Buffalo Bills 2025 Fantasy Football Projections
Updated: Sunday, August 31, 2025Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Buffalo Bills.
Projected fantasy points are based on half-PPR scoring.
MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams
Embed from Getty ImagesQUARTERBACKS
| Player | Att. | Comp. | Yards | TD | INT | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 519.2 | 330.7 | 3868 | 29.08 | 11.94 | 101 | 530.3 | 7.83 | 347.17 |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 33.1 | 21.3 | 225.1 | 1.32 | 0.83 | 14.8 | 48.1 | 0.59 | 20.97 |
| QB Totals | 552.3 | 352 | 4093.1 | 30.4 | 12.77 | 115.8 | 578.4 | 8.42 | 368.14 |
Josh Allen: Putting aside the debate over who should have won the NFL MVP award last season, it's clear that both Allen and Lamar Jackson had MVP-caliber seasons, especially as voters split their votes for MVP and the 2024 AP NFL All-Pro first team. Going into fantasy drafts this summer, Allen vs. Jackson will be the difficult (or easy) choice facing fantasy managers — and to be clear, the "easy" part is that you can't go wrong with either.
Allen posted five-year lows in several passing categories — attempts (483), yards (3,731) and touchdowns (28) — but his dual-threat skill set is what makes him so dangerous. Allen now has (at least) 12 rushing touchdowns in back-to-back seasons and 500-plus rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. He has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback for five consecutive seasons.
RUNNING BACKS
| Player | Att. | Yards | TD | Rec. | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 203.2 | 965.2 | 7.62 | 35.8 | 333.4 | 3 | 211.48 |
| Ray Davis | 123.2 | 517.4 | 3.26 | 14.3 | 124.2 | 1.2 | 98.07 |
| Ty Johnson | 40.6 | 182.7 | 0.81 | 17.5 | 160.6 | 1.2 | 55.14 |
| Reggie Gilliam | 1.2 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 16.5 | 0.3 | 4.87 |
| RB Totals | 368.2 | 1668.3 | 11.71 | 69.6 | 634.7 | 5.7 | 369.56 |
James Cook: While his yards from scrimmage dropped by 300 yards from 2023 to 2024, Cook has now rushed for 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons and he racked up 18 total touchdowns (16 rushing and two receiving) in 2024. That is three times his total (six) in 2023. The concern other than touchdown regression was his contract stalemate, but the two sides agreed to a four-year extension.
Ray Davis: Davis finished his rookie season with 130 touches including 17 receptions, 631 yards from scrimmage and six total touchdowns. If James Cook were to miss any time, Davis would become a weekly RB2.
WIDE RECEIVERS
| Player | Rec. | Yards | TD | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 77.6 | 971.8 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 11.9 | 0.13 | 169.75 |
| Keon Coleman | 46.4 | 687.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 9.6 | 0.06 | 134.63 |
| Josh Palmer | 43.9 | 565.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.46 |
| Curtis Samuel | 19.8 | 202.2 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 28.2 | 0.27 | 43.56 |
| Elijah Moore | 16.5 | 181.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.39 |
| Tyrell Shavers | 2.4 | 29.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.35 |
| WR Totals | 206.6 | 2637.1 | 17.9 | 8.6 | 49.7 | 0.46 | 482.14 |
Khalil Shakir: Shakir set career highs across the board in his third NFL season with 100 targets, 76 receptions, 821 yards and four touchdowns. As much as "everybody eats" in Buffalo's offense, Shakir led the team in most games (11) with six-plus targets. While his yards per reception (10.8) were significantly lower than his first two seasons (15.8), his Y/RR (via PFF) has increased steadily each season: 1.14 (2022), 1.84 (2023) and 2.15 (2024), respectively.
Keon Coleman: Is a breakout season coming for Coleman? The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia writes that among all of the team's age-25 or younger players, Coleman "has the strongest case for a breakout this season due to the combination of experience and expected role in 2025." Coleman played a receiver-high 70% of offensive snaps in games in which he appeared. With Mack Hollins and Amari Cooper no longer on the roster, Coleman's "on-field role could rise" in his second season, per Buscaglia.
Josh Palmer: The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia recently wrote that Palmer "will be a staple on offense and could be a sneaky candidate to lead the receivers in snaps." It may be difficult to trust any of the team's receivers outside of Shakir, given how targets are spread around, but there's plenty of upside for the late-round receiver in Buffalo's potent offense.
TIGHT ENDS
| Player | Rec. | Yards | TD | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid | 57.6 | 609.6 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115.56 |
| Dawson Knox | 16.7 | 196.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.76 |
| Jackson Hawes | 1.6 | 15.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.55 |
| TE Totals | 75.9 | 821.2 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160.87 |
Dalton Kincaid: The breakout many had expected did not materialize in his sophomore campaign. Kincaid (PCL) missed multiple games in 2024 and his per-game numbers were down from his rookie season — 3.4 receptions (vs. 4.6 in 2023) and 34.5 yards (vs. 42.1). While his catch rate plummeted to 58.7% (from 80.2%), his average depth of target (ADOT) increased to 8.9 (from 7.0) and his Y/RR ticked upward to 1.55 (from 1.51), per PFF. Depending on his health (and Kincaid had recently missed some practice time with knee soreness), there is more upside than risk at his current ADP.