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November 23, 2014

Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 13 picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns +3 over Atlanta Falcons (4 units)

With Josh Gordon coming back, I like Cleveland to make a real playoff push. I think they'll win this one outright.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 over Chicago Bears (4 units)

The Bucs have slowly been putting things together and Mike Evans has been a beast. I like Lovie to give the inconsistent Bears some problems and cover here.

New Orleans Saints -3 over Baltimore Ravens (4 units)

The Saints losing three home games in a row? They'll have to show me to believe that. I like NO to bounce back and get the W.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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November 13, 2014

Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 11 picks against the spread:

Buffalo Bills +4.5 over Miami Dolphins (3 units)
Bills vs. Dolphins — Over 41.0 (3 units)

Buffalo lost a heartbreaker against Kansas City last week, and need a win this week to stay in the playoff hunt. I think this one will be a dog fight that could go either way. I also like the over in a 27-24 type of game.

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Oakland Raiders +10.5 over San Diego Chargers (5 units)

The Raiders are likely on their way to 0-10, but I expect them to show some professional pride in this divisional game. They looked good against Denver last week a quarter in, picking Peyton Manning twice early. The Broncos are just too strong of a team, though. The Chargers, on the other hand, have been fading lately. Ten points is too many here.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 over Washington Redskins (4 units)

I made the mistake of taking Washington earlier in the year and giving points. I'm not doing that this week. The Bucs are clearly not a very good team, but even with RG3 back, neither are the Redskins. I'll take a full touchdown here.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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November 06, 2014

Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 10 picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns +6.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (4 units)
Browns vs. Bengals — Over 46.0 (3 units)

The Browns don't get many prime time opportunities and I think they are going to take advantage of it. I don't know if they'll win, but I like a high-scoring affair, and the Browns to keep it close. A 6-point loss from a back door cover is as good as a win.

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San Francisco 49ers +5.5 over New Orleans Saints (5 units)

The Saints have been up and down this year, and are playing well at the moment. However, I'm not ready to give up on the Niners, and this is a big game toward their playoff hopes. The Saints are in such a bad division that they have less pressure to win this one. After a bad start, they're still in first at the midway point of the season. I like SF to win this one outright so I'll definitely take the points.

Baltimore Ravens -10 over Tennessee Titans (3 units)

Baltimore got destroyed last week against the suddenly amazing Steeler offense. I like them to right the ship this week, and expect their defense to feast on the Titan offense.

Denver Broncos -12 over Oakland Raiders (3 units)

Peyton Manning is angry after getting trounced in New England, and he's going to take it out on Oakland. The Raiders will get a win eventually, but not this week.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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November 01, 2014

Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 9 picks against the spread:

New York Jets +9.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (4 units)

With Michael Vick at the helm, the Jets offense should be a little more dynamic. This season is already a lost one for New York, but I still think they'll keep this one competitive with Kansas City.

DraftKings $2.2 Millionaire Maker Week 9 Contest: Turn $27 (entry) into $1 Million (top prize).

Washington Redskins pick'em over Minnesota Vikings (4 units)

The Redskins defense came up huge against the division-leading Cowboys last week. RG3 may mot be 100 percent, but his presence may give Washington a boost this week. If they can build off their efforts last week, I like them to go into Minnesota and win the game.

Houston Texans +2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (4 units)

The Eagles lost a heartbreaker to the Cardinals last week. The Texans, on the other hand, are coming off an easy win over the Titans. At 4-4, Houston is still in the playoff hunt, and this is a big home game. I like them to win outright, but I'll take the 2.5 points.

Seattle Seahawks -14.5 over Oakland Raiders (3 units)

I don't normally like to give near this many points, but it's hard to imagine this one playing out any other way than a Seattle blowout. The Seahawks have been almost mediocre of late, and I believe they'll score early and often against Oakland without giving up much.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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October 21, 2014

Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 8 picks against the spread:

Houston Texans -1.5 over Tennessee Titans (5 units)

The Steelers/Texans game on Monday night was one of the strangest games of the year. The Texans dominated the first half, only to give up 24 points in the last few minutes of the half - mostly on fluke turnovers deep in their own territory. Houston is the much better team here, and I expect their defense to keep the Titans scoring to a minimum.

