Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day (6/8/13): 20 Teams, No. 15 Pick, PPR Scoring
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Last preseason, we conducted one fantasy football mock draft per day using a mock draft simulator powered by FantasyPros.
Starting our 2013 series, we have conducted our first two mock drafts and posted the results with comments. We will continue the process until the start of the 2013 season on September 5th.
We will track all of them here on this centralized page.
Like last year, I will vary the size of the league, the scoring format and draft slot and then post the results of my team with comments.
For today's mock, it is a 20-team PPR-scoring mock and I had the No. 15 pick. The league starts one quarterback, two running backs, two wide receivers, one tight end, one flex, one kicker and one team defense.
Here are my picks:
- 1.15: Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears
- 2.06: Steven Jackson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
- 3.15: Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
- 4.06: Mike Wallace, WR, Miami Dolphins
- 5.15: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers
- 6.06: Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans
- 7.15: Bryce Brown, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
- 8.06: Denarius Moore, WR, Oakland Raiders
- 9.15: Vincent Brown, WR, San Diego Chargers
- 10.06: Josh Freeman, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 11.15: Heath Miller, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
- 12.06: Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers
- 13.15: Jordan Cameron, TE, Cleveland Browns
- 14.06: Atlanta Falcons D/ST
- 15.15: Alex Henery, K, Philadelphia Eagles
- For all picks in the mock draft, click here.
Here are some thoughts by position:
- Quarterbacks (my rankings)
If you have been following my daily mock drafts, you know that I prefer to wait on drafting my starting quarterback. The deeper the league, however, the more likely I am willing to draft a quarterback early. Going into this mock, my strategy was to draft my quarterback with one of my first three selections (and two starting running backs with the other two).
I was tempted with my first (and second) pick to draft a signal-caller. With only Aaron Rodgers off the board in the first 14 picks, I could have selected Drew Brees with pick 1.15 or Tom Brady with pick 2.06. Fortunately, the quarterback I had hoped to take at pick 3.15 was available. Wilson is my seventh-ranked fantasy quarterback going into the season.
While his full season numbers were really good and he set the rookie record for passing touchdowns (26) in a season, he was amazing in the second half.
In his first eight games, Wilson threw 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions and he averaged 6.98 yards per pass attempt and 3.6 yards per rush attempt. In his final eight regular-season games, however, Wilson had a 16-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio, averaged 9.03 yards per pass attempt and 6.2 yards per rush attempt. In fact, all four of his rushing touchdowns last season came in the second half of the year.
Considering the Seahawks traded for Percy Harvin, one of the league's most dynamic wide receivers, Wilson should continue to improve.
In a 20-team league, the number of starting quarterbacks on the waiver wire is extremely limited. By drafting Freeman, I have secured a bye-week replacement and have protection in the event of an injury. In the event a competing one-QB team suffers an injury, then I am position of strength to pull off a trade.
- Running Backs (my rankings)
As noted above, my strategy was to secure my starting running backs with two of my first three picks. Going into the mock, I was leaning toward taking two running backs in my first two picks and that is what I ultimately did.
Not only are Forte and Jackson both in my top 12 fantasy running backs for PPR leagues, but I was able to draft The Daily Show with my fifth-round pick. Stewart is my No. 25-ranked fantasy running back and is a high-end RB2 in a 20-team league at my flex spot.
Since entering the league as a rookie in 2008, Forte is one of three running backs with more than 250 receptions. Only Ray Rice (311) and Darren Sproles (294) have more than Forte (267). Jackson (217) ranks sixth during that span and brings a streak of eight consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with him to Atlanta. Fortunately for SJax (and his fantasy owners), he should have a great opportunity for double-digit touchdowns, something he hasn't done since 2006.
Looking back on the mock, I would prefer to own five RBs and four WRs (instead of the other way around). The options on the waiver wire are indeed better for wide receivers.
- Wide Receivers (my rankings)
I'm certainly weaker at wide receiver than I am at running back, but I would prefer for that to be the case in a league that starts only two wide receivers (possibly three, counting the flex spot).
Both of my starting wide receivers, Wallace and Wright, rank either just outside/inside of what would make them a WR1 and WR2, respectively, in a 20-team league. Coming off a down season, Wallace has taken his talents to South Beach and should be poised for a bounce-back season as one of the league's most dangerous down-field weapons. As a first-round pick by the Titans last season, Wright had a solid rookie season with 64 receptions, which tied him with Justin Blackmon for the most by a rookie, 626 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
My three reserve wide receivers — Moore, Brown and Allen — all rank somewhere inside my top-60 PPR receivers giving me some solid depth at the position.
- Tight Ends (my rankings)
Waiting a long time to draft my starting tight end, Miller is a solid late-round option when healthy. Unfortunately he is coming off a torn ACL and his status for the start of the 2013 season remains in jeopardy. With Cameron, I have a tight end that could be ready to have to breakout season and potentially become my starter whether Miller is healthy or not.
- Kickers and Defense
As always, I will take the best available team defense with my second-to-last pick and the best available kicker with my last pick. In this case, I considered taking a defense earlier, but the top 12-15 or so defenses were already off the board by the time I made my 13th-round pick.
Tomorrow I will do a 14-team mock using standard scoring with the No. 9 pick.