2013 Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft
|
| |
Scoring: This mock draft is based on dynasty leagues. Passing touchdowns are worth four points while
rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points. In addition, one point is earned per 25 passing
yards, 10 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards and one-half point per reception.
|
| |
|
|
ADVERTISEMENT
For this mock draft, four EDSFootball.com contributors will draft for three teams per round
and we will exclude kickers and team defenses from this mock.
We will draft 12 rounds and I will include commentary for each of the 144 picks.
This is a slow draft that is conducted offline, but picks/rounds of the draft will be posted as they are completed.
Although we conducted re-draft mocks for both standard-scoring and point-per-reception (PPR) formats prior to the 2013 NFL Draft, we will conduct new drafts in the near future.
To keep track of our updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.
Draft Start Date: Tuesday, May 7th
Draft End Date: Thursday, May 30th
|
|
Results by Team - Sean Beazley (Team 1)
|
Rounds: One - Two - Three - Four - Five - Six - Seven - Eight - Nine - 10 - 11 - 12 | By Team
|
Our re-draft mocks: Standard Scoring (Feb. 3-14) | PPR Scoring (Mar. 20 - Apr. 8)
|
| |
|
|
|
1.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions
Johnson is the clear-cut No. 1 wide receiver regardless of scoring format (dynasty vs. re-draft, standard vs. PPR scoring, etc.). Without question, he should be the first wide receiver selected in this mock.
After becoming only the second receiver in NFL history to finish with at least 1,600 yards and 16 touchdowns in the same season in 2011, Megatron broke Jerry Rice's single-season receiving yards (1,964) record last year.
In his past 20 games counting the playoffs, he has five 200-yard games. Stated differently, he has 200-plus yards in one-quarter of his past 20 games.
With all that said, should he be the first player selected overall?
While I would personally take Adrian Peterson at this spot, I can see the logic in taking Johnson here.
Sean either takes him here or doesn't draft him. Ever. If he wants Megatron on his roster, he has to take him here.
Even though Peterson is a physical freak in his own right, he will turn 30 years old in less than 23 months. In addition, he is only 246 carries away from reaching 2,000 for his career. Those are numbers that worry me some (read: a lot) with a running back.
Meanwhile, the 27-year-old Johnson should have roughly five more dominant seasons and a few good ones on top of that. Turning 34 years old in the middle of last season, Reggie Wayne finished with 106 receptions and 1,355 yards.
A 1,300-yard rusher at 34 years old is not going to happen. Well, it has happened ... once. Only once and 30 years ago.
Back in 1983, Redskins running back John Riggins rushed for 1,347 yards at 34 years old. The next oldest to do it was Chicago's Walter Payton in 1986 at 32 years old.
2.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans
When things are good for CJ2K, we've seen how good they could be. In the year he rushed for more than 2,000 yards, he set the single-season record for most yards from scrimmage (2,509).
Over the past couple of years, he has been much less productive than his record-setting campaign due in part to indecisive running and horrible interior offensive line play. The Titans significantly upgraded all three of their interior offensive line positions with Chance Warmack and Brian Schwenke in the draft and Andy Levitre in free agency.
With the offseason addition of Shonn Greene, who rushed for 1,000 yards last year, Johnson may come off the field at the goal line or see his overall touches decrease some.
3.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers
Through his first two seasons, Newton has a total of 1,447 rushing yards for 22 touchdowns. While I think the eight touchdowns he scored in 2012 will be closer to his norm than the 14 he scored as a rookie, he would be an RB2 based on his rushing production alone in 2012. Only 22 running backs had more total fantasy points than Newton would have had from his rushing stats.
Newton, who turns 24 this weekend, threw for 7,920 yards, 40 touchdowns and 29 interceptions in those two seasons as well. I'm surprised the Panthers did not add a receiver with an early pick in the draft.
While there are a few other quarterbacks with the ability to generate a lot of points of rushing statistics, Newton has the size (6-5, 248) to make you feel more comfortable about his durability.
4.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Of all rookie running backs, I believe Bell steps into a situation that is most beneficial for his 2013 outlook . In other words, Bell is the highest-rated rookie in my re-draft running back rankings for 2013.
“He’s coming from a pro-style offense … so I expect him to get into the mix and be a factor,” Steelers offensive coordinator Todd Haley said of Bell (via the Detroit Free Press). “He looks like a workhorse back and I think those numbers indicate that he’s quite capable of carrying it a bunch. He’s not a guy that you’d shy away from giving it to him 30 times a game.”
