Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Woodhull)
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Here are my Week 2 NFL picks against the spread:
San Diego Chargers +7 (over Philadelphia Eagles)
Chip Kelly’s offense had an impressive showing in his NFL debut, winning on Monday night over the Redskins. Conversely, the “same ol'” Chargers blew their second-quarter lead to the Texans.
So why take the Chargers, flying across country on short week?
The high profile nature of the victory for the Eagles and the impressive offensive display seems to have blown this line out of proportion. The Chargers were frisky against stout Texans team and I think they will be poised to compete. We are a culture of overreaction, often times we are too quick to jump to conclusions based on limited evidence.
Let’s hit the pause button on Chip Kelly’s offense and the new-look Eagles before crowning them the best offense since the ’07 Patriots or the “Greatest Show on Turf” Rams. I’d like to see success at least two weeks in a row and Michael Vick to make the right decision a little more, let alone stay healthy in a high-risk offense.
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Kansas City Chiefs -3 (over Dallas Cowboys)
The second pick of the week, is the same song, different verse. The Cowboys won in a turnover-filled nightmare of a game on Sunday night over the Giants, yet proved nothing to me in terms being a competitive team this year.
The Giants had a disastrous six turnovers, but yet were still somehow alive to the end of the game. The Cowboys' offense didn’t capitalize nearly as much as they should have on those six turnovers – they “only” produced 16 points off those 6 turnovers.
Conversely, the Chiefs turned their two turnovers into 14 points in their route of the Jags. I’ll be the first to point out that stats can be twisted many ways to support one's arguments. In this case, I could have easily said that the Cowboys' offense was more effective because they weren’t as reliant on turnovers as the Chiefs to produce scores.
The Cowboys are sloppy at times and fail to exploit the other teams, while the Chiefs are well-coached and advantageous. I’ll take the Chiefs; I don’t trust the Cowboys.
San Francisco 49ers +2.5 (over Seattle Seahawks)
There’s one thing I learned watching the Seahawks in Week 1; they struggle on offense when they can’t run the ball. Marshawn Lynch is no longer “beast mode,” or least did not show it yet this season. Now, matched up against a great run-stopping team like the Niners, I anticipate Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense to struggle mightily this weekend. The ‘Hawks don’t have credible receiving options and this is where Seattle is going to really miss having Percy Harvin on the field.
Despite the big home field advantage the Seahawks have here, I just don’t see them competing with San Francisco’s offensive fire power. One other factor in the 49ers favor: Harbaugh > Carroll. For those who remember Carroll as the head coach of the Jets and Patriots, we should still have doubts about him for another season or so. Take the Niners, until proven wrong.
Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.