Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft: Round 3 Complete
Earlier in the week, we began a new 2013 fantasy football dynasty mock draft and we have posted the results of Round 1 and Round 2.
We have completed Round 3 and here are those results:
Through his first two seasons, Newton has a total of 1,447 rushing yards for 22 touchdowns. While I think the eight touchdowns he scored in 2012 will be closer to his norm than the 14 he scored as a rookie, he would be an RB2 based on his rushing production alone in 2012. Only 22 running backs had more total fantasy points than Newton would have had from his rushing stats.
Newton, who turns 24 this weekend, threw for 7,920 yards, 40 touchdowns and 29 interceptions in those two seasons as well. I'm surprised the Panthers did not add a receiver with an early pick in the draft.
While there are a few other quarterbacks with the ability to generate a lot of points of rushing statistics, Newton has the size (6-5, 248) to make you feel more comfortable about his durability.
Forte is a solid pick. He's my RB12 in dynasty leagues and the 15th running back off the board.
Although he set his career highs as a rookie with 1,715 yards from scrimmage and 12 total touchdowns, Forte has had five straight seasons with 1,400-plus YFS. If it weren't for a knee injury that forced him out of the final four games of 2011, he might have reached 2,000 YFS. (He was on pace for 1,983 that year.)
It seems like McFadden has been in the league for a long time (and that he can't stay healthy). While the durability issues concern me, you may be surprised to know that McFadden is only 25 years old. (He's actually 12 days younger than C.J. Spiller.)
Back to the durability concerns, he has yet to play in more than 13 games in any of his five seasons.
When healthy, however, he has big-time talent as he showed in 2010 and 2011. While last year was disappointing, the team's offense will no longer be using a zone-blocking scheme and move back to a system that will play to McFadden's strengths.
At this point, I'm willing to roll the dice on McFadden as the 16th running back off the board. If he ever shakes the durability issues, he'll be a steal.
It appears that Dan is in win-now mode with team. It's the second time in a row for this team that he took a player better for re-draft leagues than dynasty leagues.
When healthy (i.e., playing a full 16-game season), Johnson, who turns 32 this summer, is 3-for-3 in 1,500-yard seasons over the past five years. Of course, that also means that he hasn't played a full season in two of the past five years.
Although Johnson had at least eight touchdowns from 2007 to 2010, he has a total of only six scores in 23 games over the past two years.
Since emerging from relative obscurity in 2011, Cruz followed up his franchise-record season (1,536 yards) with another 1,000-yard campaign (1,096 yards). In addition, he set career highs in receptions (86) and touchdowns (10) last year.
Cruz has yet to sign his RFA tender or reach common ground on a new deal with the G-Men, but it's expected that he will and he has many years of strong production and salsa dancing in front of him.
As dangerous as Harvin was last season in Minnesota's offense, it's scary to think how much better he can be with the Seahawks now that he has a competent quarterback under center.
Before being sidelined for the rest of the season with injury, no receiver had more receptions (62) than Harvin through nine games. During that span, he had 677 receiving yards, 96 rushing yards and five touchdowns (three receiving, one rushing and one as a returner).
If he weren't going to turn 30 years old in August, Fitzgerald should go even higher in dynasty drafts.
The Cardinals were one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL last year after losing 11 of their 12 final games last year. Not only was their quarterback play atrocious, but their offensive line allowed a league-worst 58 sacks.
The team has taken some steps to improve in both areas with the addition of Jonathan Cooper in the first round and by acquiring Carson Palmer via trade.
Just two seasons ago, Fitzgerald had 1,411 receiving yards with Kevin Kolb and John Skelton throwing him the ball. It wouldn't surprise me if he comes close to those numbers this year and in the next few years as well.
With Murray, you get a player with a similar outlook as McFadden: talented but injury-prone. If Murray stays healthy, something he has yet to do, he has the potential to put up some big numbers in the Cowboys' offense.
He has played in 23 games over the past two seasons and has accumulated 1,560 rushing yards on 325 carries and 430 receiving yards on 60 receptions.
Adding Travis Frederick, the top center in the draft (albeit a round or two earlier than expected), should help protect Tony Romo and improve the running game. While the team drafted Joseph Randle to replace Felix Jones, Randle recently hand thumb surgery and likely won't get the cast off until training camp.
For the first time in five decades, there were no running backs selected in the first round of an NFL draft. Selected 37th overall, Bernard was the first of five running backs off the board in the second round this year.
Not the biggest back (5-9, 202 pounds), Bernard is elusive with good vision, but he can run with power as well. In addition, he is an excellent receiver out of the backfield. In two seasons with the Tar Heels, Bernard ran for 1,200-plus yards and finished with double-digit touchdowns and 45-plus receptions both years.
With a 1,000-yard rusher already on the roster (BenJarvus Green-Ellis), Bernard might not get the same kind of opportunity that other rookie rushers could get this year. That said, he should still be one of the most productive rookie runners in the league and he's my top-rated rookie running back in dynasty leagues.
With the game-breaking speed to take it to the house on any given play, Miller appears to be the favorite to take over as the team's featured back with the offseason departure of Reggie Bush. In limited work (51 carries), Miller averaged just shy of five yards per carry.
That said, Miller has yet to be a featured back in the NFL and Mike Gillislee, their fifth-round pick this year, could get (many) more touches than many currently project.
Missing three games and never 100 percent due to his foot last season, Nicks set career lows with 692 yards and three touchdowns. In his previous two seasons, he had a total of 155 receptions for 2,244 yards and 18 touchdowns.
Assuming he can stay healthy in 2013 (and beyond), however, Nicks should bounce back next season (and beyond). Nicks just turned 25 years old this offseason.
Luck set the rookie record for most passing yards (4,374) in a season and scored a total of 28 touchdowns (23 passing and five rushing) last year. He has all of the physical tools and intangibles to potentially develop into one of the top two or three fantasy quarterbacks down the line.
In Bruce Arian's vertical passing attack, Luck threw a lot of interceptions (19), but I would expect that number to drop considerably in his second season. Although he has a new offensive coordinator, Luck is familiar with Pep Hamilton's offense from his days at Stanford.