Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft: Round 4 Complete
Through three seasons, Hernandez, who turns 24 in November, has missed a total of 10 games including six of them last season and has yet to play in more than 14 games in any season. Although he had offseason shoulder surgery, he is expected to be ready for training camp.
If Hernandez can stay healthy, he has the potential to be a top-three fantasy tight end for a long time.
As a featured back with the Dolphins the past two seasons, Bush has averaged 1,036 rushing yards and 4.7 yards per carry during that span. While he should continue to get close to the approximately 220 carries per year he received in Miami, the biggest source of optimism for Bush owners will come from what he is likely to do in the passing game.
As a rookie with the Saints in 2006, Bush had 88 receptions for 742 yards. Unlikely to repeat those numbers, he should get many more receptions than the 35 catches he had last year. In an offense that throws it more than any team (ever), Bush, who signed a four-year deal with the Lions, could come close to 70 receptions again.
The switch from Alex Smith to Colin Kaepernick seemed to make a world of difference for Crabtree, who was a top-10 pick in the 2009 NFL Draft. Before last season, he had never reached 900 receiving yards in a season. Crabtree broke out with career highs across the board last season: 85 receptions, 1,105 yards and nine touchdowns.
From Week 8 through the end of the regular season, Crabtree amassed 51 receptions for 737 yards and eight touchdowns. With his per-game averages over that span, he would have been on pace for a season with a stat line of 91/1310/14.
Although Crabtree is entering his fifth NFL season, he is only 25 years old (turns 26 on September 14th).
In dynasty leagues, Griffin III is my No. 2-ranked quarterback. To some degree, RG3's injury last year may be a blessing in disguise when it comes to his longevity as a quarterback.
Going forward, I would expect him to be smarter when it comes to taking hits as a runner. With world-class speed before the injury, he will still be one of the fastest players in the league even if he's not as fast post-rehab.
Although he finished 20th in the NFL in rushing last year with 815 yards, he has the ability to make all of the throws and should continue to develop into one of the league's best passing quarterbacks with experience.
In the days leading up to the 2013 NFL Draft, SI's draft insider Tony Pauline tweeted that some teams believed UCLA's Johnathan Franklin was preferred over Alabama's Eddie Lacy. In typical Ted Thompson fashion, the Packers got bargain picks with both backs: Lacy at the end of Round 2 and Franklin in Round 4.
Although his toe fusion may have scared teams like the Steelers off Lacy, he should be productive at least for the next several years in a high-powered offense like the Packers. Unfortunately, the presence of another talented runner like Franklin means that Lacy is unlikely to be as productive as he could have been without another talented rookie on the roster.
Like the Steelers, the Broncos passed on Lacy due to medical concerns. "We just were worried about Eddie Lacy's medical (report) and how long he could play, and we felt like we got a career back in Montee Ball."
The biggest concern with Ball was his heavy workload in college. With 924 career collegiate carries, Ball rushed for 5,140 yards and scored 77 touchdowns. He also had 59 receptions for 598 yards and six touchdowns as well.
Brees is currently tied with the rest of mankind combined when it comes to 5,000-yard passing seasons in the NFL. Both sides have three.
After setting the NFL single-season passing yardage record in 2011, Brees followed that up by becoming the first-ever quarterback to throw for more than 5,000 yards in back-to-back seasons last year.
As a 34-year-old quarterback, Brees may not have as many productive seasons left in his career as guys like Andrew Luck or Cam Newton, but he should be an elite fantasy quarterback for several more seasons.
With a strong arm and tremendous athleticism for a quarterback, Kaepernick is a dual-threat quarterback that has the potential for a monster fantasy game in any given week.
In his first-ever playoff game as an example of his upside, Kaepernick threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns with one interception while also rushing for 181 yards and two scores. That is 30 points from his rushing stats alone and a total of 46 fantasy points.
While most expected Jackson's numbers to drop with a move from San Diego to Tampa Bay, he actually had the best year of his career.
In his first season with the Bucs, Jackson, who turned 30 in January, set career highs in both receptions (72) and yards (1,384) and scored eight touchdowns. Not only did Jackson set career highs in receptions and yards last year, but he led the league in yards per reception (19.2).
Since 2007, White has been one of the most consistently productive receivers in the league. During that six-year span, he has had at least 83 receptions and 1,153 yards each season. He has averaged 94 receptions, 1,296 yards and eight touchdowns per year over that stretch.
Although he will turn 32 years old this year, he should have a few more very productive seasons. In addition, White has never missed a game in his eight-year career.
Before breaking his clavicle in the preseason last year, Mathews was going off the board within the first five picks in many drafts.
Not only did he miss four games due to a pair of broken clavicles, Mathews was disappointing when he was on the field last year. He averaged a career-low 3.8 yards per carry and scored only one touchdown in 12 games.
One of the major problems for Mathews (and quarterback Philip Rivers) was the team's poor offensive line play. While the Chargers drafted D.J. Fluker, a great run blocker, in the first round, they lost their best offensive lineman from last year in guard Louis Vasquez as well as left tackle Jared Gaither.
The talent warrants a higher pick, but the offensive line woes and durability concerns make this about the right spot for Mathews in dynasty leagues.
Of all rookie running backs, I believe Bell steps into a situation that is most beneficial for his 2013 outlook . In other words, Bell is the highest-rated rookie in my re-draft running back rankings for 2013.
“He’s coming from a pro-style offense … so I expect him to get into the mix and be a factor,” Steelers offensive coordinator Todd Haley said of Bell (via the Detroit Free Press). “He looks like a workhorse back and I think those numbers indicate that he’s quite capable of carrying it a bunch. He’s not a guy that you’d shy away from giving it to him 30 times a game.”
Finishing fifth in the country in rushing (1,793 yards), Bell (382 carries) carried the rock more than any other collegiate back. A big back (6-2, 230 pounds), Bell has the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield for a back his size as evidenced by his 67 receptions over the past two seasons and get the goal-line touches.