packers are one of the younger teams in the NFL with lots of the same talented pieces to surround Rodgers. The Packers over-achieved in 2007 with a 13-win campaign so I would have expected a dropoff in 2008 even with Brett Favre. But the circus environment and pressure that has surrounded this team will make it difficult to fight off the Vikings.

Interesting Stat/Fact: 0 - That's the number of games started by Aaron Rodgers.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 136-120 (.531)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Dallas, at Tampa Bay, at Seattle, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, at Jacksonville

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 25 wins (8.3 per season)

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CHICAGO BEARS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Bears made it to the Super Bowl in 2006 with the best defense in football that year. With an offense that has Kyle Orton starting at QB, rookie Matt Forte at RB and Devin Hester and Brandon Lloyd at WRs, the Bears need their defense to stay healthy and play like they did in 2006. Their defense will likely fall somewhere in between their 2006 and 2007 performance. The Bears drafted Tackle Chris Williams to help a bad OL, but he will miss most of the season due to a back injury. Will the Bears' special teams and defense win them more games than their offense loses?

Interesting Stat/Fact: Devin Hester, entering his 3rd season, already has 11 return TDs placing him 3rd all-time.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 136-120 (.531)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Indianpolis, vs Tampa Bay, vs Tennessee, at Green Bay, vs Jacksonville, vs Green Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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DETROIT LIONS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Only one team (Oakland Raiders) in the NFL has won fewer games than the Lions over the past 3 years. The Lions have one of the best WR corps in the NFL, but they have many holes, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Jon Kitna has made it his business to predict double-digit win seasons for the Lions and they started on track in 2007 with a 6-2 record. However, they fell apart down the stretch finishing 1-7 in their last 8. This team has too many weaknesses to challenge either the Vikings or Packers in 2008. On the bright side, I think Calvin Johnson will be a Top 5 WR in the league heading into 2009.

Interesting Stat/Fact: No team gave up more points (27.8 ppg) and more yards (377.6 ypg) than the Lions defense last season.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 139-117 (.543)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Green Bay, vs Washington, vs Jacksonville, vs Tampa Bay, at Indianapolis, at Green Bay

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 15 wins (5 per season)

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:49 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Prediction: 12-4 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Colts have had to deal (are dealing) with injuries to several key players: Peyton Manning, Bob Sanders, Dwight Freeney, Jeff Saturday, etc. Peyton Manning is like a coach on the field and helps orchestrate perhaps the greatest offense of this decade. The Greatest Show on Turf was better at its peak, but their success hasn't lasted as long. But the most important player on this team is Bob Sanders. The under-sized, playmaking safety is the reigning Defensive Player of the Year and without a healthy Sanders, I would expect the Jags to pass the Colts. If it weren't for the difference Sanders made to this defense after returning in 2006, Peyton and the Colts would have never won the Super Bowl that year.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Colts have the longest current streak of 10-win seasons in the NFL at 6 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 152-104 (.594)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Jacksonville, at Green Bay, at Tennessee, vs New England, at Pittsburgh, at San Diego, at Jacksonville, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 38 wins (12.7 per season)

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Prediction: 11-5 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: As good as the Jaguars have been recently, they unfortunately play in arguably the toughest division in football. Every year, I think this could be the year that the Jags overtake the perennial AFC South winner Indianapolis Colts. The Jaguars play a smash-mouth style of football and can grind it out with the best of them. They may not be exciting unless, of course, you find winning football games exciting. My biggest concern for the Jaguars are the issues they have had off the field from Fred Taylor getting arrested in Miami and Matt Jones getting arrested for cocaine possession amongst many other issues. Some have referred to the Jags as the "Bengals of the South" because of the number of arrests they have had over the past couple of years. My other big concern is the production out of their wideouts. Reggie Williams and Jerry Porter have been hurt while Troy Williamson still couldn't catch a cold. Matt Jones, their best WR in the pre-season, faces an October court date. The Jags are a 1a to the Colts, but I think it's going to be more of the same for the Jags and a wildcard berth.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Of the Top 10 teams in victories over the last 3 years, the Jaguars are the only team to not win their division at least once in the past 3 years.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 143-113 (.559)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Tennessee, at Indianapolis, vs Pittsburgh, vs Tennessee, vs Green Bay, vs Indianapolis

