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EatDrinkandSleepFootball.com
Where Football's a Way of Life!
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Our FREE picks against the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Bears at Falcons (-3)
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Ravens at Vikings (-3)
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Panthers (-3) at Buccaneers
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Falcons -3
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Ravens +3
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Panthers -3
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Last week, the Falcons exploded for 45 points
against the 49ers, who gave up only 53 points
in their previous four games. In the process,
the Falcons posted 477 yards of total offense
including "Rowdy" Roddy White's
record-breaking performance (210 receiving
yards). And last year, Michael "The Burner"
Turner played considerably better at home
where he scored 14 of his 17 touchdowns. In
the ten home games Turner has played in the
Dome, he has rushed for 100+ yards six
times. And in those games, the Falcons are
9-1 straight up. Look for the Falcons to follow
up last week's strong road performance with a
strong showing at home.
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These two teams are similar -- strong
defenses, strong running games and
improved passing offenses (compared to
last year). And although both teams started
3-0, they enter week six with different
perspectives. While the Vikings look to
remain undefeated, their opponents have a
combined record of 7-17. Meanwhile, the
Ravens are desperate for a win after tough
back-to-back losses against the Patriots
and Bengals, respectively. This game will
be some good old-fashioned smashmouth
football and in a close game, I'll take the
points.
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The Panthers' offense has struggled in
2009, but they got their first win last week
against the Redskins. This week, they face
a Bucs' team that ranks 30th in scoring
defense (28 ppg) and 28th in total defense
(379.8 ypg). And the Bucs' defense is a
"balanced bad," meaning they are the only
team with the dubious distinction of
allowing more than 150 rushing yards and
225 passing yards per game. Since 1992,
Carolina is 11-6 ATS vs Atlanta.
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Dan
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Eagles (-14) at Raiders
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Texans at Bengals (-5)
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Chiefs at Redskins (-6.5)
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Eagles -14
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Bengals -5
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Chiefs +6.5
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Well, the current trends certainly paid off last
week, and I think I am looking for more of
the same this week. It's always nice to be
home, but it won't be much of a homecoming
for the Raiders this Sunday. All year long
whipping boy JaMarcus Russell will face the
3rd-ranked passing defense from Philly, and I
don't see Russell making steps this week
again. Oakland has lost their past three
games by 37, 23 and 20 while Philly has
made the most of the bad teams by putting
up 19, 20 and 28 vs Tampa, KC, and
Carolina. Just looking at those numbers, the
Eagles have held true to their form by beating
up on the teams that are in the lower tier of
the league. Last week, the Eagles had a
breakout game from rookie wideout Jeremy
Maclin, and will also target the fast developing
DeSean Jackson. In looking at Oakland, they
have a proud and average defense, but
Russell's turnover woes have kept them on
the field, and more importantly trying to
defend a short field. Another big lay this week
from the Eagles, but in watching this Oakland
team, I am beginning to wonder if Florida
could hang within 14 points of them.
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It's been quite a ride for the Bengals. So
far, all of their games have been decided in
the final minute of each game. The
Bengals come in off a big road upset of
Baltimore, with Carson Palmer driving the
field for the win. The Texans come in off a
tough road loss, where they were stopped
on the 1-yard line from tying Arizona. The
Bengals offense is not as explosive as it
used to be, but that is due to the fact that
Cedric Benson is climbing up the rushing
leaderboard. Benson has averaged 4.8
yards per carry and has done it into the
teeth of the Denver, Pittsburgh, and
Baltimore defenses. Houston has been an
enigma yet again for the 3rd-straight
season in a row, having an unstoppable
offense one week, yet forgetting to show up
the next week. Houston also comes into
this game ranked 28th vs the rush, and
19th vs the pass, not stellar numbers when
going against a team that can move the
ball both ways. Cincinnati is also 4-1 in
their historical matchups, so I expect to the
Bengals to truck on forward with big uncle
momentum at their side.
