CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin 2009 Record: 51.1% (23-22) 2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Texans at Dolphins (-1.5)
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Seahawks at Packers (-14)
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Vikings (-7) at Bears
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Texans +1.5
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Packers -14
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Vikings -7
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Good luck Vontae Davis and Sean Smith. They will need all the luck they can get in trying to stop Andre Johnson, who is averaging 194.5 yards per game over the past two weeks. Both teams are 7-7 and need to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Texans strength match up well with Miami. When the Dolphins have the ball, they will look to feature Ricky Williams. But the Texans have a solid run defense, which could force the 'Fins to pass the ball more than they would otherwise like.
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This game is a match made in blowout heaven. On one hand, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 293.5 yards per game and nine touchdowns in his past four games. On the other hand, the Seahawks have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game (249.4) in the NFL. Moreover, the Packers have blown out many of their inferior opponents whereas the Seahawks have been beaten badly by the teams that should beat them. After last week's heart-breaking loss to Pittsburgh, look for the Packers to take out their revenge on their next opponent. Sorry Seattle.
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While a first-round bye for the Vikings seemed like a lock three weeks ago, they have lost two of their past three games and now only lead the Eagles, who host the Broncos this week, by one game for the #2 seed. The Bears have played better at home (4-3) than on the road (1-6) mainly because QB Jay Cutler has been horrible on the road. The first time these two teams played, the Vikings pummeled the Bears by 26 points. Matt Forte will struggle to run the ball (what else is new?) and the Vikings will pressure Jay Cutler into mistakes (again, what else is new?).
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Dan 2009 Record: 54.5% (23-21-1) 2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Raiders at Browns (-3)
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Texans at Dolphins (-1.5)
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Seahawks at Packers (-14)
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Browns -3
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Dolphins -1.5
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Packers -14
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Happy holidays to all, and after a week of delivering nothing but coal previously, it's time to get back on track. Cleveland has been a covering machine as of late, as they have posted 5 wins in a row against the number. The Browns look to have a pulse, and will look to play especially hard with new sheriff in town Mike Holmgren watching. The Raiders have been an enigma, knocking off the Broncos last week, but will start quarterback Charlie Frye in Ohio this Sunday. I like the matchup of Jerome Harrison coming off a 286 yard rushing performance against the Chiefs, going against the 28th ranked rushing defense in Oakland as they have yielded an average of 149 yards per game. I also like the fact that Brady Quinn is sidelined, as the Derek Anderson could easily outpass his average on one throw. Cleveland has won 6 of the last 8 games against the Raiders, and don't forger the superb advantage of Josh Cribbs in the return game for field position.
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So I've had an obsession with the Texans this year, and sadly it seems they are not ready to take that next step out of 8-8 land and into the playoffs. This is a playoff game for both teams, as the window of entering the playoffs is closing, and the winner gets the chance to play for it in week 17. In the prime-time lights, the Texans have come up short losing 4 straight to playoff contenders Indy twice,Tennesee, and Jacksonville. The Dolphins have also won three straight against the spread, and have posted a 7-1 mark against the AFC in their last 8. The Texans have played their way back into contention by beating up on Seattle and St. Louis, but when playing a quality contender they tend to shy from the stage. With no running game to speak of for the Texans, and also having to play in the dreaded humidity in Miami, look for the Chad Henne led Dolphins to move on and fight for a final playoff spot in week 17.
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Maybe is the winter time of year, but even with a two touchdown number, I always love the Pack at Lambeau field in December. There are other things I like about this game, such as Seattle has only won one road game all year, and Green Bay needs this win to sew up the wildcard spot. Seattle's running game has struggled as of late, and things don't look to get better against the leagues 2nd rated rushing defense. Sure Pittsburgh passed for 500 yards last week, but do you really trust Matt Hasselback delivering a quality performance on the road in that freezer? Green Bay has posted a recent 5-1 record Vs the spread, and is 9-4-1 overall this year against the number. Seattle has not fared well going 5-9 this year, have gone 1-7 in their last 8 on the road, and have gone 1-5 against the Pack in thier last 6. Too much balance from Ryan Grant and Aaron Rodgers, as the Pack will crush the Seahawks at Lambeau.
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Sean 2009 Record: 55.8% (26-17-2) 2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Saints (-14) at Buccaneers
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Jets at Colts (-3)
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Seahawks at Packers (-14)
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Saints -14
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Colts -3
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Seahawks +14
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Home-field advantage still at stake, and i think the Saints come out firing on all cylinders. Tampa Bay has been playing better as of late, but an angry Saints team with additional rest will win this one big. Saints 48 Bucs 17
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Too few points here. I am guessing the line is low because the Colts really don't have anything to play for. last time I checked the Jets offense is terrible. Mark Sanchez has definitely had his ups and downs. I dont see any way the Jets keep this one close. Colts 31 Jets 20
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Seattle might have played their worst football of the season last week in an embarassing home loss to the Bucs. No way they should keep it close in Lambeau against the Packers who need the game to stay in the hunt for the wildcard....thats why they play the game, and I think Seattle can actually win this game as crazy as it sounds, however. Packers 23 Seahawks 21
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Jamie 2009 Record: 50.0% (22-22-1) 2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Jaguars at Patriots (-9.5)
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Jets at Colts (-3)
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Vikings (-7) at Bears
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Jaguars +9.5
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Colts -3
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Vikings -7
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