St. Louis Rams +7 over Kansas City Chiefs (3 units)

At first glance, most people would think that the Chiefs are the better team here. They're coming off an impressive win over San Diego. However, the Rams are coming off a pretty impressive win of their own over the defending Super Bowl Champions. On a neutral field, I think this is actually close to a pick'em game. I'll give the Chiefs the 3-point home field advantage, but I'll take the Rams getting 6.5 here.

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Chicago Bears +6.5 over New England Patriots (4 units)

The Bears could be on their way to totally falling out of the playoff hunt just midway through the season. After the Patriots, the Bears have a bye and then go to Green Bay, so 3-6 through 9 games is very realistic. They need to win this week to get back to .500 going into the bye week.

New England has been all over the map as far as what analysts think of them. After three weeks, I heard commentators say that they had worse offensive talent than any team in the league, including the Jets. Three weeks later, they were Super Bowl contenders. Then a relatively dud game against the Jets on Thursday and they're marginal again. Week to week, it's hard to tell which Patriots team is going to show up. I think they'll probably win this one, but the Bears certainly have a chance, and will likely keep it to a one-score game.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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October 11, 2014

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 6 picks against the spread:

Cleveland Browns -1 over Pittsburgh Steelers (4 units)
Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Under 47.0 (4 units)

It's been forever since the Browns have been favored over the Steelers, but it's finally justified. Pittsburgh has been incredibly inconsistent, while Brian Hoyer and the Browns have been moving in the right direction. We're going into Week 6 and no one is saying a peep about Johnny Football. That's a pretty strong sign that things are looking up for the Browns. I also think running the ball will be a big factor and will keep the scoring under 47.

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Dallas Cowboys +8.5 over Seattle Seahawks (4 units)

I'm not going to pick against Seattle to cover at home, but 8.5 points against a surprisingly good Cowboys team is just too much.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 over Baltimore Ravens (3 units)

Tampa is coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Saints, but have been much better with Mike Glennon at quarterback. I'm going to take the home dog to win or at least lose close here.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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October 02, 2014

Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 5 picks against the spread:

New Orleans Saints -10 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5 units)

Plain and simple, the Saints need this one badly to stay in the hunt. The Bucs played well against Pittsburgh last week, while New Orleans got throttled by Dallas, but it's a week-to-week league. One win doesn't mean Tampa is going to go on a run all of a sudden, and the Saints are a totally different team at home. I don't think this one will be close, with Drew Brees and the offense pouring on the points.

Houston Texans +6 over Dallas Cowboys (4 units)

I actually think the Cowboys are a pretty good team, but they are benefiting from an inflated line after destroying the Saints on the Sunday night game. Dallas may very well be a playoff team, but they're not one of the handful of elite teams in the league. The Texans have a solid defense led by the first quarter MVP J.J. Watt. I think they'll keep it close.

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New York Jets +7 over San Diego Chargers (4 units)

I'm taking the Jets again this week. They've disappointed the last two weeks, but I think they're better than they've played. San Diego is hot, so I'm a little weary of picking against them. However, they can win the game and still not cover 7. With New England looking anything but good so far on the year, the division is wide open for the first time in a decade, and the Jets will be hungry to get a win. I'll take the points here.

Washington Redskins +7.5 over Seattle Seahawks (3 units)

The Seahawks are still the class of the NFL, or at least one of the three or four best and most complete teams. Still, we saw them look pretty ordinary on the road in San Diego. The Redskins are coming off their worst game of the year, getting pummeled by the Giants last Thursday. However, just the week before, they lost a shootout to the Eagles, one of the best teams in the league. Although it didn't show last week, Washington has a lot of weapons on offense, and since Seattle can't take their 12th man with them this week, I'll take the 7.5 on the Skins this week.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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September 26, 2014

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 4 picks against the spread:

Green Bay Packers -2 over Chicago Bears (3 units)

I'm going to listen to Aaron Rodgers and relax regarding the Packers 1-2 start to the season. This is a critical game for them early in the season, as a 1-3 record and 0-2 in the division is deep hole from which to come back. The Bears have been playing well, but weren't particularly great against the Jets. They got some fortuitous turnovers, and I don't expect Aaron Rodgers to make the kinds of mistakes Geno Smith made. Give me the Packers to win and cover 2.

New York Jets +2.5 over Detroit Lions (3 units)

Calvin Johnson missed practice again on Thursday, and his status for this week's game is unknown. While I'm guessing he'll play, if he's less than 100 percent, that's going to hurt the Lions offense, and I'm just not totally sold on the Lions just yet. The Jets, meanwhile, played a mistake-ridden game on Monday night against the Bears, but I believe they will avoid back-to-back home losses. Take the Jets at home.

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Jacksonville Jaguars +13.5 over San Diego Chargers (3 units)

I hate myself every time I take the Jags to cover a spread because they have just been terrible to start the year. However, with Blake Bortles starting, I think it will give them a spark, and should keep them within two touchdowns of the Chargers. San Diego is a good team, and will be most people's Survivor pick to win this week. I agree that they'll win the game, but I expect it to be closer than 13.5.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings — Under 46.5 (3 units)

The Falcons just put up a 56 spot on the Thursday game last week. Still, they're not the same team on the road. I don't think they'll score at near the same rate this week, against a better Vikings defense. I also expect Minnesota to look to control the clock a bit with Teddy Bridgewater set to make his first start. Forty-seven just feels like too much for this game. I like a 23-17 type of a game — well under the total.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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September 20, 2014

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 3 picks against the spread:

San Diego Chargers +2.5 over Buffalo Bills (5 units)

The Bills surprised me with an impressive win over Miami, but I think Week 3 they will lose their first game. The Chargers are looking more and more like the Super Bowl contending team that they were a few years ago. Philip Rivers has been great, and I like them to win this one on the road.

Indianapolis Colts -7 over Jacksonville Jaguars (4 units)

The Colts have had a bad start to the year, but going to Jacksonville is just what the doctor ordered. The Jags have been a complete mess and have been outscored 75-10 in the last six quarters. The Colts will be desperate for a win, and it doesn't appear Jacksonville has the talent to stop them.

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San Francisco 49ers -3 over Arizona Cardinals (3 units)

If Carson Palmer were starting, I'd probably stay away from this game. Although Drew Stanton looked pretty good Week 2, the Niners are a horse of a different color (than the Giants). I like Colin Kaepernick to have a bounce-back week, and the Cardinals offense to struggle so I'll give the three on the road.

New England Patriots vs. Oakland Raiders — Under 46.5 (3 units)

The Patriots defense shouldn't have much trouble with a pretty weak Oakland offense. I see this as a 30-6 kind of game. Although the Patriots will likely put up points, I'm skeptical of Oakland putting too many up. Even a 30-14 game goes under, so I'll take it with some confidence.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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September 12, 2014

Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 2 picks against the spread:

Miami Dolphins pick'em over Buffalo Bills (4 units)

The Dolphins upsetting the Patriots at home in Week 1 was one of the surprises to the start of the NFL season. Perhaps an even bigger surprise, though, was Buffalo going into Chicago and getting the win. While both teams were impressive enough to win, the Dolphins really showed that they might be much better than expected.

A new offensive line was their biggest concern coming into the year, and Knowshon Moreno led the league in rushing against a pretty good New England defense. It's tough to look better than Miami did in the second half of Week 1, and I expect they'll keep it rolling against what should be an easier opponent in Week 2.

Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 over Washington (3 units)

The way that Washington's offense has looked in the preseason and in Week 1 of the regular season, it's hard to believe that they are pushing a touchdown favorite over anyone in the league. Jacksonville was all over the Eagles in the first half, but clearly tired later in the game, and ended up getting beat by 17. Still, they had some positive takeaways from the effort, and I like them to keep this one close.

St. Louis Rams +6 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5 units)

I was one of the people that bought into the Bucs this season, expecting a big turnaround from last year. I'm not totally abandoning them after one week, but they clearly have some work to do offensively. The Rams didn't look good in their first game, but their defense is their strong point, and I think they will make it tough for Tampa to score. I think this game could go either way, but I think the St. Louis defense will keep the game close.

New York Giants vs. Arizona Cardinals — Under 42.5 (4 units)

The Cardinals have one of the better defenses in the league, and the Giants offense was uninspired and looked in disarray this past week. The Giants lone bright spot was their run defense, which might keep this one relatively close. Still, I expect points to be at a premium with defense dominating the game.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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September 01, 2014

Week 1 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

We are only days away from the kickoff to the 2014 NFL (regular) season and that's actually the game I like the best this week in terms of picks against the spread (ATS).

[Editor's note: Our contributors will pick 2-5 games per week this season and include a number of units (from 1-5) along with their picks. And we will choose from teams ATS as well as game score over/unders.]

Here are all of my Week 1 picks:

Green Bay Packers + 6 over Seattle Seahawks (4 units)

The Seahawks are the defending Super Bowl Champs, but they have a tough opening game against Green Bay this Thursday. Before Aaron Rodgers got hurt, the Pack were one of the best teams in the league. The emergence of Eddie Lacy has given them a legitimate running game to go with their already formidable quarterback and wide receivers. It wouldn't shock me to see Green Bay win this one outright, but either way, I expect a pretty close game. Seattle has the largest home-field advantage in the league, but I'll still take the Packers getting the six.

Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (3 units)

Going into the season, it's really hard to lay a double-digit point total. The preseason doesn't mean a whole lot, and it's hard to know exactly how good teams are until we've at least seen a few games that count. The Jags started off last year 0-8, but were able to finish the last half of the season going 4-4. The Eagles have a tough offense to keep up with, but I don't expect Nick Foles to have the same 27:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio he had last year. The Eagles should win this one, but I'll take Jacksonville with the 10.5 points.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 over Carolina Panthers (3 units)

The Panthers were among the best defensive units in the league last year. Their offense has been revamped, though, and I expect it to take them some time to figure things out. The Bucs have Doug Martin back and a new quarterback in Josh McCown that was terrific last year. I like Tampa to have a bounce-back year, and like them to beat Carolina at home.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers — Under 39.5 (3 units)

In addition to liking Tampa to win and cover, I also believe this will be a defensive struggle with points coming at a premium. I see this as a 20-13 kind of game, so I think 39.5 is too high. I'll take the under here.

[Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag]

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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January 26, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII Prediction (Trifone): Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks

Super Bowl XLVIII is set up to be a terrific matchup between the NFL's best offense and best defense.

The Broncos broke a lot of offensive records this year, including the team scoring record previously held by the 16-0 Patriots, and Peyton Manning threw for more yards and touchdowns than any other quarterback in the history of the NFL.

The feat might seem less impressive these days, with rule changes favoring the offense, but keep in mind that Drew Brees had the second-most touchdown passes this year with 39, meaning Peyton had 16 more touchdowns than the next closest quarterback. Denver's offensive weapons are second to none, and they have great depth at wide receiver and tight end. Even for a great defense, they are going to be tough to stop.

The Seahawks, on the other hand, had the league's most stingy defense. They gave up the fewest points this season with 231, and had the second-best point differential, behind only the Broncos. Seattle has been near unbeatable at home, but have had some offensive struggles on the road.

This year's Super Bowl being in New York creates an interesting dynamic that we've never seen in a Super Bowl before. On a neutral field, I would give Denver the nod in this game. They had some question marks coming into the playoffs, but they were never in any real danger against the Chargers, and easily handled the Patriots in the AFC Championship.

As far as I'm concerned, they put to bed any ideas of Manning choking or of any ideas that Denver is too flawed to win it all. The defense stepped up when it needed to, and the offense has been methodical.

Ultimately, I think that Seattle has a few more flaws than Denver does, and while the weather should keep this game tight, I still like the Broncos to come out on top.

I'll take Denver to win in the elements, 27-19.

Polls: SB48 Winner? - Peyton's Passing Yards?
History: Past SB Results - Past SB MVPs - Super Bowl Squares

January 01, 2014

NFL Playoff Predictions including Super Bowl XLVIII Winner (Trifone)

Over the next couple of days, several of our site's contributors will make playoff predictions for the full postseason and below you will find my picks round by round and game by game.

Wild Card Round

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts

The Colts handled the Chiefs when they played just a couple weeks ago, but I'm going the other way on this one. I'll take the contrarian position and pick against Andrew Luck in this one. Chiefs, 31-28.

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles are a dangerous team. The Saints, who were 8-0 at home but just 3-5 on the road, are just a different team outside their dome. I'll take the Eagles, 34-28.

San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals

The Chargers won four straight down the stretch to get into the playoffs, and it's the win at Denver that really makes me think they could make some noise. I've liked the Bengals all year, though, as one of the most complete teams this year. I'll take Cincinnati, 27-17.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers

It was certainly exciting to see Aaron Rodgers back in Chicago this week, and the great finish left us all thinking about how his return may change the complexion of the playoffs. If the Packers win this game, I think they may make a Super Bowl run.
However, I think they will end up losing to a 49er team that has won six in a row, and may be peaking at the right time. Colin Kaepernick has looked better toward the end of the year, and with Michael Crabtree back, I like their chances. Niners, 24-19.

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers
This one is a toss-up for me, so I'm going to go with the home team. Ultimately, I think that Carolina's defense will fair better against the Eagles offense, than the Eagles defense will fair against Cam Newton and the Panther offense. Panthers, 20-13.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Third time's the charm, right? Not for the Chiefs it won't be. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took care of business in their first two games against Kansas City. I expect more of the same. Broncos, 38-24.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

I'd considered changing my preseason pick of the 49ers to represent the NFC, but in Week 16, Arizona gave me hope that the Seahawks can be beat in their building. I think that this should be the NFC Championship, as I have them as the two best teams (although Carolina is close), but I think San Fran wins a tight one to advance. 49ers, 27-26.

Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots

This is a different matchup with Rob Gronkowski, but I just refuse to believe that even Bill Belichick and Tom Brady can lose who they've lost, and not have it affect them in the playoffs. Although they've had time to adjust to playing without Vince Wilfork on D and Gronk on offense, it doesn't mean that whoever they plug in instead is going to approach those levels of talent. The Bengals beat the Patriots in Cincinnati earlier in the year, and I believe they will go into New England and win again. Bengals, 27-23.

* DraftKings: Play Daily Fantasy Football throughout the playoffs and get a 100-percent bonus on your initial deposit.

Championship Games

Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos

If I had more courage, I'd take the Bengals here, but I don't. I think that Manning is on a mission this year, and I think he's going to step up his game in the playoffs. I know that hasn't been his MO in years past, but he has so many weapons on offense that I don't think even a solid D like the Bengals can slow them down enough. Broncos, 38-30.

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers

The NFC is such a grueling gauntlet of games. To reach the NFC Championship, the 49ers will have had to have won at Green Bay (with Aaron Rodgers) and at Seattle and the Panthers will have to have beaten the Eagles, and now the 49ers if they want to advance to the Super Bowl.

I feel every one of these games could go the other way, setting up completely different matchups, and few people, if any, would be surprised. With two terrific defenses on display, I'm going to take the road team to move on. 49ers, 17-16.

