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EatDrinkandSleepFootball.com
Where Football's a Way of Life!
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Our FREE picks against the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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DAILY WEEK 8 LINES FROM SPORTSBOOK.COM
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SUMMARY OF PICKS BY WEEKLY BLITZ CONTRIBUTORS
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2009 Picks - Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
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Picks are for entertainment purposes only.
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See 2008 Picks
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Lines used in our picks are always as of the time the pick was made.
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Date/Time (ET)
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Favorite
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Spread
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Underdog
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Kevin
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Dan
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Sean
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Jamie
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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RAVENS
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3.0
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Broncos
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Discuss game
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Ravens -3
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Ravens -3
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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BEARS
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13.0
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Browns
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Discuss game
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Browns +13
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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Texans
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3.5
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BILLS
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Discuss game
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Texans -3.5
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Texans -3.5
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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COLTS
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13.0
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49ers
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Discuss game
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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JETS
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3.5
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Dolphins
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Discuss game
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Dolphins +3.5
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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COWBOYS
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9.5
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Seahawks
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Discuss game
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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Giants
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1.0
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EAGLES
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Discuss game
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11.01.09 at 1:05 PM
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LIONS
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4.5
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Rams
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Discuss game
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11.01.09 at 4:10 PM
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CHARGERS
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16.5
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Raiders
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Discuss game
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11.01.09 at 4:10 PM
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TITANS
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3.0
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Jaguars
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Discuss game
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Titans -3
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Titans -3
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11.01.09 at 4:20 PM
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PACKERS
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3.0
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Vikings
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Discuss game
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Vikings +3
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11.01.09 at 4:20 PM
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CARDINALS
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10.0
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Panthers
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Discuss game
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Cardinals -10
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Cardinals -10
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11.02.09 at 8:35 PM
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SAINTS
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10.0
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Falcons
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Discuss game
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Falcons +10
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Bye weeks: Cincinnati Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Washington Redskins
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Texans (-3.5) at Bills
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Broncos at Ravens (-3)
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Jaguars at Titans (-3)
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Texans -3.5
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Ravens -3
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Titans -3
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In the first three games of the season, teams
ran all over the Houston Texans. In their past
four games, however, the Texans have
allowed only 45, 44, 46 and 59 yards rushing.
In fact, they are the only team to hold Cedric
Benson, the NFL rushing leader, to under 50
yards rushing. It won't be much easier to the
Bills to move the ball through the air as only
four teams rank lowerin offensive passing
yards and only four teams have allowed more
sacks. Meanwhile, the Texans have scored
20+ points in every game except week one
and it appears as though stud receiver Andre
Johnson (lung contusion) will play Sunday.
Although Steve Slaton is suffering a
sophomore slump (48.7 rushing yards per
game), the Bills are allowing a league-worst
172.4 rushing ypg.
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Both teams began the season by winning
their first three games. Since then, the
Broncos have won three more games to
improve to 6-0. On the other hand, the
Ravens have lost three games to fall to
3-3. But those three losses were decided
within the last couple of minutes (or
seconds) of the game and were to three
division leaders (Patriots, Bengals and
Vikings). In other words, the Ravens are a
better team than their record indicates. And
they are too good to lose four consecutive
games, aren't they? At home, the Ravens
are 38-13 straight up since 2003. The
Ravens are 11-8 against the spread (ATS)
at home in the past three years while the
Broncos are 8-11 ATS on the road during
that span.
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I'll admit it. It scares me to pick a winless
favorite coming off a 59-0 shutout that will
now be led by Vince Young. It really scares
me. And as he "just wanted to feel like a
winner," coach Jeff Fisher wore a Peyton
Manning jersey at a charity event during the
bye week. Joking or not, it was also
intended to send a message to his team.
The Titans have been embarrassed and
have had two weeks to soak in the
embarrassment. Despite losing Albert
Haynesworth (via free agency) and having
an injury-depleted secondary, this was last
year's top seed in the AFC. And now their
pride and manhood have been challenged.
They have to respond at home against a
division rival, right?
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Dan
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Texans (-3.5) at Bills
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Dolphins at Jets (-3.5)
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Panthers at Cardinals (-10)
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Texans -3.5
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Dolphins +3.5
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Cardinals -10
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Is this the year the Texans finally put it all
together and go on a playoff run? They are
starting to do the little things that are needed
to make the post-season: big road win, hold
off a surging comeback at home, and avoid
the trap game on the road. Well, the last
question will be answered this Sunday, as
Houston heads up to Buffalo, fresh off a
strong win vs the 49ers last week. Buffalo is
on a two-game winning streak, and come into
this game off a good road win in Carolina.
