Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Here are my Week 5 NFL picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns -4 (over Buffalo Bills)

When the Browns traded away Trent Richardson, it was largely believed that they would be tanking the season and a fire sale was about to ensue.

Instead, Brian Hoyer has stepped up and been better than Brandon Weeden started off. In addition, they got Josh Gordon back, who has made an immediate impact, and Jordan Cameron looks like a Gronk-like weapon. Cleveland is coming off a huge division win over Cincy, and is tied for the division lead through one-quarter of the season.

I like them to keep rolling and take down the Bills. Give the four. This would be a four-unit bet (on a five-unit scale).

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Cincinnati Bengals +1 (over New England Patriots)

So it appears that I was wrong about the Patriots being this year's most overrated team. I still don't think they're in the true upper echelon of the league with the Broncos, Seahawks, Saints, and potentially 49ers, but clearly, they're still among the best teams in the league.

My opinion prior to the Atlanta game was based on just watching their performance. People will say 3-0 is 3-0, but I don't buy it. Not all identical records are created equally. Still, after pretty well dominating the Falcons in Atlanta, the Patriots appear to be a good team, that thus far is just playing to the level of their competition. They didn't play great in the first three weeks, but they didn't have to. When they needed to step it up in week four, they were able to. All that said, I'm going to pick against them once more in Week 5.

Cincinnati is coming off a poor road performance, where the offense was only able to put together two field goals. Cincy is a good team, though, and I just can't give the Pats credit for another gutty road performance against a good team. I don't have New England going 14-2, and this is one of the games I just expect them to lose. This would be a five-unit bet.

Carolina Panthers -2.5 (over Arizona Cardinals)

I may be putting too much on what I just saw out of the Cardinals at Tampa, but they were absolutely atrocious for 3 1/2 quarters against one of the worst teams in the league this past Sunday.

The offense, specifically, was just dreadful. I think Carolina's front four are going to give Carson Palmer all kinds of fits. I thought Arizona was going to be pretty good coming in to the year, but what I've seen on the field has changed my mind.

The Panthers will be rested coming off a bye, and I think they will handle the Cards pretty easily. Another five-unit wager on this one.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 5 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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