Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day (6/7/13): 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick, Standard Scoring
Last preseason, we conducted one fantasy football mock draft per day using a mock draft simulator powered by FantasyPros.
Starting our 2013 series, we have conducted our first two mock drafts and posted the results with comments. We will continue the process until the start of the 2013 season on September 5th.
We will track all of them here on this centralized page.
Like last year, I will vary the size of the league, the scoring format and draft slot and then post the results of my team with comments.
For today's mock, it is a 12-team standard-scoring mock and I had the No. 2 pick. The league starts one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, one flex, one kicker and one team defense.
Here are my picks:
- 1.02: Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans
- 2.11: Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys
- 3.02: Stevan Ridley, RB, New England Patriots
- 4.11: Reggie Bush, RB, Detroit Lions
- 5.02: Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers
- 6.11: Steve Smith, WR, Carolina Panthers
- 7.02: Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions
- 8.11: Miles Austin, WR, Dallas Cowboys
- 9.02: Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
- 10.11: Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans
- 11.02: Ben Tate, RB, Houston Texans
- 12.11: Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers
- 13.02: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Minnesota Vikings
- 14.11: Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers
- 15.02: Denver Broncos D/ST
- 16.11: Garrett Hartley, K, New Orleans Saints
- For all picks in the mock draft, click here.
Here are some thoughts by position:
- Quarterbacks (my rankings)
Here's the broken-record part of my daily mock draft posts: I like to wait to draft my fantasy quarterback. In general, I would be comfortable having any of my top-12 quarterbacks as my fantasy starter. What's a little unique about having a pick at (or near) the turn is that you may need to take one before the long wait in between picks if there are only a few top-12 quarterbacks left and that's what I did here.
No quarterback in the history of the NFL threw it more times than Stafford (727) last season and he has one of the league's best receivers of all-time in Calvin Johnson, who broke Jerry Rice's single-season receiving yards record last year. After two injury-plagued seasons to start his career, Stafford has stayed healthy for back-to-back seasons and has thrown for 10,005 yards in that span. After throwing 41 touchdowns in 2011, he threw only 20 last year. This year, I think it would be reasonable to see him split the difference.
- Running Backs (my rankings)
Going into this mock, my strategy was to end up with two running backs after my first three picks. Both Foster (league-high 15) and Ridley (12) were two of four running backs that rushed for at least 12 touchdowns last season. Both backs also rushed for more than 1,250 yards.
If I had a concern about either back, it would be touches. Can we really count on Bill Belichick to maintain Ridley as his workhorse? Since 2010, Foster leads the NFL in rushing attempts (1,061) in the regular season and playoffs combined. As insurance for Foster, I drafted his backup in the 11th round even though Danny Woodhead was still on the board and I have Woodhead ranked a couple of spots higher than Tate.
Both backs should be better in point-per-reception (PPR) formats, but Bush and Bernard give me a solid option as a flex option as well.
- Wide Receivers (my rankings)
My plan was to take a second running back with my second pick unless one of my top-five wide receivers were available. Despite his physical gifts, Bryant had underachieved his expectations before last season. In the final 13 games of the season, Bryant had 79 receptions for 1,218 yards and 12 touchdowns.
Battling injuries, Nelson had a disappointing season, but he should have a bounce-back season if he can stay healthy. Two years ago, he had a breakout season with 1,263 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Smith rounds out my starting trio and is an underrated option in re-draft leagues. Granted he will turn 34 years old this year, but he has 2,568 yards in the past two years and the Panthers don't have many other receiving options.
Austin and Wright are solid as my WR4 and WR5, respectively, and Patterson and Allen have some upside as rookies. Patterson is a true boom-or-bust prospect, but he is dangerous with the ball in his hands. I would expect the Vikings to find ways to get him a lot of wide receiver screens and even handoffs.
- Tight Ends (my rankings)
Once again, I waited to draft my fantasy tight end. I had the opportunity to take Jimmy Graham at pick 2.11 and considered it, but I couldn't pass up Dez, who is my 2(a) receiver behind Megatron and A.J. Green.
Gates is clearly on the down side of his career, but he excels in the red zone. Gates has a streak of nine consecutive seasons with seven or more receiving touchdowns. During that span, no player has more than six such seasons.
- Kickers and Defense
As always, I will take the best available team defense with my second-to-last pick and the best available kicker with my last pick.
Tomorrow I will do a 20-team mock using point-per-reception (PPR) scoring with the No. 15 pick.