Week 1 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) - Beazley
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Here are my Week 1 NFL picks against the spread (ATS):
Baltimore Ravens +7.5 (over Denver Broncos)
I can't remember the last time the Super Bowl champs were this big of an underdog in Week 1 the following year. There are a lot of people who don't like the Ravens headed into this year, but I am not one of them. I actually like the Ravens to win their division this season.
Baltimore's defense has improved even with the departure of Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. I expect them to apply a ton of pressure on Peyton Manning in this one with Elvis Dumervil and Terrell Suggs leading the way.
The Broncos are playing this game without Von Miller, and this will also be Dumervil's homecoming as he gets to play against his former team right off the bat. I don't think Denver's defense is going to be as good as people think this year, and I actually like the Ravens here for the outright upset.
My play is going to be around five units on the Ravens ATS, and two units on the ML. As far as moneylines are concerned, this one is juicy already around +310.
Ravens 27, Broncos 23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 (over New York Jets)
No shock here that I love the Bucs. They were my preseason pick to win their division and go from worst to first this year. They get matched up with the Jets. Unfortunately, Vegas may need to take down that who will Mark Sanchez's first touchdown pass be to prop bet as it looks like Geno Smith gets the nod for Week 1.
The Bucs Pro Bowl guard Carl Nicks is questionable for the game while he is recovering from a staph infection, but I don't think there is any reason to rush him back for this one as I don't think this one will be close. Thank God for the Redzone channel, because living in Upstate NY, you are forced to sit through these dreadful games. The Jets get smoked Week 1, and the NY papers are calling for Rex's head out of the gate.
Bucs 33, Jets 9
Oakland Raiders +10 (over Indianapolis Colts)
I'm not a fan of the Raiders at all this season, but 10 points in Week 1 against an average Colts team is laughable. Don't be fooled by the Colts this year.
After their loss in Week 6 last year against the above-dreadful Jets, they were 2-3. They finished the season winning nine out of 11. I'm not going to count Week 17 against the Texans because they were resting players for the playoffs. In those other eight wins, those teams combined for a record of 38-90.
The Colts were 29th in the NFL against the rush last year, and they will have their hands full with Darren McFadden and the Raiders this week. This is a play against the Colts because frankly I don't think they are that good. Silver and Black in an upset.
Raiders 24, Colts 21
Five of our contributors make weekly picks ATS and they will all be tracked here.