Washington Commanders 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Washington Commanders.

Projected fantasy points are based on half-PPR scoring.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

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QUARTERBACKS

Jayden Daniels: For good reason, Daniels was a favorite of many as a late-round target in fantasy drafts, and the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year delivered for those who rostered him in 2024. Daniels' ADP was QB12 (or a little later, depending on the site), and the dual-threat quarterback finished his rookie season as a top-five fantasy quarterback. Along with Lamar Jackson (2023 and 2024) and Kyler Murray (2020), Daniels became only the third quarterback in NFL history to throw and run for at least 3,500 and 800 yards, respectively, in the same season. The front office's offseason moves support his continued development as he enters year two.

RUNNING BACKS

Austin Ekeler: Ekeler missed five games in his first season with the Commanders, but he was efficient with his touches — 4.8 yards per carry (six-year high) and 10.5 yards per reception (five-year high). While he averaged nearly three catches per game (2.9), that was a six-year low and that makes sense playing with a dual-threat quarterback (Jayden Daniels). The biggest beneficiary of Brian Robinson Jr.'s trade to the San Francisco 49ers will be rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt, but it could lead to a few extra touches for Ekeler as well. Either way, he's undervalued when comparing my rankings and projections to his current ADP.

MORE: 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers

Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Earlier this summer, Croskey-Merritt (aka "Bill") was a sleeper worth a late-round pick who generated plenty of buzz. As Adam Kilgore wrote, he "makes a play that turns heads ... almost every day." His ADP ascent will continue following Robinson's trade to the 49ers, but the seventh-round rookie will almost certainly emerge as the most valuable member of the backfield as the season progresses.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Between JCM's buzz and Ekeler's value, Rodriguez is not getting the attention he deserves by fantasy managers and is worth a late-round pick, especially in best ball, as the "likely" goal-line option in the offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Terry McLaurin: McLaurin has eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark in five consecutive seasons, and he's been remarkably consistent — 77-87 catches and 1,002-1,191 yards in each of the past five seasons. Potential/likely touchdown regression following last year's spike (13, nearly double his previous career high) and a slow start following his hold-in are potential concerns. Beyond that, however, McLaurin is the top weapon in one of the league's best offenses (seventh in yardage and fifth in scoring in 2024) and Jayden Daniels should be even better in year two.

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Samuel has missed multiple games in three consecutive seasons, and his physical play style elevates his injury risk a bit. The versatile receiver has averaged at least 2.5 carries per game in each of his past four seasons, and he will face less competition for targets than he previously had with the 49ers. Samuel has finished as a WR1 in odd-numbered years this decade — WR2 (2021) and WR12 (2023) — and while nobody should predict that trend to continue in this odd-numbered year, it's also possible that he's being undervalued.

TIGHT ENDS

Zach Ertz: Ertz had 66 catches for 654 yards and seven touchdowns on 91 targets in his age-34 season as he finished 2024 as fantasy's TE8 (TE10 in PPG). Dan Quinn has previously talked up Ben Sinnott, their second-round pick in 2024. Sinnott should earn more playing time and targets than he did as a rookie, but Ertz has a chance to perform as a back-end TE1 for as long as his health cooperates.