2013 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (Standard Scoring) - Round 1 Complete
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With training camps opening in less than three weeks (in some cases), it won't be long before we will be completing fantasy football drafts for real.
For now, we have started a new redraft mock draft and the first round is now complete:
In re-draft leagues, Peterson is a no-brainer choice as the top running back (and top overall pick).
Less than one year removed from a torn ACL, Peterson, the league's Most Valuable Player, nearly set the NFL single-season rushing record with the second-highest output of all-time (2,097 yards). In fact, almost 1,600 of those yards and 10 touchdowns came in the final 10 games of the season. In addition to recovering from the knee injury, Peterson played with a sports hernia down the stretch as well.
Shooting for 2,500 rushing yards this season, that goal seems somewhat less absurd after what he accomplished last year at less than 100 percent.
Aside from Peterson, no running back had more yards from scrimmage last season than The Muscle Hamster (1,926). In addition to finishing only 74 yards shy of 2,000 YFS, Martin scored double-digit touchdowns (12).
If you're worried about Martin suffering "sophomore slump," the good news is he will have both of the team's starting guards, Davin Joseph and Carl Nicks, healthy to block for him heading into the 2013 season. The duo is one of the best guard combos in the league and their better health should help keep the momentum going for Martin.
Even though I'd prefer Arian Foster over Martin, they are my second- and third-ranked players, respectively, and some are concerned about the toll Foster's heavy workload over the past few seasons will have on him.
1.03 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans
If there's a concern about Foster (as noted above), it's his workload over the past three seasons: 956 carries and 159 receptions in the regular season. That excludes his 105 carries and 23 receptions in the past two postseasons.
Foster averaged a career-low 4.1 yards per carry and had three-year lows in receptions (40) and yards from scrimmage (1,641) despite setting a career high with a league-leading 351 carries.
On a positive note, Foster rushed for 1,424 yards and scored a league-leading 15 rushing touchdowns. He has 1,200-plus rushing yards and double-digit touchdowns in each of the past three seasons. During that span, Foster has 5,702 YFS and has scored 50 total touchdowns.
When it comes to the top eight or nine running backs, it comes down mostly to preference — as I'd be comfortable with any of the top nine as my RB1. If there's a knock with Rice, it's the presence of Bernard Pierce, one of the league's most talented backups.
Although Pierce is expected to see a larger workload in 2013, Rice could see more targets in the passing game (and hence more receiving yards) due to the loss of Anquan Boldin even if he gets a few less carries (and hence fewer rushing yards).
Over the past three seasons, the only player with more yards from scrimmage than Rice (5,465) was Foster (5,702). Along with Peterson (5,062), only three backs have 5,000-plus YFS in the past three years.
In 2011, Megatron became only the second receiver in NFL history to finish with at least 1,600 yards and 16 touchdowns in the same season. The first to do it was Randy Moss (2003).
In 2012, Johnson broke Jerry Rice's single-season receiving yards record (with a week to spare) in Week 16. He ended the season with a new-record 1,964 yards despite playing some games with three broken fingers.
What's in store for Megatron in 2013? Perhaps 2,000 yards?
While he suffered the injury earlier and rushed for fewer yards than Peterson, Charles had an amazing comeback season in his own right after tearing his ACL in 2011.
Setting a career high, Charles ranked fourth in the league in rushing yards (1,509) last season. There were only three games of more than 225 rushing yards last season and Charles had two of them — Doug Martin had the other.
Charles may see his carries drop this season from a career-high 285 last year, but I would be shocked if he had less than 50 receptions in Andy Reid's offense based on recent comments from Charles and offensive coordinator Doug Pederson.
Along with Peterson, Spiller was one of two 1,000-yard rushers to average more than 6.00 yards per carry.
Spiller rushed for 1,244 yards despite getting only 207 carries and finished with 43 receptions for 459 yards. Assuming a larger workload in 2013 under new coach Doug Marrone, Spiller has a realistic shot of reaching 2,000 yards from scrimmage.
A number of ailments (knee, ribs, etc.) slowed Richardson throughout his entire rookie season in 2012. As a recent leg injury and the possibility of missing time in August reminds us of his durability concerns, reports from Jason La Canfora are that T-Rich will be ready for the start of training camp.
Even though he averaged only 3.6 yards per carry last season, Richardson still finished 11th among running backs in fantasy points. He had 1,317 yards from scrimmage, 51 receptions and 12 touchdowns.
If he can stay healthy, he should build upon last year's level of production in 2013.
The 2012 season was a huge disappointment for McCoy (and the Eagles as well). Following a monster season of 1,309 rushing yards and a league-high 17 rushing touchdowns in 2011, McCoy set a career low with two rushing scores and missed four games due to a concussion last year.
As the team begins the Chip Kelly era, it will be interesting to see exactly how his offense translates to (and is modified for) the NFL. While I don't think we ever see 17 rushing touchdowns from McCoy again, he should finish with 1,600 to 1,800 yards from scrimmage and around 60 receptions this year.
Lynch finished third in the league in rushing with a career-high 1,590 rushing yards. It was Lynch's fourth 1,000-yard season and he has now back-to-back seasons with 1,200-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns.
With quality backups in Robert Turbin and second-round pick Christine Michael, the Seahawks may look to give Lynch a few less touches in 2013.
The ninth running back off the board, Lynch is the fifth-ranked running back in my rankings.
As feared with having the 11th overall pick, this played out exactly as I had hoped it would not. With the 11th pick, I would prefer to draft one of my top nine running backs or Megatron, but all 10 went in the first 10 picks.
While I considered taking Alfred Morris here, Sean has often bypassed taking running backs early-ish in our mocks in favor of stud options at other positions. [See pick 1.05.] My thought was that I would take Green here and then hope that trend continues so that I could grab Morris on the way back.
Even though I may sound disappointed, I am a huge fan of Green and excited that he is on my roster. Depending on how my running back situation looks in a few rounds, I may sound less disappointed.
With limitless potential, Green has more receiving yards than all but five receivers through a player's first two years in NFL history. In his sophomore campaign, he finished with 97 receptions for 1,350 yards and 11 touchdowns.
When things have been good for CJ2K, we've seen how good they could be. In the year he rushed for more than 2,000 yards, he set the single-season record for most yards from scrimmage (2,509).
Over the past couple of years, however, he has been much less productive than his record-setting campaign due in part to indecisive running and horrible interior offensive line play. On a positive note, the Titans have significantly upgraded all three of their interior offensive line positions with Chance Warmack and Brian Schwenke in the draft and Andy Levitre in free agency.
With the offseason addition of Shonn Greene, who rushed for 1,000 yards last year, Johnson may come off the field at the goal line and even see his overall touches decrease some.