2016 Fantasy Football Projections: New England Patriots

- Updated: Tuesday, September 6th

In addition to viewing our 2016 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2016 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.


Tom Brady313478372429.27.226812.3280.46
Despite his four-game suspension to start the season, Brady should finish as a top-five (or better) quarterback in terms of fantasy points per game. Scoring more fantasy points than every quarterback not named Cam Newton last season, Brady threw for 4,770 yards and a league-high 36 touchdowns in 2015. Given the depth at QB (at least in terms of fantasy), pairing Brady with a high-upside QB2 is certainly a viable strategy for fantasy owners in 2016.
Jimmy Garoppolo8813910436.43.918630.472.12
Jacoby Brissett24280.10.12201.62

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Running Backs

LeGarrette Blount2129128.79630.2150.9
In his 38 games (regular season and playoffs) as a Patriot, Blount has a total of 24 touchdowns. Given the week-to-week nature of the Patriots offense, the biggest challenge with owning Blount or any Patriots running back is that he could go from 30 carries and three touchdowns one week to two carries the next week.
Dion Lewis552481.9353411.679.9
Tearing his ACL only seven games into the season, Lewis was on pace for 1,422 yards from scrimmage, 82 receptions and nine total touchdowns. (Only four running backs had 1,400-plus YFS in 2015 although injuries played a part in that as well.) Unfortunately, Lewis had a second knee surgery and he begins the season on the reserve/PUP list.
James White672650.7363061.469.7
With Dion Lewis (knee) placed on the reserve/PUP list, he will miss a minimum of six games but it's certainly possible that he misses more than that. New England has a Week 9 bye so perhaps he returns following the bye. For as long as Lewis is sidelined, White will be the team's primary third-down back and has weekly RB2 upside in PPR formats.
Brandon Bolden20680.48600.317
James Develin360.15460.16.4

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Wide Receivers

Julian Edelman8610066.95410.2147.3
Missing seven games with a broken foot, Edelman set a career high with seven receiving touchdowns and averaged 6.8 receptions and 76.9 yards per game, both of which were career highs. Edelman has missed multiple games in each of the past two seasons and durability is my only concern with him. That said, he's a high-volume receiver playing with one of the best quarterbacks in the league when he's healthy (and when Tom Brady isn't suspended).
Chris Hogan466214.600089.7
Dubbed "7-Eleven" several seasons ago by Reggie Bush on Hard Knocks, Hogan had spent the past three seasons with the Bills and posted a 36/450/2 in 2015. With strong offseason workouts with the Patriots, it's possible Hogan scores the second-most fantasy points among the team's receivers in 2016. That said, he's no better than fourth in line for targets after Gronk, Edelman and Martellus Bennett.
Malcolm Mitchell202702.200040.2
Danny Amendola222181.5210031.8

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Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski75111010.8175.8
Counting 10 playoff games, Gronkowski has a total of 75 touchdowns in 90 career games. And with the exception of his seven-game 2013 season, Gronk has double-digit touchdowns in five of his six NFL seasons. If there's any concern, it's a potential slow start (based on Gronk standards) with Tom Brady serving a four-game suspension to begin the season, but Gronk is in a tier by himself atop the position group.
Martellus Bennett566895.6102.5
Bennett is at least a back-end TE1 heading into his first season in Foxboro as the Patriots will likely use plenty of two-TE sets with Gronkowski and Bennett. And if Gronk were to miss any time, Bennett would instantly become a top-five fantasy tight end during those weeks.
A.J. Derby5650.59.5

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