Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Here are my Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

New England Patriots +1.5 (over Carolina Panthers)

Carolina has definitely been impressive lately, especially winning a tough game on the road last week against the 49ers. I have a feeling this week they struggle a bit at home vs. the Patriots.

The Patriots are fresh off a bye week and two of their key players, one on each side of the ball could be back for this game. Shane Vereen is a do-it-all running back, and was off to a great start in Week 1 before breaking a bone in his wrist. A healthy Vereen should take some extra pressure off Tom Brady, who hasn't looked great this season. Patriots corner Aqib Talib might be back as well, which gives the Patriots secondary a shot in the arm that they desperately need.

As much as I like the Panthers story this year, and the further development of Cam Newton, I just don't think they are there yet to beat a Patriots team that had two weeks to prepare for them. Patriots win on the road, 27-17.

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Buffalo Bills +2 (over New York Jets)

The Bills battle the Jets at home this week, and I love them in this spot.

One week the Jets look like they could contend for a playoff spot, and the very next week they look like a team who should be picking in the top five in the draft. Their last game was a win at home vs. the Saints, which means they are due to get thumped. Look back to the start of the year: win, loss, win, loss, etc. This is a streak I see continuing Sunday.

The Bills will be without their two best receiving options in rookie Robert Woods and Stevie Johnson, but I think they can find offense from tight end Scott Chandler, and wide receivers T.J. Graham and Marquise Goodwin. Running on the Jets defense will be tough, but I think they can air it out even with these no-name weapons and beat the Jets. Goodwin is one player I am starting Sunday in one of my DraftStreet leagues at a nice bargain of $3,943.

Bills win at home comfortably, 30-13.

Denver Broncos -7.5 (over Kansas City Chiefs)

The Chiefs have been winning ugly this year. There is no doubt that their defense is a force to be reckoned with, but they have looked very beatable as of late. I would be shocked to see the Chiefs win this game, or keep it close.

Denver has issues with their offensive line, but there is no QB in the NFL today, and probably the history of the NFL that can make a decision as quick as Peyton Manning does. I expect another big game from the Sheriff on Sunday Night Football.

There is only so long the Chiefs can utilize their ground game and a dink-and-dunk passing attack. If they want to be a legit contender in the AFC, Alex Smith is going to need to start making plays down field. I just don't see it happening in this one, or come playoffs time.

I like the Broncos big at home, 41-20.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 11 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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