Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft: Round 5 Complete
Since starting our new dynasty fantasy football mock draft last week, we have now completed Round 5.
Here are the results from this round:
After a breakout season in 2011, Nelson dealt with injuries that lead to an off year in 2012. He finished the season with 49 receptions for 745 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games.
While he may never approach the 15 touchdowns he had in 2011 again, Nelson should have a bounce-back season if he can stay healthy. Not only does he have the league's best quarterback (and an improved running game), but the team let Greg Jennings walk via free agency and Donald Driver retired.
So far, Brendan has drafted two quarterbacks for his three teams and both signal-callers are in their mid-thirties. I'm not opposed to that strategy.
In re-draft leagues, both quarterbacks would be selected earlier than they have been taken in this dynasty mock and they have a few elite years left. Although they are the fifth and seventh quarterback selected in this mock, they are both in the top three of my re-draft quarterback rankings.
Later in this draft, he can draft a younger quarterback with some upside for these teams.
Based on this league/mock format, this team now has its starting running backs (Martin and McFadden), wide receivers (Thomas and White) and flex (S-Jax).
Of course, Jackson is at the tail end of his career playing for the postseason success that has eluded him in St. Louis. In the Falcons' high-powered passing offense, he should have an opportunity to score double-digit touchdowns for the first time since 2006.
Facing fewer eight-men fronts this season, Jackson should be able to rush for 1,000-plus yards in his ninth consecutive season.
Ryan, who will turn 28 this month, shattered his previous career highs with 422 completions, 615 pass attempts, 68.6 completion percentage, 4,719 yards and 32 touchdowns in 2012.
Although I like his upside, there are plenty of wide receivers that I would prefer to have over Hilton at this spot.
The small (5-9, 183) but explosive playmaker had an impressive rookie season with 50 receptions for 861 yards and seven touchdowns. Only Jacksonville's Justin Blackmon had more receiving yards (865) than Hilton last season.
In addition, Hilton gets the opportunity to play with one of the best young quarterbacks in the league.
With Colston, fantasy owners get a highly productive and consistent receiver. He finished with 83 receptions for 1,154 yards, which ranked 13th in the league, and eight touchdowns and only 10 receivers scored more fantasy points than Colston in 2012.
Since entering the league as a seventh-round rookie in 2006, Colston has 1,000-plus receiving yards in six of seven seasons. The only exception was his injury-shortened 2008 campaign, but he was on pace for another 1,000-yard season that year.
Colston has caught 58 touchdowns in 102 career games, which is an average of 9.1 per 16 games. Only Arizona's Larry Fitzgerald (59) has more touchdowns than Colston during that span.
Along with Demaryius Thomas, Decker had a career season last year: 85 receptions (on 123 targets) for 1,064 yards and 13 touchdowns.
With the addition of Wes Welker to the team's receiving corps to replace Brandon Stokley, Decker will likely see less targets over the next year or two. The trio of Welker (175), Thomas (141) and Decker (123) had a total of 439 targets last year. While I expect that overall number to decrease, I don't expect the number to drop to 322 (total of Stokley, Thomas and Decker last year). I see the total to be split somewhere in the middle (around 380 targets) as the tight ends get a few less targets as well.
In other words, I don't see as big of a short-term drop in targets as some others may project. Longer term, the 26-year-old wideout has the size and talent to record several more 1,000-yard seasons in his career.
After being drafted, things did not go so well for Blackmon as he was arrested for DUI, held out longer than any other first-round pick and exceeded 50 receiving yards in only one of his first nine NFL games. During that nine-game stretch, Blackmon had a total of 250 yards.
Then things turned around for Blackmon, who had 38 receptions for 615 yards and four touchdowns in the team's final seven games of the season. Not only did he have a monster 236-yard game, but he had more than 50 yards in six of those seven games.
Despite the positive momentum that he built toward the end of last season, Blackmon will serve a four-game suspension to begin the 2013 season for the violating the league's substance-abuse policy. Even worse from a dynasty standpoint, the next violation could force him to miss a full season.
Srpoles missed three games last season, which contributed to lower overall numbers from the previous season. In his two years in The Big Easy, Sproles has a 16-game average of 1,227 YFS, 9.4 TDs and 88.9 receptions.
Although he has only 691 career touches (384 carries and 307 receptions), the 5-foot-6 back turns 30 years next month.
Even though he threw it an NFL-record 727 times last year, Stafford surprisingly saw his touchdown total drop by more than half to 20 last season.
That said, the former No. 1 overall pick has thrown for more than 10,000 yards over the past two seasons combined, has the league's best receiver on his team and just turned 25 years old.
Last season, Bowe fell short of 1,000 yards for the first time in three seasons and he missed three games. With horrendous quarterback play, Bowe averaged roughly 10 fewer yards per game (61.6) than he did in 2011 (72.4) or 2010 (72.6). In addition, he set a career low with three touchdowns. With a new coaching staff and quarterback, those numbers should improve.
Smith has the skill set to be more productive than his numbers would indicate. While many expected a breakout season last year, his numbers were nearly identical year over year. He finished with 49 receptions (50 in 2011) for 855 yards (841) and eight (seven) touchdowns.
Perhaps Smith will break out this year; or perhaps his production will be eerily similar to his 2012 (and 2011) numbers.
See past rounds:
- Round 1 of our Dynasty Mock
- Round 2 of our Dynasty Mock
- Round 3 of our Dynasty Mock
- Round 4 of our Dynasty Mock