Looking at the matchup, I am really liking
Steve Slaton to go against the team ranked
last in the league in rushing defense, as
Buffalo gives up an average of 5.2 yards per
carry. I am also high on the Texans 2nd-
ranked passing attack, as I feel Buffalo's
14th-ranked pass defense is a little inflated
since their last 4 games have been against
the Jets, Browns, Panthers, and Dolphins, all
of whom have poor passing offenses. Houston
is also 7-3 in their last 10 vs the AFC, while
Buffalo is 1-7 at home against the spread in
their last 8. I would look for a huge Slaton,
Schaub, Johnson, and Daniels day, as the
favorites keep on rolling this year.
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Talk about a must win-game for both
teams. Miami badly needs the confidence
boost after New Orleans spotted them 21
points, and they still lost by 12. The Jets
come in after a practice game against
Oakland, seems everyone kills that team
except for Philly. This game is interesting
on all fronts, as it features the two leading
rushing teams in the NFL. Despite all of
Jets head coach Rex Ryan labeling the
Wildcat offense as a gimmick, the Dolphins
used that same gimmick to pound home a
win vs the Jets 2 weeks ago. The Jets will
undoubtedly be fired up, after making
Chad Henne "look like Dan Marino," and
expect Joey Porter to get a few shots in as
well. What may derail the Jets season are
injuries, after already losing run stuffer Kris
Jenkins for the year, last week they lost all-
purpose back Leon Washington with a
broken leg, as they are two vital pieces of
Gang Green. The Jets have posted a 2-7
record in their last nine against the number
in which they were the favorite. I am liking
the Wildcat this Sunday, as missing Kris
Jenkins will have a huge impact on this
game. Take the points as Miami will sweep
the season series.
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On a three-game trot, Arizona goes back
home to the desert to face a struggling
Carolina team. Carolina runs the ball very
well, but face the daunting task of going
against the league's top ranked run
defense. Jake Delhomme has struggled to
find his groove since a disastrous playoff
game against these same Cardinals, just
think he would be tied for 5th in passing
touchdowns, well that is if his 13 picks
counted as TDs. Arizona comes in off a
legitimate performance in prime-time
against the Giants, where they held the
talented duo of Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad
Bradshaw in check, and will do the same vs
Deangelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart.
Carolina has been abysmal vs the spread
this year, going 1-5, while the Cardinals
have posted a 4-2 mark against the
number. Look for Arizona to keep churning
points with their trio of receivers, as they
are also 9-2 vs the spread in their last 9
games. Lay the big margin again this week,
as the KGB is 3-1 with these games.
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Sean
2009 Record: 55.2% (16-13-1)
2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Jaguars at Titans (-3)
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Broncos at Ravens (-3)
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Falcons at Saints (-10)
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Titans -3
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Ravens -3
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Falcons +10
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Vince Young was officially named the starter
today, and about time. Is VY the answer?
Probably not, but when you start the season
0-6, you have nothing to lose. The Titans are
fresh off their bye week, and I think they will
get their first win of the season on Sunday.
Vince cannot make throws like Kerry can, but
he can make plays with his legs, and let's
face it, Kerry wasn't making those throws this
year anyways. Tennessee WRs also have the
most drops in the league, so that doesn't
help. One thing I like about the move is
Fisher's hand was forced. Does he want VY as
his starter? No. What Fisher will do to counter
this move by Bud Adams is a healthy dose of
the run with Chris Johnson & LenDale White.
Titans win 27-23
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The reason why I am under .500 this year
is my refusal to call the undefeated Broncos
a good team. Baltimore is better on paper
in just about every position other then
WR/CB. Ray Rice just had a monster week
before the bye, and has become one of the
league's most dangerous backs. I like a
fresh Baltimore team here at home against
the Broncos. I might have been wrong
about the Broncos, but I was also wrong
about Joe Flacco. It's Baltimore's defense
that has been holding them back this year.
I think they get back on track this week.
Baltimore 24 Denver 16
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New Orleans hasn't played any games
inside the division this year. Reggie Bush
was running his mouth about a perfect
season this year already. I think Atlanta
will keep this game real close on Monday
night and possibly win outright. New
Orleans is going to be due for a letdown
game, and why not a divisional rivalry.
There are some other games I like, Indy &
both New York teams, but I find 10 points
to a very good team is too much even for
the Saints.
New Orleans 38 Atlanta 30
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Jamie
2009 Record: 43.3% (13-17)
2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Vikings at Packers (-3)
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Browns at Bears (-13)
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Panthers at Cardinals (-10)
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Vikings +3
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Browns +13
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Cardinals -10
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In the Favre vs GB rematch look for the Vikes
to get back on track. If not for a B.S. tripping
call last week, they would have beat
Pittsburgh. Take the points and the better
team = Vikes.
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Are the Browns really that much worse than
the Bears, who have been struggling as
well? Not in my opinion. Take the Browns as
they will keep this within 10 points vs an
overrated Jay Cutler.
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What has happened to the Panthers? The
obvious answer is Jake Delhomme. Either
way, no way they keep up with Arizona in
the desert this week. Take the Cards and
watch Jake throw the game away for
Carolina.
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