Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my three Week 2 NFL picks against the spread:

Dallas Cowboys +3 (over Kansas City Chiefs)

The Chiefs are clearly an improved team from last year. They have a new coach and a new quarterback, both of which are upgrades from last year, and they had an impressive Week 1 victory over the Jaguars, 28-2.

Still, even with that, I'm not ready to crown the Chiefs a playoff team just yet. Its tough to really tell just how good they are yet. I think Week 1 told us more about the incompetence of the Jags than it did about the quality of Kansas City's football team.

On the other hand, the Cowboys could be given mixed reviews from their Week 1 victory at home against the Giants. They forced six turnovers, but only won the game by five. I took more positives from the win, as Dez Bryant was heavily covered the whole game, and Tony Romo was still able to move the ball well without relying on his star wideout. Dez isn't going to be held down all season, and I think he and Romo could have big games at Kansas City.

I like the Cowboys +3, and probably to win a close one outright. This would be a 3-unit bet (out of a 5-unit max/scale).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 (over New Orleans Saints)

Historically, the worst bet in football is a small road favorite.

I know this one looks like a slam dunk win for the Saints. They are coming off a big win against division-rival Atlanta. Meanwhile, the Bucs just blew an ugly game against the Jets, a team most thought would be pretty terrible this year. I think the Bucs will turn it around, though, and give the Saints a game.

I don't particularly like them to win, but I'll go with history here and take the four points at home. This would be a 3-unit bet.

Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (over Pittsburgh Steelers)

I don't think that the Steelers are going to be as bad as they were in Week 1, a week in which they were neck and neck with the Jaguars for poorest overall performance of the week. I do, however, believe that they are just not as good as they've been in years past. It's hard to separate this year's team from the name on the jersey, but the Steelers really look like a mediocre team at best.

The Bengals, on the other hand, are coming off a tough three-point loss to the Bears in Chicago. It was a tough game to open up, but they still managed to lead most of the way. I don't think Cincinnati is going to start off the year 0-2, and I think their defense will keep Pittsburgh's scoring to a minimum, so I'll give the touchdown. This would be a 5-unit bet for me.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

2013 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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