2014 Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft: Round 4
Over the weekend, we began a new dynasty fantasy football mock draft. While it's a "slow" draft, we are posting each round as they are completed and another round is in the books.
Here are Round 4 results:
Through his first two seasons, Luck has thrown for 8,196 yards and 46 touchdowns. No quarterback has ever started an NFL career with at least 8,000 passing yards in his first two seasons. Only five QBs have thrown more TDs in their first two seasons. In addition, Luck's mobility is one of his underrated attributes and he has rushed 125 times for 632 yards and nine touchdowns in his two NFL seasons.
Even though Luck threw 57 fewer pass attempts and Reggie Wayne (ACL) was lost for more than half of last season, Luck finished fourth among quarterbacks in fantasy points last season. With good health from Wayne and tight end Dwayne Allen as well as the free-agent addition of Hakeem Nicks, Luck has his best supporting cast in young NFL career.
Only 24 years old, Luck is my second-ranked dynasty quarterback and he should be one of the most productive fantasy quarterbacks over the next decade-plus.
4.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills
Turning 21 years old in June, Watkins is the most complete rookie receiver in this year's draft class and has big-time speed, great hands and is a dangerous runner in the open field. While he should lead the Bills in targets and production, it's disappointing that he ends up in a cold-weather environment on a run-heavy team with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation.
In his second NFL season, Floyd caught 65 passes for a team-high 1,041 yards, nearly double his 562 yards as a rookie, and five touchdowns. Floyd has generated buzz during offseason workouts, which could mean the 24-year-old receiver is in store for even better production in 2014 — and beyond.
An Achilles injury in May kept Crabtree from building upon his 2012 breakout season. Assuming continued good health — once he's back from a minor hamstring injury — in 2014, I would expect numbers comparable to his 2012 season (or better): 85 receptions for 1,105 yards and nine touchdowns.
Crabtree will turn 27 years old next month and is entering the final year of his rookie contract.
4.05 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Bishop Sankey, RB, Tennessee Titans
The first running back selected in this year's draft, at a record-worst slot (54th overall) for the first running back taken in a (real) draft, Sankey should lead all rookie rushers in touches. Even though the team may use a RBBC, Sankey is clearly the most talented in the trio that includes Shonn Greene and Dexter McCluster.
Being second on the depth chart behind Adrian Peterson, it was no surprise that Gerhart did not get as many opportunities to carry the ball as you would expect a running back drafted in the second round to get. Over four seasons, Gerhart had a total of 276 carries for 1,305 yards (4.7 YPC) and five touchdowns. In addition, he had 77 receptions for 600 yards and three touchdowns.
Coach Gus Bradley has said that Gerhart could get 15-20 touches per game. More recently, the team's offensive coordinator said that Gerhart will be the team's "workhorse." As the Jaguars follow the Seahawks blueprint, it wouldn't surprise me if Gerhart had all running backs in carries over the next three seasons.
With 15-plus touches in seven games, Gerhart has averaged 12.6 fantasy points per game in those outings. As a comparison, only 10 running backs averaged more fantasy points per game last season.
It was a historic season as Manning, a (now) five-time league MVP, broke the single-season records for both passing yards (5,477) and touchdowns (55) previously held by Drew Brees and Tom Brady, respectively, as well as numerous other records.
As dominant as Manning was with his record-setting full-season numbers, he was remarkably consistent and dominant on a weekly basis. Throwing a touchdown in every game last season, Manning had only one game (excluding the playoffs) with less than two touchdowns. In addition, he had more games (nine) with four or more touchdowns than he had with less than four scores (seven).
For a dynasty team in win-now mode, Manning would be an excellent fit even though he's only a couple of years away from 40. So far, this team has Eddie Lacy and receivers Brandon Marshall and Jordy Nelson.
With Reggie Wayne sidelined for half of the season, Hilton took another step forward in Year 2 with 82 receptions for 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Hilton should lead all Colts receivers in fantasy production, but Reggie Wayne returning from his ACL injury and the free-agent addition of Hakeem Nicks constrains Hilton's upside from last year's numbers a bit. Hilton (24 years old) is more than 10 years younger than Wayne (35) and Nicks only signed a one-year deal.
Due to his speed and quickness, Hilton is capable of making explosive plays, but his small frame (5-9, 178) means he may never score double-digit touchdowns.
Garcon set career highs in receptions (a league-high 113) and yards (1,346), but the addition of DeSean Jackson means that Garcon will get fewer than the 182 targets he had last season. If there's good news, though, Jackson's presence should reduce the quantity of double-teams that Garcon sees and Washington will throw the ball more often under Jay Gruden than they did with the Shanahans in charge.
In his second season with the Bucs, Jackson set a career high with 78 receptions and once again exceeded 1,200 receiving yards with seven touchdowns. While he has more than his fair of inconsistency from week to week, a 70/1,200/7 season (or better) should be a lock for Jackson.
While it won't happen this season, it may not be long before the team's first-round rookie receiver Mike Evans emerges as the No. 1 wideout over the 31-year-old Jackson.
One of the handful of 5,000-yard passers in NFL history, Stafford seems set up for his best opportunity to duplicate that feat. In addition to elite pass-catching weapons of Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and Joique Bell already being on the roster, the Lions have added Golden Tate via free agency as well as Eric Ebron with the 10th-overall pick in the 2014 draft.
Stafford is only 26 years old and gives this team its QB1 for the next decade.
Wright took a big step forward in his second season with 94 catches for 1,079 yards, both of which vastly exceeded his rookie numbers, but his low touchdown total (two) kept the joy of his fantasy owners in check. Consistently solid, but not spectacular, with 13 games of 50-plus receiving yards, only two players had more such games than Wright — Antonio Brown (16) and Demaryius Thomas (14).
> Continue to Round 5 of our Dynasty Mock Draft
2014 Fantasy Football rankings:
- 2014 Fantasy Football QB rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football RB rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football WR rankings
- 2014 Fantasy Football TE rankings
More fantasy football resources:
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
- 2014 Fantasy Football Player Projections
- 2014 Fantasy Football Profiles
- 2014 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule
- Fantasy Football ADP Movers
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