Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)
Here are my Week 6 NFL picks against the spread:
Seattle Seahawks -13.5 (over Tennessee Titans)
When the Colts beat Seattle last week, I knew right away what one of my picks this week would be. Seattle is 5-0 ATS in their last five after a straight-up loss. On the other hand, the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six on the road versus a team with a winning record. I'll lay the points in this one.
Tennessee's defense has looked really good this year, but they are a very young and inexperienced team. I think this game gets ugly, and it gets ugly quick as from what I saw from Ryan Fitzpatrick last week I didn't like. There was a lot said about no turnovers through the first four weeks. They had three last week at home vs. Kansas City and it cost them. The same is going to happen this week, as I expect big plays from Seattle's defense, and short fields for Russell Wilson and the offense.
Seattle's D ranks as my top fantasy unit this week, Marshawn Lynch is my top RB, Steve Hauschka is my top kicker, and I have Russell Wilson ranked seventh, which is five spots higher than his ECR this week. [See Sean's Week 6 rankings here.]
CBS has themselves in a real pickle in this one as their late-game ratings are going to tank this week with the only other matchup being Jacksonville at Denver. Perhaps when both of these games are over at halftime, they can replay the Denver-Dallas game from last week. Seattle wins big, 41-6.
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Jacksonville Jaguars +27 (over Denver Broncos)
How can you not pick this game? This is the NFL, folks — not a college line. A four-touchdown victory in the NFL is very hard to do. Yes, 42-14 is a cover and a win for the Broncos, and it is possible that the Broncos blow the Jaguars out of the water in this one.
Denver does have some problems on the defensive side of the ball. Their secondary was exploited all last week in Dallas, and I expect another big-time physical wide receiver Justin Blackmon to give the Denver secondary fits this weekend. Denver does have the worst pass defense in the NFL surrendering 347 yards per game, but those numbers are skewed a bit since most teams are playing from behind.
The other main reason I am taking the points here is that the Jags look like they are going to go with Chad Henne at QB. Henne is not the answer to the Jags QB problem, but he is light years ahead of Blaine Gabbert, who will be out of the league after this season.
Broncos will win, but remember any given Sunday: Broncos 44, Jags 20.
Washington Redskins +6 (over Dallas Cowboys)
Some call the Cowboys Sunday loss to the Broncos a moral victory. I personally see it as the same Tony Romo blowing a game again. I think the late mistake (although a great play) hurts Romo in the long run. It's going to be in the back of his mind again next time he gets in that situation.
The Redskins are fresh off a bye week, and I love them getting an extra week to prepare for a game versus their biggest rival. The Redskins have absolutely dominated this series going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings, and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six road games in Dallas. I don't think this one will be any different.
I've mentioned just how bad the back end of the Dallas secondary is in the past, and I think RG3 and the Redskins offense takes advantage of this on Sunday. It wouldn't surprise me to see Washington win this one outright, but I think the Cowboys offense is too good and they will outscore the Redskins here, 34-30.
Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.
Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Week 6 Fantasy Football QB Rankings
- Week 6 Fantasy Football RB Rankings
- Week 6 Fantasy Football WR Rankings
- Week 6 Fantasy Football TE Rankings
Week 6 Daily Fantasy Football Salary-Cap Analysis: