Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 8 picks against the spread:

Houston Texans -1.5 over Tennessee Titans (5 units)

The Steelers/Texans game on Monday night was one of the strangest games of the year. The Texans dominated the first half, only to give up 24 points in the last few minutes of the half - mostly on fluke turnovers deep in their own territory. Houston is the much better team here, and I expect their defense to keep the Titans scoring to a minimum.

St. Louis Rams +7 over Kansas City Chiefs (3 units)

At first glance, most people would think that the Chiefs are the better team here. They're coming off an impressive win over San Diego. However, the Rams are coming off a pretty impressive win of their own over the defending Super Bowl Champions. On a neutral field, I think this is actually close to a pick'em game. I'll give the Chiefs the 3-point home field advantage, but I'll take the Rams getting 6.5 here.

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Chicago Bears +6.5 over New England Patriots (4 units)

The Bears could be on their way to totally falling out of the playoff hunt just midway through the season. After the Patriots, the Bears have a bye and then go to Green Bay, so 3-6 through 9 games is very realistic. They need to win this week to get back to .500 going into the bye week.

New England has been all over the map as far as what analysts think of them. After three weeks, I heard commentators say that they had worse offensive talent than any team in the league, including the Jets. Three weeks later, they were Super Bowl contenders. Then a relatively dud game against the Jets on Thursday and they're marginal again. Week to week, it's hard to tell which Patriots team is going to show up. I think they'll probably win this one, but the Bears certainly have a chance, and will likely keep it to a one-score game.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

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