Fantasy Football Projections (Week 4): Packers vs. Bears

- Updated: Thursday, September 28th

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will host the Chicago Bears for Thursday Night Football. Below you'll find our projections for this TNF matchup.

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Green Bay Packers Projections for Week 4


Aaron Rodgers29.8463371.
Week 3 was a week of firsts for Rodgers -- the first pick-six of his career, an OT win (now 1-7) and three consecutive 300-yard games to begin a season. Scoring the third-most fantasy points through three weeks, Rodgers has 967 passing yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions to go along with 52 rushing yards. Facing the Bears at Lambeau Field nine times over his career, Rodgers has averaged just 223.56 YPG but he's thrown 20 TDs and only four INTs in those contests.

Running Backs

Ty Montgomery15.
Logging virtually all of the team's snaps, Montgomery has a total of 59 touches through three weeks including 18 receptions on 23 targets. Montgomery hasn't been efficient as a runner (3.02 YPC) thus far, but I'd expect his per-touch efficiency to improve and he is always a threat to score in Green Bay's high-powered offense.
Jamaal Williams1.97.600.312.802.04
Aaron Ripkowski0000.30.900.09

Wide Receivers

Jordy Nelson6.982.80.800013.08
Nelson missed virtuall all of Week 2's game with a quad injury, but he has 7/79/1 and 6/52/2 lines in his other two games. Always a threat to score a touchdown (or two) in Green Bay's high-powered offense, Nelson has reached the 100-yard mark in four of his past five games against the Bears.
Davante Adams4.867.70.40009.17
Coming off a breakout 2016 campaign, Adams' best game was Week 2 (8/99/1) when Nelson and Randall Cobb left the game with injuries. With Cobb expected to play on Thursday night, Adams is a back-end WR2 for me this week.
Randall Cobb5.354.70.40.4308.17
After missing last week's game, Cobb (chest) is no longer listed on the team's injury report and will be active for Thursday Night Football. In the first two games, Cobb had 16 touches -- 15 receptions and one rush attempt -- for 155 total yards and he's in the WR3 range (WR33) for me this week.
Geronimo Allison1.218.30.10002.43
Trevor Davis0.32.900000.29

Tight Ends

Martellus Bennett3.849.50.36.75
Like most tight ends, Bennett is a TD-dependent back-end TE1 each week. (Of course, when Aaron Rodgers is the one throwing the ball, there are usually plenty of touchdowns to go around.) Through three weeks, Bennett has a 15.79-percent target share with a total of 11 catches for 102 yards.
Lance Kendricks0.917.30.22.93
Richard Rodgers0.57.200.72

Chicago Bears Projections for Week 4


Mike Glennon26.339.42481.
With the league's weakest receiving corps, expectations (and production) should be low for Glennon. Through three games, the free-agent addition has scored 12.52, 10.04 and 6.44 fantasy points, respectively. In the team's first two games (both losses), Glennon threw 40-plus pass attempts. In Week 3 (a win), he threw it only 22 times. With the Bears being underdogs in Green Bay, it's possible that we see closer to 40 than 20 pass attempts this week even if the efficiency and upside is limited.

Running Backs

Jordan Howard13.759.60.83.821.70.214.13
Playing with a sprained AC joint, Howard handled a massive workload on Sunday as he rushed 23 times for 138 yards and two touchdowns and added five catches for 26 yards. For owners that used an early second-round pick on Howard, it's comforting to see him handle a true workhorse role in Week 3. Facing the Packers in Lambeau on a short week, however, Howard not only has less time to recover but the Bears are touchdown underdogs. Negative game script could certainly reduce Howard's opportunities in Week 4.
Tarik Cohen7.343.60.17.952.80.412.64
The Human Joystick had another productive outing even though Howard surpassed 160 scrimmage yards on Sunday. The elusive rookie had 16 touches for 102 yards and now has a minimum of 13 touches in all three games. After getting a total of 21 targets and eight receptions in back-to-back games, Cohen had just four catches on four targets as the Bears mostly played with a lead. As they try to keep up with Aaron Rodgers and the high-powered Packers offense, Cohen is likely to be relied upon more often in the passing game.
Benny Cunningham0001.
Michael Burton0.31.900.10.200.21

Wide Receivers

Kendall Wright4.146.20.20005.82
After getting 10 targets and finishing with seven catches for 69 yards in Week 2, Wright wasn't targeted in Week 3. In fact, the team had just one wide receiver reception on four targets. It's likely that Wright and the receiving corps get more targets in Week 4, but he's difficult to trust outside of the deepest PPR formats.
Deonte Thompson2.230.10.20004.21
Josh Bellamy2.6310.10003.7
Markus Wheaton1100.10001.6

Tight Ends

Zach Miller4.
Miller had only one catch for 17 yards on three targets in Week 3, but he's averaging six targets per game, which is second to only running back Tarik Cohen.
Adam Shaheen0.
Dion Sims0.810.501.05

Fantasy Rankings: Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers | Tight Ends

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