Fantasy Football Profile: Jalen Hurts 2025 Outlook

By Kevin Hanson (@EDSFootball)
Updated: Thursday, February 27, 2025

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a high-end fantasy performer since becoming a full-time starter in 2021.

Despite missing exactly two games in three of the past four years, Hurts has yet to finish any lower than fantasy's QB6 on a points-per-game basis. In addition, he has a pair of top-two fantasy performances — QB2 in 2023 and QB1 in 2022, respectively.

Career low in pass attempts in 2024

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Hurts threw a career-low 361 pass attempts as Philadelphia's starting quarterback in the same season that Saquon Barkley joined the 2,000-yard rushing club. On a per-game basis, Hurts threw 7.5 fewer pass attempts in 2024 (24.1) than 2023 (31.6). Moreover, that's nearly five attempts fewer than his low set in 2021 (28.8).

Yes, his overall counting numbers (2,903 passing yards and 18 touchdowns) were down, but the ratios were up. Hurts set or tied career highs in completion percentage (68.7%), TD% (5.0) and yards per pass attempt (8.0), and his 1.4 INT% was only a tad off his career best 1.3% mark.

Although the Eagles will enter 2025 with their fourth different offensive coordinator in as many seasons, there should be continuity as Kevin Patullo has been in Philadelphia since 2021, the year Hurts became the starter.

Hurts benefits from playing behind an elite offensive line and has a talented trio of pass catchers (A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert) and that remains unchanged going into 2025. But it's his dual-threat abilities that make him an elite fantasy quarterback.

But business as usual, as a runner

Even though Barkley became the ninth player in league history to rush for 2,000 yards, that didn't impact Hurts' output on the ground.

Hurts extended his streak of 150-plus carries to three seasons. While he has averaged at least 9.2 carries per game in each of the past four years, it was only the second time that he averaged 10-plus carries per game in a season.

His rushing volume was consistent on a weekly basis as well with a rushing share of at least 25% in 12 of 14 games if we exclude Week 16 where he played only 12 snaps. He had exactly seven carries in the other two games with a sub-25% team rushing attempt share.

Last year marked the fourth consecutive season in which he rushed for at least 600 yards and scored double-digit touchdowns. During that four-year span, he has compiled a total of 611 carries for 2,779 yards and 52 touchdowns in 62 games. That is equivalent to 9.51 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone.

Only two players (both running backs) — Derrick Henry (51) and Josh Jacobs (42) — are within 10 rushing touchdowns of Hurts (52) during that span, per Stathead. (Josh Allen is tied for fourth (40) with Joe Mixon and Jonathan Taylor.)

No player has more games with multiple rushing touchdowns over the past four seasons than Hurts (14). Derrick Henry (13) is close, but the next four players — Jonathan Taylor, Josh Jacobs, James Conner and Josh Allen — are a distant third and tied with eight apiece.

Jalen Hurts Full-Season Projections

Here are our full-season projections for Hurts:

Bottom Line

Although it may lead to slightly more injury risk, his consistent yearly and weekly rushing production provides a high floor while scoring multiple rushing touchdowns in 22.6% of his games over the past four seasons provides a high weekly ceiling. Along with Josh Allen, he's one of only two quarterbacks with multiple games with two-plus passing and two-plus rushing touchdowns since 2021.

In most fantasy football drafts this summer, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson will be the first two quarterbacks off the board (albeit not necessarily in that order). The next two quarterbacks will be Jayden Daniels, the reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, and Hurts.

There will be something of a quarterback dead zone after these four (and Cincinnati's Joe Burrow), so I'll be entering drafts with goal of getting one of these four or five (if they slip to a reasonable point) or wait significantly. Given that he will most likely be the QB4 in fantasy drafts, he will likely be the top-five quarterback I roster the most in 2025.

More projections:

• Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Football Projections
• Fantasy Football Projections