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All is not well in Dan Synder Land. The
Redskins have been on the edge all year,
just barely squeezing out wins against
teams they should manhandle. The Chiefs
are in rebuilding mode, but have been
consistently making teams work to put
them away. The Redskins boast one of the
top-ranked defenses in the NFL, but are
struggling to find their pace on offense.
Washington comes into this game banged
up on the offensive line, and they have lost
their Pro Bowl starter Chris Samuels, which
will make it difficult to get Clinton Portis
started. In looking at the historical
matchups, I know these two teams haven't
played much but KC holds the dominant
edge 6 games to 1. Also against the
spread this year, Washington is 1-3-1, and
also are 1-7 against the number in their
last 8 home games. The Redskins offense
is also having trouble manufacturing points,
as they have not had a margin of victory or
defeat by more than 7 pts. I would look for
Cassel and company to keep this game
close, as everyone else has stayed within
the 7-point margin of this number. On this
game take the points, as Kansas City will
hang in till the end.
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Sean
2009 Record: 55.2% (16-13-1)
2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Titans at Patriots (-9)
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Giants at Saints (-3)
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Eagles (-14) at Raiders
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Patriots -9
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Giants +3
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Eagles -14
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Well, at least if I am wrong I will be happy.
The Titans lost CB Nick Harper with a broken
arm on Sunday night. Courtland Finnegan
missed practice again today which means
Tennessee will probably be starting rookie
corners Jason McCourty and Ryan Mouton.
This is not good when you are facing Tom
Brady. Throw in the fact that the Patriots will
have extra motivation after losing in Denver
last week, this game will get ugly quick. I
expect to see more Vince Young this week as
I think the Belichick defense will frustrate
Kerry Collins. I expect a beat down similar to
Sunday.
Patriots 45 Titans 14
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The Giants are one of the top road teams
in the league, and have been over the past
few years. I think this game should be
closer to a pick'em. When you think
offense, you think the Saints with their high
power aerial attack that they have, but the
Giants statistically have a better pass
offense then the Saints do this year. The
Giants also have the #1 pass defense in
the league only giving up 104 yards a
game. The G-men have playmakers of
their own, and their young bunch of WR's
have been playing great. In the end, I like
the Giants O-line and D-line that much
more than the Saints, and that is why they
will win this game.
Giants 27 Saints 21
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Oakland is just terrible. The Philly offense
has been rolling, and Oakland is clearly not
the best come-from-behind team. Even
after being down 28-0 early in the 2nd
quarter, the Raiders clearly were not
comfortable throwing the ball as JaMarcus
Russell only had 13 attempts the whole
game. Were they even trying to come back
and win? Philly is too good, and Oakland
is god awful. I see a beat down in the
making.
Eagles 31 Raiders 13
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Jamie
2009 Record: 43.3% (13-17)
2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Eagles (-14) at Raiders
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Bears at Falcons (-3)
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Ravens at Vikings (-3)
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Eagles
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Falcons -3
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Vikings -3
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The Eagles are one of the most explosive
teams on both sides of the ball in the NFL
traveling into the Black Hole against arguably
the weakest team in the NFL. I don't even see
how Oakland will score in this game with J.
Russell at QB. I'm thinking they wish they still
had Garcia in town. Anyways take the Eagles
in this one.
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Playing this one at home, the Falcons
should easily win this one by more than a
FG. I don't believe in the Bears or Gay
Cutler who I honestly think is the biggest
baby QB in the league. The Falcons D has
also been doing their part but look for Ryan
and Turner to easily lead the dirty birds to
victory this week.
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This should be one of the harder-hitting
matchups of the weekend. But the Vikings
are playing the best football right now on
both sides of the ball in the NFL. As long as
Favre continues to manage games I
currently see this team heading to the
superbowl. The Ravens D is not the same
as it was last year and R Rice and crew will
find tough running this week. Which means
Flacco will have to try and win with his arm
which leads to J Allen and crew wreaking
havoc. I do like Flacco but he needs
another year under his belt for these type
of games.
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