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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TENNESSEE TITANS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Colts have the current Defensive Player of the Year (Bob Sanders). However, the Titans may have the league's defensive MVP, if such an award existed. Whether or not Albert Haynesworth is the best defensive player in the league is questionable, but I believe he's the most valuable to his team. And if you think the Jaguars are boring, you're not going to find the Titans much more exciting. Vince Young can make plays with his legs and rookie RB Chris Johnson is electric, but the Titans will win games by winning it in the trenches. I think this is a make-or-break season for Young, who threw nearly twice as many INTs than TDs in his sophomore season. Young will need to protect the ball better if the Titans are going to make it back to the post-season with their style of football. There's a saying about that the 3 most important things in business are "location, location, location." That applies to football too. The Titans are disadavantaged by playing in the same division as the Colts and the Jags (2 of the NFL's top 5 teams in my opinion). The Titans have a shot at the 6th wildcard spot, but I think they lose out on the tie-breaker.

Interesting Stat/Fact: In 2007, 5 of the 6 AFC playoff teams scored 100+ points more than their opponents. The Titans scored 4 more (301 PF, 297 PA). Very efficient.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 139-117 (.543)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, vs Green Bay, at Jacksvonille, vs Pittsburgh, at Indianapolis

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 22 wins (7.3 per season)

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HOUSTON TEXANS
Prediction: 7-9 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Houston Texans drafted Mario Williams with the 1st overall pick in 2006. Everyone scoffed. How could you not take the electric Reggie Bush or Houston-native Vince Young? After 2 seasons, the Texans are the ones who are laughing last. Plus they hit the jackpot with their 2nd round pick that year, DeMeco Ryans, who won Defensive Rookie of the Year. The Texans had their first non-losing season last year and are heading in the right direction. However, they're in the AFC South (see Tennessee Titans). If Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson stay healthy, the passing game will be solid (see stat about Andre Johnson below). Their front seven on defense is solid, but the question marks for the Texans are will they be able run the ball consistently and how will their secondary play. The Texans are still at least a year away, but they are building their team around a solid core of young talent.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Texans were 6-3 last year in the 9 games Andre Johnson played. They were 2-5 in games he did not.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Pittsburgh, at Tennessee, at Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, at Indianapolis, vs Jacksonville, at Green Bay, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 (5.3 per season)

Check back for other 4 division previews (see AFC East Preview, AFC North Preview, NFC East Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this weekend...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 05:56 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

DALLAS COWBOYS
Prediction: 11-5 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Last year, the Cowboys tied a franchise record 13 regular season victories, led the NFL with most players named to Pro Bowl (13) and extended their playoff victory drought (longest in team history - 1996). While the NFC East is clearly the most competitive division in the NFC and arguably in the NFL, the Cowboys are generally regarded as the best team in the NFC. No arguments here. With the addition of Adam (don't call me "Pacman") Jones and 1st-round rookie Mike Jenkins to the secondary, the Cowboys have one of the Top 5 secondaries in the NFL. Anthony Spencer, once declared the toughest opponent Joe Thomas had to block when both were playing Big Ten Football, is poised to have a breakout year. The Cowboys lack depth at WR and that weakness is glaring heading into Cleveland week 1 with Miles Austin and Sam Hurd out and Isaiah Stanback to play with a harness to protect his separated shoulder. The 'Boys will win the NFC East again in 2008 and might even win a playoff game (or more) to boot.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Cowboys had no 1,000-yard receivers from 2000-2004 yet have had 2 1,000-yard receivers in both of the past 2 seasons.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 134-122 (.523)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Green Bay, vs Washington, vs Tampa Bay, at Giants, at Washington, vs Seattle, at Pittsburgh, vs Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 31 wins (10.3 per season)

