Week 11 Fantasy Football Projections: Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts

By position and ranked my expected fantasy points, here are my projections* for the Thursday Night matchup:


Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts: 16.90 fantasy points
- (Passing) 20/35, 245 yards, 1.0 TD, 0.6 INT ; (Rushing) 4 carries, 25 yards, 0.3 TDs

Trailing early and by a lot in the past two weeks has led to Luck throwing at least 40 times in back-to-back weeks, but he has just three such games this season in Pep Hamilton's conservative offense.

With 32/200/3 on the ground, Luck has still been a top-10 fantasy QB this season, but he has a tough matchup. The Titans have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs this season.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tennessee Titans: 15.12 points
- (Passing) 22/34, 263 yards, 1.1 TD, 1.5 INT; (Rushing) 3 carries, 14 yards, 0.3 TDs

Fitzpatrick replaced an injured Jake Locker and scored 23 fantasy points and he's the fourth-highest scoring fantasy quarterback last week. Fitzpatrick threw for 264 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions while adding a rushing score as well. He's unlikely to repeat that kind of success this week.

Running Backs:

Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans: 11.40 points
- (Rushing) 15 carries, 50 yards, 0.2 TDs; (Receiving) 4 carries, 40 yards, 0.2 TDs

CJ2K is one of the most frustrating RBs to own. In one week, you can get a rushing stat line of 23/150/2 (like in Week 9). In the next, you can get 12/30/0 (like in Week 10). That said, he has 20 receptions over his past five games.

Trent Richardson, Indianapolis Colts: 8.50 points
- (Rushing) 12 carries, 35 yards, 0.3 TDs; (Receiving) 2.5 receptions, 32 yards

One of the biggest disappointments in fantasy this season, Richardson has managed just 59 rushing yards in his past three games including a season-low two yards on five carries last week. In addition, Richardson has had five fantasy points or less in five straight games.

Donald Brown, Indianapolis Colts: 8.40 points
- (Rushing) 7 carries, 28 yards, 0.2 TDs; (Receiving) 3 receptions, 32 yards, 0.2 TDs

Since the acquisition of TRich after Week 2, Brown (352) actually has more yards from scrimmage than Richardson (335).

Shonn Greene, Tennessee Titans: 7.60 points
- (Rushing) 9 carries, 31 yards, 0.5 TDs; (Receiving) 2 receptions, 15 yards

Since Mike Munchak said he expected 15 carries per game, he's had exactly nine of them in back-to-back weeks and a total of four receptions. Getting the goal-line carries, Greene has the potential to score, or not, in any given week.

Wide Receivers:

T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts: 11.50 points
- (Receiving): 6 receptions, 85 yards, 0.5 TDs

Since the injury to Reggie Wayne, Hilton has been a stud: 7/121/3 (Week 9) and 7/130/0 (Week 10). That said, only the Panthers have allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. In addition, they've allowed only one 100-yard receiver this season: DeAndre Hopkins (Week 2).

Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans: 10.90 points
- (Receiving): 7 receptions, 91 yards, 0.3 TDs

Wright has been productive and extremely consistent even if he hasn't been spectacular. With the exception of Week 1 vs. the Steelers, Wright has at least 50 receiving yards in every other game this season.

The Colts have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this week, but they have been especially bad in the past three weeks as they have allowed seven receiving TDs to WRs in those games. In fact, the only week they did not allow a 100-yard receiver from Weeks 6 to 10 was Week 9 (their bye).

Nate Washington, Tennessee Titans: 5.40 points
- (Receiving): 3 receptions, 42 yards, 0.2 TDs

Since back-to-back 100-yard games in Weeks 3/4, Washington has exceeded 30 receiving yards only once in five games.

Justin Hunter, Tennessee Titans: 3.70 points
- (Receiving): 1.5 receptions, 25 yards, 0.2 TDs

As an explosive athlete, Hunter has the potential to make a big play or two, but he lacks the consistency to be more than a lottery ticket in fantasy at this point.

Griff Whalen, Indianapolis Colts: 3.20 points
- (Receiving): 3 receptions, 32 yards

Over the past two weeks, Whalen has been targeted a total of 14 times and had three catches for 30-something yards in each game.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, Indianapolis Colts: 3.10 points
- (Receiving): 2.5 receptions, 25 yards, 0.1 TDs

DHB has just four catches for 41 yards since Wayne went down and only 22/231/1 on the season.

LaVon Brazill, Indianapolis Colts: 1.00 points
- (Receiving): one reception, 10 yards

Brazill has just two catches for 20 yards in the past two weeks.

Kenny Britt, Tennessee Titans: 1.00 points
- (Receiving): one reception, 10 yards

Britt has not scored a fantasy point (or more than a fractional point) since Week 2.

Tight Ends:

Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts: 6.30 points
- (Receiving): 4 receptions, 45 yards, 0.3 TDs

Fleener has not broken out like many/some have expected with 29/332/3 through nine games. In his past three games, he has 12 receptions for 135 yards and a touchdown.

Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans: 5.20 points
- (Receiving): 3.5 receptions, 40 yards, 0.2 TDs

Walker had a season-high 62 yards last week, but he has scored in two of his past three games and has four TDs on the season.

* Just like families can't have 2.2 children, players can't score fractional touchdowns. That said, our projections above include fractional projections based on probability for TDs, INTs and receptions. All yardage projections are whole numbers.

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