2013 Fantasy Football Profile and Projection: Bucs WR Vincent Jackson

Despite transitioning from one of the league's best vertical passing attacks to an expected run-heavy offense under a first-year head coach, the change of scenery was positive for Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Vincent Jackson last year.

In his first season with the Bucs, Jackson set career highs in both receptions (72) and yards (1,384) and scored eight touchdowns. His previous career highs were set back in 2009 with 68 receptions for 1,167 yards.

With the exception of his holdout-shortened season in 2010, Jackson has 1,000-plus yards in four of the past five years.

Not only did Jackson set career highs in receptions and yards last year, but he led the league in yards per reception (19.2). Only Cincinnati's A.J. Green (seven) had more receptions of 40-plus yards than Jackson (six) last season.

Another positive with Jackson last season was his consistency.

Jackson posted solid full-season numbers (60/1106/9) in 2011, but his path to that production was a roller-coaster ride for fantasy owners. Jackson had double-digit fantasy points in only four games that year and totaled 27 receptions for 586 yards and seven touchdowns in those games. In the remaining 12 games, Jackson had only 33 receptions for 520 yards and two touchdowns.

In 2012, however, Jackson had at least 50 receiving yards in 13 of 16 games and in his final nine games of the season. In addition, he had double-digit fantasy points in twice as many games in 2012 (eight) than 2011.

With great size (6-5, 241 pounds) and big-play ability, it's a bit of a surprise that Jackson has yet to reach double-digit touchdowns in any season. That said, he has scored 36 touchdowns in 68 games over the past five seasons, which is an average of 8.47 scores over 16 games.

As quarterback Josh Freeman enters a walk year, he may need to become more consistent to secure another contract with the club. During a five-game stretch (Weeks 5 to 9), Freeman threw 13 touchdowns and only one interception. Over the past two seasons, however, Freeman is tied with Ryan Fitzpatrick for the most intercepted passes thrown (39). The team drafted big-armed quarterback Mike Glennon in the third round as a possible successor to Freeman.

Better in standard-scoring than PPR formats, Jackson is a low-end WR1 in standard-scoring leagues. Jackson finished sixth in fantasy points among wide receivers last season. If Freeman can limit the drive-ending turnovers, it's possible Jackson scores double-digit touchdowns and repeats (or even improves upon) his 2012 fantasy production.

(Strength of) Schedule

Based on the cumulative fantasy points allowed by their opponents from Week 1 to 16, Jackson and his fellow Bucs' receivers have the league's second-most difficult schedule in both standard-scoring and point-per-reception (PPR) formats.

In Weeks 15 and 16, the Bucs close the season against the Rams and 49ers. The Rams are one of five pass defenses with more interceptions than passing touchdowns allowed and the 49ers allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards last year.

- Resources: Fantasy WR Strength of Schedule | 2013 Buccaneers Team Schedule

2013 Projection: 68 Receptions, 1,285 Yards, 8 Touchdowns

From now until the start of the 2013 season, we will create fantasy profiles and projections for all fantasy-relevant players and list them here.

To keep track of our updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.

DraftKings: Open an account and get a 100% deposit bonus (up to $600).

Check Out the Most Recent Posts on The Daily Blitz

FREE Week 8 Fantasy Football Contest: Win Our Shirt Oct 20, 2014
Peyton Manning throws three first-half TDs to break Brett Favre's record Oct 19, 2014
DeMarco Murray extends 100-yard streak to seven games Oct 19, 2014
Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Beazley Oct 19, 2014
Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Yanotchko Oct 19, 2014
Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Hanson Oct 19, 2014
2014 Fantasy Football Week 7 Start'em, Sit'em Oct 17, 2014
Daily Fantasy Football Roundtable: Week 7 DraftKings Must-Starts Oct 17, 2014
2014 NFL Power Rankings: Week 7 Oct 16, 2014
Fantasy Football Week 7: Underrated Players in PPR Leagues Oct 15, 2014


TrackBack URL for this entry:

Post a comment

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)

Our FREE Week 8 Fantasy Football Contest
Want to win one of our site's t-shirts for free?

>> Enter our free Week 8 contest.

(Spots in the contest are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis up until kickoff on Sunday.)