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Prediction: 10-6 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Donovan McNabb finished 2007 strongly when he was finally healthy (816 passing yards in his final 3 games of season). With Asante Samuel added to the group of CBs, the Eagles have arguably the best trio of CBs in football with Sheldon Brown and Lito Shepard. They should easily exceed their league-worst (tied with Houston and Pittsburgh) 11 INTs in 2007. The offensive line is a little bit of a question mark with Shaun Andrews battling depression and Tackles Tra Thomas and Jon Runyan battling Father Time. Many are predicting the Eagles as a sleeper team to win the East, but I think that's going a little too far. A 10-win season with a playoff berth isn't unreasonable though.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Eagles were the only team in the NFL to not score a defensive TD in 2007.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 133-123 (.520)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Washington, at Seattle, vs Giants, at Giants, at Washington, vs Dallas

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

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NEW YORK GIANTS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Plaxico Burress and Jeremy Shockey had the potential to be big problems for the defending Super Bowl champs. However, Burress just got a contract extension tonight and Shockey was traded to the Saints. The 2 question marks for this team is Eli Manning's ability to continue to progress from his post-season run and the effectiveness ofl the Giants pass rush. The Giants lost Osi Umenyiora for the season due to injury and tried (unsuccessfully) to talk Michael Strahan, now Fox Sports analyst, out of retirement. Justin Tuck was expected to take on a bigger role in 2008, but now he's going to be asked to carry the DL. The Giants lost 22 of their league-leading 53 sacks with Strahan's retirement and Osi's injury. With defenses having to contend with those two, how many of Tuck's 10 sacks would he have had if he faced consistent double teams? I guess we'll find out in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Eli Manning has thrown 42 TDs to 23 INTs in 25 games played during weeks 1-8, but has thrown 35 TDs to 41 INTs in 31 games during weeks 9-16.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 133-123 (.520)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): vs Washington, vs Seattle, at Pittsburgh, at Dallas, at Washington, at Dallas

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Jim Zorn was hired as the Redskins Offensive Coordinator early in the pre-season. In fact, he was named OC before the 'Skins selected their Head Coach. Then, in a surprising move, Zorn was promoted to HC in the shortest tenure of an OC promoted to HC in NFL history. In another surprising move, the Redskins signed Jason Taylor, when they lost Phillip Daniels to injury. The Taylor move will give the Redskins a much-improved ability to put pressure on the QB. However, their WR corps is average and the rookies they drafted have been banged up. In a division as talented as the NFC East, I can't see the Redskins making the post-season in 2008.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Ladell Betts finished 2006 with 666 rushing yards on 132 carries in December only. Last season, he was only given 93 carries and finished with 335 yards.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 134-122 (.523)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (6): at Giants, at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Dallas, at Seattle, at Giants

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 24 wins (8.0 per season)

Check back for other 5 division previews (see AFC East Preview, AFC North Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 09:33 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

All four AFC North teams play half of their games versus teams that made the playoffs in 2007. The Steelers have the toughest schedule in the NFL (based on 2007 records), but the other 3 teams have a strength of schedule in the Top 8. Therefore, I expect one and only one team from the AFC North to make the post-season in 2009 (again).

PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Steelers have the strongest schedule in the NFL. In fact, the opponents fall into only 2 categories: division foe or team with a .500 record or better. I believe that the Steelers are the best team in the AFC North, however, with their schedule is reason for Steelers' fans to temper their enthusiasm about 2008. Arguably the 4 best teams in the NFL are the Patriots, Colts, Chargers and Cowboys. The Steelers play all 4 of those teams in a 5-week span beginning November 9th. The Steelers added a couple of playmakers with their first 2 draft picks this year: Rashard Mendenhall and Limas Sweed. However, their biggest question mark is how will the offensive line protect Big Ben, who was 2nd in the NFL in QB Rating (104.1) behind Tom Brady. The schedule is too tough to improve upon last year's 10-win season, but they will win enough games to win the division.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Steelers allowed the fewest yards per game (266.4) last year.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 153-103 (.598)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Jacksonville, vs NY Giants, at Washington, vs Indianapolis, vs San Diego, at New England, vs Dallas, vs Tennessee

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 29 wins (9.7 per season)

