Daily Fantasy Football: Some Week 16 Values in FanDuel Leagues
If you play daily fantasy football (and who doesn't these days?), you realize the key to your success is uncovering salary-cap values.
Here are some values in FanDuel leagues for Week 16 (sorted by position and then salary from lowest to highest):
QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL), $7,000 salary: One week after throwing for a career-high 381 yards and three touchdowns, Cousins gets to face the defense that Matt Flynn torched last week. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing QBs this season than the Cowboys and Cousins is a more capable signal-caller than Flynn.
QB - Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (vs. ATL), $7,900: Cousins' career day came against the Falcons last week and now it's Kaepernick's turn. While he is averaging only 192.5 passing yards per game this season, he has thrown for more than 200 yards in three of his past four games and only four quarterbacks have more rushing yards this season than he does. As the 17th-most expensive quarterback, he's a bargain at this salary.
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RB - Dennis Johnson, Houston Texans (vs. DEN), $4,500: With Ben Tate placed on IR, it will be Johnson that gets a heavy workload against the Broncos on Sunday. And it's seldom that a guy expected to be a featured back will cost the position-minimum $4,500. The Broncos have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.
RB - Bobby Rainey, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at STL), $5,700: With 33 running backs more expensive than Rainey, there certainly aren't 33 running backs that are better options this week. Rainey had a disappointing performance against the 49ers last week, but he had a total of 94 touches in his previous four games. At a minimum, I would expect a resumption of heavy workloads for Rainey, but I also expect much more fantasy production as well. The Rams have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.
RB - Jordan Todman, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. TEN), $5,800: Assuming that Maurice Jones-Drew (hamstring, questionable) is out again this week, Todman should be in line for another heavy workload (29 touches for 153 YFS last week) with a favorable matchup. The Titans have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this year.
[Update: MJD is expected to play on Sunday, per ESPN's Adam Schefter.]
RB - Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins (vs. DAL), $6,000: While Morris is unlikely to get many receptions, the Cowboys are the league's most generous defense to fantasy running backs. Although Morris ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing yards, 24 running backs have a higher salary than he does this week.
RB - DeMarco Murray, Dallas Cowboys (at WAS), $8,300: Not exactly cheap in absolute terms at $8,300, Murray is a relative value as my third-ranked — and only seventh-most expensive — running back. Even with the Cowboys inexplicably going away from the running game recently, Murray has been absolutely dominant over his past five games: 631 yards from scrimmage, 6.24 YPC, 15 catches and five TDs. Add that to the fact that the Redskins have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing RBs this season, Murray will be in most of my FanDuel lineups this week.
WR - Rueben Randle, New York Giants (at DET), $4,500: With Victor Cruz out for the rest of the season, Randle will get the start and be even more involved in the passing offense on Sunday. As poorly as Eli Manning has played this season, it's hard to get too excited about any Giants receiver, but Randle is priced at the position minimum. Even though he has three receptions (or less) for nine consecutive games, Randle did score six touchdowns in a six-game span from Weeks 5 to 11. The Lions have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.
WR - Steve Smith, Carolina Panthers (vs. NO), $4,900: In non-salary cap leagues, I hate Smith this week as he made the "sit'em side" of my Start'em, Sit'em column for Week 16. Even though we are heading into Week 16, Smith has yet to reach 70 receiving yards in any game this season. Despite having a relatively tough matchup against the Saints, Smith had his best game (6/49/1) over the past nine weeks in his first matchup against the Saints and he's cheap (48 receivers cost more).
WR - Andre Caldwell, Denver Broncos (at HOU), $5,000: Unlikely to duplicate last week's two-TD performance, Caldwell will be the beneficiary once again of Wes Welker being sidelined by a concussion. Out of the slot in the league's most explosive offense, a stat line of 5/50/1 would be a reasonable expectation this week although you can never bank on touchdowns.
WR - Michael Crabtree, San Francisco 49ers (vs. ATL), $5,800: With three games under his belt since suffering his Achilles injury, Crabtree could easily have his best performance of the season in Championship Week — although it's Championship Week every week in daily fantasy sports. The Falcons allowed 23/325/2 to the Redskins WRs last week. Giddy up!
WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (at BAL), $6,700: By surpassing the 100-yard mark last week, Edelman now has done so in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, he has a total of 37 catches (on 51 targets) for 414 yards and four touchdowns.
TE - Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (vs. OAK), $4,500: Gates has not been that productive recently, but he's priced at the position minimum and more valuable than his cost. On the season, he has 70 catches for 799 yards and three TDs. He has only one touchdown in his past 10 games.
TE - Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans (at JAC), $5,200: Over the past six weeks, Walker has left a game due to a concussion and missed the subsequent game due to the injury. In the other four games over that stretch, Walker has at least eight targets in each game with scores in three of them. The Jaguars have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing TEs this season and Walker had 4/62/1 against the Jags in their first matchup this season.
For a sortable grid of FanDuel values, check out our salary-cap analysis for all players.
Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings:
- Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Rankings
- Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Rankings
- Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Rankings
- Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Rankings
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