2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft, Standard Scoring - Round 3
Continuing the 2014 fantasy football mock draft we began on Monday, another round is now complete.
Here are Round 3 results (commentary from yours truly):
With Sean going quarterback in Round 2, I'd probably go running back here if I were him. Even though he has Jamaal Charles and Peyton Manning, arguably the best fantasy running back and quarterback, the options at running back with his next pick (4.12) will be relatively slim.
That said, Brown was a model of consistency last year with at least five catches and 50-plus yards in every single game. For the season, he posted career highs across the board with 110 receptions for 1,499 yards and eight touchdowns and he finished second in the NFL in both receptions and yards.
The loss of Aaron Rodgers for a huge chunk of the season had an adverse affect on Nelson's season, but he still managed to finish as the 11th-highest scoring fantasy receiver in 2013. Nelson had 85 receptions for 1,314 yards and eight touchdowns, but he had a line of 49/810/7 in the nine games that Rodgers started and finished. In other words, his yardage and touchdown totals would have likely been even higher had Rodgers had never broken his collarbone.
Since his breakout season (2011), Nelson has averaged 73 receptions for 1,208 yards and 11 touchdowns per 16 games.
After his breakout season in 2012, Spiller was a huge disappointment in 2013. Despite getting roughly the same amount of carries (202 vs. 207), Spiller rushed for more than 300 yards less than he had in 2012 as he averaged only 4.6 yards per carry (compared to 6.0 YPC in 2012). In addition, he averaged only 5.6 yards per reception (compared to 10.7 Y/R in 2012). His 2014 numbers should fall somewhere in between those two seasons.
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I expected big things from Vereen in 2013 and things got off to a great start for him last year, sort of. Vereen carried the ball 14 times for 101 yards and added seven receptions for 58 yards in the opener, but unfortunately he also broke his wrist in that game, which landed him on short-term IR. In eight games, Vereen had 208 rushing yards as well as 47 receptions for 427 yards and a total of four touchdowns.
While he's better in PPR formats, if you double Vereen's numbers for a full-season pace, he would have finished with 1,270 yards from scrimmage. That would have ranked 14th among running backs.
Allen became just the second rookie receiver to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark over the past seven seasons as he finished with 71 receptions for a team-high 1,046 yards and eight touchdowns. As good as Allen was in 2013, he had only three catches for 30 yards in the first three games of his career. In other words, I would expect better full-season numbers from Allen in 2014 than we saw in 2013.
With an opportunity to become the team's featured back, Ellington's fantasy value gets a boost in 2014. Last season, he outproduced Rashard Mendenhall, who has since retired, on a per-carry basis. In 2013, Ellington gained 652 yards on 118 carries (5.5 YPC) and added 39 receptions for 371 yards and four total touchdowns.
Not only did Rodgers miss several games due to injury, so did Cobb, who played only six games last season. The dynamic 23-year-old receiver averaged career highs in receiving yards (72.2 per game) and rushing yards (13.0 per game) when he was on the field.
With good health in 2014, Cobb should have a huge season. Based on last year's averages, Cobb would have finished with 1,363 YFS had he maintained that pace over a full 16-game season.
There are a few running backs that I'd prefer here, but Sean is a die-hard Titans' fan and perhaps this pick is a bit nostalgic. After being released by the Titans, Johnson signed a two-year deal with the Jets worth up to $9 million. Even though he rushed for a career-low 3.9 yards per carry last season, he still managed to go over the 1,000-yard rushing mark for his sixth consecutive season. Not only is he one of the league's fastest players, he has been extremely durable playing 16 games in each of the past five seasons.
3.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
With depth at the position, waiting later in drafts to select a quarterback is my preferred strategy. If you're in a really deep league or a two-QB league, that changes the dynamic, but there are plenty of starter-worthy quarterbacks to be had late in drafts.
That said, Rodgers has a combined passer rating of 112.7 over the past three seasons with a 101:20 TD-to-INT ratio during that span. In addition, he has averaged 4,589.6 passing yards per 16 games in the past three years.
In his first season with the Lions, Bush ran for 1,006 yards and caught 54 passes for 506 yards with a total of seven touchdowns in 14 games. Despite missing two games, Bush set a career high in yards from scrimmage (1,512).
In a related note, new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi said that he sees Bush and Joique Bell "having a split role and both being very productive." Bell is someone that I expect to be on the majority of my fantasy rosters, but Bush still set that career high in YFS last season with Bell getting 219 touches.
The good news is that Gronkowski set career highs in yards per game (84.6) and yards per reception (15.2) last year. The better news is that Gronkowski has scored a total of 43 touchdowns in the 50 career games he has played as a dominant red-zone weapon.
Of course, the bad news is that he did not play all 16 games for a second season in a row. The worse news is that his season ended due to a torn ACL, which leads to some uncertainty about his status heading into 2014. Early reports, however, indicate that he should be ready for the 2014 season. If, perhaps a big if, he can play all 16 games, Gronk would turn into a bargain at this spot.
3.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Bishop Sankey, RB, Tennessee Titans
Not only was Sankey the first running back selected in this year's draft, at a record-worst slot (54th overall), he has the best situation among all rookie rushers. Even if Shonn Greene did not have a second knee surgery in eight months, Sankey would top the team's depth chart. In addition, the Titans used their first-round pick (again) on the offensive line by selecting Michigan's Taylor Lewan with the 11th overall pick.
With little competition for touches in what should be a run-first offense, Sankey should lead all rookies in that category and come close to — or exceed — 300 touches on the year.
2014 Fantasy Football rankings from Kevin Hanson:
- 2014 Fantasy Football QB rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football RB rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football WR rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football TE rankings
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