Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Yanotchko

Here are my Week 12 picks against the spread:

Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 over Houston Texans (4 units)

The Bengals got back on track by winning convincingly at the Super Dome against New Orleans last week. This week, they travel to Houston to face a banged up Texans team, that most likely will be missing Arian Foster. I really like the matchup of Andy Dalton and A.J. Green going against a Texans pass defense that gives up 278 yards per game and 19 touchdowns. I know the Bengals have been Jekyll and Hyde, but they will win this road contest to keep pace in the AFC North, and I will make this a 4-unit play.

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Green Bay Packers -9 over Minnesota Vikings (4 units)

The Packers have been on another planet recently with their offense, and all signs point to this continuing this week against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers is playing so well, that he's come out early to give Matt Flynn reps while putting up 55 and 53 points, although the defense did help some. The Packers pasted the Vikings earlier this year 42-10 at Lambeau, and I really just don't trust Teddy Bridgewater against that offense. I will give the nine points, and make this a 4-unit play.

Miami Dolphins +7 over Denver Broncos (3 units)

I think everybody loves the Broncos this week, coming off a horrible loss in St. Louis, while only putting up seven points, and they are at home at Mile High. The Dolphins have played exceptional defense this year, and they also have a nice 10-day break to get their game plan together. The Dolphins are a team that can be a matchup nightmare for the Broncos, as they have the top-ranked pass defense in yards allowed with 208, and they can get after the QB with their four-man rush, as they have 30 sacks on the year. I like this scrappy Dolphins team, and I will take the seven points as this one will be close. I will go with 3 units on this game.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

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