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CLEVELAND BROWNS
Prediction: 7-9 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Cleveland Browns were the feel-good story of 2007. They went from 4 wins in 2006 to 10 wins in 2007. It was the first time they won double-digit games this decade and they made the biggest year-to-year improvement (6 games) of any team in the NFL. After a poor start (4-10, 1 INT) for Charlie Frye week 1, Frye was benched and traded to Seattle. Derek Anderson took over and had a Pro Bowl campaign. However, if you look closer at his numbers, you'll notice that in 4 games (week 2, 6, 8 and 10), Anderson threw 14 TDs and only 1 INT. However, in the other 12 games, he threw 15 TDs and 18 INTs. The Browns were third worst in the NFL last year in yards allowed (359.6 ypg), but they made two big additions to the defensive line: Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams. They have tons of playmakers (Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow, Josh Cribbs as return guy, etc.), but give up big plays too. I expect the Steelers to fend the Browns off again this year. And with the tough schedule for all AFC North teams, it's unrealistic to expect the wildcard to come out of the North. The Browns playoff drought continues although they have more talent (and tough opponents on their schedule) than my #6 seed.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Derek Anderson threw 10 INTs and 9 TDs in final 7 games of 2007. None of those 7 games were against playoff-bound opponents.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs NY Giants, at Washington, at Jacksonville, vs Indianapolis, at Tennessee, at Pittsburgh

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 20 wins (6.7 per season)

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CINCINNATI BENGALS
Prediction: 6-10 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Although Marvin Lewis was known for being a defensive coach, the Bengals strength is its offense. However, questions abound on offense. Chad Johnson (Ocho Cinco) has a torn labrum, T.J. Houshmandzadeh has naggin hamstring injury, Carson Palmer is recovering from a broken nose and the team cut (now Lions RB) Rudi Johnson, who came to camp with 16 pounds of added muscle but lingering health concerns. With their injuries at WR, they resorted to re-signing troubled WR Chris Henry, who will serve a suspension through week 4. With a 6-10 record in 2008, the question is will Marvin Lewis be back in 2009?

Interesting Stat/Fact: Chad Johnson has legally changed his name to Chad Javon Ocho Cinco. Now, can the NFL disallow him from putting "Ocho Cinco" on the back of his jersey?

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 140-116 (.547)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): vs Tennessee, at NY Giants, at Dallas, vs Pittsburgh, vs Jacksonville, at Pittsburgh, at Indianapolis, vs Washington

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 26 wins (8.7 per season)

BALTIMORE RAVENS
Prediction: 5-11 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Their run defense was strong in 2007 allowing only 79.3 rushing ypg. Only the Vikings were better. However, they were in the bottom half in the league in passing yards allowed (222.3 ypg). Plus their defense didn't make plays. In 2007, they recorded a total of 25 interceptions and forced fumbles. Only 3 teams (Jets, 49ers and Eagles) did worse. On offense, they lack playmakers and an experienced QB. With Kyle Boller and Troy Smith out for the opener against Cincinnati, the Ravens have brought in Todd Bouman as a back-up QB as rookie Joe Flacco gets the start week 1. For the Ravens to make the post-season in 2008, their defense needs to bounce back in a big way. With the defense getting older and the uncertainty surrounding Ed Reed's health/status in week 1 (and more), 2008 will much more of the same...

Interesting Stat/Fact: Derrick Mason, who turned 34 in January, had the 1st 100-reception season of his career last year.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 141-115 (.551)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (8): at Pittsburgh, vs Tennessee, at Indianapolis, at NY Giants, vs Washington, vs Pittsburgh, at Dallas, vs Jacksonville

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 25 wins (8.3 per season)

Check back for other 6 division previews (see AFC East Preview), playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:27 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Prediction: 12-4 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: While the Patriots can't improve upon (and won't repeat) last year's 16-0 performance, Belichick & Co. are certainly more concerned with improving upon their 0-1 performance in the Super Bowl. Tom Brady and Randy Moss will have strong years in 2008 again, but I expect both to retreat from the record-setting levels they attained last year. The Giants showed the rest of this copy-cat league the blueprint for success against the Patriots: rush the passer. Last year, Tom Brady threw the 2nd most passes in the NFL behind Drew Brees. This season I expect the Patriots to establish a stronger running attack. Their offense will still put up points, but their biggest question mark is their secondary? The Jets and Bills will be better in 2008 and the Dolphins will be...well, the Dolphins, but the AFC East is still clearly the Patriots division.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Patriots could win 100 games in the decade by week 10 (their 9th game of season). They have the most victories this decade with 91.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 99-157 (.387)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at San Diego, at Indianapolis, vs Pittsburgh, at Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 38 wins (12.7 per season)