Finishing fifth in the country in rushing (1,793 yards), Bell (382 carries) carried the rock more than any other collegiate back. A big back (6-2, 230 pounds), Bell has the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield for a back his size as evidenced by his 67 receptions over the past two seasons and get the goal-line touches.
5.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers
After a breakout season in 2011, Nelson dealt with injuries that lead to an off year in 2012. He finished the season with 49 receptions for 745 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games.
While he may never approach the 15 touchdowns he had in 2011 again, Nelson should have a bounce-back season if he can stay healthy. Not only does he have the league's best quarterback (and an improved running game), but the team let Greg Jennings walk via free agency and Donald Driver retired.
6.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Jason Witten, TE, Dallas Cowboys
Not only did Witten record a career-high 110 receptions last year, but it was the single-season record for tight ends.
Over the past six seasons, Witten has had four 1,000-yard seasons and a minimum of 942 yards during that span. During that stretch, he has averaged 92 receptions for 1,018 yards and five touchdowns. The 31-year-old tight end has finished with more than five touchdowns only once in the past five years.
7.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Mikel Leshoure, RB, Detroit Lions
Leshoure had a solid rookie season that was delayed a year by a torn Achilles injury. He rushed for 798 yards on 215 carries (3.7 yards per carry) and nine touchdowns. He also had 34 receptions for 214 yards.
With the addition of Reggie Bush, Leshoure will likely take a back-seat role in the next couple of seasons, but he should get the goal-line touches.
Among running backs in 2012, Leshoure finished in the top five at the position in fantasy points from touches inside the red zone and 15th in carries inside the 20.
8.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens
Over the past three seasons, Flacco has a combined 18-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in the postseason. Earning Super Bowl MVP honors in his last game played has allowed Flacco to parlay his postseason success into a monster contract. That said, Flacco is a much better quarterback in real life than fantasy.
In the regular season, Flacco has yet to reach 4,000 passing yards or throw for more than 25 touchodwns in any of his five seasons as a pro.
After using his third-round pick (No. 25 overall) on a quarterback, this is a wasted pick to me. With the position so deep, why draft a guy at this point that will almost always ride your fantasy bench? If he had a better-but-older quarterback like Brees or Brady, I could see the logic in taking a backup quarterback here. But he doesn't.
At this point, he has as many quarterbacks (two) on his roster as he does wide receivers (two). In my opinion, it would make much more sense to add depth at wide receiver or running back here.
9.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Zac Stacy, RB, St. Louis Rams
I like this pick for Sean much better than the previous pick. Stacy was a highly productive running back at Vanderbilt. Not only is he the school's first-ever back to rush for 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons, but he is the school's all-time leader in rushing yards (3,143) and touchdowns (30).
With only Isaiah Pead and Daryl Richardson competing with him for touches, it's certainly possible that Stacy gets the backfield's largest workload in 2013 (and beyond).
10.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers
A number of factors led to Allen slipping to the third round of the 2013 NFL Draft including his recovery from a knee injury, a slow forty time at his personal pro day and rumors of a drug test being "red-flagged" at the combine.
With that said, Allen was one of the most talented receivers in this year's draft class and is a physical receiver that has been compared to Anquan Boldin. Allen had 98 receptions for 1,343 yards and six touchdowns two seasons ago for Cal.
11.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears
I'm disappointed that Jeffery did not last two more picks as he was my target for pick 11.03. Jeffery is one of the players that I will be targeting in drafts this year.
Before the start of last season, he generated a lot of positive buzz as a guy that could flourish as a red-zone target in the Bears offense. The 6-foot-3 receiver battled injuries throughout the season, however, and played in a total of only 10 games as a rookie.
Provided he stays healthy in 2013, I think he surprises a lot of people and finishes with double-digit touchdowns (or close to it).
12.12 - Sean Beazley(Team 1): LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots
Barring an injury to Stevan Ridley, I wouldn't expect to see a ton of production from Blount. Perhaps if Ridley has any fumbling issues early in the 2013 season, however, Blount could steal some touches from Ridley. Ridley had three fumbles, two of which were lost, in the final six games (counting playoffs) last season.
Blount, who had a 1,000-yard season as a rookie, carried the ball only 41 times for 151 yards and two touchdowns last year.
View the mock draft by rounds (instead of teams)
Our Dynasty Fantasy Rankings: Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers | Tight Ends
To keep track of our updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
