2016 Fantasy Football Projections: Houston Texans

- Updated: Friday, September 2nd

In addition to viewing our 2016 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2016 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.


Brock Osweiler364596441025.614.335980.7278.5
Parlaying just seven starts into a $72 million contract, Osweiler will lead a revamped Texans offense. Despite his limited experience and the transition to a new offense, Osweiler has some fantasy upside in an offense that should rank near the NFL lead in offensive plays run. Over the past two seasons, the Texans have run the third-most offensive plays (2,189) although only the Raiders (4.9181) have averaged fewer yards per play during that span than the Texans (5.0603).
Tom Savage7141010.50.61205.64

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Running Backs

Lamar Miller25912308.3484032.3226.9
Perennially under-involved in Miami's offense, Miller has been highly productive on a per-touch basis. Despite his modest workload (194 carries, 18th-most in 2015), Miller scored the sixth-most fantasy points last year and has now finished as a top-10 fantasy running back in back-to-back seasons. Given the change of scenery, Miller is poised for a huge jump in workload as the new lead back in Houston. Since Bill O'Brien has taken over as coach, only the Seahawks (1,025 carries including 221 from Russell Wilson) have run the ball more than the Texans (1,023).
Tyler Ervin793481.2221760.965
Alfred Blue5218518550.331.8
Jonathan Grimes15650.36490.214.4
Jay Prosch5130.11702.6

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Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins10515239.1000206.9
One of the best young talents in the NFL, Hopkins took another huge step forward in his age-23 season. Even with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation last season, Hopkins set career highs across the board with 111 receptions, 1,521 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2015.
Will Fuller4473943230100.2
The first-round rookie out of Notre Dame with elite speed, Fuller put together an impressive preseason with eight catches for 144 yards (18.0 Y/R) and two touchdowns and enters 2016 as the starter opposite Nuk Hopkins. A likely boom-or-bust weekly option, Fuller may be too inconsistent to rely on him as a regular contributor in season-long leagues, but he will definitely be a frequent play in my DFS tournament lineups.
Braxton Miller303842.67630.261.5
Jaelen Strong344322.800060
The Texans used a third-round pick on Strong in 2015, but he disappointed as a rookie and Houston invested a pair of high picks in Will Fuller and Braxton Miller in April's draft. Early in the offseason, Strong generated some buzz, but he may finish only fourth among the team's receivers in targets in 2016.
Cecil Shorts182000.915025.9
Missing five games last season, Shorts finished with 42 catches for 484 yards and two touchdowns in his first year with the Texans. Shorts has now missed multiple games in all five of his NFL seasons and the Texans used two early picks on receivers -- Will Fuller (first round) and Braxton Miller (third round) -- in this year's draft. It's possible, perhaps likely, that Shorts does not make the team's final 53-man roster with Hopkins, both rookies and Strong ahead of him on the depth chart.
Keith Mumphery4380.20005

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Tight Ends

Ryan Griffin252981.840.6
C.J. Fiedorowicz141390.718.1
Stephen Anderson101190.816.7

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