Week 10 Fantasy Football Projections: Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Redskins
Tonight's Thursday Night Football matchup features two playoff teams off to disappointing starts.
As bad as they have been, the Redskins (3-5) are more likely than the Vikings to make a playoff push. Not only do they have a better record than the one-win Vikings, but they play in the NFC Least and trail the Cowboys by only two games.
In fact, it was their strong second half last year that allowed them to make the playoffs after their slow start.
Over the course of the next few days, I will post my statistical projections for all fantasy-relevant players in Week 10.
By position and ranked my expected fantasy points, below you will find my projections* for the Thursday Night matchup:
Robert Griffin III, Washington: 22.12 fantasy points
- (Passing) 21/35, 273 yards, 1.5 TD, 1 INT; (Rushing) 8 attempts, 44 yards, 0.3 TDs
After starting the year with three consecutive 300-yard games, RG3 has now thrown for less than 300 yards in his past five games. And after posting a 20:5 TD-to-INT ratio as a rookie, Griffin III has thrown nine touchdowns and nine interceptions.
While he's on pace to rush for more than 500 yards, he has yet to rush for a touchdown. And after a couple of games with more than 75 rushing yards, RG3 has 11 carries for 24 yards in his past two games.
Not only have the Vikings allowed multiple touchdowns in six of eight games, they have allowed 15-plus fantasy points to opposing QBs in all but one game. As bad as the Vikings have been against the pass, only three teams have allowed fewer rushing yards to QBs.
Christian Ponder, Minnesota: 18.6 points
- (Passing) 20/31, 245 yards, 0.8 TD, 1.2 INTs ; (Rushing) 5 attempts, 38 yards, 0.5 TD
Ponder's matchup this week is nearly as favorable as Griffin's. While the Vikings have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs this year, the Redskins have allowed the fifth most.
Ponder has averaged just 190.5 passing yards and has only one passing score since starting again over the past two weeks. Furthermore, he has thrown twice as many interceptions (six) than touchdowns (three) this season. On a positive note, however, Ponder has rushed for four touchdowns in his past three games.
Adrian Peterson, Minnesota: 21.70 points
- (Rushing) 23 attempts, 120 yards, 1.1 TDs; (Receiving) 2.8 receptions, 25 yards, 0.1 TD
Peterson tied his season-high of 140 rushing yards and added 37 receiving yards against the Cowboys last week. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing RBs this season than the Redskins.
Alfred Morris, Washington: 16.80 points
- (Rushing) 21 attempts, 108 yards, 1.0 TD; no receptions
With the exception of getting as many goal-line opportunities as his fantasy owners would have liked, Morris has delivered for his fantasy owners. Actually, Morris has scored in three of his past four games even though Roy Helu and Darrel Young have three-TD games recently.
Last week, Morris had a season-high 121 yards and he has had at least 71 rushing yards every week since Week 2.
Roy Helu, Washington: 5.20 points
- (Rushing) 4 attempts, 18 yards, 0.3 TD; (Receiving) 1.5 receptions, 16 yards
Darrel Young, Washington: 1.50 points
- (Rushing)1 attempt, 3 yards, 0.2 TD
Toby Gerhart, Minnesota: 1.70 points
- (Rushing) 1 attempt, 5 yards; (Receiving) 1.5 receptions, 12 yards
Pierre Garcon, Washington: 13.50 points
- (Receiving): 7.0 receptions, 105 yards, 0.5 TD
Garcon had a season-high 172 yards last week, but he hasn't scored a touchdown in four weeks. With at least five receptions every week, Garcon is on pace for 108/1,368/4 this season.
Greg Jennings, Minnesota: 7.00 points
- (Receiving): 4.5 receptions, 52 yards, 0.3 TDs
You're probably not too happy if you find yourself starting Jennings, but the good news is the Redskins have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.
Leonard Hankerson, Washington: 7.20 points
- (Receiving): 4.5 receptions, 54 yards, 0.3 TDs
Hankerson tied his season high with five receptions last week for 55 yards, which was his highest total since the season opener (80 yards).
Cordarrelle Patterson, Minnesota: 4.10 points
- (Receiving): 2.5 receptions, 35 yards, 0.1 TDs
Jerome Simpson, Minnesota: 3.60 points
- (Receiving): 2.8 receptions, 30 yards, 0.1 TDs
Simpson had 19 receptions for 342 yards in the team's first four games, but he has only 10 receptions for 104 yards in the past four games.
Santana Moss, Washington: 2.60 points
- (Receiving): 1.5 receptions, 20 yards, 0.1 TDs
Moss had 15 receptions in the team's first three games, but he has only five receptions in the team's past five games.
Jarius Wright, Minnesota: 2.10 points
- (Receiving): 2 receptions, 20 yards
Jordan Reed, Washington: 10.20 points
- (Receiving): 5.5 receptions, 66 yards, 0.6 TDs
Reed had only four receptions for 37 yards last week, but he had 17 receptions for 224 yards and a touchdown in his previous two games.
John Carlson, Minnesota: 5.00 points
- (Receiving): 4 receptions, 38 yards, 0.2 TDs
* Just like families can't have 2.2 children, players can't score fractional touchdowns. That said, our projections above include fractional projections based on probability for TDs, INTs and receptions. All yardage projections are whole numbers.
Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Rankings
- Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Rankings
- Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Rankings
- Week 10 Fantasy Football TE Rankings
Week 10 Daily Fantasy Football Salary-Cap Analysis: