CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin 2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12) 2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Patriots at Colts (-2.5)
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Broncos (-3.5) at Redskins
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Ravens (-10.5) at Browns
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Patriots +2.5
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Broncos -3.5
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Ravens -10.5
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The Colts have picked up where they left off last regular season by winning their first eight games to extend their regular-season winning streak to 17 games. They face their biggest challenge of the season in week 10 as the Patriots and their explosive passing attack come to town. The Patriots, who have started their own three-game winning streak, have beaten their last three opponents by a combined score of 121-24. In those three games, Patriots QB Tom Brady has thrown for 1,020 yards (300+ in all three games), ten touchdowns and three interceptions. Losing three-quarters of their starters in the secondary, the Colts young secondary will be put to the ultimate test this week.
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If this game were played two weeks ago, the spread would have been much higher. While the Broncos have struggled in the past two weeks, they've played two physical teams in Baltimore and Pittsburgh. The Broncos aren't as bad as they have looked in the past two games whereas the Redskins are still one of the worst teams in the league. (Dan Snyder may be able to keep signs out of the stands, but he would be wiser to keep the Redskins off the field.) The Redskins will be without running back Clinton Portis, who suffered a concussion last week. The Broncos will get back on track in the nation's capital.
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The Ravens have lost four of their past five games and haven't played well. However, they have lost to the Vikings, Bengals (twice), Patriots -- all division leaders. The perfect cure for a team's struggles is to face the Browns, who have been outscored 78-209 this season. In their first matchup this season, the Ravens beat the Browns by 31 points. This will be one of the worst Monday Night Football games of the year, especially if you're a Browns' fan, as the Ravens will easily take care of business.
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Dan 2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12) 2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Bengals at Steelers (-7)
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Broncos (-3.5) at Redskins
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Jaguars at Jets (-7)
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Bengals +7
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Broncos -3.5
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Jaguars +7
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I think the Bengals have answered the, "Are they for real?" question, so why in a division game will the Steelers be giving 7 with first place on the line? I realize that the Steelers have been playing exceptional as of late, and will no doubt be looking for revenge against an earlier week 3 loss. I love the matchup of the two best running defenses in the league banging heads, but I do like the fact that Cedric Benson has gotten the job done when going into the teeth of highly touted rushing defenses. I like the fact that Ochocinco is going off and sending condiments via the mail, and I really like the return to form of Carson Palmer. I would look for the Bengals defense to contain Rashard Mendenhall, and force the Steelers passing attack to carry the day. Remember, on the year Pittsburgh has only posted a 3-5 mark against the spread, while the Bengals are 5-3, and also the road team is 11-4-1 in their last 16 meetings. I am certain that both defenses will keep the game close, as I think the 7 points is too generous a gift to pass up.
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Have the wheels fallen off the Broncos just yet? Nah...after two tough teams in Baltimore and Pittsburgh, the Redskins come along at just the right time. What is there to be said about the Redskins, from basically ripping all the power from their head coach, and now they are starting fights on opposing team’s sidelines. I really like the Redskins defense, but sadly it takes three phases of offense defense and special teams to win. I really don't like their chances, since Jason Campbell holds the ball almost as long as Aaron Rodgers and they are going against a Broncos defense that is 3rd in the league with 26 sacks. From the trends perspective, Denver is 6-2 Vs the spread this year, while the Redskins are 1-6-1, and 2-11-3 in their last 16 games overall. I would look for a classic Orton managed game, and feel that Washington will be lucky to score 10, since Clinton Portis will be out this week. Go against the small dog here.
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I guess it's an underdog type of weekend for me, but call this one the gut feeling game. Sure the Jets are coming off a bye, but I believe they are looking forward to New England next week, and will have forgotten about Jacksonville. Jacksonville is a surprising 4-4 on the year, as not many people figured them to be in the hung, but have gotten great play from Maurice Jones-Drew and Mike Sims-Walker. (Looks like a banner year for the hyphen) The Jets looked great out of the blocks, but have recently stumbled, and will look to use their rushing game to get back on track. I am still not sold on Mark Sanchez, not to mention the weather will be around 45 degrees, a far cry from what he's used to for that Southern California native. Historically the Jags have owned the Jets, winning 4 out the last 5 matchups, and the Jets have only gone 1-4 in their last 5 Vs the number. I would look for a steady day of Maurice Jones-Drew, as the Jets injuries will catch up to them in the 2nd half of the season. When you lose two of your five best players in Leon Washington and Kris Jenkins, it's just too deep a hole to climb out of. Wow, two winners from the right side of the page this week, but take the dogs.
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Sean 2009 Record: 55.2% (16-13-1) 2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Patriots at Colts (-2.5)
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Saints (-14) at Rams
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Jaguars at Jets (-7)
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Patriots +2.5
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Saints -14
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Jaguars +7
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Indy is starting rookie corners and has no Bob Sanders. It is going to be tough to stop the Patriots passing attack. I think this game will be close, but Patriots score more in the end. Pats 38 Colts 31
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This number is too low. The Saints are by far a better team. A small hiccup last week in the first half against the Panthers. The Panthers always play them tough though. The Saints should win this one by 30+. New Orleans 45, St. Louis 13
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This just in, this isn't week 4 and the Jets are not undefeated. Mark Sanchez has looked more like a rookie every week. I like the Jags to come into NY with a well balanced attack on offense and beat the Jets straight up. Jags 23 Jets 20
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Jamie 2009 Record: 43.3% (13-17) 2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Seahawks at Cardinals (-8.5)
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Broncos (-3.5) at Redskins
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Falcons (-1.5) at Panthers
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Seahawks +8.5
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Broncos -3.5
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Falcons -1.5
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The Seahawks were a team a lot considered a sleeper vs Arizona this week they start to show why as Hasselbeck continues getting used to his weapons. This should be high scoring both ways. But give me 9 points easily in this one.
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The Broncos continue to show they are for real. All I know is everything is messed up in Washington who still hasn't scored more than 17 points since they tried to get Zorn to quit. Got to like the Broncos here.
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The Falcons, in my opinion, are just the more solid team and should continue on their winning ways here by a FG+ Panthers have been playing better but Atlanta is just the more solid team.
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