Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Woodhull)

Here are my Week 4 NFL picks against the spread:

Detroit Lions -2.5 (over Chicago Bears)

Am I the only one who doesn’t believe in the Bears?

I mean what’s to like about their ball-hawking, turnover-creating defense with multiple Pro Bowlers (Charles Tillman, Julius Peppers, Tim Jennings, Henry Melton)? Or their offense led by one of the most physically skilled quarterbacks in the NFL (Jay Cutler), a dynamic play-making running back (Matt Forte), and a dominating wide-receiver (Brandon Marshall)? OK, I cheated little as Henry Melton is on IR.

Despite beating two quality teams so far this year (Bengals, Vikings); I still don’t trust the Bears. I’m worried about their run stopping without Melton and the right side of their rebuilt offensive line. With Nick Fairley back in the lineup for Detroit, their defensive line will be even better and combined with Suh, they should be able to dominate the line of scrimmage.

I’ll take the Lions to win by at least a field goal.

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Arizona Cardinals +2.5 (over Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

I’m getting points to pick against the Bucs?! – Count me in!

So I was all about the Bucs in the preseason and I still think they have the talent of a 10-win team, but their performance through three weeks has been truly dismal. The Greg Schiano and Josh Freeman feud broke this team, and I’m not sure the benching of Freeman will be good for the Bucs or a wash.

Mike Glennon is so green and unproven, he won’t be able to bring stability to the offense. If this was a quality, veteran back-up stepping in, I’d probably be taking the Bucs in this spot.

On the matchups, it doesn’t really favor the Cardinals in any way, except Bucs don’t have great pass-rushing ends. Daniel Te'o-Nesheim and Adrian Clayborn are better run stoppers for the Bucs than at collapsing on the pocket. This will lead to an advantage for the pass-heavy offense of the Cardinals.

I’ll bet on the Buccaneers continuing to unravel and the Cardinals scoring enough points.

Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (over San Diego Chargers)

So I really like what the Chargers are doing this year. They have played smart and been competitive in every game this year. Philip Rivers has come back to life and their offense is in the top-half of the NFL.

The big problem for the Chargers this year is their defense. They are 28th in rushing defense in the NFL, and not to be outdone, the Chargers are allowing an NFL-worst 340 passing yards per game. The ‘Boys aren’t great offensively this year, but they are consistent and capable, and Tony Romo and Dez Bryant should have their way this week.

Also, with another point spread under three, we’re almost getting this pick for the same price as picking the game straight-up. The Chargers are going in the right direction this year, but the Cowboys are the better team.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 4 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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