Super Bowl XLVIII

San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos

Truth be told, I want to just pick both teams to win here. The top six or seven teams in the league all have a pretty similar chance of getting to play at MetLife Stadium in February. The Broncos have the most explosive offense in NFL history, while the 49ers have the more complete team. They have a great defense, and an offense that is capable of hanging with anyone. San Francisco was my preseason pick, and I'm going to stick with them. I'll take San Francisco, 38-35.

Related: Past AFC Championship Results - Past NFC Championship Results - Past Super Bowl Results

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December 29, 2013

Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Here are my Week 17 NFL picks against the spread:

Baltimore Ravens +6.5 (over Cincinnati Bengals)

I like Cincinnati to win this one, but a division game with a playoff spot on the line for Baltimore means I'll take the points here. The Ravens laid a total egg against the Patriots last week, but prior to that, played the great majority of their games close. I expect this one to be close as well.

Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5 (over Indianapolis Colts)

The Colts have not been the same team since losing Reggie Wayne. Whether or not his loss has been the reason for it, their last three losses have been total blowouts.

Jacksonville, on the other hand, is 4-3 over their last seven games, and their last two losses were by seven and four. The Jags have been much more competitive of late, and against a Colts team that has not looked like the same team that beat the Niners, Seahawks, and Broncos, I'll take the 11 points.

St. Louis Rams +11.5 (over Seattle Seahawks)

Seattle barely held off the Rams in St. Louis in their first match, and showed real vulnerability at home against the Cardinals last week. I know they have everything to play for this week, with the chance to lock up home field throughout, but that doesn't mean they're going to kill the Rams, who would accomplish an impressive 8-8 season in the best division in football with a win.

I still like Seattle to win, but I'm not expecting Jeff Fisher's Rams to just roll over. I'll take the dog to keep it close enough to cover here.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 17 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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December 22, 2013

Week 16 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Here are my Week 16 NFL picks against the spread:

Arizona Cardinals +10.5 (over Seattle Seahawks)

The Seahawks are the consensus best team in the league, and they certainly have the league's best home-field advantage. The Cardinals, however, have an excellent defense and are still on the outside looking in for a playoff birth even at 9-5.

While Seattle did destroy the 49ers at home earlier in the year, this is not nearly what that rivalry is, and I don't expect them to play with the same emotion. This looks to me like too many points.

New York Giants +10 (over Detroit Lions)

The Giants are terrible. The Lions are bad. I'll take a terrible team +10 over a bad one. The Lions are very talented, but last Monday night, could only put together one touchdown in a home loss to the Ravens.

Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford didn't play well and Calvin Johnson is questionable to play this week. After Coughlin called out many of his players last week, I think they play with a bit more heart this week, and at least keep this one close.

Baltimore Ravens -1 (over New England Patriots)

The Patriots showed their vulnerability last week at Miami, only putting up 20 points the week after Rob Gronkowski went down for the year. The Ravens, on the other hand, have been getting better each week.

I'm still not crazy about their offense, but with the defense playing as well as it has and a kicker that can kick FGs from 60, they may not need a great offense. The defending champs usually play the Patriots pretty tough, and I like them to keep rolling this week.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 16 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks - Running Backs - Wide Receivers - Tight Ends

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Previous 15 Entries

Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Dec 15, 2013
Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Nov 26, 2013
Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Nov 24, 2013
Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Nov 17, 2013
Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Nov 10, 2013
Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Oct 23, 2013
NFL Week 7 Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Oct 15, 2013
Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Oct 9, 2013
Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Oct 2, 2013
Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Sep 25, 2013
Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone) Sep 21, 2013
Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone Sep 14, 2013
2013 NFL Preseason Predictions: Playoffs and Super Bowl XLVIII (Trifone) Sep 5, 2013
Week 1 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) - Trifone Sep 3, 2013
2013 NFL Preseason Favorable Team Prop Bets (Trifone) Sep 1, 2013