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NEW YORK JETS
Prediction: 9-7 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: The Jets did a lot in the off-season to improve their team, most notably add the NFL's all-time passing leader and last year's MVP runner-up Brett Favre. However, before the last-minute trade, the Jets improved themselves by adding projected starters All-Pro Alan Faneca and Damien Woody to the offensive line as well as Calvin Pace to LB corps. In the NFL Draft, the Jets added 2 athletic freaks with their first 2 picks: Vernon Gholston from Ohio State and Dustin Keller from Purdue. I expect the additions to the O-Line and the iconic QB will allow Thomas Jones to reverse his downward trend: 2005 (1335 yards, 4.3 ypc, 9 TDs) to 2006 (1210 yards, 4.1 ypc, 6 TDs) to 2007 (1119 yards, 3.6 ypc, 1 TD).

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Jets have alternated between 4 and 10 wins during the past 4 seasons. After winning 4 games last year, they are due for 10 wins this year, right?

Strength of Schedule: 2007 Opponents were 117-139 (.457)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs New England, at San Diego, at New England, at Tennessee, at Seattle

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 18 wins (6 per season)

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BUFFALO BILLS
Prediction: 8-8 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: Donte Whitner has put the pressure on the Buffalo Bills with his guarantee: “Do I expect us to make the playoffs? I’m guaranteeing it.” Although the Bills have the potential to be even better, 8-8 is where I expect them to finish. Leodis McKelvin gives them a playmaker on special teams and in the defensive backfield. James Hardy is a big target that should take off pressure on Lee Evans and be very productive in the redzone. Marshawn Lynch is arguably one of the 10 best RBs in the NFL. At the time we went to press (always wanted to say that), however, Jason Peters, the Bills' Pro Bowl Left Tackle, still hasn't reported and his appearance is not imminent. In the deep AFC, the Bills will just fall short of making the post-season in 2008. But the good news is they are headed in the right direction...and I don't mean Toronto.

Interesting Stat/Fact: The Bills haven't had a 100-reception WR since 2002 when Eric Mould caught 100 passes.

Strength of schedule: 2007 opponents were 115-141 (.449)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (5): vs Seattle, at Jacksonville, vs San Diego, at New England, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 19 wins (6.3 per season)

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MIAMI DOLPHINS
Prediction: 4-12 | Team Home | Team Forum | Team Schedule

Overview: I have confidence that The Tuna will turn around the mess he inherited in Miami. He helped turn around the Cowboys organization by assembling a team that many consider to have the most talent in the NFL. On the other hand, the Dolphins (i.e., Parcells) traded away their best player (Jason Taylor) for two draft picks (2nd-rounder in 2009 and 6th-rounder in 2010). On offense, their starting QB will be Chad Pennington, who was waived by the Jets. Their RBs will be Ronnie Brown (injury question mark) and Ricky Williams (all-around question mark) although many believe Williams will have a big comeback year (haven't we heard that before?). Their best WR is Ted Ginn Jr., arguably the worst selection based on value in the 2007 NFL Draft, but he should provide more production in his sophomore season. Their O-Line will be better with #1 overall pick Jake Long, but the Dolphins are (at least) a year away before playoff possibilities can be discussed.

Interesting Stat/Fact: Although the 'Fins won only 1 game in 2007, they lost 3 points in 6 different games.

Strength of Schedule: 2007 opponents were 119-137 (.465)

2007 Playoff Teams on Schedule (4): at New England, vs San Diego, vs Seattle, vs New England

# of Wins Past 3 Years: 16 wins (5.3 per season)

Check back for other 7 division previews, playoff predictions and post-season award predictions to be released this week...

Posted by Kevin Hanson at 03:36 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)