2013 NFL Division Predictions: AFC East (Beazley)
The AFC East in my opinion is the weakest division in the NFL, and it's not even close.
I predict that the New England Patriots will win the division this year, and every year for the rest of Tom Brady's career.
The other teams in the division aren't anywhere near good enough to beat the Pats.
1. New England Patriots: 11-5
The Patriots are clearly the class of the division.
The Aaron Hernandez situation would devastate many teams both on and off the field, not in New England. The leadership of Tom Brady, and coaching of Bill Belichick is the reason why this is no big deal (from a football standpoint).
The Patriots also parted ways with both starting WRs Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd. They did bring in Danny Amendola from the Rams, who should fill Welker's slot spot, but Amendola has a history of injuries. In the end, it really doesn't matter who is on the field as Tom Brady can make anyone a superstar.
I really believe this season is the season that we are going to look at in a few years when we say Tom Brady is the best QB to ever play the game.
2. Miami Dolphins: 8-8
The only reason why I have the Dolphins at 8-8 is because they play in the AFC East. They get four games versus the bottom-feeding Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.
Miami has a bunch of question marks on offense, starting with under center. Ryan Tannehill looked pretty good his rookie season, but I'm not ready to call him the franchise QB as of yet. Miami did go out and get him a top-notch WR to throw to in Mike Wallace. Tannehill does throw a nice deep ball, so Wallace should have a pretty solid season.
The departure of Reggie Bush at RB leaves the job wide open headed into the preseason. Lamar Miller is expected to be the front runner. On defense, rookie Dion Jordan should help an already pretty solid Miami defense.
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3. Buffalo Bills: 6-10
E.J.Manuel might not be the starter as the team opens up in Week 1, but he will be thrown to the wolves at some point.
The most telling sign on draft day to me is when ESPN Sports Nation had a poll up on the Bills draft grade. The state of Florida gave the Bills a F, and I'm pretty sure the grade in New York was either a D or F. The state where Manuel played his college ball thinks it was a bad pick, and the state that is drafting him doesn't want him. The Eagles fans boo'd Donovan McNabb on draft day, so let's hope Manuel has the same kind of career path as McNabb did.
One thing that is certain in Buffalo is that C.J. Spiller is the real deal. Spiller is a game changer and because of Spiller, the Bills are good enough to win six games this season.
4. New York Jets: 3-13
This might be a little high for the Jets, but keep in mind the division they play in. They are an absolute wreck on offense. Chris Ivory might be a small upgrade to Shonn Greene, but that's pretty much it.
Mark Sanchez looks awful in camp. Rookie QB Geno Smith is probably not ready to step in Week 1, and if the Jets are smart they won't throw him in to fail. The Jets offensive line used to be a strength, now it's a weakness. If Smith wins the job, he is set up to fail. You cannot regain confidence back. Once it's shot, you might as well get used to holding a clipboard (see Carr, David).
Defensively, the loss of Darrelle Revis is going to hurt them as Millner and Cromartie will not be able to lock down WRs one on one, which is something that Rex Ryan needs for his blitzing scheme to work. The Over/Under is set at 100 for the amount of times you will hear J-E-T-S = Just End The Season.
I think I'd lean at the over.
All of our contributors will make their division and Super Bowl picks and we will track those on this centralized predictions page.